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Inflation

Platinum LONG TERM analysisLong term TA on PL1! 1) Shorter term expectations/price target 2) Relationship to gold and silver 3)Longer term patterns and eventual price targets on a yearly timeframe. Sorry if this was longwinded. Will begin to post weekly updates so consider this a comprehensive analysis to precede, shorter, brief, weekly analyses. Feedback is recommended, please enjoy - I hope somebody can get something from this and I can learn as well with feedback. Future videos will include actual trades with entries and near term targets. Feel free to let me know how helpful/unhelpful this might have been. GTTA
NYMEX:PL1!Long
by Commodity_TA_Plus
Why are Interest rates falling? Time to buy? We have seen an amazing fall in interest rates. Bonds have looked to put in a local bottom. Why are bonds showing signs of accumulation? Is the bond market pricing in a recession? I believe the recent decline in yields is due to commodity weakness. Yields have soften because energy & base metals have become cheaper. This drives the disinflationary narrative. I think its to early to tell whether this decline is from demand or global weakness.
TVC:US10Y
by Trading-Capital
Is the market crashing? The SPY and IWM have completely diverged. On the back of rate cut expectations, many investors are piling back into the junk and high beta names. A clear relative strength move has occurred in small caps: IWM Whilst the megacap stocks have been sold off. The SPY sliced through the 50 MA yesterday and cofirmed the break below. Although this is typically bearish, we are getting into an area of oversold support. If the SPY gaps down tomorrow, I think traders will be buying the dip with both hands. The IWM has blasted above the 50MA, basically moving the exact opposite of the S&P500. The question remains....are small caps going to hold their gains inside of the weekly topping tail?
AMEX:IWM
by Trading-Capital
How will Stocks React to Inflation?The stock market's reaction to an inflation trend always involves a delay. Based on studies of the inflation trend, this delay is approximately 6 months. How about the inflation data month by month? Micro E-Mini Nasdaq Ticker: MNQ Minimum fluctuation: 0.25 index points = $0.50 Disclaimer: • What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker. • Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises. CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
CME_MINI:NQ1!Education
by konhow
2
Inverted Yield of 2022 Explained - Till TodayFor our housing loan, many of us, if you are in your 30s today and all the way to 70 years of age, will likely have chosen floating or short-term loan rates rather than longer-term loan rates. However, everything changed in 2022. Now, we are more likely to choose longer-term loan rates over floating rates. Why? Because today, longer-term loan rates are lower than floating rates. This phenomenon is called an inverted yield curve. In the 70s and 80s, there was also a period of inverted yields, and different markets moved accordingly as expected. Today, we are seeing an inverted yield once again, and the same markets are moving in a manner similar to those in the 70s and 80s. We will do a comparison between the 70s and today’s inverted yield. Please let me know what opportunities you see after this tutorial. 2 Year Yield Futures Ticker: 2YY Minimum fluctuation: 0.001 Index points (1/10th basis point per annum) = $1.00 10 Year Yield Futures Ticker: 10Y Minimum fluctuation: 0.001 Index points (1/10th basis point per annum) = $1.00 Disclaimer: • What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker. • Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises. CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
CBOT_MINI:2YY1!Long
by konhow
2
Why Large Firms with Huge Cash? Small Firm Are Leading...Berkshire Hathaway, an investment company is not investing. What is the signal? Why are they hoarding cash? • Not much good investment opportunity ahead • Preparing for tougher time E-mini S&P 500 Futures & Options Ticker: ES Minimum fluctuation: 0.25 index points = $12.50 Micro E-mini S&P 500 Futures & Options Ticker: MES Minimum fluctuation: 0.25 index points = $1.25 Disclaimer: • What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker. • Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises. CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
CME_MINI:M2K1!
by konhow
3
USDX: Thoughts and Analysis Pre-US CPIToday's focus: USDX Pattern – LH Resistance push Support – 102.45 Resistance – 104.12 - 104.35 Hi, and thanks for checking out today's update. Today, we are looking at USDX on the daily chart. Today's video asks if USDX will continue to remain below resistance and possibly break lower if today's CPI data comes in lower than expected. We are mainly focused on the resistance areas and the current LH that has formed around the supply and resistance areas discussed in our video update. We have also noted some bullish price action; if CPI rises to the upside, this could set up a new continuation higher. But for now, as noted in today's video, we will continue to look at the resistance holds and the current trend of CPI declines on the y/y. US CPI data is due on Wednesday at 8:30 am EST or 12:30 pm AEDT. Good trading.
EIGHTCAP:USDXShort
by Eightcap
$GEO Border Detention Facilities - Profiting off of incompetenceGood morning everyone, Today I am evaluating a stock I have legitimately found valuable for a few months. With the escalation at our border (Record numbers of crossings in October) It is time to consider how we can profit from such a tragic situation. I've been invested in stocks like NYSE:GEO and NYSE:CXW for the past year or so, however, I think right now might be the most bullish I've been on them in a while. In this video, I lay out potential price targets for NYSE:GEO and show some of the methodology behind my trading strategy. Here are my outlined Targets / Resistances and supports Strong Support Level: $8.30 Strong Resistance Level: $9.95 Resistance 2: $12.35 Target 1: $14.31 Target 2 / Resistance 3: $17.58 Target 3: $19.82 Remember, both targets and resistances represent solid points to take profit. Don't get greedy The GEO Group (GEO) operates special-purpose, state-of-the-art residential centers on behalf of U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE). All ICE Processing Centers operated by GEO have a long-standing record of providing high-quality, culturally responsive services in safe, secure, and humane environments that meet the needs of the individuals in the care and custody of federal immigration authorities.
NYSE:GEOLong
by Helios_Capital_Investment
1
EURAUD, Gigantic ASCENDING-WEDGE, BEARISH Continuation SETUP!Hello There! Welcome to my new analysis about EURAUD on several perspectives. The Eurozone inflationary pressures increased massively within the recent times determining a huge bearish edge against the AUD zone, especially as inflation in the Eurozone is not yet tackled by continued higher rate hikes with which the ECB, European Central Bank is trying to decrease inflation. Compared to the AUD zone this means that the EUR is much more bearishly inclined against the AUD and in this case it is also important on how the actual technical price action is confirming such a bearish inclination. In my chart I am pointing out that the EURAUD is now setting up a gigantic ascending-wedge-formation with several resistances within the structures. The EURAUD is now approaching the major 50% Fibonacci-resistance within the 1.7 which is simultaneously determining the resistance by the upper boundary of the gigantic wedge formation and forming a coherent resistance-cluster within this level. Once EURAUD shows up with a major pullback off this zone this means that the possibility for an completion of the wedge-formation increases astronomically and a completion of it will point to the bearish target-zones to be reached. Especially if the massive interest rate hikes within the Eurozone implemented by the ECB should not effectively decrease the inflation rate of the EUR this will put a lot of bearishness on the Euro and therefore also on EURAUD and with such a dynamic it is going to accelerate the bearish momentum. Once the whole ascending-wedge-formation has been finally completed the target-zones will be active and once the final target-zone has been reached the bearish momentum should be assessed again because with further developments to the downside this could actually lead to a major bearish wave-count extension for EURAUD and move to lower levels. In any case it will be a highly important development to consider here. In this manner, thank you everybody for watching the analysis, support from your side is greatly appreciated. VP
by VincePrince
22
📊🔥 Inflation Unleashed: Oil and Potential Bitcoin Bull Run💰🚀In this video, I discuss the latest inflation reports 📊 and analyze their impact on the global economy 🌍. I highlight the factors affecting inflation, starting with the rising price of oil ⛽ and its pressure on inflation 📈. Additionally, I provide insights into the price of Bitcoin 💰 and its bullish outlook 🚀 in light of rising inflation. I also touch upon the performance of stock indices 📊 and the importance of focusing on Bitcoin 💎 in the current market. Overall, this video aims to provide valuable analysis and predictions 🤔 regarding today's CPI report 📑 and Bitcoin. Professor is LONG! 📈 One Love ❤️ Oil: Long since $71 🛢️: Oil Long - In the Blinken of an eye, Let's not BRICS it! Bitcoin: Stay awake, this September could be a different one 🗓️: Can BTC wake up before September ends?
BITFINEX:BTCUSDLong
by FX_Professor
14
Understanding Interest-rates & InflationHey Traders So, I have been asked by many of my clients to explain the relationship between interest-rates and inflation and how to translate that information into their analysis. For this reason I put this little mini lesson together to explain: - The core role of the central bank - Reason and objectives for interest-rates and inflation - How you can use this information to enhance your analysis - How to take advantage of this info when taking, managing or closing your trades. PS. if you would like me to do more of these types of videos be sure to leave a comment in the comment section.
TVC:DXYEducation
by DeanMuller
USD Index road map with US CPI to come.Today's focus: USD Index Pattern – Ascending Triangle Support – 95.68 Resistance – 96.32 Today, we look at the USD index as price continues to trade rangebound after fighting back from a two-day decline. Could today’s CPI data break the deadlock and give the market some direction? Traders will be watching to see what today’s data could do for rate rise expectations. Could a move above expectations lift price above resistance and get the current trend back on track? Or could a miss to the downside confirm an LH and break the trend, setting off fresh selling? If we see the data come in flat, this could maintain the current price range that we are seeing at the moment. Keep an eye on today’s data when it’s released at 8:30 am EST, as it could produce some volatility if the figure comes out outside of market expectations. Have a great day and good trading.
EIGHTCAP:USDX
by Eightcap
ETHUSD Is Bullish While Above 1625, Support Is At 1800Hey all. In this video I will look on the ETHUSd which asha nice upwside potenial after current pause that can find a support and new buyers new 1800. One of the main reasons why Ethereum could stay in the uptrend is US Dollar which came down recently after inflation cooled down to 3% as reported last week, which can easily cause a bigger recovery for the cryptocurrencies in general as speculators can be looking for more dollar weakness and limited upside on US yields, as they believe that FED is very close to end the hiking cylce. Hope you will enjoy the video, and dont forget to click the like button. Grega
BITSTAMP:ETHUSDLong
by ew-forecast
NFP: Jobs cool off but is Inflation knocking on the Fed's door? Long story short: it's a video, watch it! BTC LONG USD SHORT Learn why in this video. NFP: Jobs are ok, still good new jobs in the basket but less than previous month (cool off). AVERAGE HOURLY EARNINGS: Nobody talks about this but it means wages are rising, labor is going higher, services and products might become more expensive on expensive labor = INFLATION FEDS DUAL PURPOSE: To create jobs and to control prices (stability through monetary and other policies). Will the FEDS hike again? I think yes, they will but i also think that NOBODY CARES MUCH!! We almost done with rate hikes but are we done with systemic risks? Are banks ok now that real estate is not favored? I will finish the same way this started: BTC LONG USD SHORT One Love, The FXPROFESSOR
BITFINEX:BTCUSD
by FX_Professor
9
Are we approaching the last cycle expansion phase?The last cycle expansion phase or the euphoric stage, has already occurred between 2020 and 2021. Sir John Templeton said: “Bull markets are born on pessimism, grown on skepticism, mature on optimism, and die on euphoria.” Reference of Nasdaq: E-mini Nasdaq-100 & Opt Minimum fluctuation 0.25 index points = $5.00 Micro E-mini Nasdaq-100 Index & Opt Minimum fluctuation 0.25 index points = $0.50 Disclaimer: • What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker. • Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises. CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
CME_MINI:NQ1!Short
by konhow
2
Key Levels and US Market Review for the Asian session open 9/05European and US markets were relatively tame as traders focus now turns to the CPI data release ahead of the US open Wednesday. The USD found support to move up while Copper and Oil also moved higher on expectations for a lift in demand. Gold edged higher although is showing signs of selling pressure. Expecting a flat open for Asian markets as the Nikkei, ASX200 and Hang Seng were largely rangebound in overnight trading. With stronger economic data comes stickier/resilient inflation so bulls may be getting ahead of themselves as the US Fed will have to think about another rate rise if the CPI continues to show strength. Some KEY ACTIONABLE LEVELS into the Asian market session. Review of the European and US sessions and what that will mean to the price action in the near term along with key levels to watch. Markets covered :- DOW Nasdaq DAX FTSE ASX200 Hang Seng USD Index Gold Oil Copper
NYMEX:CL1!
by TradeTheStructure
Key Levels and US Market Review for the Asian session open 8/05Stronger than expected employment data in the US sent bulls into a frenzy and pushed share markets higher into the weekend as recession fears eased. On the flip side, a resilient economy will flow over into inflation and mean that inflation will stay higher for longer and put further upside pressure on interest rates. US Bond yields spiked as to did the USD while Gold nosedived off highs. Copper and Oil found some love from higher expected demand. Expecting a strong open for Asian markets with the ASX200 to open up 70 points, the Hang Seng to open up 130 pts while the Nikkei may open relatively flat thanks to Fridays US market rally. With stronger economic data comes stickier/resilient inflation so bulls may be getting ahead of themselves as the US Fed will have to think about another rate rise if economic data continues to show strength. Some KEY ACTIONABLE LEVELS into the Asian market session. Review of the European and US sessions and what that will mean to the price action in the near term along with key levels to watch. Markets covered :- DOW Nasdaq DAX FTSE ASX200 Hang Seng USD Index Gold Oil Copper
NYMEX:CL1!
by TradeTheStructure
Inverted Yield Curve Starts in 2023 - Explained When the yield of the 3-month bond is higher than the 30-year bond yield, this is known as an inverted yield curve. It is a rare and unusual occurrence and we are seeing this today. This signals a potential economic recession in the future. An inverted yield curve suggests that investors have a pessimistic outlook for the future of the economy. They are willing to accept lower yields on long-term bonds because they anticipate a slowdown in economic growth. In contrast, they demand higher yields on short-term bonds because they expect the central bank to raise interest rates in response to inflationary pressures. An inverted yield curve can lead to a decrease in borrowing and lending activity, as it can make it more expensive for businesses and consumers to borrow money. This can result in a reduction in economic growth and can eventually lead to a recession. Some reference for traders: Micro Treasury Yields & Its Minimum Fluctuation Micro 2-Year Yield Futures Ticker: 2YY 0.001 Index points (1/10th basis point per annum) = $1.00 Micro 5-Year Yield Futures Ticker: 5YY 0.001 Index points (1/10th basis point per annum) = $1.00 Micro 10-Year Yield Futures Ticker: 10Y 0.001 Index points (1/10th basis point per annum) = $1.00 Micro 30-Year Yield Futures Ticker: 30Y 0.001 Index points (1/10th basis point per annum) = $1.00 Disclaimer: • What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker. • Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises. CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
CBOT_MINI:30Y1!Long
by konhow