Stocks!
Dissecting SPY Price trends With Fibonacci Price TheoryHave you ever wanted to learn the one technique you can use on any chart, any interval, or any technical or price set up to help you become a better trader?
Let me show you the basics of Fibonacci Price Theory and how to use it.
Price is always seeking new highs or new lows - ALWAYS.
You'll hear others talking about price filling voids or moving through accumulation/distribution phases - which is all true. Price moves through these support/resistance levels or quickly through price voids to reach new highs or lows. This is all part of Fibonacci Price Theory.
When you learn to understand various intervals using this technique (Weekly, Daily, 30 Min, or others), you'll quickly be able to identify short-term, long-term, and intra-day trends like a pro.
It is not about catching every trend reversal/setup. This technique is about teaching you to stay on the right side of trend and to target the Sweet Spot in the middle of breakaway/breakdown trends.
Follow my research. Learn how I can help you become a better trader.
Metals Setup Apex "V" (PANIC) Bottom - Rally Will ContinueGold and Silver are setting up a nearly perfect deep "V" bottom after a bout of PANIC selling over the past few weeks. This sets up a move for Gold to rally above $2250 and Silver to rally above $28.50.
Ultimately, I believe Gold will exit the Setup Phase and peak in the next phase, the Breakaway Phase, above $2450. Silver will follow with a rally to levels above $31 as it moves away from the Setup Phase and peaks in the Breakaway Phase.
These are big moves for Gold and Silver - 15% to 25% or more.
This also sends a clear message to the general/global markets that traders are hedging the uncertainties of the conflicts and the central bank/global economy credit issues. I see the next 14 months, before the US POTUS elections (Nov 2024) and possibly a few months beyond, as very concerning for the US/Global markets.
Where will the economic growth come from to drive expansion? China is contracting. Asia is contracting. Europe is contracting. The US is still operating reasonably well, considering much higher interest rates. Canada is still holding up okay, considering an extremely over-inflated asset bubble.
How long before something breaks if the US Fed decides enough is enough and moves to PAUSE rate hikes?
I guess we won't see a pause in the US Fed until possibly May/June 2024. And that will drive a fear/hedging/panic cycle where USD assets and precious metals become an effective hedge against risks.
Pay attention. This next move in metals should be very explosive.
NFLX, Severe Factors to Confirm Huge BEARISH-Wave Breakout Next!Hello There!
Welcome to my new analysis of NFLX. The NFLX price action already determined a heavily bearishly inclined bear-market wave towards the downside printing a bearish wave of over -70% and liquidating a ton load of bull-trapped positions with the crucial bearish wave A. Now, NFLX is in this meager uptrend which is not anything than a next continuation pattern as the volume is decreasing and the institutional smart money operator's short-side positions increased heavily.
Now, NFLX is already approaching the crucial upper distribution resistance channel within the gigantic bearish descending channel formation from where the next bearish wave towards the downside is likely to emerge next. In this case, the next bearish wave acceleration phase is going to happen when NFLX breaks out below the 100-EMA which will be the last frontier to the massive bearish determinations to follow once this breakout happened.
With the huge ascending wedge formation that NFLX formed before the bear market decline, NFLX already set the origin of this bearishly inclined structure. This means that with the current weak uptrend that has no volume, no momentum, and no smart money backing the final bearish bear flag breakout is more than overwhelmingly likely. Once this breakout has been activated it is going to be the origin of the bearish expansion wave C towards the lower levels.
Taking all these factors into consideration NFLX is definitely a bearish inclined stock currently and the major disruptional bearish momentum continuations are likely to emerge anytime soon. In this case, it is necessary to approach the short-side opportunity appropriately, a potential entry setup has already formed as the volume declines more and more and NFLX already finalized the bear flag formation. Because of the significance of this whole bearishly inclined determination, I am keeping NFLX on the short candidate's watchlist.
Thank you everybody for watching my idea about NFLX. Support from your side is greatly appreciated.
"In a bear market, you have to use sharp countertrend rallies to sell."
VP
DELL, Massive BULLISH Price-Action Spikes, EXPANSION-Setup!Hello There!
Welcome to my new analysis of DELL. In recent times I have spotted and analyzed important setups in the stock market that have the ability to emerge with a worthwhile hedge against the severe inflation, recession, and supply-chain events currently going on. In today's times, it is more than necessary to pick the gems that have the potential to be the primary hedge for the crucial transformational events going on. In this case, my main approach within the stock market is to only pick the top trading setup opportunities to move forward with a total-return approach to hedge against bearish liquidation events.
With DELL, it has to be mentioned that DELL had the ability to emerge with this momentous all-time-high breakout printing this over 30% bullish spike wave towards the upside. In this case, the volume is also an important factor here, because without the increased volume this would just be a huge bull trap and the bears are likely to turn the market again. However, this is not the case and DELL had the ability to confirm this important bullish price-action spike with the necessary volume confirming it as a legit breakout and establishing the base for further expansions.
Together with this major all-time-high breakout DELL also is trending in this gigantic expansional wave-count with the wave A and B already being completed and now the wave C is within the expansion phase. This means that with the bull-flag formation that completed wave B the DELL price-action already set a 350% wave expansion target within the 180-200 area. Especially when the volatility as it is currently doing increases 3x, 4x, 5x, or more this means that these targets will be reached at a much faster pace than is the case with other setups in the market.
Currently, DELL is already forming the continuation setup with the ascending triangle on the local term which will be completed within the next time, especially when this happens with a high volatility the increased momentum will be determined. Because of the significance of this important setup and because DELL has been approved as a major potential gem I am keeping the stock on my watchlist and elevating important changes, especially in terms of events that could trigger a huge demand rally here.
Thank you everybody for watching my idea about DELL. Support from your side is greatly appreciated.
“Price is what you pay. Value is what you get.”
VP
IBM, This is Huge, Massive BULL-Acceleration, BREAKOUT-Setup!Hello There!
Welcome to my new analysis of IBM. In recent times I have analyzed the stock and I have detected major important historical determinations within the analytics backend that are actually indicating an epical breakout has a high potential to emerge within the next times. Not every stock within the market is bullish however with IBM there are clear signs that it already had the potential to rebound since the grievous corona market shock lows and now as digitization increases this is already building a bullish base for IBM.
Within my chart, I have detected this gigantic inverse head-shoulder formation in combination with the paramount bull flag formation, both being two bullish formations that have the potential to be major bullish trend accelerants once the breakout above the boundary has shown up this is going to activate a major double confirmation here. The trend is supported by the major underlying demand structure as well as the EMAs and the main ascending trend line. Once the final breakout above the upper boundary of the inverse head-shoulder formation in combination with the upper boundary of the bull flag has shown up this is going to accelerate the demand trend dynamics.
Taking all these factors into consideration here as digitization since the corona pullback lows have been completed increased massively this is increasing the actual digitization demand within the market and for a stock like IBM, this means that there is a main underlying demand base that is accelerating a bullish trend dynamic. Once the main breakouts as mentioned within the next times have shown up this is going to activate the minimum target of 250 and above further continuations have an increased potential once the main demand and momentum spread into the trend direction increases. Because of the importance of this setup forming here, I am keeping the stock in my current watchlist.
In this manner, thank you everybody for watching my analysis of IBM. Support from your side is greatly appreciated.
VP
SPY Cycle Patterns CRUSH Day Leads Bearish TrendingMy proprietary SPY Cycle Patterns are an advanced predictive modeling system based on Fibonacci, Gann, and price cycles.
The most incredible thing about these patterns is they predict future price action/trends many days, weeks, and months in advance - very accurately.
The accuracy ratio of the SPY Cycle Patterns is usually about 85 to 90%. There are times when it is wrong.
My proprietary research suggests we have entered a very dangerous new crisis phase. The SPY will likely target $404 or lower (possibly $393).
I'm posting this short video to help you prepare for what comes next.
Follow my research.
FNV, GOLD-Mine GEM to Complete Historical Triangle-EXPANSION!Hello There!
Welcome to my newest idea about FNV from the gold market perspective. In recent times, the gold market is approaching severe developments that could lead to major price-action disruptions in any case, especially with the important underlying dynamics to consider as I am doing it within the market. Major innovations and implementations within the gold market sector have the potential to accelerate the price-action dynamic so that stocks like gold mine stock have the potential to move on with historical breakouts like never seen in the gold market history. I have mentioned the gold market developments already in previous ideas and with FNV I have spotted a new gem within the market that can unfold its whole potential with the major gold-backed currency-system implementation developments ongoing.
Historical Gold Market Developments and What Should be Derived for Today´s Market:
Throughout history, gold rushes have shown that the market had the ability to convert the gold market into exponential growth rates almost overnight. Today, with the appropriate technology and innovation provided by a fourth industrial evolution development such measurements within the gold market can top everything seen before in the gold market history. An implementation of a gold-backed currency system even in a small or medium-sized economy field is going to accelerate the demand for gold and therefore also gold mines as it is the case with FNV in such a manner that a major breakout of the established price action will almost be inevitable.
Major Formation to Increase the Potential for a Massive Trend-Acceleration Simultaneously With a Gold-Backed Currency-System Implementation.
FNV is forming this gigantic epic ascending triangle formation with several bullish bouncing within the whole trend direction and the major bullish wave already established before. Furthermore, FNV has major support zones within the whole structure determined by the triangle boundary, the 65-EMA, and the horizontal supports. Now as FNV already penetrates the upper boundary of the major ascending wedge formation this means that a final breakout of the triangle formation above the upper boundary is not far away and especially in this case the full acceleration and implementation of the new gold-backed currency system could be one of the primary triggers of such a final breakout.
Upcoming Perspectives, Determinations, Targets, and Underlying Dynamics as well as the Overall Gold Market to Consider for a Conversion-Breakout Wave-Expansion:
Within my analysis, I spotted the most important metrics, key factors, and price levels to watch out for within the current development, and therefore the finalization of the final breakout and acceleration of the price dynamic is not far away. Once a breakout above the upper boundary of the paramount triangle formation has shown up this is going to mark the origin setup of the huge expansion wave to accelerate within the whole chart. In this case, FNV is going to mark a target zone of at least a 180% continuation. Especially, when the gold-backed currency-system implementation appropriately moves forward simultaneously with the breakout and expansion wave C this is going to accelerate the dynamic even above the levels of the upper target zones.
Especially, today we should look at history and see how innovations and important market changes could transform a market such as the gold market into epic price actions with growth rates above average. Taking this into the perspective of the market today this could be the origin of a major transformational market like never seen before. Therefore, it is necessary that the necessary technology is implemented to actually realize the full potential that results from a gold-backed currency system and the acceleration of gold mines. In this case, I am going to re-analyze the developments with the major key metrics to estimate the trend ongoing within the gold market. It will be an important development.
In this manner, thank you everybody for watching my analysis of CHFAUD. Support from your side is greatly appreciated.
VP
META, BEARISH MARKET-View, Enormous SHORT-Side-Indications!Hello There!
Welcome to my newest idea about META on the major underlying dynamics that I have spotted in the chart, conditions, and dashboard recently. META has turned out to be one of the most bearish dumpers in the market with a massive bearish pressure momentum wave of over -76.00% to the downside liquidating over 800 positions in the market and elevating a gigantic bearish indication for the whole chart.
The recent trend is looking rather weak because of the massively declining volume which is not supporting this weak uptrend. This means that when a bearish wave to the downside shows up this wave is going to accelerate because the volume of this undercurrent weak uptrend is declining more and more. Especially, with a major supply structure staying between the 290 and 360 levels this is going to have the same bearish origin condition as it has been seen within the massive bearish pressure -76.00% dump.
Investors are losing more and more trust in the stock since huge allegations over several years are not decreasing and it seems that investors are decreasing their stakes and position sizes within the stock. This is underlined by the fact that the volume is decreasing within this weak trend and is not supported by investors because if this should be the case the volume would rise. Taking this into perspective here the underlying increasing attractiveness of the stock is increasing the bearish case and decreasing the bullish case almost completely.
As META is now approaching the upper resistance cluster zones with resistances marked by the upper distribution level together with the supply zone levels that already have been the origin of 800 Billion long liquidations in the past such a breakdown to the downside increases further the more often the META price-action penetrates the lower boundary of the crucial ascending-wedge the higher the possibility for a massive bearish breakout and continuation increases.
Once a breakout below the lower boundary of this gigantic ascending wedge formation has shown up similar to it already formed in the past before META dumped over -76.00% in a massive bearish pressure continuation this is likely to increase the possibility for further bearish momentum to accelerate and META is going to continue with this till support has been reached or till the bearish momentum is so severe that it is going to breakout below the lower boundary and just continues into the direction.
Therefore, it will be necessary to spot the actual wave-development to emerge within the next times and exactly because of this I am continuing to keep the stock in my dashboard watchlist and re-evaluate important changes as well as the major underlying factors once they emerged within the price-action.
In this manner, thank you everybody for watching my analysis about USDJPY. Support from your side is greatly appreciated.
VP
NVDA, CRUCIAL Pullback Triggers, Major BEARISH Indications!Hello There!
Welcome to my new analysis about NVDA on several timeframe perspectives. Within the recent times the market of NVDA has shifted into a potentially crucially developing bearish pullback scenario consideration. Especially, as there are underlying bearish factors that could trigger such a bearish signal that NVDA does not have the ability to emerge with new highs in the near future.
Within the recent times "official" sources have reported about the new Covid-19 variant "Iris" which is already causing the rise of the hospital activity to over 40%. Within the Covid-19 pandemic global financial market disruptions such stocks showed a major downside. Only a half of this dynamic seen in 2020 this time could trigger such a bearish rection in NVDA that is causing further net-long-position liquidation-squeezes towards the downside to emerge with a minimum -30% dump.
A major shortage within the semiconductor manufacturing could accelerate a bearish dynamic here as NVDA could emerge with a massive bearish indication especially once supply chain disruptions emerge similar as it has been alreay seen within the actual declines in May 2020 because of this dynamic. Depending on the severeness and intensity of the supply shortages this could trigger such a bearish momentum that even once the final ascending-wedge targets are reached NVDA moves further after this.
Once a continuation of bearish pullbacks emerges here and NVDA formed the breakout below the lower boundary of the gigantic ascending triangle this is going to activate the target-zones marked in my chart at 280-300. Once the targets are reached it has to be elevated how the bearishness continued till there on and if a reversal will even be possible.
When NVDA continues with the major bearish inclinations this does not mean NVDA is going to be bearish forever and that it is not going to mark a new all-time-high ever again. Because, especially when the bearish momentum could reach such a level from where a reversal is possible in combination with a confirmation in the market there is still the possibility for stabilization and a retest of previous areas. This is why I am keeping the symbol on the watchlist and re-evaluate the situation once important changes setup.
In this manner, thank you everybody for watching the analysis, support from your side is greatly appreciated.
VP
SPY 30th Sep,2023 WEEKLYThis is my weekly analysis for SPY.I have clearly explained what price is willing to do and trust me there is no rush to push trades on yourself. Just wait for the right opportunity.
If you have any doubts feel free to shoot me a text.
NOTE: STAY AWAY IF YOU ARE NOT SURE ABOUT THE MARKET
BRK, Massive Volatility-Developments, Important Price-Dynamics!Hello There!
Welcome to my new analysis about BRK on several timeframe perspectives. The BRK stock is one of the few stocks within the recently bearish inclined stock market that is actually showing all-time-high developments with the price-action bouncing into a new all-time-high. Within this case there are important underlying dynamics going on which could turn out to be a major factor in determining the stocks future and incoming price-actions. Especially as BRK did not pulled back massively yet this is actually increasing the possibility of no bull-trap to emerge here.
First of all, BRK is recently forming this ever so decisive Ascending-Triangle-Formation on the local timeframe perspective which is likely to be completed within the next times. Once the Ascending-Triangle-Formation has been completed it is going to activate initial target-zones. In this case 5 factors will be important to consider. The first factor on how the momentum shows up once the breakout emerged. The second factor on if BERKSHIRE actually pulls back from the target-zone or it has such a momentum that it continues above it. The third factor on if the major ascending-supports hold and BERKSHIRE emerges with a bounce from there on. The fourth factor on how Apple a major holding of BERKSHIRE develops and the fifth factor on if the U.S. CPI continues to decline.
Taking all these factors into the consideration here now, the next times will be highly important because BERKSHIRE is going to show up with the major decisive volatility developments. When considering this whole dynamic on the global perspective also BERKSHIRE is forming this gigantic ascending-triangle also besides the local timeframe and once BERKSHIRE holds this gigantic ascending-triangle lower boundary it is going to be the impediment of the whole continuations to accelerate, activate the target-zones and reach out to all of the target-zones in the upcoming times.
In this manner, thank you everybody for watching the analysis, support from your side is greatly appreciated.
VP
PYPL, Since Massive BEAR-MARKET-Scenarios, What to Expect Now!Hello There!
Welcome to my new analysis about PYPL on several timeframe perspectives. Since PYPL formed the boom highs it showed up with a massive bearish price-action to the downside dumping over 80% and liquidating over 400 Billion long positions. Now, a huge consideration is if this PYPL bear-market dump is going to continue and accelerate further bear market price-action momentum spikes towards the downside. PYPL since August already moved on with the next dump towards the downside on the local term firstly, this can accelerate on the global term also.
PYPL is now forming this ever so crucial bear-flag on the local 4-hour timeframe perspective with the initial wave A that already setup and now PYPL is forming the next ascending-wedge within this local wave-count. This means once the wave B has formed with the completion of the local ascending-wedge it will accelerate bearish dynamics and move forward with the wave C to dump the next 25% firstly on the local term. A continued CBDC implementation acceleration and the potential for a gold-back currency to emerge are likely to increase bearish scenarios for PYPL.
Especially, on the global term PYPL is building a much larger formation here which is actually a head-shoulder-formation. With the right shoulder and head already being completed and now with a likely dump that is going to setup next this will accelerate the bearish price-dynamics and continue with the completion of the right shoulder to complete the whole head-shoulder-formation. If this scenario shows up it will accelerate the massive bearish long liquidations to another 80% bearish price-action and 500 Billion long-liquidations towards the downside.
The next times will be highly crucial for PYPL as they are going to show the importance of the wave-count on the local that is also likely to accelerate the dynamics on the global as well. If a gold-backed currency implementation is going to start within the next times this is also going to increase bearishness for PYPL. Therefore, it will be a highly important dynamic to watch out as the dynamics shifting into a more CBDC and gold-backed currency market condition it can turn out as a huge signal in PYPL to consider.
In this manner, thank you everybody for watching the analysis, support from your side is greatly appreciated.
VP
CVX, Major CONTINUATION-SETUP, Sector Rally, BREAKOUT INCOMING!Hello There!
Welcome to my new analysis about CVX on several timeframe perspectives. The oil market since the corona pandemic supply-shock dynamics has formed a important dynamic and had the ability to form a major rebound recovery with several new highs being formed and CVX having the ability to bounce into a new all-time-high. Now a big part of the dynamic is the consideration of if CVX has the potential to continue with this established formation and with the established trend moving on with further determinations.
CVX on the local timeframe perspective is building this main wedge formation with great supports above the 140-150 area. If this wedge formation completes with the appropriate momentum breakout this will activate initial target-zones and above this considering the whole global big picture CVX is forming a much larger formation here with the broadening-wedge-formation on the global perspective being completed once the breakout of the local formation also setup. With the projection of this formation targets above 400 will be activated.
In this manner, thank you everybody for watching the analysis, support from your side is greatly appreciated.
VP
AAPL, Major Trend-Dynamics, Volume, Momentum and Targets!Hello There!
Welcome to my new analysis about AAPL on several timeframe perspectives. As AAPL has shown up with this huge bearish price-action to the downside testing the remaining supports at 175 this has been a crucial dynamic from where AAPL should determine further dynamics of its future price-action because if the breakout below the previous supports settled this would trigger a lot more bearish positions to the downside as even already seen before since the pullbacks from the all-time-high area.
The fact that AAPL firstly formed the reversal lows here now does not mean AAPL is completely bullish forever however with the formational structure within the local 4-hour timeframe perspective AAPL could setup the major reversal to determine initial target-zones within the structure from where the momentum should be measured once they are reached. If the momentum moves on as it already established before this will provide the price-action for a much larger formation to be completed here.
The much larger formation which will be completed once AAPL shows up with the appropriate momentum is a massive ascending triangle formation within the channel and once it has been completed with the necessary momentum it will activate the target-zones mentioned. The final confirmation is going to setup once AAPL formed the breakout out of the boundary into the trend-direction. Especially, if the establish Consumer Demand Expenditures do not decrease further this is likely to accelerate the price-action-dynamics.
Thank you for watching my analysis. Support from your side is greatly appreciated.
VP
XOM, HUGE WAVE-EXTENSIONS, Oil-Market View, UPCOMING TRENDS!Hello There!
Welcome to my new analysis about XOM on several timeframe perspectives. The oil market has shown up with a massive pullback to the downside since the war developments have put heavy pressure on the whole oil market and drove the supply rally within the market. Since then the market managed to recover with a substantial rally moving into new all-time-highs and is actually forming a massive gigantic formational-structure here from where the market is setting up further determination dimensions.
Currently XOM is forming a continuation-formation on the local timeframes which is an crucial wedge-formation, and this wedge-formation has a increased potential to complete within the next times. Once this formation has been completed the targets as mentioned in my analysis are going to be activated. From there on the volatility within the market has to be determined further and if the already established XOM developments hold on there is an increased possibility for the market to continue into the already established direction.
XOM being the largest market-cap stock within the oil market sector is driving the oil market and wall street developments of oil stocks increasing by over 60%. The fact that the oil market could recover from the main war shocks that showed up with massive bearish pullbacks within the whole market does not mean this holds true for the whole stock market because there are sector stocks within the market that actually show greater bearish inclinations. In this case it will be highly determining on how the whole oil market actually continues and if the established dynamic holds on for this sector stock.
In this manner, thank you everybody for watching the analysis, support from your side is greatly appreciated.
VP
MSFT, PULLBACK Momentum, Positions Trigger, BEARISH-Indication!Hello There!
Welcome to my new analysis about MSFT Stock Price Action Analysis on Several Timeframe Perspectives. In the recent times MSFT has emerged with a crucial pullback to the downside almost printing over 10% of a bearish pullback. In such occassions a big question is if the bearish momentum will accelerate into the bearish direction and if higher inflation rates could heavily increase such a bearish momentum. In any cases the bearish momentum wave could trigger further long-liquidations down the path.
In my chart you can watch that MSFT is about to complete a huge ascending-wedge-formation and such a ascending-wedge-formation is likely to lead to a massive pullback and bearish reversal once it has been completed with a breakout below the lower boundary. Currently this pullback could be triggered when MSFT moves below the remaining supports between the 315 to 320 area as many many long-positions are waiting below this area this will lead to such a bearish momentum that a reversal into the other direction will be unvalid.
There is the possibility that MSFT firstly stays within the area and bounces in the remaining supports to form something like an initial reversal, nonetheless MSFT has still huge resistance levels in the structure especially when moving into the upper boundary of the ascending-wedge-formation this upper boundary is a paramount resistance-zone from where the pullback to the downside is inevitable. This means that also with the initial stabilization the completion of the whole ascending-wedge-formation will shape a reality for MSFT and complete the pullback and liquidations down the path.
If the bearish momentum accelerates so heavily once the wedge has been completed it will be highly decisive on how MSFT moves into the final target-zone of 220 because if the bearish momentum should be that high that a reversal in this area will not be possible this will complete the huge double-top-formation and will accelerate even more liquidations to point to a scenario of MSFT moving below the 150 area.
For now the bearish scenario for MSFT should not be underestimated and should be watched and because of this we will keep having the symbol in our watchlist and adjust to changing factors.
In this manner, thank you everybody for watching the analysis, support from your side is greatly appreciated.
VP