Fractal
Pulse of an Asset in Fibonacci: LINK at minor Impulse Redux"Impulse" is a surge that creates "Ripples", like a pebble into water.
"Impulse Redux" is returning of wave to the original source of energy.
"Impulse Core" is the zone of maximum energy, in the Golden Pocket.
Are the sellers still there? Enough to absorb the buying power?
Reaction at Impulse is worth observing closely to gauge energy.
Rejection is expected on at least first approach if not several.
Part of my ongoing series to collect examples of my Methodology : (click links below)
Chapter 1: Introduction and numerous Examples
Chapter 2: Detailed views and Wave Analysis
Chapter 3: The Dreaded 9.618: Murderer of Moves
Chapter 4: Impulse Redux: Return to Birth place <= Current Example
Chapter 5: Golden Growth: Parabolic Expansions
Chapter 6: Give me a ping Vasili: one Ping only
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Ordered Chaos
every Wave is born from Impulse, like a Pebble into Water.
every Pebble bears its own Ripples, gilded of Ratio Golden.
every Ripple behaves as its forerunner, setting the Pulse.
each line Gains its Gravity .
each line Tried and Tested.
each line Poised to Reflect.
every Asset Class behaves this way.
every Time Frame displays its ripples.
every Brain Chord rings these rhythms.
He who Understands will be Humble.
He who Grasps will observe the Order.
He who Ignores will behold only Chaos.
Ordered Chaos
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want to Learn a little More?
can you Spend a few Moments?
click the Links under Related.
Ordered Chaos: " every Time Frame displays its Ripples "Part of my ongoing series to showcase examples of my methodology.
This example is a Comet that comes around every so often, UJ101.25
First sighted in 2018 <- click -> Then again in 2019
One may behold this celestial object with the naked eye.
Please "horizontal line" at 110.025 on your USD.JPY chart.
Scroll back at any resolution and observe each of the visits.
Its appearance often marks the change of season.
Its gravity may have captured UJ into its orbit.
Its presence is felt every visit by every Yenling.
Ordered Chaos
every Wave is born from Impulse, like a Pebble into Water.
every Pebble bears its own Ripples, gilded of Ratio Golden.
every Ripple behaves as its forerunner, setting the Pulse.
each line Gains its Gravity .
each line Tried and Tested.
each line Poised to Reflect.
every Asset Class behaves this way.
every Time Frame displays its ripples.
every Brain Chord rings these rhythms.
He who Understands will be Humble.
He who Embraces will observe Order.
He who Ignores will behold only Chaos.
Ordered Chaos
.
.
.
want to Learn a little More?
can you Spend a few Moments?
click the Links under Related.
Pulse of an Asset in Fibonacci: GBP.USD at minor Impulse Redux"Impulse" is a surge that creates "Ripples", like a pebble into water.
"Impulse Redux" is returning of wave to the original source of energy.
"Impulse Core" is the zone of maximum energy, in the Golden Pocket.
Are the buyers still there? Enough to absorb the selling power?
Reaction at Impulse is worth observing closely to gauge energy.
Rejection is expected on at least first approach if not several.
This is part my ongoing series to collect examples of my Methodology.
Also see the GU Major Impulse Redux at the TOP (click) .
.
.
Ordered Chaos
every Wave is born from Impulse, like a Pebble into Water.
every Pebble bears its own Ripples, gilded of Ratio Golden.
every Ripple behaves as its forerunner, setting the Pulse.
each line Gains its Gravity .
each line Tried and Tested.
each line Poised to Reflect.
every Asset Class behaves this way.
every Time Frame displays its ripples.
every Brain Chord rings these rhythms.
He who Understands will be Humble.
He who Grasps will observe the Order.
He who Ignores will behold only Chaos.
Ordered Chaos
.
.
.
want to Learn a little More?
can you Spend a few Moments?
click the Links under Related.
XAUUSD WYCKOFF DISTRIBUTION EXAMPLEHello traders,
we would like to share some value knowledge, about structure based mostly on Wyckoff schematics. As an example u have marked up area identify by us as Wyckoff distribution schematic to help u get deeper understanding about markets and printed structure itself. Please, scroll left and right chart to see multiple examples of accumulation and distribution schematics. Hopefully this will help u get some breakthrough in your trading journey.
God bless u all.
USDCAD WYCKOFF DISTRIBUTION EXAMPLEHello traders,
we would like to share some value knowledge, about structure based on Wyckoff schematics. As an example u have marked up area identify by us on 5m TF, to help u deeper understanding about markets and printed structure itself. Hopefully this will help u get some breakthrough in your trading journey.
God bless u all.
GBPNZD WYCKOFF SCHEMATICS EXAMPLESHello traders,
we would like to share some value knowledge, about structure based mostly on Wyckoff schematics. As an example u have marked up few areas identify by us on multiple TF to help u deeper understanding about markets and printed structure itself. Please, scroll left and right chart to see multiple examples of accumulation and distribution schematics. Hopefully this will help u get some breakthrough in your trading journey.
God bless u all.
Where are all the fractals?Hello, I do not understand. I saw every day a new fractal showing that the price of ponzicoin would go up.
But now, that we are in a situation exactly similar to Dec 2017, there are no fractal. That does not seem very objective...
It's almost depressing, that the human gene pool contains "this".
BTC went up up up until CME futures opened and then down down down.
The top was the exact day when CME BTC futures were released.
BTC hodlers are repeating the same thing. Exact same scenario.
They are convinced BTC will go to a mighty bull market because of ICE futures. Emmm ok?
I do not think I am being unfair when I say they are thick headed.
Of course, I see these clowns repeat "Bakkt bakkt" I got a feeling that they do not even know what it is.
The futures market is in a duopoly, CME is the biggest one, ICE the other one.
CME GROUP INC ==> 73.7 Billion Market cap. (Chicago Mercantile Exchange). Big on indices, fx, metals, energy futures. Also big on certain agri (Corn Wheat Soybean).
ICE GROUP INC ==> 50.95 Billion Market cap. (INTERCONTINENTAL EXCHANGE INC). Afaik their only big futures are the "other" agri Sugar 11, Cotton, Cocoa, Coffee.
(Actually the 2nd biggest futures exchange in the world is the National Stock Exchange of India and ICE is 3rd, CBOE Holdings are 4rth far behind - 12B mcap - they opened BTC futures the 7 dec 2017).
The ICE is known mostly for the New York Stock Exchange.
The CBOE is bigger on options I think.
The big big futures exchange is the CME.
They have a great site with a ton of content, their products work very well.
I expect ICE futures to do less volume than the CME past the potential hype of the first days, even with all the marketing they did.
BTC might pump short term (good short entry on a double top at 14k) but idk the world has their eyes on Iran and oil lmao no one important will care about your magical internet beans.
I expect the launch to be a complete failure and after that nice flop the ICE will remove BTC futures just like the CBOE did, and only CME will remain.
Just like with all US treasury bonds.
And with all US indices.
And with Oil and NatGas.
And with Gold and Silver.
And with Grains.
And with Copper.
Hehe.
Here is the CME site: www.cmegroup.com
They have daily volumes of about $250 million on BTC (past month).
Coinbase does about $100 million, Bitstamp about $65 million, Kraken $50 million (not counting the euro part that is about as big).
As a comparison, (WT Sweet Light) Crude Oil futures have volumes typically of about 1 to 1.5 million futures a day on the CME, in dollar this means, since the price of Oil is and has been around $60 - 60 million. Nah just kidding 1 future = 1000 barrels, so it's 60 billions. Idk how much brent does, they are mainly traded via the ICE, their site... I just can't... They do 20 times less I think.
E-mini S&P futures do about 2 million contracts volume => 300 billion :D
Gold futures make about $75 billion
10Y Treasury Notes ~ $350 billion I think (and volume oscillates a ton). 1400 times more.
Natural Gas (Henry Hub) that is half as volatile as BTC (sometimes more) does ~$13 billion (not counting options and other products). 50 times more.
Even Grain no one ever talks about that have 3 followers does way more than 1 million reddit subs biggest community than all stocks put together Bitcoin.
These days Corn is doing ~5 billion+ Wheat ~2.5 billion Soybean ~9 billion. Rekt.
And the CME is putting crypto forward. And they are the biggest. Big money is not stepping in. Big money still thinks it is a ponzi.
No one that knows what they are doing cares about magical internet beans (other than to make fun of it).
Even with the immense amount of hype and the massive fanbase around Bitcoin, BTC futures do tiny volumes compared to obscure products such as "RBOB Gasoline" (50 times more volume than BTC, what is this even? xd), "Soybean Oil futures" (even this does 10 times BTC) or "Live cattle" (20 times).
Even Mont Belvieu LDH Propane (OPIS) Futures does more than BTC :D Does anyone know what this thing even is? LOL!
NY Harbor ULSD? I have not a clue what this is, but they have 60 times the volume of giga hype every one talks about it BTC.
Single stocks during the dot com bubble had more volume than BTC as we know anyway.
Keep praying that suddenly big money movers are going to get interested after ignoring your ponzi scheme for years, just because the ICE offers a new way to speculate on it, and gave it its own name, and did alot of marketting. Let me quote Nelson from the Simpsons: Haha!
BTC FractalTops or bottom formations are not same. Patterns , fractal behaviors are not the same, its like having 2 kids from same parents with 2 different personality or having one hand with 5 different fingers, they are not same as well... This is my take, at least, this is what I look as confirmation to compare apple to apple
- MA color flip
- Fisher transform bullish Cross
but its worth to watch as pattern symmetry
This is not financial advise. just for education purposes only.
t.me
Stocks vs GoldSince 1971 when the USD and most other fiat currencies were not linked to Gold anymore, we haven't seen stocks really go up. Stocks expressed in Gold were already up substantially at the time and after Nixon closed the gold window Stocks dropped 95% against gold. Below I have put the DJIA since 1915 and 1971, as these are the best data we can get. The truth is that on Tradingview I can cleanly analyse only one market at a time as it doesn't have the global combine stock market capitalization. Yes there have been lots of other markets that have gone up since that time and the global economy has definitely grown, but I am here to make certain points based on the fact that the US economy is the largest in the world:
A. Since 1971 the US stock market has dropped 95% and 87% and between those two big drops it had a 4000% increase
B. At the moment it looks like stocks have started their new bull run in 2011
C. In USD terms the DJIA has been going up for time periods that are a bit longer than the total amount of time it was going down & sideways, the time for the next drop might be almost here.
You might be thinking why does that matter? You might think: Gold is pretty useless, it has an inflation rate of about 1-2% and all that matters is that stocks are going up and paying dividends! The truth is that as a whole stocks have performed better than Gold and have provided nice dividends through the years to investors, but Gold has had much less risk and until 2011 it was the best store of value. However you have to understand that this huge rally and these huge drops happened as Central banks and commercial banks globally increased the total money supply (in dollar terms) by about 20-40x. Gold was the soundest money the humanity ever had and moving to a new insane monetary standard distorted things on all markets and created various bubbles. We can see that the global money supply is about 80-90T 'worth of USD' and the total worth of all stocks globally is about 70-80T USD. By following the way new money has been created/printed we can see that stocks have pretty much tracked the global expansion of the money supply. Someone could say that 'look there is 225T worth of real estate', so the global money supply shouldn't matter, however the reality is that: a) stocks pay dividends and their price has some correlation with their dividends and b) stocks need liquidity which comes from money, c) real estate can be used for various things, it is less risky and is market growing with global population and d) there is 245T of global debt makes anyone realize that something isn't right. The funny things is that part of the debt has negative yield and more is going to go negative. This means that Real estate and Bonds are in a much worse bubble that stocks actually are, but they could go much higher.
As you can already see, unsound money from governments and Central banks is causing a tremendous misallocation of capital, it is destroying wealth and at the same time it is concentrating wealth to the hands of those that have already had massive wealth. It should be obvious to everyone that US stocks should had been worth much more than they were worth in 1971... or should they? Given that money is a zero sum game, if there wasn't new money being printed, then stocks shouldn't have really moved up or down much. Only really good investments would succeed and pay a dividend, while bad ones would quickly go away. Essentially the value of our money and investments would go up, without a 'special' number going up. There are many more factors playing a role in this, but overall stock markets going up 20-50-100x up is nonsense created by Central banks. Free and non-manipulated markets don't behave like that and don't do crazy things like have 10-20 years long bear markets during peaceful and prosperous times. What has made things a lot better and have prolonged the ability of Central banks to do these crazy things is the technological progress we've had over the last 50 years.
Below I've put Nasdaq 100 expressed in Gold which is showing for how long the tech stock bull and bear markets really lasted in the US. To me it shows that there is a high chance that we are in the disbelief phase / 'this is a sucker's rally' phase. This fits nicely with the fact that most people are expecting a recession (and rightfully so), as most people get it wrong and the market can stay irrational longer than you can stay solvent. In my opinion this new tech bull run is based on: a) the exponential progress in technology, b) the fact that the market came out of a vicious correction that lasted 12 years, c) gold being controlled by central banks d) gold is 'outdated' in a digital world and e) banning cash, full on negative rates, more money printing, f) a new digital banking system with Central banks creating digital, while they use that money to start buying stocks.
However how large is that upside given the current macro picture? How long can the market stay irrational under the current awful global financial conditions? In my honest opinion the upside here is somewhat limited and the risk quite large. Until stocks many new ATHs I'd stay out of stocks, as we could be moving into a recession which could initially cause a drop in stocks. Don't forget that Central banks will try and fight the recession with everything they've got. Also don't forget that the US still remains the best place to put your money in. So in my opinion we will eventually see a prolonged period of stagflation or simply a period where stocks, bonds etc keep going up on a really unsound basis until everything breaks down. No idea when things start breaking down, but the one thing I am certain off is that I wouldn't want to hold much fiat. It is the first time that we are observing such a crazy period of currency wars with a quite a lot of changes on our monetary and payment systems. As I've mentioned before, USD, JPY, Gold, Silver, Bitcoin and maybe some stocks (i.e US large tech stocks) are the only assets i'd touch.
"VIX, a powerfull tool to use on SP500" by ThinkingAntsOk
-Today we are going to show Vix Index on daily chat compared to SP500 (orange line).
The first thing we noticed is the Wedge formations on the chart.
-As Vix starts going down, SP500 keeps rising, the concept is that people trust on the strength of the bullish trend, on this process we can see the Wedge patterns on VIX, and bullish trends on SP500.
-To see the Wedge Pattern we only need to draw a line between the higher lows on VIX.
-OK great! But how can I do something with this?
-Let’s see it on this way, imagine you have been following a bullish movement on SP500 and you see that is about to face a major resistance zone and you observe that the bullish trend is losing strength.
When you detect this, you are going to Focus you attention on the VIX chart, and you are going to ask yourself the next question.
-Is price inside the Wedge Pattern or is about to break out?
-If the price has broken out the structure and SP500 is on a Major reversal zone, then, that’s a strong bearish confirmation to start thinking on bearish setups.
-Why should I look for bearish setups?
Because that means that people is starting to have fear of a possible bearish movement that’s the reason VIX is making new highs and has broken the Wedge pattern, we should complement this by seeing bearish candlesticks on SP500 with high volume on them.
-Conclusion: see on the pictures how Vix preceded the beginning of the two previous bearish trends with a breakout signal.
-Complementing charts is always a good way of making your setups more solid.
*Please note that the above perspective is our view on the market, We do not give signals and take no responsibility for your trades.