Creating your own Trading Strategy!!SELF DEVELOPMENT/METHODOLOGY/PSYCHOLOGY
Creating your own Trading Strategy!!
Below is a quick run down of things to think about when creating your own trading strategy
1. How much time during the day do you have to devote to trading?
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2. How much money do you need to live on each year and how much of that must come out of trading profits?
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3. How many distractions can you expect during the day/night?
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4. Specify the markets and times of the day you will trade?
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5. Do I want to trade multiple systems?
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6. Will you short sell? Or go long?
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7.Where will you place your Entry/Stop Loss and Target Line?
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Follow your Trading plan, Remain disciplined and keep learning !!
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This information is not a recommendation to buy or sell. It is to be used for educational purposes only!
Crude Oil WTI
Elements of a Successful Trading Plan 102SELF DEVELOPMENT/METHODOLOGY/PSYCHOLOGY
Elements of a Successful Trading Plan 102
2. Risk Level
Managing a risk in trading is essential if a person wishes to make profitable investments. As a
trader, one cannot control the market but he/ she do have the capacity to change what can be
done as circumstances require. They need to adapt the changes as the market conditions evolve.
A person does not take a position and hopes the market acts in your favour. Managing trading
risk will be a key factor in an individual’s long term success as a trader. As the market, structure
changes, the risk profile of trade will also change.
Risk will vary at different points of a trade and needs to be managed in a manner, which is
consistent with the individual style of each trader. This will be dependent on each trader’s
personality and time frame. Assessing market conditions can be categorised into core areas
where one need to consider the risk profile in his/ her trade. This risk needs to be assessed also in
line with your trading objectives. Active traders will tend to add and take off risk for each new
swing in the market, whilst passive investors will ride minor retracements looking to achieve
larger reward targets. Following are some areas where risk can be managed throughout a trade as
well as what to look out for at these points that indicate that the risk is increasing;
• At Entry: Stop loss risk.
• Distance from Moving Average: Price exhaustion risk.
• “M” Pattern: Price retest failure risk.
• Candlestick Tails and Shadows: Price rejection risk.
• Period Close: Price rejection risk.
• Reducing Range: Trend momentum risk.
• Support or Resistance: Price level failure risk.
It is necessary that how an individual plan to address the risk management needs to be included
as a critical part of the trading plan in order to protect the invested capital and preserve the
profits. One need to have strategies in place for how he will deal with the different areas
throughout a trade and how he will know when risk is increasing to a point where action needs to
be taken either to protect profits or capital.
Follow your trading plan, Remain disciplined and keep learning :)
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A 3 Day Trend IndicatorA 3 day chart is very useful in terms of being able to see a major trend reversal. It eliminates the noise of daily or lower timeframe charts and shows the change in trend faster than the higher timeframes such as the weekly and monthly. Keep track of the candles and look for a higher high and higher low candle for the first signal. The USOIL chart above shows a sequence of 3 day candles that have lower lows and lower highs for the past 8 or more candles, clearly showing that the major trend is down. Short risk on oil is out of the question as long as there's no higher high and higher low 3 day candle. As soon as there's one, at least a minor change in trend can be anticipated and traders are likely to switch to short risk.
RV Simplifed - Krümel’s VoodooRV Simplified:
I get this question all the time, and even though the concept is simple, many people have a hard time getting their heads around it.
Here is snapshot of above at time of publish. Sept 19, 2018, 7:30am ET.
As the above LIVE chart will not last more than a day.. accurately.
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Q- When DXY falls, WTI follows right?
A- No.. they fall and rise at different rates, on some Timeframes they will be inverted (say 10min) while on 4hr they will both trend in same direction.
I look at the value of oil in Dollar , as well as other currencies. But oil is priced in dollars.. so it will always gravitate to that level. This is based on the amount of volumes being traded in other currencies. (I believe) .
Q- So having a weaker pound, yen and eur will equate to oil price going up as we get more dollars? right?
A- Sure.. and vice verse..
Let’s say nobody trades oil for 1 hr. But during that time the Doller dropped by 10%! Those wanting to buy oil from you in EUR, would need to pay 10% more to keep you even, or you would need to sell at 10% loss. BUT -If I’m buying from you and in dollar. Price doesn’t change as we are both using dollars. - Extreme example.
So the price of oil is based on what buyer is willing to pay.. if those in U.K. (above example) are willing to pay the 10%, but most of the buyers are in US. The price will only go up buy the amount of volume those U.K. buyers represent.
Now do that for EUR, YEN, GBP, and Doller.. that’s RV!
Lastly - I treat SPX like a currency (normalized to dollar) SPX is a great scale on daily movement. Not always coupled but use 2 day range to set scale. I think this has to do with the ETFs and truly they are the volume in PaperOil.
BANKNIFTY , US30, NIFTY VSTOP strategy I have created the strategy and traders can use it for their benefit. Have explained how to use it.
Traders adjust settings for your instruments. Trend is our friend this is the policy we are trying to achieve with this.
This is my first video idea, i will try to do it more and more if time allows me to do so. Please Give your feedback on the strategy and video.
Wedge Pattern on OIL Suggests A ReversalCrude OIL has been in an uptrend since June of 2017, a five-wave cycle that can come to an end. Specifically, we see energy trading within an uptrend channel, currently in the fifth wave that is testing the upper parallel resistance line where the fifth wave can look for a top.
In fact, we see a wedge pattern forming up in the last month or so, which is normally evidence of a bulls slow-down.
This is also confirmed by divergence on the RSI that is very common when comparing highs of wave three and five.
That being said, rather than looking and building any new bullish set-ups in this phase of a trend, we suggest being aware of a potential retracement of a higher degree.
Resistance area is around $73.00
Disclosure: Please be informed that information we provide is NOT a trading recommendation or investment advice. All of our work is for educational purposes only.
Crude oil Can See and Reach 61$ per Barrel and Above Crude oil has completed a complex correction labeled as wave II or B at the 42.03 level from where we started to track a new bullish impulse. An impulse is a five wave pattern, so there is room for much more gains on energy market since we see current leg up as blue wave 3 of an impulse. Wave 3) has in general five clear waves, which means oil price can still climb up to 60/61.9$ per barrel.
Disclosure: Please be informed that information we provide is NOT a trading recommendation or investment advice. All our work is for educational purposes only.
Oil "Energy Model"This is a pretty simple model based on a Gann Square and concentric circles and squares. Price over time tends to move up or down 2 circles, or energy levels, before moving in the opposite direction.
Since price made a low near the point marked 0, we should expect that the oil price will generally move higher until the circle marked 2.
The parabola drawn was inspired from several sources, including Martin Armstrong. Price moved down fairly strongly once the peak of the parabola was passed.
It is possible that price may meet resistance at the green 2x1 line. In addition, price often moves in the opposite direction when crossing a square, so it is possible that price could retrace somewhat with the red 39 degree angle line below it acting as potential support.
Depending on how strong and steep the upward climb of price is, oil could move generally higher into 2017 and as late as 2018.