What is Trading Plan? Detailed Example
A short ⚠️disclaimer before we start:
the rules that will be discussed in this post are applicable only for technicians - traders that are relying on price action/structure/etc.
Also, we assume that structure levels do work and for us, key levels are considered to be the safest trading zones/points.
In order to increase the accuracy of your predictions analyzing different financial markets, you must learn to identify the direction of the market.📈
The identification of the market trend must be based on strict & reliable & testable rules.
It can be based on technical indicators or price action
Personally, I prefer to rely on price action.
There are three main types of market trends:
Bullish Trend
Bearish Trend
Sideways Market
Depending on the current direction of the market, on the chart, I drew a flow chart✔️ that will help you to act safely.
➡️Sideways market signifies consolidation & indecision. Usually being in such a state the market tends to coil in horizontal ranges.
To trade such a market safely, the best option for you will be to wait for a breakout of the range & wait for the initiation of the trend.
➡️Once you spotted a bullish market, do not rush to buy.
Your task will be to identify the closest strong structure support .
You must be patient enough to let the price reach that support first (and by the way, there is no guarantee that it will happen) and then you must wait for a certain confirmation.
Only once you get the needed confirmation you can buy the market.
➡️The same strategy will be applicable to a bearish market.
Spotting a short rally it is way early to just sell the asset from a random point.
You must find the closest strong structure resistance and wait for the moment when the price will approach that.
Then your task will be to wait for a confirmation and only when you got the reliable trigger you short the market.
🦉Try to rely on this flow chart and I promise you that you will see a dramatic increase in your trading performance.
And even though it may appear to you that this flow chart is TOO SIMPLE, in practice, even such a set of rules requires iron discipline and patience.
Thank you so much for reading this article,
I hope you enjoy it!
Let me know, traders, what do you want to learn in the next educational post?
Tradingstrategy
Avoiding and Managing Margin Calls
Trading on margin offers a variety of potential benefits, as well as some additional risks, including margin calls. This lesson explains margin calls, your obligations, and what you can do to help avoid them.
A margin call is a demand from your brokerage firm to increase the amount of equity in your account. You can do this by depositing cash or marginable securities to your account or by liquidating existing positions to generate cash.
To avoid margin calls, you need to understand fully what triggers a margin call, along with the steps you can take to minimize the risk of a margin sellout.
Margin calls can be a stressful experience with serious financial implications. Your brokerage firm may sell securities you own—without notifying you and without regard to tax consequences—in order to increase the equity in your account. Therefore, consider these suggestions to minimize the odds of experiencing a margin call:
Prepare for volatility: Leave a considerable cash cushion in your account that protects you from a sudden drop in the value of your loan collateral.
Set a personal trigger point: Keep additional liquid resources at the ready in case you need to add money or securities to your margin account.
Monitor your account daily: Consider setting up alerts to notify you when the value of your positions declines significantly.
If you fail to understand the concept of margin or not knowing what to do when faced with a margin call from your broker, you will definitely experience the shock of your trading account blow up.
What do you want to learn in the next post?
WHY YOU Don't always Receive INTEREST when you are short... Q. I thought that when you go short (sell) that we earn interest (swap fees) per day.
But to my surprise I was actually charged interest on my open trade with AUD/NZD. Was I not meant to earn interest?”
A. Unfortunately, it depends…
With each market you trade, you’ll need to look at the symbol information for each trade you take.
This also depends on the deal the broker has with each market.
For example, when you SELL AUD/NZD you're essentially buying NZD/AUD (as they are currency pairs).
So whether you go long or short, you don't earn interest with short (sell) currencies...
But make sure, you always look at Symbol information and see what swaps are positive when you are short.
With the AUD/NZD you can see you pay -3.35% per year.
That means each day you hold, you’ll have to pay 0.009% per day.
Then with some commodities and indices you’ll either earn interest or you’ll have to pay interest when you short (sell).
For example, with gold you’ll receive an interest of 1.23% per year.
Whereas with cotton you’ll pay 5.4% per year.
With the UK 100 FTSE, you’ll pay an annual interest of -0.24%. And with the Dow Jones you’ll receive 0.74% per year.
Then with local and international stocks, you’ll receive a certain % of interest (swap fees) per year.
So make sure you always check to see what each swap (daily interest fee) entails.
This obviously depends on the Market Maker you're using and if you're using Trading View make sure you see the information from your broker what the interest swaps (fees) are when you go long or short.
EXPLAINED: A Bearish Fair Value Gap (FVG) - Smart Money ConceptsA Bearish Fair Value Gap is a 3 candle structure with a DOWN impulse candle (2nd) that indicates and creates an imbalance or an inefficiency in the market.
WHAT DO THE IMBALANCES TELL US?
These imbalances tell us that the buying and selling is not equal. Now the market needs to rebalance (move at least to 50% of the fair value gap to fill) to make up for the imbalance and rebalance. For this to happen we need to see orders filled in the prices of the candle with the FVG.
HOW A BEARISH FAIR VALUE GAP IS CONSTRUCTED:
1st Candle
Draw a horizontal line from the bottom of the wick.
3rd Candle
Draw a horizontal line from the top of the wick
2nd Candle
Draw a BOX between the bottom and the top and pull it over to see the FVG range.
BETWEEN CANDLE 1 and CANDLE 3:
Do NOT show common prices. They do NOT touch where the lower & the upper wicks do NOT overlap.
With a Bearish FVG we can expect the market price to move UP.
HOW MUCH?
I believe a Bearish FVG needs to close at least 50%.
So you can drag a Gann Box or a Fib retracement (take out all the other levels except 50%).
Wait for the price to close and fill the prices and boom - Your Bearish Fair Value Gap has been filled.
SO WHAT?
When you see a Bearish Fair Value Gap, you can expect the price to move up. So you can place your stop loss below the downtrend.
You can place your entry where it shows upside is imminent to close the gap.
You can place your take profit above the 50% of the formation, as you expect the price to close.
But also, we use other confirmation signals with the Bearish Fair Value Gap.
Let me know if you have any other SMC (Smart Money Concepts) Questions.
Fundamentals & Technical AnalysisHow to apply fundamental analysis and macroeconomic trends to complement your technical analysis and trading strategy
Fundamental analysis and macroeconomic trends are important tools for traders who want to understand the underlying forces that drive the market. Technical analysis, on the other hand, focuses on the price action and patterns of the market. By combining both approaches, traders can gain a more comprehensive and balanced perspective on the market and improve their trading strategy.
Fundamental analysis of the macroeconomic environment involves studying the economic, political, and social factors that affect the supply and demand of an asset. Some of the most relevant fundamental indicators are:
- Gross domestic product (GDP): This measures the total value of goods and services produced by a country in a given period. It reflects the economic growth and health of a country. A higher GDP indicates a stronger economy and a higher demand for its currency and assets.
- Inflation: This measures the change in the average price level of goods and services over time. It affects the purchasing power of money and the interest rates. A moderate inflation indicates a healthy economy with stable growth. A high inflation indicates an overheated economy with excessive money supply and a lower demand for its currency and assets.
- Interest rates: This measures the cost of borrowing money. It affects the profitability of investments and the exchange rates. A higher interest rate indicates a tighter monetary policy and a higher demand for its currency and assets. A lower interest rate indicates a looser monetary policy and a lower demand for its currency and assets.
- Trade balance: This measures the difference between a country's exports and imports. It reflects the competitiveness and demand for a country's goods and services in the global market. A positive trade balance indicates a trade surplus and a higher demand for its currency and assets. A negative trade balance indicates a trade deficit and a lower demand for its currency and assets.
To complement technical analysis and trading strategy, traders can use fundamental analysis and macroeconomic trends to identify the long-term direction and strength of the market, as well as potential opportunities and risks. For example, suppose a trader wants to trade EUR/USD, which is the exchange rate between the euro and the US dollar. The trader can use technical analysis to identify the support and resistance levels, trend lines, chart patterns, indicators, and signals on different time frames. The trader can also use fundamental analysis to assess the economic conditions and outlook of both the eurozone and the US, as well as their relative interest rates, inflation rates, trade balances, and other factors that affect their currencies.
Suppose the trader observes that the eurozone has a higher GDP growth rate, lower inflation rate, positive trade balance, and stable interest rate than the US. The trader can infer that the eurozone has a stronger economy than the US, which implies a higher demand for the euro than the US dollar. The trader can also observe that the EUR/USD is in an uptrend on the daily chart, with higher highs and higher lows, supported by a rising moving average. The trader can conclude that the fundamental analysis confirms the technical analysis, which suggests that EUR/USD is likely to continue to rise in the long term.
The trader can then use technical analysis to find an optimal entry point to buy EUR/USD. For example, suppose the trader sees that EUR/USD is retracing from a recent high to test a support level at 1.2000, which coincides with a 50% Fibonacci retracement level and a rising trend line. The trader can also see that there is bullish divergence between the price and an oscillator indicator such as RSI or MACD, which indicates that the downward momentum is weakening. The trader can decide to buy EUR/USD at 1.2000, with a stop loss below 1.1900 and a target at 1.2200.
By applying fundamental analysis and macroeconomic trends to complement technical analysis and trading strategy, traders can gain a deeper understanding of the market dynamics and enhance their trading performance.
If you are stock trading, you should consider the following fundamental indicators which are all readily available as trends on the TradingView platform:
- ROE (Return on Equity): This indicator measures how effective a company is in generating profits for its shareholders. It is calculated by dividing the net income by the shareholders' equity. A high ROE indicates that the company is using its resources efficiently and creating value for its owners.
- EPS (Earnings Per Share): This indicator measures how much profit a company makes per share of its common stock. It is calculated by dividing the net income by the number of outstanding shares. A high EPS indicates that the company is profitable and can potentially pay dividends or reinvest in its growth.
- DYR (Dividend Yield Ratio): This indicator measures how much dividend a company pays per share of its common stock relative to its earnings. It is calculated by dividing the total dividends by the net income or the dividend per share by the earnings per share. A high DYR indicates that the company is rewarding its shareholders with a steady income stream and has confidence in its future prospects.
- FCF (Free Cash Flow): This indicator measures how much cash a company generates from its operations after deducting capital expenditures. It is calculated by subtracting the capital expenditures from the operating cash flow. A high FCF indicates that the company has enough cash to pay its debts, invest in new projects, or return money to its shareholders.
- PEG (Projected Earnings Growth): This indicator measures how fast a company's earnings are expected to grow in the future relative to its current price. It is calculated by dividing the price-to-earnings ratio by the annual earnings growth rate. A low PEG indicates that the company is undervalued and has strong growth potential.
These fundamental indicators can help traders to identify stocks that are overvalued, undervalued, or fairly priced based on their financial performance and future prospects. They can also help traders to compare different stocks within the same industry or across different industries and sectors.
The Process of Creating StrategyHello traders,
In this post i am going to show that how we can create and develop the trading strategy that works.
Now the first step we need to do is just search and find the any trading method that suitable for us for example that would be like elliott wave, ict concept, VSA, just using indicators and maybe you can also create your own method and backtest it. when you learned the method now its time to create your trading rules every strategy has own different rules like what is your risk to reward ratio? what is your trade management plan? either you manage your trade or just take the trade and come back after its hit TP or SL, how much is your daily limit means how much trades you will be taking in a day or in a week if you want to become a swing trader depends on you, what is your risk per trade? can you will be cutting the risk to half or just use fixed risk after lose trade? what is your daily limit of losing? can you hold trade overnight or over weekend? what is your trading timeframe? what is your trading sessions? etc...
These all kind of rules you will be require to create for yourself they might be different rules depends on your strategy method now we learned the method and created the rule move forward to the next step is open the live demo trading account and trade with your strategy and apply the rules don't break the rules that you created trade at least 30 days and journal your data your taking trades after 30 days check the journal you will see your data for example in your rules you set 1/2 risk reward ratio so you need to have around 40% winning ratio check the journal check the results did you have a 40% winning ratio if the answer is yes then good to go i am sure that you know what to do next but if you failed and your winning ratio is below 40% now analyze your journal data the trades you taken you will see some of bad trades that you don't wanted to trade again just avoid those trades next time and try again the process for the next 30 days. repeat the process one day you will be profitable and consistent but if you not then try again again learn from your mistakes and don't do that mistakes again.
When yo have been profitable this is the time you wanna enter in the market open the real live trading account and start trading with your strategy and follow the rules that you created for yourself run the process and always remember trading is not quick rish scheme you need to have a lot of patience, trading is a long run game like marathon race and its required patience. some of my advice is don't try to break the rules, don't depend on one trade, some times market will give you some results that you don't want from it but be patient and be consistent with your strategy with your rules, you will be facing drawdowns but that is the learning process you will learn a lot from the drawdown so with the time you will be better consistent and be profitable just don't leave the process too soon and believe in yourself and try again again and again, trading is a very beautiful and also the easiest thing to live life but firstly in the starting it required from us to pass the test. trading is a very easiest thing but also a very hardest thing. i hope you find this post useful, i wish you good luck and good trading.
If you like the post, boost my work with like comments and share thanks!
One Trade Does Not Define Your Trading Performance...
Hey traders,
👨🏻💻I am trading forex for more than 8 years.
During the last 5 years, I am actively posting my analysis & trades on TradingView.
Growing my audience, it was very peculiar for me to contemplate the reaction of my followers to my trading performance.
(by the way, we must say thanks to tradingview where the posting system does not allow to delete the posted trades so that each and every author is easily backtestable).
👩👩👧👧👨👨👧👧Those who follow me at least a half a year know that occasionally I have winning streaks when 9 out of 10 of my forecasts play out nicely. Sometimes, however, I face the drawdowns and catch a sequence of losing trades.
And sometimes the performance is mixed with the probabilities being on my side slightly.
🥇While the reaction to winning streaks is quite predictable:
I am praised by the members and get nice tips.
The reaction to losing streaks is worth discussing in detail.
It turned out that quite a huge portion of a trading community has a completely wrong understanding of a trading nature.
🤬The single loss is considered by them to be a failure, a mistake.
Facing the sequence of losses, they quickly become negatively biased to the person that they have just recently praised.
With the continuation of a drawdown, they blame the analyst and launch a barrage of criticism towards him.
🔍Then they are in a search again. They are looking for a trader that will be constantly right. Catching the new one during a winning streak, the cycle repeats.
At some moment such people become disappointed in trading and drop this business...
❗️Losses, losing streaks and negative days/weeks/months are inevitable. If you want to become a full-time trader, you must be prepared for the fact that trading won't give you a stable income.
Your equity curve will be in constant fluctuation.
Your goal in this game is simply to lose less than you make.
You must become disciplined enough to keep following the rules of your trading strategy no matter what.
You must learn to be consistent in your actions.
You should learn to perceive losing trades not as a failure but simply as the moment when the market takes its share.
Feeding you, giving you the opportunity to make money out of thin air,
the market definitely has a right to claim its dividends from you.
⭐️Change your mindset, learn to lose and the magic thing will happen.
Let me know, traders, what do you want to learn in the next educational post?
ZEUS Bullish MACD Setup - High Accuracy of Winning TradesOur MACD Setup is created to reveal winning entry points for a trade with high accuracy.
In our MACD Setup we combine multiple conditions to recognize only strong entry points.
Multiple factors need to be met in confluence:
1. Recognize the Trend = Bullish / Bearish Trend (50 EMA is Above / Below 200 EMA)
2. There is a MACD Cross = Bullish / Bearish MACD Cross (MACD Cross is Below / Above Zero Horizontal Line)
3. Avoid False Signals in a Sideways Markets = MACD Cross far from horizontal zero “0” line
4. Filter only Strong Trend Situations = Candle Close above/below 200 EMA
5. Avoid Extreme Values in RSI = check if there is way to go before we get oversold/overbought
6. Our Algorithm Filters Signals in Side Trend and Low Volume Markets
Let´s explain the conditions step by step
1. Recognize the Trend
Exponential Moving Average (EMA) is one of the most effective trend identification indicator. Traders like it because of it its simplicity.
EMA is usually used in combination between 200 days (as a slow indicator) and 50 days (as fast indicator of the trend).
Bullish Trend = EMA 50 is Above EMA 200
Bearish Trend = EMA 50 is Below EMA 200
2. There is a MACD Cross
After we recognized the Trend (Bullish Trend in our case) we would like to trade with the trend so we are looking for Bullish MACD Cross.
Bullish MACD Cross is Below Zero Horizontal Line
3. Avoid False Signals in a Sideways Markets
So we found Bullish MACD Cross and now we want to be sure that the Cross far away from the Zero Horizontal Line.
Our algorithm filters crosses and shows only signals with decent distance form Zero Horizontal Line.
4. Filter only Strong Trend Situations
Once we have met the first three criteria (Bullish Trend and Bullish MACD Cross far from Zero Horizontal Line) we need confirmation that the market is still strong and is moving forward in an uptrend.
So we look at price action and there need to be Candle Close Above EMA 200 . Closing about EMA 200 indicates continuation of the trend.
5. Avoid Extreme Values in RSI
The other condition is based on RSI and we are looking only for situations where RSI is not overheated so there is a way for trend continuations.
In our case RSI was in the middle values so we can expect market to continue its uptrend.
6. Our Algorithm Filters Signals in Side Trend and Low Volume Markets
We have developed our own Algorithm which filters signals in low volume markets and side trend.
How to Spot the Confluence Zone | Pro Fibonacci Technique
If you are struggling with the identification of accurate trading entries,
you definitely should try confluence zones.
Note: there are hundreds of variations of confluence elements.
In this example, we will discuss trend lines and fibonnachi.
❗️To identify a confluence zone, the price must follow a trend line
(it should match higher lows if the market is bullish ;
it should match lower highs if the market is bearish ).
Once the trend line is confirmed by at least two touches and consequent reactions,
you can look for a confluence zone.
1️⃣Project a trend line and identify the next POTENTIAL touchpoint of the market with a trend line .
2️⃣Take the last impulse in the direction of the trend.
Draw a fib retracement based on it
(swing low to swing high in case if the market is bullish ,
swing high to swing low in case if the market is bearish ).
3️⃣Take the previous impulse (it must be in the same direction as the initial one).
Draw a fib retracement based on it.
4️⃣Look for a match of retracement levels of the last two impulses and a projected trend line .
In case if two retracement fib.levels & trend line match, you found a confluence point.
5️⃣ Apply it as a safe entry point.
You will get a perfect trend following opportunity.
Let me know, traders, what do you want to learn in the next educational post?
Best advice for achieving success in trading!✅Here's the deal, guys. If you want to make this year a successful year in trading, you got to have an edge. It doesn't have to be rocket science, just a solid strategy. There are plenty of resources out there, so don't be shy to do your research. Once you got a strategy, test it out with a small account or paper money before committing fully.
And when you commit, commit fully. Don't be that person that changes their mind after one loss. Ignore the noise on social media and focus on your own system and 'PnL. It's none of your concern how other people are trading.
Don't buy the hype. You're not going to turn chump change into a fortune overnight. Trading has its ups and downs. So, don't be caught off guard and expect the unexpected. And always be ready for the ride.
And here's the truth, not every trade will be a winner. But there will be a select few that'll make up for the majority of your 'PnL increase. Just make sure you have enough capital to cover 'bills, taxes, and other boring stuff.
And don't be dumb and emotional. Risk management and trading psychology are crucial. If you're having panic attacks before executing a trade, it's a sign you're either not suitable for trading or you're taking excessive risks. Take a step back and assess your current financial situation and the amount of money you're putting in.
Embrace failure as fuel. It's not a setback, but a lesson in disguise. Realize that success is not a straight path, but a journey full of ups and downs.
And lastly, come prepared. Write down a plan for each day, whether it's a simple excel sheet or a written plan. It'll help you stay focused and aware of what's happening in the markets. And remember, trading is hard. Don't fall for the social media hype that makes it seem easy.
Happy trading!
Learn to Read the Strength of the Candlestick | Trading Educati
What it is?
Candlestick rejection strategy is a pure price action swing trading strategy. It makes use of the concept of price rejection or candlestick rejection patterns to invalidate counter-trend momentum for a trade continuation.
By applying such candlestick rejection strategy onto swing trading, it allows trades to capture spots at which market prices are at rest during retracements before rejoining back the existing dominant trend.
How to use?
Some trade recommendation for such candlestick rejection strategy is to use it as a candlestick rejection pattern on counter-trend moves. This means that we pick candlestick rejection pattern only for the sake of searching for breakout continuation with the dominant trend at counter trend waves.Entry can be made after the breakout occurs at the high or low of The Mother Bar and stop loss order can be placed at the opposing breakout side's high or low.
Further trade help can also be incorporated to help increase the trade's probability of success. For instance, it can be used together with other technical tools such as dynamic moving averages and Fibonacci retracement tool. Some may even want to consolidate other trading strategies to further increase trade’s probability of success.
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Why you should only think about charts when looking at chartsHello?
Traders, welcome.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please also click "Boost".
Have a nice day.
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When looking at the investment market, the first thing to do is to analyze the chart, and I wanted to say that the most important thing is how to create a trading strategy that suits your investment style with that chart.
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Most people try to predict the movement of the investment market by looking at the announcement of various economic indicators and the contents of global issues (war, corona, etc.).
A big issue must be something that can cause great volatility in the investment market, but it is also clear that when such an issue accumulates, it can no longer create volatility.
So, you should be careful that trying to predict the movement of the investment market with such issues can make a wrong prediction.
Sudden big issues For example, in the case of a global shock due to an issue such as the 9/11 terrorist attack, it may cause great volatility without time to respond.
Other than these issues, most of the chart's price movement will react first.
In order to see this pre-reflection in advance, you need to look at the chart without reflecting factors that can change your psychological state, such as the announcement of various economic indicators or global issues.
I don't think this kind of work is a big deal, but it is a very important factor that occupies a fairly important part of investing.
We need to think a lot about how to figure out the trend only with the movement of the chart, away from the announcement of various economic indicators and thoughts about global issues.
As it rises above the indicator called Low, which was created on June 19, 2022, we can see that it is splitting the flow of the chart in half.
A change in the -100 indicator has always completed a low.
Although it is currently showing a different look than before, it will form a low as long as the -100 indicator is created.
The +100 indicator is an indicator that starts generating when a high is formed.
Therefore, a rise above the +100 indicator means that the uptrend to break the high is likely.
Therefore, in order to show a full-fledged uptrend from the current price position, it must rise above 38K.
The high point has been holding for a long time now.
However, the low point has not yet formed a clear point due to the change of the -100 indicator.
However, as the -100 point is moved near the current price range, the possibility of forming a low is very high.
This shows that we are facing a new trend.
Keeping the price above 17941.69 is most important from a short-term perspective to create this new trend.
The next most important thing is to keep the price above 20552.75.
Then, it completes the appearance of a trough (a phenomenon in which the price drops more before making a bigger rise) before showing an uptrend.
The StochRSI indicator is showing a fairly rapid decline.
We will verify what we said above by looking at where the Stoch RSI indicator finds support and resistance when it turns upside down.
This change in support and resistance points can tell you which direction the movement of the current chart is about to head.
You may think my explanation is inconclusive, but the conclusion has already been drawn.
We live in a flood of information.
It is quite difficult to infer an objective conclusion by synthesizing such a large amount of information.
Therefore, it is necessary to objectify all information using objectified tools and indicators.
Many celebrities' chart analysis methods and trading methods are introduced on the Internet or in books.
In order to make the contents of these people my own, it can only be acquired through numerous transactions and numerous experiences.
Over time, trends change and all patterns change and evolve.
In order to read the chart in line with these changes, I think it is better to use a simpler and faster way to analyze.
This is because you can keep up with the ever-changing trends.
It is more important to make your own mental state stable due to volatility by investing more time in the trading strategy than the time used for analysis.
What do you guys think?
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** All descriptions are for reference only and do not guarantee profit or loss in investment.
** If you share this chart, you can use the indicators normally.
** The MRHAB-T indicator includes indicators that indicate points of support and resistance.
** Check the formulas for the MS-Signal, HA-Low, and HA-High indicators at ().
** SR_R_C indicators are displayed as StochRSI (line), RSI (columns), and CCI (bgcolor).
** The CCI indicator is displayed in the overbought section (CCI > +100) and oversold section (CCI < -100).
(Short-term Stop Loss can be said to be a point where profit or loss can be preserved or additional entry can be made by split trading. This is a short-term investment perspective.)
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What makes you start trading (trading strategy)Hello?
Welcome, traders.
By "following", you can always get new information quickly.
Please also click "Boost".
Have a good day.
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The HA-MS indicator is a combination of the previously disclosed HeikinAshi_Point (HA-P) and MACD-Total (MACD-T) indicators.
(The formula for this indicator will be released again soon.)
The MS-Signal indicator that can confirm the trend was created using the formula of the MACD indicator.
Using Heikin Ashi, H.A. (Heikin Ashi body), HA-Low, HA-High indicators were created.
The HA-Low and HA-High indicators were created for trading purposes.
Therefore, you can proceed with trading depending on whether you are supported or resisted by the HA-Low and HA-High indicators.
In addition, the H.A. indicator (Heikin Ashi body) can also be used to view trends along with the MS-Signal indicator.
In order for the price to rise
1. The Heikin Ashi candle should switch to an uptrend.
2. It should rise above the HA-Low indicator.
3. It should rise above the MS-Signal indicator and the MA-Signal indicator should turn into a bullish indicator.
When all three of the above are satisfied, it can be interpreted that the price has turned upward.
For the price to continue its uptrend (for the price to surge), it must rise above the HA-High indicator and hold the price.
In particular, in order to see the mid- to long-term flow of MS-Signal indicators, the M-Signal lines corresponding to MS-Signal indicators corresponding to 1M, 1W, and 1D charts are displayed on all timeframe charts.
Therefore, we wanted to avoid the part where you could miss the big flow when you keep looking at the lower timeframe charts.
In addition, the 5EMA line of the 1D chart was displayed in the low frame chart to prepare for sudden movements.
This is because we see the price rising along the 5EMA line on the 1D chart to indicate that the price is soaring.
If supported by the HA-High indicator, it is likely to surge.
Conversely, if you encounter resistance on the HA-High indicator, there is a possibility of a sharp decline, so you need to be careful with your movements when you touch the HA-High indicator.
the start of the downtrend
1. Heikin Ashi body turns into a bearish indicator.
2. Receive resistance at the HA-High indicator.
3. As it falls below the MS-Signal indicator, the MS-Signal indicator should turn into a bearish indicator.
Therefore, if such a movement is detected after the price has risen, it is better to preserve profits with an appropriate response.
In order to preserve profits by split selling, it is good to do it while the price is rising, but after a sharp rise, it is necessary to split sell in order to preserve profits in line with the above-mentioned signs of a downtrend.
A fall below the HA-Low indicator means you never know when it will rise.
Therefore, it is necessary to review whether stop loss is possible to preserve profit and loss when resistance is received in the HA-Low indicator.
If it rises above the HA-High indicator, there is a high possibility of a sudden movement, so a quick response is required when making additional purchases.
Also, if you find resistance on the HA-High indicator, you should consider whether you can sell in splits as this could lead to a sharp downtrend.
We believe that this indicator provides minimal information to proceed with the trade.
The important thing in trading is your trading strategy.
To create a trading strategy, you need to think in terms of 1. the duration of the investment, 2. the size of the investment, 3. the way the trade will be done and how the profit will be realized.
1. Investment period
The investment period is to think about how long the coins (tokens) you are trading will be traded over a long period of time.
This is because the investment size, transaction method, and profit realization method are different when making a trade through short trades such as same-day trades and short-term trades and when conducting trades for large profits by purchasing for a long period of time.
Therefore, you should think about the investment period first before buying.
Therefore, it should be oriented as it can lead to very bad results in the mid- to long-term to carry out trades that have been processed for same-day trading or short-term trading.
2. Investment scale
The investment size will set the appropriate funds according to the investment period.
Therefore, if the investment period is not properly followed, the distribution of the investment will be twisted, greatly affecting future transactions.
For mid- to long-term investments, the initial investment capital should be small.
Otherwise, if you spend a lot of money right from the start, you're likely to feel a lot of psychological pressure from boredom or less profit from other trades as the holding period increases.
These issues will raise another issue of lost time.
Therefore, the shorter the investment period, the greater the use of investment funds at the beginning, and the funds should be concentrated on mid- to long-term investments as the investment progresses.
This movement of funds should be done slowly as the coin market begins to enter an uptrend.
3. How to trade and how to run profits
The trading method is different for same-day trading, short-term trading, and mid- to long-term investment, but basically, when you start trading, you must first set a buy point, a sell point, and a stop loss point before proceeding.
If you can't set this up, I don't recommend trading.
The first buy point and the first sell point can be the start and end of a trade for same day or short trades.
In the case of mid- to long-term trading, it can be the starting point of a purchase, and the second and third buying points and stop-loss points are set according to this buying starting point.
The first selling point is the target point that is reached for the first time after the purchase is in progress or after the purchase is completed.
This psychological stability plays a very important role in mid- to long-term investment, so it is important to sell a certain amount at the first selling point.
How to realize revenue
1. Sell 100% for Cash Profit
2. Increase the number of coins (tokens) corresponding to profit by selling as much as the purchase principal
No matter how you take profit, the ultimate final trade close is to sell 100% for a cash return.
However, the difference in return may vary considerably depending on the investment period.
100% sold coins (tokens) can be re-entered when one cycle of wave is over.
If you ignore this and start trading again when one cycle is not over, you can make the mistake of selling 100% of the profit and turning it into a loss.
Therefore, 100% selling is recommended only for same-day trading or short-term trading.
No one knows how volatile the coin market cycle will be in the future.
As regulations on crypto assets are currently underway in countries around the world, volatility may be lower than the default.
Even so, it is very important to increase the number of coins (tokens) corresponding to the profit, because the more coins (tokens) you have, the greater the profit.
As an individual investor with limited funds, it is an issue that cannot be ignored in order to achieve greater returns.
This is because it is important to increase the number of coins (tokens) corresponding to profits through many transactions in order to obtain greater profits with limited funds.
Analysis of charts and analysis of the coin market are only analysis and are not directly related to profits.
A trading strategy is absolutely necessary to profit from analytics.
To create a trading strategy, you need an eye that can identify coins (tokens).
In order to trade the selected coins (tokens) with such an eye, it is necessary to determine the investment period and investment size.
And then I'm going on a long journey to profit.
In order to overcome the many obstacles that will be faced with the start of the transaction and arrive at the desired destination, it will be necessary to respond to reduce the psychological pressure.
Therefore, more time should be invested in creating and modifying trading strategies than time invested in analysis, and based on this, you should seek psychological stability.
Thanks for reading to the end of this long post.
We congratulate everyone on their successful investment.
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Candlestick Rejection Strategy!
What it is?
Candlestick rejection strategy is a pure price action swing trading strategy. It makes use of the concept of price rejection or candlestick rejection patterns to invalidate counter-trend momentum for a trade continuation.
By applying such candlestick rejection strategy onto swing trading, it allows trades to capture spots at which market prices are at rest during retracements before rejoining back the existing dominant trend.
How to use?
Some trade recommendation for such candlestick rejection strategy is to use it as a candlestick rejection pattern on counter-trend moves. This means that we pick candlestick rejection pattern only for the sake of searching for breakout continuation with the dominant trend at counter trend waves.Entry can be made after the breakout occurs at the high or low of The Mother Bar and stop loss order can be placed at the opposing breakout side's high or low.
Further trade help can also be incorporated to help increase the trade's probability of success. For instance, it can be used together with other technical tools such as dynamic moving averages and Fibonacci retracement tool. Some may even want to consolidate other trading strategies to further increase trade’s probability of success.
Thank you for reading, we hope you enjoyed our educational effort!
Learn How to Trade Triangle | Classic Price Action Pattern 📚
Learn how to identify a triangle.
The meaning behind this pattern explained.
Entry/stop/entry selection rules.
Real market example included.
❤️If you have any questions, please, ask me in the comment section.
Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
The PIK Trading Strategy & Key Lessons for Day Traders!Hey Traders!
Happy Sunday!
In this video, which ends a little earlier as I didn't know videos have a limit, we go over a few key points, starting from the PIK trading strategy which you guys will hear about much more over the next few days, mindset, motivation and guidance is covered too!
When it comes to the PIK trading strategy, we go over the indicators that are used, price action and key levels!
The video isn't our best one, but it does have plenty of value and we hope you enjoy it!
Thanks and all the best!
A brief explanation on the importance of risk managementEvery human activity has its ups and downs. You may face good days and bad days and it’s a norm in any other human kind activities.
Read history! Did all dynasties get consistently stronger?
In politics, did popularity rates of political figures get better day by day?
Sure not!
Even in natural events, you see uneven decreases and increases. Not only the annual rainfall rates are not always the same, but the rate of increases and decreases varies from year to year.
So strategies and setups won’t always work because they simply are man-made things to predict a human-based activity! They may fail, expire or disused someday, because this is the neutrality of nature and creatures including humans and their markets. For the last instance, even stars grow and fall.
I know there are some traders who claim their strategy will never expire. They may be liars, but they are not necessarily liars! Those who believe their strategy will never expire will admit that their strategy had bad days too. I like to say their strategy has expired and reactivated again and since they consider longer cycles (monthly, yearly or even bigger) they believe their setup has never expired. If we want to be more precise their strategy has expired but just for shorter periods (may be just for hours!).
Let me explain a little more technical, every setup is compatible with specific conditions of the market and they will fail in other markets’ conditions and traders are not foreteller but predictors, so they sometimes may get conditions have changed and sometimes they predict it wrong or get the change so late! So they sometimes make profit and sometimes don’t. For example RSI overbought and oversold strategy do not make profit in trending market on the side of the trend! I mean if markets are bullish, overbought is a norm not a sign of reversal (most peak of reversals happens in overbought or oversold but not every oversold is a sign of reversal in a trending market) and in a super bullish trending market you almost can’t find any RSI oversold. So you should use another setup! ( some traders using kind of strategy which has different setups for different conditions of market, they actually guess when their strategy is going to expire)
I divide the professional traders by methods that they choose to avoid using an unsuitable for market conditions into four general categories.
1- Ignorers: Since they got a conservative risk management strategy and they could easily ignore expiration phenomena and trade without worrying about expiration.
2- Rule makers: They have different setups for different conditions. They specify some rules to distinguish market conditions and adapt new setups to their trades. Rules could be created by using both indicators or indicator-free (price action) chars.
3- Sentimental Market traders (in case of expiration): Some traders do not use specific rules! They simply just sense market conditions has changed. They differ from rule makers because they don’t use a specific rules every time. They may use some rules unconsciously but those rules may differ time to time.
4- Equity curve analyzers. They simply analyze equity curve! They make specific rules to start using or stop using a strategy! For example they will stop using it if it is a loss-maker one for 2 weeks (this one won’t work in most strategies) or they simply try to use price action rules to analyze EC of a setup! “Mark Douglas (1990) is saying that if traders were to chart their equity, these charts would look very much like the typical bar charts and charts like these also can have the same predictive value as in the markets” “Procedia Economics and Finance 32 ( 2015 ) 50 – 55” these kind of traders may use indicators like SMA or WMA to predict profitability of a setup in future and they are also eager to use price action rules.
I believe no method is superior to another, the way an experienced trader use the method is important! But having a method to avoid large losses is necessary. And all traders consciously or unconsciously use one of them. Most price action traders are ignorers. Their strategy may expire but for short period of time. For example mine is expired right now but I’ll continue using it cause I know it’s temporarily and I don’t know when exactly it will reactive again. I also use a self-made auto-trading expert which use different indicator based setup and since the period of expirations of that setups are long, I use EC analyzing methods to detect expirations .
No matter which method you use, you can’t be an always winner trader! Ignorers may loss and they will name it exceptions. Rule makers’ rules may detect and signal expiration too soon or too late! The 3rd and 4th kind of traders may make mistakes too. There is no single trader in the world with 100% win rate in long-term!
That's why you need to limit our risks, I like optimism in life (I prefer pessimism in back-tests) but you should not be deluded, you should think what happen if you lost some consecutive trades?
If you risk more than you can handle consecutive losses emotionally, You will empty your trading account, no matter how good a teacher you had or how much you have practiced or how great trading past you have or how experienced you are or even how much you believe your emotions are in control of you
(you actually can’t control in real big loses trading), YOU NEED TO LIMIT YOUR RISK by managing it in a way that your trading is profitable enough and simultaneously do not be destructive at certain times
"Profit a little less but more consistent."
There are also too many other important rules for money and risk management and you should take them into consideration too.
Best Regards, Alisignals
Grinding your way to Day Trading profitsHey all!
We hope your trading day has been successful in either learning or earning!
This quick daily primer video explains a little the way we trade, bascially being reactive to the charts!
Too tired to type more right now, but hope this video helps you learn something new!
Without this, you will not become a profitable trader
Yes, this is risk management.
Without proper risk management, your trading strategy based on levels, indicators, patterns, etc.will not make any sense.
Any trading strategy should be supported by strict risk management, where the maximum allowable losses per transaction and the risk ratio are observed:the profit is always more than 1/2.
You don't have to be right in every trade. It's just that your profit in successful transactions should be greater than the losses in unprofitable transactions. This correct use of risk management will lead you to success.
____________
The example shows one of the real scenarios of any trading system where the rules of risk management are observed:
Deposit of 10,000$
The risk per transaction is -1% (or -100$)
Total trades:
4 profitable trades = +14%
10 losing trades = -10%
Total: +4% (or + 400$)
Even though only 30% of the total number of profitable transactions, we still have a profitable result.
Learn risk management and become a consistently profitable trader.
❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
8 TRADING HABITS OF SUCCESSFUL TRADERS👩💻👨💻
Hey traders,
Consistently profitable traders have a lot of things in common. Watching how they act and following their ideas & thoughts we can spot a lot of commonalities among them.
In this article, I have collected 8 trading habits that a trader should have to become successful.
1️⃣ - Continuous Learning 📚
The markets are infinitely deep in their nature.
Trading & constant monitoring of the market always unveil new, uncharted elements and things.
With 8 years of day trading, I can't help wondering how many new things I learn each and every day.
With continuous learning you evolve, you become better and it improves your trading performance & results.
2️⃣- Emotional Stability 🙏
The market is a wild beast who always wants to bite us.
And most of the time it manages to do that:
drawdowns, losing streaks...
Those who trade for at least 1 year know how unpredictable and unstable the market is.
A perfectly looking trading setup can easily turn into a big losing trade.
Of course, that is painful, of course with more and more losers, the anxiety will pursue us, the stress will overwhelm us.
Only by remaining stable and calm, you will manage to overcome the negative periods.
Learn to control your emotions, learn to take losses!
3️⃣ - Constant Practice 💪
Pro traders never stop, they always watch the charts, they always monitor the prices, and follow the market.
Trading requires constant TRADING.
Just spending one single week on a vacation without charts, you can not imagine how hard it is to return back.
The trading skills must be constantly maintained.
4️⃣ - Trade Journaling 📝
Pro traders always assess their past performance & results.
They track each and every trading position that they opened.
Both losing trades and winning trades require analysis and observations.
Only by studying the past results the trader can improve his trading performance and evolve. Only by identifying mistakes & peculiar commonalities, the trader learns to lose less than he makes.
5️⃣ - Anticipation of Different Outcomes 👁
Everything can happen in financial markets.
Pro trader always reasons in probabilities.
He knows that 100% chances do not exist.
Accepting the probabilities the trader (even while opening the trade) is always ready for completely different outcomes and accepts each and every move of the market.
6️⃣ - Flexibility & Adaptivity 🕺
The markets are always changing.
If you were trading before COVID crisis, I guess you feel how the reality among us shifted. With fundamental changes in our daily lives, the markets changed as well.
It is hard to say what exactly has altered though, however, we all can feel it.
In order to survive in a constantly changing environment, one should adapt. One should look for ways to be one step ahead.
To beat an evolving market, the traders should constantly polish their trading strategies, drop the things that don't work anymore, and adopt the new, reliable ones.
That is the only way to stay afloat.
7️⃣ - Selection of Right Markets 📈
The trader always knows what to trade and he always has a reason.
He admits that some financial instruments are appropriate for his trading style while some are completely not.
Pro trader does not wander around aimlessly from one market to another. He has a plan to follow and rules to rely on.
8️⃣ - Realistic Expectations ⭐️
Many newbie traders drop trading just because of wrong expectations.
The desire to get rich quick, to catch 20/1 risk to reward trades without substantial losses is playing a dirty trick with them.
The true trader is not greedy, in contrast, he is humble and the only thing that he wants is simply to win more than he loses and make that amount sufficient enough to have a good living.
Adapting these 8 habits, you will see dramatic improvements in your trading.
And even though most of them require a substantial effort and many years of practicing, trust me, it is worth it and it will help you in your daily life as well.
Would you add some other habits to this list?🤓
Let me know in a comment section.
❤️Please, support this idea with a like and share your feedback in a comment section!❤️
How to Assess Your Trading Performance|Consistency & Perspective
Hey traders,
👨🏻💻I am trading forex for more than 8 years.
During the last 5 years, I am actively posting my analysis & trades on TradingView.
Growing my audience, it was very peculiar for me to contemplate the reaction of my followers to my trading performance.
(by the way, we must say thanks to tradingview where the posting system does not allow to delete the posted trades so that each and every author is easily backtestable).
👩👩👧👧👨👨👧👧Those who follow me at least a half a year know that occasionally I have winning streaks when 9 out of 10 of my forecasts play out nicely. Sometimes, however, I face the drawdowns and catch a sequence of losing trades.
And sometimes the performance is mixed with the probabilities being on my side slightly.
🥇While the reaction to winning streaks is quite predictable:
I am praised by the members and get nice tips.
The reaction to losing streaks is worth discussing in detail.
It turned out that quite a huge portion of a trading community has a completely wrong understanding of a trading nature.
🤬The single loss is considered by them to be a failure, a mistake.
Facing the sequence of losses, they quickly become negatively biased to the person that they have just recently praised.
With the continuation of a drawdown, they blame the analyst and launch a barrage of criticism towards him.
🔍Then they are in a search again. They are looking for a trader that will be constantly right. Catching the new one during a winning streak, the cycle repeats.
At some moment such people become disappointed in trading and drop this business...
❗️Losses, losing streaks and negative days/weeks/months are inevitable. If you want to become a full-time trader, you must be prepared for the fact that trading won't give you a stable income.
Your equity curve will be in constant fluctuation.
Your goal in this game is simply to lose less than you make.
You must become disciplined enough to keep following the rules of your trading strategy no matter what.
You must learn to be consistent in your actions.
You should learn to perceive losing trades not as a failure but simply as the moment when the market takes its share.
Feeding you, giving you the opportunity to make money out of thin air,
the market definitely has a right to claim its dividends from you.
⭐️Change your mindset, learn to lose and the magic thing will happen.
❤️Please, support this idea with a like and comment!❤️
ESSENTIAL FOREX TRADING CONCEPTS YOU SHOULD KNOWI want to start by talking about something that I frequently see when trading and “how-to” trade is being discussed. The concept of trading having to be simplistic and not too complex, that the simpler your trading is, the better. Having a simplistic approach to trading is not realistic; you must balance trading between simplicity and complexity. There’s a reason why 90-95% of “trying-to-be-traders” never become or will be consistently profitable. Think of it in terms of having data; if you have limited data, your system or edge won’t be effective. Most likely, it will be random. But having too much data and information can be overwhelming and too confusing to do anything with it.
So the question becomes, how do you balance your trading approach between simplicity and complexity? We do this by understanding that trading falls into three categories. And by knowing the components and elements of each category, we can define the way we trade so that our decision-making and observations are guided by objectivity. Basically, a well-formed trading setup consists of these three elements.
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RISK DISCLAIMER: Please be advised that I am not telling anyone how to spend or invest their money. Take all of my videos as my own opinion, as entertainment, and at your own risk. I assume no responsibility or liability for any errors or omissions in the content of this channel. This content is for educational purposes only and is not tax, legal, financial, or professional advice. Any action you take on the information in this video is strictly at your own risk. We, therefore, recommend that you contact a personal financial advisor before carrying out specific transactions and investments. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Past results are not indicative of future returns. Inotfancy.com and all individuals affiliated with this channel assume no responsibility for your trading and investment results.