What to look out for now S+P failing at its 200 dmaIn this video I show the major resistance that the S+P faces and is currently stalling at, I talk about the support levels which need to break which should trigger further weakness. But I also talk about confirmed buy and sell signals on the DMI, One that needs to go back on the radar.
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Stocks!
$META: WATCH OUT BELOW! BEARS COMING🔸️Ticker Symbol: META 🔸️Timeframe: 4 Hour 🔸️3X Bear Pattern 🔸️Investment Strategy: Short
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS: $META is currently in a bear regression trend channel to the downside. When we are trading in this trend, I like to look for areas where we could see a push lower to capitalize on price action. Along with being in a bear trend we also have our white line "money movement" shifting out of the market in conjunction with a red dot meaning a "key EMA crossover" on our dashboard below. If we continue in this pattern, I do believe we could see a test of approx. $169
4X 🟢 Bull Pattern Confirmation Requirements
✅️ Linear Regression Indicator Increasing
✅️ Money Momentum Shifting Higher
✅️ Green Dot: Key EMA Crossover to Upside
✅️ Green Middle Band: Bull Market Momentum
4X 🔴 Bear Pattern Confirmation Requirements
🔻 Linear Regression Indicator Declining
🔻 Money Momentum Shifting Lower
🔻 Red Dot: Key EMA Crossover to the Downside
🔻 Red Middle Band: Bear Market Momentum
🔔 Follow for daily stock, crypto and forex technical analysis.
⚠️ Trading is risky, and I understand nothing is guaranteed. Proper risk management should be in place at all times to minimize losses. Please consult a financial advisor before trading. All Inclusive Trading LLC is not a financial advisor and may not be held liable for any losses which may occur.
🏆TSLA: 4X BULL PATTERN CONFIRMED🔸️Ticker Symbol: TSLA 🔸️Timeframe: 4 Hour 🔸️4X Bull Pattern 🔸️Investment Strategy: Long
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS: TSLA is currently in a 4X Bull Pattern forming on the 4H timeframe. We have all four of our indicators suggesting we could see a push higher come Monday August 15th. Our money momentum is heading in an upward direction, we have a green dot representing a key EMA crossover to the upside, our middle band on the dashboard has switched over form red to green and our regression trend indicator is moving higher. Historically in the past when this setup has occurred, we did see a nice move higher. Have a great weekend and I'll see you Monday!
4X 🟢 Bull Pattern Confirmation Requirements
✅️ Linear Regression Indicator Increasing
✅️ Money Momentum Shifting Higher
✅️ Green Dot: Key EMA Crossover to Upside
✅️ Green Middle Band: Bull Market Momentum
4X 🔴 Bear Pattern Confirmation Requirements
🔻 Linear Regression Indicator Declining
🔻 Money Momentum Shifting Lower
🔻 Red Dot: Key EMA Crossover to the Downside
🔻 Red Middle Band: Bear Market Momentum
🔔 Follow for daily stock, crypto and forex technical analysis.
⚠️ Trading is risky, and I understand nothing is guaranteed. Proper risk management should be in place at all times to minimize losses. Please consult a financial advisor before trading. All Inclusive Trading LLC is not a financial advisor and may not be held liable for any losses which may occur.
🏆$BAC: BEAR SIGNS OF A PUSH LOWER!🔸️Ticker Symbol: BAC 🔸️Timeframe: 4 Hour 🔸️Bear Pattern 🔸️Investment Strategy: Short
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS: $BAC on the 4H timeframe is trading in a neutral regression trend. When we are trading sideways, I like to look at the bottom dashboard to get a better feel for potential market direction. The white line which represents "money momentum" we can tell is in the top red "selling section" while our candles are also testing the top red deviation level on the regression trend indicator. Historically in the past this has acted as a potential sign we could see a push lower on $BAC giving me an investment strategy of SHORT. Have a great day trading!
4X 🟢 Bull Pattern Confirmation Requirements
✅️ Linear Regression Indicator Increasing
✅️ Money Momentum Shifting Higher
✅️ Green Dot: Key EMA Crossover to Upside
✅️ Green Middle Band: Bull Market Momentum
4X 🔴 Bear Pattern Confirmation Requirements
🔻 Linear Regression Indicator Declining
🔻 Money Momentum Shifting Lower
🔻 Red Dot: Key EMA Crossover to the Downside
🔻 Red Middle Band: Bear Market Momentum
⚠️ Trading is risky, and I understand nothing is guaranteed. Proper risk management should be in place at all times to minimize losses. Please consult a financial advisor before trading. All Inclusive Trading LLC is not a financial advisor and may not be held liable for any losses which may occur.
US Recession? We will Sink at least 50% For a Recession.Between the 2008 great financial housing crisis, the end of the dotcom bubble in the year 2000, the 1970s stagflation recession, and the great depression of 1929 all have one thing in common. The market retraced at least 50% from it's peak. I personally believe the US economy is in conditions for a recession that will at least sink 50% or more if we were to compare to past indicators and technical conditions of a recession.
Just my opinion take it with a grain of salt. At the end of the day past is no indicator of the future. However history doesn't repeat itself it often rhymes. There's been a lot of rhymes I'm seeing. Much peace, love, health, and wealth!
Safer way to Be long BABA DOTM 80 PutHi everyone,
China this am came out with a better tone toward their tech industry and markets.
Assuming that geo political events do not get worse between the USA vs China.
I am making a Long term asset accumulation bet on Alibaba
1) I discuss straight stock asset ownership
vs
2) Getting an income by selling the deep out of the money 80 strike September put for $9.15 resulting in a
11.43% ROI as of this writing, also providing us a safety of margin from current $97 price to 70.85 assignment cost
2 Outcomes
a) stocks goes up and stay above the 80 strike by the September Expiration date we pocket the 11.43% or $9.15
b) Stocks tank below 80 get called and I own Alibaba stock the asset, at a price I already decided was a comfortable and good support around (assignment price $80-9.15)=70.85
Hope it helps this strategy is only valid with two things in mind
1)buy asset you love and want to keep for the long term
2)be prepared to hold if it goes below 70.85 and be confident enough of the long term 5-20 years for the underlying stock as an asset in this case Alibaba
Hope it helps
Marc
DOW - Bear Market Rally ThoughtsBears have had not had so much fun and confidence since 2008 as the Inflation/recession combo and aggressive rate hikes keeps the bad news for stocks rolling in.
Relief rallies will come from oversold conditions but also understanding the narratives driving the selling will help spot the reversal stories, we had one yesterday from large drop in Oil and inflation expectations but the rally only lasted 1 day and quickly the bears have taken back control.
A more serious pivot would be 1-2 months of US CPI dropping and if Oil continues to fall this is likely but it will take a bit of time. US Yields if they drop back more could also turn the market but would have to get back under 3.0% and we in middle of hiking so that is likely further down the road.
Ukraine Peace talks, China Trade Tariff reduction all possible major stories that could prompt a large relief here.
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“Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. easyMarkets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party."
DOUBLE TOP!!! S&P 500 CHART AND MARKET BREAKDOWNANOTHER analysis using the monthly, weekly and daily timeframe to see price action and its movements on the S&P 500...
Crypto Decouples From Stocks. Is the "Flippening" on its Way?On Friday the (currently volatile) stock market rallied a little, putting Wall Street somewhat at ease. But an interesting thing happened that day that never happened before - crypto assets actually went down, instead of up.
If you're a crypto holder you're probably prefer to see the pattern reversed, but it's still an interesting pattern worth exploring further. If crypto and stocks are finally "decoupled", does this mean that when stocks go down next time, crypto is going to go up? If so, when the recession hits later this year, it could mean good things for the crypto ecosystem, long-term. The "flippening" may well be on its way.
Many investors are waiting to see what happens on Monday, when Wall Street opens up again - the fiat markets are likely to go down again in response to Friday's rally, at least in the short-term. How will crypto assets respond to this event? Will it move in parallel again? Or will it do its own thing?
Also a few comments about Tezos (XTZ) and Dogecoin (DOGE) that displayed independent movement on Friday as well.
APPL Detecting Successful Trades Without Needing a SubscriptionI see a successful trade as a trade either makes money or mitigates losses and further loses. An example of this is the trade I made on may 17th and exited 5 minutes into the day of May 18th. The price dropped 5% further.
Long story short, I have thought APPL looked like crap since April 7th, when both Hull averages on the day and 4HR timeframe lined up in a bad way just days after APPL was set up in a bullish formation (with my indicators). To me, that kind of movement is a standard signal for significant downwards movement.
Possible downwards targets where I look for action. Key mention. When looking for a buy I expect nothing to bounce 100% anywhere. I almost ALWAYS look at price action at these areas. I never expect a bounce or drop for sure just because a line resides there.
Downwards targets:
118-122
79-88
I list the possible upwards targets in the video, but if somehow APPL does go up, it most likely has a lot of bumps on the way. Saying definitive upwards targets seems disingenuous.
The 2 Indicators I use are listed in the first 30 seconds of the video. By using only 2 indicators, this means that anyone can use this strategy to analyze on TV without needing to buy a subscription. I still recommend the subscription for analyzing, because I enjoy double charts.
DoubleHull by KivancOzbilgic (375 and 500 length Hull moving averages)
SMMA (200 length Smoothed moving average) Not the SMA! (Simple moving average)
If you'd like, you can check my Related Idea "Market Update: Being right is boring" below. I mention APPL at the 2 Minute mark.
I also added the Related Idea "How I Analyze the Market in 20 minutes." which gives a more in depth look with more examples of how I analyze the overall market using the 500/375 Double Hulls and several tickers. Check it out if you enjoy.
Take care and stay healthy yall.
Why Shorting support & Longing resistance gets traders REKT!INDEX:BTCUSD INDEX:ETHUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FRED:SP500 NASDAQ:NDX
I see this time and time again - no matter if you are trading, cryptocurrency, commodities, indices or stocks, the principle remains the same:
Shorting at support and longing at resistance is GENERALLY not a good idea.
I show you examples in the video and explain why.
There is however a good time to short at support - i.e. When it has flipped into resistance after the retest, changing the market structure - and the inverse is true for longs.
If this video helped you, please consider leaving a thumbs up and a comment if you have any questions!
Learn, learn and then learn some more!
Not financial advice. DYOR. Papertrade before using real money
NZD/USD - BUY SET UP AS INTEREST RATES IN NEW ZEALAND RISE We are highly likely to see a strong recovery in the New Zealand Dollar Against the U.S Dollar as interest rates in New Zealand continue to rise.
Markets expect the Reserve Bank of New Zealand to raise the cash rate to 3.50% by year-end, which will be a premium 0.75% to 1.00% Interest rate over the U.S.
This means any investors holding short positions in NZD/USD will lose money holding the position open overnight.
The U.S Dollar has been strong in recent weeks as stock markets have fallen due to the Federal Reserves' commitment to raising interest rates aggressively to contain inflation running at 8.30%. When stock markets fall globally, investors historically sell international currencies and flood into the safety of the U.S Dollar, as its the worlds reserve currency.
However, when stocks recover as they always do, investors will quickly sell dollars and move back into international currencies as they invest globally in equities again, causing the dollar to weaken in exchange rates and push up NZD/USD.
ADSK
The breakdown of the double bottom and the lack of demand gave me a good sell signal. The sector is in decline. My Wyckoff zone liquidity zone indicator clearly identified the zone to which the price was attracted
Click like subscribe necessarily if the review came in! Then I will post more ideas .
My chat for learning and analysis Wyckoff Analytics search in chats and subscribe
Friends, I conduct training in an individual format and in a limited number of students, since a large number will interfere with my trading!
The training course includes :
The Wyckoff Method
Demark method
VSA
A trading method tailored to your psychotype
Psychology of trading
For details, write in a personal message
I can also introduce you to my own unique indicators , of my own design
Wykoff Zone (You determine the activity and zones of smart money and also gives buy and sell signals )
is a Demark indicator that has no analogues on the platform - since most of the indicator are far from the essence of the Demark technique and are too simplified , which violates the basics of the principle
For investors, I can shift a 2-week lazy investor course where you can learn how to invest correctly and in which stocks + the tic-tac-toe method
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$CHPT up 32% in the last 7 Days will we see profit taking? No doubt chargepoint is a great company and is cheaper than last year. BUT we are still in a bear market, can we see some profit taking or will we see it continue to trend up. I believe we will see some red and profit taking and will come down just a bit before another run.
05/17/2022 Pre Market ThoughtsMacro: Bearish
Micro: Bullish
Just watch the video for the main idea. I make sure to go over my main thoughts within the first 3 minutes. Every thing else is just checking on the normal tickers.
Some of the tickers:
Doge, ADA, BTC, ETH, CVNA, APPL, SPY, AMZN, MARPS, VIX, FL, TWTR, UPST, and BILL.
Nothing has really changed from yesterday. I am looking for that STARTING candle of appl above or around $148. Still expecting it to top around $162.5 in early to mid June, distribute, then back down to new lows under 140.
WEEKLY SPX/SPY UPDATEAMEX:SPY SP:SPX
Whats up everybody! hope everyone had a good weekend and also happy mothers day!
taking a look at the SPY/SPX here again as i do every Sunday to prepare for the week ahead
looking at the chart i could easily see us going down to test the 400 level for the SPY
Thats where the gap fill is and we are already so close to this level it just makes the most sense that we would at the very least come down to finally fill that gap.
not much else to really report. Just more of the same as the markets continue to sell.
no signs of a reversal yet and i do see some more downside potential as a whole.
let me know what you think in the comments. and good luck to everyone this week!
happy trading
mindset matters