📊🔥 Inflation Unleashed: Oil and Potential Bitcoin Bull Run💰🚀In this video, I discuss the latest inflation reports 📊 and analyze their impact on the global economy 🌍.
I highlight the factors affecting inflation, starting with the rising price of oil ⛽ and its pressure on inflation 📈. Additionally, I provide insights into the price of Bitcoin 💰 and its bullish outlook 🚀 in light of rising inflation.
I also touch upon the performance of stock indices 📊 and the importance of focusing on Bitcoin 💎 in the current market.
Overall, this video aims to provide valuable analysis and predictions 🤔 regarding today's CPI report 📑 and Bitcoin.
Professor is LONG! 📈
One Love ❤️
Oil: Long since $71 🛢️: Oil Long - In the Blinken of an eye, Let's not BRICS it!
Bitcoin: Stay awake, this September could be a different one 🗓️: Can BTC wake up before September ends?
Inflation
Understanding Interest-rates & InflationHey Traders
So, I have been asked by many of my clients to explain the relationship between interest-rates and inflation and how to translate that information into their analysis.
For this reason I put this little mini lesson together to explain:
- The core role of the central bank
- Reason and objectives for interest-rates and inflation
- How you can use this information to enhance your analysis
- How to take advantage of this info when taking, managing or closing your trades.
PS. if you would like me to do more of these types of videos be sure to leave a comment in the comment section.
USD Index road map with US CPI to come.Today's focus: USD Index
Pattern – Ascending Triangle
Support – 95.68
Resistance – 96.32
Today, we look at the USD index as price continues to trade rangebound after fighting back from a two-day decline. Could today’s CPI data break the deadlock and give the market some direction?
Traders will be watching to see what today’s data could do for rate rise expectations. Could a move above expectations lift price above resistance and get the current trend back on track? Or could a miss to the downside confirm an LH and break the trend, setting off fresh selling? If we see the data come in flat, this could maintain the current price range that we are seeing at the moment.
Keep an eye on today’s data when it’s released at 8:30 am EST, as it could produce some volatility if the figure comes out outside of market expectations.
Have a great day and good trading.
ETHUSD Is Bullish While Above 1625, Support Is At 1800Hey all.
In this video I will look on the ETHUSd which asha nice upwside potenial after current pause that can find a support and new buyers new 1800. One of the main reasons why Ethereum could stay in the uptrend is US Dollar which came down recently after inflation cooled down to 3% as reported last week, which can easily cause a bigger recovery for the cryptocurrencies in general as speculators can be looking for more dollar weakness and limited upside on US yields, as they believe that FED is very close to end the hiking cylce.
Hope you will enjoy the video, and dont forget to click the like button.
Grega
NFP: Jobs cool off but is Inflation knocking on the Fed's door? Long story short:
it's a video, watch it!
BTC LONG
USD SHORT
Learn why in this video.
NFP:
Jobs are ok, still good new jobs in the basket but less than previous month (cool off).
AVERAGE HOURLY EARNINGS:
Nobody talks about this but it means wages are rising, labor is going higher, services and products might become more expensive on expensive labor = INFLATION
FEDS DUAL PURPOSE:
To create jobs and to control prices (stability through monetary and other policies).
Will the FEDS hike again?
I think yes, they will but i also think that NOBODY CARES MUCH!!
We almost done with rate hikes but are we done with systemic risks? Are banks ok now that real estate is not favored?
I will finish the same way this started:
BTC LONG
USD SHORT
One Love,
The FXPROFESSOR
Are we approaching the last cycle expansion phase?The last cycle expansion phase or the euphoric stage, has already occurred between 2020 and 2021.
Sir John Templeton said: “Bull markets are born on pessimism, grown on skepticism, mature on optimism, and die on euphoria.”
Reference of Nasdaq:
E-mini Nasdaq-100 & Opt
Minimum fluctuation
0.25 index points = $5.00
Micro E-mini Nasdaq-100 Index & Opt
Minimum fluctuation
0.25 index points = $0.50
Disclaimer:
• What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker.
• Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises.
CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
Key Levels and US Market Review for the Asian session open 9/05European and US markets were relatively tame as traders focus now turns to the CPI data release ahead of the US open Wednesday. The USD found support to move up while Copper and Oil also moved higher on expectations for a lift in demand. Gold edged higher although is showing signs of selling pressure.
Expecting a flat open for Asian markets as the Nikkei, ASX200 and Hang Seng were largely rangebound in overnight trading.
With stronger economic data comes stickier/resilient inflation so bulls may be getting ahead of themselves as the US Fed will have to think about another rate rise if the CPI continues to show strength.
Some KEY ACTIONABLE LEVELS into the Asian market session. Review of the European and US sessions and what that will mean to the price action in the near term along with key levels to watch.
Markets covered :-
DOW
Nasdaq
DAX
FTSE
ASX200
Hang Seng
USD Index
Gold
Oil
Copper
Key Levels and US Market Review for the Asian session open 8/05Stronger than expected employment data in the US sent bulls into a frenzy and pushed share markets higher into the weekend as recession fears eased. On the flip side, a resilient economy will flow over into inflation and mean that inflation will stay higher for longer and put further upside pressure on interest rates. US Bond yields spiked as to did the USD while Gold nosedived off highs. Copper and Oil found some love from higher expected demand.
Expecting a strong open for Asian markets with the ASX200 to open up 70 points, the Hang Seng to open up 130 pts while the Nikkei may open relatively flat thanks to Fridays US market rally.
With stronger economic data comes stickier/resilient inflation so bulls may be getting ahead of themselves as the US Fed will have to think about another rate rise if economic data continues to show strength.
Some KEY ACTIONABLE LEVELS into the Asian market session. Review of the European and US sessions and what that will mean to the price action in the near term along with key levels to watch.
Markets covered :-
DOW
Nasdaq
DAX
FTSE
ASX200
Hang Seng
USD Index
Gold
Oil
Copper
Inverted Yield Curve Starts in 2023 - Explained When the yield of the 3-month bond is higher than the 30-year bond yield, this is known as an inverted yield curve. It is a rare and unusual occurrence and we are seeing this today. This signals a potential economic recession in the future.
An inverted yield curve suggests that investors have a pessimistic outlook for the future of the economy. They are willing to accept lower yields on long-term bonds because they anticipate a slowdown in economic growth. In contrast, they demand higher yields on short-term bonds because they expect the central bank to raise interest rates in response to inflationary pressures.
An inverted yield curve can lead to a decrease in borrowing and lending activity, as it can make it more expensive for businesses and consumers to borrow money. This can result in a reduction in economic growth and can eventually lead to a recession.
Some reference for traders:
Micro Treasury Yields & Its Minimum Fluctuation
Micro 2-Year Yield Futures
Ticker: 2YY
0.001 Index points (1/10th basis point per annum) = $1.00
Micro 5-Year Yield Futures
Ticker: 5YY
0.001 Index points (1/10th basis point per annum) = $1.00
Micro 10-Year Yield Futures
Ticker: 10Y
0.001 Index points (1/10th basis point per annum) = $1.00
Micro 30-Year Yield Futures
Ticker: 30Y
0.001 Index points (1/10th basis point per annum) = $1.00
Disclaimer:
• What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker.
• Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises.
CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
BRIEFING Week #17 : March PCE as Game Changer ?Here's your weekly update ! Brought to you each weekend with years of track-record history..
Don't forget to hit the like/follow button if you feel like this post deserves it ;)
That's the best way to support me and help pushing this content to other users.
Kindly,
Phil
Natural Gas and the Dangers of Swing Trading Leveraged ETFsThinking that the war in Ukraine would cause the price of natural gas to surge higher over the winter, many traders got stuck on the wrong side of a trade. Natural gas futures have plunged more than 90% over the winter.
In this video, I explain that regression analysis was warning that a significant price decline was imminent in late 2022, and I explain that it is now suggesting that a bounce in natural gas prices may soon occur. This video also explains the pitfalls that many novice traders experience when trying to swing trading leveraged ETFs that employ derivatives and which undergo volatility drag over time.
Here is the link to the risk-reward / win-ratio spreadsheet that is referenced in the video.
docs.google.com
Shared with permission from @HeWhoMustNotBeNamed
Note for stats nerds: The log-linear regression channel indicator does not give negative numbers for the Pearson correlation coefficient (r). The indicator gives the absolute value of the Pearson correlation coefficient |r|. So if the correlation is strongly negative or strongly positive, it will appear near 1 in both cases.
Important Disclaimer
Nothing in this post should be considered financial advice. Trading and investing always involve risks and one should carefully review all such risks before making a trade or investment decision. Do not buy or sell any security based on anything in this post. Please consult with a financial advisor before making any financial decisions. This post is for educational purposes only.
Crude shoots higher on announcement of production cutsWe take a look at the resistance levels following the Saudi Arabia announcement.
We have seen a clean bounce off long term moving averages suggesting that we are likely to see the market gravitate to its 55-week ma at 90.09.
Disclaimer:
The information posted on Trading View is for informative purposes and is not intended to constitute advice in any form, including but not limited to investment, accounting, tax, legal or regulatory advice. The information therefore has no regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs of any specific recipient. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on Trading View only. All illustrations, forecasts or hypothetical data are for illustrative purposes only. The Society of Technical Analysts Ltd does not make representation that the information provided is appropriate for use in all jurisdictions or by all Investors or other potential Investors. Parties are therefore responsible for compliance with applicable local laws and regulations. The Society of Technical Analysts will not be held liable for any loss or damage resulting directly or indirectly from the use of any information on this site.
"Something will break!" and something did break and is breaking!Traders,
In light of the recent Silvergate and Silicon Valley Bank crashes and the Fed following this up with a guarantee to depositors, its spells inflation on. This gives us a big clue to how the market will respond and continues to support my thesis of a blow-off top in the next few months. Let's take a look as to how we should handle this information.
Stew
⚠️ 🔥 No Time to FOMO!!!! ⚠️ 🔥⚠️ 🔥 NO TIME TO FOMO!!!! ⚠️ 🔥
Goodday for the markets and Crypto as the news came out being ok:
US inflation slows to 6% annual rate amid looming banking crisis
Let me rephrase it: the worst news where avoided, inflation did not rise. Look at CPI chart maybe:
SP-5OO gets rejected despite the predictions for a 'softer more dovish' monetary policy:
In the meantime bank charts look pretty bad to me:
What i called 'good scenario' level did work as support for BKX but it will be retested:
Also, Credit Swiss is nothing but bad news:
www.bloomberg.com
Lastly , i really don't like this rejection on Wells Fargo:
In a few words: let's be careful...
No love these days, just volatility.
The FXPROFESSOR
Bitcoin Stops at resistance as USD Turns Higher For Correction Cryptocurrencies slowed down recently as USD index turns higher for a correction because of inflation concerns. We see USD index in a temporary recovery, means that at some point we will expect more weakness as we think that major top for the dollar has been put in place in 2022. However, there cna be some short-term pullbacks on BTCUSD and DASH as I will look in this video, but think there will be long opportunities on dips.
Have a nice weekend.
Grega
What is Lumber Signalling?Lumber has been decimated over the last 3 weeks.
With housing data coming out tomorrow along with PCE. Is this weak lumber chart signaling a continuation of yield strength moving up?
Does the market interpret the housing data as negative?
One thing is for sure interest rates should make a move tomorrow off of the data sets.
Key Levels and Market overview into the Asian session openA look at the price action from the European and US sessions and what that may mean for the Asian session open after some stronger than expected US CPI data showing 'sticky inflation'. I look at some key levels to watch and the price action setups I expect to play out.
Markets covered :-
DOW
Nasdaq
DAX
FTSE
ASX200
Hang Seng
USD Index
Gold
Oil
Copper