To $TRUMP, or not to $TRUMP? The Art of the BreakoutCrypto Market Update: Several Breakouts in Progress Right Now
CRYPTO:TRUMPOFUSD CRYPTO:BTCUSD CRYPTO:ORNUSD CRYPTO:ALEOUSD CAPITALCOM:FILUSD CRYPTO:MOBILEUSD CRYPTO:SHPINGUSD COINBASE:TRUMPUSD
In this video, I analyze several ongoing and potential breakouts across multiple crypto assets, identifying key technical patterns, support and resistance levels, and volume trends. While meme coins aren’t typically my preference, the Trump meme coin COINBASE:TRUMPUSD has shown strong market participation, making it an interesting trade. Aleo CRYPTO:ALEOUSD has been in a prolonged downtrend but is now showing signs of a confirmed bottom with increasing volume. Helium Mobile CRYPTO:MOBILEUSD is presenting a well-structured W-reversal, which often leads to strong breakouts. Filecoin CRYPTO:FILUSD has maintained a solid structure, and historical levels suggest a significant rally is possible. Shping CRYPTO:SHPINGUSD , which I’ve tracked since November, appears to be setting up for a continuation move toward higher liquidity zones. Orion Protocol CRYPTO:ORNUSD , while a high-risk play due to liquidity constraints, has characteristics of previous explosive moves.
Key Breakout Candidates & Market Observations:
🔹 Trump Meme Coin CRYPTO:TRUMPOFUSD
Bought at $16.46 based on a strong bottom formation.
"Interdisciplinary Bottom" pattern combines elements of W-reversal, cup and handle, and double bottom formations.
Volume and momentum suggest potential upside, with a target zone in the next major liquidity area (~35%-60% potential move).
🔹 Aleo CRYPTO:ALEOUSD
One of the longest consistent downtrends on Coinbase, now showing strong signs of reversal.
Large volume spike suggests a confirmed bottom.
First resistance zone: $1-$1.20 (~150% potential move).
🔹 Helium Mobile CRYPTO:MOBILEUSD
Key breakout structure forming with bullish engulfing patterns.
Similar price wicks and reversal patterns seen on lower timeframes.
If momentum continues, a significant percentage move approaching or exceeding 100% is possible over a short period.
🔹 Filecoin CRYPTO:FILUSD
Historical liquidity zones indicate a strong potential rally.
Short-term target: $26
Longer-term potential: Historical highs around $100+, with $237 as the all-time high.
🔹 Shping CRYPTO:SHPINGUSD
Tracked since November – has been developing a highly structured reversal.
Target: 3 cents, based on prior liquidity levels (~300% potential move).
🔹 Orion Protocol CRYPTO:ORNUSD
Higher risk due to liquidity, but historically has shown explosive moves.
Short-term target: Testing previous highs.
Potential upside: $5 if volume and interest increase.
Final Thoughts:
Bitcoin’s movement continues to influence the broader market, and several altcoins are showing clear reversal signals. While trading strategies differ, recognizing volume shifts, liquidity zones, and structural patterns can present strong opportunities. As always, I encourage everyone to do their own research and approach the market with a clear risk management plan.
Community ideas
WTI Oil H4 | Potential bullish reversalWTI oil (USOIL) is falling towards an overlap support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 70.40 which is an overlap support.
Stop loss is at 69.20 which is a level that lies underneath a swing-low support that aligns close to the 127.2% Fibonacci extension.
Take profit is at 73.32 which is a swing-high resistance.
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How to Avoid Whipsaw price action at market openFutures are only reliable for how the US Stock Market will open. With the modern market structure whipsaw action after the market opens can cause huge losses or disappointing profits for retail day or swing traders. You will learn how volume oscillators can warn of a whipsaw or reversal day. Void of buyers is a crucial aspect of whipsaw to down trending stocks price action. Be aware of the End of Day Professionals only Auction and study end of day 1-3 minute data. Large lot pre market open trading begins about 3-4 hours before the US market opens. This is also crucial information. IF the pros are selling million share orders or setting up a sell short several million lot order, this will shift the sentiment to the downside even when there is a strong buy entry signal.
DAX traders are not bothered about steel and aluminum tariffs It seems that MARKETSCOM:DE30 traders today don't care much about the announcement of US tariffs on steel and aluminum. In fact, the German index continues to show resilience and keeps forming new highs. But how can this last for?
XETR:DAX
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Bitcoin Macro Update: Echoes of 2015-2017 | Gold, M2, and CPI
In this macro update, I dive into Bitcoin’s price action and how it mirrors the 2015-2017 cycle. We analyze key macroeconomic indicators, including Gold, Global M2 money supply, and FRED data, to understand Bitcoin’s positioning in the broader financial landscape. With inflationary pressures and CPI trends shaping liquidity flows, is Bitcoin primed for another parabolic run? lets let the market decide.
Learn why the Nasdaq 100 could be about to soarThe Nasdaq 100 is showing an ascending triangle pattern, suggesting a breakout toward 23,100. Trade war concerns with Mexico and Canada have eased, while China has worked around tariffs by shifting production to other countries. A break above 21,962 could push prices up 5.3%, but rising inflation near 2.9% might force the Fed to consider rate hikes. Jerome Powell’s testimony tomorrow will give us a better idea of what’s next for markets.
This content is not directed to residents of the EU or UK. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. ThinkMarkets will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.
NVIDIA Update Trade the Range
Update from the previous video entitled *The next long to take . If the position was taken then you should be +20% as it stands . Currently approaching a key area for some resistance . Earnings in 16 days and i highlight the range I expect us to stay inside of until the news release
Foundations of Mastery: 2025 Mentorship Begins!📢 Welcome to the 2025 Mentorship Program!
Greetings, Traders!
This is the first video of the 2025 Mentorship Program, where I’ll be releasing content frequently, diving deep into ICT concepts, and most importantly, developing structured models around them. My goal is to help you gain a deeper understanding of the market and refine your approach to trading.
Before we get started, I want to take a moment to speak to you directly.
💭 No matter where you are in your trading journey, I pray that you achieve—and even surpass—your goals this year.
📈 If you’re striving for consistency and discipline, may you reach new heights.
💡 If you’ve already found success, may you retain and refine your craft—because growth never stops.
🎯 If you’re just starting out, I pray you develop patience, discipline, and above all, accountability—because true progress comes when we own our failures and learn from them.
🔥 If you’ve been trading for years but still struggle with consistency, do not give up. The greatest adversity comes when you’re closest to success. Stay disciplined, stay dedicated, and keep pushing forward.
Above all, let this be a year where we grow together—not just as traders, but as individuals. May we foster humility, respect, and a learning environment where both experienced and new traders can share knowledge and thrive.
🙏 I pray over these things in the name of Jesus. Amen.
Let's have a great year!
The_Architect
what action I take when market open.This video will show you what I look at and my thought process when prepare for maket open.
Purpose of this video is to show how i make plan to take risk in first hour of market open.
example used is 5min&1min
1st. orb 5min
2nd. wait for breakout of 5min
3rd. use MA as (Support) of a trend to SCALP
ORB FIB levels i used is 0.5%(orb) 1.0% 1.5% 2.0%
Target is use orb breakout to target 2.0% fib levels as PriceTarget.
CRASH - CRASH - CRASH - Don't believe a word of it...I created this video because I'm seeing a bunch of content/videos where everyone is suddenly calling for a CRASH. and I laugh about it.
If you want to believe the markets are going to CRASH - go for it.
Sell everything. Bet the farm on the CRASH. Leverage your house and everything you own to bet on the CRASH.
It's not going to happen soon.
My research is very clear. I believe the first opportunity for a deep (more than 25-35%) market pullback will happen after late 2029 and into 2030.
Until then, we are going to see moderate pullbacks in a very solid uptrend.
Watch this video and learn why real research and modeling systems don't react to the Crash-Dummies that continually push out CLICK-BAIT.
It's time to get real about your trading and investing.
If you are following someone who continually calls for a market crash - good luck.
At some point, you are going to come to the realization they are wrong 90% of the time. Try to find someone you trust who provides clear, timely, and ACCURATE forecasts.
Get some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
The Leap by CME Group: TradingView ShowWelcome back, traders! In today’s episode of The TradingView Show, we’re joined by Craig Bewick, Senior Director of Client Development and Sales at CME Group. With nearly 30 years of experience in futures and options, Craig has a wealth of expertise, from risk management and technology at CBOT and CME to product development and client engagement.
In this episode, we’re diving into The Leap – a month-long, risk-free trading challenge that pits global traders against each other to maximize profits on a special paper-trading account. This is your time to learn futures and explore sophisticated trading strategies for cash prizes without needing to deposit anything.
This round focuses exclusively on futures trading, with some of the most actively traded CME Group contracts at the core of the competition. Traders will be going head-to-head on assets like crude oil, gold, Bitcoin, and equity indices – a prime opportunity to refine your futures strategies and get hands-on with the dynamics of the market.
As for prizes, there’s something for everyone: 250 awards, including cash and plan extensions. Let’s take a closer look at this time’s spoils.
1st place — $3,000
2nd place — $1,500
3rd place — $1,200
4th place — $1,000
5th place — $800
Places from 6th to 25th — $500
Places from 26th to 50th — $300
Places from 51st to 250th — 6 more months of your current plan
About CME Group
CME Group is the world's leading derivatives marketplace offering active traders access to futures and options across equities, commodities, crypto, FX and rates. With micro contracts, traders can gain precision and more control over their exposure, accessing more trading opportunities.
About CME Group Education
Whether you’re experienced at trading or building your foundation of knowledge, CME Group provides free education courses and tools that can help you stay ahead. Search for CME Institute or click on the link in the show description: www.cmegroup.com
Does a strong ADP number lead to a decent NFP print? Given the decent ADP report just delivered ahead of Friday's NFP figures, I'm curious to see whether the direction of ADP can be an indicator of what to expect on the headline Nonfarm growth figure. Armed with another spreadsheet, I take a look.
Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index and Forex.com
Health Care and Water Utilities Are Turning UpIn water utilities we are seeing a possible bottom and that is indicative of the Anti pattern which is a reversal pattern. Catching this pullback can keep us in this trade for a longer period of time. The healthcare industry is showing a lot of strength on many different charts. NASDAQ:INGN is just one of many but, it is my favorite setup today.
WHY 99.9% OF BEGINNER TRADERS QUIT! MY NEXT SETUP Most beginner traders quit because they make the same deadly mistakes:
❌ They clutter their charts with too many indicators
❌ They have no real strategy or system
❌ They trade based on emotion instead of logic
❌ They never backtest their approach
❌ They have no idea how to size their positions correctly
❌ They completely ignore risk management
If that sounds familiar, you're not alone. But in this video, we break down why these mistakes destroy accounts—and how to fix them.
🎯 Plus, we analyze my next trade setup in real time!
💥 Congrats if you took the short from supply! That setup played out beautifully. Now, let’s dive into the next opportunity.
🔔 Don’t forget to like and FOLLOW, for more insights!
Tariffs and Their Influence on GoldWe observed how gold has pivoted upward so precisely each time tariffs were applied since the start of the trade war in 2018.
Before the trade war, gold remained stagnant within this range. However, with the onset of the trade war, everything changed for gold.
We will conduct a case study since 2018, analyzing how gold has reacted to each significant tariff imposed.
With the latest proposed tariffs on Canada and Mexico, what could be the potential trend for gold, and how should it be managed above the current level?
Gold Futures & Options
Ticker: GC
Minimum fluctuation:
0.10 per troy ounce = $10.00
Micro Gold Futures & Options
Ticker: MGC
Minimum fluctuation:
0.10 er troy ounce = $1.00
1Ounce Gold Futures
Ticker: 1OZ
Minimum fluctuation:
0.25 per troy ounce = $0.25
Disclaimer:
• What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker.
• Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises.
CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
GBPUSD Not Clear AT the MomentFrom a daily perspective Swing structure remains bullish and we still maintain the bias that price made a deeper pullback retesting the demand zone created on Nov 1, 2023.
Immediately we tapped into that demand zone, price shot up.
However, The daily internal structure remains bearish and until price breaks the internal protected high, we continue looking for selling opportunities.
- At this point, i will stay clear off the market, until i get a clear directional bias.
-Also, it is important to note that this is the 2nd time our daily supply zone (created on Jan 7, 2025) is getting retested. Until we get a nice strong clearance away from that supply , we stay clear from this market.
4HRS
Swing structure is bearish.
Internal Structure = Bullish
We gapped to the downside on Monday and immediately reversed breaking internal structure to the upside. This caused an internal trend change where the internal trend changed from bearish to bullish. This aligns perfectly with daily swing structure and a sign that overall the trend may be changing from bearish to bullish.
After a BoS, we expect a pullback but from where?