LONG
Aussies heading into troubled zoneThere are no promises, guarantees or predictions in this.
The Aussies have been flattening out at a top - it appears - at this time. There are only two directions for price - nothing new in that.
What happens in situations like these is:
1 - either price collapses.
2 - it rockets north.
You can imagine what bulls and bears would say to each of the above. Their inherent biases controls their minds. Biases predetermine - quite unconsciously - what logic will arrive at. Hence people get into 'predictions', then punch the air when price confirms their bias.
Both the nature of confirmation bias and prevalence-induced concept change should be studied by all traders. Some say ' What's psychology got to do with this? ' I'm sorry for some.
How does one control how wrong a bias may be? It's called a stoploss!
Disclaimers : This is not advice or encouragement to trade securities. No predictions and no guarantees supplied or implied. Heavy losses can be expected. Any previous advantageous performance shown in other scenarios, is not indicative of future performance. If you make decisions based on opinion expressed here or on my profile and you lose your money, kindly sue yourself.
NSE-HDFC - EXPECTING 1650 IN COMING DAYS & DOUBLE BOTTOM NSE:HDFC STRONG BEARISH DOGI AND STRONG PRICE REVERSAL IS ALREADY FORMED WITH GOOD VOLUME. EXPECTING TO REACH 1650 IN COMING DAYS
They have money to burn - you do NOT!FED-backed pumping or rather re-pumping of the popped bubble, has taken the DJI to unexpected levels. I think they're making the same mistake all over again.
Have a look. No predictions. I don't do predictions. Tough.
Disclaimers : This is not advice or encouragement to trade securities. No predictions and no guarantees supplied or implied. Heavy losses can be expected. Any previous advantageous performance shown in other scenarios, is not indicative of future performance. If you make decisions based on opinion expressed here or on my profile and you lose your money, kindly sue yourself.
NZDUSD Aloha, welcome to the new week!
Wanted to share a tip that has helped me save money and kept my psychology sane:
Let the market develop for the first few hours before placing a trade. Reason being is spreads are usually steep and the market can be volatile and choppy.
NZDUSD was on my watch at the end of last week and my last analysis shows that I would be going long on this trade, however, applying a the rule of "let the market decide in the first 4-5 hours", minimum, has saved me from a quick loss of -1% on this trade and countless others trades.
I like the 15min wedge for a continuation, the 50ema on 4hr, 1hr, and 15min all support my thoughs of going long. However, The daily is stil developing to either break above the 50 or reject it and have a
crash.
Any way, hope this in your trading journey!
Stay patient and wait for your strategy to play out, no need to rush it! Mahalo for reading, happy trading all!
Thank the gods above for high volatility! (FOMO)This stock was in a downward trend (channel) for quite some time then got a STRONG breakout pattern.
Talk about a CRAZY move! I wouldn't FOMO buy up here "Fear of missing out"
everyone complains about high volatility when that's how all the money is made.
I'm glad the VIX is skyrocketing in volatility.
Exciting times.
Stay profitable.
Bears vs. Bulls - ConsolidatingSimple Triple 70 MA with Momentum and ADX
Bears and Bulls are struggling for the lead as we're seeing consolidation in EUR/USD.
Be sure to check your work on this one as we could see a possible reversal in the near future. However, for now, make sure if you've taken a Long position earlier today to stay in and don't fall for consolidation until you have confirmation from multiple sources.
We could see a reversal and go down OR we could see another upward impulse move giving you more profit.
Be sure tho, to mark your Stop Losses to maximize your profits.
Want to know more about the strategy? See the Linked Post
POP! GAME OVER! 🤐😉The DAX has definitely popped! Some say that the Federal Reserve and the ECB will un-pop what has been popped. I have serious doubts about that!
When I was a child I tried sticking back my bust balloon with sellotape and blowing it up again! It didn't work. I think the FED and ECB will be taught the same lesson. They may blow some hot air of cheap money back into the balloon but I can't see this re-inflating to health any time soon. I apologise to the bulls.
EURUSD - Wyckoff and Market PhasesHello Traders !
Today I would like to share with you an addition confirmation why I shorted EURUSD. I used Wyckoff Market Phases
Market Phase:
- Accumulation Phase: During a bull market, the accumulation phase begins when the informed investors usually enter their positions.
- Re-Accumulation Phase: As soon as the price leaves the accumulation phase and the new trend becomes visible, the phase of Re-Accumulation begins. Here, more and more investors are joining
the trend and ensuring higher prices
- Distribution Phase: We are currently in the Distribution Phase. At this stage, the market is often overbought, although the uninformed traders still believe that more bullish pressure is coming.
Afterwards the price will drop .
Wyckoff:
- This analysis clearly shows Wyckoff Theory.
1) Accumulation: The big players buy carefully
2) Mark Up: classic Up Trend
3) Distribution: Up Trend runs out of the steam and the market goes down or into a sideways trading range. The big players starts shorting the price.
4) Mark Down: classic Down Trend after distribution
Proof for Wyckoff: The market is ranging now for a while which clearly proofs the Distribution Phase on GBPJPY . Afterwards of a Distribution the Mark Down is following and the price will drop a lot.
I hope you guys could learn something out of it. Very important and nice theory.
Thank you and we will see next time
- Darius.
How to invest your money(CORONA VIRUS) Current Situation MY VIEWHello Traders !
SPX500 Good price to buy? : TVC:SPX
The question is yes on both sides. Whether you are trading or you would like to invest your money. The price is so low right now and thinking long term the price will go up the next years.
SPX500 represents the 500 biggest US Companies. The chance that these companies will lose their value over the next few years is not really possible. If this will happen then our world will have a big problem and you loosing your investment will be the smallest problem.
Investing: Always a got way right now because of the Corona Virus. But think longterm. Of course we could see SPX500 dropping more. Therefore I would split my investment and purchase at different prices. For example now. If we will see the price dropping more than buy again and so on. On the long rung(5-10years) you will make nice profits. #thinklongterm
Trading: If you consider only scalping it a little bit I would wait for price to go down retesting the Demand Zone before entering the trade. Make sure to keep an eye on Price Action in order to know where to close your trade. Stocks are very violent some time and they react pretty well on Price Action Candle Sticks. So keep that in mind.
Corona Virus: What impact will have the Corona Virus on the long run for us? Actually Corona Virus is not that dangerous like we all "think". Of course it is a serious problem but we do not need to make the problem bigger than it is. You as a person need to decide if you can do something against it. For example doctor, researcher, ... But you as a normal person can do 1 important thing. To not spread panic! The crash on SPX, Dow, ... is the sum of the panic reaction of all people. Simply.
Our luck is that the Corona Virus based of facts will not affect our world much. Therefore the whole economy will recover. This is why I recommend investing your money.
That was my View of the current situation of Corona Virus and the impact on our economy and I hope you did like it. Please leave a LIKE if you like my Content that I share with you. In the comment section you can tell my your view and ask questions.
Thank you and we will see next time
- Darius.
The trouble in Chinatown!There's not much interest in the Chinese stock index here on Tradingview but the ChinaA50 is absolutely important for what happens around the globe.
The A50 is in big trouble and more trouble is yet to come in weeks to months. This is just bad news for the rest of the world really.
I'll say no more here - follow some of the price action with me on the 4H.
AUDUSD Inverted Head N ShouldersFor those that may have issues identifying inverted head n shoulders.
You can use the higher time frames to see if the picture is clearer.
The lower time frames can give you a lot and make a bad trade setup especially if you are not with the trend or not near significant price.
By that I mean if you are not at resistance or support, if you find yourself in the middle of nowhere let price touch that area first then reactive after.
You could have enter at the right shoulder at the opening of New York session, fortunately this trade had no drawdown but you could have given your self a 15 pip stop loss.
This overall trade hit TP for 55 pips it took about a day because AU is a slow moving pair.