TradingView Auto Chart Patterns - AMZN LULU GOOGL META NVDA I've been playing around with the auto chart patterns for a few weeks now and so far it's been pretty accurate. I think it's great to have an automated tool to help identify a lot of the common patterns I look for so I wanted to share. It also gives extra confirmation to my current bias. We'll see how these patterns end up playing out.
Community ideas
September Effect - Up/Down/Sideways - How I'm Trading ItSummer trading is officially done and the market will be news sensitive leading up to the big bad FOMC Rate Decision on September 18.
August's monthly candle is a wild one with a massive wick to the south and the bulls pushed the SPY within a whisker of all-time highs, Dow to several all-time highs, Nasdaq into a nice bullish recovery posture, and Russell the same (higher lows).
6 Central Bank Rate Decisions in September
US News on Employment and Inflation all rolling out before the FOMC
I'd like to see a seasonal dip or pullback to offer more accumulation opportunities before a run higher. Let's see how it plays out.
Ethereum - Buy It Now Or Never!Ethereum ( BITSTAMP:ETHUSD ) will offer a final retest:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Ethereum is about to retest a perfect confluence of support from which a bullish reversal is almost certain. Following the overall bullish trend, Ethereum should retest the previous all time high next and then maybe even follow Bitcoin and create new all time highs going into 2025.
Levels to watch: $2.000
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
This Simple Strategy Could Make You a Fortune in the Gold Marketprice action of Gold Spot (XAU/USD) in relation to the trendlines and patterns indicated.
Chart Analysis
1. Weekly Flag Trendline:
- The first chart shows a trendline forming a "flag" pattern on a higher time frame (possibly weekly or daily). This flag appears to be a bullish continuation pattern, indicating that after the consolidation within the flag, the price might continue in the direction of the prior trend, which seems to be up.
2. Price Action Inside the Flag:
- Within the flag, there is a period of consolidation marked by the parallel trendlines. The price has been respecting these lines, creating higher lows and lower highs, indicating indecision or preparation for a breakout.
3. Potential Breakout Zones:
- Key breakout zones are marked by the upper resistance of the flag pattern around the 2,530 level and the lower support trendline of the flag around the 2,470 level. A breakout above the upper resistance could signal a continuation of the prior uptrend, while a break below the lower support could indicate a reversal or deeper pullback.
4. Smaller Patterns:
- On the second chart (1-hour time frame), there's a more detailed view of recent price action with a potential bearish flag or pennant forming, suggesting a temporary pullback or consolidation within the larger flag. This smaller pattern appears to be within a trading range bounded by the horizontal support and resistance levels.
5. Key Support and Resistance Levels:
- The charts show horizontal support around the 2,433.301 level, which aligns with a historical low that could serve as a significant support level. Similarly, the resistance level is around 2,530, where the price has repeatedly failed to break above.
6. Current Market Context:
- The price is currently hovering around 2,497, near the middle of the trading range, suggesting indecision. This midpoint could be a neutral zone where the price could move in either direction based on upcoming market momentum or news.
Trading Strategy and Considerations
- Entry Points:
- If considering a bullish scenario, a long entry could be planned near the lower support line of the flag, around 2,470, with a stop loss slightly below the flag's support to manage risk. A breakout above the 2,530 resistance could also provide a good entry point for a continuation of the uptrend.
- For a bearish scenario, a short entry could be considered if the price breaks below the 2,470 support level, confirming a breakdown from the flag pattern.
- Risk Management:
- The proximity of the price to both upper and lower boundaries of the flag pattern provides clear levels for stop placement. This helps in managing risk effectively, keeping losses contained if the trade goes against the initial bias.
- Monitoring Price Action:
- Watch for potential breakouts from the smaller patterns within the flag, as these could provide early signals of the larger move's direction. It would also be essential to keep an eye on volume changes, as increased volume could confirm the validity of a breakout or breakdown.
By aligning your trades with these patterns and key levels, you can take advantage of the potential setups provided by the price action within these consolidating formations. Ensure to adapt to new market conditions and stay disciplined in executing your trading plan.
The TradingView Show: Volatility Spikes with TradeStationWelcome to our latest live TradingView show with TradeStation! Kick back and watch this show to learn about the key things that are moving markets and shaping the conversation as the summer trading season comes to an end. What will you learn in this show?
Recent Price Action: We’ll analyze the market movements since the "carry trade crash" and see how this has affected various asset classes.
Interest Rates: We'll explore the latest developments in interest rates and their implications for trading strategies.
Dollar Index: Understand the current trends in the Dollar Index and how it influences currency movements.
Currencies: We’ll break down recent changes in currency pairs and what they mean for traders.
Then, we dive into a masterclass about Catalysts for Stock Movements, in which you'll learn about the key factors driving stock price changes. We’ll discuss 7 important catalysts to watch for, including:
1. Growth: Look at NVIDIA’s recent performance in AI chip sales.
2. Profit Margins: Examine how companies like META are improving their profitability.
3. Strategic Actions: Consider new leadership and strategic moves, such as Starbucks' new CEO.
4. Business Transformation: Explore how companies like Netflix and Microsoft are evolving their business models.
5-7. Other Key Factors: See how Apple's shift to services fits into the broader market picture.
Here are some examples of these catalysts:
Growth - Monitor trends like NVIDIA's AI chip sales.
Profit Margins - Track profitability improvements, such as with META.
Strategic Actions - Look out for major corporate strategies, like Starbucks' new CEO.
Business Transformation - Note significant shifts, such as Netflix’s new ad feature or Microsoft’s cloud computing focus.
Additional Catalysts - Keep an eye on other important factors like Apple’s expansion into services.
Don’t forget to jot down this checklist and join us each month for the TradingView Show, where we spotlight community members and cover educational content across equities, AI, crypto, gold, forex, and more.
Compliance and disclaimers:
Important information: tradestation.com/important-information/
Disclosure options: theocc.com/Company-Information/Documents-and-Archives/Options-Disclosure-Document
ETF prospectus page: tradestation.com/insights/etf-disclosures/
Risk-off & The Yen Carry Trade Explained Hi guys,
I'm trying something new here.
In this video I explain what risk-off is and what causes it. I break down the recent yen carry trade and what went on there.
It's good to study these events so that next time you have the knowledge in the bank. That way you can plan and make better decisions.
Let me know if you like this sort of thing and I can do more.
Cheers,
Sam
USDJPY - Trading The Ascending Triangle BreakoutAfter a nearly 2,000 pip plunge, USDJPY has found support & has started to reverse.
We ended the week not only violating an important level of previous structure resistance, but we also had a breakout & are currently retesting an ascending triangle.
This sets us up for a potential bullish (short-term) continuation opportunity & in this video I'll show you where I'm looking for price to potentially go to next.
Questions, Comments, or Views on this pair, please leave them below as I love to talk trading.
Hope you guys have a great weekend & keep you eyes out for more videos from me on this space.
Akil
Crypto and Bitcoin Market Update - Price Forecasts and MoreIn this video, I cover where I think the markets go next, including Bitcoin, ETH and Solana.
And how the NASDAQ:IBIT has become similar to the !CME in terms of how price tends to fill any gaps.
Nobody else is talking about this, but see for yourself and start tracking the IBIT gaps on a 4 Hour chart -- You'll be amazed.
I also share potential paths, likely a dip first, then push higher toward ATH.
And a new study I've been refining based on liquidity and timing cycles, showing we're very close to a major move upward in Bitcoin and the rest of the market.
Howerver, I feel the biggest bang for your $ will be BTC, SOL, and ETH from here.
Let me know what you think, and please like the video.
Entering into a resistance zone, watching for support to hold Ahoy, fellow chart sailors! 🚢
Looks like we're steering into some resistance waters at the moment. Here's the treasure map for today:
The Resistance: We're bumping up against a notorious resistance level. Will it be the plank or will we sail through?
Support Ahoy: Keep your telescopes on the support lines. If we start to sink, these are the levels where we might find some buoyancy.
Volume Waves: Keep an eye on the trading volume. A surge could mean we're about to discover new lands (breakout), or it might just be a siren's song.
Signal Flags: My indicators are fluttering in the wind. The RSI is hinting we might be overbought, but the MACD still waves the bullish flag. What flags are you flying?
Trading Tactics:
Bullish Buccaneers: If you're on the long voyage, maybe set your stop-loss anchors just below the key support.
Bearish Brigands: If you're looking to short, wait for the cannons to confirm a breach below support.
What's your game plan as we sail through this resistance? Drop your thoughts below! Let's navigate these waters together. 🌊
Keep your wits about you and may your trades be ever in your favor!
Let's share our charts and insights. After all, a rising tide lifts all boats!
Gold at a Crossroads: Breakout or Sharp Correction Ahead for XAU1. Daily Time Frame (1D)
Channel Formation: The daily chart shows an ascending channel, indicating a consistent upward trend. This structure suggests that gold has been gradually gaining strength over time, with higher highs and higher lows.
Key Levels:
2,507.90: Price is hovering near this key resistance, close to the upper boundary of the channel. This is also near a 15M Liquidity Zone (LQZ), making it a potential reversal point if the price cannot break through decisively.
2,500.953 and 2,477.895: These are marked as 4H Liquidity Zones (LQZ), providing support within the current channel. A drop below these levels could signal a deeper pullback towards the Daily LQZ at 2,352.710.
2. 4-Hour Time Frame (4H)
Continuation Pattern: The 4H chart mirrors the ascending channel visible on the daily chart. The price is currently testing the resistance area, and there is potential for a pullback if it fails to break above.
Liquidity Zones:
2,507.180: This is a 15-minute LQZ, very close to the current price.
2,500.953: A more significant 4H LQZ is just below the 15M LQZ. The confluence of these zones adds weight to the potential for a reversal or a strong move if this area is breached.
3. 15-Minute Time Frame (15M)
Rejection and Potential Correction: On the 15-minute chart, there is a small rising wedge pattern that appears to be breaking down, indicating a potential short-term reversal. The price is rejecting the upper boundary of the wedge, suggesting that a correction could follow.
Trade Opportunity: A break below 2,500.953 (15M LQZ) could lead to a sharper move down towards 2,477.895 (4H LQZ). This aligns with the larger time frame structures, adding credibility to this potential move.
4. 5-Minute Time Frame (5M)
Immediate Reaction: The 5-minute chart shows a rejection of the upper boundary of the ascending channel and a possible small head and shoulders pattern developing. This further supports the bearish outlook in the very short term.
Potential Targets: If the pattern plays out, a move towards 2,500.953 and below would align with the bearish scenarios on the higher time frames.
Conclusion
Short-Term Bearish Bias: Across all time frames, there's a consistent pattern of the price rejecting key resistance areas, particularly near 2,507.90 (15M LQZ) and 2,500.953 (4H LQZ). This suggests that the price may correct downward before any further attempts to break higher.
Watch for Confirmations: If the price breaks below the 4H LQZ at 2,477.895, it could indicate a deeper pullback, possibly towards the daily LQZ at 2,352.710. However, a strong bounce from the current support levels could resume the upward trend.
This analysis aligns with the multi-touch confirmation approachand the rule of three, which emphasizes the importance of repeated touches on a trendline or key level before confirming a breakout or reversal.
Is the USD selloff too aggressive? Bond yields suggest soTraders continue to sell the US dollar in anticipation of a dovish speech from Jerome Powell on Friday. To the point where we wonder if this could be a case off "sell the rumour, buy the fact". Matt Simpson takes a quick look at the USD dollar index and bond yields.
BLUE DART EXPRESS | 100% returns | Breakout of 9-year resistanceBLUE DART EXPRESS
Monthly time frame
Breakout from 9-year white resistance trend line
Breakout from perfect cup & handle pattern
Stock riding above 20-, 50- & 200-month moving averages
RSI > 60, indicating bullish momentum
MACD crossover done and is above the 0 line, indicating bullish momentum
Volumes have been good since Apr 2020, implies heavy buying
Weekly time frame
Retest of the white resistance trend line almost complete
Stock riding above 20-, 50- & 200-week moving averages
RSI > 60, indicating bullish momentum
MACD above the 0 line, indicating bullish momentum
Daily time frame
Stock consolidating along the white resistance trend line
Stock has made a higher low (Dow theory)
Stock price converging along 20- & 50- day moving averages, breakout possible
RSI > 50, indicating bullish momentum
MACD is about to cross the 0 line, indicating momentum build up
Conclusion
Entry: 8,000
Stop Loss: 6,700
Target 1: 9,600
Target 2: 12,150
Target 3: 16,275
Fundamentals
ROCE = 19.2% {Ideal > 15}
ROE = 22.7% {Ideal > 15}
Stock PE (65) = Industry PE (65) {Stock not overvalued}
Int Coverage = 5.81 {Ideal > 2}
CF Operations / EBIT = 1.83 {Ideal > 1}
Debt to equity = 0.78 {Ideal value < 1}
Promoter stake has remained consistent over the years > 75%
Lessons From my Losses August 19th 2024 Today the price action again was not ideal. I talk about not getting into trades based on FOMO and overtrading, which I did today. I am a little upset with myself as I was not disciplined. I showed a trade with great confirmation on the 15-minute chart I missed. Let me know what you guys think in the comments and tell me about how your trading went today!
Natural gas is the downtrend resuming? Nat gas still fits all the criteria for a large downtrend.
Lower highs & Lower lows are still in place on the weekly timeframe.
This obviously swings probabilities in favour of lower price.
However historically were still at some oversold levels.
Just because this asset is oversold honest mean it can't go lower.
Im watching the daily 50MA & 200MA closely...do we get the death cross formation to occur again?
Usually this signal provides a near term bounce but medium term decline.
BTC Bullish Target $70K vs. Bearish Drop to $41K | ICTIn this video, I dive deep into two potential scenarios for the market:
A bullish scenario targeting $70,000 and a bearish scenario pointing towards $41,000.
I explore the concept of a smart money reversal and the market maker sell model to provide a detailed analysis of possible price movements.
Additionally, I discuss the bearish price structure and what it could mean for the market in the near term. Whether you're bullish or bearish, this analysis will help you understand the key levels to watch and the strategies that may unfold.
I would love to get some feedback! 🔥
Dow Theory: A Guide to Trend FollowingThis is a follow up idea from my recent idea about a trade setup on the Nasdaq that I thought was an excellent opportunity due to the major trend break that had lasted nearly a full year. We'll see if that ends up working out for me or not. I think it's too soon to say, but as of now it did break above and close above the line on Friday.
This is a short version with some more examples, but you can check out the last video along with most of my ideas because they almost all include trend analysis. I think the power of using Dow Theory and basic trendlines is often overlooked. This is why my charts don't have indicators on them, trend following is all I need to be profitable. There are many ways to trade and all kinds of strategies you can make money with, but this is how I do it and it's how legends like Jesse Livermore did it over 100 years ago.
Bitcoin & Ethereum Approaching Decisive Levels!In this video, I dive into the current status of Ethereum and Bitcoin. I discuss why both tokens are approaching decisive levels. Moreover, I also highlight what might happen in case Ethereum and Bitcoin can't manage to stay above these level.
Enjoy and let me know your thought!
NVDA - Short Term Update - $118 Resistance - 08/15/2024NVDA is currently at the $118 resistance we discussed previously. I've moved that position to cash for the time being. Swinging some options in case we do get continuation to the upside, though. I'd like to see NVDA come back to $100 where I'd be buying back my equity but for now, just waiting to see what the price action does.
Short term upside targets if we break out of 118 would be 125, 130, 132.
To the downside, I'd see 112 as the first support, then 106 before ultimately seeing 100.
Taking profit felt good, now I will patiently wait for the market to do something on this historically bearish time period. August on average has a -4.45% return on the S&P since 1950, and Aug/Sep combined is an average return of -5.8%. October tends to be the best month to be a buyer with an average return of 4% after 2 months and 6% after 6 months.
