Community ideas
NVIDIA's Record Drop: Live with TradeStation (TradingView Show)Join us once again LIVE with David Russell, Head of Market Strategy at TradeStation, as we dive into the stock market sell-off and what it means for your portfolio heading into February 2025. With heightened volatility, NVIDIA taking a hit, and AI-driven tools like DeepSeek offering new market analysis, it’s key to understand how to navigate the current turbulence. As January winds down, we’ll discuss strategies to stay ahead, leverage relative strength, and position for long-term success despite the ongoing downturn.
Here’s a sneak peek of what we’ll cover:
1. NVIDIA’s recent drop is tied to DeepSeek’s shift in AI pricing, raising concerns about future profitability. Investors are still assessing how this will affect NVIDIA’s growth trajectory.
2. While attention is on volatility, some stocks have quietly hit all-time highs, revealing hidden strength in overlooked sectors. These gains suggest opportunities many may be missing.
3. Emerging strength is especially evident in sectors like communications and certain industrials, with companies showing resilience and strong earnings. These sectors could offer solid value plays for those willing to look beyond the obvious.
4. Traders heading into 2025 should focus on managing risk and staying nimble, especially with potential rate hikes and geopolitical risks on the horizon. Flexibility and discipline will be essential.
5. As the Fed meeting and GDP report approach, the market is primed for volatility. These key releases could signal shifts in monetary policy or economic conditions, making it vital to stay informed and adjust your positions accordingly.
Don’t miss this session for actionable insights on how to navigate this market turbulence and set yourself up for success in 2025.
This show is sponsored by TradeStation. TradeStation pursues a singular vision to offer the ultimate online trading platform and services for self-directed traders and investors across the equities, equity index options, futures, and futures options markets. Equities, equities options, and commodity futures products and services are offered by TradeStation Securities Inc., member NYSE, FINRA, CME, and SIPC.
See below:
www.tradestation.com
www.tradestation.com
How To Navigate: Breakouts with Tools, Indicators & StrategyHaving a Clear and Precise understanding of whether you're dealing with a Breakout or False Breakout can help you:
1) Find potentially profitable opportunities
&
2) Avoid making risky investment moves!
Also knowing how to Confirm Trend Change can:
1) Rise probability of profitable trades
&
2) Limit the total # taken!
So today, I lay out the tools, indicators and tips I use to visualize and to make a decision!
Examples:
COINBASE:XLMUSD & BITSTAMP:XRPUSD
Tools:
- Trendline
- Parallel Channel
- Rectangle
Indicators:
- Volume
- RSI
- "True or False" Formula : Close + 20-25% Break + 5-6 Days Outside of Break = Breakout
Bitcoin: Don't be blind to the world (Trump inauguration)Regular readers will know that we avoid fundamental analysis In these reports - we stick to the price.
But that doesn’t mean being blind to the world around us.
On Monday January 20, Donald Trump will be inaugurated as US President.
I’m sure many of you have your political views about Trump - but just keep those away from your trade ideas!
The crypto market - and Bitcoin especially - has been on a huge rally since Trump spoke at a Bitcoin conference in favour of cryptocurrencies last year.
There’s a chance President Trump could mention Bitcoin in his inaugural speech but even if he doesn’t, the prospect of favourable regulation is broadly positive for Bitcoin - or if we’re more honest - the idea of better regulation could be enough justification to keep the crypto bull run going for now.
Bitcoin
On the weekly chart, we can see Bitcoin (BTC/USD) has been trading sideways around the $100,000 level - with roughly $90,000 as support.
But bigger picture it’s a huge uptrend and we want to trade in line with the trend (as always)
Importantly - it just closed the week back over the critical $100K mark - and it did so with a bullish engulfing candlestick that engulfed the previous 3 weeks.
As a reminder - where the week closed is more important than the high or low of the week - and a weekly close is more significant than a daily close. You can think of the closing price as the price that everybody agreed was the right price for that period.
The final missing piece to the bullish breakout is a weekly close at a new record high.
On the daily chart we are watching the broken trendline as well as the $100k level as support that needs to hold if the breakout is going to happen soon.
But while the price trendline is not especially reliable with only two ‘touches’ or swing points the broken RSI trendline is much more significant and shows a big pickup in momentum that will be needed if the price is to break out.
If the breakout does happen, the first barrier that needs to break is $110,000 but after that $120k then even $130k could come quite quickly given Trump’s inauguration this week.
But - as always - that’s just how my team and I are seeing things, what do you think?
Share your ideas with us - OR - send us a request!
Send us an email or message us on social media.
cheers!
Jasper
USDJPY - Rising Channels, Pullbacks, Double Tops & BOJ NewsToday we're looking at a potential bearish trading opportunity on the USDJPY.
After a long bullish rally, followed by a lengthy period of consolidation in the form of a rising channel. The &USDJPY has violated the pattern to the downside & with the recent pullback, is giving us an opportunity to jump on the next potential move down.
As we venture down to the hourly chart, we may have a potential double top to open our week which would be an excellent entry reason for getting involved.
On the fundamental side of things, later this week the Bank of Japan will make an interest rate decision & word on the street is that they are considering a hike. How a lot will depend on what happens after President Donald Trump takes over, but if an interest rate hike from the BOJ were to happen it "should" mean Yen strength and confirmation for our bearish prediction.
If you have any questions or comments please leave them below. And I hope you guys have an excellent week of trading.
Akil
US dollar index remains elevated, but for how long?The US dollar index continues to show strength and with the potential reduction in the amount cuts this year by the Fed, there might be further strength of MARKETSCOM:DOLLARINDEX . But could this be the case in the short-run? Let's dig in...
TVC:DXY
RISK DISCLAIMER
74.2% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. The value of investments may fall as well as rise and the investor may not get back the amount initially invested. This content is not intended for nor applicable to residents of the UK. Cryptocurrency CFDs and spread bets are restricted in the UK for all retail clients.
Trading BTC with a Solid Plan Is Crucial for Success—Here’s Mine🌟 In this video, I share a trade idea along with my detailed trading plan and we highlight why a well-structured strategy is 🔑 key to success. Discover how to trade BTC Bitcoin 🪙 using a trend continuation approach while leveraging TradingView's powerful tools and features to gain a real edge in the markets. 🖥️✨
Here’s what we’ll cover:
📊 Trend Analysis: A top-down review of market direction to identify opportunities.
📈 Market Structure & Price Action: Key insights into how price moves and behaves.
🎯 Trade Planning: Using higher timeframe support and resistance levels to set stop loss and target points.
🛠️ TradingView Features: Practical tools to refine your analysis and boost efficiency.
This video is an in-depth guide to trading effectively with a proven strategy, enhanced by TradingView's unique capabilities. 🚀 Please remember, this is not financial advice. 📜
Bearish mean reversion kicks in for USD/JPYIts bullish trend struggled to gain any traction above 158, and now momentum has finally turned against USD/JPY bulls. A retracement is now underway, but as to how deep really comes down to whether incoming US data continues to soften to bolster Fed-cut bets, or if the BOJ get their hawkish skates on.
Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index and Forex.com
Kiwi H4 | Rising into multi-swing-high resistanceThe Kiwi (NZD/USD) is rising towards a multi-swing-high resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 0.5683 which is a multi-swing-high resistance that aligns close to the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level.
Stop loss is at 0.5745 which is a level that sits above the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and a descending trendline resistance.
Take profit is at 0.5540 which is a swing-low support.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 64% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
BTC - Where to Buy? Answer in VideoMy main trading principle is that the price always moves from swept liquidity levels to untouched liquidity levels.
In particular case we clearly can see the following context: price swept 1W key liquidity level and left untouched level higher.
But to take more statistically more probable trades we should wait for some type of lower timeframe confirmation, and it this case we can notice sign of strength, so potentially there is a higher probability to see price higher
Your success is determined solely by your ability to consistently follow the same principles.
Why do beginner traders fail? My next trade! In today's video, we dive into the crucial topic of trading psychology, exploring how limiting beliefs can hold beginner traders back from achieving their full potential.
We also analyze the next potential trade setup—a continuation play—highlighting the possibility of a reaction at the 4H breaker block or a drop back into the old demand range.
Stay tuned for actionable insights, and don't forget to follow for more trading strategies and tips!
BUY XAUUSD (GOLD) - Top down approach explainedTrader Tom, a technical analyst with over 16 years’ experience, explains his trade idea using price action and a top down approach. This is one of many trades so if you would like to see more then please follow us and hit the boost button.
We are proud to be an OFFICIAL Trading View partner so please support the channel by using the link below and unleash the power of trading view today!
www.tradingview.com