GDP Recession Indicator by USCG_Vet🌟 GDP Recession Indicator by USCG_Vet 🌟
📈 Overview
The GDP Recession Indicator is a comprehensive economic tool designed to help traders and investors anticipate potential recessions by analyzing key U.S. economic metrics. By consolidating multiple normalized economic indicators into a single, actionable signal, this indicator provides a clear and intuitive way to assess the health of the U.S. economy on a monthly basis.
🔑 Key Features
🔴 Red Line (GDP Discrepancy):
Represents the normalized value of GDP - (PCE + GCE + GPDI), capturing the core GDP components.
⚪ White Line (Signal Line):
A simple moving average of the consolidated indicator, serving as a dynamic threshold for recession signals.
🔵 Consolidated Indicator (Blue Line):
An optional line that aggregates multiple economic indicators for a holistic view.
✨ Customizable Visibility:
By default, only the Red and White lines are displayed, ensuring a clean and focused chart. Additional indicators can be enabled as needed.
🔍 How It Works
📊 Data Normalization:
Processes key economic metrics:
GDP
Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE)
Government Consumption Expenditures (GCE)
Gross Private Domestic Investment (GPDI)
US Private Debt Growth (USPDG)
US Government Debt Growth (USGDG)
US Balance of Trade (USBOT)
Personal Savings Rate (BEA)
Each metric is normalized using a z-score over a configurable period (default is 6 months), ensuring comparability and mitigating the impact of differing scales.
🔗 Consolidation:
Selected indicators are averaged to form a consolidated economic signal, providing a comprehensive view of economic trends.
📉 Signal Generation:
Recession Signal:
When the Red Line (GDP Discrepancy) crosses below the White Line (Signal Line), it indicates a potential downturn in the economy.
🛠️ How to Use the GDP Recession Indicator
➕ Adding the Indicator:
🔴 Red Line: Displays the normalized GDP Discrepancy (GDP - (PCE + GCE + GPDI)).
⚪ White Line: Shows the signal line derived from the consolidated indicator.
🔵 Blue Line and Other Indicators: Hidden by default for clarity. Enable them in the indicator settings if a more detailed analysis is desired.
🔍 Interpreting the Signals:
Recession Signal:
🔴 Red Line crosses below ⚪ White Line: Signals that the economy may be heading into a recession. Indicates that the GDP Discrepancy is declining relative to the broader economic signals captured by the indicator.
📑 Confirmation:
Look for confirmation from other technical indicators or economic data to validate the recession signal.
⚙️ Customization:
🕒 Normalization Period: Adjust the normalization period to suit different timeframes or sensitivity levels.
🔄 Indicator Visibility: Toggle the visibility of additional economic metrics (e.g., US Private Debt Growth, US Government Debt Growth) to tailor the indicator to your analytical needs.
🔵 Consolidated Indicator: Enable the blue line if you wish to view the aggregated economic signal alongside the primary signals.
🎯 Benefits
⏰ Early Warning System:
Provides timely signals that can help anticipate economic downturns, allowing for proactive portfolio adjustments.
🏁 Conclusion
The GDP Recession Indicator is a powerful tool for anyone looking to navigate the complexities of the economic landscape. By providing clear signals based on robust economic data, it empowers traders and investors to make informed decisions and better manage risk in anticipation of potential recessions.
Forecasting
First Heikin-Ashi Candle Tracker [CHE] First Heikin-Ashi Candle Tracker
"A Heikin-Ashi Candle Rarely Comes Alone"
1. Introduction
Fundamental Observation
- "A Heikin-Ashi Candle Rarely Comes Alone"
- This principle highlights the tendency of Heikin-Ashi candles to appear in sequences, indicating sustained trends rather than isolated movements.
- Recognizing these patterns can significantly enhance trading strategies by identifying stronger and more reliable entry points.
2. Understanding Heikin-Ashi Candles
What Are Heikin-Ashi Candles?
- Heikin-Ashi is a type of candlestick chart used to identify market trends more clearly.
- Calculation Method:
- Ha_Close: (Open + High + Low + Close) / 4
- Ha_Open: (Previous Ha_Open + Previous Ha_Close) / 2
- Ha_High: Maximum of High, Ha_Open, Ha_Close
- Ha_Low: Minimum of Low, Ha_Open, Ha_Close
- Visual Differences:
- Smoother appearance compared to traditional candlesticks.
- Helps in filtering out market noise and highlighting the prevailing trend.
Benefits of Heikin-Ashi Candles
- Trend Clarity: Easier identification of uptrends and downtrends.
- Reduced Noise: Minimizes the impact of insignificant price movements.
- Visual Appeal: Cleaner charts enhance decision-making processes.
3. Introducing the First Heikin-Ashi Candle Tracker [CHE ]
Purpose of the Indicator
- Track First Heikin-Ashi Candles: Identifies the initial appearance of Heikin-Ashi candles across multiple timeframes.
- Enhance Trading Decisions: Provides visual cues for potential long and short entries based on trend confirmations.
Key Features
- Multi-Timeframe Support: Monitor Heikin-Ashi candles across different timeframes (e.g., 240, 60, 30, 15 minutes).
- Customizable Visuals: Adjustable colors and line widths for better chart integration.
- User-Friendly Interface: Easy-to-configure settings tailored to individual trading preferences.
- Max Line Management: Controls the number of displayed lines to maintain chart clarity.
4. How to Use the First Heikin-Ashi Candle Tracker
Step-by-Step Guide
1. Enable Desired Groups:
- Activate up to four groups, each representing a different timeframe.
- Customize each group's settings according to your trading strategy.
2. Configure Timeframes:
- Select timeframes that align with your trading style (e.g., short-term vs. long-term).
3. Set Candle Types to Track:
- Choose to monitor Both, Green (Bullish), or Red (Bearish) Heikin-Ashi candles.
- Focus on specific candle types to streamline entry signals.
4. Customize Visual Indicators:
- Adjust Green Line Color and Red Line Color for clear distinction.
- Modify Line Width to ensure visibility without cluttering the chart.
5. Manage Line Limits:
- Set the Max Number of Lines to prevent overcrowding.
- The indicator will automatically remove the oldest lines when the limit is exceeded.
6. Interpret Signals:
- Green Lines: Indicate potential Long entry points.
- Red Lines: Indicate potential Short entry points.
- Observe the sequence and frequency of candles to assess trend strength.
Practical Example
- Uptrend Identification:
- Consecutive green Heikin-Ashi candles with corresponding green lines signal a strong upward trend.
- Consider entering a Long position when the first green candle appears.
- Downtrend Identification:
- Consecutive red Heikin-Ashi candles with corresponding red lines signal a strong downward trend.
- Consider entering a Short position when the first red candle appears.
5. Benefits and Utility
Enhanced Trend Detection
- Early Signals: Identify the beginning of new trends promptly.
- Confirmation: Multiple timeframes provide robust confirmation of trend direction.
Improved Entry Points
- Precision: Pinpoint optimal moments to enter trades, reducing the risk of false signals.
- Flexibility: Suitable for both Long and Short strategies across various markets.
User-Friendly Operation
- Intuitive Settings: Easily configurable to match individual trading preferences.
- Visual Clarity: Clear lines and color-coding facilitate quick decision-making.
Time Efficiency
- Automated Tracking: Saves time by automatically identifying and marking relevant candles.
- Multi-Timeframe Analysis: Consolidates information from different timeframes into a single view.
6. Why Use the First Heikin-Ashi Candle Tracker ?
Strategic Advantages
- Market Insight: Gain deeper understanding of market dynamics through Heikin-Ashi analysis.
- Risk Management: Improved entry points contribute to better risk-reward ratios.
- Versatility: Applicable to various trading instruments, including stocks, forex, and cryptocurrencies.
Why Heikin-Ashi for Entries?
- Trend Reliability: Heikin-Ashi candles smooth out price data, providing more reliable trend indicators.
- Reduced Whipsaws: Fewer false signals compared to traditional candlestick charts.
- Clarity in Decision-Making: Simplifies the process of identifying and acting on market trends.
Conclusion
- The First Heikin-Ashi Candle Tracker is an essential tool for traders seeking to enhance their trend analysis and improve entry strategies.
- By leveraging the power of Heikin-Ashi candles, this indicator offers a clear, user-friendly approach to identifying profitable trading opportunities.
7. Getting Started
Installation
1. Add the Indicator:
- Open TradingView and navigate to the Pine Script editor.
- Paste the translated Pine Script code for the First Heikin-Ashi Candle Tracker .
- Save and add the indicator to your chart.
2. Configure Settings:
- Enable desired groups and set appropriate timeframes.
- Customize colors and line widths as per your preference.
- Adjust the maximum number of lines to maintain chart clarity.
3. Start Trading:
- Monitor the chart for green and red lines indicating potential Long and Short entries.
- Combine with other analysis tools for enhanced trading decisions.
Support and Resources
- Documentation: Refer to the included comments within the Pine Script for detailed explanations.
- Community Forums: Join TradingView communities for tips and shared experiences.
- Customer Support: Reach out for assistance with installation or configuration issues.
8. Disclaimer
The content provided, including all code and materials, is strictly for educational and informational purposes only. It is not intended as, and should not be interpreted as, financial advice, a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument, or an offer of any financial product or service. All strategies, tools, and examples discussed are provided for illustrative purposes to demonstrate coding techniques and the functionality of Pine Script within a trading context.
Any results from strategies or tools provided are hypothetical, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading and investing involve high risk, including the potential loss of principal, and may not be suitable for all individuals. Before making any trading decisions, please consult with a qualified financial professional to understand the risks involved.
By using this script, you acknowledge and agree that any trading decisions are made solely at your discretion and risk.
Happy Trading!
Best regards
Chervolino (Volker)
Advanced Economic Indicator by USCG_VetAdvanced Economic Indicator by USCG_Vet
tldr:
This comprehensive TradingView indicator combines multiple economic and financial metrics into a single, customizable composite index. By integrating key indicators such as the yield spread, commodity ratios, stock indices, and the Federal Reserve's QE/QT activities, it provides a holistic view of the economic landscape. Users can adjust the components and their weights to tailor the indicator to their analysis, aiding in forecasting economic conditions and market trends.
Detailed Description
Overview
The Advanced Economic Indicator is designed to provide traders and investors with a powerful tool to assess the overall economic environment. By aggregating a diverse set of economic indicators and financial market data into a single composite index, it helps identify potential turning points in the economy and financial markets.
Key Features:
Comprehensive Coverage: Includes 14 critical economic and financial indicators.
Customizable Components: Users can select which indicators to include.
Adjustable Weights: Assign weights to each component based on perceived significance.
Visual Signals: Clear plotting with threshold lines and background highlights.
Alerts: Set up alerts for when the composite index crosses user-defined thresholds.
Included Indicators
Yield Spread (10-Year Treasury Yield minus 3-Month Treasury Yield)
Copper/Gold Ratio
High Yield Spread (HYG/IEF Ratio)
Stock Market Performance (S&P 500 Index - SPX)
Bitcoin Performance (BLX)
Crude Oil Prices (CL1!)
Volatility Index (VIX)
U.S. Dollar Index (DXY)
Inflation Expectations (TIP ETF)
Consumer Confidence (XLY ETF)
Housing Market Index (XHB)
Manufacturing PMI (XLI ETF)
Unemployment Rate (Inverse SPY as Proxy)
Federal Reserve QE/QT Activities (Fed Balance Sheet - WALCL)
How to Use the Indicator
Configuring the Indicator:
Open Settings: Click on the gear icon (⚙️) next to the indicator's name.
Inputs Tab: You'll find a list of all components with checkboxes and weight inputs.
Including/Excluding Components
Checkboxes: Check or uncheck the box next to each component to include or exclude it from the composite index.
Default State: By default, all components are included.
Adjusting Component Weights:
Weight Inputs: Next to each component's checkbox is a weight input field.
Default Weights: Pre-assigned based on economic significance but fully adjustable.
Custom Weights: Enter your desired weight for each component to reflect your analysis.
Threshold Settings:
Bearish Threshold: Default is -1.0. Adjust to set the level below which the indicator signals potential economic downturns.
Bullish Threshold: Default is 1.0. Adjust to set the level above which the indicator signals potential economic upswings.
Setting the Timeframe:
Weekly Timeframe Recommended: Due to the inclusion of the Fed's balance sheet data (updated weekly), it's best to use this indicator on a weekly chart.
Changing Timeframe: Select 1W (weekly) from the timeframe options at the top of the chart.
Interpreting the Indicator:
Composite Index Line
Plot: The blue line represents the composite economic indicator.
Movement: Observe how the line moves relative to the threshold lines.
Threshold Lines
Zero Line (Gray Dotted): Indicates the neutral point.
Bearish Threshold (Red Dashed): Crossing below suggests potential economic weakness.
Bullish Threshold (Green Dashed): Crossing above suggests potential economic strength.
Background Highlights
Red Background: When the composite index is below the bearish threshold.
Green Background: When the composite index is above the bullish threshold.
No Color: When the composite index is between the thresholds.
Understanding the Components
1. Yield Spread
Description: The difference between the 10-year and 3-month U.S. Treasury yields.
Economic Significance: An inverted yield curve (negative spread) has historically preceded recessions.
2. Copper/Gold Ratio
Description: The price ratio of copper to gold.
Economic Significance: Copper is tied to industrial demand; gold is a safe-haven asset. The ratio indicates risk sentiment.
3. High Yield Spread (HYG/IEF Ratio)
Description: Ratio of high-yield corporate bonds (HYG) to intermediate-term Treasury bonds (IEF).
Economic Significance: Reflects investor appetite for risk; widening spreads can signal credit stress.
4. Stock Market Performance (SPX)
Description: S&P 500 Index levels.
Economic Significance: Broad measure of U.S. equity market performance.
5. Bitcoin Performance (BLX)
Description: Bitcoin Liquid Index price.
Economic Significance: Represents risk appetite in speculative assets.
6. Crude Oil Prices (CL1!)
Description: Front-month crude oil futures price.
Economic Significance: Influences inflation and consumer spending.
7. Volatility Index (VIX)
Description: Market's expectation of volatility (fear gauge).
Economic Significance: High VIX indicates market uncertainty; inverted in the indicator to align directionally.
8. U.S. Dollar Index (DXY)
Description: Value of the U.S. dollar relative to a basket of foreign currencies.
Economic Significance: Affects international trade and commodity prices; inverted in the indicator.
9. Inflation Expectations (TIP ETF)
Description: iShares TIPS Bond ETF prices.
Economic Significance: Reflects market expectations of inflation.
10. Consumer Confidence (XLY ETF)
Description: Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR Fund prices.
Economic Significance: Proxy for consumer confidence and spending.
11. Housing Market Index (XHB)
Description: SPDR S&P Homebuilders ETF prices.
Economic Significance: Indicator of the housing market's health.
12. Manufacturing PMI (XLI ETF)
Description: Industrial Select Sector SPDR Fund prices.
Economic Significance: Proxy for manufacturing activity.
13. Unemployment Rate (Inverse SPY as Proxy)
Description: Inverse of the SPY ETF price.
Economic Significance: Represents unemployment trends; higher inverse SPY suggests higher unemployment.
14. Federal Reserve QE/QT Activities (Fed Balance Sheet - WALCL)
Description: Total assets held by the Federal Reserve.
Economic Significance: Indicates liquidity injections (QE) or withdrawals (QT); impacts interest rates and asset prices.
Customization and Advanced Usage
Adjusting Weights:
Purpose: Emphasize components you believe are more predictive or relevant.
Method: Increase or decrease the weight value next to each component.
Example: If you think the yield spread is particularly important, you might assign it a higher weight.
Disclaimer
This indicator is for educational and informational purposes only. It is not financial advice. Trading and investing involve risks, including possible loss of principal. Always conduct your own analysis and consult with a professional financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Judas Swing ICT 01 [TradingFinder] New York Midnight Opening M15🔵 Introduction
The Judas Swing (ICT Judas Swing) is a trading strategy developed by Michael Huddleston, also known as Inner Circle Trader (ICT). This strategy allows traders to identify fake market moves designed by smart money to deceive retail traders.
By concentrating on market structure, price action patterns, and liquidity flows, traders can align their trades with institutional movements and avoid common pitfalls. It is particularly useful in FOREX and stock markets, helping traders identify optimal entry and exit points while minimizing risks from false breakouts.
In today's volatile markets, understanding how smart money manipulates price action across sessions such as Asia, London, and New York is essential for success. The ICT Judas Swing strategy helps traders avoid common pitfalls by focusing on key movements during the opening time and range of each session, identifying breakouts and false breakouts.
By utilizing various time frames and improving risk management, this strategy enables traders to make more informed decisions and take advantage of significant market movements.
In the Judas Swing strategy, for a bullish setup, the price first touches the high of the 15-minute range of New York midnight and then the low. After that, the price returns upward, breaks the high, and if there’s a candlestick confirmation during the pullback, a buy signal is generated.
bearish setup, the price first touches the low of the range, then the high. With the price returning downward and breaking the low, if there’s a candlestick confirmation during the pullback to the low, a sell signal is generated.
🔵 How to Use
To effectively implement the Judas Swing strategy (ICT Judas Swing) in trading, traders must first identify the price range of the 15-minute window following New York midnight. This range, consisting of highs and lows, sets the stage for the upcoming movements in the London and New York sessions.
🟣 Bullish Setup
For a bullish setup, the price first moves to touch the high of the range, then the low, before returning upward to break the high. Following this, a pullback occurs, and if a valid candlestick confirmation (such as a reversal pattern) is observed, a buy signal is generated. This confirmation could indicate the presence of smart money supporting the bullish movement.
🟣 Bearish Setup
For a bearish setup, the process is the reverse. The price first touches the low of the range, then the high. Afterward, the price moves downward again and breaks the low. A pullback follows to the broken low, and if a bearish candlestick confirmation is seen, a sell signal is generated. This confirmation signals the continuation of the downward price movement.
Using the Judas Swing strategy enables traders to avoid fake breakouts and focus on strong market confirmations. The strategy is versatile, applying to FOREX, stocks, and other financial instruments, offering optimal trading opportunities through market structure analysis and time frame synchronization.
To execute this strategy successfully, traders must combine it with effective risk management techniques such as setting appropriate stop losses and employing optimal risk-to-reward ratios. While the Judas Swing is a powerful tool for predicting price movements, traders should remember that no strategy is entirely risk-free. Proper capital management remains a critical element of long-term success.
By mastering the ICT Judas Swing strategy, traders can better identify entry and exit points and avoid common traps from fake market movements, ultimately improving their trading performance.
🔵 Setting
Opening Range : High and Low identification time range.
Extend : The time span of the dashed line.
Permit : Signal emission time range.
🔵 Conclusion
The Judas Swing strategy (ICT Judas Swing) is a powerful tool in technical analysis that helps traders identify fake moves and align their trades with institutional actions, reducing risk and enhancing their ability to capitalize on market opportunities.
By leveraging key levels such as range highs and lows, fake breakouts, and candlestick confirmations, traders can enter trades with more precision. This strategy is applicable in forex, stocks, and other financial markets and, with proper risk management, can lead to consistent trading success.
Risk Reward CalculatorPlanning your trading is an important step that you must do before buying the stock.
Risk and Reward Calculator is an important tool for the trader.
With this calculator, you only need to put the capital for one trade and it will automaticaly put the plan for you. But if you want to enter your plan for buy and sell, you just need to check the button and enter the number. the risk and reward calculator will suggest position size based on the information.
The Steps to use Risk Reward Calculator
1. enter how many percentage you can accept if your analysis is wrong.
2. enter how much money you want to trade
3. it will automaticaly calculate the plan for you
4. you can change the reward
5. but if you want to enter your own number, you can check the box. After that enter the number you want for your new plan.
[ AlgoChart ] - Pearson Index CorrelationCorrelation Indicator (Pearson Index)
The correlation indicator measures the strength and direction of the relationship between two financial assets using the Pearson Index.
Correlation values range from +100 to -100, where:
+100 indicates perfect positive correlation, meaning the two assets tend to move in the same direction.
-100 indicates perfect negative correlation, where the two assets move in opposite directions.
The neutral zone ranges from +25% to -25%, suggesting that the asset movements are independent, with no clear correlation between them.
Interpreting Correlation Levels:
Correlation above +75%: The two assets tend to move similarly and in the same direction. This may indicate a risk of overexposure if both assets are traded in the same direction, as their movements will be very similar, increasing the likelihood of double losses or gains.
Correlation below -75%: The two assets tend to move similarly but in opposite directions. This correlation level can be useful for strategies that benefit from opposing movements between assets, such as trading pairs with inverse dynamics.
Practical Use of the Indicator:
Risk management: Use the indicator to monitor asset correlations before opening positions. High correlation may indicate you are duplicating exposure, as two highly correlated assets tend to move similarly. This helps avoid excessive risk and improves portfolio diversification.
Statistical Arbitrage: During moments of temporary decorrelation between two assets, the indicator can be used for statistical arbitrage strategies. In such cases, you can take advantage of the divergence by opening positions and closing them when the correlation returns to higher or positive levels, thus potentially profiting from the reconvergence of movements.
While the correlation indicator provides valuable insights into asset relationships, it is most effective when used in conjunction with other concepts and tools. On its own, it may offer limited relevance in trading decisions.
Gold IBH/IBL with IBM, Overnight Levels, OVM, and ONVPOCThe Initial Balance (IB) indicator for gold trading is a valuable tool for identifying key price levels and potential trade setups. Here's an overview of how it works:
Initial Balance Calculation
The Initial Balance for gold is calculated from 8:20 AM to 9:20 AM EST, coinciding with the COMEX open. This one-hour period establishes crucial reference points for the trading day.
Key Levels
The indicator displays several important price levels:
IB High: The highest price reached during the Initial Balance period
IB Low: The lowest price reached during the Initial Balance period
IB Midpoint: The average of the IB High and IB Low
These levels often serve as significant support and resistance areas, with many traders placing stop-losses around them.
Overnight Levels
In addition to the IB levels, the indicator shows overnight price action:
ONH: Overnight High
ONL: Overnight Low
ONM: Overnight Midpoint
Overnight VWAP: Volume Weighted Average Price from the overnight session
These overnight levels have a high probability of being tested during the COMEX trading session, making them valuable reference points for traders.
Trading Applications
Traders can use the IB and overnight levels for various purposes:
Setting profit targets
Identifying potential trade entry points
Managing risk by placing stop-losses at key levels
Gauging overall market sentiment and volatility
The levels established during both the Initial Balance and overnight sessions are likely to be touched during the COMEX trading session. This insight allows traders to make more informed decisions and enhances their trading strategies.
If you have more questions about the trading strategy, please DM me, and I can explain further. I also have probabilities of all these levels being broken during the COMEX trading hours, which gives us confidence to hold our trades to targets.
Understanding and utilizing these levels can provide traders with a competitive edge in gold trading, helping them make more informed decisions based on early market dynamics and overnight price action.
Consecutive Candle Detector Consecutive Candle Detector , can be used to highlight impulsive moves . 3 or more candles with the same colour in the same direction .
Set an alert notification to let you know price has moved in an impulsive way and is forming a pattern to sell or buy
[Becak] - Swing Point Retracement & Prediction" - Swing Point Retracement & Prediction," is designed to identify swing points in price action, calculate retracement levels, and predict potential future price levels. It's a technical analysis tool that can help traders identify potential support and resistance levels, as well as possible reversal points.
HOW IT WORK
Swing Point Detection:
The indicator uses the ta.pivothigh() and ta.pivotlow() functions to identify swing highs and lows within a specified lookback period.
Retracement Levels:
When a new swing point is detected, the indicator calculates a retracement level based on the user-defined retracement percentage. It draws a dashed blue line at the retracement level, along with a yellow circle and a label showing the price.
Swing Point Labeling:
Swing highs are marked with a green "H" label and the price, and Swing lows are marked with a red "L" label and the price.
Price Prediction:
Based on the most recent swing point, the indicator attempts to predict the next potential high or low. It draws a purple dashed line extending into the future, indicating the predicted price level.
HOW TO USE THIS INDICATOR:
adjust the input parameters:
"Swing Point Lookback": Determines how far back the indicator looks to identify swing points. A larger value will result in fewer, more significant swing points.
"Retracement %": Sets the percentage for calculating retracement levels. 50% is a common Fibonacci retracement level, but you can adjust this based on your trading strategy.
"Prediction Length": Determines how far into the future the prediction line extends.
Interpret the results:
Use the swing point labels (H and L) to quickly identify recent highs and lows. The blue dashed lines and yellow circles indicate potential support or resistance levels based on the retracement percentage. The purple dashed line shows a potential future price target. This can be used to set profit targets or identify potential reversal zones.
Combine with other analysis:
This indicator works best when combined with other forms of analysis, such as trend lines, moving averages, or candlestick patterns.
Use the retracement levels and predictions as potential entry or exit points, but always confirm with other indicators or price action signals.
2024 - Seasonality - Open to CloseScript Description:
This Pine Script is designed to visualise **seasonality** in the financial markets by calculating the **open-to-close percentage change** for each month of a selected asset. It creates a **heatmap** table to display the monthly performance over multiple years. The script provides detailed statistical summaries, including:
- **Average monthly percentage changes**
- **Standard deviation** of the changes
- **Percentage of months with positive returns**
The script also allows users to adjust colour intensities for positive and negative values, specify which year to start from, and skip specific months. Key metrics such as averages, standard deviations, and percentages of positive months can be toggled on or off based on user preferences. The result is a clear, visual representation of how an asset typically performs month by month, aiding in seasonality analysis.
US Recessions based on James Hamilton's JHDUSRGDPBRThis simple script uses James Hamilton's JHDUSRGDPBR indicator to colour areas representing recession periods in the US. Best used in conjunction with other macroeconomics indicators, like –as in the example– unemployment rates
Forex - Lot size calculatorThis indicator is specifically designed for Forex traders who need a convenient lot size calculator directly on their charts. It allows users to input their account balance, risk percentage, and stop-loss distance in pips to easily determine the appropriate lot size for a given trade, ensuring effective risk management.
Key Features:
Lot Size Calculation: Automatically calculates the lot size based on user-defined inputs: account balance, risk percentage, and stop-loss distance.
Error Handling: The indicator only works with Forex pairs. If applied to non-Forex assets, a clear and prominent red error message will appear in the bottom-right corner of the chart, reminding the user that this script is intended exclusively for Forex trading.
Simple Visualization: The calculated lot size is displayed in an easy-to-read table directly on the chart.
How to Use:
Add the indicator to a Forex chart.
Enter your account balance, risk percentage, and stop-loss pips in the input fields.
The indicator will display the calculated lot size for the chosen Forex pair.
Important Notes:
This script is intended only for Forex assets. If used on other instruments (e.g., stocks, crypto, indices), an error message will be shown.
Always validate lot sizes with your broker, as there can be slight variations depending on broker specifications and leverage settings.
Magic Touch Line DetectorSummary of the Magic Touch Line Detector Script:
Purpose:
The Magic Touch Line Detector script is designed to identify significant price points in the market by analyzing candlestick wicks and bodies. It plots lines based on the detected wicks, classifying them as either ascending or descending. The script tracks how frequently price touches these lines and highlights the "most touched" lines for both ascending and descending categories. This script is particularly useful for traders looking to identify key price levels and trends over time.
How It Works:
Wick and Body Detection:
The script starts by analyzing the highs and lows of candlestick wicks relative to their bodies over a user-defined lookback period. A significant wick is identified based on a specified wick-to-body ratio and a deviation threshold measured against the Average True Range (ATR).
Line Creation:
Once a significant upper or lower wick is detected, the script calculates unconventional highs and lows (i.e., points that differ from the absolute highs and lows of the lookback period). Lines are then drawn from these unconventional price points using the slope between the detected wick and the current bar, ensuring a smooth extension.
Line Refinement and Touch Tracking:
As new bars are added, the script tracks how often the price touches the previously drawn lines. The number of touches each line receives is counted and updated in real-time, and the script ensures that only the most touched line is highlighted.
Highlighting and Labeling:
For each category (ascending and descending), the most touched line is identified and given special highlighting with thicker lines and different colors. Labels are also generated to show the number of touches that the most touched line has received. Old labels are cleared to avoid clutter.
Explanation of the Settings:
Lookback Period for Highs and Lows:
This sets the number of bars the script will use to detect the highest highs and lowest lows. A larger lookback period gives the script a broader context to work with, potentially identifying more significant price points.
Minimum Wick-to-Body Ratio:
This ratio determines what qualifies as a "significant" wick. It compares the length of the wick to the body of the candle. A higher ratio means that only wicks that are much longer than the candle body will be considered significant.
Price Deviation Threshold (in ATR multiples):
This setting controls how much price deviation from the ATR is required for a wick to be deemed significant. It acts as a filter to reduce noise by ignoring smaller wicks that are within normal price movements.
Line Touch Tolerance Factor (ATR multiple):
When checking if a price touches a line, the script uses this setting to define how close the price must be to the line to count as a "touch." This tolerance is a multiplier of the ATR, allowing for some flexibility in what is considered a touch.
Price Difference Threshold:
This defines the minimum price difference required to plot a line. If the price difference between the high and low of a detected wick is too small, the script can avoid plotting a line for insignificant moves.
Slope Adjustment Multiplier:
This multiplier adjusts the slope of the lines that are drawn from detected price points. It affects the length and angle of the lines, allowing users to control how far and at what angle the lines should extend across the chart.
Customization Options:
Show Ascending/Descending Lines:
These toggles allow users to decide whether ascending (bullish) or descending (bearish) lines should be shown on the chart.
Line Color, Style, and Width (for Ascending and Descending Lines):
These settings give users control over how the lines appear visually. You can customize the color, style (solid, dashed, dotted), and width of both ascending and descending lines.
Most Touched Line Color:
Users can define a different color for the "most touched" line, which is automatically identified by the script. This setting helps highlight the line that has been interacted with the most by the price.
How to Use the Script:
Setup the Lookback Period and Deviation Filters:
Start by setting the lookback period and the filters for wick-to-body ratio and deviation threshold. These settings help control the script's sensitivity to market movements.
Refine the Tolerance and Slope:
Adjust the line touch tolerance and slope adjustment multiplier to control how closely the script tracks price touches and how the lines are extended on the chart.
Customize Visuals:
Once the lines are being drawn, customize the colors, styles, and widths to ensure the lines are easy to read on your chart. You can also decide if you want to display both ascending and descending lines or focus on just one.
By setting up the script based on these inputs and parameters, you can get a real-time view of significant price levels and how often the price interacts with them, helping you make more informed trading decisions.
Bitcoin Cycle Master [InvestorUnknown]The "Bitcoin Cycle Master" indicator is designed for in-depth, long-term analysis of Bitcoin's price cycles, using several key metrics to track market behavior and forecast potential price tops and bottoms. The indicator integrates multiple moving averages and on-chain metrics, offering a comprehensive view of Bitcoin’s historical and projected performance. Each of its components plays a crucial role in identifying critical cycle points:
Top Cap: This is a multiple of the Average Cap, which is calculated as the cumulative sum of Bitcoin’s price (price has a longer history than Market Cap) divided by its age in days. Top Cap serves as an upper boundary for speculative price peaks, multiplied by a factor of 35.
Time_dif() =>
date = ta.valuewhen(bar_index == 0, time, 0)
sec_r = math.floor(date / 1000)
min_r = math.floor(sec_r / 60)
h_r = math.floor(min_r / 60)
d_r = math.floor(h_r / 24)
// Launch of BTC
start = timestamp(2009, 1, 3, 00, 00)
sec_rb = math.floor(start / 1000)
min_rb = math.floor(sec_rb / 60)
h_rb = math.floor(min_rb / 60)
d_rb = math.floor(h_rb / 24)
difference = d_r - d_rb
AverageCap() =>
ta.cum(btc_price) / (Time_dif() + btc_age)
TopCap() =>
// To calculate Top Cap, it is first necessary to calculate Average Cap, which is the cumulative sum of Market Cap divided by the age of the market in days.
// This creates a constant time-based moving average of market cap.
// Once Average cap is calculated, those values are multiplied by 35. The result is Top Cap.
// For AverageCap the BTC price was used instead of the MC because it has more history
// (the result should have minimal if any deviation since MC would have to be divided by Supply)
AverageCap() * 35
Delta Top: Defined as the difference between the Realized Cap and the Average Cap, this metric is further multiplied by a factor of 7. Delta Top provides a historically reliable signal for Bitcoin market cycle tops.
DeltaTop() =>
// Delta Cap = Realized Cap - Average Cap
// Average Cap is explained in the Top Cap section above.
// Once Delta Cap is calculated, its values over time are then multiplied by 7. The result is Delta Top.
(RealizedPrice() - AverageCap()) * 7
Terminal Price: Derived from Coin Days Destroyed, Terminal Price normalizes Bitcoin’s historical price behavior by its finite supply (21 million bitcoins), offering an adjusted price forecast as all bitcoins approach being mined. The original formula for Terminal Price didn’t produce expected results, hence the calculation was adjusted slightly.
CVDD() =>
// CVDD stands for Cumulative Value Coin Days Destroyed.
// Coin Days Destroyed is a term used for bitcoin to identify a value of sorts to UTXO’s (unspent transaction outputs). They can be thought of as coins moving between wallets.
(MCR - TV) / 21000000
TerminalPrice() =>
// Theory:
// Before Terminal price is calculated, it is first necessary to calculate Transferred Price.
// Transferred price takes the sum of > Coin Days Destroyed and divides it by the existing supply of bitcoin and the time it has been in circulation.
// The value of Transferred Price is then multiplied by 21. Remember that there can only ever be 21 million bitcoin mined.
// This creates a 'terminal' value as the supply is all mined, a kind of reverse supply adjustment.
// Instead of heavily weighting later behavior, it normalizes historical behavior to today. By normalizing by 21, a terminal value is created
// Unfortunately the theoretical calculation didn't produce results it should, in pinescript.
// Therefore the calculation was slightly adjusted/improvised
TransferredPrice = CVDD() / (Supply * math.log(btc_age))
tp = TransferredPrice * 210000000 * 3
Realized Price: Calculated as the Market Cap Realized divided by the current supply of Bitcoin, this metric shows the average value of Bitcoin based on the price at which coins last moved, giving a market consensus price for long-term holders.
CVDD (Cumulative Value Coin Days Destroyed): This on-chain metric analyzes Bitcoin’s UTXOs (unspent transaction outputs) and the velocity of coins moving between wallets. It highlights key market dynamics during prolonged accumulation or distribution phases.
Balanced Price: The Balanced Price is the difference between the Realized Price and the Terminal Price, adjusted by Bitcoin's supply constraints. This metric provides a useful signal for identifying oversold market conditions during bear markets.
BalancedPrice() =>
// It is calculated by subtracting Transferred Price from Realized Price
RealizedPrice() - (TerminalPrice() / (21 * 3))
Each component can be toggled individually, allowing users to focus on specific aspects of Bitcoin’s price cycle and derive meaningful insights from its long-term behavior. The combination of these models provides a well-rounded view of both speculative peaks and long-term value trends.
Important consideration:
Top Cap did historically provide reliable signals for cycle peaks, however it may not be a relevant indication of peaks in the future.
COT INDEX v2The **Commitment of Traders (COT)** report is a valuable tool for analyzing market sentiment, providing insight into the positions of futures traders at the close of the Tuesday trading session. Prepared by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), the report is published every Friday at 3:30 p.m. Eastern Time, and the data is freely available on the CFTC website.
Traders are categorized into three groups: **Commercial Traders**, **Non-Commercial Traders** (large speculators), and **Nonreportable** (small speculators). This information can be applied to charts to visualize the direction of the positions held by major market participants and to receive key COT signals.
The **COT index** ranges from 0% to 100%, reflecting market sentiment over the past 26 weeks. Extreme values, below 25% or above 75%, represent bearish or bullish sentiment, respectively. However, it is important to note that the COT index is not a timing tool but rather an indicator of the overall sentiment of major market players.
For a more tailored analysis, you can adjust the period for index calculation, customize chart styles, and highlight extreme areas.
Custom Text BoxThis is an indicator to have text anchored in any symbol or chart, keep your ules at sight so is easy for you to follow, have your Bias too.
Flat Market Range Pro [CHE]Flat Market Range Pro Indicator
Introduction
Hey there! 👋
Welcome to our overview of the Flat Market Range Pro indicator. Whether you're new to trading or a seasoned pro, this tool is designed to help you spot those flat market conditions where prices are chilling within a certain range. By highlighting these consolidation zones and potential breakout points, it offers some pretty neat insights to boost your trading strategies. Let’s dive in and explore how this indicator can make your trading journey smoother and more informed!
How It Works
The Flat Market Range Pro indicator is all about understanding the ebb and flow of the market. Here's a simple breakdown:
Range Detection:
Range Period (range_period): This sets the number of bars (think of them as time slices) the indicator looks back to find the highest highs and lowest lows. It’s like setting the scope for your search.
Minimum Candles in Range (min_candles_in_range): Ensures that there are enough candles (price bars) within the range to make the detection meaningful. No point in highlighting a range if it’s too short, right?
Adaptive Moving Average (AMA):
Think of AMA as the indicator’s way of staying flexible. It smooths out the price data to better spot trends within those flat ranges. Don’t worry, it’s working behind the scenes and won’t clutter your chart.
Breakout Detection:
When the price decides to break free from its cozy range, the indicator flags it. It waits for confirmation to make sure it’s not just a fleeting move, adding a layer of reliability to your signals.
Visualization:
Flat Market Zones: These are shaded areas that highlight where the price has been consolidating.
Support and Resistance Lines: Automatically drawn lines that mark key price levels, helping you see where the price might bounce or break through.
Trade Signals: Arrows popping up to show potential buy or sell opportunities when breakouts occur.
Breaking It Down
1. Detecting the Range
The indicator scans through the past range_period bars to find the highest and lowest prices. This creates a dynamic range that adjusts as new data comes in. It’s like having a smart assistant keeping an eye on where the action is happening.
2. The Role of AMA
Even though you won’t see AMA on your chart, it plays a crucial role. It helps the indicator adapt to changing market conditions by smoothing out the data, making sure the breakout signals are spot-on and not just random noise.
3. Spotting Breakouts
A breakout happens when the price moves beyond the established range. The indicator marks these moments with clear arrows, so you know when it might be a good time to jump in or out of a trade. Plus, it waits for confirmation to ensure these signals are solid.
4. Visualizing Flat Markets
Shaded boxes highlight the areas where the price has been consolidating, making it easy to see when the market is flat. Support and resistance lines are drawn automatically, and you can even customize how they look to match your personal style.
Customize It Your Way
One of the best things about the Flat Market Range Pro indicator is how customizable it is. Here’s what you can tweak:
Range Settings:
Adjust the range_period to fit different timeframes.
Set the min_candles_in_range to ensure the ranges you see are meaningful.
Moving Average Settings:
Change the ma_length and ma_lookback to fine-tune how the AMA responds to price movements.
Visual Tweaks:
Pick your favorite colors and transparency levels for the shaded zones.
Choose whether to display support and resistance lines and extend them indefinitely if you like.
Toggle trade arrows and labels on or off based on what you find most helpful.
Organizing these settings into logical groups makes it super easy to customize the indicator just the way you like it.
Real-World Examples
1. Spotting Consolidation: Imagine you’re watching a stock that’s been moving sideways for a while. The indicator highlights this consolidation with shaded boxes and support/resistance lines, giving you a clear picture of where the price is hanging out.
2. Trading Breakouts: When the price finally decides to break free from the range, the indicator pops up buy or sell arrows. This helps you catch the move early, whether you’re looking to enter a new trade or exit an existing one.
3. Making Informed Decisions: With clear visual cues and reliable signals, you can make smarter trading decisions without getting overwhelmed by too much information.
Behind the Scenes: Technical Insights
For those curious about the nuts and bolts, here’s a peek into how the Flat Market Range Pro indicator is built:
Efficient Range Calculation:
Uses loops to scan through the specified range_period, ensuring accurate detection of high and low points.
Adaptive Logic with AMA:
Incorporates the Simple Moving Average (SMA) to create a threshold coefficient, making the indicator responsive to market changes.
Clear Visualization:
Utilizes box.new and label.new for intuitive visual representations of flat markets.
Employs plotshape and plot to display breakout signals clearly on your chart.
Optimized Performance:
Avoids plotting unnecessary elements like AMA, keeping your chart clean and focused on what matters.
Why You’ll Love It
The Flat Market Range Pro indicator brings a lot to the table:
Accurate Range Detection:
Pinpoints consolidation zones by analyzing historical highs and lows.
Flexible and Adaptive:
AMA ensures the indicator stays responsive to different market conditions.
User-Friendly Visuals:
Shaded zones, support/resistance lines, and clear trade signals make your chart easy to understand at a glance.
Highly Customizable:
Tailor the settings to match your trading style and preferences.
Reliable Signals:
Confirmation mechanisms help reduce false signals, giving you more confidence in your trades.
Wrapping It Up
The Flat Market Range Pro indicator is a fantastic tool for anyone looking to navigate flat or consolidating markets with ease. By combining precise range detection, adaptive logic, and clear visual cues, it helps you identify consolidation phases and seize breakout opportunities effectively. Its customizable features ensure that it fits seamlessly into your trading strategy, whether you’re just starting out or have years of experience under your belt.
For more details, a step-by-step guide on using the indicator, and access to the full Pine Script code, check out the accompanying documentation or reach out for support. Happy trading! 🌟
Questions and Further Information
Got questions or need a hand with the Flat Market Range Pro indicator? Feel free to reach out! Whether you’re curious about how it works or need tips on customizing it for your trading style, we’re here to help. Also, give the indicator a try on different charts to see how it performs in various market conditions. Let’s make your trading experience better together!
Best regards
Chervolino
This script was inspired by: Trend Regularity Adaptive Moving Average
and
Range Detection by HasanRifat
ADX Trend Strength Analyzer█ OVERVIEW
This script implements the Average Directional Index (ADX), a powerful tool used to measure the strength of market trends. It works alongside the Directional Movement Index (DMI), which breaks down the directional market pressure into bullish (+DI) and bearish (-DI) components. The purpose of the ADX is to indicate when the market is in a strong trend, without specifying the direction. This indicator can be especially useful for identifying market trends early and validating trading strategies based on trend-following systems.
The ADX component in this script is based on two key parameters:
ADX Smoothing Length (adxlen), which determines the degree of smoothing for the trend strength.
DI Length (dilen), which defines the look-back period for calculating the directional index values.
Additionally, a horizontal line is plotted at the 30 level, providing a widely used threshold that signifies when a trend is considered strong (above 30).
█ CONCEPTS
Directional Movement (DM): The core idea behind this indicator is the calculation of price movement in terms of bullish and bearish forces. By evaluating the change in highs and lows, the script distinguishes between bullish movement (+DM) and bearish movement (-DM). These values are normalized by dividing them by the True Range (TR), creating the +DI and -DI values.
True Range (TR): The True Range is calculated using the Average True Range (ATR) formula, and it serves to smooth out volatility, ensuring that short-term fluctuations don't distort the long-term trend signal.
ADX Calculation: The ADX is derived from the absolute difference between the +DI and -DI. By smoothing this difference and normalizing it, the ADX is able to measure the overall strength of the trend without regard to whether the market is moving up or down. A rising ADX indicates increasing trend strength, while a falling ADX signals weakening trends.
█ METHODOLOGY
Directional Movement Calculation: The script first determines the upward and downward price movement by comparing changes in the high and low prices. If the upward movement is greater than the downward movement, it registers a bullish signal and vice versa for bearish movement.
True Range Adjustment: The script then applies a smoothing function to normalize these movements by dividing them by the True Range (ATR). This ensures that the trend signal is based on relative, rather than absolute, price movements.
ADX Signal Generation: The final step is to calculate the ADX by applying the Relative Moving Average (RMA) to the difference between +DI and -DI. This produces the ADX value, which is plotted in red, making it easy to visualize shifts in market momentum.
Threshold Line: A blue horizontal line is plotted at 30, which serves as a key reference point. When the ADX is above this line, it indicates a strong trend, whether bullish or bearish.
█ HOW TO USE
Trend Strength: Traders typically use the 30 level as a critical threshold. When the ADX is above 30, it signifies a strong trend, making it a favorable environment for trend-following strategies. Conversely, ADX values below 30 suggest a weak or non-trending market.
+DI and -DI Relationship: The indicator also provides insight into whether the trend is bullish or bearish. When +DI is greater than -DI, the market is considered bullish. When -DI is greater than +DI, the market is considered bearish. While this script focuses on the ADX value itself, the underlying +DI and -DI help interpret the trend direction.
Market Conditions: This indicator is effective in trending markets, but not ideal for choppy or sideways conditions. Traders can use it to determine the best entry and exit points when trends are strong, or to avoid trading in periods of low volatility.
Combining with Other Indicators: The ADX is commonly used in conjunction with oscillators like RSI or moving averages, to confirm the trend strength and avoid false signals.
█ METHOD VARIANTS
This script applies the standard approach for calculating the ADX, but could be adapted with the following variants:
Different Timeframes: The script could be modified to calculate ADX values across higher or lower timeframes, depending on the trader's strategy.
Custom Thresholds: Instead of using the default 30 threshold, traders could adjust the horizontal line to suit their own risk tolerance or market conditions.
Inamdar Wave - Winning Wave
The **"Inamdar Wave"**, also known as the **"Winning Wave"**, is a cutting-edge market indicator designed to help traders ride the waves of momentum and capitalize on high-probability opportunities. With its unique ability to adapt to market shifts, the Inamdar Wave ensures you're always in sync with the market's most profitable moves, making it an indispensable tool for traders looking for consistent success.
### Key Features of the "Inamdar Wave":
1. **Dynamic Market Movement Detection**:
- The **Inamdar Wave** tracks the market’s momentum and identifies clear waves of movement, allowing traders to catch both upswings and downswings with ease.
- This indicator dynamically adjusts based on price action and volatility, ensuring you're always aligned with the market’s natural flow.
- Whether the market is trending or ranging, the **Inamdar Wave** keeps you on the right path, helping you surf the market's waves effortlessly.
2. **Highly Profitable Buy/Sell Signals**:
- The **Inamdar Wave** generates precise buy and sell signals that guide you to the most profitable entry and exit points.
- Its built-in filters ensure you avoid market noise, focusing only on high-probability trades that maximize your potential for profit.
- You’ll confidently enter trades at the start of each new wave, ensuring you ride the momentum for maximum gains.
3. **Visual Wave Highlighting**:
- Color-coded zones help you easily spot bullish (upward) and bearish (downward) waves.
- Green highlights signal upward waves, while red zones indicate downward waves, making it visually simple to recognize the current market direction.
- This feature allows for quick decision-making and a clear understanding of the market's direction at a glance.
4. **Tailored for Any Market Condition**:
- Whether you’re trading a calm or highly volatile market, the **Inamdar Wave** adapts to the changing conditions, ensuring consistent performance across all environments.
- Its flexibility allows it to work seamlessly with any asset class—stocks, forex, crypto, or commodities—making it an all-in-one solution for traders.
- The **Inamdar Wave**'s real-time adjustments keep it relevant regardless of market conditions or timeframes.
5. **Real-Time Alerts**:
- Get instant alerts when a new wave begins, whether it's a buy, sell, or wave reversal.
- You’ll never miss out on a profitable opportunity with real-time notifications that keep you one step ahead of the market.
- These alerts help you act quickly, maximizing the potential of every market movement.
### Inputs:
- **Wave Period**: Customize the sensitivity of the wave detection with adjustable periods to suit your trading style.
- **Signal Source**: Choose from different price sources to fine-tune how the **Inamdar Wave** reacts to market movements.
- **Signal Strength**: Control the sensitivity of wave detection to focus on only the strongest and most profitable moves.
- **Buy/Sell Signals**: Easily toggle buy/sell signals on your chart for enhanced clarity.
- **Wave Highlighting**: Turn visual wave highlights on or off, depending on your preference.
### Use Case:
The **Inamdar Wave** is perfect for traders looking to capture the most profitable waves in any market. Whether you're a short-term scalper or a long-term trend follower, this indicator keeps you in sync with the market’s natural rhythm, ensuring that you're always riding the winning wave. With its powerful buy/sell signals and dynamic wave detection, you'll be better positioned to take advantage of market momentum and secure consistent profits.
In conclusion, the **"Inamdar Wave"** is not just another indicator—it’s your key to riding the market’s most profitable waves with precision and confidence. By following the signals and staying in tune with the market’s natural flow, you’ll be able to maximize your gains and minimize your risks, ensuring a successful trading journey.
US Sentiment Index [CryptoSea]The US Sentiment Index is an advanced analytical tool designed for traders seeking to uncover patterns, correlations, and potential leading signals across key market tickers. This indicator surpasses traditional sentiment measures, providing a data-driven approach that offers deeper insights compared to conventional indices like the Fear and Greed Index.
Key Features
Multi-Ticker Analysis: Integrates data from a diverse set of market indicators, including gold, S&P 500, U.S. Dollar Index, Volatility Index, and more, to create a comprehensive view of market sentiment.
Customisable Sensitivity Settings: Allows users to adjust the moving average period to fine-tune the sensitivity of sentiment calculations, adapting the tool to various market conditions and trading strategies.
Detailed Sentiment Scaling: Utilises a 0-100 scale to quantify sentiment strength, with colour gradients that visually represent bearish, neutral, and bullish conditions, aiding in quick decision-making.
Below is an example where the sentiment index can give leading signals. We see a first sign of wekaness in the index as it drops below its moving average. Shortly after we see it dip below our median 50 level, another sign of weakeness. We see the SPX price action to take a hit following the sentiment index decrease.
Tickers Used and Their Impact on Sentiment
The impact of each ticker on sentiment can be bullish or bearish, depending on their behaviour:
Gold (USGD): Typically seen as a safe-haven asset, rising gold prices often indicate increased market fear or bearish sentiment. Conversely, falling gold prices can signal reduced fear and a shift towards bullish sentiment in riskier assets.
S&P 500 (SPX): A rising S&P 500 is usually a sign of bullish sentiment, reflecting confidence in economic growth and market stability. A decline, however, suggests bearish sentiment and a potential move towards risk aversion.
U.S. Dollar Index (DXY): A strengthening U.S. Dollar can be a sign of fear as investors seek safety in the dollar, which is bearish for risk assets. A weakening dollar, on the other hand, can signal bullish sentiment as capital flows into riskier assets.
Volatility Index (VIX): Known as the "fear gauge," a rising VIX indicates increased market fear and bearish sentiment. A falling VIX suggests a calm, bullish market environment.
Junk Bonds (JNK): Rising junk bond prices often reflect bullish sentiment as investors take on more risk for higher returns. Conversely, falling junk bond prices signal increased fear and bearish sentiment.
Long-Term Treasury Bonds (TLT): Higher prices for long-term treasuries usually indicate a flight to safety, reflecting bearish sentiment. Lower prices suggest a shift towards riskier assets, indicating bullish sentiment.
Financial Sector ETF (XLF): Strength in the financial sector is typically bullish, indicating confidence in economic conditions. Weakness in this sector can reflect bearish sentiment and concerns about financial stability.
Unemployment Rate (USUR): A rising unemployment rate is a bearish signal, indicating economic weakness. A declining unemployment rate is bullish, reflecting economic strength and job growth.
U.S. Interest Rates (USINTR, USIRYY): Higher interest rates can be bearish, as they increase borrowing costs and reduce spending. Lower rates are generally bullish, promoting economic growth and risk-taking.
How it Works
Sentiment Calculation: The US Sentiment Index combines data from multiple tickers, calculating sentiment by scaling the distance from their respective moving averages. Each asset's behaviour is interpreted within the context of market fear or greed, providing a refined sentiment reading that adjusts dynamically.
Market Strength Analysis: When the index is above 50 and also above its moving average, it indicates particularly strong or bullish market conditions, driven by greed. Conversely, when the index is below 50 and under its moving average, it signals bearish or weak market conditions, associated with fear.
Correlation and Pattern Detection: The indicator analyses correlations among the included assets to detect patterns that might signal potential market movements, giving traders a leading edge over simpler sentiment measures.
Adaptive Background Colouring: Utilises a colour gradient that dynamically adjusts based on sentiment values, highlighting extreme fear, neutral, and extreme greed levels directly on the chart.
Flexible Display Options: Offers settings to toggle the moving average plot and adjust its period, giving users the ability to tailor the indicator's sensitivity and display to their specific needs.
In this example below, we can see the Sentiment rise above the Moving Average (MA). Price action goes on to follow this, although there is an instance where it dips below the MA, it quickly rises back above again as a sign of strength.
Another way you can use this index is by simply using the MA, if its trending up, we know the macro sentiment is bullish.
Application
Data-Driven Insights: Offers traders a detailed, data-driven approach to sentiment analysis, incorporating a broad spectrum of market indicators to deliver actionable insights.
Pattern Recognition: Helps identify patterns and correlations that may lead to market reversals or continuations, providing a nuanced view that goes beyond simple sentiment gauges.
Enhanced Decision-Making: Equips traders with a robust tool to validate trading strategies and make informed decisions based on comprehensive sentiment analysis.
The US Sentiment Index by is an essential addition to the toolkit of any trader looking to navigate market complexities with precision and confidence. Its advanced features and data-driven approach offer unparalleled insights into market sentiment, setting it apart from conventional sentiment indicators.
Seasonal Tendency (fadi)Seasonal tendency refers to the patterns in stock market performance that tend to repeat at certain times of the year. These patterns can be influenced by various factors such as economic cycles, investor behavior, and historical trends. For example, the stock market often performs better during certain months like November to April, a phenomenon known as the “best six months” strategy. Conversely, months like September are historically weaker.
These tendencies can help investors and traders make more informed decisions by anticipating potential market movements based on historical data. However, it’s important to remember that past performance doesn’t guarantee future results.
This indicator calculates the average daily move patterns over the specified number of years and then removes any outliers.
Settings
Number of years : The number of years to use in the calculation. The number needs to be large enough to create a pattern, but not so large that it may distort the price move.
Seasonality line color : The plotted line color.
Border : Show or hide the border and the color to use.
Grid : Show or hide the grid and the color to use.
Outlier Factor : The Outlier Factor is used to identify unusual price moves that are not typical and neutralize them to avoid skewing the predictions. It is the amount of deviation calculated using the total median price move.
Shifted Symbol Overlay with OffsetThe Shifted Symbol Overlay Indicator is a custom TradingView indicator designed to overlay the price data of one stock or asset over another, allowing for direct visual comparison. This is particularly useful for comparing the performance of two assets over different time periods. The indicator enables you to shift the data from one asset either forward or backward in time, making it easier to compare historical data from one stock with more recent data from another. The indicator supports shifting both to the right (future periods) and to the left (earlier periods), helping traders and analysts explore correlations or divergences between two financial instruments.
The indicator also includes a normalization option that adjusts the scale of the two assets, so you can compare them even if they have vastly different price levels. This is useful when you're interested in relative performance rather than the absolute price values.
Precision Cloud by Dr ABIRAM SIVPRASAD
Precision Cloud by Dr. Abhiram Sivprasad"
The " Precision Cloud" script, created by Dr. Abhiram Sivprasad, is a multi-purpose technical analysis tool designed for Forex, Bitcoin, Commodities, Stocks, and Options trading. It focuses on identifying key levels of support and resistance, combined with moving averages (EMAs) and central pivot ranges (CPR), to help traders make informed trading decisions. The script also provides a visual "light system" to highlight potential long or short positions, aiding traders in entering trades with a clear strategy.
Key Features of the Script:
Central Pivot Range (CPR):
The CPR is calculated as the average of the high, low, and close of the price, while the top and bottom pivots are derived from it. These act as dynamic support and resistance zones.
The script can plot daily CPR, support, and resistance levels (S1/R1, S2/R2, S3/R3) as well as optional weekly and monthly pivot points.
The CPR helps identify whether the price is in a bullish, bearish, or neutral zone.
Support and Resistance Levels:
Three daily support (S1, S2, S3) and resistance (R1, R2, R3) levels are plotted based on the CPR.
These levels act as potential reversal or breakout points, allowing traders to make decisions around key price points.
EMA (Exponential Moving Averages):
The script includes two customizable EMAs (default periods of 9 and 21). You can choose the source for these EMAs (open, high, low, or close).
The crossovers between EMA1 and EMA2 help identify potential trend reversals or momentum shifts.
Lagging Span:
The Lagging Span is plotted with a customizable displacement (default 26), which helps identify overall trend direction by comparing past price with the current price.
Light System:
A color-coded table provides a visual representation of market conditions:
Green indicates bullish signals (e.g., price above CPR, EMAs aligning positively).
Red indicates bearish signals (e.g., price below CPR, EMAs aligning negatively).
Yellow indicates neutral conditions, where there is no clear trend direction.
The system includes lights for CPR, EMA, Long Position, and Short Position, helping traders quickly assess whether the market is in a buying or selling opportunity.
Trading Strategies Using the Script
1. Forex Trading:
Trend-Following with EMAs: Use the EMA crossovers to capture trending markets in Forex. A green light for the EMA combined with a price above the daily or weekly pivot levels suggests a buying opportunity. Conversely, if the EMA light turns red and price falls below the CPR levels, look for shorting opportunities.
Reversal Strategy: Watch for price action near the daily S1/R1 levels. If price holds above S1 and the EMA is green, this could signal a reversal from support. The same applies to resistance levels.
2. Bitcoin Trading:
Momentum Breakouts: Bitcoin is known for its sharp moves. The script helps to identify breakouts from the CPR range. If the price breaks above the TC (Top Central Pivot) with bullish EMA alignment (green light), it could signal a strong uptrend.
Lagging Span Confirmation: Use the Lagging Span to confirm the trend direction. For Bitcoin's volatility, when the lagging span shows consistent alignment with the price and CPR, it often indicates continuation of the trend.
3. Commodities Trading:
Support/Resistance Bounce: Commodities such as gold and oil often react well to pivot levels. Look for price bouncing off S1 or R1 for potential entry points. A green CPR light along with price above the pivot range supports a bullish bias.
EMA Pullback Strategy: If price moves in a strong trend and pulls back to one of the EMAs, a green EMA light suggests re-entry on a pullback. If the EMA light is red and price breaks below the BC (Bottom Central Pivot), short positions could be considered.
4. Stocks Trading:
Long Position Strategy: For stocks, use the combination of the long position light turning green (price above TC and EMA alignment) as a signal to buy. This could be especially useful for riding bullish trends in growth stocks or during earnings seasons when volatility is high.
Short Position Strategy: If the short position light turns green, indicating price below BC and EMAs turning bearish, this could be an ideal setup for shorting overvalued stocks or during market corrections.
5. Options Trading:
Directional Bias for Options: The light system is particularly helpful for options traders. A green long position light provides a clear signal to buy call options, while a green short position light supports buying puts.
Pivot Breakout Strategy: Buy options (calls or puts) when the price breaks above resistance or below support, with confirmation from the CPR and EMA lights. This helps capture the sharp moves required for profitable options trades.
Conclusion
The S&R Precision Cloud script is a versatile tool for traders across markets, including Forex, Bitcoin, Commodities, Stocks, and Options. It combines critical technical elements like pivot ranges, support and resistance levels, EMAs, and the Lagging Span to provide a clear picture of market conditions. The intuitive light system helps traders quickly assess whether to take a long or short position, making it an excellent tool for both new and experienced traders.
The S&R Precision Cloud by Dr. Abhiram Sivprasad script is a technical analysis tool designed to assist traders in making informed decisions. However, it should not be interpreted as financial or investment advice. The signals generated by the script are based on historical price data and technical indicators, which are inherently subject to market fluctuations and do not guarantee future performance.
Trading in Forex, Bitcoin, Commodities, Stocks, and Options carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. You should be aware of the risks involved and be willing to accept them before engaging in such activities. Always conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor or professional before making any trading decisions.
The creators of this script are not responsible for any financial losses that may occur from its use. Past performance is not indicative of future results, and the use of this script is at your own risk.
