Trading MindsetWELCOME TO WORLD OF TRADING
Hi everyone, what I am about to talk right now is concerned with trading psychology. Everything that I am about to say right now is also a crucial aspect of my psychology and mindset that is fueling me to write this for you guys. Hence, we can deduce one thing from this. Psychology is the most important factor in deciding your future as trader. I will be honest upfront with you guys. So you’ve been introduced to the world of trading by your friend, family or anyone that doesn’t matter, so you’ve been told how the guy next door is making thousands of dollars with just few hours of work while you out there hustling yourself to exhaustion and making just about to survive your month doesn’t seen fair right? And exactly this guy has results to show for it to make you believe how if he can do it anyone can. Or you’ve seen couple of stories, Instagram post, Facebook post promising exponential gains in a few hours. With that said I want to address 2 main problems associated with trading which I believe are significantly important to understand before you step out there or if you’re already out there and struggling.
1) Holy grail in trading (a way or a method that will promise you returns on daily basis)
Holy grail in trading what is it and does it exist? To answer this question, I want you to ask yourself a question first: why you are trading and what do u want to achieve from it
Now that you’ve asked yourself that kindly note if the answer to these questions is (firstly: I want to accumulate wealth as soon as possible and drive a luxurious car next month. Secondly: I only want to find a way in trading that works 100% and gives me return on my investment daily)
If these are you believes I am afraid to say you have work to do on yourself not on your system of approach of trading.
Financial markets are a world of chaos there are millions of possibilities out there every day
(imagine you just focus on 1 possibility consistently every day, where will that take you in the next coming years think about it)
There are successful traders out there, trading and making living out it (the so-called narrative only 5% of people can make money in the markets) where’s the difference? The difference lies not on support was breached, trend line was broken or respected but on their mentality and mind set these people very well understand how market moves and work but be cautious they will never follow the market: no one in world has the intellect and memory to remember each and every tick movement of the market these people are focused on themselves and their performance in the market. They know exactly when to trade and when to stop trading. The approach of such people is not irregular but systematic and disciplined.
To sum it up financial world is a world of chaos with billions of possibilities (FOCUS ON THE ONE THAT MAKES SENSE TO YOU AND COINCIDES WITH YOUR PERSONALITY AND ROUTINE) anyone can trade Weather your doctor or an engineer or just a high school student provided you are consistent, disciplined and motivated (YES UNDERSTANDING OF MARKET MOVEMENT IS VERY CRITICAL BUT YOU DON’T HAVE TO FOLLOW AND TRADE EVERY MOVE).
2) More importantly your Mind set (psychology)
Now if you remember I asked you 2 question in the beginning 1st paragraph. If you focus on the fundamentals of that question, they are based on you and your way thinking (NOT ON YOUR METHOD OF TRADING LIKE I STRESSED EARLIER THERE ARE BILLIONS OF WAY OF MAKING MONEY IN THE MARKET STICK TO SOMETHING U BELIEVE IN ) I myself have been trading for almost 1 year am I a millionaire? No, I am not (and I say it proudly) I too was introduced in a conventional way just like many of you are. But trading (IS NOT A GET RICH QUICK SCHEME) (THIS NEEDS TO BE OUT THERE)
but rather a skill set and unregulated chaotic state of mind that needs correction and discipline of execution which will I guarantee you results which brings me to my final and most important point
YOU ARE THE MOST IMPORTANT PART OF YOUR TRADING JOURNEY Focus on yourself (yes u do need to understand the dynamics of market and its movement but alone with that I’m sorry to say you can’t achieve what u hope to achieve
Let’s do some simple math’s in term of percentage shall we to give you an idea what I’m talking about
Account size USD % return on investment USD ROI Account size X10 USD % return Usd ROI
1000 2 20 10,000 2 200
10000 2 200 100,000 2 2000
100000 2 2000 1,000,000 2 20,000
Don’t exhaust yourself trying to get rich fast as possible that won’t work at least not in the long run focus on getting solid return percentages first weekly, monthly, yearly consistently and get a job to build yourself step by step don’t rush the process and always believe in yourself
give me a like if you agree
USD
EW Analysis: The Connection Between USD and BitcoinHello traders!
Today we will talk about US Dollar and Bitcoin!
We have noticed very interesting patterns and correlation between US Dollar and Bitcoin.
In the first chart we can clearly see bearish setup on US Dollar after that sharp and impulsive decline followed by a three-wave a-b-c expanded flat correction back to ideal 61,8% Fibo. retracement. At the same time, in the sceond chart even EURUSD can be making bullish setup after that strong five-wave rally followed by a three-wave a-b-c decline with a triangle in wave "b" back to ideal 78,6% Fibo. retracement, which indicates a corrective drop!
So, based on USD correlations, seems like USD Index can see some weakness in the upcoming sessions at least towards 97.00 - 96.50 area, while EURUSD may start recovering back to 1.1250 highs or maybe even 1.1300 area!
Well, as you can see in the third chart, when EURUSD turned down into a correction, even BTCUSD made a bigger and in our opinion corrective decline down to 9500 level, ideally for wave C of a big bullish triangle pattern, which can be seen in our previous idea! So, according to correlations with EURUSD, we believe that even BTCUSD can see a bigger recovery soon, ideally back to 61,8% - 78,6% Fibo. retracement and 11200 - 11700 area for wave D!
That being said, while USD Index can be headed lower, watch out for the recovery on EURUSD and BTCUSD in the upcoming week!
Bu humble and trade smart!
Disclosure: Please be informed that information we provide is NOT a trading recommendation or investment advice. All of our work is for educational purposes only.
How much value has the dollar lost since 1971?Against the Swiss Franc which is also a fiat shitcoin, the USD fell 84% from 1971 to 2011 (40 years).
Just by looking at how much it fell compared to Gold from 1975 to 2011, the USD lost 94% of its value. (1/XAUUSD = USDXAU)
The same and worse holds for most fiat shitcoins right now.
As for Bitcoin and USD, Bitcoin came into life when the USD restarted its uptrend after having lost a lot of its value against most other fiat currencies. There isn't a significant correlation we can spot between the two, even though over the last 2 years there seems to be more of a negative correlation.
Even if the US gets stronger against other fiat currencies, most central banks are going to print so much that even if the Dollar gets stronger, Gold and Bitcoin could keep appreciating against the dollar and other fiat currencies.
USDCHF Trading Plan: Decision Zone
USDCHF is currently trading in a wide trading range between two significant structure levels.
The breakout will determine the market future direction.
Our plan is to wait for a candle close above/below the structure level,
then we can take action accordingly.
Target levels:
Resistance - 0.99
Support - 0.96
EURUSD - EDUCATION - 13. JULY. 2019Welcome to DACapitalTrading, We provide any kind of Technical and Fundamental Analysis
for Forex and Crypto-Currency Markets every day!
-
1 HOUR
Sideways consolidating market conditions right now.
4 HOUR
Small bullish pullback to the upside after a bearish rally.
DAILY
Bullish waving market forming several HH / HL Structures.
OVERALL
Expecting market to break previous week highs and taking out shortterm sellers before
heading back down to average price movement at 1.12400!
Be patient and wait for reactions at our levels :)
Good luck
-
Leave us a comment or like to keep our content for free and alive.
Have a great week everyone!
ALAN
EURUSD - EDUCATION - 06. JULY. 2019Welcome to DACapitalTrading, We provide any kind of Technical and Fundamental Analysis
for Forex and Crypto-Currency Markets every day!
-
1 HOUR
Strong dropping market with a lot of pressure.
4 HOUR
80% Pullback of previous wave and low/high - structure,
DAILY
Bullish waving market with a very strong pullback now.
OVERALL
Expecting market to drop even further on monday towards or even below previous lows
taking out several long holders and buyers. Looking forward a 50% Pullback of previous bearish
break and price movement.
Good luck
-
Leave us a comment or like to keep our content for free and alive.
Have a great week everyone!
ALAN
A Yearly Analysis Of Eur/UsdThis is not meant to be a signal or a trade idea! This is a long term analysis of Eur/Usd using a Weekly Time Frame With A Line Chart.
So as you can see, Price broke Support and Came back up recently to Retest WEEKLY SUPPORT NOW TURNED RESISTANCE.....
This gives me the idea that the EXTREME LONG term bias toward Eur/Usd will definately be down into the next major weekly resistance area.
I did draw some trend lines and tried to add all of the touches just to give traders an idea of why I put these lines on the chart.
I know that it may look messy but I think this chart can give us a beginning... in order to form our trade ideas over the next few weeks....
Using the Forecast Tool on tradingview, It would take around 1 Year before price would enter the next support zone.
Enough to go onIt's been a quiet year, not for lack of attention, but either nothing material has changed, or the information hasn't been indicative.
Short term - going down.
Medium term - range bound.
Long term - $13,000 will be the new floor.
$13,000 USD has turned out to be a key level. It's a 1/3 FIb retracement off the ATH, and the current Fib. retracements off of $13K match up very will with other trending supports - $10k, $9k, $7.5K, $6K and $4.5K.
I"m giving even odds that we tickle $7,500 before year end, and likely before September. Don't see us going much below that, except for maybe a brief visit to $6K, and it's unlikely to touch $4,500. So of my BTC purchasing power, I'm putting 10% at 9,5, 20% at 7,5, 50% at $6,5 and leaving 20% uncommitted. I don't think we'll touch a lot of the bottom, but we're going down before we go back up.
USDJPY - EDUCATION - 30. JUNE. 2019Welcome to DACapitalTrading, We provide any kind of Technical and Fundamental Analysis
for Forex and Crypto-Currency Markets every day!
-
1 HOUR
Sideways waving market right now.
4 HOUR
Bearish market found its resistance on his pullback great short entrys for sure.
DAILY
Very bearish market found a small pullback and a resistance holding it now.
OVERALL
In my view we will see a last small push above previous week highs and resistance area,
to take out last short holders before heading down and taking out long holders which try to jump on the train now!
Market structure also offers a very good trade with a lot of confirmations.
Good luck
-
Leave us a comment or like to keep our content for free and alive.
Have a great week everyone!
ALAN
EURUSD - EDUCATION - 22. JUNE. 2019Welcome to DACapitalTrading, We provide any kind of Technical and Fundamental Analysis
for Forex and Crypto-Currency Markets every day!
-
1 HOUR
Strong bullish price action and pressure.
4 HOUR
Amazing bullish wave above previous highs and resistance.
DAILY
Sideways waving market about to find resistance and break back to the downside.
OVERALL
Expecting prices to form new highs on Monday/Tuesday and head back to the downside towards our
average price index and Psychological support zone!
Very nice and simple pattern, looking forward next week and will update you on market open :)
Good luck
-
Leave us a comment or like to keep our content for free and alive.
Have a great week everyone!
ALAN
EURUSD - EDUCATION - 15. JUNE. 2019DACAPITALTRADING V2.0:
Welcome to DACapitalTrading, We provide any kind of Technical and Fundamental Analysis
for Forex and Crypto-Currency Markets every day!
-
1 HOUR
Very bearish price action on friday with a strong negative closure for last week.
4 HOUR
Pullback after forming a med-timeframe Double top with a strong reaction.
DAILY
Bearish waving market turned bullish with a strong reaction and pullback afterwards.
OVERALL
Bullish market with over 50% Pullback of previous week price action + wave formation,
expecting market to drop below previous week lows and rise very strong instantly afterwards.
Very good setup with high probability, we patient to get good entries next week :)
Good luck
Leave us a comment or like to keep our content for free and alive.
Have a great week everyone!
ALAN
DXY (US DOLLAR INDEX) LONG BIASIf Dollar Index Weakens XXX/USD goes up. If Dollar Index Strengthens XXX/USD does down.
Looking at DXY I can see a Reversal Pattern form inside the box with a Pin Bar, Doji and what looks to be a Bearish Engulfing Candle. However, the market is uptrending & this could easily be a retest on 98.00 for a continuation upwards to fulfill the -0.27% extension.
Plan A:
We have got a fair bit of USD news coming out in 5 hours following this week will be NFP and Client Sentiments show that the vast majority of Retail-Traders are Shorting the USD and Longing XXX/USD, So I choose to observe the masses and do the opposite which is have a long Bias on USD...Also I dislike going against the trend of the market;)
Plan B:
I will not be looking to Short the USD unless there is a clear break of the Counter-Trend line.
Targets at -0.27%
Directional movement using EMA- Algorithmic strategy Following Multiple requests from the community to Publish most popular trading strategies along with their backtest results. I have a listed down some popular strategies from the web and we would be posting regarding the methodology and related parameters used. This is not financial advice and we won't suggest you invest in any strategies without doing your own research.
About the strategy:
Wilder Directional Movement strategy using EMA was published by Zerodha expert advisor. In this, we are using 2 indicators
Exponential Moving Average (EMA) - The exponential moving average (EMA) is a weighted moving average (WMA) that gives more weighting, or importance, to recent price data than the simple moving average (SMA) does. The EMA responds more quickly to recent price changes than the SMA. The formula for calculating the EMA just involves using a multiplier and starting with the SMA.
Welles Wilder's directional movement system -The Welles Wilder's Directional Movement System is an indicator that helps you gauge the strength market’s trend irrespective of whether it is an uptrend or a downtrend.
The strategy here involves combining the Directional Movement System (as measured by DI+ and DI-) with 13 and 21 days EMA. The strategy prompts a signal when two conditions satisfy –
1) 13-period exponential moving average (EMA) on closing basis crosses over 21 periods EMA and
2) 14 period of directional indicator positive crosses over 14 periods of directional indicator of negative
Buy :
CROSSOVER(EMA(CLOSE, 13), EMA(CLOSE, 21)) AND CROSSOVER(DIP(14), DIN(14))
Sell :
CROSSOVER(EMA(CLOSE, 21), EMA(CLOSE, 13)) AND CROSSOVER(DIN(14), DIP(14))
Backtesting parameters :
Exchange : Bitmex
Market: BTC
Asset: USD Perpetual contract
Tick Interval: 6h
Backtesting Period: 2nd Jan 2017 to 15th May 2019
Trading Method: Long-Close_short
Leverage: 1x
Backtest results :
Returns: 11.89 %
Market Returns: 784.6 %
Start Value:0.05 BTC
Current Value:0.055942 BTC
Profit Factor: 1.45
Returns vs Market: -772.72
Annualized total return: 4.9 %
Total Trades: 4.9 %
Max Drawdown: -20.16%
Sharpe Ratio: 0.31
You can now play with the parameters in the strategy and optimize the number of trades, returns and buy and sell using the data. Please DM us for the links to backtest.
GBP USD Weekly analysis a lot clearer Picture of direction Recently we posted our Cable analysis
The weekly chart clearly shows a better picture
Fib levels on the channel are correlating and can be useful
though many traders dought using a FIB in this way , it can be helpful as you can see levels here are holding
Use the FIB extension for further targets and pivots
US Bonds : Yield curve has reversed, what to do with that ?Hope this idea will inspire some of you !
Don't forget to hit the like/follow button if you feel like this post deserves it ;)
That's the best way to support me and help pushing this content to other users.
Kindly,
Phil
SOURCE : www.marketwatch.com