Why Being Delusional Might Be Your Greatest Asset in TradingIf you think you’re going to make a full-time living trading financial markets you’re completely delusional!... and that's a good thing.
It was 1997, and two friends—let’s call them Reed and Marc—thought it would be fun to have a movie night and rent Apollo 13 from their local Blockbuster store.
For those of you who might need some context, Blockbuster was a video rental store where you’d go to rent a movie you’d like to watch.
This was shortly after discovering fire and the wheel, and it was revolutionary. At its peak, Blockbuster was worth approximately $5 billion and had over 80,000 employees across 9000 stores worldwide.
Their business model was very simple, and although they generated revenue in various ways, their core revenue was generated through a combination of rental fees, video sales and late fees.
You see, it just so happened that our two friends who thought it would be fun to rent Apollo 13, chill at home, and eat popcorn would essentially have to pay the $40 late fee, and they were admittedly, not too happy about that.
As they sat in frustration, one of them came up with the idea to start a website and rent movies to people without charging a late fee.
Instead people would just pay a monthly subscription of around $19.95 per month and they could rent up to three movies of their choosing and keep it for as long as they wanted, no rental fee, no video sales, no late fees, just a monthly subscription of $19.95.
If people wanted to rent a new set of DVD’s then all they’d need to do is return the DVD’s they’d initially rented and the new set was mailed to them within a day or two.
Now it is important to mention that all this occurred toward the end of the third industrial revolution and the internet was not nearly as advanced as it is today. People would use a dial-up connection which only produced 56 kbps or slower.
Streaming was near impossible unless you enjoyed watching a movie in three-minute increments before it loaded the next three minutes. Downloading a movie could take an entire day or even longer.
It’s fair to say that our two friends Reed and Marc were throwing stones at giants, but they had very good aim.
I’m sure you heard the story where a boy aimed at a giant's head and threw him with a stone. Turns out the boy won that fight, and ultimately claimed victory for his people, but I digress.
You see Reed had a background in computer science and software development, and at the time he co-founded a software company called Pure Software. Marc had a background in marketing and product development.
It’s safe to say that they made a very good team, but they were still going up against giants, they were challenging a system that was working with a system that was not even established yet. Essentially, they either had to be very confident or extremely delusional. Turns out they were both.
They decided to brainstorm a few names for their little startup, everything from Kibble to TakeOne, and even DirectPix and none of it seemed to stick. Eventually, they decided to combine the words “internet” and “film” to make “Netflix”.
Today Netflix is the most popular streaming platform, with its annual revenue peaking at 33.7 Billion back in 2023.
I share this story with you because it really takes more than just experience, skill, and luck to take on giants, I would argue you need to have a healthy amount of delusion as well.
So, if you think you're going to make a full-time living trading financial markets, you're completely delusional—and that might be the best thing going for you.
Because the truth is, every breakthrough, every disruption, every world-changing idea begins with someone who dares to believe in something that doesn’t quite make sense to the rest of the world—yet.
Reed and Marc didn’t just challenge a system; they challenged what was possible at the time. They bet on a future that didn’t exist—on a slower internet, a skeptical audience, and an unproven model. What looked like delusion was a vision in disguise.
In trading, as in business and life, it’s not the most logical or the most experienced who wins—it’s often those who are bold enough to stay in the game when everyone else calls it crazy. You’ll need skill, yes.
Strategy, of course. But you’ll also need the unreasonable belief that you can beat the odds, learn the rules, and then rewrite them entirely. So go ahead—be delusional.
Just make sure you’ve got the grit, the patience, and the aim to back it up.
What “giant” are you bold enough to challenge next?
Trading Psychology
Trading Without Goals Is Just Gambling With StructureA lot of traders talk about discipline. But few realize that discipline has to be anchored to something. It doesn’t work in a vacuum. Without a clear reason to stay focused, most people eventually fall back into overtrading, revenge trading, or breaking their own rules.
That “something” is your personal set of financial goals.
If you’re trading without a list of well-defined, written goals—short term and long term—you’re not building a system. You’re improvising. And over time, the market will punish improvisation.
Goals Create the Structure That Risk Management Lives In
It’s common to hear that risk management is the key to long-term success in Forex. That’s true. But risk management doesn’t exist in isolation. You can’t determine how much to risk per trade if you don’t know what you’re aiming for in the big picture.
When your trading plan is connected to real financial targets—like building a retirement fund, generating side income, or compounding over years, you stop treating each trade like a lottery ticket.
Your lot size changes. Your trade frequency changes. Your psychology changes.
Clarity Reduces Emotion
One of the biggest causes of emotional trading is uncertainty. When you’re not clear on where you're going or why you’re even in a trade, the smallest loss can shake your confidence. A win might tempt you to increase your size. A string of losses might tempt you to change systems or walk away completely.
But when you’re trading with a purpose, decisions become less reactive. You have a framework to evaluate whether something aligns with your objectives.
And that makes it easier to say no to setups that don’t fit, or to walk away from the screen when nothing’s there.
Write Your Goals Down—In Detail
If your goals aren’t written, they don’t exist.
And “make money” is not a goal. It’s a wish.
Good goals are specific, time-based, and measurable. For example:
Grow a $1,000 account to $1,500 over 6 months by risking 1% per trade
Extract 4% per month on average while maintaining a max drawdown of 10%
Build a track record of 100 trades with full journal documentation and risk control
Once written, these goals form the backbone of your trading plan. They influence your risk-per-trade, your system choice, and how often you trade.
They also give you a benchmark. You’ll know if you’re making progress or just going in circles.
Final Thought: Know What You’re Playing For
Too many traders operate without direction. They chase results, compare themselves to others, and burn out. It doesn’t have to be this way.
Start with the end in mind. Know why you’re trading. Set real goals. And let those goals drive your decisions, your risk management, and your daily focus.
Discipline becomes easier when you have something worth being disciplined for.
I have been for 2.5 years on Demo, and will not move from there until I achieve the targets that I have set. Achieving those targets on Demo does mean I will achieve them on live trading. On the other hand, not achieving them on a Demo account mean that the only thing I will be able to achieve on a live account is blow the account away.
Crypto Phases Explained: From Bitcoin Season to Full-On FOMO !Hello Traders 🐺
I hope you're doing well. In this idea, I want to dive into the different phases of the crypto market, because I feel like many new traders — and even some semi-pros — still don’t fully grasp this fundamental concept. So make sure to read this until the end and feel free to ask your questions in the comments below!
🔹 PHASE 1 – Bitcoin Season
This is where it all begins.
You can guess from the name: BTC starts outperforming almost every altcoin, especially ETH. In this phase, Bitcoin’s price often grows rapidly while most alts lag behind. As BTC's market cap rises, Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D) also increases — and this is clearly visible on the chart.
In the current market, BTC.D is rising toward a key resistance level, suggesting we are still in late Phase 1, but possibly approaching a shift.
🔹 PHASE 2 – Ethereum Season
Why ETH and not the rest of the altcoins?
Because when smart money rotates out of BTC, the first stop is usually Ethereum, the second-largest asset by market cap. ETH is also the backbone of many other projects, so it makes sense that it leads the altcoin wave.
When ETH starts to outperform BTC, that’s your sign: Phase 2 has begun.
🔹 PHASES 3 & 4 – Altcoin Season
This is the fun part. 🤑
In Phase 3, we typically see larger cap altcoins (top 100 projects) begin to surge and hit new all-time highs. Then comes Phase 4, the final leg of the bull cycle — full-on FOMO. Even low-cap coins start doing 20x or more, and yes, many small investors suddenly feel rich.
🔎 So… how do we know what phase we’re in?
Excellent question. But a tricky one.
As mentioned, BTC.D is showing signs of weakness near a long-term resistance trendline. That could mean BTC is topping short-term, and ETH might soon start to take the lead. To confirm that, just watch the ETH/BTC chart closely.
For deeper confirmation, add these charts to your watchlist:
OTHERS/BTC
TOTAL2
TOTAL3
They help you see when capital starts flowing into mid and low-cap alts — and help you track the sunrise… and the sunset. 🌅
Final Note:
If you’re still confused during market volatility, don’t worry. Trading is a long and tough journey — and patience is key. Learn from your mistakes, stay disciplined, and always remember:
🐺 Discipline is rarely enjoyable, but almost always profitable. 🐺
Stay sharp,
🐺 KIU_COIN 🐺
Buy Fear, Not Euphoria: The Trader's EdgeWhen you look back at the greatest trading opportunities in history, they all seem to share a common element: fear. Yet, when you're in the moment, it feels almost impossible to pull the trigger. Why? Because fear paralyzes, while euphoria seduces. If you want to truly evolve as a trader, you need to master this fundamental shift: buy fear, not euphoria.
Let's break it down together.
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What Fear and Euphoria Really Mean in Markets
In simple terms, fear shows up when prices are falling sharply, when bad news dominates the headlines, and when people around you are saying "it's all over."
Euphoria, on the other hand, is everywhere when prices are skyrocketing, when everyone on social media is celebrating, and when it feels like "this can only go higher."
In those moments:
• Fear tells you to run away.
• Euphoria tells you to throw caution to the wind.
Both emotions are signals. But they are inverted signals. When fear is extreme, value appears. When euphoria is extreme, danger hides.
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Why Buying Fear Works
Markets are pricing machines. They constantly adjust prices based on emotions, news, and expectations. When fear hits, selling pressure often goes beyond what is rational. People dump assets for emotional reasons, not fundamental ones.
Here’s why buying fear works:
• Overreaction: Bad news usually causes exaggerated moves.
• Liquidity Vacuums: Everyone sells, no one buys, creating sharp discounts.
• Reversion to Mean: Extreme moves tend to revert once emotions stabilize.
Buying into fear is not about being reckless. It’s about recognizing that the best deals are available when others are too scared to see them.
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Why Chasing Euphoria Fails
At the peak of euphoria, risks are often invisible to the crowd. Valuations are stretched. Expectations are unrealistic. Everyone "knows" it's going higher — which ironically means there's no one left to buy.
Chasing euphoria often leads to:
• Buying high, selling low.
• Getting trapped at tops.
• Emotional regret and revenge trading.
You’re not just buying an asset — you're buying into a mass illusion.
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How to Train Yourself to Buy Fear
It's not enough to "know" this. In the heat of the moment, you will still feel the fear. Here's how you build the right habit:
1. Pre-plan your entries: Before panic strikes, have a plan. Know where you want to buy.
2. Focus on strong assets: Not everything that falls is worth buying. Choose assets with strong fundamentals or clear technical setups.
3. Scale in: Don’t try to catch the bottom perfectly. Build positions gradually as fear peaks.
4. Use alerts, not emotions: Set price alerts. When they trigger, act mechanically.
5. Remember past patterns: Study previous fear-driven crashes. See how they recovered over time.
Trading is a game of memory. The more you internalize past patterns, the easier it is to act when everyone else panics.
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A Recent Example: April 2025 Tariff Panic
Very recently, at the start of April, Trump’s new tariff announcements sent shockwaves through the market. Panic took over. Headlines screamed. Social media was flooded with fear.
But if you looked beyond the noise, charts like SP500 and US30 told a different story: the drops took price right into strong support zones.
At the time, I even posted this : support zones were being tested under emotional pressure.
If you had price alerts set and reacted mechanically, not emotionally , you could have bought into that fear — and potentially benefited from the rebound that followed just days later.
This is the essence of buying fear.
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Final Thoughts
In trading, you are paid for doing the hard things. Buying when it feels terrible. Selling when it feels amazing.
Remember:
Fear offers you discounts. Euphoria offers you traps.
The next time the market feels like it's crashing, ask yourself:
• Is this fear real, or exaggerated?
• Is this an opportunity hiding under an emotional fog?
If you can answer that with clarity, you're already ahead of 90% of traders.
Stay rational. Stay prepared. And above all: buy fear, not euphoria.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
How to Regain Your Trading MOJOEvery trader, no matter how experienced, eventually hits a rough patch — a period where trades don’t work out, motivation fades, and confidence slips away.
If you feel like you've lost your trading mojo, you're not alone. The key is not to quit but to rebuild it methodically.
Here’s how to get your trading energy back on track:
1. Accept That Slumps Are Normal
First, realize that losing your mojo is part of the trading journey.
Even the best traders experience drawdowns — emotionally and financially.
Acknowledging that this phase is temporary immediately removes some of the pressure and guilt.
Self-acceptance is your first weapon.
2. Reduce Risk and Slow Down
When your confidence is low, lower your position size.
Trade smaller. Risk less.
You don’t need to stop trading completely — you need to stop damaging yourself further.
Think of it as “active recovery,” much like athletes training lightly after an injury.
3. Go Back to Basics
Strip your trading plan down to the essentials:
- Focus on one setup you trust.
- Use clear entry and exit rules.
- Avoid complicated strategies or "revenge trading."
Simplicity restores clarity, and clarity brings confidence.
4. Reframe Losses Mentally
Instead of seeing losses as failures, view them as fees for learning.
Ask yourself after each trade:
- "Was this trade according to my plan?"
- "Did I respect my stop loss?"
If yes, you are winning — even if the trade loses money.
Consistency in good decision-making rebuilds emotional momentum.
5. Visualize the Trader You Want to Be
Take 5 minutes each day to visualize yourself executing perfect trades:
- Calmly analyzing.
- Patiently waiting.
- Executing your plan without emotion.
Your brain needs new emotional associations with trading — not fear and anxiety, but calm and focus.
6. Set Tiny Wins
Don't chase the big win right away.
Set micro-goals like:
- "I will follow my stop loss rules today."
- "I will not overtrade today."
- "I will wait for my setup."
Achieving small wins daily rebuilds your trader identity brick by brick.
Final Thoughts :
Regaining your trading mojo is less about finding a "magic moment" and more about stacking good habits and resetting your mind.
You don't need a new system, a new market, or a lucky break.
You need to reconnect with the disciplined, focused trader within you.
Stay patient, stay structured, and remember — your mojo isn’t lost forever. It’s just waiting for you to catch up. 🚀
Trading Psychology Trap: The Dark Side of Hedging a Bad Trade⚡ Important Clarification Before We Begin
In professional trading, real hedging involves sophisticated strategies using derivatives like options, futures, or other financial instruments.
Banks, funds, and major institutions hedge to manage portfolio risk, based on calculated models and complex scenarios.
This article is not about that.
We are talking about the kind of "hedging" retail traders do — opening an opposite position at the broker to "protect" a losing trade.
It may feel smart in the moment, but psychologically, it can be a hidden trap that damages your trading discipline.
Let’s dive into why emotional hedging rarely works for independent traders.
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In trading, there’s a moment of panic that every trader has faced:
"My short position is in the red… maybe I’ll just open a long to balance it out."
It feels logical. You’re hedging. Protecting yourself. But in reality, you might be stepping into one of the most deceptive psychological traps in trading.
Let’s unpack why emotional hedging is rarely a good idea—and how it quietly sabotages your progress.
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🧠 1. Emotional Relief ≠ Strategic Thinking
Hedging often arises not from a solid strategy, but from emotional discomfort.
You don’t hedge because you’ve analyzed the market. You hedge because you can’t stand the pain of a losing position.
This is not trading.
This is emotional anesthesia.
You’re trying to feel better—not trade better.
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🎭 2. The Illusion of Control
Opening a hedge feels like taking back control.
In reality, you’re multiplying complexity without clarity.
You now have:
• Two opposing positions
• No clear directional bias
• An unclear exit strategy
You’ve replaced one problem (a loss) with two: mental conflict and strategic confusion.
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🎢 3. Emotional Volatility Rises Sharply
With two positions open in opposite directions:
• You root for both sides at once.
• You feel relief when one wins, and stress when the other loses.
• Your mind becomes a battleground, not a trading desk.
This emotional volatility leads to irrational decisions, fatigue, and trading paralysis.
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🔄 4. You Delay the Inevitable
When you hedge a losing position, you don’t fix the mistake.
You prolong it.
Eventually, you’ll have to:
• Close one side
• Add to one side
• Or exit both at the wrong moment
Hedging here is just postponed decision-making—and it gets harder the longer you wait.
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🧪 5. You Build a Dangerous Habit
Hedging out of fear creates a reflex:
"Every time I’m losing, I’ll hedge."
You’re not learning to cut losses or reassess your strategy.
You’re learning to panic-protect.
And over time, you start to rely on hedging as a crutch—rather than developing real confidence and discipline.
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✅ The Healthier Alternative
What should you do instead?
• Cut the loss.
• Review the trade.
• Wait for a fresh setup that aligns with your plan.
Accepting a losing trade is hard. But it’s a sign of maturity, not weakness.
Hedging may feel clever in the moment, but long-term consistency comes from clarity, not complication.
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🎯 Final Thought
Emotional hedging isn’t about strategy.
It’s about fear.
The best traders don’t hedge to escape a loss.
They manage risk before the trade starts —and have the courage to close what’s not working.
Don’t fall into the illusion of safety.
Master the art of decisive action. That’s where real edge lives. 🚀
Learn the Harsh Truth About Success & Failure in Trading
The picture above completely represents the real nature of trading:
We all came here because we all wanted easy money.
Being attracted by catchy ads, portraying the guys on lambos, wearing guccies and living fancy lives, we jump into the game with high hopes of doubling our tiny initial trading accounts.
However, the reality quickly kicks in and losing trades become the norm.
The first trading account will most likely be blown .
In just one single month, 40% of traders will be discouraged and abandon this game forever.
The rest will realize the fact that the things are not that simple as they seemed to be and decide to start learning.
The primary obstacle with trading education though is the fact that there are so much data out there, so many different materials, so many strategies and techniques to try, so the one feels completely lost .
And on that stage, one plays the roulette: in the pile of dirt, he must find the approach that works .
80% of the traders, who stay after the first month, will leave in the next 2 years. Unfortunately, the majority won't be able to find a valid strategy and will quit believing that the entire system is the scam.
After 5 years, the strongest will remain. The ones that are motivated and strong enough to face the failures.
With such an experience, the majority of the traders already realize how the things work. They usually stuck around breakeven and winning trades start covering the losing ones.
However, some minor, tiny component is still missing in their system. They should find something that prevents them from becoming consistently profitable.
Only 1% of those who came in this game will finally discover the way to make money. These individuals will build a solid strategy, an approach that will work and that will let them become independent .
That path is hard and long. And unfortunately, most of the people are not disciplined and motivated enough to keep going. Only the strongest ones will stay. I wish you to be the one with the iron discipline, titanic patience and nerves of steel.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Serios Traders Trade Scenarios, Not Certaintes...If you only post on TradingView, you're lucky — moderation keeps discussions professional.
But on other platforms, especially when you say the crypto market will fall, hate often knows no limits.
Why?
Because most people still confuse trading with cheering for their favorite coins.
The truth is simple:
👉 Serious traders don't operate based on certainties. They work with living, flexible scenarios.
In today's educational post, I'll show you exactly how that mindset works — using a real trade I opened on Solana (SOL).
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The Trading Setup:
Here’s the basic setup I’m working with:
• First sell: Solana @ 150
SL (stop-loss): 175
TP (take-profit): 100
• Second sell: Solana @ 160
SL: 175
TP: 100
I won’t detail here why I believe the crypto market hasn’t reversed yet — that was already explained in a previous analysis.
Today, the focus is how I prepare my mind for different outcomes, not sticking to a fixed idea.
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The Main Scenarios:
Scenario 1 – The Pessimistic One
The first thing I assume when opening any position is that it could fail.
In the worst case: Solana fills the second sell at 160 and goes straight to my stop-loss at 175.
✅ This is planned for. No drama, no surprise. ( Explained in detail in yesterday's educational post )
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Scenario 2 – Pessimistic but Manageable
Solana fills the second sell at 160, then fluctuates between my entries and around 165.
If I judge that it’s accumulation, not distribution, I will close the trade early, taking a small loss or at breakeven.
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Scenario 3 – Mini-Optimistic
Solana doesn’t even trigger the second sell.
It starts to drop, but stalls around 120-125, an important support zone as we all saw lately.
✅ In this case, I secure the profit without waiting stubbornly for the 100 target.
Important tactical adjustment:
If Solana drops below 145 (a support level I monitor), I plan to remove the second sell and adjust the stop-loss on the initial position.
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Scenario 4 – Moderately Optimistic
Solana doesn’t fill the second order and drops cleanly to the 100 target.
✅ Full win, perfect scenario for the first trade
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Scenario 5 – Optimistic but Flexible
Solana fills the second sell at 160, then drops but gets stuck at 120-125(support that we spoken about) instead of reaching 100.
✅ Again, the plan is to close manually at support, taking solid profit instead of being greedy.
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Scenario 6 – The Best Scenario
Solana fills both sell orders and cleanly hits the 100 target.
✅ Maximum reward.
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Why This Matters:
Scenarios Keep You Rational. Certainties Make You Fragile.
In trading, it's never about being "right" or "wrong."
It's about having a clear plan for multiple outcomes.
By thinking in terms of scenarios:
• You're not emotionally attached to a single result.
• You're prepared for losses and quick to secure wins.
• You're flexible enough to adapt when new information appears.
Meanwhile, traders who operate on certainties?
They get blindsided, frustrated, and emotional every time the market doesn’t do exactly what they expected.
👉 Trading scenarios = trading professionally.
👉 Trading certainties = gambling with emotions.
Plan your scenarios, manage your risk, and stay calm. That's the trader's way. 🚀
Why I Deal With Losses Before They Even Appear📉 Mastering the mindset that most traders avoid
There’s a moment that happens in every trader’s journey — not during a win, but during a loss.
A frozen moment where your mind screams, “It shouldn’t have gone this way!”
You look at the screen, your stop is hit, your equity drops, and your brain starts the negotiation:
“What if I held a bit longer?”
“Maybe the stop was too tight.”
“I need to make this back. Now.”
But the problem didn’t start with that loss.
It started long before you placed the trade.
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💡 The Biggest Lie in Trading: “I’ll Deal With It When It Happens”
Too many traders operate from a place of reactivity.
They focus on the chart, the breakout, the “R:R,” the indicator... but they forget the only thing that actually matters:
❗️ What if this trade fails — and how will I handle it?
That’s not a pessimistic question.
It’s the most professional one you can ask.
If you only accept the possibility of a loss after the loss happens, it’s too late.
You’ve already sabotaged yourself emotionally — and probably financially, too.
So here's the core principle I apply every single day:
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🔒 I Accept the Loss Before I Enter
Before I click "Buy" or "Sell," I already know:
✅ What my stop is.
✅ How much that stop means in money.
✅ That I am 100% okay losing that amount.
If any of those don’t align, the trade is dead before it begins.
This is not negotiable.
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🚫 Don’t Touch the Stop. Touch the Volume.
One of the biggest mistakes I see — and I’ve done it too, early on — is this:
You find a clean technical setup. Let’s say the proper stop is 120 pips away.
You feel it’s too wide. You want to tighten it to 40. Why?
Not because the market structure says so — but because your ego can’t handle the potential loss.
❌ That’s not trading. That’s emotional budgeting.
Instead, keep the stop where it technically makes sense.
Then reduce the volume until the potential loss — in money, not pips — is emotionally tolerable.
We trade capital, not distance.
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🧠 This Is the Only Risk Model That Makes Sense
Your strategy doesn’t need to win every time.
It just needs to keep you in the game long enough to let the edge play out.
If your risk is too big for your mental tolerance, it’s not sustainable.
And if it’s not sustainable, it’s not professional trading.
The goal isn’t to be right. The goal is to survive long enough to be consistent.
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📋 My Framework: How I Deal with Losses Before They Show Up
Here’s my mental checklist for every trade:
1. Accept the loss before entering.
If I’m not okay losing X, I reduce the volume or skip the trade.
2. Set the stop based on structure, not comfort.
If the setup needs a 150-pip stop, so be it. It’s not about feelings.
3. Adjust volume to match my comfort zone.
I never trade “big” just because a setup looks “great.” Ego has no place here.
4. View trades as part of a series.
I expect losses. I expect drawdowns. One trade means nothing.
5. Be willing to exit early if the story changes.
If price invalidates the idea before the stop is hit (or the target), I’m gone.
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🧘♂️ If You Can’t Sleep With the Trade, You’re Doing It Wrong
Peace of mind is underrated.
If a trade is making you anxious — not because it’s near SL, but because it’s threatening your sense of control — something is off.
And that something is usually your risk size.
Professional trading isn’t built on adrenaline.
It’s built on calm decisions, repeated for years.
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🏁 Final Thoughts: Profit is Optional. Loss Management is Mandatory.
If you want to become consistent, start every trade with a simple, brutally honest question:
“Can I lose this money and still feel calm, focused, and in control?”
If the answer is no, you’re not ready for the trade — no matter how good the chart looks.
Profit is a possibility.
Loss is a certainty.
Master the certainty. The rest will follow.
🚀 Keep learning, keep growing.
Best of luck!
Mihai Iacob
MAY 1-1-1 TRADING CHALLENGEI’ve been thinking about how messy trading can get.
One day you're watching a video on scalping, the next you're trying to swing trade five different pairs. Then before you know it, your screen is cluttered with a million indicators, your confidence is shot, and your results? Even worse.
So for the month of May, I’m doing something different.
I’m calling it the 1-1-1 Challenge
1 Mentor. 1 Instrument. 1 Setup.
For me, that means:
- I’m sticking with Tori as my mentor. No other videos, no mixed signals.
- I’m focusing only on Crude Oil. That’s my chart, my market.
- And I’m trading only Trendline Breaks. Clean and simple.
That’s it. Pure focus. Pure discipline.
Let’s see what happens when I stop trying to trade everything — and start mastering one thing.
If you’ve been feeling the same kind of overwhelm, maybe this challenge is for you too.
Want to join me in May?
Let’s go all in:
1 Mentor
1 Instrument
1 Setup
I'll be sharing my progress and documenting my journey here. Follow me!
No Setup, No Trade: Staying Sane in Gold’s MadnessToday, Gold hit $3500.
And while that may not sound like a shock on its own, what is unprecedented is the fact that in the past 10 days, Gold has climbed 5,000 pips.
That's not a normal rally.
That’s a vertical explosion.
And yes — it is looking “overextended”, but so it dit at 3300...
But then it went up another 2000 pips.
Will it drop? Probably — and hard.
When? No one knows.
Will it rise another 2000 pips before that?
Again, no one knows.
This is where most traders lose themselves — not because they don’t have tools, but because they pretend to know what’s unknowable.
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🎯 The Strongest Skill: Admit When You Don’t Know
Every trader wants clarity.
But real professionals know when they’ve entered the fog.
The market is not obligated to give you structure just because you want to trade.
And the worst trades often happen when:
• You think it's overbought (but it keeps going)
• You think it’s due for a correction (but it doesn't care)
• You think it can't go higher (but it does)
This isn’t analysis — it’s wishful thinking.
________________________________________
🧠 Do You Actually Have Edge? Ask Yourself:
1. Do I see a structured setup, or just a reaction to “how far it’s gone”?
2. Can I define my entry, stop, and exit in advance?
3. Am I trading because I have a plan — or because it feels like a top (or simply have nothing better to do)?
If you can’t answer these — you don’t have edge.
You’re just guessing with conviction.
________________________________________
✅ The Only Thing That Matters: A Valid Trade
If you’re going to trade this madness, make sure your trade is:
• Planned (with defined risk)
• Repeatable (not emotional)
• Based on structure or volatility patterns
Otherwise, it’s just ego vs. market.
And the market always wins that fight.
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🧘♂️ Final Thought: When Things Get Wild, Stay Sane
There’s no shame in stepping aside when things make no sense.
In fact, that’s where the real skill begins.
“Knowing when you don’t know isn’t weakness — it’s your strongest edge.”
So take a breath.
Zoom out.
And wait for the moment when you actually know what you're doing — not just think you do.
________________________________________
And remember:
No setup, no trade. No clarity, no risk. No ego, no drama.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
Dealing with Stress in Trading: The Silent Killer of PerformanceTrading is hard. But not just technically or economically — emotionally, it's one of the most demanding things you can do.
Charts, indicators, news, setups — they’re all part of the job. But behind every click, there’s a person reacting to fear, frustration, regret, and pressure.
And that’s where stress creeps in.
In this article, we’ll explore:
• Why trading stress hits harder than most think
• How it manifests (and sabotages) your decisions
• Practical ways to reduce and manage stress
• The mindset shift that changes everything
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🔥 Why Trading Is Uniquely Stressful
Most jobs reward consistency. Trading, ironically, punishes it at times.
You can do everything “right” and still lose money. You can follow your plan, manage risk, and still watch a red candle wipe your equity.
The problem?
Our brains aren’t built for that kind of randomness. We crave cause-effect logic — but markets aren't and most of all don’t care.
This disconnect creates cognitive dissonance . The result? Stress builds up.
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🧠 How Stress Sabotages Traders (Without Them Realizing)
Stress doesn’t always show up as panic. More often, it shows up as:
• Overtrading (trying to ‘fix’ bad trades emotionally)
• Freezing (not taking good setups out of fear)
• Revenge trading (turning a bad trade into a disaster)
• Inconsistency (changing strategy mid-week, mid-trade, mid-breath)
• Physical symptoms (fatigue, headaches, insomnia — yes, it's real)
Left unchecked, stress creates a loop:
Stress → bad trades → more stress → worse decisions.
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🛠️ Practical Techniques to Manage Trading Stress
Here’s what actually helps — not the Instagram-fluff, but what real traders use:
1. Create Pre-Defined Trade Plans
Stress loves uncertainty. But when you enter a trade with exact entries, stops, and targets, you leave less room for panic-based decisions.
✅ Pro tip: Write your trade plan down. Don’t trade from memory.
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2. Use the 3-Strike Rule
If you take 3 consecutive losses or bad trades — stop for the day, or if you are a swing trader, stop for the week, come back on Monday. It’s not about revenge. It’s about protecting mental capital.
“When in doubt, protect your focus. You can’t trade well without it.”
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3. Build a Trading Routine (Like a Ritual)
Start each session the same way. Same coffee, same chart review, same breathing.
Why? It anchors your brain. Predictability in your environment reduces the emotional chaos inside your head.
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4. Step Away from the Screen (Yes, Physically)
After a tough trade, move. Walk. Stretch. Get outside. Go to gym, ride your bike(these I do most often). Reset your nervous system. Trading is mental, but stress is physical too.
You’re not a robot. Don't act like one.
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5. Track Your Emotional State (Not Just P&L)
Keep a trading journal where you note how you felt before/after trades.
You’ll find patterns like:
• “I lose when I’m bored and looking for action”
• “My best trades happen when I feel calm and centered”
Awareness = control.
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🧭 The Mindset Shift: From Outcome to Process
This might be the most important thing I’ll ever tell you:
Detach from results. Fall in love with process.
Your goal isn’t to win every trade.
Your goal is to execute your plan with discipline.
Every time you do that — even on a losing trade — you’re winning the real game.
That’s how stress stops being the master and becomes the servant.
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🧘 Final Thought: Stress Will Never Go Away — and That’s Okay
You’ll always feel something. But the goal isn’t to be emotionless — it’s to be aware and in control.
Trading is like martial arts: the best fighters aren’t calm because they feel nothing. They’re calm because they’ve trained their response.
So train yours.
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💬 Remember, consistency in mindset creates consistency in results.
What If Trump’s Tariffs Are Actually Bullish for SPX ?Hello Traders 🐺
In this idea, I want to take a closer look at SPX and break down why the new U.S. tariffs and Trump’s economic policies could either boost or damage the U.S. economy in the coming months. So make sure to stay with me until the very end.
🔍 Let’s start with the chart:
As you can see, SPX is currently holding above a weekly support level, marked by the orange ascending trendline. So far, so good. However, we’re also seeing a massive bearish divergence on the RSI — and in my opinion, this was one of the key reasons behind the recent Black Monday-style selloff.
⚠️ But here’s the deal: If SPX breaks below this orange trendline, the next strong support is around 3375 — aligned with the 0.5 Fibonacci level and the monthly blue trendline inside our green support zone.
🤔 Should we be bearish on SPX and the U.S. economy?
That’s the big question… and it’s tricky to answer right now. Let’s break it down.
🔧 1. Tariffs and Trump: What’s really going on?
We’re currently in a pause phase of the ongoing tariff war — with countries negotiating to avoid escalation. But here’s the catch: markets hate uncertainty, and that’s why we saw panic selling recently.
Still, most people miss the bigger picture here.
The U.S. has long been a consumer-driven economy, importing heavily from other nations. Meanwhile, U.S. producers have struggled to compete — both domestically and internationally — due to low tariffs at home and high tariffs abroad.
So what do Trump’s new tariffs do?
✅ They level the playing field for U.S. companies at home
✅ They push other countries to lower their tariffs through negotiation
✅ They reduce dependency on foreign imports and support domestic production
In short, if combined with smart monetary policy, these moves could actually help revive U.S. manufacturing and strengthen the economy in the mid-to-long term.
📉 Final thoughts on SPX:
I personally don’t believe the bearish breakdown is coming — but as a trader, I focus on reality, not preference. Right now, we’re still holding above major support, and unless that breaks, the bullish scenario remains in play.
Let me know what you think about this macro setup in the comments.
And as always remember:
🐺 Discipline is rarely enjoyable, but almost always profitable 🐺
🐺 KIU_COIN 🐺
Trading Mindset
I Am a Software Developer and a Passionate Trader
Over the past five years, I have explored nearly every aspect of trading—technical analysis, intraday trading, MTF, pre-IPO investments, options selling, F&O, hedging, swing trading, long-term investing, and even commodities like gold and crude oil.
Through this journey, I realized that **technical analysis is only about 20% of the equation**. The real game is **psychology and mindset**.
I have distilled my learnings into concise points below—insights that have shaped my approach and will continue to guide me in my version 2.0 of trading. I hope they prove valuable to you as well.
---
### **Position Sizing**
One of the most important aspects of trading is choosing the right position size. Your trade should never be so large that it causes stress or worry. Keep it at a level where you can stay calm, no matter how the market moves.
### **Set Stop-Loss and Target Before Placing a Trade**
Decide in advance when you will exit a trade—both at a loss (**stop-loss**) and at a profit (**target**). This helps maintain emotional balance, preventing extreme excitement or frustration.
### **How to Calculate Position Size**
- Use **technical analysis** to identify your **stop-loss** and **target**.
- Example: If CMP is ₹100 and your stop-loss is at ₹94 (₹6 risk per share), determine your risk tolerance:
- ₹3,000 risk ➝ **500 shares** (₹3,000 ÷ ₹6)
- ₹1,200 risk ➝ **200 shares** (₹1,200 ÷ ₹6)
- Adjust quantity based on how much you're willing to risk.
### **Setting Target Price & Risk-Reward Ratio**
The most important factor in setting a target is the **risk-reward ratio**. If your stop-loss is ₹6, your target should be at least **₹6, ₹9, or ₹12**.
### **Why Is Risk-Reward Important?**
Let’s say you take **10 trades**—5 go in your favor, and 5 go against you. If your risk-reward ratio isn’t favorable, you could end up in a loss.
Example:
- You **lose ₹6** in two trades → ₹12 total loss
- You **gain ₹3** in three trades → ₹9 total profit
- **Net result: -₹3 loss**
To ensure profitability, your **reward should be equal to or greater than your risk**. A **1.5x or 2x risk-reward ratio** is ideal.
### **Flexibility in Targets**
Even when the price reaches **Target 1**, you can **book partial profits** and let the rest run with a **trailing stop-loss**.
---
### **Managing Multiple Trades**
This is **very important**. If you're a beginner, **limit yourself to 2 trades**, and even if you're a pro, **avoid more than 3-5 positions**.
**Example:** If you have **₹2 lakh**, make sure you have **only 2 trades open at a time**. Add a third stock **only when you close another position**.
---
### **How to Deploy Capital**
Patience is key. If you have **₹1 lakh**, **divide it into 4-5 parts** and buy **in small chunks over time**.
**Why?**
The **nature of stocks** is to move in waves—rising, facing profit booking, then breaking previous highs. Instead of investing everything at once, **buy in staggered amounts** to ensure your **average price stays close to CMP**.
---
### **Avoid Market Noise**
When trading, **stay in your zone**.
Social media posts can make you feel **slow compared to others**, but they don't show the full picture. Avoid distractions like:
- Direct stock tips from **news channels**
- P&L snapshots from traders
- Following too many **analysts on social media**
Instead, **listen to expert views**, but stay disciplined with **your own strategy**.
---
### **Stock Selection**
Stock selection has **two elements—technical and fundamental** (I'll write a separate post on this).
Always **buy a stock that you can hold even in your darkest times**.
**Example:**
- Choose **blue-chip stocks** with **high market caps & strong promoter holdings**
- Never **buy a stock just because it’s in momentum**
- If a stock **turns into a forced SIP**, it’s not a good buy
Pick stocks with **a long-term story**—even if you fail to exit at the right time, you should be comfortable holding them.
---
### **Accept That It’s the Market, Not You**
Many traders fail because they **don’t admit that the market is unpredictable**.
Losses happen because of volatility, not necessarily poor strategy. **Example:**
- You lose a trade and **try improving your method** but face another hit
- Some losses **are simply beyond your control**
Most of what happens in the market is **not in your hands**—including stop-loss triggers. **Accept this reality,** and focus on **risk management** instead of revenge trading.
---
### **Keep Separate Trading & Investment Accounts**
Trading and investing **are different**. If you keep them **in the same account**, you’ll:
- **Book small profits** on investments
- **Hold short-term trades in losses**
Having **separate accounts** keeps **your goals clear**.
---
### **Don’t Let the Market Dominate You**
Even full-time traders **shouldn’t obsess over the market**.
Limit your **screen time to 2-3 hours during market hours**.
**Why?**
- You can’t **act on global markets until 9:15 AM IST**
- Even if a **war or tariff issue** arises, **you can’t do anything until market open**
- Overthinking leads to **over-trading**, which drains money
Instead, **invest time in developing new skills**.
---
### **Do What Suits You, Not Others**
If you're good at **swings, stick to swings**. If you're good at **intraday, do intraday**.
Don't follow **what works for a friend—trade based on what suits you**.
---
### **Avoid FOMO**
Don't **stress** if a stock jumps **20% in a day**.
Stock **accumulation zones, demand/supply areas, profit booking**, and **retests** happen **regularly**—opportunities will always come.
Even traders who claim they made **20% in a day** **don’t share how often they got trapped chasing stocks**.
---
### **Stop-Loss Is Your Best Friend**
No, stop-loss is your **best friend for life**.
**Example:**
- Suppose you **enter 10 trades in a month**.
- **6 do well** and you book profits.
- **4 go against you**, but instead of exiting, **you hold** because you believe they’ll recover.
- Next month, you **repeat this cycle**—adding more positions.
Over time, **this builds a portfolio of lagging stocks**, and suddenly, **your losses dominate your portfolio**.
---
Even Experts Face Losses
Even professionals with **advanced research teams lose money**.
Retail traders often **believe they can avoid losses by analyzing a few ratios**, but **losses are part of trading**.
A stop-loss ensures **you stay in the game long-term**—instead of holding onto losing trades indefinitely.
---
Take a Break & Restart
Taking breaks is **crucial**. If everything is going wrong, **don’t hesitate to press the reset button**—step back, analyze, and refine your approach. A fresh mindset leads to better trading decisions. (I’ll write a detailed post on this soon.)
3 Tips to Make Trading EasierTrading is such a strange beast—both extremely difficult and unparalleled in its simplicity.
Sometimes, we find ourselves floating in effortless flow. Other times, we’re stuck in a storm of confusion, frustration, or overconfidence.
And it’s in these oscillations—the swing between extremes—where the true difficulty lies.
On one end, we show the market less respect than it demands.
On the other, we freeze in fear or get swept away in frustration and rage.
Managing these extremes is part of the trader’s job.
Managing them well… is an art form.
Here are 3 foundational tools that have helped me:
⸻
1. Find. Your. Rhythm.
Each of us is wired differently. Our biochemistry, personality traits, and preferences are all unique—and they absolutely affect how we trade.
Some traders thrive on high-frequency scalping.
Others wait patiently for a single swing setup.
Some feel energized after 6 hours of screen time.
Others burn out after one intense hour.
If you don’t understand your personal rhythm, you’ll constantly be misaligned—not just with your strategy, but with your life.
Workaholics may get bored and start forcing trades.
Laid-back traders may overcommit and burn out fast.
Rhythm isn’t just about preference—it’s about sustainability.
⸻
2. Practice Tolerating Discomfort.
Trading is uncomfortable.
Let’s be real—90% of it ranges from mildly uneasy to outright agonizing.
Practicing discomfort outside of trading has made a huge difference for me:
Cold plunges.
Sadhu boards.
Early morning wake-ups.
Cardio.
Even practicing restraint during family arguments.
These things teach you to sit with that gnawing feeling and not act impulsively.
They train your nervous system to stay stable under pressure.
Trading may not get “easier,” but your capacity for difficulty increases—so it starts to feel easier.
⸻
3. Plan Is Everything.
Trading becomes way simpler when you just show up to execute a plan.
If your plan says there are no trades today—then walk away.
If your plan says take two trades—then take them.
Win or lose, outsource the result to the plan, not to your self-worth.
Then, at the end of a set period (ideally written into the plan), review your execution.
Were you compliant?
What can be adjusted?
A good plan + rhythm alignment + discomfort tolerance = consistency.
⸻
Trading is obviously more complex than three bullet points can capture—but the foundation you can build from these is immense.
Thanks for reading.
Happy trading.
—Lightwork_
Trading is a business
The masses have the wrong ideas about Trading. It is a business and just like others it involves risk. We grow, we learn, earn and scale up. Crafting a plan is essential to success and character also play a key role here.
In this business, risk is an inherent part of the equation. Just like any other enterprise, trading exposes you to challenges and setbacks, but it's how you manage these risks that can differentiate a thriving business from one that falters. Careful risk management—whether through proper position sizing, stop-loss strategies, or diversification—is the foundation that helps protect your capital while you grow your business over time.
Crafting a trading plan is essential. This plan should not only outline your entry and exit strategies based on rigorous analysis but also incorporate a framework to evaluate your performance critically. A well-crafted plan serves as a roadmap, guiding your decisions in both favorable and challenging market conditions. Moreover, it creates a discipline that protects you from emotional reactions that can often lead to impulsive decisions—a common pitfall in trading.
Character plays a crucial role as well. In trading, psychological fortitude, resilience in the face of losses, and the humility to learn from mistakes are qualities that separate the successful from the rest. Many people mistakenly believe that a few big wins can offset a series of missteps; however, it is the consistent, calculated, and disciplined approach that leads to sustainable growth. This business mindset—acknowledging that each trade is a learning opportunity and a step in scaling up your efforts—is what ultimately propels traders to long-term success.
In essence, re-framing trading as a business fosters a mindset where every decision is taken seriously, every mistake is analyzed for improvement, and every trade is seen as a building block for growth. This approach not only minimizes unnecessary risks but also enables you to scale up with confidence.
I'm curious—what elements of your trading plan do you find most effective at keeping your business mindset in check, and are there aspects you'd like to refine further?
Are You Taking the Right Risks in Trading? RISK Per Trade Basics
What portion of your equity should you risk for your trading positions?
In the today's article, I will reveal the types of risks related to your position sizing.
Quick note: your risk per trade will be defined by the distance from your entry point to stop loss in pips and the lot size.
🟢Risking 1-2% of your trading account per trade will be considered a low risk.
With such a risk, one can expect low returns but a high level of safety of the total equity.
Such a risk is optimal for conservative and newbie traders.
With limited account drawdowns, one will remain psychologically stable during the negative trading periods.
🟡2-5% risk per trade is a medium risk. With such a risk, one can expect medium returns but a moderate level of safety of the total equity.
Such a risk is suitable for experienced traders who are able to take losses and psychologically resilient to big drawdowns and losing streaks.
🔴5%+ risk per trade is a high risk.
With such a risk, one can expect high returns but a low level of safety of the total equity.
Such a risk is appropriate for rare, "5-star" trading opportunities where all stars align and one is extremely confident in the positive outcome.
That winner alone can bring substantial profits, while just 2 losing trades in a row will burn 10% of the entire capital.
🛑15%+ risk per trade is considered to be a stupid risk.
With such a risk, one can blow the entire trading account with 4-5 trades losing streak.
Taking into consideration the fact that 100% trading setups does not exist, such a risk is too high to be taken.
The problem is that most of the traders does not measure the % risk per trade and use the fixed lot.
Never make such a mistake, and plan your risks according to the scale that I shared with you.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
What happens to markets when the dxy rallies?!Scanning through the markets during these turbulent times has me, wondering what would happen when the dollar index rallies to new highs? Will the real estate market be higher? Will Gold be higher? Will inflation be higher? With the great reset well underway and the sheep buying the left- right blame game, what will happen to our beloved investments?
What on Earth Is a Circuit Breaker?!Every couple of days since April 2nd, everybody's been talking about a stock market halt all day. You're left there trying to Google it so you're not the only person in the group chat who doesn't know what's going on. But actually, nobody else in your group chat knows what's going on either. They're low-key Googling it under the desk. You don't have to know everything in the market to be a "seasoned" trader. What does get disappointing is when people guess instead of providing facts or a direct link to an article about market halts.
So, this is your quick-but-detailed-read article/ guide to market halts and circuit breakers. Send it to your friends in that group chat. Why today's dump happened in the first place? More on that later. It's a long story. 🥹
What is a circuit breaker?
It's simple: a circuit breaker is a 15 minute OR whole-day market-wide HALT when the market reaches 1 of 3 decline levels. It all depends on the level, how fast the decline is, and potentially other factors that we are not aware of. Keep in mind this is not something we have to deal with often.
When does it happen? And what stock does it track?
Good question. The halt is triggered following declines in the S&P 500 only . That is: AMEX:SPY SP:SPX $CME_MINI:ES1!.
If these level 1 & 2 are reached before 3:25 PM EDT , there is a 15 minute market-wide trading halt. Meaning you cannot enter or exit positions. If level 3 is reached at any time in the day, the entire day's trading will come to an end.
Level 1: -7.00% | 15 minute halt
Level 2: -13.00% | 15 minute halt
Level 3: -20.00% | Entire day halt
So when the S&P 500 index reaches -6.98%, be sure a halt is coming very soon at -7.00%. Sure, like today, "they" might pump it and use that as support and prevent a halt (we got very close to -6.35% on CME_MINI:ES1! if I'm not mistaken). But it's good to be vigilant and make sure you're not in any daytrades.
Does CME_MINI:NQ1! NASDAQ:QQQ CBOT_MINI:YM1! trigger the halt also?
No. The halt is only triggered by the S&P 500. The Nasdaq Composite famously moves much more than S&P 500, so a 7% drop in S&P is way more dramatic than a 7% drop in Nasdaq and it's highly likely at -7% in S&P that Nasdaq would be at -8% or -9%. Although, both are undoubtedly decimating for any long positions.
Why does this rule exist?
This was introduced after Black Monday of 1987 where the market was free falling ( DJ:DJI dropped 22.6%) with no safety stops in place to prevent a market-wide disaster. This prevents further panic selling and massive stop loss raids, and also gives institutional traders time to zoom out and see the bigger picture.
How close did we get recently?
Today we got within 0.7% of getting a 15 minute halt.
See for yourself:
And the intraday 15 minute chart:
FUN FACT: What if I shorted the top on CME_MINI:ES1! ?
Assuming your time machine goes back 24 hours (some time machines only go back 10 years minimum), you'd have booked 1500 ticks at $12.50 per tick. So around $19k per contract. You know that's not too bad. It's almost a Toyota Camry per contract. Do better! 😆
How do I trade this?
Do you really have to? Please do not FOMO & catch a falling knife. Trade light. The market is open for the rest of the year. Trade with a stop loss, and remember, if you FOMO'd and bought at -3% just because it's down 3%, you'd have gotten decimated. Use the charts not the % on your screen. 🔥
Hit the follow button for free educational content because knowledge is free. KD out.
Why I Only Buy Dips / Sell Rallies When I Trade GoldWhen it comes to trading Gold (XAUUSD), I’ve learned one key truth: breakouts lie, but dips/rallies tell the truth.
That’s why I stick to one rule that has kept me consistently profitable:
I only buy dips in an uptrend and only sell rallies in a downtrend.
Let me explain exactly why this approach works so well—especially on Gold, a notoriously tricky market.
________________________________________
1. 🔥 Gold is famous for fake breakouts
Breakouts on Gold often look amazing… until they trap you.
You enter just as price breaks a key level—then suddenly it reverses and stops you out.
This happens because Gold loves to tease liquidity. It breaks highs or lows just enough to activate stop losses or attract breakout traders, only to reverse.
Buying dips or selling rallies protects you from these traps by entering from value, not hype.
________________________________________
2. ✅ I get better stop-loss placement and risk:reward
When I buy a dip, I can place my stop below a strong level (like a support zone or swing low).
That gives me tight risk and allows for big reward potential—often 1:2, 1:3 or more.
Breakout trades, on the other hand, often require wider stops or result in poor entries due to emotional execution.
________________________________________
3. ⏳ I get time to assess the market
False breakouts happen fast. But dips usually form more gradually.
That gives me time to analyze price action, spot confirmation signals, and even scratch the trade at breakeven if it starts to fail.
This reduces emotional decisions and increases my accuracy.
________________________________________
4. 🎯 Gold respects key levels more than it respects momentum
Even in strong trends, Gold often retraces deeply and retests zones before continuing.
That means entries near key levels—on a dip or rally—are more reliable than chasing price.
I’d rather wait for the zone than jump in mid-air.
________________________________________
5. 🔁 Even in aggressive trends, Gold often reverts to the mean
Lately, Gold has been trending hard—no doubt.
But even during explosive moves, it frequently pulls back to key moving averages or demand zones.
That’s why mean reversion entries on dips or rallies continue to offer excellent setups, even in fast-moving markets.
________________________________________
6. 🧠 I benefit from retail trader mistakes
Most traders get excited on breakouts.
But what usually happens? The breakout fails, and the price returns to structure.
By waiting for the dip/rally (when others are panicking or taking losses), I can enter at a discount and ride the move in the right direction.
________________________________________
7. 🧘♂️ This strategy forces patience and discipline
Waiting for dips or rallies requires patience.
You don’t jump in randomly. You plan your entry, your stop, your take profit—calmly.
That mental discipline is a trading edge on its own.
________________________________________
8. 📊 I align myself with probability, not emotion
In an uptrend, buying a dip is logical.
In a downtrend, selling a rally is natural.
Trying to “chase the breakout” is emotional—trying to get in on the action, fearing you'll miss the move.
I trade with the trend, from the right zone, and with a clear plan.
________________________________________
9. 🕒 I can use pending limit orders and walk away
One of the most underrated benefits of trading dips and rallies?
I don’t need to chase the market or be glued to the screen.
When I see a clean level forming, I simply place a buy limit (or sell limit) with my stop and target predefined.
This saves time, reduces overtrading, and keeps my emotions in check.
It’s a set-and-forget approach that fits perfectly with Gold’s tendency to return to key zones—even during high volatility.
________________________________________
🔚 Final thoughts
There’s no perfect trading strategy. But when it comes to Gold, buying dips and selling rallies consistently keeps me on the right side of probability.
I avoid the emotional traps. I get better entries. And most importantly, I protect my capital while maximizing reward.
Next time you see Gold breaking out, ask yourself:
“Is this real… or should I just wait for the dip/rally?”
That question might save you a lot of pain.
Global Markets Crashing: What Now?⚠️ Global Markets Crashing: What Now?
Don't panic , this is a worldwide event . Even big players are affected.
The important thing is to be patient and focus on future opportunities . We're hoping for a recovery in 2025.
We're holding on! ⏳
If you're experiencing losses right now , don't get discouraged, almost everyone is in the same boat . Even the largest funds managing billions of dollars are in trouble. Trillions of dollars are being wiped out from the world economy. Every country and every stock market is crashing. If you're thinking, 'My altcoin is dropping,' just look at how much ETH has fallen (18% in just one day).
Everything across the globe is falling , so it's natural that our market and investments will also fall. Don't feel bad if you didn't sell at the top in November or December; these are learning experiences for the future. Remember to take profit in the next uptrend.
Right now, all we can do is wait and hope for global issues to be resolved. Interest rate cuts and printing more money could bring a recovery in 2025.
S tay strong and make sure to take your profits if we see a big pump towards the end of the year.
We are also holding all our assets and waiting.
The Trump PatternWhen Donald Trump took office in 2017, the U.S. stock market experienced dramatic fluctuations—marked by steep declines followed by eventual rebounds.
This pattern, which we'll call the "Trump Pattern," repeated itself during his presidency and is now emerging again as a point of interest for investors.
While the specific causes of these market shifts varied, key factors—particularly tariffs, inflation concerns, and Federal Reserve (FED) actions—played critical roles in the market's rise and fall during Trump’s presidency.
The Trump Pattern: The Market Fall and Recovery
🏁 1. The Start of the Trump Presidency (2017)
When Donald Trump was elected in 2016, the market responded with a combination of excitement and uncertainty. Initially, the market surged due to tax cut expectations, deregulation, and optimism about a business-friendly administration. But as Trump's presidency fully began in January 2017, concerns over trade wars and tariff policies began to dominate investor sentiment.
The market initially dipped after Trump began pursuing a protectionist trade agenda, especially with China.
As concerns about tariffs escalated, stock markets reacted negatively to potential trade wars.
💶 2. The Tariff Crisis of 2018
The first major example of the "Trump Pattern" emerged in 2018 when Trump began implementing tariffs, particularly on Chinese imports, and announced new tariffs on steel and aluminum. This caused major market disruptions.
The S&P 500 fell dramatically during this period, dropping by as much as 8.6% from its February peak in 2019.
Companies that relied heavily on international trade, like Apple, General Motors, and Ford, experienced significant stock price declines. In fact, Apple’s stock fell 9.5% on days when new tariffs were announced, as their costs for manufacturing overseas rose.
The uncertainty surrounding the global economy, combined with rising tariffs, created fears of a trade war, leading to sharp market declines.
📈 3. Market Recovery: FED Rate Cuts and Tax Cuts
Despite the tariff-induced volatility, the market didn’t stay down for long. After significant market falls, the Federal Reserve (FED) began implementing interest rate cuts to combat slowing economic growth. These actions helped stabilize the market and even fueled a rebound.
FED rate cuts made borrowing cheaper for consumers and businesses, stimulating economic activity and boosting investor confidence.
Additionally, tax cuts, a cornerstone of Trump’s economic policy, provided further support, particularly for corporations.
As a result, after the initial market drop in 2018 and early 2019, the market rebounded, continuing to climb as investors reacted positively to these fiscal and monetary policies.
🎯 The 2024 and 2025 "Trump Pattern" Emerges Again
Fast forward to 2024 and 2025, and we’re seeing echoes of the "Trump Pattern" once again. New tariffs, introduced in 2025, have reignited concerns about a trade war. These tariffs, particularly on Chinese imports, have once again caused market volatility.
The stock market has fallen in recent months due to concerns about these tariffs and the impact they might have on global trade. For example, when new tariffs were introduced in early 2025, the market saw a sharp sell-off, with the S&P 500 falling by over 1.8% in a single day.
Companies that rely on international trade, like Tesla and Ford, have seen their stock prices drop in response to concerns about increased production costs.
The broader market decline, much like in 2018, was driven by fears that tariffs could slow down the global economy and hurt corporate profits.
However, there is optimism that the same pattern will unfold, where the market eventually recovers after these initial drops.
⚠️ 4. FED Rate Cuts Again?
As inflation concerns persist, the Federal Reserve is likely to step in once again. Like previous cycles, we expect the FED to cut interest rates to stimulate the economy. This would be aimed at reducing borrowing costs, encouraging investment, and helping businesses weather the impact of higher tariffs and global uncertainty.
The FED’s actions are typically a key driver of market recovery in the "Trump Pattern." Investors have come to expect that a market downturn triggered by political or economic disruptions can be offset by the FED’s supportive monetary policies.
⚖️ Navigating the Trump Pattern: What Should Investors Do?
The "Trump Pattern" highlights that during periods of heightened uncertainty, especially due to trade policies like tariffs, the market will often experience short-term declines followed by long-term recovery. Here are a few strategies investors might want to consider:
Stay Diversified : During periods of volatility, having a diversified portfolio can help cushion against the risks posed by market swings.
Invest in Domestic Companies : Companies that rely less on international supply chains might fare better during periods of trade policy changes and tariff uncertainty.
Focus on Growth : Once the initial market decline subsides, look for sectors that stand to benefit from a recovering economy, such as tech or consumer discretionary stocks.
Look for Inflation Hedges : Given the potential for inflation, consider investments that tend to perform well during these times, such as real estate or commodities like gold.
📝 Conclusion: The Trump Pattern in Action
The "Trump Pattern" demonstrates how the market tends to react in cycles during the early months of each presidency. Typically, the market falls at the start due to the uncertainty surrounding Trump’s trade policies, particularly tariffs. However, after these initial drops, the market often rebounds thanks to FED rate cuts and other policies aimed at stimulating the economy.
Looking ahead to 2025, we're already seeing signs of this pattern in action as tariffs are back on the table and market volatility has followed. However, history suggests that patience might pay off. Once the FED steps in and cuts rates, a market rebound is likely, following the same trend we saw in 2017-2019.
Trump’s Tariffs & the Silent Setup — Why This Could Be Bigger ?Hello Traders 🐺
I hope you enjoyed yesterday’s Black Monday 😂 because honestly, it was brutal for all investors.
But corrections like this are always necessary — and I want to talk about that in this idea with a bit more detail.
Also, I’ll update you on the current situation of BTC.D, because as I told you in my last update, the market is about to create a bear trap on the BTC.D chart.
I already shared the proof for this prediction before the dump — you can check it here:
So now, let’s talk about the economic reason behind the dump, and then I’ll go over the technical side of the chart.
This idea I’ll explain how we can use macroeconomic data in our trading decisions.
So make sure to read it carefully and see how you can apply it to your strategy ✅
Do deep corrections always mean danger?
Not necessarily.
Let’s go back and remember some of the biggest crashes in financial history —
The COVID dump or even the famous Black Monday.
If you ask yourself now, “What was the smartest move back then?”
You’ll probably say:
Buy. Accumulate. Because that was the bottom — and we never saw those prices again.
And guess what?
The current state of the market is no different.
So why do I believe Trump’s new tariff policy could actually be bullish?
Let me break it down simply for you:
🔥 The Tariff War: Why it started
For years, most countries had easy access to the U.S. consumer market — the largest in the world — with little or no tariffs.
But U.S. manufacturers didn’t enjoy the same freedom when exporting abroad — they faced heavy tariffs, while also struggling with intense competition inside their own borders due to lack of import restrictions.
So what happened?
✅ The new tariffs brought two key benefits:
1️⃣ Forced negotiations:
Other countries now have to either remove or reduce their own export tariffs to keep trading with the U.S.,
or else they lose access to a market that’s extremely consumption-driven.
2️⃣ Advantage to U.S. domestic production:
If foreign exporters lose access, U.S. producers finally get room to breathe,
and can grow competitively inside their own market.
💰 What happened after tariff fears hit?
In the past month, markets reacted with fear.
A massive amount of capital flew out of financial markets and inflation-hedged assets,
the dollar strengthened, and recession fears grew.
But here’s the twist...
What if Trump had started printing money before this shakeout?
If liquidity was still high, printing more would’ve:
Crushed the dollar
Destroyed consumer buying power
Sparked inflation again
But right now, after money has already been squeezed out of markets and the dollar is strong,
the Fed has a clean path to restart QE (quantitative easing) without tanking the dollar’s value.
So what's next?
Lower interest rates, stimulus packages, subsidies — all will likely come soon.
This time, Trump can inject liquidity exactly where he wants it to go:
Straight into U.S. industry, not into meme coins and junk assets.
With fewer export tariffs, American factories will be more competitive,
U.S. exports could rise, and the country will rely less on foreign production.
And what does this mean for the markets?
Simple.
Once the Fed pivots back to easing, markets will react violently to the upside.
So, as I always say:
Don’t waste this opportunity. Use these prices wisely.
now let's come back into the chart :
As I told you before , BTC.D now is testing the blue monthly resistance line and also hit the rising wedge upward resistance line and in my opinion there is a big chance to see a massive bull market incoming...
I hope you find this idea valuable and as always remember :
🐺 Discipline is rarely enjoyable , but almost always profitable 🐺
🐺 KIU_COIN 🐺