The Four Horsemen of Trading: Overcoming the Emotional Pitfalls
Investing and trading are often viewed as purely logical activities. Many assume that success in the markets depends solely on mastering data, charts, and economic theories. However, the reality is that emotions frequently play an outsized role in influencing decisions, often to the detriment of traders. In his 1994 classic I nvest Like the Best, James O'Shaughnessy described the four common psychological pitfalls that derail investors: fear, greed, hope, and ignorance. These "Four Horsemen of the Investment Apocalypse" are as relevant today as ever, especially in the new market conditions and uncertanty.
Let’s explore each of these emotional pitfalls in detail, understand their impact, and discuss strategies to overcome them.
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1. Fear: The Paralyzing Grip of Uncertainty
Fear is perhaps the most immediate and visceral emotion traders experience. It manifests in two primary ways: the fear of losing money and the fear of missing out.
Fear of Losing Money
This fear often causes traders to exit positions prematurely, robbing them of potential profits. For instance, a trader may close a trade the moment it moves slightly against them, even if their analysis indicates a high likelihood of eventual success. This behavior stems from a deep-seated aversion to loss, amplified by the memory of past trading failures.
Fear of Missing Out
FOMO drives traders to enter markets impulsively, often at inopportune times. Seeing a rapid price increase can tempt traders to jump in without proper analysis, only to be caught in a reversal.
How to Overcome Fear
• Develop a Plan: A solid trading plan with predefined entry, exit, and stop-loss levels helps remove the uncertainty that fuels fear.
• Focus on the Process: Shift your attention from individual trade outcomes to the consistency of following your strategy.
• Accept Losses as Part of Trading: View losses as a natural and manageable aspect of trading rather than personal failures.
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2. Greed: The Endless Pursuit of More
Greed is the counterbalance to fear. It drives traders to seek excessive gains, often at the expense of sound decision-making. Greed clouds judgment, leading to overleveraging, chasing unrealistic profits, and deviating from planned strategies.
Examples of Greed in Trading
• Moving profit targets further as a trade approaches them, hoping for larger gains.
• Ignoring exit signals in anticipation of an extended rally, only to watch profits evaporate.
• Taking on larger positions than risk management rules would typically allow, driven by overconfidence.
How to Overcome Greed
• Set Realistic Goals: Establish achievable profit targets based on market conditions and your trading strategy.
• Stick to Risk Management Rules: Never risk more than a predetermined percentage of your trading account on a single trade.
• Practice Gratitude: Recognize and appreciate the profits you’ve made instead of constantly chasing more.
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3. Hope: Holding Onto Losing Trades
Hope is a double-edged sword in trading. While optimism can keep traders motivated, unchecked hope often leads to poor decisions. Traders driven by hope may hold onto losing positions far longer than they should, convinced that the market will eventually "come back." This refusal to cut losses can result in significant drawdowns.
The Danger of Hope
Hope clouds rational judgment. Instead of objectively assessing the market’s signals, hopeful traders anchor their decisions on a desired outcome. This emotional attachment to trades often leads to ignoring stop-loss levels or adding to losing positions, compounding the damage.
How to Overcome Hope
• Use Stop-Loss Orders: Always set stop-loss levels when entering a trade and stick to them without exception.
• Detach Emotionally from Trades: View trades as probabilities, not certainties. Focus on long-term outcomes rather than individual results.
• Review Performance Regularly: Regularly assess your trading performance to identify patterns of hopeful decision-making and correct them.
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4. Ignorance: Trading Without Knowledge
Ignorance is the foundational pitfall that enables fear, greed, and hope to thrive. A lack of knowledge or preparation often leads traders to make uninformed decisions, increasing the likelihood of costly mistakes.
Manifestations of Ignorance
• Entering trades based on rumors or tips without independent analysis.
• Failing to understand market dynamics, such as how economic events impact prices.
• Overestimating the predictive power of a single indicator or strategy without considering the broader context.
How to Overcome Ignorance
• Invest in Education: Learn about trading strategies, technical analysis, risk management, and market fundamentals.
• Stay Informed: Keep up with economic news, market trends, and industry developments.
• Practice in Simulated Environments: Use demo accounts to refine your strategies and gain experience before risking real capital.
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Combating the Four Horsemen: A Holistic Approach
To succeed in trading, you must address all four horsemen simultaneously. Here’s a comprehensive strategy to help you stay disciplined:
1. Create a Detailed Trading Plan: A well-thought-out plan acts as a roadmap, reducing the influence of emotional decisions.
2. Implement Strict Risk Management: Set clear rules for position sizing, stop-loss levels, and profit targets to minimize the impact of fear and greed.
3. Keep a Trading Journal: Record every trade, including the rationale behind it, the emotions you felt, and the outcome. Reviewing this journal helps you identify and correct emotional patterns.
4. Develop Emotional Awareness: Practice mindfulness to recognize when emotions are influencing your decisions, and take a step back when necessary.
5. Seek Continuous Improvement: Trading is a skill that requires ongoing refinement. Stay curious, learn from your mistakes, and adapt to changing market conditions.
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Final Thoughts
The Four Horsemen—fear, greed, hope, and ignorance—are ever-present challenges for traders. By recognizing these emotional pitfalls and implementing strategies to mitigate their impact, you can make more disciplined and objective decisions. Success in trading is not just about mastering the markets; it’s about mastering yourself. Approach each trade with preparation, detachment, and a commitment to continuous learning, and you’ll be well on your way to conquering these formidable adversaries.
Trading Psychology
Decoding Market Maker Tactics: An Educational BreakdownDecoding Market Maker Tactics: An Educational Guide for Trading Gold
If you’re trading Gold (XAU/USD), understanding market-maker tactics is essential. This guide will teach you how to decode liquidity traps, fake breakouts, and stop-loss sweeps using the 8H XAU/USD chart as a real-world example.
With recent economic events like U.S. Retail Sales, CPI inflation data, and central bank comments, Gold’s price movement was a textbook case of market-maker manipulation. By studying this chart, you’ll learn how to recognize their tactics and position yourself to trade smarter.
Let’s break it down step-by-step, with direct cues from the chart.
1. Key Levels and Zones: The Battleground
Referencing the 8H XAU/USD Chart, we observe key levels that highlight market maker strategies:
Resistance Zones: Retail Traps
$2,724 – Major Psychological Resistance
🔴 Chart Cue: A highlighted resistance area where sellers aggressively defend. Market makers engineered a fake breakout to trap buyers, as seen with the liquidity sweep warning on the chart.
Lesson: Always be cautious of breakouts at such heavily defended psychological levels unless backed by strong volume.
$2,710 – $2,706 (Point of Control - POC)
🟠 Chart Cue: This area represents the highest volume traded, marked as a pivot zone. Notice how price consolidates here, creating doji candles and indecision before sharp movements.
Support Zones: Stop-Loss Hunting Grounds
$2,689 – Strong Support
🟢 Chart Cue: Buyers defended this level repeatedly (visible with long lower wicks), but market makers pushed below to trigger stop-losses before reversing upward.
Key Insight: This manipulation was a classic liquidity grab.
$2,682 – Secondary Support (Liquidity Grab Zone)
🔴 Chart Cue: The chart identifies this as a prime stop-loss hunting zone, where price dipped sharply before rebounding. The liquidity grab here highlights market maker positioning before a reversal.
2. How Economic News Fueled Manipulation
Recent news amplified volatility and provided market makers with opportunities to manipulate price.
Tuesday: U.S. Retail Sales Data
Impact: Strong retail sales drove the USD higher, pushing Gold below $2,689. Retail traders went short, expecting further declines.
Chart Evidence: The volume imbalance below $2,689 highlights the liquidity grab before the sharp reversal.
Thursday: CPI Inflation Report
Impact: Slightly lower-than-expected CPI figures spiked Gold prices to $2,724, enticing breakout buyers.
Chart Evidence: The liquidity sweep warning at $2,724 confirms a false breakout, where market makers absorbed buy orders before reversing.
Friday: Central Bank Comments
Impact: Dovish remarks boosted Gold momentarily, but price consolidated around $2,710 (POC).
Chart Evidence: Candles near the POC indicate indecision before another stop-loss sweep below $2,689, followed by a recovery.
3. Candlestick and Price Action Patterns
The chart reveals essential price action signals that help anticipate market-maker moves:
Inside Bar Formation:
Multiple candles near $2,724 signal price compression. These patterns often precede false breakouts, as seen after CPI news.
Wick Rejections:
At $2,724: Long upper wicks confirm selling pressure.
At $2,689: Long lower wicks indicate stop-loss hunting.
Candles at POC ($2,706):
Reflect market indecision, hinting at a pending sharp move.
4. Volume and Liquidity Analysis
Volume dynamics reveal critical insights into market manipulation:
Shrinking Volume at Resistance ($2,724):
Weak buying pressure at resistance confirms exhaustion, setting up a fake breakout trap (marked on the chart).
Volume Void Below $2,689:
The chart’s volume analysis indicates a high-probability liquidity grab zone, where market makers fill positions before reversing.
5. Trend and Wave Analysis
Using wave theory and higher-timeframe trends:
Corrective Wave (Wave 4):
The current corrective wave shows typical liquidity grabs and false moves, aligning with the chart’s liquidity sweep zones.
Broader Trend:
Despite the manipulation, Gold remains in a long-term uptrend. The current correction will likely give way to a bullish Wave 5.
6. Market Correlations
The chart’s spillover impact indicators reveal Gold’s self-driven movement last week:
DXY (0.12): Weak positive correlation.
S&P 500 (-0.04): Minimal inverse correlation, as expected for a safe-haven asset. Key Takeaway: Liquidity dynamics remain the primary driver for Gold, not external markets.
7. Hypothetical Trade Setups
Educational trade setups inspired by the chart:
Trade Setup 1: Buy After Liquidity Grab
Order Type: Buy Limit
Entry: $2,682
Take Profit: $2,724
Stop Loss: $2,675
Chart Cue: Liquidity grab zone identified at $2,682, aligning with harmonic reversal.
Trade Setup 2: Sell the Fake Breakout
Order Type: Sell Limit
Entry: $2,724
Take Profit: $2,689
Stop Loss: $2,730
Chart Cue: Liquidity sweep warning at $2,724 indicates a probable fake breakout.
8. Why Use the 8H Chart for Gold?
The uploaded 8H XAU/USD chart offers the perfect balance:
Clarity: It reduces noise from smaller timeframes while revealing mid-term liquidity zones.
Precision: Patterns like wick rejections, volume voids, and fake breakouts are clearly visible.
9. Conclusion: Outsmart the Manipulators
This 8H XAU/USD chart showcases a masterclass in market-maker tactics:
Traps Set: A fake breakout above $2,724 caught breakout buyers.
Stop-Loss Sweep: A liquidity grab below $2,682 punished unprepared buyers.
Final Tip: Trade smart. Focus on liquidity zones and price action setups to position yourself like a professional, avoiding retail traps.
Quick Learn Trading Tips - #1 of 123: Doubling your MoneyQuick Learn Trading Tips - #1 of 123: Doubling your Money
It's easy to get caught up in the hype of trading. Promises of fast fortunes and "guaranteed" wins are everywhere. But as I always say, it's crucial to keep it real.
That's why my first Quick Learn trading tip is this: "Try to be realistic about your expected returns. If you dream of doubling your capital every month, you will soon be disappointed."
Let's face it:
If doubling your money every month was easy, everyone would be doing it!
The truth is that consistent success in trading requires a grounded approach.
Unrealistic goals often lead to risky moves driven by emotion, not logic. And that's a recipe for disaster.
Instead, aim for steady, achievable gains. Develop a sound trading strategy, leverage tools, and stay disciplined.
Remember, building wealth in the markets is a marathon, not a sprint.
Want more Quick Learn tips to boost your trading? Follow me.
Commitment of Traders Modelled as Stratified Poissant Processes Hey! This video theorizes about the relevance of the poissant process in predicting areas of support and resistance in a way that accounts for temporal and probabilistic grounding. Essentially, the commitment of traders is modelled as a poissant process. Lambda is remeasured at each time step and the stratas' opacity reflects the strength of the probability, modelling trader capitulation as a time decay function. The recency and recurrence of information is intuitive and visible at a glance. Enjoy!
FOMO and Hope for a Price Reversal: Two Psychological Traps❓ Have you ever entered a trade out of fear of missing out (FOMO) or held on to a losing position, hoping the market would turn in your favor?
Psychological mistakes are a huge factor in whether a trader succeeds or fails. One of the most common and damaging mistakes is FOMO (Fear of Missing Out), followed by holding onto trades because of an unrealistic hope that the market will reverse despite all evidence pointing to the opposite. These behaviors are far too common, even among experienced traders. Understanding and avoiding them is essential to improve your trading results. 🧵
💡In this article, we’ll break down the psychological mistakes every trader faces, how to identify them, and practical strategies to prevent them from affecting your trades.
The Psychological Side of Trading 🧠
In trading, emotions can be our worst enemy. Here are two common psychological traps that many traders fall into:
🔮 FOMO (Fear of Missing Out):
What It Is: FOMO is when you enter a trade impulsively, simply because you see others making profits or you fear missing the "big move."
Why It Happens: The market seems to be moving in one direction, and you don't want to miss out on potential profits. This often happens when you're watching others on social media or in trading groups.
Impact: This leads to impulsive decisions, often entering trades late in the trend or at inappropriate levels.
Tip: To combat FOMO, stick to your pre-defined trading plan and only take trades based on your specific criteria. Remember, there will always be new opportunities.
🔎 Unrealistic Hope in Price Reversals:
What It Is: This is when you hold onto a losing position, hoping that the market will reverse in your favor, despite clear signs to the contrary.
Why It Happens: It’s often rooted in the belief that “the market can’t keep going against me,” or the hope that the trend will change.
Impact: This often results in larger losses because the trader doesn't cut their losses early and ends up holding onto a position until it’s too late.
Tip: When you see signs that the market is continuing against you, cut your losses quickly. Trading is about being patient and disciplined, not about hoping for a reversal.
🛠 Strategies and Tools for Managing Emotions 📈
Trading is all about control—control over risk, strategy, and most importantly, over your emotions. Here are some tools and strategies to keep your psychology in check:
1. Position Sizing & Risk Management
Position Sizing: One of the most effective ways to reduce emotional stress and maintain control over your trades is by managing your position size. A general rule of thumb is to risk 1-2% of your total account balance on each trade. However, this percentage can vary based on your risk tolerance, experience, and self-awareness. As you gain more experience and better understand your risk profile, you may adjust this amount accordingly, but always ensure you're comfortable with the risk you're taking.
2. Stick to Your Strategy
Trading Plan: Make sure you have a solid trading plan and stick to it. Your plan should include:
Entry signals
Exit signals
Risk management rules (e.g., stop-loss, take-profit levels)
Don't Chase the Market: If you missed the breakout, don’t chase it. There will always be new opportunities, and chasing the market often leads to poor entry points and higher risks.
3. Psychological Self-Awareness
Track Your Emotions: Keep a trading journal to track not only your trades but also your emotional state. Understanding your psychological triggers (e.g., fear, greed) can help you avoid emotional mistakes.
Set Realistic Expectations: Remember, trading is a marathon, not a sprint. Accept that you will have losses, and focus on your long-term profitability rather than on every single trade.
Successfully navigating trading isn’t just about technical indicators or chart patterns—it’s also about controlling your emotions. FOMO and holding on to unrealistic hopes can seriously damage your trading performance. The key is to develop a strong psychological mindset: stick to your strategy, manage your risk, and always make decisions based on data, not emotions.
💌Now, it’s your turn!
Which psychological mistakes have you encountered in your trading journey? Share your experiences in the comments below and let’s learn from each other!
I’m Skeptic , here to simplify trading and help you achieve mastery step by step. Let’s keep growing together! 🤍
Top 5 Tips to Increase Your Profits in Trading
In this educational article, I will share with you very useful tips how to improve your profitability in trading the financial markets.
1. Decrease the number of financial instruments in your watch list. ⬇️
Remember that each individual instrument in your watch list requires attention. The more of them you monitor on a daily basics, the harder it is to keep focus on them.
In order to not miss early confirmation signals and triggers, it is highly recommendable to reduce the size of your watch list and pay closer attention to the remaining instruments.
2. Avoid taking too many positions. ❌
For some reason, newbie traders are convinced that they should constantly trade and keep many trading positions.
Firstly, I want to remind you that the management of an active position is a quite tedious process that requires time and attention.
Therefore, more positions are opened, more time and effort is required.
Secondly, if the newbies can not spot a good setup, they assume that they are obliged to open some positions and they start forcing the setups.
Remember, that in trading, the quality of the trading setup beats the quantity. I advise taking less trades, but the better ones.
3. Let winners run if the market is going in the desired direction. 📈
Once you caught a good trade and the market is moving where you predicted, do not let your emotions close the trade preliminary.
Try to get maximum from your trade, closing that only after the desired level is reached.
4. Open a trade after multiple confirmations.✅
Analyzing a certain setup remember, that more confirmations you spot, higher is the accuracy of the trade that you take. In order to increase your win rate, it is recommendable to wait for at least 2 confirmations.
5. Don't trade on your cellphone. 📱
A good trade always requires a sophisticated analysis that is impossible to execute on the small screen of the cellphone.
A lot of elements and nuances simply will not be noticed. For that reason, trade only from a computer with a wide screen.
Relying on these tips, you will substantially increase your profits.
Take them into the consideration and good luck to you in your trading journey.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
Lucky vs. Repeatability: A Key Insight for Smarter TradingTrading is a journey, one filled with highs, lows, and a constant drive to improve.
Recently, I came across an idea on Podcast that truly resonated with me: the concept of luck versus repeatability.
This distinction is critical—it’s the difference between chasing short-term gains that may never happen again and developing a strategy that can deliver consistent results over time. Let me explain.
The Role of Luck: Lessons from the 2017 ICO Boom
Think back to 2017, the golden age of initial coin offerings (ICOs). When a new crypto token launched, there was a rush to buy it, often driving the price up by 10x, 50x, or even 100x in a matter of days.
For many, this was a once-in-a-lifetime opportunity to turn small investments into life-changing wealth.
But what happened next?
That strategy no longer works today. The sheer number of tokens being created—thousands daily—means money is now spread too thin for any single token to experience those explosive gains. What worked in 2017 relied on luck, not on a repeatable edge in the market.
Luck is a fascinating aspect of trading. It can make you rich once, but without the skills to preserve and grow that wealth, it often fades away as quickly as it appeared.
Repeatability: Why Market Cycles Matter
Now let’s contrast this with something far more enduring: market cycles.
Markets have always oscillated between fear and greed.
During times of greed, prices often surge beyond their intrinsic value.
Conversely, fear can drive prices below their true value. These cycles aren’t random—they’re rooted in human psychology and have been evident for decades.
For example, during bull markets, optimism often pushes valuations to unsustainable levels. Then, a sudden shock—be it economic, political, or otherwise—triggers a wave of fear, and the cycle reverses.
This ebb and flow have happened in the past, and will likely continue into the future.
This is what makes market cycles repeatable. Unlike luck, which depends on being in the right place at the right time, repeatability allows you to build a foundation for sustainable success.
Compounding: The Key to Long-Term Growth
Once you adopt a repeatable trading strategy, you unlock the power of compounding. Even with a modest starting capital, consistent returns can lead to significant growth over time. The beauty of compounding lies in its exponential nature—small gains, when reinvested, can snowball into substantial wealth.
This doesn’t happen overnight, but that’s the point. Repeatable strategies thrive on patience and discipline, allowing you to grow your account steadily and responsibly.
A Common Mistake in Pullback Trading
Let’s take a practical example: pullback trading.
Many traders focus on waiting for the price to re-test a key level, like previous resistance that could turn into support. While this approach makes sense in theory, the market doesn’t always play by the rules. Prices often fail to re-test those levels, continuing their move without offering the ideal entry point.
The solution? Plan for multiple scenarios. Understand that pullbacks can vary in depth and structure, and be prepared to adapt. Flexibility is key when applying any repeatable strategy.
A Thought to Keep in Mind
One of the most liberating truths about trading is this: the market doesn’t care about you. It doesn’t know your goals, your dreams, or your trades. Losses aren’t personal—they’re just part of the game.
The real question is how you respond to them. Each loss is an opportunity to reflect, learn, and refine your approach. Over time, this process turns a good strategy into a great one.
Final Thoughts
As traders, we’re constantly faced with choices. Should we chase the next big thing, hoping for a stroke of luck? Or should we focus on developing strategies grounded in repeatable principles?
For me, the answer is clear. While luck may occasionally play a role, it’s the repeatable strategies—those built on solid foundations—that lead to lasting success.
The next time you evaluate a trading approach, ask yourself: Is this lucky, or is it repeatable? The answer might just reshape the way you trade.
Psychology tips shouldn't be depressing. Psychology. Developing it changes how you see markets and this changes how you trade it.
- 3 Market Types (Who are you dealing with?)
- Industry Structure
- Price Structure & Trend
This is a SUPER quick overview of these three points, but start here, and be sure to look out for more advance in-depth conversations.
$CHILLGUY How to Spot Euphoria LessonHere's a good lesson on spotting EUPHORIA.
I was over a friend's house who is a retail crypto trader on Thanksgiving.
He was telling that I had to buy $CHILLGUY because its the biggest meme ever.
I didn't even bother looking at the chart because of my past experience knowing how to gauge market sentiment,
but I replied, "you telling me this should be an instant sell signal for you".
From that day on, it was DOWN-ONLY 80% for the next 1.5 months 🤓
$3.3 Billion Hidden in a Cheetos Tin$3.3 Billion Hidden in a Cheetos Tin: The Mind-Blowing Story of Jimmy Zhong’s Crypto Heist
Back in 2012, there was this guy, Jimmy Zhong, who pulled off one of the most audacious heists in the history of cryptocurrency. Imagine this: he found a glitch on the Silk Road, a dark web marketplace that was the wild west of online crime. This wasn’t just any glitch; it was like finding a golden ticket in a chocolate bar.
Jimmy exploited this loophole, not by accident but with precision. He noticed you could hit the withdrawal button over and over, and each time, he’d get more bitcoins than he put in. It was like a digital ATM that spat out free money. He drained 51,860 bitcoins, which was worth about $700k at the time but ballooned to $3.3 billion over the years.
For nearly a decade, Jimmy lived like a king, evading the law. He laundered those bitcoins through crypto mixers, making the trail as confusing as a maze. With his newfound wealth, he splashed out on luxury, living the dream. Fancy hotels, shopping sprees at Gucci and Louis Vuitton, and even a lakeside house with boats and jet skis. He was untouchable, or so he thought.
He flew his friends out on private jets to watch football games, handing out $10k shopping sprees like they were candy. Life was good, until one day in 2019, when his house got robbed. $400k in cash and 150 bitcoins were stolen. Jimmy, in panic, called the cops. This was his first mistake; it put him on their radar.
But the real blunder came when he mixed $800 from the stolen money with his own on a KYC exchange. It was like leaving a breadcrumb trail right to his door. The authorities didn’t waste time. In 2021, they raided his place, finding 50,676 bitcoins hidden in a computer inside a Cheetos popcorn tin. Yes, you heard right, a Cheetos tin.
Along with the bitcoins, they found $660k in cash, silver, and gold bars. Jimmy was arrested, and his empire crumbled. He got sentenced to a year in prison, a small price for the fortune he once had.
This story isn’t about winning; it’s about the fall from grace, about how one tiny mistake can unravel years of evasion. Jimmy Zhong’s tale is a stark reminder in the world of crypto: privacy is king, and mistakes are costly
THE TYPICAL WEEK OF A FULL-TIME TRADER
In this educational article, I will teach you how to properly plan your trading week.
And how a week of a full-time trader looks.
Sunday.
While the markets are closed , it is the best moment to prepare the charts for next week.
First of all, charts should be cleaned after the previous trading week: multiple setups and patterns become invalid or simply lose their significance and their stay on the charts will only distract.
Secondly, key levels: support and resistance, supply and demand zones and trend lines should be updated. Similarly to patterns, some key levels become invalid after a previous week, for that reason, structures should be reviewed .
Monday.
Analyze the market opening, go through your watch list and check the reaction of the markets.
Flag / mark the trading instruments that you should pay a close attention to. Set alerts and look for trading setups.
Tuesday. Wednesday. Thursday.
If you opened a trading position, keep managing that.
Pay attention to your active trades, go through your watch list and monitor new trading setups.
Friday.
Assess the entire trading week. Check the end result, journal your winning and losing trades. Work on mistakes.
Decide whether to keep holding the active position over the weekend or look for a way to exit the market before it closes.
Saturday .
Stay away from the charts. Meditate, relax and chill while the markets are closed.
Trading for more than 9-years, I found that such a plan is the optimal for successful full-time / part-time trading. Try to follow this schedule and let me know if it is convenient for you.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
The Impact of Cognitive Biases on Trading DecisionsAre You Aware of How Cognitive Biases Shape Your Trading? 📊
Have you ever wondered why, despite having all the right tools and strategies, your trading decisions sometimes veer off course? The culprit might not be the market, but rather your own mind. I’m Skeptic , and I’m here to guide you through understanding cognitive biases—mental shortcuts our brains use to simplify decision-making—that can significantly impact your trading performance. By recognizing these biases and learning how to manage them, you can make smarter, more rational trading choices.
Let’s dive in to explore how these biases manifest and, more importantly, how to outsmart them for better trading outcomes.
What Are Cognitive Biases? 🔍
Cognitive biases are systematic errors in thinking that can affect judgments and decisions. While these biases help us navigate the complexities of daily life, they often lead to suboptimal outcomes in high-pressure environments like trading. Recognizing and mitigating their influence is crucial for every trader.
Common Cognitive Biases in Trading
1. Confirmation Bias 📑
What it is: The tendency to search for, interpret, and remember information that confirms pre-existing beliefs.
Actionable Tip: Seek out information that challenges your assumptions. Follow diverse sources and consider alternative viewpoints. A balanced perspective is key to sound decision-making.
2. Anchoring Bias ⚓
What it is: Over-reliance on the first piece of information (the "anchor") when making decisions.
Actionable Tip: Regularly re-evaluate your positions using the latest market data. Stay flexible and adapt your strategies as conditions change.
3. Herd Mentality 🐑
What it is: The tendency to follow the crowd’s behavior instead of conducting independent analysis.
Example: During the 2020 bull run, I blindly followed popular trading trends, which led to impulsive decisions and missed opportunities.
Actionable Tip: Develop and stick to your own trading strategy. Trust your research and analysis over market noise.
4. Loss Aversion ❌
What it is: The preference to avoid losses rather than acquire equivalent gains.
Actionable Tip: Set strict stop-loss orders and adhere to them. Accepting small losses is a natural part of trading and helps safeguard your capital.
5. Overconfidence Bias 💪
What it is: The tendency to overestimate one’s abilities or the accuracy of predictions.
Example: Overconfidence often led me to take excessive risks and trade too frequently, ignoring clear warning signs and proper analysis.
Actionable Tip: Maintain a trading journal to document your decisions and outcomes. Reflecting on past trades helps keep your ego in check and fosters continuous improvement.
Practical Strategies for Outsmarting Cognitive Biases 🧠
Use Risk Management Tools: Employ stop-loss and take-profit levels to mitigate emotional decision-making.
Pause and Reflect: Before making a trade, ask yourself if any biases might be influencing your decision.
Practice Mindfulness: Regularly evaluate your emotional state to ensure you’re trading with a clear mind.
Start Small: Test strategies in a demo account or with small trades to build confidence without significant risk.
Conclusion: Trade Smarter by Outsmarting Yourself 🚀
Trading isn’t just about mastering the market; it’s also about mastering your mindset. By being aware of cognitive biases and actively working to counteract them, you can make more rational and informed trading decisions.
Ready to level up your trading? Start by identifying one cognitive bias you’ve encountered and take steps to overcome it. Share your thoughts and experiences in the comments below—I’d love to hear your perspective!
I’m Skeptic , and I strive to provide honest and straightforward trading insights. Together, we can navigate the challenges of trading and grow along the way :)
Broke to Bold: How Cotton Nearly Saved the ConfederacyBroke to Bold: How Cotton Nearly Saved the Confederacy - The $500 Million Gamble That Failed
Back in 1863, when the Confederacy was on its last legs, financially speaking, they had one ace up their sleeve - cotton. This wasn't just any cotton; it was the lifeblood of the global economy, the white gold Europe couldn't get enough of. The South, desperate and broke, decided to play a high-stakes game with this precious commodity.
They issued bonds, not backed by gold or silver, but by cotton. It was a bold move, promising investors they'd get paid back in cash or raw cotton. Imagine that, betting the farm, literally, on a crop. These bonds were sold through big European banks like Emile Erlanger & Co., and they managed to raise a staggering £3 million, which is about $500 million today.
The plan was genius in its simplicity. The South supplied 75% of the world's cotton, and Europe's textile mills were starving without it. British and French factories were practically begging for Southern cotton. The Confederacy thought, 'Let's use what we've got to get what we need.'
But there was a catch, a big one. These bonds were only good if the South won the war. If they lost, they'd be as worthless as Confederate paper money. The South was gambling not just with their own fate, but with the fortunes of European investors.
The Union, though, had other plans. With a stronger navy and a tight blockade, they choked off the South's ability to ship cotton abroad. Without cotton exports, the value of those bonds started to look shaky.
Come 1865, the South was defeated, and those cotton-backed bonds? Worthless. European investors were left holding the bag, losing millions. It was a hard lesson learned - funding wars with commodity-backed bonds can be a risky business.
This story isn't about winning or losing; it's about the audacity to bet everything on one card. The Confederacy showed us that in desperate times, you play the hand you're dealt, even if it's cotton. It's a reminder that in the game of war and finance, sometimes your best move can still leave you broke.
$7 Billion Disaster: The Shocking Secret of a Junior Trader $7 Billion Disaster: The Shocking Secret of a Junior Trader That Nearly Destroyed a Bank
Back in 2008, in the high-stakes world of finance, a seemingly ordinary junior trader named Jérôme Kerviel at Société Générale pulled off one of the most reckless financial schemes ever seen. This guy was quiet, hardworking, and unassuming, but beneath this facade, he was playing with fire.
Kerviel was stationed at the Delta One desk, trading European stock futures. Instead of playing it safe by hedging his bets, he started to take wild, unauthorized risks. It was like he was gambling with the bank’s money, not trading. He wasn’t balancing risk; he was embracing it, doubling down on his bets like a man possessed.
His ambition was his downfall. Without the elite background or fancy degrees, Kerviel had something to prove. In the pressure cooker of finance, ambition can be your best friend or your worst enemy. For Kerviel, it was the latter. He started placing massive, unauthorized bets on European index futures, thinking he could beat the market. When his bets paid off, he covered his tracks with fake trades, making it look like he was within the bank’s risk limits.
This charade went unnoticed for months, thanks to the bank’s oversight failures. But when the European markets got volatile in early 2008, his luck ran out. A routine check finally caught the discrepancies in his accounts, and Société Générale launched a frantic investigation. They discovered the extent of Kerviel’s rogue trading and in a panic, started selling off his positions.
This sell-off was like throwing gasoline on a fire. It spooked the markets even more, amplifying the losses. By the end, Société Générale was staring down a $7 billion hole — one of the biggest trading losses ever. The bank was in chaos.
Kerviel faced the music, arrested and charged with breach of trust, forgery, and unauthorized use of bank computers. He was sentenced to five years in prison, with two years suspended, and ordered to repay €4.9 billion. He claimed he was just a scapegoat, that his bosses knew about his trades when they were making money, turning a blind eye to his risky behavior.
This story isn’t about motivation; it’s a cautionary tale about ambition unchecked, about the dangers of letting greed and the desire for recognition drive you to make decisions that can bring down giants. It’s a reminder of how one man’s actions can send shockwaves through the financial world, leaving a trail of destruction in his wake.
The Evolution of a Trader: A Structured Path to MasteryTrading in financial markets, especially in the volatile cryptocurrency sector, is both challenging and rewarding. I’m Skeptic , and through my observations, traders grow through distinct stages, each teaching vital lessons. Beginners focus on research, intermediates learn adaptability, and advanced traders refine emotional discipline and strategies. This article explores how to evolve from a novice to a master trader. 🌟
Stage 1: The Total Beginner 🧐📉
Characteristics: Beginners are often optimistic and eager, placing trades based on tips from friends, forums, or influencers. Early successes may create a false sense of confidence.
Challenges: Losses from unreliable tips reveal the necessity of personal research and a deeper understanding of the market.
Psychological Impact: Emotional highs from early wins are quickly followed by the disappointment of losses. This phase teaches humility and emphasizes the need for continuous learning.
Stage 2: The Search for the "Holy Grail" 🔍🔧
Characteristics: Traders enter a phase of hunting for the perfect indicator or strategy. They explore tools like RSI, MACD, or Fibonacci retracements and invest in advanced trading software.
Challenges: The realization that no single method guarantees consistent success. Markets are dynamic, requiring adaptable strategies.
Key Lesson: Success lies not in a magical formula but in understanding market psychology, developing a robust trading plan, and mastering risk management.
Stage 3: Making Money but Not Consistently 💰
Characteristics: Traders begin to see some profits but struggle with consistency. They may prematurely take profits due to fear or hold losing trades too long, hoping for a reversal.
Challenges: Emotional turbulence and inconsistent decision-making hinder progress.
Key Focus: Develop emotional resilience and adhere to a disciplined trading approach. Stick to your trading plan regardless of short-term outcomes.
Stage 4: Consistent Small Profits 📈💵
Characteristics: Traders start achieving consistent small gains by focusing on disciplined risk management and a refined strategy.
Challenges: Avoiding impulsive trades and staying committed to the process over the outcome.
Key Lesson: Small, consistent gains build the foundation for long-term success. Discipline and patience are critical at this stage.
Stage 5: Professional Consistently Profitable Trader 🏆
Characteristics: Trading becomes a reliable source of income. Traders implement advanced money management techniques and stick rigorously to their trading plans.
Challenges: Scaling positions responsibly and maintaining focus during market volatility.
Key Tools:
Position sizing
Trade management (e.g., stop-losses and profit targets)
Continuous performance review
Stage 6: The Master Trader 🎯
Characteristics: Trading becomes second nature. Master traders confidently manage large positions, adapt to market changes, and achieve multi-fold annual returns.
Key Focus: Controlled risks, strategic scaling, and calm decision-making.
The Pinnacle: Mastery is not about taking excessive risks but about deep market understanding and a systematic approach to trading.
Conclusion 📈💡
The journey to becoming a master trader is transformative. Each stage, from the enthusiastic beginner to the seasoned expert, offers lessons that shape both trading skill and personal growth. Success in trading is not about finding shortcuts but embracing the process, persevering through challenges, and continuously learning. 📚
Key takeaways:
Trading requires humility, discipline, and adaptability.
Consistent profits stem from robust strategies, risk management, and emotional resilience.
Mastery involves developing a systematic approach and achieving balance between risk and reward.
Thanks for reading until the end of this article! ❤ Your support keeps me going, and I’m excited to share more insights with you. If there’s anything you want me to cover next, just let me know. Let’s keep learning and crushing it together! ✨ - Skeptic :)
Learn What is Confirmation Bias | Trading Psychology Basics
In this educational article, we will discuss one of the most common cognitive errors of newbie traders - a confirmation bias.
In order to better understand that term, I want to start with the example:
Let's say that after doing some research, you are highly convinced that Bitcoin is bullish and that it is a decent investment.
You decide to buy that from 90.000 level, expecting the exponential growth.
Instead of growing, however, the market starts falling rapidly.
Rather than closing your position in loss, you decide to do a new research and execute the analysis, you start looking for the proof of your pre-existing beliefs. You completely neglect the voices of Bitcoin sceptics and ignore bearish clues on the price chart.
You consider only the facts that support a bullish outloo k, not letting you accept the other point of view.
You become a victim of a confirmation bias.
Unfortunately, such a psychological trap frequently prevents a closing of a trading position in time, leading to substantial losses.
Confirmation bias is a common psychological error that makes a subject overvalue the information that upholds his existing beliefs and undervalue the opposing one.
Here are the most common symptoms of that trap:
1️⃣One is neglecting the objective facts.
2️⃣One is interpreting information in a way to support the existing beliefs.
3️⃣One is considering only the facts that conform with his point of view.
4️⃣One is completely ignoring the information that challenges his beliefs.
The only way to beat a confirmation bias in trading, is to learn to analyze the market from sellers' and from buyers' perspective . Your task is to compare the view of the 2 sides, and pick the one that is stronger, holding in mind the fact that everything can change.
You should always remember of the changing nature of financial markets and be ready to always reassess your views.
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From Rock Bottom to the Top: Donald Trump’s Comeback StoryIn 1990, Donald Trump was in deep trouble with $900 million in personal debt. His businesses were failing, and banks were taking his assets. But instead of giving up, Trump did something amazing. He turned his biggest challenge into the greatest comeback story of all time.
Trump had built a huge empire with famous buildings like Trump Tower and the Plaza Hotel. But he had borrowed billions to make it happen. When the economy crashed, so did the value of his properties. His casinos in Atlantic City were losing money fast, and the interest on his loans was too much to handle. Banks took his yacht, the Trump Princess, and other expensive things he owned. But Trump didn’t see this as the end; he saw it as a new beginning.
Instead of filing for bankruptcy, Trump started negotiating. He knew the banks needed him as much as he needed them. If he went down, they’d lose a lot of money too. So, he used his fame and his name to show them he was worth keeping afloat. Trump wasn’t just surviving; he was planning his next move.
He got better loan deals, lowered interest rates, and more credit to keep his businesses running. He cut costs, let go of workers he didn’t need, and sold off things that weren’t important to his core business. Trump knew he had to change his focus from just buildings to his brand.
The big change came in 2004 when he started hosting “The Apprentice.” This show made him a star again, not just in business but to the whole world. Over 14 seasons, he made $213 million, proving that with determination, you can turn any situation around.
This story isn’t just about money; it’s about never giving up. Trump’s journey shows us that even when things look bad, you can rebuild and come back stronger. It’s about seeing every problem as a chance to grow, to change the game, and to win. Let this story motivate you to face your challenges, knowing that with hard work and a positive attitude, you can achieve greatness too.
And the ultimate testament to his resilience? In 2025, Donald Trump became President of the United States for the second time, proving that no setback is too great to overcome when you have the will to succeed.
Everyone Should Know This: Supports and Resistence!Support and resistance levels are key concepts that help investors navigate price movements. These levels are psychological and technical markers where a coin's price tends to slow down, reverse, or consolidate. Understanding them can make the difference between a successful trade and a missed opportunity.
What Are Supports and Resistances?
Support is a price level where demand for a cryptocurrency is strong enough to prevent further decline. Think of it as a floor where prices “bounce” upward.
Resistance is the opposite— a ceiling where selling pressure prevents the price from rising further.
These levels form due to the collective actions of traders. At support levels, buyers feel the price is low enough to enter the market. At resistance levels, sellers believe the price is high enough to secure profits.
Why Don’t They Last Forever?
Support and resistance levels are not permanent because market conditions, sentiment, and external factors are constantly changing.
These shifts happen because of supply and demand imbalances or significant events, such as news about regulations, technological upgrades, or changes in market sentiment.
Avoiding the Trap of Greed
Many traders make the mistake of placing their buy or sell orders right at these levels, aiming for maximum gain. However, this approach can be risky:
Support and resistance levels are zones, not fixed lines. A coin’s price might come close but not touch your order before reversing.
Missed opportunities: Waiting for the “perfect” entry point might result in missing a profitable trade by a few cents.
A wiser strategy is to avoid being too greedy:
Place buy orders slightly above support and sell orders slightly below resistance to improve the likelihood of execution.
The Big Picture
Support and resistance levels are tools—not guarantees. Successful traders view them as part of a broader strategy.
The Cycles of Cryptocurrencies: Patience is Key!Hey, let's share with beginners, ok =)?
The cryptocurrency market is widely known for its volatility, and understanding the cycles of highs and lows is essential for those looking to invest wisely. These cycles are a natural part of the financial ecosystem and often follow patterns similar to those of other speculative markets.
During moments of high prices, known as “bull runs,” enthusiasm takes over. Headlines boast astronomical gains, investors pour in en masse, and there’s a general feeling that "this time is different." Many beginners end up buying at the peak, driven by the fear of missing out (FOMO).
On the other hand, moments of low prices, or “bear markets,” bring uncertainty and pessimism. Prices plummet, and the same investors who bought during the hype start selling, often out of desperation or lack of understanding of the cycles. It's important to remember that markets have historically recovered, rewarding those who remain calm and patient.
The lesson here is clear: don’t act on impulse. Experienced investors see downturns as opportunities to buy assets at lower prices, while beginners end up selling at a loss—losses that could have been avoided with a long-term strategy.
If you're just starting in the cryptocurrency world, remember: patience is key. Avoid acting emotionally, always educate yourself about the market, and understand that opportunities aren’t lost—they simply change hands. Plan your investments, set clear goals, and above all, don’t panic.
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The Bias Battle: Strategies to Ensure Rational Decision-MakingIn the world of trading, emotions can often lead to irrational behaviors that impede decision-making. One such psychological phenomenon is confirmation bias. It manifests subtly yet powerfully in the trading arena, often without the trader's awareness. This bias refers to the tendency to seek, interpret, and remember information that confirms one’s pre-existing beliefs, while simultaneously dismissing or undervaluing information that contradicts those beliefs.
Understanding Confirmation Bias in Trading
Confirmation bias can profoundly influence trading decisions when traders become emotionally invested in their predictions. For example, if a trader believes that a certain asset will rise, they may selectively focus on positive news while ignoring negative signals such as poor economic indicators or unfavorable market trends. This form of selective perception not only clouds judgment but can also lead to catastrophic financial consequences if a trader fails to adapt to changing market conditions.
Imagine a trader convinced that a stock will hit a new high in the coming weeks. Even in the face of negative quarterly reports or broader market corrections, they might cling to their position, hoping the asset will rebound. This behavior often leads to holding onto losing trades, missing opportunities to cut losses, and ultimately jeopardizing one’s trading strategy.
The Dangers of Confirmation Bias
The implications of confirmation bias go beyond individual trades; they can jeopardize an entire trading strategy. The following are key dangers associated with confirmation bias in trading:
1. Skewed Market Analysis: Traders may base their decisions on partial information, leading to a distorted view of market realities. A narrow focus on validating one's position can blind traders to emerging risks or alternative opportunities.
2. Compromised Risk Management: Traders under the influence of confirmation bias are likely to allocate disproportionate capital to positions that support their bias. This lack of diversification increases vulnerability to market downturns, which can lead to significant financial losses.
3. Emotional Decision-Making: Bias can heighten emotional involvement in trades, causing traders to act irrationally. This means holding losing positions too long in anticipation of a turnaround or impulsively entering new trades without adequate analysis.
4. Failure to Reassess Positions: Traders often hesitate to alter their strategies even when market conditions clearly shift. This reluctance compromises their ability to adapt and seize new opportunities.
Read Also:
Recognizing the Signs of Confirmation Bias
Detecting confirmation bias is essential for any trader aiming to make informed, rational decisions. Here are some telltale signs:
- Selective Information Gathering: If you notice that you gravitate toward news sources or analysts that reinforce your views while disregarding contradictory perspectives, it's a clear indicator of confirmation bias.
- Emotional Attachment to Trades: Becoming overly attached to specific trades can hinder your judgment. If you're waiting eagerly for a piece of good news to justify a poor trade rather than reassessing the situation objectively, it’s time to reevaluate your approach.
- Overconfidence in Decisions: If you find yourself justifying continued investment in a failing position without considering alternative analyses, you may be falling prey to cognitive biases.
Recognizing these behaviors can help you break free from the cycle of confirmation bias and embrace a more objective trading mindset.
Read Also:
Strategies to Overcome Confirmation Bias
To cultivate a bias-free trading strategy, consider implementing the following steps:
1. Maintain an Open Mind: Challenge your beliefs by actively seeking out opposing viewpoints and evidence. Embrace data over emotions to inform your trading decisions.
2. Establish a Trading Plan: Develop a comprehensive trading plan with clear entry and exit criteria based on analytical data rather than biased thinking. Stick to this plan to guide your actions in the market.
3. Incorporate Stop Loss Orders: Using stop-loss orders can help automate selling at predetermined points, preventing the emotional temptation to hold onto losing trades unnecessarily.
4. Consult Multiple Information Sources: Accessing a variety of market analyses and perspectives can provide a more balanced view and enrich your understanding of the situation.
5. Embrace Data-Driven Trading: Focus on objective data and employ trading tools and algorithms that mitigate the influence of human bias. This strategic approach ensures that decisions are rooted in market realities rather than emotional attachments.
Read Also:
Conclusion: Cultivating a Bias-Free Trading Mindset
To achieve success in trading, understanding and addressing cognitive biases such as confirmation bias is crucial. By fostering a bias-free mindset, traders can cultivate more rational decision-making processes, leading to improved trading performance.
A disciplined, evidence-based approach requires traders to remain vigilant against the traps of emotional trading. By implementing the strategies discussed, you can minimize the impact of confirmation bias and enhance your ability to recognize valuable opportunities, ultimately paving the way for greater success in the markets.
FAQs
What is confirmation bias in trading?
Confirmation bias is the tendency for traders to focus on information that supports their existing beliefs while disregarding contradictory evidence, which can adversely impact their trading decisions.
How does confirmation bias affect decision-making?
This bias often leads traders to ignore critical signals from the market and makes them more susceptible to emotional trading, resulting in missed opportunities and potential financial losses.
Can confirmation bias lead to trading losses?
Yes, confirmation bias can lead to substantial losses by causing traders to misinterpret market conditions and hold unprofitable positions longer than they should.
How can I overcome confirmation bias as a trader?
You can overcome confirmation bias by relying on objective data, consulting multiple sources, establishing a trading plan, using stop-loss orders, and regularly reviewing counterarguments to your existing beliefs.
By prioritizing rationality over personal bias, you can develop a more successful and sustainable trading strategy. Ready to put your bias-free trading strategies into action? Start practicing with a demo account and discover how a balanced approach can improve your trading outcomes.
Read Also:
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Who Moves the Forex Market | Forex Market Players
Forex is the largest market in the world, with the tremendous daily trading volumes and millions of market participants.
In this educational article, we will discuss who moves that market and who are its 6 the most significant players.
1. Governments
Governments tend to set economic goals and influence the markets with their political decision. They define the course of their nations, issuing policies and imposing regulations.
2. Central banks
Central banks implement the decisions of the governments, applying multiple instruments:
Central banks control the emission of the money, shifting the supply and demand.
They control interest rates and define the credit policies.
Above is a top 10 of the biggest central banks by total assets.
Central banks control the international trade and sustain the exchange rates of the national currencies by interventions and handling the foreign currencies and gold reserves.
3. Commercial banks
Commercial banks handle the international transactions.
Over 70% of total Forex Market transactions directly refers to the actives of commercial banks.
In a pie chart above, you will find the biggest commercial banks by trading volume.
Commercial banks are also involved in speculation activities, benefiting from market fluctuations by relying on various strategies.
4. Corporations
Corporation is the business that operates in multiple countries.
With the constant capital flow between its branches and counterparts, corporations are permanently involved in a currency exchange.
Also, corporations usually hedge currency risks, storing their liquidity in particular currencies.
5. Investment funds
By investment funds, we imply the international or domestic professional money management companies. Dealing with hundreds of millions of investments, they quite often are operating on Forex market, buying foreign assets, speculating and hedging.
Below, you will find the list of largest world's hedge funds.
6. Retail traders
The main goal of retails traders and speculators is to make short terms profits from their transactions on the market.
Typically, the activities of traders constitute a relatively small portion of total trading volumes.
Knowing which forces move the forex market, you can better understand how it works. The spot prices that you see on the charts reflect the sentiment of all the above-mentioned participants.
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Exchange ERASED the trade and Kevin lost $16 billionThe Tragic Story of Kevin, His exchange ERASED the trade and lost $16 billion
Kevin Day, a tech geek from Nebraska, loved video games and the internet. In the 1990s, he worked as a video game developer. After his startup failed during the Dot-Com Crash, he started hosting websites. This led him to discover Bitcoin, which he loved for its web freedom.
Kevin joined the #Bitcoin world when the price was $7. He was amazed as it had risen from $0.30. Eager to be part of this new digital money, he spent a lot of time mining Bitcoin.
On June 19, 2011, Kevin’s life changed forever. Bitcoin's price crashed from $17 to $0.01 in just 20 minutes. While most people panicked, Kevin saw a chance. He decided to buy $3,000 worth of Bitcoin at the incredibly low price of $0.0101. His order went through, and he bought 259,684 Bitcoins for under $3,000.
The price bounced back quickly, and Kevin's investment turned into $5 million. But his happiness didn’t last. The crash happened because someone hacked Mt. Gox, the exchange where Kevin bought his Bitcoins. The hacker stole coins and sold them, causing the price to drop. Mt. Gox decided to cancel all trades made during the crash, including Kevin's.
Kevin had managed to withdraw 643 Bitcoins before the rollback, the maximum allowed by Mt. Gox. But he lost the rest – 259,360 Bitcoins. This was a huge loss, worth about $16 billion today. Kevin learned a hard lesson: never leave your coins on an exchange.
What is a Crypto Wallet?
Kevin’s story highlights the importance of understanding and using a crypto wallet. A cryptocurrency wallet is a digital tool that allows you to store, send, and receive crypto securely. It doesn't store the actual crypto but the private keys needed to access the crypto assets on the blockchain.
How Does a Cryptocurrency Wallet Work?
1. Public and Private Keys: Each wallet has a public key (like an account number) and a private key (like a password). The public key is used to receive funds, and the private key is used to access and manage them.
2. Types of Wallets:
- Hot Wallets: Connected to the internet (e.g., mobile, web, and desktop wallets). They are convenient but less secure.
- Cold Wallets: Offline storage (e.g., hardware and paper wallets). They are more secure but less convenient for frequent transactions.
3. Transactions: When you send crypto, the wallet uses your private key to sign the transaction, ensuring it is authorized and secure.
4. Security: Keeping your private key secure is crucial. If someone gains access to your private key, they can control your crypto.
Why Use a Cryptocurrency Wallet?
- Control: Unlike exchanges, a wallet gives you full control over your private keys and, therefore, your funds. This means you're not relying on a third party's security measures.
- Security: Wallets, especially cold wallets, provide a high level of security. They're not connected to the internet, making them less vulnerable to hacks.
- Privacy: Wallets offer more privacy since you don’t have to provide personal information as you would with exchanges.
- Backup: Most wallets allow you to create a backup phrase or seed phrase. If you lose access to your wallet, this phrase can help you recover your funds.
Choosing the Right Wallet
- Hot Wallets: Suitable for everyday transactions and frequent access. Examples include mobile wallets like Trust Wallet and desktop wallets like Electrum.
- Cold Wallets: Ideal for long-term storage. Examples include hardware wallets like Ledger and Trezor, and paper wallets.
- Multi-Signature Wallets: These wallets require multiple keys to authorize a transaction, providing an extra layer of security. They are often used for business purposes.
Best Practices for Wallet Security
1. Backup Your Wallet: Always create a backup of your wallet and store the backup phrase securely.
2. Use Strong Passwords: Protect your wallet with a strong, unique password.
3. Enable Two-Factor Authentication: If your wallet supports it, enable two-factor authentication for added security.
4. Keep Software Updated: Ensure your wallet software is always up to date to protect against vulnerabilities.
5.Beware of Phishing Scams: Be cautious of phishing attempts. Always verify the authenticity of websites and applications.
Kevin’s tragic loss serves as a powerful reminder: always store your crypto in a secure wallet, not on an exchange. This way, you have full control and protection over your digital assets. Understanding and properly using a crypto wallet is crucial for anyone involved in the crypto world. #CryptoConcept
XAUUSD: Year End ReviewWow what a year it has been!
It's one thing for Tradingview to give us our stats, but it's an entirely different animal when looking at my individual trades head on like this. I can see where I over traded and when/where I made some much needed tweaks.
The tweaks that were made we're so much my strategy as much as it was mindset - taking fewer trades and letting them run longer. On average 2-4 hours.
I learned so many lessons the main one being less truly is more .
So often I would struggle looking at my losing trades and really reviewing my mistakes. Looking at my metrics on my Topstep account allowed me to refine my mindset. I knew when my most profitable days were/are, how long I should hold my trades to allow them to play out to full TP, and arguable the most important stat - when to stay out of the market.
By analyzing just these three metrics I was able to end the year in profit and believe it or not I was able to finish 4 out of 6 months in profit and get funded/pass my trading combine/evaluation.
This isn't the first time I've been funded. However this is the first time and longest time I have kept my account and the closest I have gotten to a payout.
My trading goals for 2025 is to of course get 1 payout per month and earn 4 more funded Topstep funded accounts. This will max out the number of accounts I can have with Topstep. The best part is I can put all 5 accounts on their integrated trade copier.
I decree and declare over myself that 2025 is going to be my best, most profitable, and most prosperous year to date - IN JESUS NAME! AMEN!