Why Traders Suffer From Analysis Paralysis In TradingAnalysis-Paralysis In Trading This is an article I’ve been avoiding. Maybe it’s cos’ I’m guilty of it.
You know, A bunch of knowledge makes—jack cross the rubicon.
It’s December 1, 1990. ugh… what a glorious day! I mean—I’m grateful I survived. Are you? (rhetorically—cos’ I talk to myself a lot). Anyway, I finally get to attend “School of Candles” in Pretoria.
South Africa is a great country but, only because they have one of the best—Trading schools in the world. Hashtag “respectfully” .
I mean—Finally! Heh… I’m here. The Oakland… miserable red-collar guy is here. Can you believe it? Considering all the blown accounts and failed trades—I finally left the country to… South Africa.
Pfft… Don’t mind my excitement—at least—I’m not sitting on my a*s reading this article because I have a problem. You are!
i’m pretty sure you haven’t travelled out yet and it’s cos’ you keep losing. You’re a loser! At least… someone had to tell you.
Don’t worry that makes two of us. Yeah—you and uh… you!
Ugh… duh… I know you are not here for my—school of candles story. You’re here cos—you are stuck!
Am I right?
Anyway, I’ll help I promise. But, you have to promise me that I won’t be wasting my time. Do you promise? Okay—Great.
So…
Analysis Paralysis In Trading (What Does That Even Mean?)
Look at them… so peaceful. Quick question—Have you ever really stopped to watch kids play? The laughter, glee, ambience, passion—so peaceful; so serene!
These guys literally have nothing to worry about. Don’t you miss that?
When last did you laugh? No… like actually laugh. These days—we have to watch a funny illiterate online to… crack up. How miserable can one’s life be?
So sad; so depressing and why’s that?
I don’t know about you—but, I miss those days. Nothing to worry about.
You’re probably wondering, “What’s he on about?”… I just had to remind you of what your life (hopefully you’re still breathing)… is supposed to feel like. Before… I tell you how it actually feels like. That’s why you’re here right.
Shucks. Analysis paralysis—wonder who comes up with these names. In a lame man’s term, it’s basically being paralyzed (not literally) from over-thinking. over-researching and over-analyzing…
Why do we do these things; why do we even do anything. Imagine the thought of—mentally paralyzing yourself… Do you love yourself at all? Of course not—Humans (you reading this now) think of the possible worst for—every situation.
Imagine… You go out and a complete stranger gives you money, from nowhere; out of the blue. What’s the first thing that comes to your mind? Be honest, Don’t lie.
That’s what I thought.
Anyway, Being completely mind-paralyzed is bad. I mean … have you seen—how they have to literally drive paralyzed people everywhere… They become furnitures (not trying to be insensitive); they really can’t do anything… on their own.
You’ll end up—A furniture trader!
Analysis Paralysis In Trading (How Can You Tell?)
In school (school of candles), I attended every class. Wyckoff 101, Fibonacci 203 (borrowed course), Way of the candles, Price-action 105, Order blocks and Market structures 103, Supply and Demand, Indicators not manipulators… Weird ones! I took all.
Trust me —I was a diligent student. But, I had no direction.
I practically learned everything and anything. I mean—I wanted to be a great trader (don’t we all).
The next class (Final year) required… Mastery. I realized that—sticking to one thing was a problem. Oh! No, I can’t choose. I literally attended all classes—just to find out what was best for me—even after taking these classes… in my first year.
Hello Jane, I know this is kind of awkward… But, what’s your major?
Uh… Order blocks.
Imagine! I couldn’t even come up with something. What the H-E-L-L do you want Jamal? You’re just going round in circles.
I couldn’t choose. Wanted to take action but, how could I? No one gave me the memo. I don’t even know what making decisions feels like. “Making Decisions” suddenly sounds like the strangest word in—the dictionary.
So, tell me have you been in this position. All you keep doing is learning—anything; everything. But, no actions!
Two ways you can tell:
Can’t seem to make a decision.
Always looking for a better solution—without actions!
For analysis paralysis in trading It’s not something you can cheat. As a trader, You can’t go over or under it—Dealing with it is… the only solution.
You keep delaying actions—whilst over-analyzing every situation. For this trader—you keep imaging downsides… Always the negatives; never positives. Imagine taking a trade—but, you’ve already imagined—300 scenarios of your plan going badly.
Pfft… heh—who does that? Uh! you. You’re literally mentally paralyzed. What other options do you have than over-thinking everything.
Are You Asking The Right Questions?
Ta-ta… I envy them so much. Anyway, You learn to be in the comfort zone because…
Why stress your brain till it’s paralyzed. Your brain is literally “yours truly”—It would always try to keep your safe. It will protect you, which is good. But, you become safe and unsuccessful.
In trading, which do you prefer?
Actually making a decision irrespective of the outcome or… staying out and avoiding everything.
I mean if we’re being honest—the second option looks safe and comfortable. Will you choose that though? Remember you want to be rich; you want financial freedom.
Even if you go through hell—do it without hesitations.
Yup—That quote is a reference to the previous sentence. Eh… your lack of decision making will only make you—miss out on a million market opportunities. So, are you asking the right questions?
When you literally ask yourself the right questions… It gives room for a clearer thought process and faster decision-making.
Honestly though—Let’s blame google.
An increase in options; an increase in choice. The fear of making the wrong choice arises. Then you become mentally paralyzed.
Most traders today are stuck.
I remember meeting a guy (Joe)—In one of my trading communities—in school. This guy found it hard to make a decision. Heh… So he buys and sells at the same time.
Analysis paralysis in trading can make you a fan of gambling. But, there’s a solution…
You can start by answering the right questions. What are the right questions?
Is it worth the risk?
Will it matter in 5 minutes?
What was my first choice?
Can you answer these questions? Make it a habit to answer these questions before—you take a trade. Not just trading—anything at all… Train that brain of yours.
Is It Worth The Risk?
You know some-times the best way to eliminate choices is to—know the risk attached to each choice. Imagine having a $50 account (your only money) and trying to take a trade. You’ll probably over-think every thing because—you just can’t lose that money. I mean… Heh—that’s all you have right?
So, the first question should be… “If I take this trade, is it worth the risk”. Note that… you might lose—but, the keyword here is “risk”. How much are you willing to let go of?… That should be the first thought.
Try this exercise and you have to be truthful—always!… If I was given $50 and I was told to give someone $5 (out of your $50)… Would I be okay with that?
If you will, then you can decide to risk 10% of that account—knowing that you won’t feel bad if you lose.
Ergo, You’ve just made a decision—because you eliminated your options.
I mean losing 10% of $50 is better than losing all.
Now what next? you need to eliminate all trades that will make you lose more than 10%. See, No mulling— just progress.
Note that… Not all trades are negatives. But, we should always consider the risk.
Will It Matter In 5 Minutes?
Now you know the risk you’re willing to take, the next question is—Will it matter in 5 minutes?
Ever heard of the “5 by 5 rule”?
Well, the 5 by 5 rule states that—if you come across an issue take a moment to think—whether or not it will matter in 5 years. If it won’t, don’t spend more than 5 minutes stressing out about it.
Forget the “5 years”—My own 5 by 5 rules is… don’t waste 5 seconds pondering over it, if it won’t matter in 5 minutes. Mine works right?
I mean… 5 years is a pretty long period you know. By the way, the market waits for no man. The fact of the matter is, there are some problems that do not need your full attention.
Why stress over some money you’re okay losing. If after 5 seconds you’re cool with it then—go ahead!
Do me a favor. Let’s practice… Um—can you remember what you just did 5 seconds ago? If you can, it matters; If you can’t, “It’s irrelevant and doesn’t matter. There, fixed right!
What Was My First Choice?
The human mind is like a sick computer virus.
It’s basically, randomly, just processing relevant and irrelevant informations and thoughts. You tend to have all these choices, thoughts and feelings all mixed up—especially during pressure. I was listening to Roger Khoury the other day and he said, “When driving a car in a—calm state—you’re basically just following the rules of the road right? But, what happens when you’re late for a meeting—You find yourself breaking all these rules.”
Similarly… same applies to the market. You don’t have time; you’re supposed to make a decision—If not, the market leaves you.
Then if you’re like me that attended all classes in—Pretoria, you probably don’t have a particular strategy. Different options; different opinions. What happens?
You become paralyzed!
All this can be avoided if you remember your first choice. Many traders fail to understand that our gut feelings, our instincts—matter.
Where do instincts come from?
In as much as the brain behaves sick sometimes—It also stores useful informations… knowingly or unknowingly. These useful informations are usually processed when needed.
Do you ever know something and wonder—how you know that thing?
It’s cos’ you probably already came across that stuff but, you ignored it. Cos’—It didn’t matter. But, look who wasn’t ignorant “your brain” yeah, remember… “Yours truly” loves you.
Those first choices… are thought of for a reason. So, make them your last resort—always!
Havoc Of Analysis Paralysis In Trading
Hey guys, my name is Jamal and I’m a victim of Analysis Paralysis in trading … “Hey Jamal”…
Sounds familiar. Yeah, group home.
My encounter with Analysis Paralysis in trading wasn’t a great one. There were consequences. Each with its own baggage.
After I narrowly graduated from the School of Candles, Pretoria. I mean I’ve learnt everything—I was ready for the market.
On Tuesday, May 3, 1994, I deposited $50,000 to my trading account. As a graduate of School of Candles—what was the next thing? To get into the real world of trading .
A nasty encounter in the market occurred. I found a GJ (gbp/jpy) trade, the daily had a bearish head and shoulder, the—4 hour, a double bottom. On my chart, I had Bollinger bands, Moving averages, Relative strength index… Name it.
Yeah —I was that confused. Didn’t know if to—buy or sell. Oh! No, a clash of interest.
My indicators… some gave me buy signals; others sell signals. Oh my God! What now? What’s the direction—Now I’m exhausted, tired, I can’t think straight!
The market decides to buy… Yeah, I guess I’ll go long now.
The sound your phone makes when you just placed a trade. Greedy old Jamal, used 2 standards for US30 on a $50,000 account. I was more than confident.
The market does it thing. What! no… no… n0—Why is there a sell taking place now? No!
The Havoc
That’s it… That was so easy I lost it all.
Everything! “What was the point of school then?” I thought. Useless! You’re so useless Jamal. You can’t get anything right.
I couldn’t make a decision… My brain said, “Pause”. I was paralyzed and I failed. Three things happened to me:
My trading performance reduced
Creativity was gone. Couldn’t decide on a strategy and all patterns became useless.
Lost my willpower. I couldn’t make a decision—too many options.
Thank you for listening! “Thanks for sharing Jamal”.
How To Overcome—Final Words
Don’t ask me what I went to a group home to do. Analysis paralysis in trading affects you mentally—It builds into a habit and you become the hesitant trader.
Do you remember him? That guy who couldn’t make decisions, that insecure coward. Yeah—that was who I became.
June 23, 1994, I was in bed. Thinking, crying, staring—”What went wrong?”, I thought. How come… I mean i’ve gone to one of the best schools, learnt everything there is to learn, and graduated with a 2:1. So, what exactly is the problem.
I discover that—I was.
“Jamal you are the problem”—I discovered 6 things. These 6 things I’m going to tell you are very important. I’m telling you because—I love you.
You shouldn’t follow my past; you shouldn’t make my mistakes. My mom’s teaching helped. Remember when she gave me the trading elements and principles…
Steps To Overcoming This Nuisance.
This is the truth; this is my truth. After a month I discovered that:
You need to trust you. No one else opinion matters in the business of trading. It’s your business—You should mind it.
Limit the amount of research (information you consume) you do. It’s called “learn and earn” for a reason—Not “Learn and continue learning”.
Talk to someone. If you think you’re stagnant, you need to pour out all those information—on someone. Teach them!
Perfection isn’t the key. Progress is!
Know your end goal always.
Notice every thoughts and emotions. If possible, write them down.
If you follow this manual, you should never have reason to be stuck or mentally paralyzed. Remember sharing is caring!
Tell someone about this article. Most traders have no idea what analysis paralysis in trading is.
Trading Psychology
What Are Key Levels? Learn To Identify Key LevelsIt's currently 12am and I thought why not drop a nugget.
So here it is... Finally, I dropped my supply and demand, support and resistance a.k.a Key levels tea.
Take this one seriously Cos' Nasdaq100 respects it a lot.
For better entries and exits you'll need to have a clear knowledge of key levels.
What Causes Reversal? - Understanding the LogicHi Traders, here we are back at another workshop on " What Causes Reversal? - Understanding the Logic ". In this video, I will be explaining some of the logic behind the charts, and dive into the basic logic of what really cause reversals to happen, not just by blindly memorizing chart patterns.
1. Extreme Imbalance in Supply & Demand
2. Over-valued OR Under-valued
3. Irrational behaviour
4. Profit-taking
5. Opposition take advantage
Let me know your thoughts in the comments below.
If you enjoy the content, make sure you click the like button and share it with someone who need to read this.
Trading Myths vs Reality. Beginners, this one is for you!Hey, wizards! Happy Thursday and welcome on another Educational Post. The topic is the following: Myths and Reality of Trading.
As you may already know, there are so many false statements that beginners run into before starting their trading journey. Those statements are illustrated on the layout and interpreted below:
1) Most people think that trading is easy and they can quit their job or whatever they do and start making a living off trading straight away. In fact, in order to be profitable, consistent, and be a full-time trader in general, he or she MUST have a backtested strategy and be experienced enough in this sector. Remember that it takes a while to be successful, but it is fully worth it!
2) “Trading is like a casino”- we hear this one quite often. Only two types of people use this expression a lot: those who have never been able to become successful in this industry, and those that have no plan or idea about what they are doing. One should never open a positions based on a coin flip or what others are saying. Ideas and analyses of other can be used as a confluence and inspiration for a trader to open a positions on a specific security.
3) Whether it is trading or any other industry, one can never be rich over the course of a night. It takes 10-14 for someone to become a licensed surgeon, at least 6 years to become a professional lawyer. What makes you think that you will become a professional trader in just a few weeks or months?
4) No matter what the situation is, always use a Stop Loss to avoid deep losses. Whether liquidity hunt exists or it does not, it is always important to stay safe and sound.
5) Risk management is always more important than the win rate. Imagine having a 1:3 Risk-to-Reward ratio on your next 10 trades and the win rate is only 50%. That means you will win 5 and you lose 5. Now, let’s say that we decide to risk 1% of our total capital per trade. If we do quick maths, we will see that with only 50% win rate and 1:3 RR, we will result in making a juicy 10% return from the total of our next 10 trades. Of course, this is not always the case, as there are some factors that should be considered, such as spreads, fees, pip value etc. However, this is a perfect example to help you get the overall idea.
6) There is a big number of traders who do not like the “Retail Way” and would rather trade the “Smart Money” concept, which is apparently the closest thing that we have to the Institutional Trading. The bottom line is this: choose a strategy that suits you the best, and go with it while optimizing along the way. Changing strategies every week/month will not make one consistent. It is crucial that you stick with one trading plan and be loyal to it.
7) Many beginning traders tend to increase their risk in attempts to make more profits. This approach is so risky and totally wrong. If one is willing to make more money trading, it is important that he or she increases the input, and not the risk.
The Quarters Theory (15 minute) Part 4-4If you use the 15 minute time frame for entries, exits, stop losses and targets, I would strongly suggest you use the quarters theory- BUT- it is actually the eighth theory (place these lines every 12.5 pips away from each other).
Example 15 minute chart of GbpJpy pair today:
(Place lines every 12.5 pips away from each other)- if you are scalping and or day trading. These will define your trades and structure.
150.500
150.375
150.250
150.125
150.000
149.875
149.750
What do you see about price action at these different price action line levels? Does PA go right thru them without any issues? Does price action stop and reverse? Does price action reverse at these lines? What pair are you trading- What price is on chart now? What session(s) are open now? What Time is it?
Look left on all charts and put these either quarter lines on them above 1 hour or eighth lines on time frames below one hour time frame.
The Quarters Theory (1 hour) Part 3-4The quarters theory on one hour time frame is great for both day trading and/or scalping.
Make sure you put the quarter lines every 25 pips away from each other, just find the closes whole round number and start there with adding lines on charts.
On noted GbpJpy chart the quarter lines are as follows:
150.750- yellow line
150.500- red line
150.250- yellow line
150.000- black line
149.750- yellow line
These lines help with structure of price action, what has happened before at these lines? go left
These lines help with entries, exits, stop losses, targets and risk management.
The Quarters Theory (4 hour) Part 2-4Quarters Theory example on a 4 hour chart of AudJpy:
What does chart show you?
1) Whole round numbers (black lines)- 100 pips away from next round whole number
2) Quarter numbers (yellow and red)- 25 pips away from next quarter number
These lines make it a lot easier to trade any time frame, why?
1) You can set you enter and exits at these lines on charts
2) These quarter lines give you structure and informs you where price action swings had happen before
3) These quarter lines give you a great place to set your stop losses, on 1:1 or higher risk reward setups.
4) These define your trade, so you can set your risk management via quarter lines on charts
Per attached chart you might know where I think price action will continue to today and/or tomorrow. Yes, you could do a 50 pip stop and 50 pip target on these 1:1 trades but you need a 60% or higher win rate if you only do 1:1 RR trades. But this is not hard to do if you have the knowledge. If you either day trade and/or scalp, I would strongly advise you to you tube and/or google The quarters theory and start using them to define your trades, lot size, entries, exits and targets. This will help you greatly in your trading.
With Hardwork and Dedication, Anything Is Possible!This isn't our typical workshop or market breakdown. Just want to take some time to deliver this message to you all supporters and passionate traders out there.
Talent isn't everything.
In fact, hard work beats talent.
If you're willing to dedicate 110% of your time and energy, you're moving towards your goals, and that's all you need to do.
Remember, regardless of where you are, you can do it.
Your closest ones may not be as supportive as your expected. But it's totally fine! It is not their responsibility to trust you or even have faith in you!
Your journey to success takes time, sweat, and tear. Loneliness is part of the game.
Remember this...
Winners never quit and quitters never win.
Think positive. You never lose, you either win or learn.
So don't give up yet, keep hustling, stay humble, you'll get there.
It might not be today or tomorrow, but someday!
I'll be there supporting you all behind!
Winning is easy. What matters is what you do when you loseHey traders!
In this video we go over mindset and what matters more than winning in trading, it is how you deal with losers!
We hope this video helps you form an edge in your trading and help give you growth and development, something every trader should seek!
Good luck trading!
I Just Took a Big Proft - What Should I do?Hi Traders, welcome back to another workshop. This topic is often a big question mark within a lot of traders, wondering should they continue trading after getting a jackpot trade? When it comes to this, again, there's no right or wrong. It is all about your plan, mindset, and performance. Below I've summarized the 3 main highlights of this workshop
1. Identify whether it is a good win or bad win
- If a winning trade is within your trading plan, something that you carefully planned and executed, then it is a good win. Because most likely it is something that is repeatable and duplicable, which can contribute a big part to your long-term consistency.
- If a winning trade is not within your trading plan, then often it is categorized as a bad win. You took the trade based on impulsive behaviour, you jumped into the chart just start taking blind trades. Yes, it is still a winning trade, but as a professional trader we do not determine the quality of a trade based on the outcome. It all depends on the execution of the strategy and the quality of the setup itself. You can have the best setup where everything aligns but still lose money. Think about it.
2. Do a mindset checking - "Is my mindset still clear?"
- Is your mindset still at at peak? If the answer is yes, then feel free to continue trading, because who knows it could be one of those good months?
- But if the answer is no, then probably you should take a step back. You can either trade less size to track your performance or you could perhaps stop trading and focus on something else, then come back stronger.
3. Set a drawdown limit (Very important)
- Always pay yourself first. Active trading is still considered a job. I understand the importance of compounding, but always take a small portion of the money and pay yourself first, then continue growing your account.
- By setting a drawdown limit, it calms your mind as you secured portion of the profits. It always avoid you from performing poorly due to a different mindset approach then eventually give back all of them back to the markets.
Let me know your thoughts in the comments below.
If you enjoy the content, make sure you click the like button and share it with someone who need to read this.
What Type of Trader Are You? 🤔
Hey traders,
In this post, I decided to make a comparative analysis of three main trading styles: scalping, day trading, and swing trading.
We will go throw the main pros and cons of each approach and discuss common misconceptions.
🏃♀️🏃 Let's start with scalping.
I guess many of us were impressed by videos on youtube showing how a guy makes thousands of dollars applying a simple scalping strategy.
Some of these videos get millions of views and excitement from the audience. No surprise the majority of newbies start their trading journey with scalping strategies.
Practicing some of them and trading on a real account, these traders suddenly realize that the youtube videos barely reflect the reality of scalping.
Scalping requires being extremely reactive, making trading decisions quickly, and constantly staying focused.
Moreover, it turns out that this trading style is extremely risky, and occasional losing streaks become an essential part of the process.
A pro scalper usually opens dozens of trading positions per day and manages many of them simultaneously.
Even though it is a fact that a solid scalping strategy is a true cash machine, the constant pressure and high level of stress make many traders leave that game blowing their trading account.
A true scalper is a guy with iron nerves and a sharp mind.
It takes many many years to become a person like that.
🚶♀️🚶Intraday trading is a bit simpler. While quite often scalping gives a trader just a couple of minutes to react and make a trading decision, intraday trading gives the hours. Such a trading style is slower, the intraday perspective is not that chaotic and irrational. It takes many hours for the trading setup to play out making the trade management process not that time-consuming. Moreover, intraday trader tends to open much fewer trading positions than a scalper. Analyzing primarily 4h/1h time frames less trading setups meet the entry conditions.
That primarily affects the potential gains though. Lesser you trade, the less money you make.
I consider myself to be an intraday trader. Trading full-time of course I was trying different scalping strategies, but I must admit that I can’t make the decisions that quickly, I can’t constantly hold so many active trading positions in my mind, I need some time to think, I need some time to do other things, I want more freedom. For that reason, intraday trading is my choice.
And let me be frank right here: I am not trying to say that intraday trading is simple, it is SIMPLER than scalping still remaining extremely complicated to master.
🕴🕴 If you want trading to become your side income if you have a full-time job and just a couple of hours per day for charting, I believe that intraday trading/scalping are not appropriate for you. In your situation, I would consider swing trading.
Swing trading is extremely slow. Being primarily focused on weekly/daily time frames a swing trader tends to hold trading positions for weeks, sometimes even months.
Moreover, it takes many days for a swing trading setup to form and the market gives a trader much time for reflection.
Of course, that primarily affects the potential gains:
I believe that among the 3 trading styles that we discussed, swing trading generates the lowest returns.
Swing trader is the best starter for newbie traders.
Analyzing higher time frames they can constantly follow the market and don’t miss the major moves.
Just 1-2 hours per day are enough to follow dozens of financial instruments.
Only by becoming a consistently profitable swing trader, one can try himself in intraday trading.
Working with hundreds of struggling traders from different parts of the world I realized that the majority has the inverted perception of scalping/intraday/swing trading. I hope that this article will shed a light on that topic.
What trading style do you prefer?
❤️Please, support this idea with like and comment!❤️
Stopped Out - Is It Okay To Re-Enter?Hi Traders, welcome back to another workshop. I believe this is a very common struggle within our community as a Trader. Often when you take a loss on a particular setup, the urge of getting back into the market is intense, and that's human psychology.
Do you realized how focused and how biased you are when you are hunting for a specific setup?
- Get stopped out once, you'd still take it because it doesn't do any damage to your account
- Get stopped out twice, you'd still arguably take it because you allow yourself for a re-entry
- Get stopped out thrice, now your emotion is taking over your rational behaviour. Now all you're focusing is either "How can i make my money back?!" or "I MUST be correct" or "This cannot be ..."
Familiar?
Remember, trading is not so much about Yes or No. It's all about measuring the Risk-to-Reward VS Probability of Success. If a setup is so valuable that you cannot afford to miss it (assume it passed through your trade evaluation process), feel free to take it again and again. But if you're trading the P&L, then i'd suggest you to only allow yourself a maximum of 2 chance entries, meaning that if you're getting stopped out twice in a row in a similar setup, you should probably get some rest or trade the other markets.
Most of the time, when a trader gets stop out multiple times in a row trading a similar setup, the emotion kicks in. Now their trading lens is no longer focusing on finding the best setups, but rather 'this must be it'. That's also how the over-trading and revenge trading behaviour pops out.
Let me know your thoughts below.
If you enjoy the content, make sure you follow my profile and give me a thumbs up for daily fx forecast & educational content.
Trading Strategy TunerThat strategy tuner idea made for only making your strategies easier to build. None of the things that I wrote are strategy or investment advise. Please take your decisions only by yourself and please build your strategy only by yourself because only you can know yourself well and only you knows how much risk you can take.
Study the Logic Behind Price Patterns, Not by Memorizing!Hi Traders, I won't be doing any particular market breakdown today as I don't see any great opportunity around. But here's some gems to share. In the previous few analysis, I've been talking about the potential failures on UJ everytime price attempt to break above 115. If you've not watched the previous UJ analysis OR in case if you couldn't find it, I'll link it down below for your convenience, make sure you watch it.
In my market breakdown videos, I often talk about continuation pattern. In yesterday's UJ breakdown, this was exactly what I was talking about, a continuation pattern. Price had a strong drive/ momentum into one direction (in this case bearish momentum), formed a tight consolidation giving us more information that sellers are attempting to squeeze price lower. This kind of flag-type pattern simply tells you how one side is bullying the opposition, eventually leads to further continuation into the initial direction.
For whatever instruments you're trading, it'd still fall back to Price Action. Understanding the psychology behind candlestick movement is what's going to make you profits, not by blindly memorizing strategies or patterns.
See you tomorrow for more breakdowns!
Trade safe and manage your risk!
Trading strategies, Part 1: First stepsWelcome to a series of videos called Trading Strategies. In the next couple of weeks, we'll talk about different strategies one can use to maximize gains: Market psychology, trading tools, trading styles, technical analysis.
Today, the first steps:
1- Defining who you are: Are you an investor or a trader
2- Educating yourself: Knowledge is the best tool someone can have on the market
3- You can't win all the time
4- Don't be greedy
Stay tuned for more content
HOW PROFITABLE TRADING LOOKS LIKE ? (EDUCATION)Hello traders, I'm making this post in order to help the community, most of you focus to much in technical analysis but let's take back to basics a put things clear.
Before continuing reading make sure to give a like this will help the community use proper risk management.
Let's talk about simple math : This is simply a conceptual series of 10
trades, taken one after the other from abeginner perspective let's us act as a beginner: if at the beginning you risk more than expected then it will take you a lot of work to recover from that DD%. Make sure to have a proper risk modelling and follow the rules to survive. New traders execute trades with certainties
" this loos good"
"I will risk more"
“ I can’t lose in this trade “
"I will risk more in this
one because I need to recover my
previous loss" .
"I lost the previous one i
will risk less"
Here is where the problem occurs:
When you modify parameters in your risk
modeling it will have a strong impact in
the outcome.
This example was clear. Our dear Mr amateur risked more in the first trade end up losing more ( uncontrolled loss) , then took another normal loss , after that he has two winning trades but guess what? Mr emotional become greedy and risk more after having two profitables trades and guess what ? He just distributed all the money back. See how his biggest loses come after the biggest wins . After that big loss mr amateur is scarred to pull the trigger and of course he cut winners very quickly because he’s afraid to distribute back . Well for him trading becomes a nightmare . Markers are consuming his pocket and soul .
Now Let us say for example that you took
10 trades with proper risk management ? With a probabilistic approach?
the outcome is totally different. And guess what there is no magic trick . Profitable trading is a unemotional risk manager game , Chose wisely .
Here is where the solution is :
EVERY TRADE IS UNIQUE , ANYTHING CAN HAPPEN.
MANAGE YOUR EXPOSURE OR YOU WILL HAVE NOTHING LEFT TO MANAGE.
PRO traders understand that in order to have results they must adopt a series per trade approach
Please do follow and comment your thoughts. let me know in the comment section what do you think about it .
WHY 95% OF TRADERS FAIL | Top 6 Mistakes to Avoid 🙅♂️🙅♀️
Hey traders,
That is the absolute fact:
95% of traders will fail.
Working with hundreds of struggling traders from different parts of the world, studying their trades & following their reasoning I found a lot of commonalities. In this post, we will discuss the top 6 mistakes to avoid to succeed in trading.
🤖 Rather than studying the market structure, rather than learning price action, many traders are looking for a "secret indicator". The one that will accurately indicate when to buy or sell the market.
Failing to find the one, they start looking for a set of indicators giving them magic profit formula. At some stage, they stop analyzing the chart at all. They become obsessed with the indicators.
Remember, naked chart analysis always goes first.
The indicator is the tool in your toolbox that is applied as one of the confirmations.
💫 The expectations & mindset play a very important role here as well.
Many people come in trading with a desire to become rich quick. To buy a subscription to some signal service promising them thousands of pips monthly and quite their 9:5 job.
Or to watch a couple of educational videos about trading and after a couple of days of practicing become a whale of Wallstreet making thousands of dollars with a single trade.
Such a mindset is completely wrong. Instead, you must realize that trading is extremely hard. It will take many years and a lot of blown trading accounts before you get how to trade properly.
Moreover, even once you mature, you won't make millions of dollars. Professional trading is simply about winning slightly more than you lose and then living on a margin.
📉 Poor risk management is the primary reason for blown trading accounts. And here I am not talking about some "advanced" risk management techniques.
Many traders simply trade with oversized lots.
Having high leverage & 1000$ deposit at hand the one can simply open a trading position with 1 standard lot and be kicked in by a spread.
Or they open a trading position without a stop loss. Being wrong in their predictions instead of closing a losing position they keep holding it. And while the market keeps going against them they pray the God for a market reversal. At some moment they get the margin call.
You must learn to calculate a lot size for all your trades. Instead of risking a huge portion of your trading account, learn to set a stop loss and risk no more than 1% of your deposit.
📝 Lastly, discipline plays a crucial role in your success in trading. Once you developed a trading strategy & backtested that you must learn to follow its rules no matter what. Usually, once traders catch a losing streak they start changing their rules, they start adjusting their trading strategy. Remember that losses are inevitable. The only correct way to stay afloat is to be consistent and don't break the rules.
Avoiding these common mistakes your chances to succeed in trading will increase dramatically. I wish you be among 5% of traders who made it.
Did you make these mistakes?
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Trade Entries VS Trade Exits - Do you still make these mistakes?Hi Traders, welcome back to another workshop. In today's workshop, I will be discussing the importance of taking of both Trade Entries and Trade Exits.
Most traders put way too much attention into spotting the specific entry level. But the truth is, closing out a good position at the right time and at the right price make you money. You can have the best strategy and best entry, but if you don't know how to exit, you'd still end up losing money.
Why majority focus so much on trade entries?
Simply because the feeling of catching tops & bottoms give them a sense of gratification and achievement.
Trading isn't about feeling good, it certainly isn't about ego. It's all about how can you organize your mind to control its performance, so you're consistently extracting profits from the markets, by doing the right thing.
Stop aiming for profits, start focusing on the process.
Do the right thing. Again, and again. That's how you make money from whatever you're doing in life.
Comment down below what's your best and worst positions.
Share with anyone you think he/she should be watching this.
How To Achieve Your Personal Success - VisionHi Traders. This workshop is something untypical, not really trading-related but more on life story in general. In this sharing, I'll be discussing why starting from zero is always the toughest.
Trading, investing, and entrepreneurship in general tend to beat you up in the beginning when you first started. Everyone's fueled with passion and motivation in the beginning, most people give up in between. Ultimately, those who can withstand challenges and defeats will stand up firm and stronger. People who will succeed in life are those who are determined, persevere, and with ever-growing passion.
For whatever challenges you're facing right now, remind yourself that it will not last forever. A bright shiny day comes after the rain, keep paddling.
"Our greatest weakness lies in giving up. The most certain way to succeed is always to try just one more time."
Comment down below what's your goals, and challenges you're currently facing. Share with anyone who need to watch this.
Why You Should Never Focus On The Outcome?Hi Traders, here come another workshop regarding " Why you should never focus on the outcome ." Along my own life journey, I've been through there and I've had encountered many people who are constantly comparing themselves to another or envying another.
The way I see life is that everything has a fair return. The achievements in your later stage of life is the by-product of your earlier sacrifices. If you're unwilling to pay the suffers now, most likely you will live your life like the 90% of the ordinary. Everyone has a different progress and settle at a different pace. By focusing on the outcome, not only you're dragging yourself down, you're also directly stagnating your personal growth process. Things you should never do if you're currently in a transition into a better self
1. Never compare yourself to another
- By comparing yourself, you're focusing on the dollars return (monetary return). Then, by doing so, you'd tend to forget your initial motivation - why did you started?
2. Never forget why you started
- Why? In life, we all started something with an initial sparks and burning passion. But somehow the majority turns into the majority because they've forgotten their goals and motivation. Or they simply give up so easily that they're not taking their dream seriously.
3. Loss track of progress
- By comparing to someone elses' life, you're not focusing on what your own dreams are. If someone else if making more money than you, remind yourself three main points
A. They've got a different dream and goal
B. Whatever amount they're making, it's their own progress, mind your own business!
C. Everything settle at its own pace. Someone's making big money at their early age but go broke later one. Some busy planting seeds in the beginning but enjoy the fruition later.
Comment down below what's your biggest aspiration.
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Price Psychology what happening with in priceThis is meant to serve as a training guide into understanding how chart patterns are ultimately formed via prices bought and sold.
This is where the focus of this video is. We are always wanting to know rather than the pattern that is forming, the prices that are
being bought and sold on the chart.
For this we use Quarters Theory, The segmenting on the chart into equal slices to understand where prices are at and where they could go.
On my highest timeframe I like to stick to 1000 pip sections the value of these sections changes this system is universal and can be used on any asset for ease of understanding it was preformed on a stock chart.
Within 1000 pips we have four sections
Four $100 zones
Four $50 zones
Sixteen: $25 zones
On a monthly chart we focus on 1000 pip sections, on a weekly is 100 and on a daily its 10.
Segmenting the char in this nature allows for an understanding of how price has reacted on different time frames based up the price or zone that it is in. From this point of view we may then begin to see recognizably patterns happening at specific prices that would be attributed to bar chart or price action patterns.
COMPOUND INTEREST. Time is on your side📚
❗️As it turned out, not all traders are familiar with such an important concept as compound interest. Meanwhile, the use of compound interest in trading can be a very effective tool for making a profit. In short, compound interest is the accrual of interest on interest, and if in detail, then read on.
✅The formula for calculating compound interest has the form:
Compound percentage = (P (1 + g)^ n) – P, where
P – the amount originally invested;
r – interest rate;
n is the investment period.
Let's say you invested an amount of $ 10,000, every year the interest received is added to the principal amount, and new interest is accrued for a larger amount. If the investment period is 5 years, and the interest rate is 10% per annum, then after the specified period, taking into account the compound interest, you will receive a profit in the amount of:
(10000(1+0.10)^5)-10000=6105.1$
And without taking into account the compound interest, the profit for the same period will be:
10000*5*0,10-10000=5000$
As you can see, using compound interest (or in other words reinvesting profits) brought additional income in the amount of: 6105.1-5000 = 1105.1 $.
✅It seems that the figures presented above are not impressive, but the use of compound interest in trading can truly work wonders. In what way? Let's take another look at the compound interest formula described above. It is obvious from the formula that you can increase profit by increasing any of its components. Let's not touch the amount originally invested, but play with the value of the investment period and the interest rate.
To begin with, let's imagine that we will reinvest the profit not every year, but every month. Then the investment period will be 12 *5 = 60 months. The interest rate corresponding to this investment period will be equal to: 10%/12=0.833%. Let's substitute these values into the formula for calculating the compound percentage:
(10000(1+0.00833)^60)-10000=6449,8$
As you can see, under the same conditions, but with monthly reinvestment of profits, the income will already be $ 6449.8- $6105.1 =$344.7 more.
Well, if the trader's income is not 0.833% per month, but, for example, 5% monthly, then under the same conditions and for the same period, the profit will already be:
(10000(1+0.05)^60)-10000=176791,86$
Felt the difference, impressive, isn't it? And what if you reinvest profits not monthly, but daily? Let's figure it out. With an average yield of 5% per month, the average daily yield will be 5%/21= 0.238% (here 21 is the number of working days in a month). The investment period will be 5*360=1800 days. Let's substitute the data into the compound interest formula:
(10000(1+0.00238)^1800)-10000=711617,5$
This is already 711617.5-176791.86 = 534826 $ more than with monthly reinvestment of profits. More than half a million dollars (and this with an initial investment of only ten thousand)! That's impressive. That's what compound interest is in action.
⚠️This is about theory. In practice, it is impossible to achieve a constant percentage of profit every day. Some days a trader inevitably ends up with a loss, some with a profit, and the size of these losses and profits is always different. So it is unlikely to substitute the value of the percentage of profit per day in the above formula. However, the very essence of compound interest, clearly shown above in figures, gives the trader a fairly powerful tool for earning. A trader can and should use compound interest when creating his own money management system.
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Be Prepared - In control of the Survival ModeHI Traders, here come another workshop on being prepared for any possible outcomes in trading. Whether you're a new or experienced traders, at one point, you'd definitely face some obstacles completely out of your comfort zone, where you're just stumbling without any clue on how to solve it. Here sums up 4 key elements on how to be in-control of any possible outcome
1. Flexible
- Successful traders have extremely good flexibility. Regardless of what's put infront of their face, they adapt.
- Market conditions vary from day by day, so when the ordinary things/ setups aren't working well, what's wrong? Most likely either the market condition has changed, or your mindset is changing.
- This is why having multiple strategies to trade across different market conditions are so important. If you're only focusing on a specific market condition (eg. Trend Trader), then knowing how to identify when the market is in a non-trending condition is crucial to prevent yourself from making unusual decisions or taking unnecessary risks.
2. In control of the Survival Mode
- The Fight-or-Flight response refers to how humans have high tendency of making impulsive decision based on unknown fear.
- By managing the Survival Mode , you're truly able to avoid yourself from making irrational decision due to any unusual market condition, such as a sudden volatility spike.
- When you're in a deep drawdowns, ONLY think in-terms of probability and possibility . Question yourself: "If I continue trading, would it lead to a snowfall effect?" OR "If I stop trading, would it affect my long-term expectancy?"
3. Emotional-detachment
- Great traders always have a Poker face, not because they're inhuman, but because they've been humbled by the markets way too many time.
- Sharpen the ability to spot where you have a high tendency to deviate from your plan, then prevent yourself from making impulsive decisions.
- Losing traders are in the blue moon when they've got a good position running, and being extremely negative when they're having drawdowns.
- If you're overly attached to the results or outcome on any particular trades, it basically hints you that you should probably stop trading and focus on your reflective process.
4. Problem-solver
- Avoid being too harsh on yourself.
- Trading is a marathon, not a sprint. So stop excessively blaming yourself based on any particular decision, give yourself a pat in the shoulder, and ask yourself "how can i do it better next time?"
- Being positive is one huge element in becoming a successful trader. You don't want to get so beaten up until a point where you're nervous clicking the bid & ask buttons. Build up the necessary confidence to understand that you may not win this trade, but in the long-term I will always come out as a winner.
Let me know in the comment below what's your worst trading experience!
Hope all of you have a good trading week, take care and trade safe.
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