Multi-Time Frame, Price Action Analysis on Japanese YEN StrengthHi everyone:
Many have asked me about the Japanese JPY pairs outlook and forecast, as we can see they are surely gaining strength across the market.
I am personally live in some of the sell and looking to hold the trade as well as scale in on additional trades as well.
Now let's take a look at the pairs that I am currently in, and as well other JPY pairs from a multi-time frame, price action analysis point of view.
I will go over the best ones to look out for, and share my original analysis/forecast before the moves happened.
In addition, my plan on how to manage the current live positions, and plan on how to scale in new entries as well as other pairs.
Starting from the current positions that I am in:
CADJPY: Currently running + 6%, 6:1 RR
Original Analysis/Forecast:
CHFJPY: Currently running + 3.5%, 3.5/1 RR
Original Analysis/Forecast:
GBPJPY: Currently running + 3.5%, 3.5:1 RR
Original Analysis/Forecast:
EURJPY: Got out for +2.8%, 2.8:1 RR
Original Analysis/Forecast:
AUDJPY:
NZDJPY:
USDJPY: 2 entries total for BE
Original Analysis/Forecast:
Any questions, comments and feedback welcome to let me know.
If you like more of these contents, like, subscribe/follow and comment for me to keep doing them. :)
Jojo
M-pattern
Weekly Trading Recap: CHFJPY, CADJPY, EURJPY, NASDAQ Sep 18 2021
Hello everyone:
Welcome back to this week’s trading recap video.
Let's take a look at the trades entered/closed this week from me.
I will explain my approach on the entry, SL, TP and management.
CHFJPY: running +3% profit
Full analysis/forecast:
CADJPY:
First Entry -1% loss
Second Entry - running +3% profit
Full analysis/forecast:
EURJPY:
Out for +2.8% profit
Full analysis/forecast:
NASDAQ: 2 entries, closed down for total -2%
Full analysis/forecast:
USDJPY:
Out for -1.0% loss. Overall BE on 2 entries
Full analysis/forecast:
Any questions, comments or feedback please let me know. :)
Thank you
Jojo
Weekly Trading Recap: USDJPY, EURJPY, XRPUSD, Sept 11 2021Hello everyone:
Welcome back to this week’s trading recap video.
Let's take a look at the trades entered/closed this week from me.
I will explain my approach on the entry, SL, TP and management.
USDJPY:
First Entry: +1% profit.
Second Entry: Running about -0.5% loss
Full analysis/forecast:
EURJPY:
First Entry - 1% loss
Second entry -Running about +3% profit
Full analysis/forecast:
XRPUSD: Closed down for +1.5% profit
Full analysis/forecast:
Any questions, comments or feedback please let me know. :)
Thank you
Jojo
EURJPY Multi-Time Frame Price Action Analysis, and Backtesting
Hi everyone:
Let's take a detailed look into EURJPY’s current price action, what my analysis and forecast so far,
and do some backtesting on previous prices to give us a positive outlook on the potential bearish continuation price.
Starting from the Higher time frame, clear double tops, and ascending channel reversal are very noticeable. Then the price had a bearish reversal impulse phase, pushing the price down.
After we begin to see a consolidation, forming a potential expanding correction, which can give us opportunity for a continuation of the bearish move.
Following up on my EURJPY analysis I post, I took 2 entries so far:
First trade - 1% loss
Price wasn't ready to reverse and correctively move sideways/up, tagged me out for a loss.
Second Trade - Enter after a rising wedge, “M” style reversal correction.
Currenting Running about +2%
Original Full analysis/forecast:
So 2 TP to look out for are:
Now, let's do some backtesting on the EURJPY previous price action.
From the Higher Time Frame:
Similar price action in the past, can provide us a higher probability trade to enter for the downside.
The more backtesting we do, the more confidence we get at identifying the next potential impulse phase where we can capitalize.
Any questions, comments, or feedback welcome to let me know :)
Thank you
Some backtesting video I made in the past:
Backtesting & Chartwork on Forex Market
Backtesting & Chartwork on Indices Market
Backtesting & Chartwork on Crypto Market
How & Why I backtest:
Prevent Blowing an account by backtesting:
Weekly Trading Recap: XRPUSD, EURUSD, SILVER, AUDNZD Sep 04 2021Hello everyone:
Welcome back to this week’s trading recap video.
Let's take a look at the trades entered/closed this week from me.
I will explain my approach on the entry, SL, TP and management.
XRPUSD: Running about +2% profit
Full analysis/forecast:
EURUSD: 2 positions out for +7.9% profit
Full analysis/forecast:
SILVER: out for +0.25% profit
Full analysis/forecast:
USDJPY: out for BE
Full analysis/forecast:
AUDNZD: - 1% loss
Full analysis/forecast:
Any questions, comments or feedback please let me know. :)
Thank you
Jojo
EURUSD Did You Buy from the bottom ? What to expect now ?
Hi everyone:
Let's take a detailed look into EURUSD bullish up move since last week, and what to expect from the current price action moving forward.
We can start off by looking at the HTF overall price action, and properly identify the corrective phase on the HTF could be potentially finished, and the next impulse up move can begin.
Start looking at the LTF price action, there are many reversal price action developments at the bottom to give us clues on the bullish reversal potential.
Once price had the first initial impulse phase on the LTF, we start to see further upside from the price, as they continue to form bullish corrections, followed by bullish impulse and so on.
Now that price has broken above the previous high, around 1.18, no signs of slowing down at the current stage. So what can we expect now from the price ?
Preferably is to see if price has enough momentum to break above the top of the HTF descending structure, and continue to form bullish correction to push to the next highs.
Alternatively, if price fails to break out, and there are LTF reversal price action at the top of the structure, then look to secure profit by moving up the SL and observe the price.
Take a look at DXY, we can also see clear USD weakness can happen.
As a good risk management, focusing on the best 1-2 USD pairs to evolve would be ideal.
Any questions, comments or feedback welcome to let me know thank you :)
How to use trendline to identify price action structure/patternHi everyone:
Many have asked me about how to properly use trendlines to identify price action structures and patterns. So in today’s educational video, I will go over this topic in more detail.
First, I use the trendline as a “frame” to identify structures and patterns, and NOT use it as a Support/Resistance.
What I do is to put in the trendline for the highs and lows of the price action that can help me to pinpoint what the price is doing, what kind of a correctional structure that it is currently in.
Typically after an impulse phase of the market, then we start to identify a structure/pattern by connecting the swing highs and lows.
Second, as I always point out in my videos/streams, a structure/pattern needs at least 2 swing highs and lows to classify as a structure.
Certainly more swing highs and lows are good, but it's not necessary. Often I get asked about the “third touch” or more. To me it's not necessary, but if price does form the third touch, I would proceed the same as the price has a second touch.
Third, we are identifying the price action correctional structure, and sometimes the market is not perfect, it will not give you a textbook looking bullish flag as an example.
Hence the backtesting and chartwork from each trader is important to get your mind familiarized with the market and its “imperfect” development of the price action.
After identifying the impulse phase, then look to see what the market is doing. Is it falling into a consolidation ?
Not much movement except sideway price action, or ascending/descending like consolidation will give you a clue on whether the price is correcting to continue, or correcting to reverse.
Take a look at the educational videos I have made in the past regarding the type of correctional structures we typically see in the market. All the videos are down below.
Continue to backtest and do chart work to get familiar with drawing in the structures/patterns. The more you do these, the better and easier it is for you to identify them in your trading journey.
Remember, the market is not perfect, so not all the structures/patterns will be “Textbook” like on the real, live market. Learn to deal with the “imperfect” market, so you can better utilize price action analysis to your advantage.
Any questions, comments or feedback welcome to let me know :)
Thank you
Below are all my price action structures/patterns videos on different type of corrections.
Continuation and Reversal Correction
Identify a correction for the next impulse move in price action analysis
Impulse VS Correction
Multi-time frame analysis
Continuation Bull/Bear Flag
Parallel Channel (Horizontal, Ascending, Descending)
Reversal Ascending/Descending Channel
Reversal Rising/Falling Wedge
Reversal Double Top/Bottom
Reversal Head & Shoulder Pattern
Reversal “M” and “W” style pattern
Reversal Impulse Price Action
Continuation/Reversal Expanding Structure/Pattern
Weekly Trading Recap: EURUSD, SILVER,CARDANO August 29 2021Hello everyone:
Welcome back to this week’s trading recap video.
Let's take a look at the trades entered/closed this week from me.
I will explain my approach on the entry, SL, TP and management.
EURUSD: 2 positions running for +5.5% profit
Full analysis/forecast:
SILVER: Running position, +0.5% profit
Full analysis/forecast:
ADAUSD: 2 positions closed down for BE total
Full analysis/forecast:
Any questions, comments or feedback please let me know. :)
Thank you
Jojo
US INDICES..What can you expect from the bearish price action ?
Hello everyone:
Let's take a closer look into the US indices overall, specifically on NASDAQ, SPX, DOW JONES. With the latest development from the lower time frames, we can potentially get the larger bearish correction that we have been patiently waiting for.
Take a look at the price action from a multi-time frame, top down approach. We can reasonably see some higher time frame developments are similar in the past from the Coronavirus period, and bearish price action on the lower time frames as well.
NASDAQ
Higher Time Frame:
Lower Time Frame:
SPX -
Higher Time Frame:
Lower Time Frame:
DOW JONES -
Higher Time Frame:
Lower Time Frame:
Any questions, comments or feedback, welcome to let me know :) thank you
Weekly Trading Recap: EURUSD, USDJPY, SILVER, NZDCHF Aug 14 2021Hello everyone:
Welcome back to this week’s trading recap video.
Let's take a look at the trades entered/closed this week from me.
I will explain my approach on the entry, SL, TP and management.
EURUSD: Running +2% profit
Full analysis/forecast:
USDJPY: Running +3% profit
Full analysis/forecast:
SILVER: First Trade -1% loss
Second Trade running +1% profit
Full analysis/forecast:
NZDCHF: Closed down for +3.35% profit
Full analysis/forecast:
GBPAUD: Closed down for +1% profit
Full analysis/forecast:
AUDCAD: closed down for -1% loss
Full analysis/forecast:
Any questions, comments or feedback please let me know. :)
Thank you
Jojo
Detail Price Action Outlook on GOLD & SILVER
Hello traders:
Let's take a closer look into GOLD and SILVER.
As we have seen some strong bearish moves from market opens this week, let's take a look at it from a technical, price action point of view.
GOLD
From my previous outlook on GOLD:
Price indeed made a push down to the swing lows, which could be forming double bottoms.
What we need to watch out for on the lower time frames to see if there's bullish reversal price action, followed by continuation correction for the buys.
or
If price manages to continue to drop lower than the previous swing lows, then expect the price to continue lower to the bottom of the HTF parallel channel structure, before a big reversal up move.
SILVER
Long Term Outlook on Silver:
From my previous short term outlook on Silver:
Similar developments like GOLD, we see price does push down to the previous swing lows as well.
This is a good area to watch for price development as we could be forming a larger, deeper HTF continuation correction that may be at the bottom of potential reversal area.
Alternatively, if price pushes down lower the previous swing lows, but moving in the corrective phase, then we can still expect the bullish reversal up move once correction completes.
Any questions, comments or feedback please let me know. :)
Thank you
Jojo
AUD/NZD update! potential long soon in accordance with my previous forecast where i took a BE and some profit out of the short from, price is now at the 90% rule of the structure, where i am looking for price to break the low before moving in the forecasted direction long. if price is to form an element of structure leading to the third touch breaking the low to the left (the 90% rule) i will be looking to play the area, and structure and enter on a 4H time frame, and will hold this position over the next coming weeks. - there will be scale ins along the way and this is something i will be looking at also.
have a good week everyone!
Best Candlestick Patterns
Long Wick (Shadow) Candle: Buyers or sellers tried to push the price further but failed
The inside bar: After a long wick could mean price change
Also engulfing is a reversal signal.
Momentum candle:
Multiple rejections: Good resistance and sign of price rejection and reversal
Shrinking candles: Loss of momentum
3 consecutive candles in the same colour: indicate the start of a new trend.
Big red candle: bearish
Doji: Open and close are similar and we have shadows on both sides. Can be a signal for reversal if the next candle shapes in a different colour from the previous one.
Hammer: bullish
Inverted hammer: bearish
Weekly Trading Recap: NZDCHF, GBPAUD, EURUSD, EURAUD, Aug 7 2021Hello everyone:
Welcome back to this week’s trading recap video.
Let's take a look at the trades entered/closed this week from me.
I will explain my approach on the entry, SL, TP and management.
NZDCHF: Running about +1.25% profit
Full analysis/forecast:
GBPAUD: running about -0.6% loss
First Entry: Close down for BE
Second Entry:
Full analysis/forecast:
EURUSD: Close down for +1.1% profit
Full analysis/forecast:
EURAUD: Close down for +0.51% profit
Full analysis/forecast:
Any questions, comments or feedback please let me know. :)
Thank you
Jojo
Weekly Trading Recap: EURUSD, USDJPY, ETH, EURAUD July 31 2021Hello everyone:
Welcome back to this week’s trading recap video.
Let's take a look at the trades entered/closed this week from me.
I will explain my approach on the entry, SL, TP and management.
EURUSD: Running about +0.5% profit
Full analysis/forecast:
USDJPY: Out for +0.51% profit
Full analysis/forecast:
ETHEREUM: Out for BE
Full analysis/forecast:
EURAUD: 1% loss
Full analysis/forecast:
Any questions, comments or feedback please let me know. :)
Closer look into Rising/Falling Wedge, Reversal Price Action
Closer look into Rising/Falling Wedge, Reversal Price Action structures/patterns
Hi traders:
Today I will go more in detail on rising/falling wedge correction in price action structures/patterns.
You might have already heard about these types of correctional structures, and many traders who utilize them.
Certainly there are many ways of traders identifying them and taking advantage of these kinds of price action, so it's ideal for you to understand them in your analysis.
We first need to understand that a rising/falling wedge is a REVERSAL price action. Meaning when the correction completes, there's a higher probability of the price to reverse.
You might have already seen multiple price action videos from me that go over all sorts of continuation and reversal price action (I will share links below),
and I always talk about when combining multiples of different price action structures/patterns will give you a better edge at entering positions that work out in your favor.
Same idea here, so let's take a look at how rising/falling wedges are, how to identify them, and how to effectively use them in your analysis.
Rising/falling wedge, just as the name suggests, is an ascending/descending type of correction where the price is getting squeezed into a “wedge”.
As the price gets narrower and narrower, there's a higher probability of the price to “reverse” from the wedge.
Now about entries, certainly many traders have their own method of entering, so I will share my point of view and the way how I like to enter them.
Any questions, comments or feedback welcome to let me know :)
Thank you
Risk Management: 3 different entries on how to enter the impulsive phrase of price action
Multi-time frame analysis
Identify a correction for the next impulse move in price action analysis
Continuation and Reversal Correction
Continuation Bull/Bear Flag
Parallel Channel (Horizontal, Ascending, Descending)
Reversal Ascending/Descending Channel
Reversal Double Top/Bottom
Reversal Head & Shoulder Pattern
Reversal “M” and “W” style pattern
Reversal Impulse Price Action
Continuation/Reversal Expanding Structure/Pattern
Gartley Pattern Trading Strategy
Gartley patterns are harmonic chart patterns based on Fibonacci numbers.
The first stop-loss point is often positioned at Point X and the take-profit is often set at point Fibonacci retracement numbers.
I normally open 3 small positions or a big position and close partially at 0.618, 0.5 and 0.382 Fibonacci numbers.
Weekly Trading Recap NASDAQ, USDJPY, CHFJPY, EURAUD July 24 2021Hello everyone:
Welcome back to this week’s trading recap video.
Let's take a look at the trades entered/closed this week from me.
I will explain my approach on the entry, SL, TP and management.
NASDAQ: +1.83%
Full analysis/forecast:
USDJPY: +1.50%
Full analysis/forecast:
CHFJPY: +1.60%
Full analysis/forecast:
EURAUD: -1.00%
Full analysis/forecast:
Any questions, comments or feedback please let me know. :)
Thank you
Continuation & Reversal Correction in price action structures
In-depth look at Continuation & Reversal Correction in price action structures/patterns
Hi everyone:
Today I want to revisit the fundamental aspect of trading impulsive and corrective phases in Price Action Analysis.
As you all know I focus on multi-time frame analysis and forecasting/anticipating the next impulsive move in the market.
To me, the most important part of identifying the next impulsive phase of the market, is to understand how correction works.
An impulse phase usually happens after a correction has finished correcting, so the key is to identify and understand how a corrections structure will complete so we anticipate the next impulsive move.
You may have seen my videos on this topic, but today I will go more in detail on this, and explain the 2 types of correctional structure the market can create.
The market can only be in 2 phases, impulsive phrase or corrective phrase.
In addition, the corrective phrase can only be continuation, or reversal.
So to fully have an edge in the market, is to understand what the correctional structure the price is currently making,
whether a continuation/reversal, then forecast the possible price outlook, and go down to the lower time frames for possible entries.
Now, it's important to understand that different traders/strategies/styles will call these patterns/structures in varies names.
What they are called or identify isn't important, but the important aspect is to understand whether they are continuation, or they are reversal.
In addition, simply seeing price action structures/patterns by itself, is not a good enough entry criteria for me.
You want to combine multi- time frame analysis, top-down approach, and with multiples of these price actions all happening so it adds extra confluence for you to enter a particular trade.
Seeing a H and S pattern, on a 5 minute chart, without considering the overall HTF and other factors, will not be a consistent move in the long run.
Continuation Correctional Structure/Pattern
Bullish/Bearish Flag
Bullish/Bearish Pennant
Parallel Channel
Reversal Correctional Structure/Pattern
Ascending/Descending Channel
Rising/Falling Wedge
Double Top/Bottom
Head & Shoulder Pattern/Inverse H and S
“M” and “W” style pattern
Reversal Impulse Price Action
I will forward all the price action structures/patterns videos I have made in the past to help you understand each of the structures more.
Impulse VS Correction
Multi-time frame analysis
Identify a correction for the next impulse move in price action analysis
Continuation Bull/Bear Flag
Parallel Channel (Horizontal, Ascending, Descending)
Reversal Ascending/Descending Channel
Reversal Double Top/Bottom
Reversal Head & Shoulder Pattern
Reversal “M” and “W” style pattern
Reversal Impulse Price Action
Continuation/Reversal Expanding Structure/Pattern
Any questions, comments or feedback please let me know. :)
Thank you
Jojo
How to manage & deal with consecutive losses in trading ?
Trading Psychology: How to manage & deal with losses/consecutive losses in trading ?
Hi everyone:
Today I want to go over a very key trading psychology lesson on how to deal with losses, especially consecutive losses.
This is bound to happen to any traders, whether you are new or experienced. ITs something all professional traders will have to deal with on a regular basis.
Understand that, dealing with losses psychologically is the key factor in the success of a trader.
This is because losses are inevitable, and trading is a probability, which trades that you take will end up both in wins and losses.
However, traders usually can not accept losses, due to their ego, greed and other emotional factors.
Aside from having a good risk management, trading plan, and trading strategies, traders can still experience the psychological emotions of losing.
This is due to the fact that we are humans and we are an “emotional” animal. We don't want to be wrong, at all.
Taking a loss is like getting slapped in the face by the market, which we have egos to fight against.
What ends up after taking losses or consecutive losses, it puts traders at a disadvantage where their emotion is high, and likely to “revenage” trade to chase back losses, which end up in a deeper hole.
To deal with such psychological phenomena, take a step back and observe your situation:
First, did you follow your trading plan/strategy on how to enter, set SL/TP, and management ?
Second, did you take an emotional trade due to greed or fear of missing out ?
Third, have you journal down your losses and review them to make sure they are trades you really want to risk your capitals on ?
By now you will see why we need to review these. Trading is a probability, not right or wrong. It's a random variable that you are putting your $ at risk.
So if you understand the rules and plans that you follow and execute a trade accordingly,
then there should NOT be any negative emotions towards the outcome of the trades, whether they are winners or losers.
When I discuss the trades I entered every week in my trade recaps videos, I am always happy to enter a position, even if it goes to a loss.
This is because I have done enough backtesting, chart work, and plan to enter a position.
I understand strictly from a probability point of view, I could have a higher strike rate, and more often the trades will end up as a winner rather than a loser.
However, I also understand and acknowledge that some trades will end up in a loss, disregard mine technical analysis or other’s fundamental analysis. It is what trading is all about.
When I have consecutive losses, I will always review the 3 points I mentioned above and make sure they are all valid for me.
Then I simply will take 1 day off from the market, chart, phone, and just get your mind clear. Come back strong after 1-2 days of rest, and have a positive mindset.
What traders often do when they have consecutive losses is to right away re-enter back into the market and try to chase back their losses.
This has always been the downfall of losing and it creates anxiety in traders’ minds.
Such a negative experience is going to stay in the traders’ mind longer and deeper, compared to consecutive winners.
So wise we understand that is the case how our brain is "programmed” into thinking, then it's up to us to do the opposite, and fight the urge to “revenge” our losses.
At the end of the day, no one is trading your trading account, except yourself.
Taking ownership of your account, learning to control our emotions, understanding the probability side of trading, and learning to let go, drop our ego will help us in the long run in this industry.
I hope these pointers can help some traders who are still struggling with this concept.
It's impossible not to take losses, but professional traders deal with it on a regular basis and still remain consistent in the long run.
Thank you
I will forward some Trading Psychology educational videos below on some of the topics explained today.
Trading Psychology: Revenge Trading
Trading Psychology: Fear Of Missing Out
Trading Psychology: Over Leveraged Trading
Trading Psychology: Is there Stop Loss Hunting in Trading ? How to deal with it ?
Weekly Trading Recap: NASDAQ, USDJPY, CHFJPY July 17th 2021Hello everyone:
Welcome back to this week’s trading recap video.
Let's take a look at the trades entered/closed this week from me.
I will explain my approach on the entry, SL, TP and management.
NASDAQ: Running about +1%
Full analysis/forecast:
USDJPY: Running about BE
Full analysis/forecast:
CHFJPY: Running about BE
Full analysis/forecast:
Any questions, comments or feedback please let me know. :)
Thank you
Jojo
BEST pattern BTCThis is the strongest Bitcoin Pattern. Its called the Ladel Pattern, and it Starts when BTC reaches All-time high.
The Ladel pattern has been consistently appearing at every major all-time high of BTC. And the accuracy of this pattern is pretty high as you’ll see in this video.
People are used to “One Size Fits All Patterns”. The ladle pattern is proof that each Currency/Stock does have their own unique patterns that cannot be found in the traditional textbook pattern list.
I also mention in this video that BTC likes to fall 80% from all-time highs. This is also a strong indication that BTC might go back down to the $10k-$15k range.
Many new traders/investors are tunnel-visioned on the current price. They forget to take a step back and look at the big picture. I’ve met BTC traders who said that BTC never fell more than 50% in its lifetime. Those are the traders that never looked at BTC chart before 2020.