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How to Find Key Levels on Gold XAUUSD Chart Easily In this short article, you will learn how to find powerful levels on a gold chart. I will explain to you what is a key level, how to apply it in trading. We will discuss key levels and different time frames, valid and invalid key levels. I will share with you a lot of useful trading tips. First, let's start with a definition of a key level. Key level is a single important historic price level on the chart, from where a significant price movement initiated. Usually, key levels are based on the edges of candlestick wicks. Look at Gold chart on a 4H time frame. I underlined a key level. You can see how strong was a bullish reaction to that. The price tested that level, bounced up and formed a long wick. Key levels that are above current prices will be called resistances . We will assume that sellers are placing their selling orders there. Above is the example of a key resistance on Gold on an hourly time frame. The price tested 2479 level, dropped rapidly and formed a long wick. From a key resistance level, a bearish movement is expected. Key levels that are below current prices will be called supports. We will assume that buyers are placing their buying orders there. That is the example of a key support level on Gold chart on a daily. From a key support level a bullish movement is expected. Key levels that are lying close to each other will compose support and resistance clusters. Look at 2 key support levels on Gold on a 4H time frame. These 2 levels are lying very close to each other and compose a support cluster. 3 key resistance above will compose a resistance cluster on Gold on a daily time frame, because these levels lye close to each other. With time, the market tends to break key levels. If the price violated a key support level and closes below that, it turns into a resistance level. Look at a breakout of key support on an hourly time frame on Gold chart. After a candle close below that, the broken key level turned into resistance. If the price violates a key resistance level and closes above that, it turns into a support level. Above is a recently broken horizontal resistance on Gold on a 4H time frame. After a breakout, that key level turned into support. Key levels tend to lose their significance with time. Key level that is broken by the buyers and the sellers or vice versa loses the status of a key level. The underlined level was a significant resistance in the past. However, the market stopped respecting this level and it lost its importance. Remember that you can find key levels on any time frame. But key levels are not equal in their significance. Key levels that are spotted on higher time frame will be stronger than key levels that are spotted on lower time frames. On the chart on the left, I underlined key support and resistance levels on a daily time frame on Gold. While on the right, I market key support and resistance levels on a 4H time frame. Daily structures will be considered to be more significant structures. Hence, the market reaction to such structures tend to be stronger. In comparison to support and resistance areas, key levels provide the safest points to look for a trading opportunity from. Once you spotted a confirmation after a test of a key level, simply set your stop loss below a support or above a resistance. You will have a very good reward to risk ratio. Key levels play a crucial role in technical analysis of Gold. No matter whether you are day trader, scalper, swing trader or investor, key levels is the first thing that you should always start your analysis from. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by VasilyTrader
1
How to measure a true range in any asset!Hello to everyone familiar with ICT concepts! If you already understand breakers, order blocks, and the principles of price premiums and discounts, you're in the right place. I’m excited to share some insights with you, using the FOREXCOM:EURUSD chart from August 20th, 2024. One challenge I've always faced is accurately measuring the true range. It often feels like price moves towards balance, finding equilibrium before moving away again. ICT's teachings on this topic can sometimes be a bit vague, especially when it comes to the details of whether to measure wicks or focus solely on candlestick bodies. However, I’ve recently made a breakthrough and discovered the key to accurately measuring a true range! This knowledge aligns with the idea of balances, but it’s crucial to understand that when one algorithm meets another, neither has the power to deviate far from the current price. But that's not what we need to focus on. What truly matters is identifying when the price is moving away from its current state. This method works exceptionally well during trending markets, like we’ve seen recently with #EURUSD, #GBPUSD, and other forex pairs. It’s also effective in commodities like Gold, indices such as #NQ, #YM, #ES, and even in the crypto markets! Take yesterday's trend in EURUSD, for example. We saw a significant 5-15 minute trend where the price perfectly retraced to its 50% level. But how did I know where to start measuring? This time, I used a breaker from a different structure on the 15-minute chart to identify the key level. The answer lies in understanding breakers, order blocks, and supporting structures. If this topic resonates with you, I’d love to hear your thoughts! Let’s dive deeper together—there’s so much more to explore. Feel free to share your insights or reach out if you’re curious about how to apply these concepts more effectively EURUSD 21.08.2024 10:11
Education
by iochkirill
What is Support and Resistance in Trading. Key Levels Basics In the today's article, we will discuss the absolute basics of technical analysis: support and resistance levels. I will explain to you why support and resistance are important , how to identify them properly, and we will discuss what is the difference between support and resistance level and support or resistance zone. Let's start with a definition of a support . A support is a historically significant price level that lies below the current prices of an asset. While a resistance is a historically significant price level that is above the current prices. From a key resistance, a bearish movement will be anticipated in futures, while from a key support, a bullish reaction will be expected. Take a look at EURAUD pair, we can see a perfect example of a key resistance level. 2 times in a row, the market dropped from that in the past, confirming its significance. By a historical significance , I mean that the price reacted strongly to such price level in the past and a strong bullish, bearish movement initiated from that. Above is the example of a key horizontal support on EURCHF. The underlined key level was respected by the market multiple times in the past. From time to time, the market breaks key levels. After a breakout , a support turns into resistance and a resistance turns into support. Above is the example of a breakout of a key support on GBPNZD, after its violation it turned into resistance from where a bearish movement followed. Always remember, that in order to confirm a breakout of a key support, we strictly need a candle close below that. By the way, the structure here is also the zone, but we will discuss it later on. Above is the example of a breakout of a key resistance, that turned into support after a violation. Very often, newbie traders ask me, how many times the price should react to a key level to make it valid. I do believe that 1 time is more than enough, however, make sure that the reaction to that is strong . Above are key support and resistance on GBPCAD. Even though both structures were respected just one time in the past, the reaction to them was strong enough to confirm that the underlined levels are the key levels. However, historical significance of a key support or resistance is not enough to make it valid. What matters is the most recent reaction of the price to that. Key supports and resistance lose their significance with time, and your job as a technical analyst, is to stay flexible and adapt to changing market conditions, regularly updating your analysis. Above is a key resistance level on AUDJPY from where the market dropped heavily 2 times in a row. However, with time, the underlined resistance lost its significance. Such a structure is not a key level anymore. Remember a simple rule: if a key structure is not respected by the sellers, and by the buyers after its breakout. Or vice versa: if a key structure is not respected by the buyers, and then by the sellers after its breakout. Such a structure is not a key level , and you should not rely on that in the future. In our example, the resistance was broken - it was neglected by the sellers. After the breakout, it should have turned into support, but the buyers also neglected that and the structure lost its strength. Now, a couple of words about time frames, you can identify key support and resistances on any time frame, but the rule is that higher is the time frame, more significant are the supports and resistances there. In my analysis, I primarily rely on support and resistance on a daily time frame. Always remember that the financial markets are not perfect and the prices will quite rarely respect the exact support or resistance levels. Quite often, the markets may fluctuate around key levels so it is highly recommendable to rely not on single key levels but on zones. I recommend taking into consideration not only the exact level from where a strong reaction followed, but also a candle close level of such a candle. The support zone above is based on a wick and a candle close of a candle. Also, quite often there will be the situations when multiple key levels will lie close to each other. In such a case, it is better to unite all this structures in one single zone. Above we see multiple key resistances. We will unite all these resistances into one single zone. The upper boundary of a resistance zone will be the highest wick and its lower boundary will be the highest candle close. Above we have 2 key supports lying close to each other. We will unite these supports into one single zone. The lower boundary of a support zone will be the lowest wick and the upper boundary will be the lowest candle close. Here is how a complete structure analysis should look. Following the rules that we discussed, you should identify at least 2 closest key resistances and 2 closest key supports. These structures will be applied as the entries for various trading strategies. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
Education
by VasilyTrader
23
Psychological Levels and Round Numbers in Technical Analysis When traders analyze the key levels, quite often then neglect the psychological levels in trading. In this article, we will discuss what are the psychological levels and how to identify them . What is Psychological Level? Let's start with the definition. Psychological level is a price level on a chart that has a strong significance for the market participants due to the round numbers. By the round numbers, I imply the whole numbers that are multiples of 5, 10, 100, etc. These levels act as strong supports and resistances and the points of interest of the market participants. Take a look at 2 important psychological levels on EURGBP: 0.95 and 0.82. As the market approached these levels, we saw a strong reaction of the price to them. Why Psychological Levels Work? And here is why the psychological levels work: Research in behavioral finance has shown that individuals exhibit a tendency to anchor their judgments and decisions to round numbers. Such a decision-making can be attributed to the cognitive biases. Quite often, these levels act as reference points for the market participants for setting entry, exit points and placing stop-loss orders. Bad Psychological Levels? However, one should remember that not all price levels based on round numbers are significant. When one is looking for an important psychological level, he should take into consideration the historical price action. Here are the round number based levels that I identified on AUDUSD on a weekly time frame. After all such levels are underlined, check the historical price action and make sure that the market reacted to that at least one time in the recent past. With the circles, I highlighted the recent reaction to the underlined levels. Such ones we will keep on the chart, while others should be removed. Here are the psychological levels and proved their significance with a recent historical price action. From these levels, we will look for trading opportunities. Market Reaction to Psychological Levels Please, note that psychological levels may trigger various reactions of the market participants. For instance, a price approaching a round number may trigger feelings of greed, leading to increased selling pressure as traders seek to lock in profits. Alternatively, a breakout above/below a psychological level can trigger buying/selling activity as traders anticipate further price momentum. For that reason, it is very important to monitor the price action around such levels and look for confirmations . Learn to identify psychological levels. They are very powerful and for you, they can become a source of tremendous profits. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDEducation
by VasilyTrader
1
Volumes. Why every trader should be able to work with them.The third “stream” of incoming real data, which simply cannot be ignored when analyzing a chart, is volumes. I’ll try to explain why the third stream, what are the first two. On any chart of a trading instrument there are two scales, price and time. These are two real and independent incoming data streams. All Technical Analysis studies them inside and out. Price behavior is studied in the form of graphic figures, support/resistance levels, candlestick analysis and patterns, trend lines and channels, the movement of waves of price movement, using indicators, Renko charts, tic-tac-toe, etc. and so on. The time scale is divided into seasonality, quarters, trading sessions, sessions for hours before and after lunch, and simply into hours and minutes of possible manipulations (in ICT smartmoney, for example, Kill zones, macros). I would call volumes the third stream of data, the “3rd scale on the chart.” This is an independent and independent flow of data about the turnover of money, or more precisely, contracts traded at a certain time and at a certain price. All indicators and volume analysis tools do not depend on price and time in the direct sense. They work with their data coming from the exchange. A clear example... Any oscillator, for example, depends on the price, is calculated using a formula based on the price value, and produces a certain “averaged” option.” The cumulative delta curve is constructed based on data on the number of contracts traded from the exchange, and does not depend in any way on the price value; it has its own data. Volumes also include not only analysis using various indicators and clusters. And the ability to work with COT reports, open interest and other data from CME. This is also data on contracts traded by different groups of participants. And understanding how options work, all markets are closely related and influence each other. There are many complex risk hedging designs. Nobody wants to lose money. And I think ignoring this data flow and not being able to work with it is, at the very least, stupid. And simply, isn’t it interesting to look inside a candle or figure to see what’s really going on there? The price is in a “triangle or sideways”, accumulation/distribution is taking place, but is anything really happening there? Are you waiting for a rollback to imbalance (FVG), but is there this imbalance there? Are you waiting for a reaction to a level, “liquidity withdrawal”, order block, but is there something or someone inside the reaction or not? By the way, I don’t know the fourth data stream, if you know, please let me know. I'll be happy to study it. I hope the information will be useful. Don't forget to like, subscribe, share with friends, leave comments. All you have to do is click a button, and I love seeing feedback. Thank you.
Education
by Forex_Hoby
Liquidity Hunt PatternLiquidity Hunt Pattern Uncover Hidden Opportunities in the Market Introduction: The Liquidity Hunt Pattern is a powerful technical analysis tool that helps traders identify potential turning points in the market. By understanding how this pattern forms and its implications, traders can gain an edge in uncovering hidden opportunities and making informed trading decisions. What is the Liquidity Hunt Pattern? The Liquidity Hunt Pattern is characterized by a series of price movements that create a distinct "W" or "M" shape on the chart. This pattern forms when large institutional players, known as "liquidity providers" enter the market to buy or sell large quantities of assets. Their actions create temporary imbalances in supply and demand, leading to price swings that can be exploited by astute traders. Identifying the Pattern: The Liquidity Hunt Pattern consists of three key elements: The "W" or "M" shape: This is the most recognizable feature of the pattern and is formed by a series of price swings that create the distinctive letter shape. Volume spikes: The pattern is often accompanied by significant volume spikes, indicating the presence of large institutional activity. Breakout or breakdown: The pattern typically resolves with a breakout or breakdown, signaling a potential change in the market direction. Trading the Liquidity Hunt Pattern: Traders can use the Liquidity Hunt Pattern to identify potential entry and exit points for their trades. By understanding the dynamics of the pattern, traders can: Anticipate potential turning points: The pattern can signal potential reversals or continuations in the market trend. Identify high-probability trading setups: The pattern can be used to identify areas where the risk-reward ratio is favorable. Manage risk effectively: The pattern can help traders set stop-loss and take-profit levels to manage their risk exposure. Conclusion: The Liquidity Hunt Pattern is a valuable tool for traders of all levels. By understanding its formation and implications, traders can gain an edge in the market and uncover hidden opportunities for profitable trades.
BINANCE:ETHUSDEducation
by TheGreatR00T
1
CHoCH, BOS(Break of Structure), and Pullback ExamplesCHoCH, BOS(Break of Structure), and Pullback Examples Multi Timeframe Analysis Daily ----> 4H 4H ----> 1H 1H ----> 15 min 30m ----> 5m Market Structure Simplified "Ultimate Market Structure Course - Smart Money Concepts" by Smart Money Concepts 1. First Step: Find Valid Pullbacks - Signal Trends - Valid Breaks - Reversals Pullbacks are defined by when a low of a candle is below previous candle low 2. Identify deepest point of pullback - That will be the unconfirmed low/high 3. Look for BOS or CHoCH to confirm valid lower/higher high or low
CME_MINI:ES1!Education
by EaszzzyE
High LowSome corrections go for a third or even a fourth leg, so I prefer a different labeling system to account for this and discuss it later in the books. In its simplest form, it counts the legs of a pullback. For example, if there is a down leg in a bull trend or in a trading range and a bar then goes above the high of the prior bar, this breakout is a high 1. If the market then has a second leg down and then a bar goes above the high of a prior bar, the breakout bar is a high 2. A third occurrence is a high 3, and a fourth is a high 4. In a bear leg or in a trading range, if the market reverses back down after one leg, the entry is a low 1. If it reverses back down after two legs up, the entry is a low 2 entry and the bar before it is a low 2 setup or signal. Since measured moves are an important part of trading and the AB = CD terminology is inconsistent with the more commonly used ABC labeling, the AB = CD terminology should not be used. Also, I prefer to count legs and therefore prefer numbers, so I will refer to each move as a leg, such as leg 1 or the first push, and then leg 2, and so forth. After the chapter on bar counting in the second book, I will also use the high/low 1, 2, 3, 4 labeling because it is useful for traders.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDEducation
by RezaBayat
ICT Unicorn Model - The powerful ModelThe Unicorn entry model in the ICT method combines the concepts of the Breaker Block and the Fair Value Gap, providing a unique approach to identifying trade opportunities. This combination highlights a future area of support/resistance. A Bullish Unicorn Pattern consists out of: A Lower Low (LL), followed by a Higher High (HH) A Fair Value Gap (FVG), overlapping the established Breaker Block A successful re-test of the FVG which confirms the pattern. A Bearish Unicorn Pattern consists of: A Higher High (HH), followed by a Lower Low (LL) A Fair Value Gap (FVG), overlapping the established Breaker Block A successful re-test of the FVG which confirms the pattern In this trading idea, I would combine the movement of DXY and GU/EU to explain the correlation and divergence (ICT SMT). Futhermore, I want to share how powerful the ICT Unicorn Entry Model is.
TVC:DXYEducation
by MrTuanDoan
How to Trade Support and Resistancesupport and resistance levels are crucial concepts that every trader needs to grasp. These levels represent key points on a chart where the price tends to reverse its direction. By analyzing historical price action, traders can identify these areas and strategize their trades based on how the price reacts upon reaching these levels. The Simplicity and Complexity of S&R While the idea of support and resistance is straightforward to understand, effectively trading these levels can be challenging due to psychological barriers and emotional involvement. Mastering support and resistance trading isn’t just about recognizing patterns; it’s also about understanding the human emotions driving those patterns. What is Support and Resistance Support is a price level where a currency’s downward trend is expected to pause due to a concentration of demand. It’s where buyers step in, viewing the currency as undervalued, thus preventing further price decline. The OANDA:XAUUSD chart above depicts a notable support level of 2031. Historically, when the price of Gold reaches this level, it tends to initiate an upward trajectory. Traders can identify potential trading opportunities at this juncture and consider establishing long positions after the confirmation signal, such as a break of structure, signs of a liquidity sweep, or the order block. Traders can also use the bullish candlestick pattern as an additional signal when considering support zones for buying opportunities. In the FX:EURUSD pair, there is a noteworthy support zone extending from 1.0648 to 1.0666. Over several instances, the price has consistently demonstrated a pattern of bouncing upward from within this range, as illustrated in the chart. Let’s see another example of support zones with stop-loss hinting. The price level at 1.08924 serves as a significant support zone; however, it’s important to note that smart money often orchestrates moves that trigger stop-loss orders before driving the price upwards. Later in this S&R trading guide, we’ll delve into a detailed discussion of the concept of stop-loss hunting, complete with illustrative examples. What is Resistance Resistance levels are price levels at which the price tends to move in a downward direction. Let’s analyze the chart provided above. The circled areas on the chart represent strong resistance zones where the price tends to move in a downward direction in the EURUSD pair. It’s worth noting that quite often, the price moves downward after triggering stop-loss orders in these areas. This phenomenon can be observed frequently in any currency pair. The Psychology Behind These Levels Fear and Greed: These are the two main emotions at play. At support levels, fear (of prices falling more) meets greed (for buying at a low price). At resistance levels, it’s the opposite; greed (for higher selling prices) meets fear (of prices dropping). Group Thinking: Many traders are watching the same levels. When a lot of people act the same way (buying at support or selling at resistance), it reinforces these levels. Self-Fulfilling Prophecy: Because so many traders are watching these levels, their reactions to them can make the support and resistance predictions come true. Formula of Support and Resistance Pivot Point Calculation The Pivot Point (PP) is calculated as the average of the high, low, and close prices of the previous trading period: Pivot Point (PP) = (High + Low + Close) / 3 First-Level Support and Resistance First Resistance (R1) This is calculated by doubling the pivot point, then subtracting the low of the previous period. First Resistance (R1) = (2 x PP) – Low First Support (S1) This is found by doubling the pivot point and subtracting the previous period’s high. First Support (S1) = (2 x PP) – High Second-Level Support and Resistance Second Resistance (R2) This level is calculated by adding the difference between the high and low of the previous period to the pivot point. Second Resistance (R2) = PP + (High – Low) Second Support (S2) This is determined by subtracting the difference between the high and low of the previous period from the pivot point. Second Support (S2) = PP – (High – Low) Third Level Support and Resistance Third Resistance (R3) Calculated by adding twice the difference between the pivot point and the low to the high. Third Resistance (R3) = High + 2(PP – Low) Third Support (S3) Found by subtracting twice the difference between the high and the pivot point from the low. Third Support (S3) = Low – 2(High – PP) These pivot point-based support and resistance levels are crucial tools for traders, providing potential points of market reversal or continuation. The pivot point is often seen as a marker of equilibrium between bullish and bearish market forces. The Phenomenon of Stop-Loss Triggers at These Points A stop-loss order is a tool used in trading to sell a security when it reaches a predetermined price, to limit potential losses. To understand how it relates to support and resistance, consider the following analogy: Think of trading as a game where you establish a rule: if your score drops below a certain point, you decide to exit the game to prevent further losses. This rule resembles the concept of a “stop-loss” in trading. Now, picture a scenario involving seasoned players, often represented by large funds, who aim to maximize their gains in the game. They observe that many players have set their exit points at a specific level, such as 100 points. These experienced players intentionally create the impression that the game’s score is approaching that critical 100-point level. As the score gets closer to 100 points, other players become anxious and decide to exit the game (activating their stop-loss orders) to avoid more significant losses. This sudden mass exit results in a sharp decline in the game’s score. Smart money takes advantage of this situation by purchasing more points at the lower price they anticipated. After acquiring these points at a discounted rate, they allow the game’s score to rebound, ultimately profiting when it reaches higher levels. In essence, this illustrates how Informed Money, often represented by large funds, may manipulate the market by creating the illusion that prices are nearing significant support or resistance levels. This can trigger the activation of stop-loss orders by other traders, enabling the seasoned players to capitalize on lower prices before the market resumes its upward trajectory. Trading Strategy for Support and Resistance When trading support and resistance make decisions on their base consider the following points. Identify Support and Resistance in Larger Time Frames: Locate these levels in extended time frames like H1, H4, and D1 to gain a clear understanding of the market’s pivotal points. This approach not only clarifies your perspective when trading in smaller time frames but also reduces confusion. Confusion often arises from too many levels, making it challenging to determine which levels present viable trading opportunities. Patience: Wait for the price to reach these levels and look for additional signals. Utilize Bearish and Bullish Candlestick Patterns: Employing candlestick patterns at these levels aids in decision-making and enables traders to strategically set take-profit and stop-loss orders. Develop a Trading Bias: Establish a daily bias at the beginning of each week to assist in deciding whether to take long or short trades. Focus only on those levels that align with your trading bias. In conclusion, discipline is paramount in trading. It’s essential to avoid overtrading and adhere strictly to your established trading plans. Using stop-loss orders is crucial in managing risk and protecting your capital. Additionally, limiting your focus to a fixed set of currency pairs allows for a more in-depth understanding of their market dynamics, leading to more informed trading decisions. Remember, consistency and discipline in following these practices can significantly enhance your trading effectiveness and help in achieving long-term success. how to identify strong support and resistance Historical Price Levels: The most basic method is to look at historical price charts. Strong support and resistance levels are often at prices where the market has repeatedly reversed or consolidated. These levels are more significant if they have been tested multiple times. Round Numbers: Psychological levels often play a crucial role in trading. Prices such as 1.3000 in EUR/USD or 100 in USD/JPY are examples where traders might expect support or resistance.
Education
by Golden_Star1994
3
Mastering Fibonacci Retracement :Navigating Bitcoin's VolatilityMastering Fibonacci Retracement :Navigating Bitcoin's Volatility Navigating the volatile landscape of Bitcoin trading can be a daunting task for both novice and experienced traders alike. However, equipped with the right tools, traders can identify potential support and resistance levels, make informed decisions, and capitalize on market movements. One such tool that has stood the test of time is the Fibonacci retracement tool, a staple in the arsenal of many traders due to its uncanny ability to forecast potential price reversals with remarkable accuracy. Understanding Fibonacci Retracement Fibonacci retracement is based on the idea that markets will retrace a predictable portion of a move, after which they will continue to move in the original direction. The concept draws from the Fibonacci sequence, a series of numbers where each number is the sum of the two preceding ones (0, 1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, 21, and so on). In trading, these numbers are translated into percentage levels that traders use to identify potential reversal points on price charts. Key Levels to Watch The most commonly used Fibonacci retracement levels are 23.6%, 38.2%, 50%, 61.8%, and 78.6%. These percentages represent potential support and resistance levels where the price of an asset like Bitcoin could experience a reversal or consolidation. The 61.8% level, often referred to as the "golden ratio," is particularly noteworthy for its reliability in predicting price movements. Applying Fibonacci to Bitcoin Trading When applying Fibonacci retracement levels to Bitcoin's price action, traders often look for significant highs and lows to place their retracement lines. From there, the tool provides a visual representation of potential areas where the price may stall or reverse. For instance, during a downtrend, a retracement to a higher Fibonacci level like 61.8% could indicate a potential area of resistance where traders might consider taking profits or entering short positions. The Significance of the 78.6% Level Recent discussions among traders have highlighted the 78.6% retracement level as a crucial point for Bitcoin, suggesting that reaching this level often precedes significant corrections. This phenomenon underscores the importance of Fibonacci levels in anticipating market movements, allowing traders to adjust their strategies accordingly. Real-world Application Consider Bitcoin's historic rally and subsequent corrections. Traders have observed that significant pullbacks often align with key Fibonacci levels. For example, during a bullish phase, if Bitcoin's price retraces to the 61.8% or 78.6% levels before bouncing back, this could be seen as a strong signal for trend continuation. Conclusion The Fibonacci retracement tool is more than just a mathematical curiosity; it's a reflection of human psychology and market sentiment. By identifying levels where price action may change direction, traders can make more informed decisions, manage risk more effectively, and potentially increase their chances of success in the market. As with any trading tool, it's important to use Fibonacci retracements in conjunction with other indicators and analysis methods to validate potential trading signals. Remember, no tool can predict market movements with absolute certainty, but by understanding the tendencies and patterns, traders can navigate the Bitcoin market with greater confidence. BINANCE:BTCUSDT BITSTAMP:BTCUSD BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P Don't forget to check our latest publications
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by FikratTrades
6
Support and Resistance VS Supply and Demand. Important Lesson In the today's post, I will compare support and resistance levels with supply and demand zones. I will explain to you the difference between them and share important tips and examples. What are support and resistance levels? We also call them key levels. These are particular levels on a price chart from where in the past we saw significant bullish or bearish movements. Key support will be a one single level, that has a historical significance and from where a bullish reaction will be anticipated. The all-time low on USDCHF will be a perfect example of a key support. It is one single level that was respected one time in the past and from where a bullish reversal initiated. Key resistance will be a one single level on a price chart that has a historical significance and from where a bearish movement will be expected. The all-time high on Gold will represent a key horizontal resistance. That level was respected one time in the past and from that level exactly the market dropped heavily. What are supply and demand zones? In comparison to support and resistance levels, supply and demand zones are the areas on a price chart. The zones that are based on multiple touches and consequent strong bullish or bearish reactions. Demand zone will be the area that was tested at least 2 times in the past, and the price should strictly respect different price levels within that area. A similar reaction will be anticipated from the demand zone in the future. The yellow area above will a good example of a demand zone. You can see that the price tested that area 3 times, and each time the market respected different levels lying within that. These 3 tests compose the demand area. Supply zon e will be the area that was tested at least 2 times in the past and the price should strictly respect different price levels within that area. A similar reaction will be anticipated from the demand zone in the future. In this example, a supply area on EURUSD is based on 2 touches of key levels, lying very close to each other. On the chart above, I underlined 2 horizontal support levels - the single levels that were respected by the market multiple times, and a supply zone - the area that is based on tests of multiple levels lying close to each other. Support and resistance levels give you SINGLE levels from where you can look for trading opportunities. While supply and demand zones represent the areas. After a test of a supply and demand zone, the market may react to a RANDOM level within that. For newbie traders, it is highly recommendable to trade single key levels, while experienced traders can broaden their strategies and trade supply and demand zones as well. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
COINBASE:BTCUSDEducation
by VasilyTrader
5
Quad Witching: Mark Your Calendar for 2024Quad-witching is a phenomenon unique to the stock and options markets, occurring four times a year. It captures a flurry of activity sparked by the simultaneous expiration of four types of derivatives contracts: stock index futures, stock index options, stock options, and single stock futures. The third Friday of March, June, September, and December marks these critical days in the trading calendar, bringing with them distinct opportunities and challenges for investors and traders alike. Quad Witching S&P 500 Index Price Drops 2023 March -1.1% June -0.37% September -1.22% December -0.1% Average Drop 0.7% The Basics of Quad Witching Quad Witching is a critical event for anyone engaged in the stock market due to its pronounced effects on market volatility. Understanding its mechanics, significance, and impact helps investors and traders navigate the complexities of financial markets. Definition of Quadruple Witching Quadruple Witching is a term used to describe the simultaneous expiration of four types of financial derivatives: stock index futures, stock index options, stock options, and single stock futures. This event happens every quarter, specifically on the third Friday of March, June, September, and December. It poses distinct considerations for market participants. Significance of Quadruple Witching Dates It is important for those who are involved in the financial markets to mark the calendar for Quadruple Witching Dates. These days witness increased trading activity as investors and traders adjust or close out their derivative positions. This period of adjustment is a display of strategic decision-making as market participants act to manage their investments before contracts expire. Impact on Market Volatility During Quad Witching, there is a simultaneous expiration of derivative contracts that can lead to higher trading volume and market volatility. Traders and investors need to be aware of the potential fluctuations in prices resulting from the amplified trading activity, which can significantly impact the short-term valuation of securities.
SP:SPXEducation
by liberatedstocktrader
1
Domination of USDT + USDC and lows/maxims of BTC. CorrelationIn the graph, combined into one graph of the dominance of such stablecoins as USDT and USDC. Orange color—chart of the bitcoin price against the dollar. The time interval is 1 week. The graph is logarithmic. The same chart and the same parameters on the candlestick chart . All BTC price lows and highs are specially shown. Compare what the capitalization of stablecoins was at the time. At an earlier time, the dominant stablecoin was one USDT, later USDC was added. They occupy a significant capitalization. BUSD and DAI are less capitalized. They too can be added to this “indicator” of the Pumps/Dumps market. I think the dominance history and the bitcoin overlay chart illustrate well which market phase and in which areas to buy and sell bitcoins and other speculative crypto coins. Centralized Stablecoin capitalization of a decentralized market . Sounds crazy, doesn't it? The dominance of centralized in a decentralized market. The 3rd,4th,6th places are naturally occupied by centralized stablecoins such as: #USDT #USDC #BUSD. This kind of decentralized cryptocurrency financial world (freedom from the dictatorship of banks, power states, and so on) did you imagine, for example, in 2015-2017? Is it good or bad? What will happen after a while? What trend will develop further after the community bait has been swallowed? 3rd place . USDT ( .... "Reds" .... ) $67,562,687,657 4th place . USDC (Circle, Coinbase, JPMorgan, Blackrock .... ) $51,726,419,583 6th place . BUSD (Binance) $20,003,320,692 13th place DAI ETH (!) BTC and ETH dominance. Continuing on this “democracy” theme of crypto sandbox capitalization. Today 14 09 2022. Market Cap: $989,560,104,72 Dominance: #BTC: 38.9% #ETH: 19.9% Total 2 assets: 58,7% Also add 3,4,6,13 top stablecoins to this. Stablecoins over 20%. Almost 60% of the market is 2 assets. Over 80% of the market is 6 assets. So much for the true mythology of decentralization ))). How to look for a “live chart” for yourself and combine the dominance of USDT and USDC: 1) Look for the MARKET CAP USDT DOMINANCE, % 2) On the right side of the chart in the search field, press the + button 3) Write MARKET CAP USDC DOMINANCE, %. For the analysis, it will also be useful to track at the same time: 1) BTC dominance 2) US dollar index (DXY, USDX) BTC dominance BTC to altcoin dominance. Stablecoin dominance and market pamp. US Dollar Index (Fed)with prices of BTC lows/maxims. Correlation of assets. DXY and PampDump BTCMarkets Cycles. This is what it looks like on a line chart to illustrate simple correlation things. Preparedness for force majeure. I would also like to say that all stabelcoins are focused on the "stability" of the U.S. dollar. Think about what would happen if, for some reason, that stability were to be undermined in the blink of an eye. Then you are faced with a very difficult choice. What to do? Sell/buy cryptocurrency/shares? Just think ahead "What do you do" if, purely hypothetically, for some fantastic, hard-to-imagine reasons this happens. Think ahead in today's calm time (are you sure it's not calm now?), so you won't be caught off guard in a turbulent time.
CRYPTOCAP:USDT.DEducation
by SpartaBTC
24
EDUCATIONAL: F 200%+ move in 82-84I want to start periodically sharing my retrospective analysis of market leaders, that made triple digits gains during bull markets in different time-periods. The purpose of this analysis is to find commonalities in price patterns and behaviour among the best-performing stocks, that repeat themselves in each and every up-cycle throughout market history. That will help new stock market participants to better exploit new emerging opportunities. As my stock market history teacher - John Boik - use to say it: "Study the past, so you can profit in the future". Retrospective analysis of Ford ( NYSE:F ) during 1982-194: 0. Great Relative strength. When SPX (see the upper chart) makes lower lows, FORD is making higher highs on noticeable pick-up in average daily volume. Also notice who price creates a flat-base and latter breaks out (BO) from it with volume surging above average; 1. First BUY could be made here with very tight 3% stop, a bit or right after W. O'Neil's «shake-out + 10%» rule (buy if price shakes you out and quickly reverse and runs higher by 10%) after the double bottom pattern in the bottom of the base. 2. Because of the bear market nature of the general index, quick 12-15% gain could be used to trim 1/2 or 2/3 of the position to guaranty profits, and selling the rest for break-even during the following re-test of break-out area; 3. Could be bought again during the BO of perfect VCP with tight 2.5% stop, and... 4. ...sold for the quick 5-7x return-to-risk gain. 5. When the index makes its final lower-low, F's price rebases, making a higher-low, and quickly runs higher and breaks out in Aug82 along with the SnP500. F could be bought and shaked out during initial BO attempt, and then re-bought after price follows through in two days with volume support. Notice how price pattern rhythms with prior Dec81-Mar82 base. 6. This big red reversal bar with substantial volume pick-up could be used to book another 15-17% gain with only initial 3-4% stop. 7. It is already clear that F is the new market leader of this new up-trend and it makes sense to track how the price acts if it corrects to 50MA (Red line) that coincides with re-tests of prior BO point. If to zoom in into the volume dynamics of this basing actions around 50D MA, accumulation (surge in volume with closes in in upper part of the bar dominate volume on corrective bars) becomes very evident. 8. New BUY coming from this low cheat BO with massive volume support. Because the average cost was so low, one may want to move stop to break-even or tracing 50D MA. 9. Price closed in the upper third of the day - good supportive actions on the 50D MA. If stopped-out, shares could be re-bought by the end of the day or on next day BO with tight stop and low of the day. 10. Shares could be sold into this kind of climactic run above the 7 month channel line + the general market barely moves to old highs indicating relative divergence and lack of overall momentum in the market. 11. Good tight area. Could have been bought at BO and sold at BE after the BO proved to be fake one. 12. New BUY under shake-out + 10% rule with stop bellow 50D MA after it crosses the buy price. Massive volume advance on BO day acts as confirmation of large institutional interest in the stock (notice how these green volume sky-scrapers bars tend to dominate the red selling bars latter-on until the up-trend changes). Notice again how the price shows the same character shake-out pattern it made during Dec81-Mar82 and May-Aug82. As Nicolas Darvas observed that "stocks have characters just like people". 13. Perfect selling area: price moves above the channel line in negative divergence to the market (index is not making higher-highs). 14. Same type of character behaviour with shake-out and Mark Minervine's «slingshot» move on volume support, where «shake-out +10%» buy rule could be used to establish the position with tight stop bellow the short-term 8/21emas. 15. Sell 3/4 of position or all in this first evident distribution bar + the market seems tired and is loosing momentum. Very noticeable distribution bars starting to appear - some heavy selling and not much buying. Important sign of character change. 16. This low volume pattern during this up-move shows that late retail buyers are stepping in with no institutional support. That is the hint that price advance is prone to failure. 17. Definite selling signal. Price dives bellow 50MA with substantial distribution started dominating the volume pattern.
NYSE:FEducation
by artemfedorov
The Dance of Support and Resistance in Forex and Gold 💃🏦✨ Support and resistance levels are like the heartbeat of the forex and gold markets, constantly pulsating with potential trading opportunities. But what happens when these vital levels flip roles? In this comprehensive guide, we'll explore the intriguing phenomenon of how support can morph into resistance and vice versa. Through real-world examples, you'll discover the dynamic interplay of these key levels and how they can shape your trading decisions. Understanding the Flip: Support Becomes Resistance and Vice Versa Support and resistance levels are fundamental to technical analysis, often seen as static lines on a chart. However, the market's fluidity means that these levels can switch roles over time. Let's delve into why and how this flip occurs: 1. Support Becomes Resistance When a former support level switches to become resistance, it's often due to a change in market sentiment. Traders who previously bought at that support level may now turn into sellers, creating resistance. 2. Resistance Becomes Support Conversely, resistance levels can transform into support zones when market dynamics change. Traders who previously sold at resistance may now view it as a buying opportunity, creating support. 3. Psychological Factors Psychological factors play a substantial role in this support/resistance dance. Traders' perceptions of key levels can influence their behavior. Breakouts above resistance or below support can trigger a herd mentality, leading to a swift role reversal. Understanding the fluid nature of support and resistance levels is a valuable tool for forex and gold traders. These key levels don't remain static; they evolve with changing market sentiment and events. By recognizing how support can become resistance and vice versa, traders can adapt their strategies and make more informed decisions. This dynamic interplay adds an exciting dimension to technical analysis and can be a significant asset in your trading journey. So, join the dance of support and resistance, and let it guide your path to trading success. 💃🏦✨ Please, like this post and subscribe to our tradingview page!👍
COINBASE:BTCUSDEducation
by EliteTradingSignals
4
Supply and Demand Zones: Buying Low, Selling High1. What Are Supply and Demand Zones? In the cryptocurrency trading, supply and demand zones are pivotal concepts that profoundly impact market behavior. These zones act as critical areas where traders engage in buying and selling actions, significantly influencing price movements. To gain a deeper understanding of how these zones work, let's delve into the specifics. 2. What Is A Supply Zone? A supply zone, within the context of cryptocurrency trading, represents a resistance area where traders are inclined to sell their assets. Supply zones are typically positioned above the current market spot price and often coincide with prominent psychological price thresholds, such as $50,000 or $60,000. This zone often becomes the focal point for take-profit orders, and when the price approaches it, resistance ensues. Unless there's a notable surge in buying pressure to counteract the selling momentum, prices are prone to decline. 3. What Is A Demand Zone? On the flip side, a demand zone serves as a support area where traders favor purchasing cryptocurrency assets. Demand zones are generally situated below the current market spot price and are frequently aligned with significant psychological price levels, such as $10,000 or $20,000. Traders are inclined to set limit buy orders within these zones, leading to upward price movements as the appeal of the support level draws in buyers. 4. How to Draw Supply and Demand Zones? Drawing supply and demand zones is a fundamental skill for cryptocurrency traders. To create these zones effectively, traders often employ the "Rectangle" tool available on @TradingView charts. By identifying historical peak levels and bottoms where price reversals have occurred, traders can accurately delineate supply and demand areas. 5. How to Find Supply and Demand Zones? While there isn't a specific indicator dedicated to supply and demand, we can utilize tools like "Pivot Points" to narrow down these key areas. Pivot Points are instrumental in highlighting support and resistance levels, making them valuable for identifying potential supply and demand zones. When Bitcoin or other cryptocurrencies reach these levels marked by Pivot Points, significant price reactions often follow, offering prime opportunities for profitable trades. 6. How to Trade Supply and Demand Zones? Trading based on supply and demand zones is a versatile strategy that suits both short-term and long-term trading approaches. The fundamental principle remains constant: buy within demand zones and sell within supply zones. For example, suppose Bitcoin is currently trading at $25,900, and demand zones are situated in the range of $25,300 to $25,600. In this case, we can place buy orders within this demand zone and sell orders in the supply zones. It's essential to adapt this strategy to your specific trading goals and preferences, utilizing support and resistance levels as a foundational framework for drawing trend lines and setting limit orders. Incorporating the power of supply and demand zones into your cryptocurrency trading strategy can provide invaluable insights and enhance your overall trading success. Whether you're a day trader or a long-term investor, comprehending and effectively utilizing these zones can enable you to make more informed decisions and potentially amplify your profitability in the cryptocurrency trading.
Education
by Vestinda
Unveiling the Battle Between Buyers and Sellers🕯📈🤝 Introduction Candlestick charts are a cornerstone of forex trading, offering valuable insights into market dynamics. One key element of a candlestick is the size of its body, which provides crucial information about the strength of buyers and sellers. In this comprehensive article, we'll explore how the size of a candle's body reflects market sentiment, provide real-world examples, and equip you with the knowledge to make informed trading decisions. Understanding Candlestick Bodies The body of a candlestick represents the difference between the opening and closing prices within a specific time frame. Its size and color convey essential information about the battle between buyers (bulls) and sellers (bears). Interpreting Candlestick Body Size 1. Large Bullish Candle Body: A candle with a large bullish body indicates strong buying pressure. In such cases, the closing price is significantly higher than the opening price, suggesting that buyers have dominated the market during the given time frame. 2. Large Bearish Candle Body: Conversely, a candle with a substantial bearish body signifies strong selling pressure. The closing price is well below the opening price, indicating that sellers have dominated. 3. Small or Doji Candle Body: A small or doji candle body suggests indecision or a balance between buyers and sellers. The opening and closing prices are close, and the body may appear as a thin line or a small box. Relevance and Trading Strategies 1. Trend Confirmation: Large bullish or bearish candle bodies can confirm the strength of an existing trend. Traders may use such candles to enter or add to positions in the direction of the trend. 2. Reversal Signals : Small or doji candle bodies near support or resistance levels can signal potential trend reversals. Traders watch for follow-up candles to confirm reversal patterns. 3. Volatility Assessment: Candle body size can also provide insights into market volatility. Larger bodies often accompany higher volatility, while smaller bodies indicate calmer market conditions. Conclusion Mastering the interpretation of candlestick bodies is a valuable skill in forex trading. It enables traders to gauge the strength of buyers and sellers, confirm trends, identify potential reversals, and assess market volatility. By incorporating this knowledge into your trading strategy, you can make more informed decisions and enhance your ability to navigate the ever-changing forex market. 📊🕯📈 Please, support my work with like and comment! Love you, my dear followers!👩‍💻🌸
Education
by AnabelSignals
8