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J-DXY

the stagflation paradox. higher real rates + steepen yield curvehi there, dear fellow. we've recently stumbled upon this chart, in the quest for a leading gauge for the dxy. this chart depicts a paradox. in white, US10Y-USIRYY; in orange, US10Y-US02Y. if you remember our previous idea, namely on the DXY and the yield curve spread (US10Y-US02Y), we've pointed out back then that a steepening of the yield curve would be bearish for the DXY. well, now we just compared it with our gauge for the real rates, namely US10Y-USIRYY. what happens is, as it itself is on an extreme low in the last 20y+ (i haven't checked it beyond that, and it doesn't matter), it's likely to eventually revert to the mean. by the way, that's where the fed efforts are pointing to. that on itself is DXY bullish, untill and unless other CBs beat the fed in hawkishness, which is not the case by now. the recent tandem between both curves (since feb/21), suggests they're going up together, when and if. as for the orange curve, that should be dollar (DXY) bearish; as for the white on, bullish. who wins? the white one, for as higher real rates make more sense to be dollar bullish than it makes to be dollar bearish under a steepened yield curve. why? world wide higher inflation. in short, literally, DXY has a long way to go. our estimate is 2y+ of pain for stocks and cryptos, for as high and higher DXY is risk off for SPX and BTC. thank you.
TVC:US10YShort
by greenfield_br
3
Gold and the dollar8. 5. 22 I noticed on my list of markets that the dollar made it nice today, so I opened up the chart to see what it happened. From that point I did an analysis for you, and since the dollar affects gold and silver,I decided to look at gold, and then I stumbled upon some Revelations just before running out of time. This probably means that there will be a part 2 later today or sometime this weekend. In my mind...There is a V formation, and there's a potential ABCD pattern going lower, especially if the gold cannot reach the 382 retracement. See if you can find this on your own, if you have time, I'll produce a video later to show you the thinking.
COMEX:GC1!
by ScottBogatin
1
(SPX) DXY VIX KEY Juncture at the Key 4273, Aug-Nov Analysis Hi Everyone! I hope you are having great summer so far... Lets review Key Markets Critical support/resistance areas to prepared for in this video: SPX 4500-4273-3403-2935 VIX 18.5-35 DXY 105-111-113 We can cross these ranges with some seasonal patterns to come up with some simple but powerful scenarios. We are about to test on the SPX the Lower High channel at 4500-4273 on a flat August Month leading to the key weak months September - October and upcoming mid term elections Hope this video helps Take care Marc PS:Refer back to our updates on NIO/MARA /BABA trade ideas for updates or to learn how to structure the DOTM trifecta put strategy for income and asset accumulation at reduced prices.
TVC:VIX
by PowerIndicators
4
Gold Dxy7. 14. 22 Gold Dxy This is about setting up rage boxes and evaluating certain price actions and knowing how to use your tools to more accurately determine the direction, and even actual targets. The gold is at a very important support area, but the dollar is so foolish as it is making new highs this year, without any indication of a reversal just yet, the gold and the silver may have lower targets without a lot of support, and this is a problem for those medals. It doesn't mean that the gold won't find some buyers on Friday or next week sometime. Just look at the range boxes and some of the tools and see if it adds Clarity for you, and if it doesn't, that don't use it.
COMEX:GC1!
by ScottBogatin