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Top 5 reasons big institutions will never go big in crypto1- They don't need to. JPM was the 6th most profitable company in the world in 2018 according to fortune. They made $32.4 billion net profit (109 billion in revenue). They have 2.7 trillion worth of assets. Turning 10 million into 1 billion in 5 years which is the dream of many, they won't even notice. 2- They have to set up a whole department, risk management, traders, etc, just for 1 small market. Without the wash trading the entirety of crypto volume is about 3 billion (including bitmex I think), remove all the micro coins not worth looking at, and they have access to 2 billion volume maybe. The market cap of the whole thing is a few hundred billions. Sell orders of 1000 BTC drop the price by 15%... Rofl... Then half of it gets taxed and 2/3 of whats left goes in salaries and fees... 3- It is the wild west and a huge ponzi like it or not. Half of the 2015-2017 bull market was attributed to 1 manipulator using Tether. Before that the Willy bot was pumping prices. And 95% of crypto volume was proven to be fake. And MtGox got hacked. So many scams so many complications. They'd have to create a wallet and if they want to sell every one will know. So create wallets. They get 1000 times a $50 transaction or maybe worse. And it could take hours for them to transfer their BTC. And they would need several brokers to affect the price as little as possible. There are just so many complications. 4- The majority of Institutional Investors are looking for income & minimum returns. The rare ones that want big returns have no incentive or cannot join. Bitcoin pays no interest. Already it is something they are not used to. And the prime role of those institutions is not to look for maximum returns. They just want some minimum level of return then more is bonus they gladly welcome if it does not come with increased risk or low liquidity. Bitcoin has wild 80% moves in both directions. And it would be hard for investors to get their money out. It's just not their target. It's an inferior investment to what already exists. You can forget about pension and mutual funds immediately. The biggest 2. The "crazier" ones are hedge funds, and there are some in crypto. They are suspected to manipulate prices (so risk ending in front of a judge), and many ended up with 80% losses and such. Existing hedge funds that are successful are looking to scale up on bigger markets, not scale down lol what are people thinking. And the unsuccessful ones can't get clients, and why would anyone invest with a loser that now is going to gamble his last chance in crypto? Even with all the hype from 2017 very little funds were able to get started. Just a couple randoms with no previous experience, that are popular with "the masses" usually made of young gullible delusional dumb money, and managed to gather a few millions to "invest" (take their 2% fee and then flip a coin investors take all the risk). 5- They care about their reputation and emm... what do you think... They don't want to go to jail duh! Maybe this is the biggest one. They have all to lose and nearly nothing to gain. This one is obvious... Especially recently, after 2008, they have spent enough time in front of judges or members of parliament to want to go gamble on magic beans. They get roasted by senators for exposing their investors to a company that ended up going bankrupt. They are held accountable for everything. Some legit, or that seemed legit, company, regulated, that filled all the paperwork, all they do is let their investors touch it, and if tough luck it goes to zero, that's it, there is a hearing with the government. Imagine if that happened with a virtual currency made out of thin air with no legal ties, no one in charge, no regulation, nothing. Especially with every one angry after 2008. They'd get sentenced to death! Risk death to make 0.25% mmmyeah they are NEVER going to go into crypto if they have half a brain. 1 counter argument no one ever cared about, but they will start caring about once the shills tell them it will bring institutions in: in 2020 CME is launching Bitcoin options. Crypto "investors" care about ONE thing and ONE thing only: reasons for price to go up. They care about NOTHING other than this, it's insane. There's probably going to be another risible "bull market start" in early 2020 with CME options and The Halving™
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by MrRenev
11
Who can make money in this market?The market still has no direction, so no effort to prejudge what point entry, I see is the right signal, break through ma18 again, otherwise wait for macd to form a long trend. Talking about some of the logic of trading today, which I've repeatedly stressed before, analysis and trading are two levels of things. A lot of people always say they want to make money, but what they do is make themselves analysts. For example, in business, do you have a special course to study to make money? The so-called money making, is a very broad concept, he is low buy high selling. No matter what profession you study, what industry you are engaged in, your education, your age, we are all equal in terms of making money, and the threshold is as high. So if you want to make money, not to study that profession, but to understand the logic of making money. Similarly, when we do financial market trading, don't people who don't know technical analysis make money? On the contrary, many people analyze very well, but they don't make any money. I'm a very good example myself (sneaking). What you need as an analyst is rationality and rigour. As comprehensive as possible analysis of the market, away from the market can remain sober, not involved in trading to maintain reason. A person can have both trading and analysis skills, is a real master, but such a rare, Soros, Williams is a top master, but there are a few people think you can match them? So we look at the big institutions, but also the research team and the trading team separate, is to play their strengths. In terms of trading alone, it is not difficult. As the martial arts novel says: if you are very fast, you can beat the world invincible. Trading is the faster decision-making when the market changes, and if you think more, you lose the opportunity. But before trading, you need to understand the trend, know the trading strategy, set a take profit stop. Whose job is these? Analysts! So a team, an analyst and a trader all have to have it. But as a small investor, it's hard to build your own team. If you want to make money, see if you're a highly executive person. If not, advise you not to mix in this "head tied to the waist of the pants" market, it is better to find a safer way to manage money. If you have the potential of a trader, then the next step is to find a good analyst and keep tracking. Find your own rhythm and trading patterns and take analyst analysis to complete your own trades. Of course, this is only a theoretical analysis. In the real world, due to our cognitive barriers, we often misposition ourselves. Isn't it? How many people feel they are not a good trader?
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL2Education
by peter-l
The Market Cycle of EmotionsWhen things are great, we feel that nothing can stop us. And when things go bad, we look to take drastic action. Because emotions can be such a threat to an investor's financial health, it is important to be aware of them. This awareness can then protect you from the negative consequences of impulsive and irrational reactions to these emotions. 1: Optimism, thrill and euphoria Investors all start with optimism. We commonly expect things to go our way, or we tend to expect a return for the risk of investing. As expectations are met, it is common to get excited about the possibility of even greater returns and the excitement becomes thrilling as the returns exceed expectations. At the top of the cycle is when investors experience euphoria. But it is here where investors are at the point of maximum financial risk. When we believe everything we touch turns to gold, we fool ourselves into believing we can beat the market, we cannot make mistakes, that excessive returns are commonplace and that we can tolerate higher levels of risk. 2: Complacency, denial, hope The second phase of the cycle occurs when the market stops meeting our new lofty expectations and begins to turn. At first, we anxiously watch the market for any signs of direction. Anxiety turns to denial and then quickly to fear, as the value of the investments decline. Many people will then start to act defensively and may think about switching out of riskier assets to more defensive shares or other asset classes such as bonds. 3: Panic, capitulation, despondency In the third phase of the cycle, the realities of a bear market come to the fore and an investor may become desperate. Many panic and withdraw from the market altogether – afraid of further losses. Those who persevere become despondent and wonder whether the markets are ever going to recover and whether they should be there at all. Ironically, at these times, an investor will commonly fail to recognize they are actually at the point of maximum financial opportunity. 4: Skepticism, caution, worry In the fourth stage of the cycle, investors may experience some skepticism when markets start to rise. They often have a sense of caution or worry, wondering if market growth will last.—and may be reluctant to invest money in the market at a point when prices are still relatively low and opportunities are attractive. What are the consequences of this emotional roller-coaster? Emotions turn rational investors into irrational investors. So it is important to remember that markets move and investments will always go in and out of favour. Developed, diversified long-term financial plans are placed in jeopardy when investors are confronted by extraordinary events because we are guided by our emotions. This is where the role of the financial advisor is of utmost importance – your advisor can help you separate your emotions from reality and endeavour to steer you on the path of rational investing. You can also help to avoid the emotional roller coaster by being aware of the emotions you are likely to experience. The five most common behavioural pitfalls are: Overconfidence – when investors over-rate their ability to select winning shares or investment managers. Loss aversion – research indicates a loss causes about twice as much pain as a gain causes pleasure. During periods of market volatility investors experience the sense of loss more acutely. Chasing past performance – we see this time and time again, but unfortunately, individual investors who abandon a well-diversified portfolio for bonds, or even cash, may be jeopardizing their future financial security. Timing the market – It is difficult to correctly predict the market's movements. Failure to rebalance – the risk/return characteristics of an investor's portfolio should be independent of what's happening in the market and this means selling high and buying low.* The temptation to fall into one of these traps can be resisted by developing and committing to a well defined, long-term investment plan. This may be the best way to protect yourself from your emotions. Diversification does not assure a profit and does not protect against loss in declining markets. People do not change over time. Information and actions of the consonant received information people do the same actions. Also I recommend reading these charts
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by EXCAVO
70
When to buy. Here's an idea using BTCUSD Shorts 20 MA.Using 20MA Bitcoin Shorts. When to buy. Looked for long drops in MA ending with double bottoms (27 & 29 Jan, 21 & 25 Otc) and studied those bars to draw interesting breakout levels. In this study a close above $8371.3 looks key for bulls, and below $7,426 for bears. But be careful this is based on today's low at the time of posting this chart having already been hit, and that the end of day 20MA will be higher than yesterday. NOT ADVICE DYOR.
BITFINEX:BTCUSDEducation
by UnknownUnicorn2181194