Crude Oil WTI
PrimedTraders Daily Watchlist: Lots of assets in playWe didnt release a daily watchlist video in a few days... but we are back!
Today we are on a mission to recover some losses from yesterday and get back to reaching our 6.5% profit target for the week.
We have quite a few trades going on WTI and many forex pairs so watch this short video and understand what we are doing and why.
Resistance On Crude Oil Is Support On USDCADHello traders!
Today we will talk about Crude oil, USDCAD and their negative correlation in the market.
As you may already know Crude oil and USDCAD are in tight negative correlation, not tick by tick, but they are mostly in the same shape, just inverted.
Well, want we to point out is that correlations are very important to get the right approach to the markets. And, if you combine them with EW and some other technical tools, then sometimes can be much easier to recognize the pattern and direction.
Let's dig into the charts.
Crude oil can be forming big triangle and now when it's trading nicely within a corrective channel and right at the upper triangle line and potential resistance, we wonder if it will break up or it will turn down.
But, if we take a look on USDCAD, from EW perspective we can see quite nice bullish formation that can send the price at least towards the upper triangle line.
So, if we consider all the evidences, then the next move should be down for Crude oil and up for USDCAD, at least into the projected minimum target area, if not even further.
Trade smart and wait for confirmations!
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Disclosure: Please be informed that information we provide is NOT a trading recommendation or investment advice. All of our work is for educational purposes only.
OBSERVING CRUDE OIL IN A 1 MINUTE PERSPECTIVE (Visual Only)Someone brought this to my attention in oil chat and decided to have a look myself and you really do get to see so many tradeable scalping opportunities.
Never bothered to look at oil this way before, but this is very insightful to me, thought I ought to share.
If you are a pattern trader, then you really ought to start analyzing market this way in my opinion.
Highlight for this idea goes to @mikkel-j ... Now get pattern spotting guys.
BELOW IS A TEST CHART IN 1 MIN TO FOLLOW AND SEE IF PATTERN PLAYS OUT.
SUPPORT AND RESISTANCE A major mistake traders make is to assume that in order to be profitable you need to use so many tools and it's in fact the opposite.
Let's start off with basic support resistance. We know the market moves up, down and side ways. But it never moves straight up or down. As it moves up or down it will meet levels of support and resistance. It's important you understand where these levels are on which ever pairs you trade.
SUPPORT - you will meet points of support mainly in a downtrend. As pointed out above, you can see there are more points of support than resistance. So remember support will appear below price, below the candlesticks. see it as the floor of the chart.
RESISTANCE - You will meet points of resistance mainly in an uptrend, support is the 'roof' it will appear above price. Price meets head on with resistance levels.
Previous support/resistance turning into future resistance/support - Previous support can turn into future resistance, this is where price will break through this support in a downtrend and the come back and retest this level ( as shown in the chart above) . This previous support is now resistance. This also applies the other way around.
Support and resistance levels are points within the market where price will pivot. There are also levels in the market where price will gain momentum before continuing a move.
You always want to plot these levels on the higher time frames as the levels on the higher time frames will hold more significance. i.e. support on the daily time frame will hold a lot significance than support on the 1hr time frame.
Hit that follow button for more stuff to come..
A Renko Strategy for Trading - Part 8This is intended more as educational material on a strategy for using renko charts. To begin with, I'll be using USOil in the examples but will include other markets as I continue through the series. The material is not intended to prescribe or recommend actual trades as the decision to place trades is the responsibility of each individual who trades as they assume all risks for their own positions and accounts.
www.investopedia.com
Chart setup :
(Part 1)
Double Exponential Moving Average (DEMA) 12 black line
Double Exponential Moving Average (DEMA) 20 red line
Parabolic SAR (PSAR) 0.09/0.09/.23 blue circles
Simple Moving Average (SA) 20 blue line
(Part 2)
Stochastics 5, 3, 3 with boundaries 80/20 dark blue/light blue
Stochastics 50, 3, 3 with boundaries 55/45 red
Overlay these two on one indicator. Refer to 'Part 2' as to how to do this
(Part 3)
True Strength Indicator (TSI) 14/4/4 dark blue/ red
Directional Movement Indicator DMI 14/14 ADX-dark green, +DI-dark blue, -DI-red
Renko Chart Settings
Crude Oil (TVC:USOil): renko/traditional/blksize .05/.10/.25
Natural Gas (ngas): renko/traditional/blksize .005/.010/.025
Soybeans/Wheat/Corn (soybnusd/wheatusd/cornusd): can use the ngas setup
S&P 500 (spx500usd): renko/traditional/blksize 2.5/5.0/12.5
Euros (EURUSD): renko/traditional/blksize .0005/.0010/.0025
A Renko Strategy for Trading - Part 7 Refactor/RefinementThis is intended more as educational material on a strategy for using renko charts. To begin with, I'll be using USOil in the examples but will include other markets as I continue through the series. The material is not intended to prescribe or recommend actual trades as the decision to place trades is the responsibility of each individual who trades as they assume all risks for their own positions and accounts.
(Part 1)
Double Exponential Moving Average (DEMA) 12 black line
Double Exponential Moving Average (DEMA) 20 red line
Parabolic SAR (PSAR) 0.09/0.09/.23 blue circles
Simple Moving Average (SA) 20 blue line
(Part 2)
Stochastics 5, 3, 3 with boundaries 80/20 dark blue/light blue
Stochastics 50, 3, 3 with boundaries 55/45 red
Overlay these two on one indicator. Refer to 'Part 2' as to how to do this
(Part 3)
True Strength Indicator (TSI) 14/4/4 dark blue/ red
Directional Movement Indicator DMI 14/14 ADX-dark green, +DI-dark blue, -DI-red
A Renko Strategy for Trading - Part 5This is intended more as educational material on a strategy for using renko charts. To begin with, I'll be using USOil in the examples but will include other markets as I continue through the series. The material is not intended to prescribe or recommend actual trades as the decision to place trades is the responsibility of each individual who trades as they assume all risks for their own positions and accounts.
Chart setup:
(Part 1)
Double Exponential Moving Average (DEMA) 12 black line
Double Exponential Moving Average (DEMA) 20 red line
Parabolic SAR (PSAR) 0.09/0.09/.23 blue circles
Simple Moving Average (SA) 20 blue line
(Part 2)
Stochastics 5, 3, 3 with boundaries 80/20 dark blue/light blue
Stochastics 50, 3, 3 with boundaries 55/45 red
Overlay these two on one indicator. Refer to 'Part 2' as to how to do this
(Part 3)
True Strength Indicator (TSI) 14/4/4 dark blue/ red
Directional Movement Indicator DMI 14/14 ADX-dark green, +DI-dark blue, -DI-red
A Renko Strategy for Trading - Part 1This is intended more as educational material on a strategy for using renko charts. To begin with, I'll be using USOil in the examples but will include other markets as I continue through the series. The material is not intended to prescribe or recommend actual trades as the decision to place trades is the responsibility of each individual who trades as they assume all risks for their own positions and accounts.
US Oil: A big challengeUS Oil presents some serious challenges for those looking to short this market.
This analysis is time frame dependent. Which way you might want to go depends entirely on trends in respective time frames.
DAILY PICTURE
1. On the daily time frame this is very much a bull market. We can see that in the ATR (amber trendline) and the green Guppy investor zone.
2. On the daily price has made a temporary retreat to near ATR support, in a parabolic limb of the curve.
3. If anything this is usually a place to go long (on this time frame).
4H - FOUR HOURLY PICTURE
1. There is an early trend switch for the south.
2. This is seen on the ATR and SQM (Squeeze momentum).
3. But it isn't as yet a Grade A or Grade B switch.
DECISION-MAKING (Speculative issues)
1. Finding appropriate entry point on a chosen time frame.
2. For a limited hit going long (north) on the 4H, taking a reasonable stop loss and taking only about a 26 or 38.2 Fib retracement of the most recent daily candle.
3. For a limited hit going short (south) on the 4H, a larger stop-loss is required.
4. Possibly going long on the daily and hold out.
As usual before starting any trade on any time frame common things need to be decided:
1. Time frame one will stick to (1D, 4H or something else).
2. Entry position.
3. Stop-loss.
4. Exit position.
Stop-losses on 4H and less need to cater for short spikes in price. So simply saying 2.5 times ATR may not be enough.
Based on experience only of US Oil, I can expect a recoil up on the 4H but of course, I can't predict how much. As mentioned above I can expect at least a 26% Fib on the length of the last daily candle. Expectation is not prediction.
Declaration : This post is for educational purposes only. Nothing here is intended as advice. Your losses are your own should you still construe this as advice, act on it, and lose money.
OIL TARGET REGIONS MAPPED OUTOil on the 1day view and possible targets outlined, trade within and/or watch out for a future break in trend.
If oil does stay within channel then expect a drop from around 60.90 - 61.30
If market breaks up then next big target region 67.60 - 68.00
Warning; trading comes with risks, trade safely and within reason. All charts to be used for guideline purposes only.
Pattern Analysis; incorporating timeframes (USOIL)Understanding trends within a pattern gives analysts the ability to better understand sentiment and directional pressure.
In this example, pattern extremities were highlighted. Then, on a lower timeframe, trends within said pattern drawn.
Overlaying timeframes is a necessary part of a complete analysis, and a complete commodity analysis can help piece together economic factors affecting commodity-sensitive currencies such as CAD and AUD.
Ben Wright's 3 Essential Trading Routines!! MUST SEE!!SELF DEVELOPMENT/METHODOLOGY/PSYCHOLOGY
Below are 3 essential trading routines that i follow on a daily basis. This has been a critical component to my success.
Morning Routine
1. Meditation (10 Mins)
2. Gratitude
3. Trading Affirmations (2 Mins)
• I am a successful trader
• I have a very strict risk management plan
• I use a trading journal
• I am unemotional about profits or losses
• I am patient and let high probability trades present themselves to me
• I am happy to take a profit and will not be greedy
• I have an edge and I trade it effectively and decisively
• Losses are a part of my trading
• I am relaxed and confident about my trading at all times
• I do whatever is necessary to win at trading
• Discipline means I follow my trading rules and manage my risk
• I am highly focused
• I am in total control at all times with my trading
• I am a master trader
• I am not stressed about relying on trading money to provide for the family
4. Visualization (Goals & Perfect Trading Day) (10 Mins)
5. Priming – (30 – 60 Sec cold shower)
Shocks your body system and activates endorphins
6. Motivation & Stretching (10 Mins)
Pre-Trading Routine
1. 3 Deep breaths
2. Gratitude
Night Routine
1. Read (30 Mins)
2. Affirmations (2 Mins)
3. Gratitude
4. Visualization (Goals & Perfect Trading Day) (10 Mins)
Happy trading :)
Follow your Trading plan, remained disciplined and keep learning !!