Simple RSI-MA Algo Beats DOW By Huge Margin Over Past 100 Years!This simple RSI-MA long/short algorithm beats the Dow by a FREAKING HUGE margin over the past century (excluding dividends and trading costs).
The algorithm uses a fast SMA of the RSI as a buy/cover signal and a slow SMA of the RSI as a sell/short signal.
Backtest period = 09/17/1916 - 11/02/2015
Dow = 98 --> 17,830 = +18,094% = 5.38% CAGR
Algorithm = net profit + open P/L = +43,349% = 6.31% CAGR
Notice how the algorithm dodged both the 30s' Great Depression and the 2008 Crisis. Pretty cool huh? :)
ALGORITHM'S FORMULA (use weekly chart):
Buy/Cover = MA10(RSI10) cross> 50
Sell/Short = MA50(RSI10) cross< 50
STRATEGY TESTER'S SETTINGS:
- Initial cash = $10,000
- Pyramiding disabled
- Re-investment enabled (order size = 100% of equity )
- Trade re-calculations disabled
DISCLAIMER: None of my ideas and posts are investment advice. Past performance is not an indication of future results. This strategy was constructed with the benefit of hindsight and its future performance cannot be guaranteed.
Centered Oscillators
4H CCI Strategy 1.5Included adaptive lot size based on ATR, and also ATR based stop and take profit levels.
Risk/reward increased to 1:2 and should work in all ranging FX pairs as long as they are not trending.
Once the market starts trending it'll eat this bot alive.
Cheers,
Ivan Labrie
Time at Mode FX
4H CCI Strategy 1.4Here's the last version...quick hack job.
I'm sure it can be improved, but this is a rough sketch, code wise.
The strategy works in range bound enviroments, so cointegrated pairs like AUDCAD will shine with it.
Cheers,
Ivan Labrie
Time at Mode FX
4H CCI Strategy 1.3Still working on fixing the code 100%.
Will update with a new version soon.
This one's fine tuned for gold (tp and sl size, and contract size for a 100k account)
Cheers,
Ivan Labrie
Time at Mode FX
4H CCI StrategyJust a test...I'm not sure this will work 100%. I think the backtest is flawed (the exit parameters look suspicious)
Anyway, the strategy does make sense, maybe in live trading it'll toss good signals.
Can we apply it to our demo account here? (trading panl) Anyone?