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Trade Like A Sniper - Episode 14 - US10Y - (3rd June 2024)This video is part of a video series where I backtest a specific asset using the TradingView Replay function, and perform a top-down analysis using ICT's Concepts in order to frame ONE high-probability setup. I choose a random point of time to replay, and begin to work my way down the timeframes. Trading like a sniper is not about entries with no drawdown. It is about careful planning, discipline, and taking your shot at the right time in the best of conditions. A couple of things to note: - I cannot see news events. - I cannot change timeframes without affecting my bias due to higher-timeframe candles revealing its entire range. - I cannot go to a very low timeframe due to the limit in amount of replayed candlesticks In this session I will be analyzing US10Y, starting from the 3-Month chart. - R2F
TVC:US10YEducation
by Road_2_Funded
Implementing SEASONAL TENDENCIESHi guys, In this video I go through what are "seasonal tendencies", and how you can implement it into your analysis and strategy(ies). Seasonal tendencies in the context of financial markets are basically what the particular market or asset has historically done throughout the years in terms of bullish or bearish movement. For example, in April-May the US Dollar is usually bearish, and from May-June it is usually bullish. This is useful information because it can add confluence to your bias/analysis. However, you do not want to solely use this information as a reason to get into a trade. The data is based on the past, and is not indicative to the present/future and also does not represent how much a market or asset can move because the data is only measured relative to what it has previously done. The best approach is to use this as an additional thumbs up if it coincides with your analysis, and if it does, then it allows you to be a bit more cautious or risk averse. A simple analogy is the weather. If you were planning a holiday to Thailand for a sunny getaway, the best times would be from March to July. Most likely you are not going to book a holiday in November during the monsoon season, unless you actually wanted it to rain every day. However, some years have had very little to no rain during the monsoon season. That being said, you would most likely choose to go during a time that seasonally has hot and sunny weather. This is how you can use seasonal tendencies to add an additional layer to your analysis. I hope that was insightful and gave you some ideas to test if you've never heard of seasonal tendencies. You can implement this both as a technical or fundamental analyst (or both). Til next time, happy trading. - R2F
TVC:DXYEducation
by Road_2_Funded
Why both Gold & U.S. Dollar Index are rising ? (IMPORTANT)The Intricate Dance of Gold and the U.S. Dollar The relationship between the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) and Gold prices is a fascinating study in economics. Typically, these two have a reverse correlation. The reason for this inverse relationship is that gold is priced in U.S. dollars. Therefore, when the dollar strengthens, gold becomes more expensive for investors using other currencies. This can decrease demand for gold and subsequently lower its price. However, this correlation is not set in stone. There are times when both the DXY and gold prices can increase simultaneously. This can occur due to a variety of factors such as geopolitical tensions, market uncertainty, or changes in monetary policy. For instance, from early 2022 to the beginning of 2024, the correlation between gold and the DXY has seen periods of both synchronicity and divergence. This indicates that other factors are influencing gold prices. Currently, despite the rising DXY, gold prices are also on an upward trend. This could be attributed to investors seeking safe-haven assets amidst economic or geopolitical uncertainty. This increases the demand for gold, driving up its price even as the dollar strengthens. Additionally, expectations of changes in monetary policy, such as interest rate cuts, can also affect gold prices. In conclusion, while the DXY and gold prices often move in opposite directions, there are times when they dance to the same tune. This intricate dance is influenced by a myriad of factors, making the relationship between the DXY and gold prices a complex and intriguing aspect of global economics. Prepared by : Arman Shaban
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by ArmanShabanTrading
7
Why Gold and DXY Rise Together in Times of UncertaintyIn times of market uncertainty, investors often seek refuge in assets considered safe havens, such as gold and the US Dollar Index (DXY). While traditionally these two assets exhibit a negative correlation, meaning when one rises, the other tends to fall, their simultaneous ascent during periods of uncertainty might seem counterintuitive at first glance. However, a deeper understanding reveals the underlying dynamics driving this phenomenon. Firstly, let's explore gold's role as a safe haven asset. Gold has long been revered as a store of value and a hedge against economic instability and geopolitical turmoil. During times of uncertainty, investors flock to gold as a reliable store of wealth, driving up its price. This demand surge can outweigh any negative impact from a stronger US dollar, leading to both gold and DXY rising concurrently. On the other hand, the US Dollar Index (DXY) also garners safe haven status during times of uncertainty. The US dollar is widely considered the world's reserve currency and is backed by the largest and most stable economy globally. Consequently, investors often seek refuge in the US dollar during periods of market turmoil, further boosting its value. Moreover, the correlation between gold and the US dollar is not solely determined by economic factors but also influenced by investor sentiment and market dynamics. During times of heightened uncertainty, investor behavior can drive unusual correlations as market participants prioritize capital preservation over traditional market relationships. Furthermore, it's crucial to consider the broader macroeconomic landscape. Factors such as central bank policies, geopolitical tensions, and global economic outlook play significant roles in shaping investor sentiment and asset prices. Changes in these factors can lead to shifts in the relationship between gold and the US dollar, especially during times of uncertainty when market participants reassess risk and allocate capital accordingly. In conclusion, while gold and the US dollar may traditionally exhibit a negative correlation, their simultaneous rise during times of uncertainty underscores their status as safe haven assets. Understanding the complex interplay of economic fundamentals, investor sentiment, and market dynamics is essential for comprehending the nuances of asset relationships, particularly during turbulent times in the financial markets.
TVC:DXYEducation
by JoeChampion
3
Negative Correlations in Trading: FULL GUIDEEmbarking on a journey in the world of trading demands a profound understanding of market intricacies. One often-overlooked yet powerful aspect is the domain of negative correlations — the intricate dance where the movement of one asset influences another inversely. This guide aims to be your compass in navigating these complex waters, exploring real-world examples, and providing strategies to harness this knowledge for astute and strategic trading. Section 1: Unraveling the DXY-BTC Dynamic: Understanding Dollar-Bitcoin Connections 1. The Dance of DXY and BTC: Delve into the intricate relationship between the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) and Bitcoin. Grasp the nuances of how a strengthening DXY tends to exert a weakening influence on Bitcoin and vice versa. 2. Leveraging the DXY-BTC Correlation: Explore scenarios where the correlations of DXY and Bitcoin align. Discuss long-term trading strategies that arise from discerning the interconnectedness of these two prominent assets. Section 2: Discorrelation RSI: Decoding Signals Amidst Market Chaos 1. Understanding Discorrelation RSI: Introduce the concept of discorrelation RSI, where RSI signals diverge from price action. Emphasize the significance of recognizing when RSI provides a more accurate reflection of market sentiment. 2. Trading Wisdom with RSI Signals: Analyze real-world examples where RSI forms a higher low while the price chart indicates a lower low. Illuminate actionable strategies for entering long positions based on RSI signals during instances of price divergence. Section 3: Structural Manipulation: Navigating Opportunities Amidst Deceptive Markets 1. OP Case Study: Structural Manipulation vs. RSI Insights: Explore the dynamics of the OP token, where structural lows are seemingly updated on the price chart. Unveil instances where RSI provides a more accurate representation of market conditions, presenting buying opportunities during purported oversold conditions. 2. Seizing Opportunities in Manipulation: Discuss the art of discerning manipulation from genuine market conditions. Explore how negative correlations can guide traders to capitalize on opportunities created by market manipulation. Section 4: Crafting Your Strategy: Navigating the Complexities of Negative Correlations 1. Building a Trading Plan: Outline the essential components of a comprehensive trading plan that incorporates insights from negative correlations. Emphasize the need for adaptability and ongoing analysis to refine trading strategies. 2. Risk Management in Negative Correlation Trading: Discuss advanced risk management strategies tailored to the nuances of negative correlations. Highlight the importance of position sizing and the judicious use of stop-loss orders. Conclusion: Orchestrating Success in Market Dynamics As you conclude this profound exploration of negative correlations in trading, envision the market as a symphony of interconnected instruments. The ability to recognize and leverage negative correlations adds a powerful melody to your trading strategy. Regularly revisit and refine your approach, staying attuned to evolving market conditions, and use negative correlations as a guiding force in your trading journey. 💡 Deciphering Negative Correlations | 🔄 DXY-BTC Symphony | 📊 RSI Discorrelation Strategies | 🎭 Unmasking Structural Manipulation 💬 Engage in the discourse: Share your experiences in trading based on negative correlations, pose thoughtful questions, and connect with a community dedicated to mastering the dynamic nuances of the market. 🌐✨
Education
by Yaroslav_Krasko
2
Taking the Guesswork Out of Take Profit: A Fibonacci Approach In the world of trading, one of the most influential factors that can either make or break a trader is the mind. How often have we found ourselves saying, "I should have done this" or "I would have done that" after a trade has unfolded? Yet, when we were in the heat of the moment, those seemingly obvious solutions never crossed our minds. To overcome this common pitfall and make more calculated decisions when it comes to setting take profit levels, we can turn to the Fibonacci tool. Utilizing Fibonacci retracement levels can help traders establish mechanical and consistent take profit points. This is especially crucial for mechanical traders who rely on predetermined parameters for their trading strategies. Let's delve into how you can use Fibonacci step by step to set your take profit levels, taking into consideration a buying scenario (though the process remains the same for selling, but in reverse). **Step 1: Add -0.272 and -0.618 Levels to Your Fibonacci Tool** Begin by adding the -0.272 and -0.618 Fibonacci retracement levels to your Fibonacci tool. These negative levels will be instrumental in creating mechanical take profit points. **Step 2: Place Your Fibonacci Tool from Low to High** Next, take your Fibonacci tool and place it from the low point to the high point of the relative price movement you're analyzing. This essentially helps you identify potential retracement levels within the price action. **Step 3: Identify Negative Levels** As you apply the Fibonacci tool, you'll notice the negative levels (-0.272 and -0.618) on your chart. These levels will suggest specific price points that you can consider for setting your take profit. Interestingly, you'll often find that prices tend to react near these negative Fibonacci levels because they represent strong psychological levels in the market. By following these steps, you can establish a mechanical and objective approach to determine your take profit levels. This approach not only reduces the influence of emotions in your trading decisions but also provides you with a systematic way to lock in profits. Remember that while the example here focuses on buying, the process remains the same for selling, with the Fibonacci levels adjusted accordingly. Incorporating Fibonacci retracement levels into your trading strategy can be a game-changer, helping you trade with greater discipline and consistency. The key is to trust the numbers and your predetermined plan, allowing you to make more informed trading decisions and ultimately enhance your overall trading performance.
Education
by Wiiso
Forex: The Impact of (Geo)Political Factors.In the vast expanse of the currency market, where fortunes are made and lost in the blink of an eye, understanding the multifaceted risks is crucial. Beyond the charts and technical indicators lies a force often underestimated — geopolitical risk. In this exploration, we unravel the intricacies of geopolitical risks and delve into the political factors that cast a profound shadow over the forex market. I. Decoding Geopolitics: To comprehend the significance of geopolitical risk, one must first grasp the term "geopolitical." It involves the intricate study of how geography, political systems, and international relations intersect to mold global politics. Geopolitics explores the strategic importance of geographic spaces, resource distribution, and the influence of political power on a global scale. In essence, it is the lens through which we examine the interplay between geography and political dynamics to fathom how nations behave on the world stage. II. The Unseen Forces: Geopolitical Risks in Forex Geopolitical risks are potent influencers in the currency market, steering exchange rates and market sentiment. Several factors contribute to this influence: Political Instability and Unrest: Civil unrest and regime changes breed uncertainty, impacting investor confidence and currency values. Trade Tensions: Disputes between major economies create market uncertainty, affecting trade flows and currency values. Military Conflicts: Armed conflicts or geopolitical tensions can prompt currency depreciation as investors perceive heightened risk. Terrorism: Acts of terrorism introduce fear, potentially leading to currency depreciation in affected countries. Economic Sanctions: Imposing sanctions disrupts trade and financial transactions, influencing a country's currency value. Political Leadership and Policy Changes: Shifts in political leadership or policy direction induce currency volatility by impacting investor confidence. Natural Disasters: While not strictly geopolitical, natural disasters can disrupt economies and influence currency values. Global Health Crises: Pandemics impact global trade and currencies through measures like lockdowns and travel restrictions. Brexit-Like Events: Instances where countries contemplate leaving unions create uncertainty with repercussions for currency markets. III. The Forex Symphony: How Geopolitical Risks Conduct the Orchestra Geopolitical risks impact the forex market through a complex interplay of economic and political factors. Heightened geopolitical risk injects uncertainty, prompting investors to seek safe-haven assets. Currencies such as the US dollar, Japanese yen, and Swiss franc often benefit as investors flock to stability during times of crisis. Political dynamics play a pivotal role in shaping the forex market: Government Stability and Policies: Political stability and policy implementation influence investor confidence and currency values. Economic Policies and Reforms: Political decisions on economic policies impact a country's economic outlook and currency values. Political Events and Elections: Elections inject uncertainty, affecting market sentiment as traders anticipate political changes. Trade Policies and Agreements: Political decisions on trade policies influence currency values, introducing volatility to the forex market. Central Bank Actions: Central banks' decisions, influenced by politics, impact currency values as traders monitor monetary policy shifts. Government Debt and Budget Deficits: Political decisions on fiscal policies influence a country's debt levels and fiscal health, impacting the currency. Corruption and Governance Issues: High levels of corruption erode investor confidence, influencing currency values. Social and Political Stability: Broader stability in social and political realms influences the forex market and investor perceptions. Public Perception and Confidence: Political factors shape public confidence, impacting economic activities and currency values. In the sea of the forex market, geopolitical risks and political factors are the unseen currents shaping its course. Traders and investors must master the art of navigating these turbulent waters, understanding that beyond charts and algorithms, the geopolitical landscape and political dynamics are the true captains of the ship. In this ever-evolving arena, adaptability, foresight, and a keen understanding of geopolitics are the compasses guiding traders to success in the unpredictable world of currency trading. The geopolitical events stand as formidable forces capable of reshaping exchange rates and creating market volatility. From Brexit to trade wars and geopolitical tensions, understanding the historical impact of these events on currency markets is crucial for traders seeking to navigate the tumultuous seas of forex. This article explores notable geopolitical events that have left an indelible mark on exchange rates and provides strategic insights on mitigating the associated risks. Geopolitical Events and Their Impact: Brexit (2016): The UK's decision to exit the EU led to a sharp decline in the British pound, reflecting uncertainty about the economic consequences of the separation. GBP/USD sharp drop in 2016 US-China Trade War (2018-2019): Trade tensions between the US and China influenced exchange rates, with the Chinese yuan being particularly sensitive to developments in the trade dispute. European Debt Crisis (2010-2012): The sovereign debt crisis in the Eurozone led to fluctuations in the euro as concerns about the stability of the currency and the future of the EU affected exchange rates. EUR/USD fluctuations throughout 2010-2012 Russian Annexation of Crimea (2014): Geopolitical tensions and sanctions imposed by Western countries led to a significant depreciation of the Russian ruble. Arab Spring (2010-2012): Political uprisings across Arab countries caused volatility in currencies like the Egyptian pound and the Tunisian dinar. North Korean Nuclear Tests (2017): Geopolitical tensions resulting from North Korea's nuclear tests impacted currencies in the Asia-Pacific region, including the Japanese yen and the South Korean won. 9/11 Attacks (2001): The terrorist attacks had far-reaching consequences on global financial markets, influencing the US dollar over the longer term. Dollar Index after 9/11 US Invasion of Iraq (2003): Geopolitical events surrounding the invasion led to increased uncertainty and affected currencies in the Middle East, notably the Iraqi dinar. Mitigating Geopolitical Risks: Strategies for Forex Traders Stay Informed: Regularly follow reputable news sources to stay informed about political events, economic indicators, and policy decisions that could impact the forex market. Diversify Your Portfolio: Avoid overconcentration in a single currency or region. Diversification spreads risk and minimizes the impact of adverse geopolitical events on specific positions. Use Risk Management Tools: Implement tools such as Stop Loss and Take Profit orders to limit potential losses and secure gains. Setting appropriate risk-reward ratios enhances effective trade management. Monitor Economic Indicators: Keep an eye on economic indicators affected by geopolitical events. Understanding the economic fundamentals of traded currencies helps anticipate market reactions. Understand Correlations: Be aware of correlations between currencies and other assets, helping gauge potential spillover effects from other markets during times of geopolitical uncertainty. Utilize Safe-Haven Currencies: Allocate a portion of your portfolio to safe-haven currencies, such as the US dollar, Japanese yen, or Swiss franc, during heightened geopolitical uncertainty. Stay Flexible: Be prepared to adapt your trading strategy based on changing geopolitical conditions. Flexibility is key to adjusting your approach in response to evolving circumstances. Regularly Review and Reassess: Periodically review and reassess your trading strategy in light of changing geopolitical conditions. Markets can shift, and adjusting your strategy is crucial to remain relevant. Conclusion: In the dynamic world of forex trading, geopolitical risks are inherent, and their impact on exchange rates is undeniable. Traders armed with historical insights and proactive risk management strategies can navigate these uncertainties with confidence. While eliminating all risks is impossible, staying informed, diversifying portfolios, and employing risk management tools empower traders to weather the storms and emerge resilient in the face of geopolitical challenges. Embracing these approaches not only limits potential losses but also positions traders to seize opportunities in the ever-changing forex landscape.
Education
by FOREXN1
1
Understanding GDP Growth: A Key Indicator of Economic HealthIntroduction Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth is a crucial economic indicator that provides insight into the overall health and performance of a country's economy. As a comprehensive measure of a nation's economic activity, GDP growth reflects the value of all goods and services produced within a country over a specific period. In this article, we will explore the significance of GDP growth, its components, and the impact it has on various aspects of a nation's well-being. Definition and Components of GDP GDP is the total value of all goods and services produced within a country's borders in a given time frame. It is commonly calculated quarterly and annually. There are three main ways to measure GDP: the production approach, the income approach, and the expenditure approach. Each approach provides a unique perspective on economic activity. Production Approach: This method calculates GDP by adding up all the value-added at each stage of production. It includes the value of intermediate goods and services to avoid double counting. Income Approach: GDP can also be measured by summing up all the incomes earned by individuals and businesses within a country, including wages, profits, and taxes minus subsidies. Expenditure Approach: This approach calculates GDP by summing up all the expenditures made in the economy. It includes consumption, investment, government spending, and net exports (exports minus imports). Importance Here are some of the primary reasons why GDP growth is considered important: Economic Health - GDP growth is a fundamental measure of a country's economic health. A positive growth rate indicates that the economy is expanding, producing more goods and services over time. This growth is essential for creating jobs, increasing incomes, and improving overall living standards. Job Creation - A growing economy often leads to increased employment opportunities. As businesses expand to meet rising demand for goods and services, they hire more workers, reducing unemployment rates and contributing to a more robust labor market. Income Generation - GDP growth is linked to the overall income generated within a country. As the economy expands, incomes generally rise, providing individuals and households with more financial resources. This, in turn, contributes to an improvement in the standard of living. Investment Climate - Investors and businesses often use GDP growth as a critical factor in assessing the attractiveness of a country for investment. A growing economy suggests potential opportunities for businesses to thrive, encouraging both domestic and foreign investments. Government Policy - Policymakers use GDP growth data to formulate economic policies. High GDP growth rates may lead to expansionary policies aimed at sustaining economic momentum, while low or negative growth rates may prompt policymakers to adopt measures to stimulate economic activity. Consumer and Business Confidence - Positive GDP growth contributes to increased confidence among consumers and businesses. When people perceive a growing economy, they are more likely to spend money, and businesses are more inclined to invest and expand. International Competitiveness - A country with a strong and growing economy is often viewed as more competitive on the global stage. A robust GDP growth rate enhances a nation's economic influence and can attract international trade and investment. Government Revenues - Higher GDP growth rates can lead to increased tax revenues for the government. This additional income can be used to fund public services, infrastructure projects, and social programs, contributing to the overall development of the nation. Debt Management - Economic growth can help manage a country's debt burden. A growing economy typically generates more revenue, making it easier for the government to service its debt without relying excessively on borrowing. Poverty Reduction - Sustainable GDP growth is often associated with poverty reduction. As the economy expands, opportunities for employment and income generation increase, helping to lift people out of poverty. Conclusion In conclusion, Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth stands as a cornerstone in understanding and evaluating a nation's economic well-being. Through its comprehensive measurement of all goods and services produced within a country, GDP growth provides valuable insights into economic health, job creation, income generation, and various other facets that collectively contribute to the overall prosperity of a nation. The three approaches to measuring GDP—production, income, and expenditure—offer distinct perspectives, ensuring a holistic understanding of economic activity. The importance of GDP growth cannot be overstated, as it serves as a fundamental gauge of a country's economic trajectory and influences crucial decision-making processes at both the individual and policy levels. The positive correlation between GDP growth and job creation underscores the role of a thriving economy in fostering employment opportunities and contributing to a robust labor market. Additionally, the impact on income generation translates into an improved standard of living for individuals and households, reflecting the tangible benefits of economic expansion. Investors and businesses keenly observe GDP growth as a key indicator when evaluating the potential for investment. Government policymakers, armed with GDP data, craft strategies to either sustain economic momentum or stimulate activity, underscoring the pivotal role GDP growth plays in shaping economic policies. The ripple effects of GDP growth extend to consumer and business confidence, international competitiveness, government revenues, and effective debt management. A growing economy not only instills confidence but also attracts global trade and investment, positioning the nation favorably on the international stage. Perhaps most importantly, sustainable GDP growth is intricately linked to poverty reduction. As the economy expands, opportunities for employment and income generation increase, contributing to the uplifting of individuals and communities from poverty. In essence, the study of GDP growth goes beyond mere economic statistics; it serves as a compass guiding nations towards prosperity, inclusive development, and an improved quality of life for their citizens. Recognizing the multi-dimensional impact of GDP growth enables policymakers, businesses, and individuals to make informed decisions that foster long-term economic well-being and societal advancement.
FRED:GDPEducation
by financialflagship
Reading multi timeframe Secrethello everyone, this is my first video tutorial on this website. I hope I explained everything properly if I didn't let me know so I can make improvements... I did have some people who contacted me how to trade, they liked my analysis so I made this video for them and also for people new to trading.. Or people who are already pro this will give a nice upgrade on there skills for this tutorial I used DXY which is the most important index in trading and I think it's a good start for new traders so they can use DXY to trade major currencies.. please let me know how the video was? thank you
TVC:DXYEducation
by baigxy
22
Bitcoin's Unstoppable Rise Against the US Dollar and GoldAs we all know, Bitcoin has been the talk of the town since its inception. Its meteoric rise has left traditional investment avenues in awe, and today, I am here to shed light on an astonishing fact that will leave you even more astounded. Brace yourself for the revelation! Since 2014, the US Dollar has only managed to make a minuscule move of 0.00006% against Bitcoin. Yes, you read that right! While the traditional financial markets have been grappling with volatility and lackluster returns, Bitcoin has been silently revolutionizing the way we perceive wealth accumulation. This remarkable statistic speaks volumes about the unparalleled strength and stability of our beloved cryptocurrency. But that's not all! Let's compare Bitcoin's performance against another popular investment asset: gold. While gold has been considered a safe haven for centuries, it has failed to keep up with the incredible growth of Bitcoin. The precious metal has witnessed a decline in value over the same period, making it a less attractive option for investors seeking substantial returns. Now, you might be wondering, "What does this mean for me as an investor?" Well, my dear friends, it means that the time to seize this opportunity is now! Bitcoin has proven its resilience time and time again, making it a force to be reckoned with in the investment world. Its potential for exponential growth is unparalleled, and the numbers speak for themselves. So, I encourage each and every one of you to continue investing in Bitcoin, ride the wave of its unstoppable rise, and reap the rewards of your foresight. Don't let this chance slip through your fingers; embrace the future of finance and join the ranks of those who have already profited immensely from this digital revolution. If you haven't already done so, consider allocating a portion of your investment portfolio to Bitcoin. It's time to diversify, explore new horizons, and embrace the possibilities that lie ahead. The world of cryptocurrencies is evolving at an unprecedented pace, and being a part of this transformative journey is an opportunity you simply cannot afford to miss. Remember, fortune favors the bold. Take action today, and let Bitcoin be your gateway to financial prosperity. Stay ahead of the curve, and together, let's shape a future where the possibilities are limitless. Wishing you boundless success and thrilling adventures in the world of Bitcoin!
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by bryandowningqln
3
The Evolution Of Money: From Barter-System To Cryptocurrency!Hello, Welcome to this analysis about The Evolution Of Money. Till today money had a protracted history reaching back to times where there even did not exist electricity or industry like we now it these days. Since these beginnings money constantly reshaped and emerged new forms of money that theoretically can be applied still today however it is also a fact that it is important in which form the money circulates bringing innovation and prosperity to the civilization as there are money forms although logical from its form however contra-productive for the further developments. __ The Barter System (High Phase 98000 BC - 900 BC): It is clear that in times where people did not have the ability to keep a sufficient store-of-value they had to adapt to circumstances and exchange what they had in order to receive things they need for everyday living, this form of money is called the "Barter-System". This system principally defines the exchange of goods and services against other goods and services. It was a typical hunter-gatherer-form of exchange between the individual occupations. For example, a fisherman had a lot of fish however no grain to exchange for and on the other side there was a farmer which had a lot of grain, however, no fish to eat, so these two come to an agreement to exchange the fish against the grain in order to fulfill both sides needs. This system had a lot of substantial problems as it was not possible to store any value with the goods and services, besides it only functioned when the other side also searched for the offered product therefore there needed to be a double coincidence of wants otherwise an exchange was not fulfilled by both sides agreements. Besides that there was the issue with the indivisibility of goods, for example, one had one goat and needed one pot therefore it was only possible to exchange one goat against 10 pots and now the goat holder was stuck because he could not share the goat into 10 pieces to received his one pot as needed. Overall it was a complicated exchange system that definitely could have been improved. Commodity Money (High Phase 6000 BC - 500 AD): Since it was not possible to store values with the Barter-System as there were also many goods that fouled by the times this could also be improved by the right commodities that do not foul. In ancient Rome, the Romans moved on to keep salt as a store of value and exchange for goods and services. Salt is easily divisible, it can be stored for a long period of time and it was expensive and labor-intensive to produce therefore limited in quality, besides that it was widely consumed by everybody. Additionally to salt, many other forms of this commodity money emerged such as Cattle, Tobacco, Rice, Sugar, or Tea. All commodities which can be stored over a long period and exchange properly. Together with these new gained advancements, it was a step in the right direction nevertheless there remained significant negative aspects in the commodity money these are various things such as some forms of cattle are very difficult to store because they need to be fed constantly and can not obtain a passive store, other forms like cowry shells are fragile and need to be transported carefully. Besides these storing problems, it was always difficult to transport over long routes as the commodities can take up so much room that it was simply so unpracticable to transport them over long distances. Also, there existed not universal acceptability so the two exchange partners needed to agree on the exchange of these commodities to come up with a deal. Metal Money (600 BC till today) Metal money was a true revolution in the money evolution and the story speaks for itself as it is still today widely accepted and a sufficient store of value with gold and silver holding its values. Against the commodity money, it was stable and had an inherent value as it is rare in nature as well as its supply is limited, the perfect characteristics for a natural store of value and also exchange value. As metals were already used for armors and tools and had already the value within these products this kept advancing with the first coins to be pressed in ancient Greece 600 BC after which the metallic money kept advancing into more sophisticated forms such as the IOUs and also tender coinage bringing a practicable way to pay for goods and services. The Metallic Money shaped into different forms like the IOUs where Goldsmiths backed the gold and gave people a trust which they can exchange in order to receive goods and services, so the people came to the goldsmith and bought basically gold for which they received the document to pay with. The only problem with this system was that the Goldsmiths created fake IOUs and kept spending them. Besides this form, there was the legal coinage in Rome for example with gold coins issued by the empire however the problem, in this case, was that it got debased over time as the people mixed more cheap metal like copper with the gold coins to get a higher supply, today it wont function so easily as it can be proved nevertheless in this time it marked a serious issue. Paper Money (1690 till today): The emerging paper money in fact marked a true change in the whole money system as now it was not possible to issue by everybody, now it was issued by a central authority whereas these authorities firstly existed private also the mission came more and more into central bank area. The first printed money was created in 1690 in the form of a bill of credit to serve as a promissory note by the government on its own credit, these bill of credits were unsecured paper money and at this time in the 17th to 18th century, it was still possible to have private money with private companies creating own bills with the individual exchange qualities to get into the circulation. Till today many currencies have established holding the money as it is issued by certain central banks such as the US-Dollar by the Federal-Reserve-System or the EURO by the European-Central-Bank. The problem here is that this money is printed by will and the central banks have the ability to just print more when the time is needed to do so like it was seen in the corona crisis where the money sum moved exponentially to new heights. Although Paper Money is still omnipresent and used as a store of value as well as exchange value to there are important faults that need to be improved to keep a healthy economic balance and obtain continued stable money. Plastic Money (1946 till today): In the 20Th Century, the printed central bank money moved now into the account money especially backed by the payment providers in the individual credit or debit cards. The first bank-issued cards originated in 1946 as a Brooklyn banker created the charge-it card, these were forwarded to the bank account and then the service or good was released. In post-war times further cards followed and till now there established credit-card providers which issue credit or debit cards also with giving their own credits to people that can be paid back. Cryptocurrency (2008 till today): This is the very last money form and the most innovative so far, like Bitcoins, like they invented, are limited in supply and can only be created through the mining process and proof of work they provide a sustainable interface within the blockchain which transactions are scalable and easy to use for peer-to-peer-transactions. It is not a wonder that the cryptocurrency market since the beginnings expanded more and more and several other projects emerged, there are still many projects given however the market will likely sort the not innovative ones out. Cryptocurrency marks the point in the history of money evolution where money advanced significantly from its initial barter exchange system to cryptocurrency. This is a major step and as for now, central banks are looking also into cryptocurrency and blockchain technology to implement their own central-bank-digital-currencies. There are really not many contra-aspects like in the previously stated money forms as cryptocurrency improved all the issues that previously came up and also innovated increasingly above these. __ In this manner, this was my analysis about the evolution of money which is important as the money keeps on shaping as we see it especially in these times with cryptocurrency, it is also not unlikely that these technologies will improve further, and there comes something new that is more applicable and innovative however till now cryptocurrency serves as the highest quality money forms when comparing to the other money forms. Especially it is the case that all money forms still coexist today however mainly not applicable. __ In this manner, thank you everybody for watching, support the idea with a like and follow or comment, have a good day, and all the best to you! Information provided is only educational and should not be used to take action in the markets. __
FX:XAUUSDEducation
by VincePrince
21
Using $VIX to measure Volatility in $SPY I'm sure many of you already know TVC:VIX (Volatility Index of the S&P 500) correlates to AMEX:SPY (the S&P 500 micro index). For those who don't and those who do, this is my up to date VIX chart. Please comment what you think! But the general idea is that... When TVC:VIX goes up, AMEX:SPY goes down When TVC:VIX goes down, AMEX:SPY goes up This is just one of the many comparisons I take into account when trying to gain a sense of market structure. Never use just one indication or signal to determine a trade. I also like to look at AMEX:SPY vs TVC:DXY (US Dollar). The general idea is that... When TVC:DXY goes up, AMEX:SPY / stocks go down When TVC:DXY goes down, AMEX:SPY / stocks go up Again, its important to have multiple things indicating the SAME signal offering high conviction trade ideas. And these "ideas" should be thought of in a way of PROBABILITIES not PREDICTIONS with a predetermined set stop-loss and profit target. Pay attention to market events and released data, especially the TIME those data reports come out. I honestly look at AMEX:SPY and TVC:VIX multiple times throughout the week, I do not have them side-by-side during my active trading as they don't perfectly mirror each other on any time frame. It's meant more for a larger timeframe (1H or higher) outlook and trying to gain a broader sense of sentiment in the market. On that note.. Happy Trading !! - E TVC:VIX AMEX:SPY TVC:DXY
TVC:VIXEducation
by EBMVI610
U.S. Dollar Index (DXY)The US Dollar Index (also known as DXY or USDX) measures the value of the US dollar against a basket of foreign currencies. Therefore, it provides us with an insight into whether the dollar is strengthening or weakening compared to other major currencies. This index has a positive correlation with currency pairs where the dollar is the base currency. Conversely, there is an inverse correlation. The DXY or USDX measures the exchange rate of the US dollar against 6 currencies. The currency with the most weight in its composition is the euro. It is a key indicator in analyzing the value of the dollar to determine its trend. Additionally, it can be used to study the global macroeconomic situation, as well as to gauge the level of economic and financial uncertainty at a particular moment. (🇬🇧)
TVC:DXYEducation
by FinanzasTip
1
Linking Time with Price LevelThe relationship between time and price level can be observed through the analysis of price charts and technical indicators. Technical analysis involves the use of charts and indicators to identify patterns and trends in price movements. One important aspect of technical analysis is the identification of support and resistance levels, which can help traders make decisions about when to buy or sell a particular asset. Technical indicators can also be used to analyze the relationship between price and time. For example, moving averages can be used to identify trends in price movements over a specific period of time. The slope of the moving average can indicate the strength of the trend, while the distance between the price and the moving average can indicate the level of deviation from the trend. In addition to technical indicators, traders also use fundamental analysis to assess the relationship between time and price level. Fundamental analysis involves the study of economic and financial data to identify factors that can influence the price of an asset. For example, changes in interest rates, inflation, and political events can all have an impact on the price of an asset over time. To summarize, the relationship between time and price level is complex and multifaceted. Traders use a variety of tools and techniques to analyze this relationship, including technical indicators, charts, and fundamental analysis. By understanding the relationship between time and price level, traders can make more informed decisions about when to buy or sell a particular asset. Regarding the development of price ratios, the expected price level and the expected price movement for the wave can be determined by analyzing technical indicators such as Relative Strength Index (RSI) and Price Oscillator. The RSI can be used to identify the overbought and oversold conditions of an asset, while the Price Oscillator can indicate the strength of the trend. By analyzing these indicators, traders can develop price ratios and make informed decisions about when to enter or exit a trade. Finally, it's important to note that the relationship between price and time is not always straightforward. While technical analysis and fundamental analysis can provide valuable insights, they are not foolproof. Traders need to be aware of the limitations of these tools and use them in conjunction with other forms of analysis and risk management strategies.
Education
by emad_alwan
1
The Powell meme bomb & pivotThe fed and Powell have tried everything to dismiss inflation . First ignoring it then saying transitory then changing the perimeters as to how it's calculated. Even Sleepy Joe then chimed in at one point by saying hotdogs are actually cheaper for your red white and blue lies. How about awards... Let's give Ben Bernanke the noble economics prize during this all of this insanity! How about an Oscar to a president? (Sean Penn to Zelensky) yeah why not?? Giving Bernanke an award like "Noble Economics" is like calling Dahmer chef of the year! What the heck is going on? People are so broke they can't even pay attention! Has reality become the twilight zone? or was it always? Who are these people that rule us? Can they really be this incompetent? If so why is there no accountability? Now to Powell and gang. Last year they were caught for insider trading, what was their punishment? They were forced to sell their stock, at record gains mind you. Really... that's a punishment now? No one even batted an eye. The west has become a bunch of zombie filled degenerate nations with it's citizens consuming filth at record pace even Usain Bolt would be envious of. For this charade to keep going, you need to print more zombie snacks (dollars) there is no other way. I do believe the market is pricing in an inevitable Fed pivot at the moment which could turn out to be a sell the news moment next year at some point (not Financial advice). Psychological warfare. The Psy-op being played has been ramped up to new levels the past couple years and it is being reflected in the market due to technology with access to investing now easier than ever with a device sitting in your pocket, just add a little emotion with degenerative news and voila. The Pivot will eventually come, but will be the long term effects of it? Anyone can assume but simple 101 Noble Bernanke economics will tell you it ain't good. Anyway, this is my rant for the day. Actually, I have a question. What effect do SEC (crypto) rulings have past American borders? Here is my opinion, (crypto specifically) They have no jurisdiction past American borders so the effect is limited if any. In my opinion these negative rulings will only stifle any American innovation and growth of the sector. It actually just opens doors for other countries to take advantage of it as crypto is global. Please give me your thoughts on this down bellow. Special Guest Appearance George Carlin Thanks WeAreSat0shi Stay Blessed!
TVC:DXYEducation
by WeAreSat0shi
2
Winning or losing a trade depends on your state of mindHello? Traders, welcome. If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly. Please also click "Boost". Have a good day. ------------------------------------- (DXY chart) The 102.034-105.873 section is a volatility section, and depending on which direction you deviate from this section, the movement of the investment market is expected to change. Therefore, if it falls below 102.034, the investment market is expected to revitalize. Otherwise, if it rises above 105.873, the investment market is likely to enter a recession. Where do you think DXY is heading right now? My thoughts are that I don't know the direction yet, but I think it's right. I believe that investment and trading are determined to fail even before investing or trading according to one's psychological state. The moment you invest or trade with a nervous mind or excitement, you will suffer from more psychological conflicts, so there is a high possibility that you will not get a big return or the transaction will fail in the end. So, if your mind is currently in a state of nervousness, anxiety, excitement, etc., you should stop trading and observe the situation. ---------------------------------------------- (SPX500USD chart) Looking at the 1D chart, it shows a rise to the resistance area of 4255.2-4310.8. Therefore, the key is whether or not you can ascend with support in this section. Looking at the 1M chart, the HA-High indicator on the 1M chart is long at 4419.8. Therefore, it is necessary to check whether it is supported in the 4310.8-4588.6 section. "So, what are you going to do?" you may ask. You yourself already know the answer. As I said in the description of the DXY chart, you have already made your own conclusions. However, it is only a state in which it has not been decided whether to proceed with the current transaction or to wait according to the decision. why? I would like you to think about whether you wrote down the 4255.2-4310.8 section as a resistance section. The biggest reason I said it was a resistance zone is because I think that if it rises above this zone, it is highly likely to surge. The reason why it is likely to surge is because it touched this section in August 2022, the previous high, and showed a decline. Therefore, if it rises above this range, it is highly likely that you will proceed with the purchase without checking whether it is supported. (1D chart) (1W chart) (1M chart) Therefore, when looking at charts, you should look at the 1M chart first, then the 1W chart, then the 1D chart, not the 1D chart and then the 1M chart. That way, you will be able to hold the overall picture of the chart in your mind, which will help you prevent your psychology from being shaken by small waves. However, most of them don't do that, and by looking at the time frame chart they are trading first, their psychological state is agitated by small fluctuations even before making a trading strategy, so there is a high possibility of making a trading strategy in the wrong direction. So, regardless of your investment style, that is, the investment period, you are shaken by small fluctuations, so you are sensitive to the current movement even though it is a mid- to long-term investment. In the case of day tradng or short-term trading, there is no need to see a big trend. If you plan to conduct day trading or short-term trading, but create a trading strategy based on the big trend, there is a possibility that you may not be able to stop loss when you should stop or sell when you need to split. This is the cause of fatal mistakes when conducting day trading or short-term trading. Therefore, you should create a trading strategy based on your own investment style, i.e. a time frame chart that fits your investment period. -------------------------------------------------- ------------------ (NAS100USD chart) It is approaching the 14710.6-15090.3 area, an important support and resistance zone. Therefore, the key is whether you can ascend to this section and be supported. Looking at the 1M chart, you can see why the 14710.6-15090.3 area is an important support and resistance zone. As you approach what I'm talking about as this important segment, those waiting to trade are likely to be in a very excited state. Because, once it rises above this important range, you start to think that you can get a bigger return by buying it at a lower price because you think it's likely to show a big uptrend. Therefore, there may be cases in which you proceed to buy before you can confirm whether you are supported or resisted by rising to the important zone, that is, the support and resistance zone. It is tedious to check whether you are supported or resisted, and since psychological agitation occurs hundreds of times a day, your psychological burden will increase enormously. This increase in psychological burden makes it impossible to wait until it rises, which is the main cause of not obtaining large profits or increasing losses. Therefore, you must check whether you are supported or resisted by entering the important section where you must check the support and resistance section. Even if you buy at a higher price, if your psychological state is stable, you can get a bigger profit when you see a big rise. -------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------------------- ** All descriptions are for reference only and do not guarantee profit or loss in investment. ** Even if you know other people's know-how, it takes a considerable period of time to make it your own. ** This is a chart created with my know-how. ---------------------------------
TVC:DXYEducation
by readCrypto
2
Positive NFP Data for the USDNFP May 2023 - 339,000 jobs have been created. While this sounds like a good thing, it’s also a bad thing. The entire point of the Federal Reserve hiking interest rates was to ‘slow down inflation’ by making people lose their jobs, in turn leaving them with less disposable income to flood back into the economy. What this NFP data shows is that the current interest rate hikes aren’t working, so this will now be another excuse for the Federal Reserve (really the US government) to be more aggressive with rate hikes, which will end up destroying the economy. This’ll create higher unemployment rates, higher mortgage rates (people default & lose their homes) & higher poverty. This’ll have a knock on effect on the global economy such as the U.K. World Economic Forum - “You Will Own Nothing & Be Happy”
TVC:DXYEducation
by BA_Investments
The US Treasury cash rebuild; volmageddon or a nothing burger While Congress still needs to pass the debt limit agreement, the debate in the market has shifted to the need for the US Treasury Department (UST) to rapidly rebuild its depleted cash levels. We have no understanding of the timetable, but already the debate is whether the significant level of Treasury bill issuance will result in a major headwind for global financial markets, while others believe this is pure hype. Some are contrasting what lies ahead as a massive liquidity withdrawal from financial markets – Quantitative Tightening (QT) on steroids – where we will essentially see USD liquidity sucked out of the system. The process of raising cash levels To raise and rebuild its now low cash balances, the US Treasury Department (UST) will look to issue around $1.3t of US T-bills over the following 12 months. Around $700b of this T-bill issuance will be fast-tracked, tapping up the market within a matter of months, with the private sector expected to buy what the Treasury is selling. US Treasury bills (‘T-bills’) are high-quality debt instruments which have a maturity of less than 12 months. With the US Treasury replenishing its cash balances it would be able to make ongoing payments and meet its obligations. Plus they will keep its additional capital on the Fed’s balance sheet (under the Treasury General Account or ‘TGA’) for future payments. The effect on markets The concern in the market is around the notion of a “liquidity drain” – whereby the UST remove such staggering levels of liquidity out of the system, in a short period, that we see bank funding costs heading markedly higher and USD rates rising to highly concerning levels. Could this dynamic cause renewed concerns in the US regional banks? Drilling into the theme - the potential stress in markets really comes down to who exactly absorbs the issuance, as this is key in determining the potential impact on system liquidity. A drawdown in RRP balances US money market funds (MMF) have historically been the big buyers of T-bill issuance and could again play a key role in supporting the USTs quest to recapitalize. Money funds currently have near-exclusive access to the Fed’s Reverse Repo facility or ‘RRP’ (TradingView code – RRPONTSYD), and have around $2.2t parked there, where they get 5.05% (annualized) risk-free. If US T-bills are issued to the public at a yield close to the RRP rate (of 5.05%), then there’s a case that we see money funds withdrawing a sizeable level of holdings from the RRP facility and supporting the US T-bill issuance. It is widely considered that risk assets (e.g. equities) would not be impacted when a large percentage of the USTs issuance is funded by RRP balances. In fact, some are saying this could be a net positive given there has been a scarcity of high-quality T-bills in the system of late. A drain in bank reserves would be more problematic for markets Banks are required to hold a level of reserves as a percentage of their deposit base. However, banks/depository institutions often hold reserves in excess of their regulatory requirements - this can be highly advantageous should they have to meet increasing deposit withdrawals. Instead of keeping these excess reserves (cash equivalent) on their balance sheet, they can be offered to the Fed, where since 2008 they will receive interest paid at 5.15% (annualized) through the Fed’s IORB facility (Interest on Reserve Balances - TV code: WRBWFRBL). The RRP and IORB spread guides overnight lending rates With the RRP rate currently at 5.05% and IORB paid at 5.15% this spread represents the corridor by which the fed funds effective rate (EFFR) – the rate at which banks will borrow/lend cash overnight – trades. This is the fundamentals of how the Fed sets monetary policy and to date, it has been very effective. The concern from some is where money funds have less involvement in supporting UST T-bill issuance - resulting in a comparatively low RRP drawdown – with a large percentage of the issuance supported by a drain of bank reserves. Some strategists estimate that of this potential $700b in near-term T-bill issuance around $400b to $500b of this will be funded by the liquidation of bank reserves balances. That could the scenario where we could – in theory - see higher market volatility. It’s really about a scarcity of reserves There are currently $3.28t of excess bank reserves parked on the Fed’s balance sheet - so if we were to see a $500b drawdown in reserves then this balance would fall quite rapidly to around $2.8t. This is important because many feel the Lowest Comfortable Level of Reserve (LCLoR) that must be in the financial system is between $2.5t and $2.2t. Interestingly, some feel an aggressive decline in reserves would be a headwind for risk assets – if we look at the regression between reserves and S&P500 futures, we can see an R^2 of 0.79. In effect, 79% of the variance in US equity futures can be explained by reserves – statistically, it’s very meaningful. So this injects some credence to the idea that reserve drawdown could be a short-term headwind for risk. However, where this becomes interesting, and where we would see true stress in the system is through monitoring the spread between the Fed’s effective rate (TradingView Code: EFFR) and upper bound of the rates channel and Interest paid on Reserve Balances (on TradingView code: IORB). Currently, this spread sits at -7bp, but if we were to see the fed funds effective rate (EFFR) moving to the top of this corridor and even trading at a premium to IORB, it’s at this point where the market is telling us that we’re moving closer to a scarcity of reserves in the system. This is where things would be far more prone to breaking, and the Fed will need to act swiftly. When EFFR trades at a premium to IORB it essentially portrays that the money market channels are breaking and demand for short-term loans is becoming increasingly inelastic – subsequently, those in need of short-term loans will continue to pay ever higher prices. Of course, this may not play out. We may see reserves falling precipitously and risk assets and the USD show no relationship at all to this dynamic. However, it is a risk, and we need to recognise the triggers and be open to the possibility it does cause a higher volatility regime, especially given it comes at a time when EU banks are having to pay back E500b of TLRO loans to the ECB. Price is true, but I will be the moves in the KRE ETF (US regional bank ETF), as well as watching the EFFR- IORB spread as this could be far more important for the USD and signs of increased risks in the financial system.
FRED:WRBWFRBLEducation
by Pepperstone
5
💲Learn DXY - US. Dollar Index ✅Why Be Interested? The strong dollar has been getting a lot of attention lately. Some U.S. companies are blaming the strong U.S. dollar for lackluster earnings, while economists say it's helping the Federal Reserve’s ongoing fight against high inflation. But how do you know when the dollar is strong or weak? That’s the job of the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) ☑️What Is the U.S. Dollar Index? The U.S. Dollar Index is a market index benchmark used to measure the value of the U.S. dollar relative to other widely-traded international currencies. The Federal Reserve established the dollar index in 1973 to track the value of the U.S. dollar. Two years earlier, President Richard Nixon had abandoned the gold standard, which allowed the value of the dollar to float freely in foreign exchange (forex) markets. Since 1985, the dollar index has been calculated and maintained by Intercontinental Exchange (ICE). ☑️The Dollar Index History and Makeup The formula for calculating the value of the U.S. Dollar Index includes the dollar’s relative value compared to a basket of foreign currencies. Initially, it included the Japanese yen, British pound, Canadian dollar, Swedish krona, Swiss franc, West German mark, French franc, Italian lira, Dutch guilder, and Belgian franc. Following the creation of the euro in 1999, the number of currencies was reduced and the formula for the dollar index was adjusted. Today, the basket includes just six currencies: the euro (EUR), Japanese yen (JPY), British pound (GBP), Canadian dollar (CAD), Swedish krona (SEK) and Swiss franc (CHF). ✅How Is the U.S. Dollar Index Used? The USDX allows traders and investors to monitor the purchasing power of the U.S. dollar relative to the six currencies included into the index's basket. Investors also use the dollar index as a litmus test for U.S. economic performance, particularly when it comes to imports and exports. The more goods the U.S. exports, the more international demand there is for U.S. dollars to purchase those goods. When demand for the dollar is high, USDX rises. ☑️Dollar Index Shortcomings: The weightings of the currencies used to calculate the index were based on the United States’ biggest trading partners in the 1970s. As a result, its calculation doesn't include emerging market currencies, like the Mexican Peso (MXN) or commodity currencies. It also doesn't include China’s renminbi (CNY), even though China is now the largest U.S. trading partner by a wide margin. Therefore, the index may be less useful as an economic measure than in previous decades. ✅What Makes the U.S. Dollar Strong? A combination of higher inflation, the Fed's aggressive tightening campaign and a global search for yield have all contributed to the strong dollar. A strong dollar means other global currencies have been relatively weak, which exacerbates inflationary pressures and financial market volatility. 📍In Conclusion: The Dollar Index can be used as a gauge of the Dollar strength or weakness, and it’s futures can be used to profit form Dollar moves without betting on any individual Dollar currency pair which provides diversification. However, the Index is somewhat outdated which needs to be accounted for when using it. ❤️Please, support our work with like & comment!❤️ Please, support my work with like and comment! Love you, my dear followers!👩‍💻🌸
Education
by AnabelSignals
6
Will the U.S. default on their debt?eather the US default on their debt or raise their debt ceiling; it’s a bad thing either way for the US Dollar & economy; US DEFAULTS🩸: ⭕️They fall into a deep recession ⭕️Roughly 7.8 million jobs will be lost ⭕️Unemployment rate doubles to 8% ⭕️Crime rate/poverty increases ⭕️Stocks & Bonds will be sold off/401(K) effected. Financial markets crash ⭕️Social security payments delayed US RAISES DEBT CEILING💸: ⭕️More money printed out of thin air ⭕️Inflation sores even higher ⭕️Interest Rates keeping getting hiked higher ⭕️More mortgage defaults, so more homes get seized ⭕️Banks hand out less personal/business loans, along with mortgages ⭕️USD strengthens, which is a bad thing as more countries will refuse to do business with them ⭕️More bank failures As a result, we will see an outflow of institutional investments away from equities, with an inflow of investments into commodities like Gold & Silver.
TVC:DXYEducation
by BA_Investments
HOW IMPORTANT IS TIME IN THE FOREX MARKETS 💡⏰📊HELLO EVERYONE HOPE EVERYONE IS DOING GOOD ITS MONDAY LOTS OF OPPORTUNITIES AHEAD. JUST SOMETHING ON TIMING IN THE MARKERT 📈📉📊⌚⏰⏱⏲ Every chart in trading has two axis ie. TIME & PRICE. The most ignored of this two axis is TIME, now how important is time in trading. Are there some periods during the day that are most volatile than others of cause we all know NEW-YORK session will definitely be more volatile than ASIA or even LONDON sometimes, we know news releases are highly volatile and sessions opens normally see most spikes. If this is the case why is TIME so underrated in trading or less incorporated in trading. If you are starting out your Journey in trading you most likely have already invested in patterns ,support & resistance and everything price in the market in excitement watching various economic calendars and trade voraciously on every release of data, viewing the markets 24 hours a day, five days a week. Understanding time will remove this edge to be on charts all day long worse even seeing things that are just not there preventing unnecessary loses. Unlike Wall Street, which runs on regular business hours, the forex market runs on the normal business hours of four different parts of the world and their respective time zones, which means trading lasts all day and night. But understanding where you are in this Business will limit a lot of errors and back testing with Time will give you a perception of when your trades take off and what are your High success rate sessions, if you are scalping what are your range bound sessions, what ever type of trader you are time is a crucial aspect in trading. So according to investopedia When only one market is open, currency pairs tend to get locked in a tight pip spread of roughly 30 pips of movement. Two markets opening at once can easily see movement north of 70 pips, particularly when big news is released. So understanding this will help in reaching targets timely and reduces anxiety of being range bound in red before your trade takes you out and goes in your direction 😀 Overlaps in Forex Trading Sessions The most traded & most popular will have to be the U.S./London (8 am. to noon NY TIME): This is the heaviest overlap within the markets with More than 70% of all trades happening when these markets overlap because of moves seen within this markets. The we have the Sydney/Tokyo (2 am to 4 am NY TIME): This time period is not as volatile as the U.S./London overlap, but it still offers a chance to trade in a period of higher pip fluctuation, and certain pairs tend to be volatile during this certainly especially the once aligned with the sessions, tends to also be great for scalpers as most are range bound during this sessions and scalps can dominate during this sessions without unforeseen spikes 😁 • Last but definitely not least London/Tokyo (3 am to 4 am NY time) This overlap sees the least amount of action of the three because of the time (most U.S.-based traders won't be awake at this time), and the one-hour overlap gives little opportunity to watch large pip changes occur. But this is the sessions that creates some important key levels to plan the day and execution of trades so no session is less important than the other the out come of each sessions lies with us as traders • The forex market runs on the normal business hours of four different parts of the world and their respective time zones. • The U.S./London markets overlap (8 a.m. to noon EST) has the heaviest volume of trading and is best for trading opportunities. • The Sydney/Tokyo markets overlap (2 a.m. to 4 a.m.) is not as volatile as the U.S./London overlap, but it still offers opportunities Then we have news Releases that are also based on time, if your strategy is based on capitalizing on news releases you are most likely aware of time and its importance in once trading. I don't want this to be long so basically what I am saying is you have two axis on a chart, why are you only looking at the price axis, time has to come into playing some how 🤔 Invest in time to limit wasting your time on the charts... Hope you enjoy this Leave a comment & like for more atticles like this REFEREMCES. Investopedia The Best Times to Trade the Forex Markets ARTICLE Volutrades Timing Is Everything: The Best Times to (and Not to) Trade Forex ARTICLE ICT SMART MONEY CONCEPTS By THE PROP TRADER ICT SMART MONEY CONCEPTS KILLZONES IF THIS ARTICLE ASSISTS IN ANY WAY OR IF YOU LIKE THIS ONE SMASH THAT LIKE BUTTON & LEAVE A COMMENT. ALWAYS APPRECIATED ____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ * Kindly follow your entry rules on entries & stops. |* Some of The idea's may be predictive yet are not financial advice or signals. | *Trading plans can change at anytime reactive to the market. | * Many stars must align with the plan before executing the trade, kindly follow your rules & RISK MANAGEMENT. _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | * ENTRY & SL -KINDLY FOLLOW YOUR RULES | * RISK-MANAGEMENT | *PERIOD - I TAKE MY TRADES ON A INTRA DAY SESSIONS BASIS THIS IS NOT FINACIAL ADVICE TO EXCECUTE ❤ LOVELY TRADING WEEK TO YOU!
TVC:DXYEducation
by PULEMokhothu
2