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M-pattern

EURNZD Trade Recap, Analysis, Management Hi everyone: In this quick educational video, I will go over my 2 trades in EURNZD short. What was my analysis, management and thoughts on this bearish run. I will always start my analysis from the HTF, looking at what the price action is telling me will give me a better edge to enter higher probability setups. I want the HTF to be clear on the bias that I have on the direction. Then, using multi-time frame analysis, looking at what the LTF is telling you. Is it showing you the same price action like the HTF bias ? Wait for the market to give you the confirmation, i.e. continuation corrections, reversal price action structure, LTF impulses...etc that will give you the confidence to enter a trade. Manage the trade accordingly, move the SL to BE in profits depending on the strategies and style. Don't get emotional about the result of the trade, rather if you follow your plan, and you made the decision based on what the market and price action is telling you . Then, repeat consistently for every month, year. :) Thank you
Education
by jojofang0901
6
Why I don't use MA/EMA indicators in my analysis Hello everyone: In this video, I am going to explain my reasonings on why I personally don't use MA/EMA in my analysis. I will start off by saying that I have nothing against traders who use them and are consistent and profitable. I am sure there are many who do use indicators in their analysis along with their trading plan, risk management that find success in trading in given marker conditions. For me, my trading style focuses on price action structures/patterns. I am analyzing the market in its pure form of movement. In order for me to be clear on the price action, I need to “remove” all sorts of other “noise” on the chart. This is when having MA/EMA, and other common indicators can create potential issues for my style of trading. When we have indicators on the chart, it normally does help traders to identify “trending” markets, overbought/sold, as an example. The most used ones such as MA/EMA are going to help traders to find trends of continuations, but it doesn't necessarily become a target or support/resistance for the price to bounce off. Many find trading through such an “area” would be not ideal, hence they can take profit or target that general area. While, some can use that as a stop loss area, so long the price will “reverse” from it. However, when I see the price action on the HTF is in the impulsive phrase of the market conditions, on the LTF the indicators will not “catch up” to the most current price conditions. As the indicators are calculated based on the price movement, and since an impulse pushes up/down the price very aggressively, it takes time for them to take the movement into its equations and move according to it. The important thing is to not “overload” your chart with too many indicators and lines going across. There will be too many “contradicting” biases and it will confuse you as a trader. Simplicity is best, and less is more. Thank you
Education
by jojofang0901
12
Trading Psychology: Over Leveraged Trading Hello traders: Welcome back for a quick educational video on over leveraged trading. This ties with Trading Psychology greatly, and I want to elaborate on this a bit more to give new and experienced traders my understanding on this topic. It's important to know that leverage can work for you as well as against you. You may already hear this a lot when you open a new broker account. However, it's only when you actually start trading then you will understand the true meaning of this. When you enter a trade with leverage, you are entering with a great risk behind if you don't have proper risk management. Since leverage is a “double edge sword”, trades that are in profit or losses will be magnified. You are easily over traded, meaning you can have multiple entries on the same pair or same move/run. Again, this would be nice if the trades are going in your favor, but if not then you are going to have a huge drawdown of your account. Professional traders understand drawdown is evitable, but they also minimize it so when they are in profit, they can easily make the drawdown backs. Let's take an example of what an over leveraged trading combine with trading psychology could look like: ---enter a trade, and with a big position (no risk management, and not consistent with trading plan) ---begin to see price fall, then either he/she will have a SL and get taken out, or no SL then price will continue to drop then the small account is gone in no time due to the big position. ---If he/she did have a SL, then they are taken out, but just lost a bigger % of their account. Now the emotions kick in to try to “chase” the money back. So revenge trading emotions start. ---Because the account has high leverage, the person can easily open a bigger lot position, double the previous one in fact (same strategy out there says to do this) and make back your losses. If first trade was risking 5%, then this next trade is 10%) ---After several losses, the account is already cut in ½, and he/she can no longer open the high lot positions. ---They will then reduce their position size, but still at maximum leverage allows. ---Soon the account will get blown out, and the person will either blame the market, strategy, lesson and more. I see this cycle of trading all the time in new traders, and it has a combination factor such as emotion, mindset, risk management, trading plan and more. But what is easily controlled by you is to reduce leverage allowed on the account. Simply dropping it down to less leverage will help the trader to not over leverage, and maintain a few trades only with smaller position sizes. So, I encourage the new traders to really think about this topic and reflect on yourself to see if you ever fall into this cycle before. You may not blow your account, but certainly have experienced revenge trading and over leverage trade when the emotions kick in. I myself included it at the beginning of my trading journey also. That is all I gotta say on this one. Let me know if you have questions and feedback :) I will chat with everyone next time in my live stream. Thank you
Editors' picks
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by jojofang0901
24
My journey in trading, experiences, ups and downs. Hello everyone: In this video (all talking in this one) I am gonna talk about my trading journey and experiences. All the ups and downs that I have been through in hope to give new and experienced traders a honest raw example of a trader’s journey. Of course everyone learns and absorbs information differently, and I am sure there are people out there who didn't have to go through the way I did, but I thought sharing my journey would help some of us who are still struggling to find consistency in trading. So, a little bit about my trading journey: Beginning Stage -Not profitable the first 2+ years, gone through the roller coaster ride of a trader’s journey -Start with S.R and indicators. Does work and makes profit, but doesn't suit my personality. -Was not consistent, some weeks in profit, some months in losses -Made all the mistakes, wanted to give up and quit many times. -Had negative trading emotions, mindset, and no idea on trading psychology -Not following the trading plan, no risk management -Over trading, over risking, revenge trading -Emotional when I miss out potential runs of the market -Blame the market on my losses Turning Stage: -Did not give up -Admit all my mistakes, work on them, change them. -Truthy admit you are in control of your trading account, not the market, strategies, mentors or other external factors -Put in the time and effort, understand that this is something it can be your career for the next 30 years, what is it to you to put in a few years of hard work ? Acknowledge the market will evolve and change, and we need to adapt as a trader -Understand trading is a probability game, not right or wrong. I can be wrong, and won't affect my emotions. -Want to be the "house" rather than a "player" in a casino setting, -Learn about price action and structures. -Have no problem missing trades and profits, understand the abundance of opportunities in trading -Follow my trading plans, make goals, back testing, forecasting, journaling -Acknowledge my expectations in trading, 3:1 RR, 15-20 trades, 1% risk per trade, 35-40% strike rate (higher strike rate requires less R:R). Looking for consistent growth of accounts and capital -Understand once you are consistent, there will be more opportunities and investors who are willing to let you trade -Continue to have a humble attitude in trading and market -Continue to learn and grow So I hope I answer most of the questions that you have asked, but if you have additional questions on my journey and anything else, let me know below. :) Thank you
Education
by jojofang0901
14
GOLD (XAUUSD) - more upside probable. This is an update on the daily time frame for gold. Things have changed. I see some sort of continuation pattern developing creating probability for the upside. Note carefully my disclaimer below. For every probability estimate in one direction there is always a residual probability for the opposite direction (- this is why we have stop-losses which must always be affordable). For the record - and just in case - I never predicted that Gold was gonna crash. This doesn't mean it can't crash. What I said on a previous occasion was that 'Gold could be in trouble' and yes it could still be in trouble even if it punches north. Disclaimers : This is not advice or encouragement to trade securities. No predictions and no guarantees supplied or implied. Heavy losses can be expected. Any previous advantageous performance shown in other scenarios, is not indicative of future performance. If you make decisions based on opinion expressed here or on my profile and you lose your money, or miss opportunity, kindly sue yourself.
Editors' picks
FX_IDC:XAUUSD
by Captain_Walker
3