Ethereum - How we conduct Technical analysisTechnically I refer specifically to ETH in this post but this analysis should help guide analysis on other securities, crypto or otherwise. I hope the chart is self explanatory and if not please ask. We are basically looking for bullish divergences which I have highlighted using angled lines and also utilizing the Fibonacci tool. Please look up videos on youtube if you don't know how to use it. However I have provided arrow tipped lines showing how it can be used to predict retracement as well as extension levels. In placing the 0 and 100 points *beginning and end of Fibonacci spread) we basically need to look for and identify our impulse wave, a clear movement in any direction, up or down. Lastly never forget to utilize volume, we can see from the horizontal bars towards the right of the screen that the path of least resistance is up. Thanks for reading and I hope this helps.
Divergence
OBV has not confirmed breakout.OBV is still within a range compared to price indicating further downside may be in store in the short term. However, looking at the broader picture, I believe a breakout upward is still likely by May as OBV and MACD are setting higher lows.
With that said, if OBV breaks the range resistance and the downward triangle to the upside, this would be a good long entry point in my opinion.
This is for educational purposes only. I only pretend to know what I'm talking about as this is a complex subject.
EURUSD 1D AWESOME OSCILLATOR (AO) STRATEGYLong Trade
AO below Zero Line
AO creates a Low
AO then creates a Higher Low
ENTER after AO bar closes Green
Short Trade
AO above Zero Line
AO creates High
AO then creates a Lower High
ENTER after AO bar closes Red
Stop Loss is 1.5 x ATR
Take Profit is 1 x ATR
1 - Trade Management
2 - Enter two trades.
3 - SL for both trades will be 1.5 x ATR.
4 - 1st trade TP will be 1 x ATR.
5 - No TP on 2nd trade – letting profit run and adjusting SL to follow price.
6 - When 1st trade TP hit – move 2nd trade SL to breakeven.
7 - Adjust the 2nd trade SL to follow price.
Golden pocket and MACD golden crossover?Hello all, welcome back to the Sunday market update! Beside the sideways moves during the movement of last week, here it comes again the interesting in the crypto market. Patience is the key before you jump in the market for now. Let's do this technical analysis about bitcoin.
Like what I've shared on the previous analysis of the bitcoin, $8500 is moving align with the golden pocket zone and the $8000 is moving align with the .786 fib levels and both levels obviously are a major support that must be respected so far. The $8000 is a huge psychological zone for bitcoin, Huge price action activity has occured in this level which is great!
Knowing that current price is moving just near the golden pocket zone as a great support, we must realize that the moving average line on MACD is having a big probability to do a golden crossover on 4 hours chart. The RSI has shown us a bullish divergence with lower low on price action but higher low on RSI. This is a perfect set up for long opportunity.
I will open a long position if the price claims back the $8700 as the shadow support respected and of course when the golden crossover occur on the MACD dynamic line. Patience is the key, waiting will keep you on the track.
DivergenceRSI PIVOT (RSIP) HOW IT WORKS?
This script draws a line when rsi cross over or under the oversold and overbought line. Supprisingly these pivots sometimes good indicator for positive and negative divergence or continuation.
For example:
+ if the price goes above the previos rsi overbought area (red line), it means positive sign and price will contiue to climb like number 1 examples.
+ if the price goes above the previous oversold area (green line). It means positive divergence start like number 2 examples.
+ this script can also say us to up move ended. Because the price can't go above the price like number 3 examples.
+ There are a lots of signals in it ;) you can find them with little effort.
What about 4? Actually it is not a bullish sign but a little pump might come.
Dont be hesitate to use "RSI Pivot" and press like button ;)
Cheers :)
MSFT - rectangle formation - watch outHi Friends,
Look at this chart for NASDAQ:MSFT . Interesting to see how breaks on supports on RSI and identifying divergences may allow to identify possible good exits and maybe a avoid big falls.
When you see divergences, go down to lower time frames to identify exits/ entry levels
Chart is self explanatory. At this moment, price has moved into a rectangle formation. Look for breakouts and be careful on both the RSI as well as price points.
Happy to answer any specifics
If you like what you see, please share a thumbs up. Happy to hear your comments too, they can be helpful to continue learning and keep posting these free ideas and analysis.
Cheers
Bearish Divergence explained This is an educational post on OANDA:XAUUSD
Look how we can view divergences and predict movements on the underlying.
Various peeks and troughs are marked in yellow on the indicators RSI and MFI and the price acton not the chart for Gold
In the time frame shown in the chart, you can see a bullish divergence where we see the last yellow circle somewhere in June/July 2019, a new high made on RSI didn't have price action making a new high, which is then followed by a rise in price over the next few sessions.
Secondly, after the quick heavy run up, RSI falls sharply indicating the move from overbought position in a downward slop, marked in red, and price actions moves upwards, showcasing a bearish divergence. This is followed by a fall in price over the last few sessions for the recent highs.
I have taken the 50 day MA as the replica for the trend line and currently Gold is sitting right below the MA. It will find resistance at the MA, Watch out this space for more on when the next opportunity presents
If you like it, please share a thumbs up!
Cheers
Elliott Wave Analysis using Relative Strength Index, HistogramGreeting,
Today I'm going to teach you a technique for analyzing Elliott Waves. After this, you will get a sound understanding of how to analyze Elliott Waves. This tutorial is for you that has an established understanding on the Elliott Wave Theory. If not, this guide could still be useful, but not optimal.
To start, you'll have to set up the Relative Strength Index(RSI) and the MACD indicator. This guide analyzing a hypothetical bull trend. It can be used the opposite way, just flip everything from a bull perspective to a bear perspective.
First, we want to identify wave-3, as this is the one that stands out. Open a chart, browse through different pairs until you find one where the RSI is clearly above 70 value. If you're uncertain, watch my chart as this is the perfect example.
Second, when wave-3 is identified, we want to identify wave-1. Again, we do this by analyzing the RSI for clues. Wave-1 will be the high that hits the 70 level and then reverses BEFORE wave-3. If it doesn't hit 100%, don't worry. As long as it gets close and reverses at or around this level before wave-3, we’re good.
Third, we now have identified wave-1 and wave-3. Our next stage is wave-5. We do this the same way as we did with wave-1. The fifth wave will be the high that hits the 70 level AFTER wave-3. It is very important that wave-1 happens before wave-3 and that wave-5 happens after wave-3. As with wave-1, this wave does not need to hit the 70 level 100%, as long as it's close. Wave-5 does not need to reverse as this would ruin our trade, because it would be to late for us to enter.
Fourth, with all the impulse waves identified, we need to identify wave-2 and wave-4. Fortunately, this is the easy part. These waves will be the lows between the impulse waves(1-3-5). Wave-2 will be the low between wave-1 and wave-3, and wave-4 will be the low between wave-3 and wave-5.
Now to the fun stuff.
Draw an arrow from the top of wave-3 and wave-5. Usually, the fifth wave will be higher than the third wave, so this arrow should be pointing upwards. If we now draw an arrow from the same point on the RSI (The highs we discussed earlier), this should be point downwards.
If the pair you're analyzing comply with these criteria, you can continue.
We now want to do the same for wave-2 and wave-4, but this time we compare the lows and not the highs (as wave-2 and wave-4 is corrective). Draw an arrow from the end of wave-2 (the lowest point) to the low of wave-4(the lowest point).
This must be pointing upwards, if not. Find another pair and start over.
Draw an an arrow from the associated points on the histogram. If you're uncertain about where to draw the arrow from, draw a vertical line from the bottom of wave-2 and the bottom of wave-4.
Your chart should look like mine now. We should have an arrow drawn from the top of wave-3 to the top of wave-5 on the price chart, an arrow from the top of wave-3 to the top of wave-5 on the RSI, an arrow drawn from the bottom of wave-2 to the bottom of wave-4, and lastly an arrow drawn from the bottom of wave-2 to the bottom of wave-4 on the histogram.
If your chart aligns with these criteria, you’ve successfully identified a beautiful high probability set up.
Now for the actual trade. We want to enter the trade at the best price possible. This entry is often between the 100% - 124% extension of wave-4. We can get clear levels by drawing a Fibonacci Retracement tool from the top of wave-3 to the bottom of wave-4, and then insert our chosen values (100%, 113%, 124%).
If the price hits these levels, and fulfill all the criteria mentioned above, we can confidently short the market. If you don't believe me, do this technique on different pairs and timeframes, and watch the magic happen. This technique does not guarantee a full-blown change in trend but does indicate that the market is wearing out and probably will reverse in the time to come.
My preferred Take-Profit is 23.6%, 38.2%, and 50% retracement of the whole 1-5 wave.
Stop-Loss should be between 141%-161.8% of the wave-3 to wave-4 Fibonacci Retracement tool.
I hope you enjoyed this guide. I know it's a tough read. If I get good reviews, I'll release more guides like this In the future.
Trading on divergence signalsEDUCATIONAL PURPOSES:
There are several indicators that one can employ during the course of analysis. One common indicator will be the Relative Strength Index.
What can you draw from this indicator?
Overbought and Oversold signals!
However, one can also use this indicator to spot divergences in the price and the relative strength!
Above are 3 examples of RSI divergences: AUDCAD, AUDSGD and GBPAUD.
The main idea is to look out for differing directions between the price and the RSI within the same period.
As we can see from AUDCAD and AUDSGD, price was creating lower lows while RSI was creating higher lows. This is an example of a BULLISH RSI DIVERGENCE, and price will soon start correcting.
In the case of GBPAUD, another higher high on the price carves out a lower high on the RSI. This shows that there is a BEARISH RSI DIVERGENCE, and price will soon start correcting.
Spotting divergences helps with timing of trade entries (whether it is too late or too early), exiting of positions and/or adding more positions. You can also use this as a trigger for a trade (i.e. a Long trade in AUDCAD, or a Short trade in GBPAUD).
The time frame that you use to spot divergences will affect how long you have to wait for price to start correcting (i.e. shorter time for H1 as compared to Daily).
**One important point to note when spotting or trading on divergences: Observe for price action in line with your bias (bullish price action for bullish RSI divergence, vice versa).
RSI divergences can fail should it carve a higher high or lower low that is in line with price.
USDCAD 120min CCI turn signals diver retest hi TLBThis could have been posted 2-3 hr ago but trading comes first. There are still pips available, but more importantly the turn signals were so clear that the value is in the tutorial.
The first warning that uptrend was waning came with strong CCI divergence from price
Second, there was an abc down which corrected back up to retest the high (following divergence)
at the CCI high of the price hi retest, the CCI had a short signal with slanted rooftop. Together, those were a
first signal short.
Third, CCI crossed down thru an up-trendline giving a later signal short.
Reversal signal would be when CCI crosses back up thru a down-trendline on CCI (not shown)
Quick guide on three buy/sell position suggestion scripts.+ Cyber Ensemble Buy/Sell positions signaling is derived from an optimized scoring of a large number of conventional indicators. (Blue/Purple plus Background HeatMap)
+ FG-Divergence is based on my own modified version a MACD style oscillator, with its own accompanying Momentum and Acceleration oscillator. (Light Green/Red)
+ PRISM Signals is based on PRISM, a pSAR derived oscillator coupled with its Momentum/Acceleration/Jerk Oscillator as well as pSAR based RSI and StochRSI. (Bright Green/Red)
—
For best results, users can tweak the parameters and enable/disable specific tests and scoring Thresholds for a specific chart and timeframe, and checking how well they perform wrt historical trends. Timeframe specific presets will be added in the future when I have more time. Please do feel free to play around with the parameters and share them. If they are good, they may be added as a preset in future updates with you credited. These scripts are freshly made, and for now, my focus is to slowly refactor and improve on the code, and tidying up the ordering of the inputs to make them easier for users to navigate and understand what each of them do. In the future, once things are sufficiently improved, I aim to include alert features and release a proper “strategy version” as well, and I may post up a clearer user guide for each one of them.
Potential scalping set up for litecoinIf you've seen my previous analysis about litecoin which came up near the APEX and the golden pocket zone , you will realize that based on current chart, the price has broken down the support zone on daily chart and it means that we could short it. but wait, remember the break out rules which says that every support or resistance which has been broke, there will be 1 more action to retest the previous support or resistance as a confirmation. in this case, I saw the possible long set up for scalping potential. Beside, I see a bullish divergence has occur on 1 hour chart.
I will open long position when the price can break out of current resistance trend line and targeting minimum to .382 fibonacci retracement area.
Trading Divergences - An Alternate View for New TradersTrading divergences is a very common technical analysis strategy, but it comes with one big problem: the most common divergences (not hidden) trade against the trend. This means that new traders can often get into trouble by constantly looking for, and trading, against a dominant trend.
Here's an idea to help you become more profitable over the long-term: identify divergences on your chosen momentum indicator, but only trade on trend continuation signals. I'm not saying you need to do this forever, as once you're experienced you can trade both pullbacks and continuations - but doing so requires multiple layers of confirmation, and a lot of knowledge/planning/experience.
By trading trend continuation signals after divergences, you're stacking the odds in your favour by going with the dominant trend. You're also training your eye to see divergences, and seeing how the markets react to divergences. For new traders this can be a valuable lesson in the power of momentum in financial markets.
So, what are trend continuation signals? It depends on your chosen momentum indicator, so I can only provide general ideas; you need to adapt things according to what you're using. My chart contains a custom momentum indicator, loosely based on the RSI. However, it's far smoother than the RSI, so I can reliably trade precise signals (e.g. for me, a cross of 0). On the RSI, you may choose something a bit further down the scale, for example, a cross below Oversold (20/30). If you're using a Stochastic indicator, you may trade a cross below Overbought (70/80). If you don't understand why I'm suggesting you trade signals at the opposite end of the scale for RSI and Stochastic, let me know.
Hopefully this all makes sense, and remember that it's just an idea if you're a new trader and struggling to make good trades.
Let me know if you have any queries.
DD
AUDNZD long?Kept my eye closely on this pair since last year since the price was creeping towards it’s LOWEST levels.
Managed to catch ALL the moves over the space of 3-6months
Flash crash at the start of the year, leading to the divergence with an impulsive move to zone (1.070), which is our TP.
Since then, it’s following a descending channel (flag) which is a continuation price action pattern. \u2028A bullish wave is expected from resistance turned support @ mirror level 1.4150, which is where our SL will be set.
Trade invalidated if it breaks this zone.
SCENARIO:
SL: 1.4150
TP1: 1.070
TP2: OPEN
TARGET: 130 - 500 pips
ESTIMATED TIME: 7-25 days
How MacD Plays An Important Role In Divergence?Hey Traders,
Here is my idea about divergence by using macd.
First thing first, trend never stays in one direction forever. Sometimes it moves up and sometimes it moves down but how do we know that in anytime of near future we are expecting a reversal.
In the pic below, we can clearly see that on AUDUSD trend is massively down from arrow area and everyone is looking to sel
l this pair.
And every time when this down trend pullbacks we get a better price to sell (as if we are getting a higher price to sell) but think for a minute, when everyone is looking to sell and waiting for a pullback to happen so they can join the massive downtrend who will be the buyer? And how long we can sell a currency? Obviously, it can't remain in one direction (sell in this case) forever.
Now in the next picture notice one thing when the price starts to fall down we see a LL and LH and we start selling this AUDUSD pair then another LL and LH and another sell then another LL and LH and another sell. Now we all now that we are making a LL and LH so when market is making LL and LH who will be interested in buying? NO ONE...
After first 4 big pushes down, notice one thing all trend pushes seem to be weaker than they were initially and pullbacks are coming in deep. When momentum starts to fade out that will be the first sign that market may REVERSE in near future.
A healthy trend always have momentum and health in it. If momentum starts to fade out and trend starts to loose its health what happens that those trend pushes starts to become smaller and weaker and pullback starts to come in deep. This is when Macd comes in handy. In the next pic, you will see after being in a downtrend for so long when you get the first sign of trend is now loosing its power (momentum and health) how you can use macd to confirm.
This pic shows that when we were making LL and LH, on Macd we were also getting the same thing, but at the very right bottom of the pic we can see that we had LL and LH but on macd , story was totally different, we had HH and HL so this is the 2nd sign of possible trend reversal and this is time when Macd comes in handy on finding the reversal with divergence.
So, in order to confirm we just have to go 1 time frame lower which is 4h in this case to see either we have a HH and HL on 1 smaller tf or not.
We can see in above pic after ranging for quite long on 4h we finally had a HH and HL and then the buyers started to kick in.
After divergence, buyers came in hot.
How divergence plays an important role in trend reversals.This is my very first time I am writing any idea about how I read the charts.
So my first idea is going to be on Divergence and how it plays an important role in trend reversal.
First thing first, trend never stays in one direction forever. Sometimes it moves up and sometimes it moves down but how do we know that in anytime of near future we are expecting a reversal.
In the pic below, we can clearly see that on AUDUSD trend is massively down from arrow area and everyone is looking to sell this pair.
And every time when this down trend pullbacks we get a better price to sell (as if we are getting a higher price to sell) but think for a minute, when everyone is looking to sell and waiting for a pullback to happen so they can join the massive downtrend who will be the buyer? And how long we can sell a currency? Obviously, it can't remain in one direction (sell in this case) forever.
Now in the next picture notice one thing when the price starts to fall down we see a LL and LH and we start selling this AUDUSD pair then another LL and LH and another sell then another LL and LH and another sell. Now we all now that we are making a LL and LH so when market is making LL and LH who will be interested in buying? NO ONE...
After first 4 big pushes down, notice one thing all trend pushes seem to be weaker than they were initially and pullbacks are coming in deep. When momentum starts to fade out that will be the first sign that market may REVERSE in near future.
A healthy trend always have momentum and health in it. If momentum starts to fade out and trend starts to loose its health what happens that those trend pushes starts to become smaller and weaker and pullback starts to come in deep. This is when Macd comes in handy. In the next pic, you will see after being in a downtrend for so long when you get the first sign of trend is now loosing its power (momentum and health) how you can use macd to confirm.
This pic shows that when we were making LL and LH, on Macd we were also getting the same thing, but at the very right bottom of the pic we can see that we had LL and LH but on macd, story was totally different, we had HH and HL so this is the 2nd sign of possible trend reversal and this is time when Macd comes in handy on finding the reversal with divergence.
So, in order to confirm we just have to go 1 time frame lower which is 4h in this case to see either we have a HH and HL on 1 smaller tf or not.
We can see in above pic after ranging for quite long on 4h we finally had a HH and HL and then the buyers started to kick in.
After divergence, buyers came in hot.
How to EASILY detect DIVERGENCE by @bakatoolsHere is an easy way to detect that there is a divergence and price will break soon.
First, we add a RSI indicator to chart, then drag it from below onto the main chart where the candles are (overlay). To avoid blocking vision, you can open RSI's style and hide the background, make the line thicken.
Now is how it works. Normally, you will notice RSI goes along with price, if candles go up, RSI go up; candles go down, RSI go down. It will be not much different from the price.
But, if you notice that the RSI line which had been running above the candles, now suddenly running below the candles and it starts SEPARATING AWAY from the candles (as illustrated above), and vice versa, that is the SIGN.
You can now draw a line to connect 2 highest (or lowest) candle peaks, and then draw another line to connect 2 highest (or lowest) RSI peaks. If they CROSS each other, that is a DIVERGENCE. And price will soon break in reversal. Result is the break in ETH uptrend today as we all saw.
Is it easy enough? Share your comment below.
Thanks.
Oscillator Divergence Histogram Setup update 1Link to indicator
Link to sister indicator
Setup video
Early warning alerts
V1.02
-Fixed missing alerts
-Added possibility to alert if more than X number of oscillators have a similar divergence
Hidden Bearish Divergence on any Selected Oscillator
Hidden Bearish Divergence Developing on any Selected Oscillator
Regular Bearish Divergence on any Selected Oscillator
Regular Bearish Divergence Developing on any Selected Oscillator
Regular Bullish Divergence on any Selected Oscillator
Regular Bullish Divergence Developing on any Selected Oscillator
Hidden Bullish Divergence on any Selected Oscillator
Hidden Bullish Divergence Developing on any Selected Oscillator
Hidden Bearish Divergence on multiple oscillators >= value in input 'Alert Options 1)'
Hidden Bearish Divergence Developing on multiple oscillators >= value in input 'Alert Options 1)'
Regular Bearish Divergence on multiple oscillators >= value in input 'Alert Options 1)'
Regular Bearish Divergence Developing on multiple oscillators >= value in input 'Alert Options 1)'
Regular Bullish Divergence on multiple oscillators >= value in input 'Alert Options 1)'
Regular Bullish Divergence Developing on multiple oscillators >= value in input 'Alert Options 1)'
Hidden Bullish Divergence on multiple oscillators >= value in input 'Alert Options 1)'
Hidden Bullish Divergence Developing on multiple oscillators >= value in input 'Alert Options 1)'
I can code it so the new alerts allow the detected divergences to be within X bars of each other if anyone wants that as an option?