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Trend Analysis

Strategy - Bobo PAPATRHi I've revamped this bot mentioned in the linked idea to make it work with v4 of pine. In doing so there are some very significant changes to how it works. The main one is that it no longer uses traditional daily pivot calculations to calculate the bands. It creates a more dynamic intraday set of pivot points based on recent price action rather than yesterday's ohlc. As published, the bot is tuned for a 15 min time frame. But it actually works well on lower time frames you just need to adjust the lookback periods in settings a bit to re tune it. It's also tuned to ES really but will need tweaking for a different instrument at the very least. The basic concept is recent price action is used to calculate a 'middle' around which red and green bands are located. Their position or width is largely determined by recent volatility. The middle line is again calculated from recent price action. The three lines from that form a tradeable range with green at the top and red at the bottom. The strategy is simple enough, it shorts as it sinks from outside red, and longs when rising above green. The basic principle being that once you enter that range you have a high probability of hitting the middle before you hit your stop loss. So the basic principle is you are trying to capture the inherent ranginess of liquid indices like S&P 500. That back and forth movement that happens. The bot is capturing this by fading extremes of a recent range but the problem with that is you'dd get murdered in a strong trend. To mitigate that there is a trend calculation running in the background the will prevent trading against firm trends mostly. So the bot should trade mostly in rangy conditions because that is what it is trying to do. Bot will close issue close signals automatically upon crossing the middle, it also will close automatically at predefined stops or limits. These values are denominated in market mintick values. For example the CFD SPX500 has a mintick of 0.1. Therefore a stop value of 100 will equate to 10 points on the index. If trading the same market via ES1! the mintick value is different - 0.25. So in this case a value of 40 is required to set the stop at 10 points. Anyway shout if you have questions. Hope it's useful. TVC:SPX OANDA:SPX500USD
Pine Script™ strategy
by BobVanders
1
Strategy - Bobo Intraday Swing Bot with filtersThis is an adapted version of my swing bot with additional filters that mean it works quite well on lower timeframes like 1min, 5 mins as long as you adjust the setting accordingly (reduce pivot timescale, band width) Entry conditions are filtered by an invisible trend calculation running in the background so the bot doesn't repeatedly try and fail to fade a strong trend. It has just about everything you should need for basic use, stop losses and targets, automatically close trade at pivot. I get good results on rangey instruments like major indices such as SPX / ES that kind of thing. Make sure you understand the minmum tick value of an index so the stop setting on the bot work properly Hope it's useful!
Pine Script™ strategy
by BobVanders
11
Wilder’s Moving Average StrategyThe Wilder’s Moving Average indicator (Wilder’s Smoothed Moving Average ) was developed by Welles Wilder and introduced in his 1978 book, “New Concepts in Technical Trading Systems.” Mr. Wilder did not use the standard EMA formula; instead, the following formula is used: EMA = Input * K + EMA * (1-K), where K = 2 / (N+1). Then to find the Wilder’s Moving Average, the following calculation is performed: Input * K + EMA * (1-K), where K =1/N. Type to use Moving averages are commonly used to identify trends and reversals as well as identifying support and resistance levels. Moving averages such the WMA and EMA , which are more sensitive to recent prices (experience less lag with price) will turn before an SMA . They are therefore more suitable for dynamic trades, which are reactive to short term price movements. Moving averages such as the SMA move more slowly providing valuable information on the long dominant trend. They can however be prone to giving late signals causing the trader to miss significant parts of the price movement.
Pine Script™ strategy
by dongyun
3
Gap Filling Strategy Gaps are market prices structures that appear frequently in the stock market, and can be detected when the opening price is different from the previous closing price, this is why gaps are also called "opening price jumps". While gaps can occur frequently, some of them are more significant than others, and can be observed when looking at a long term chart. The following strategy is based on the exploitation of significant gaps occurring during a new session, and posses various options that can return a wide variety of results. Type Of Gaps And Occurence I'am not a professional when it comes to gaps, but as you know the stock market close for the day, however it is still possible to place orders, your broker will hold them until the market open back. Once the market reopen the broker execute the pending orders, and when many orders where pending the market register really high volume and the price might differ from the precedent close. Gaps are generally broken down into four types: Common : Gaps occurring within a certain price range, mostly occurs during ranging markets. Break Away : Gaps breaking a support and resistance, making a new higher high/lower low. Runaway : Gaps occurring within a trend, followed by a continuation of the trend. Exhaustion : Gaps occurring at the end of a trend, followed by a reversal. As said before, some gaps are more significant than others, the significance of a gap can be determined by comparing the opening price with the previous high/low price and by looking at volume. Significant up gaps will have an opening price greater than the previous high, while significant down gap will have an opening price lower than the previous low with both high volume accompanying them. After a gap, when the price go back to the point previous to the gap we say that it has been "filled", this characteristic is what will be exploited in this strategy. Strategy Rules & Logic In this strategy, the significance of a gap is determined by the position of the opening price relative to the previous high/low and make sure the bar following the gap don't fill it. When the setting invert is set to false the strategy interpret the detected gaps as being exhaustion gaps, therefore when an up gap occur a short position is opened, when a down gap occur a long position is opened. When invert is set to true gaps are considered to be runaway or break away gaps, therefore the contrary positions are opened. Positions are exited when the gap has been filled, which in the chart is show'n when the price cross the red level who act as either a take profit (invert = false) or as a stop loss (invert = true). There are various closing conditions available that the user can select from the "close when" setting. New Session : This option close all previous positions when the market is in a new session. New Gap : This option close all previous position when a new gap has been detected. Reverse Position : This option close all previous position when a contrary position to the current one is opened. This option would reduce the number of trades. Testing On Some Stocks The analysis will be tested in different tech stocks with a main TF of 15 minutes with no spread and commissions applied. Default settings will be used. We'll be making our first analysis using AMD, who has recently formed a full reverse HS pattern, where the neckline has been crossed by the price. (by the way i have a bad feeling about it, hey ! feeling filling ! Lame jokes!) Profit: $ -12.22 Trades: 272 Profitability: 65.07 % We can see negative results, with an heavily decreasing balance. Using invert would return positive results. We will now test the strategy on NVDA, the company is one of the biggest when it comes to the Gpu market. Profit: $ -215.54 Trades: 297 Profitability: 60.27 % Not better, using invert would of course create better results. Like AMD the balance is heavily decreasing. Finally we will test the strategy on Seagate technology, a company mostly known for their mechanical hard drives. Profit: $ -4.32 Trades: 261 Profitability: 65.9 % Here the balance does not appear so heavily decreasing and even managed to reach back the initial balance before going down again. Summary A strategy based on gap filling has been briefly introduced and tested with 3 tech stocks. The results show that using invert option might be better. The advantage of this strategy against ones using technical indicators is that this one does not heavily depend on user settings, which make it way more efficient, this a big advantage of patterns based strategies. Thx to LucF for helping with the "process_orders_on_close" element, since i had to use closing price i had to remove it tho, was afraid results would differ even more from a more realistic backtest. And thx for those who continuously support me, more cool stuff is coming up. Thx for reading and i hope you'll have learned something new today !
Editors' picks
Pine Script™ strategy
by alexgrover
12
Percent Trailing Stop %=========== Percent Trailing Stop % =========== Another Stop Loss Indicator today - our last Fixed SL/TP script went down quite well, this one is for adding a Percent Trailing Stop from Entry Price to your own strategy. You can ignore the actual entry/exit orders - they're based on a simple MA cross and are therefore NOT relevant, NOT profitable and NOT recommended! You should be using this code as a way of adding a % Trailing Stop to your own scripts - hope it helps! You should also notice that a generally considered losing strategy (a simple MA cross) could actually become profitable with careful money management - try combining this Trailing Stop script with our Fixed Stop/Take Profit script for really accurate management of your capital. ----------- Good Luck and Happy Trading!
Pine Script™ strategy
by theCrypster
7
Fixed Percent Stop Loss & Take Profit %=========== Fixed Percent Stop Loss & Take Profit % =========== A neat example of how to set up Fixed Stops and Take Profit as a percent of the entry price. Yup, that's about it! You can ignore the actual entry/exit orders - they're based on a simple MA cross and are therefore NOT relevant, NOT really profitable and NOT recommended! You should be using this code as a way of adding Stops and Takes to your own scripts - hope it helps! ----------- Good Luck and Happy Trading!
Pine Script™ strategy
by theCrypster
31
MAs & RSI strategy long onlyThis system originates from many articles by Enrico Malverti, Trading System, 2015. Many trading systems are more stable if you use simple and not so innovative indicators, like exponential moving averages and Relative Strengthe index. Differently by the original article: - there is no ATR Filter, but we have introduced a Schaff Indicator. If you have multiple shares/commodities to choose, prefer what has a better value of Schaff; - there is no fixed stop loss but a second moving average (fast), used as target. There are also Simple Mov Averages on lows (trailing stop loss for long) and a SMA on highs (trailing stop loss for short position). Be careful, in the system only long case, because being short is not the reverse of being long (as stated in my blog) SMA on highs are therefore only graphically put. In this version, I’ve changed the “religious” use of EMAs (“sponsored by” Alexander Elder) to “ordinary” MAs: this because since simple moving averages measure all the factor in addition egual each one, this involve a sort of “offset” in the graph, while EMAs give a major “importance” to the last value (last close itself, you’re already considering): therefore this calculation may be counterproductive. HOW TO OPERATE BUY when prices crosses over SMAon long period (we suggest, however, sma long = Sma fast period = no. 11 for italian and european shares) SELL when prices go under SMA on lows (7 period), or under on SMA fast! RSI crosses under level 70 or is higher than 75 (or 80, but in code there is 75)
Pine Script™ strategy
by saucius
1
Moving average system which waits for a better entryWait for a better entry： A simple way to improve the relevant conditions is to wait for a better price than the system signal. One obvious problem is that when prices give a new signal and move on, you don't have a chance to enter the market at a better price. Statistically, a lot of small improvements may offset the chance that the deal was completely missed. In order to avoid missing the worst case of maximum profit, if there is no trading opportunity within 5 days, we can enter into the market at the closing and if there is no opportunity, the deal will end on day 5.
Pine Script™ strategy
by dongyun
Moving Average profit targets with var sizeProfit target: Profit targets are those scenarios where the system expects to be greater than the actual return at the end of the transaction: they may be short-term benefits, such as a favorable price shock model. In short-term transactions, profit objectives are essential. Price fluctuations make any favorable event likely to turn around in an instant. Moreover, profit objectives are more difficult to integrate into the longer-term trading system, because they are afraid of losing larger profits at risk, so they will replace them with smaller but more frequent gains. As a follower of the trend, once you make a profit and stop earning, but the trend direction is still intact, you need to find a way to re-enter the transaction to avoid losing the rare but very large market situation. Profit target is best calculated based on price volatility (V), and the most commonly used method: For Long, the system buy point (E), needs to be multiplied by the average true volatility or annualized volatility :E+f×V. The net value multiplier f used to calculate the profit level is usually obtained through data mining.
Pine Script™ strategy
by dongyun
MAMA (Ehlers) MESA Adaptive Moving AverageMAMA ( Ehlers ) MESA Adaptive Moving Average: What it is and how it works MESA Phasor is the most advanced futures trading program on the market! MESA Phasor derives its name from the sinewave generator you probably recall from your high school trigonometry class. As you can see in the diagram, the rotating phasor generates a sine wave in the time domain, visualized as a shadow from the arrow tip of the phasor on the vertical axis. A cycle is completed on each full rotation of the phasor. The angle of the phasor increases at a constant rate, and is reset to zero when 360 degrees of rotation have been achieved. The idea of the trading system is to buy low at the valley of the sine wave , when phasor passes the lower angle, and to sell short at the crest of the sine wave , when the phasor passes the upper angle. Now the trade entries and exits are defined in terms of angles, which are in the frequency domain. Therefore, trading decisions are removed from waveform vagaries in the time domain. This means that the trading decisions are robust across various futures contracts and across all kinds of market conditions.
Pine Script™ strategy
by dongyun
1
Underworld Hunter Backtesting AlgorhitmThis strategy is built to prove the profitability of my Underworld Hunter indicator . It tests two different strategies. I won't be going into the calculation again since it is part of the original script. I just made a few adjustments. First one is clearly visual. It plots slimmer twin-coloured lines now and has a different colour for every extreme level. Second is less obvious - I switched Relative Strength Index for Commodity Channel Index. Extreme levels are as follows: green 100 -► 120, yellow 120 -► 140, orange 140 -► 160, red 160 -► 180 and purple above 180, I will have a special separate algorithm for testing optimal CCI levels someday, in this script, these values are only meant to help you with manual operations and do not influence results of the strategy in any way. #Trending strategy The trending strategy opens a position whenever the price leaves the bands and holds it until two consecutive bars are closed within the bands. The picture shows one winning position that hasn't yet been resulted. It also shows a few fakeouts. For this strategy, you want to keep the length below 110, the deviation should be below 2 and you probably want to play lower timeframes. #Within the bands The second strategy is pretty much the opposite. It opens a position when the price reaches outer bands and holds it until two consecutive bars are closed within the bands and current bar closes below previous bars low in case of long. It is working on hourly timeframes and you need higher length and deviation to succeed. The picture shows a few positions on EURUSD. Each of them is profitable but would be much higher if you closed it manually when it was time. You need to enable this strategy, which automatically disables the other one. When using my script, you need to bear in mind that the first strategy doesn't detect optimal levels to close the price. A trend is often followed by a less volatile and boring correction which causes bands to shrink and lower your profits if you don't close manually as it will take longer till bands are reached. On the other hand, second script literally has no stop-loss. As long as the price is outside the range, it will never close which will cause major drawdowns, unless you control the trade manually. CCI is here to help you with both. I also recommend combining this with Market Profile (on TW, there is only Volume Profile, which can be used in a similar way) and trading day theory (trending with multiple distributions, trending day, normal day, a variation on a normal day, non-trending day or neutral day). Always keep in mind that it is up to traders to be profitable, indicators can support a good trader, but they will not fix a bad one.
Pine Script™ strategy
by OrcChieftain
1
Combo Backtest 123 Reversal & Dynamic Pivot Point This is combo strategies for get a cumulative signal. First strategy This System was created from the Book "How I Tripled My Money In The Futures Market" by Ulf Jensen, Page 183. This is reverse type of strategies. The strategy buys at market, if close price is higher than the previous close during 2 days and the meaning of 9-days Stochastic Slow Oscillator is lower than 50. The strategy sells at market, if close price is lower than the previous close price during 2 days and the meaning of 9-days Stochastic Fast Oscillator is higher than 50. Second strategy This Pivot points is calculated on the current day. Pivot points simply took the high, low, and closing price from the previous period and divided by 3 to find the pivot. From this pivot, traders would then base their calculations for three support, and three resistance levels. The calculation for the most basic flavor of pivot points, known as ‘floor-trader pivots’, along with their support and resistance levels. WARNING: - For purpose educate only - This script to change bars colors.
Pine Script™ strategy
by HPotter
5
DEMA Strategy with MACDThe Double Exponential Moving Average (DEMA) indicator was introduced in January 1994 by Patrick G. Mulloy, in an article in the "Technical Analysis of Stocks & Commodities" magazine: "Smoothing Data with Faster Moving Averages" It attempts to remove the inherent lag associated to Moving Averages by placing more weight on recent values. The name suggests this is achieved by applying a double exponential smoothing which is not the case. The name double comes from the fact that the value of an EMA (Exponential Moving Average) is doubled. To keep it in line with the actual data and to remove the lag the value "EMA of EMA" is subtracted from the previously doubled ema. DEMA is a very responsive system. A lot of signals can be generated only when trading with DEMA. In this strategy, I combined Dema buy-sell signals with MACD indicator. When you activate MACD confirmation from settings; When DEMA comes to long situation, the MACD histogram is checked to be positive.
Pine Script™ strategy
by melihtuna
7