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1-BTC

best tips and strategies to avoid losing money while trading solTrading Solana meme coins (or any speculative assets) can be risky, but there are strategies you can implement to reduce the likelihood of losing money. Here are some tips and strategies: 🔸### **1. Perform Thorough Due Diligence** - **Project Research**: Investigate the team, roadmap, and purpose of the meme coin. Look for transparency and active community engagement. - **Smart Contract Audit**: Verify if the project’s code has been audited by reputable firms to rule out vulnerabilities or malicious intent. - **Tokenomics**: Understand the coin's supply, distribution, and vesting schedules to assess inflation risks. - **Liquidity**: Check the total locked liquidity and if it's controlled by trusted third parties (like in a locked contract). 🔸### **2. Be Cautious with New Listings** - **Avoid FOMO**: Don't jump into a token right after its launch due to hype. Often, prices spike initially and then crash. - **Verify Listings**: Ensure the coin is listed on reputable platforms like CoinGecko or CoinMarketCap and recognized by reliable exchanges. 🔸### **3. Use Risk Management** - **Position Sizing**: Only invest a small portion of your portfolio in highly speculative meme coins, such as 1-5%. - **Stop-Loss Orders**: Set stop-loss orders to automatically sell your coins if the price drops to a certain level. - **Profit-Taking**: Use a systematic approach to secure profits, such as selling a portion after the coin gains a specific percentage. 🔸### **4. Avoid Projects with Red Flags** - **Anonymous Teams**: Be cautious of projects with unknown or unverified developers. - **Low Liquidity**: Avoid coins with low trading volumes or liquidity, as you may not be able to sell without affecting the price. - **Over-Promises**: Be wary of projects that make outrageous claims, such as guaranteed returns or revolutionary technology without proof. - **Excessive Marketing**: Projects focusing more on memes and hype than utility are often short-lived. 🔸### **5. Check for Rug Pull Indicators** - **Owner Privileges**: Analyze the smart contract for owner permissions that allow for token minting or draining liquidity. - **Liquidity Lock**: Ensure the liquidity pool is locked for a significant period (e.g., 6 months or more). - **Token Distribution**: Avoid coins where a single wallet holds a large percentage of the supply, as this indicates a risk of dumping. 🔸### **6. Use On-Chain Analysis Tools** - **Explorer Tools**: Platforms like Solscan and Solana Explorer can help analyze token distribution, liquidity, and transactions. - **Rug-Detection Tools**: Use services like RugDoc or Token Sniffer to evaluate the safety of the project. - **Social Analytics**: Monitor community activity on Discord, Telegram, or Twitter to gauge organic growth and sentiment. 🔸### **7. Diversify Your Investments** - Don't put all your money into one meme coin. Spread your risk across multiple assets, including more established cryptocurrencies. 🔸### **8. Stay Updated on Market Trends** - **News Awareness**: Follow Solana-related news and updates, as ecosystem changes could impact meme coin performance. - **Whale Activity**: Track large transactions in meme coins to anticipate potential dumps. 🔸### **9. Protect Against Scams** - **Phishing Attacks**: Be cautious of fake websites, wallets, or social media impersonators. - **DYOR (Do Your Own Research)**: Verify all information independently before taking action. - **Secure Wallets**: Use reputable, non-custodial wallets like Phantom or Solflare to store your meme coins securely. 🔸### **10. Control Emotions** - **Avoid Emotional Trading**: Stay rational and stick to your strategy, even during extreme volatility. - **Know When to Quit**: If you’re consistently losing or the market becomes unpredictable, step back and reassess. 🔸### **11. Use Decentralized Exchange (DEX) Safely** - **Verify DEXs**: Use established platforms like Raydium or Orca for trading. - **Slippage Settings**: Adjust slippage tolerance to avoid unintended price impacts during trades. 🔸### **12. Learn from Past Mistakes** - Keep a trading journal to track your decisions, evaluate outcomes, and refine your strategies. 🔸### **13. Avoid Leveraged Trading** - Avoid trading meme coins with leverage, as their inherent volatility can amplify losses. 🔸By implementing these strategies, you can reduce your risk and make more informed decisions while trading Solana meme coins. Always prioritize risk management and long-term sustainability over short-term gains.
Education
by ProjectSyndicate
16
Blockchain - How it works - Understanding Blockchain TransactionUnderstanding Blockchain Transactions 📊🔗 1. Transaction Begins 💸You decide to send some cryptocurrency, sign a digital contract, or transfer an NFT. It all starts with your intent! 2. Broadcast to the Network 🌐Your transaction is sent out to the blockchain's peer-to-peer network, where thousands of nodes (computers) can see it. 3. Nodes to the Rescue 🤖These nodes validate your transaction using cryptographic checks and consensus rules. They're like digital watchdogs! 4. What Can You Transact? 💰📜🎨From cryptocurrencies to smart contracts, or even digital art, blockchain can handle various digital assets. 5. Into the Block We Go 📦Validated transactions are bundled into blocks. Think of each block as a secure container of transactions. 6. Sealed and Secure 🔒Once added to the blockchain, the block becomes part of an immutable ledger. It's like locking your transaction in a digital vault. 7. Chain Reaction ⛓Each new block connects to the last, forming the chain we call "blockchain". 8. Transaction Confirmed 🏁Your transaction is now officially part of the blockchain, recognized by all participants as final. Remember: Speed Varies: Depending on the blockchain, confirmation can take seconds or minutes. Costs Involved: Transaction fees can fluctuate based on network congestion. Consensus Powers: Different blockchains use methods like Proof of Work or Stake to agree on the chain's state. This is your basic journey through a blockchain transaction! Whether you're trading, investing, or just curious, understanding this can give you a clearer picture of where your digital assets travel.
BINANCE:BTCUSDEducation
by DCAChampion
1
Trade trainingHello guys This time we came with classic price action training. As you can see, after a strong upward movement, the price entered suffering and made a ceiling and made a heavy fall, which caused the failure of the previous floor. Now we can enter into a sell transaction with the first pullback, and our target will be the defined support range. Now that the price has entered the channel after the spike, we can still enter into a sell transaction with any upward move until we see signs of trend reversal. *Trade safely with us*
Education
by TheHunters_Company
Bitcoin: Head & Shoulders Reversal Pattern In The Making Tradingview offers simply the best instruments for charting. We have special charting tools to highlight famous Head & Shoulders reversal pattern (in yellow). I spotted this textbook pattern today and would like to share this educational post with you. It was shaped by three peaks with the highest (Head) in the middle. The Right Shoulder reached its climax right at the top of the Left Shoulder. It makes the pattern more symmetric. There is a Neckline that intersects both valleys of the Head. Its a reversal pattern and the trigger is located at the Neckline under the Right Shoulder around $91.7k. The target is measured subtracting the height of the Head from the trigger point. It was highlighted in the chart at $75k. The collapse could be painful. This might prove the old traders saying "buy rumors (Tramp promises), sell facts (reality)" for Bitcoin.
Education
by aibek
6
How to Analyze a Stock ? Key Questions to Ask Before You InvestShould I invest in this stock ? This is a common question investors face many times But where do you begin? What should you look for, and what pitfalls should you avoid? This guide will walk you through the essential steps to analyze a stock, focusing on the business itself rather than the stock chart. Since earnings per share (EPS) growth drives returns, it’s crucial to understand how revenue growth and margin expansion contribute over time. Before buying any stock, ask yourself these six critical questions: 1.Company: What does the business do? 2.Economics: How does it generate revenue? 3.Opportunities: What are the potential upsides? 4.Risks: What challenges could it face? 5.Financials: What do the numbers reveal? 6.Valuation: Is the price justified? 1.What’s the Business? - Mission: A clear mission drives long-term success. For example, Google’s mission, “to organize the world’s information and make it universally accessible and useful,” is simple yet powerful. Does the company’s mission align with a growing trend or an unmet need? - Leadership: Effective leadership, especially from founder-led teams or CEOs with a strong track record, often outperforms. Assess the team’s vision, execution skills, and employee approval ratings. - Products: Are the company’s offerings essential, innovative, or part of a growing market? Consider their uniqueness, potential obsolescence, and innovation history. 2.How Do They Make Money? - Revenue Mix: Is the company’s revenue diversified or reliant on a single product or customer? A diverse mix offers stability, while over-reliance can be risky. - Unit Economics: Examine profitability metrics like gross margin and operating margin. Where does the bulk of profit come from? - Key Metrics: Identify metrics like annual recurring revenue (ARR) for subscriptions or gross merchandise value (GMV) for e-commerce that best reflect the company’s performance trends. 3.What Could Go Right? - Market Growth: Does the company operate in a growing industry, such as AI or renewable energy? -Innovation: Look for ongoing R&D and a track record of successful product launches. -Moat Expansion: Assess the company’s competitive advantage, whether it’s a strong brand, proprietary technology, or cost leadership. 4. What Could Go Wrong? -Market Disruption: Is the company prepared for sudden changes, like new technologies or regulations? -Competition: Strong rivals can erode market share. Analyze customer reviews and competitor benchmarks. - Moat Erosion: A shrinking competitive edge—such as declining pricing power or poor retention—can signal trouble. 5.What Do the Numbers Say? - Profitability: Check revenue growth, gross margins, and net income for consistent improvements. - Solvency: Assess the balance sheet for debt-to-equity ratios, cash reserves, and financial stability. - Liquidity: Positive and consistent cash flow indicates sustainability and growth potential. 6.Is the Price Right? - Valuation Metrics: Use Price to Earnings (P/E), Price to Sales (P/S), or other relevant metrics depending on the company’s growth stage. Compare these to peers and market standards. -Investment Horizon: Longer investment timelines can justify higher valuations if growth potential exists. -Focus on Fundamentals: Valuation matters only if the business is strong. Avoid being tempted by low prices without underlying value. By breaking a company into these six dimensions, you can turn complex decisions into actionable insights. Start with the business fundamentals, evaluate opportunities and risks, and finish by assessing valuation. What stock will you analyze next? Let’s put this framework into action now
NASDAQ:NVDAEducation
by moonypto
Trading Psychology: How Does Your Mind Matter In Making Money?Trading Psychology: Mastering Your Emotions for Success The renowned book on trading psychology, Tradingpsychologie, aptly states: “The greatest enemy of the trader is fear. He who is afraid loses.” This succinctly encapsulates the importance of managing emotions in trading. As a trader, you’ve likely experienced emotions such as fear, greed, regret, hope, overconfidence, doubt, and nervousness. While every trader faces these emotional challenges, successful traders understand that letting emotions dictate their decisions is a recipe for failure. The essence of trading psychology lies in controlling your emotions to make sound investment decisions. In this article, we’ll delve into the concept of trading psychology and provide practical tips to help you trade with confidence. What is Trading Psychology? Trading psychology refers to a trader’s emotional and mental state, which influences their trading actions. Emotions like hope and confidence can be beneficial, but those like fear and greed must be managed. A common emotional challenge in financial markets is the fear of missing out, or FOMO. To become a successful trader, it’s crucial to cultivate a sharp mindset, coupled with knowledge and experience. Let’s explore the key psychological factors that impact a trader’s mindset and pro-tips to manage them effectively. Key Psychological Factors in Trading 1. Fear Fear arises when something valuable is at risk. In trading, risks may include: Negative news about a stock or the market A trade going in the wrong direction The potential loss of capital Fear often leads traders to overreact and prematurely liquidate their holdings. A strong trading psychology means not letting fear dictate your buy/sell strategy. What should you do? Identify the root cause of your fear and address it in advance. Reflect on these issues so that when fear arises, you can address it logically. Focus on not letting the fear of loss hinder potential profits. 2. Greed Greed emerges when you seek excessive profits. Remember, Rome wasn’t built in a day, and neither will your trading fortune. A winning streak can quickly turn into a disaster if greed takes over. What should you do? Combat greed by setting predefined profit-taking levels. Before entering a trade, establish your stop-loss and profit-booking levels to avoid impulsive decisions. A sound trading psychology involves being satisfied with reasonable profits and avoiding the pursuit of irrational gains. 3. Regret Regret manifests in two ways: Regretting a trade that didn’t succeed Regretting not taking a trade that could have succeeded Trading based on regret can lead to poor decision-making. What should you do? Accept that you can’t capture every market opportunity. The trading equation is simple: you win some, you lose some. Embracing this mindset will help you develop a healthier trading psychology. 4. Hope Many traders equate trading with gambling, hoping to win all the time. When they don’t, they feel dejected. What should you do? To succeed, cultivate a trading psychology that doesn’t rely on hope. Don’t let hope keep you invested in a losing trade. Be practical and book losses at the right time to protect your capital. How to Improve Your Trading Psychology 1. Get Yourself in the Right Mindset Before starting your trading day, remind yourself that markets are inherently volatile. Good days and bad days are inevitable, but the bad days will pass. Take time to build a robust trading strategy unaffected by market sentiment. 2. Build a Solid Knowledge Base Improving your trading psychology begins with increasing your market knowledge. A strong knowledge base empowers you to overcome negative emotions and make informed decisions. Remember, knowledge is power. 3. Recognize the Reality of Real Money It’s easy to forget that the numbers on your screen represent real money. While it’s natural to take risks in hopes of generating returns, always approach trading with caution and make well-thought-out decisions. 4. Learn from Successful Traders The stock market treats every trader differently. Observe the habits of successful traders not to replicate them, but to glean insights. Incorporating some of their strategies into your trading approach can significantly enhance your performance. 5. Practice, Practice, Practice The most reliable way to strengthen your trading psychology is through practice. Consistent practice helps you build effective strategies and prepares you for market ups and downs. Final Thoughts Developing a robust trading psychology takes time and consistent effort. Continuously refine your approach to manage your emotions and improve your decision-making. To summarize, remember these three golden principles of trading psychology: Be disciplined. Be flexible. Never stop learning. I’d love to hear your thoughts and see your charts in the comments section. Let’s grow together as traders! Thank you for reading!
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by CRYPTOMOJO_TA
14
Example of how to trade without chart analysis Hello, traders. If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly. Please also click "Boost". Have a nice day today. ------------------------------------- Since the coin market can be traded 24 hours a day, 365 days a year, gaps do not occur as often as in the stock market. (However, gaps may occur frequently in exchanges with low trading volume.) In any case, I think that these movements provide considerable usefulness in conducting transactions. Sometimes I told you to buy when the price drops by -10% or more. Today, I will tell you why. -------------------------------------- In order to trade, you must have basic knowledge of charts. Otherwise, you are likely to conduct transactions incorrectly due to volatility. However, such cases are less common in the coin market than in the stock market. One of the reasons is that the current coins (tokens) are not being used for actual business purposes. So, I think there are quite a few issues that cause volatility other than charts like stocks. - If the price falls one day and falls by about -10% from the high before a new candle is created, I buy. The next day, if it falls by about -10% from the high again, I buy again. When it falls by about -10% like this, I continue to buy in installments. That's why I need to adjust my investment ratio. - If I buy like that, there will come a point where my price rises more than the average unit price. In that case, when I'm making a profit, I sell the amount corresponding to the purchase principal in installments and leave the number of coins (tokens) corresponding to the profit. If you want cash profit, you can sell a certain portion in installments. Also, on the contrary, when it rises by about +10%, we proceed with a split sale. - As shown in the example chart, you can see that there are not many cases where it rises by -10% or +10%. However, since it occurs more often in the case of altcoins than in BTC or ETH, you should pay special attention to adjusting your investment ratio when trading altcoins. That is why you must check the price fluctuation range 1-3 hours before a new candle is created on the 1D chart. This method is a method that can be traded even if you lack knowledge about charts. If you let go of your greed a little and have the ability to split sell when you are making a profit, you will be able to meet the moment when a crisis becomes an opportunity. - Thank you for reading to the end. I hope you have a successful trade. --------------------------------------------------
Education
by readCrypto
Cocoa vs BTC. Introducing Cocoa Futures Commodities TradingCommodity trading has been booming in recent months and years, as everything from industrial metals to oil, precious metals to soft commodities (coffee, cocoa) is getting hotter. Last week, coffee futures traded in New York ICEUS:KC1! reached 348 cents per pound of beans, a new historical high, and frozen orange juice concentrate futures ICEUS:OJ1! exceeded the $5 mark for 1 pound, reaching also a new all-time high. The macroeconomic situation, the continuing geopolitical uncertainty, as well as the overall market volatility caused by these large movements, create a lot of new opportunities. In addition, the food and environmental crisis sweeping across the planet (a special type of environmental situation when the habitat of one of the species or populations changes in such a way that it calls into question its further existence) is creating extreme bottlenecks in supply chains everywhere, which leads to shortages on the one hand, and a corresponding increase in prices and opportunities on the other. Both private investors and professional market participants can use Commodities Cocoa Futures to expand the possibilities of investment strategies - hedging risks and profiting from price fluctuations. For market participants involved in the production and processing of cocoa, futures contracts will allow them to better protect their income from undesirable changes in exchange prices for cocoa beans. In addition, for those market participants involved in the wholesale purchase of cocoa, futures contracts allow them to better protect their margins from undesirable price fluctuations in exchange prices for cocoa beans, which lead to an increase in purchasing costs. The underlying asset of the futures is the price of cocoa beans on foreign markets. The contracts reflect the dynamics of the price of cocoa beans supplied from countries in Africa, Asia, Central and South America to any of the five delivery ports in the United States. In fundamental terms, on November 29, 2024, the International Cocoa Association (ICCO) raised its estimate of the world cocoa deficit for 2023/24 to -478,000 tonnes from -462,000 tonnes forecast in May, the largest deficit in more than 60 years. ICCO also lowered its estimate of cocoa production for 2023/24 to 4.380 million tonnes from 4.461 million tonnes in May, a -13.1% decrease from the previous year. ICCO forecasts world cocoa stocks to be 27.0% in 2023/24, a 46-year low. Cocoa prices have risen sharply over the past months due to uncertainty about future cocoa supplies. Recent heavy rains in Ivory Coast have led to reports of high mortality of cocoa buds on trees due to heavy rainfall. Unfavorable weather conditions in West Africa are pushing cocoa prices sharply higher. Heavy rains in Ivory Coast have flooded fields, increased the risk of disease, and affected the quality of the crop. Newly harvested cocoa beans from Ivory Coast are showing lower quality, with quantities of about 105 beans per 100 grams. Ivory Coast regulators allow exporters to purchase quantities of 80 to 100 beans or slightly more per 100 grams. In other words, West Africa is now exporting at its maximum productive capacity, but the deficit in world reserves remains and is growing. The arrival of seasonal harmattan winds could also worsen the situation. Declining global cocoa stocks is also a bullish factor for prices. Cocoa stocks tracked by the Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) at three major US ports (Delaware River Port, Hampton Roads Port and New York Port) have been declining for the past year and a half and fell to a 20-year low of 1,430,974 bags on Friday, December 13, 2024 (down 15 percent over the past month). Another important factor for prices is the seasonal approach of the Christmas and New Year holidays, especially in the main cocoa consuming regions - the US and Europe. Cocoa prices on world markets are again returning above $ 10,000 per ton, while crypto fanatics in their manic persistence to get the last unmined bitcoin are ready to burn the planet Earth to hell and only deepen the food and environmental crisis striding across the planet. The main graph represents a comparison across BTC and Cocoa prices over past several months. So, what would you like to choose amid of recent rally in both assets - sweet cocoa or binary digits inside your computer? Or are you staying on the sidelines? Let’s talk about it! Send your thoughts and questions into comment box below to discuss about Cocoa Futures Commodities Trading!
CEducation
by PandorraResearch
9
Price Gap Examples - Bitcoin FuturesSharing for educational purposes only. █ Three Types of Gaps There are three general types of gaps: Breakaway Gap Runaway (or Measuring) Gap Exhaustion Gap █ 1 — The Breakaway Gap The breakaway gap usually occurs: At the completion of an important price pattern. At the beginning of a significant market move Examples: After a market completes a major basing pattern, the breaking of resistance often involves a breakaway gap. Breaking major trendlines signaling a reversal of trend may also involve this type of gap Key Characteristics: Heavy volume often accompanies breakaway gaps. They are typically not filled (or only partially filled). In an uptrend, upside gaps act as support areas on subsequent corrections. A close below the gap is a sign of weakness. █ 2 — The Runaway or Measuring Gap The runaway gap forms: Midway through a trend (uptrend or downtrend). Indicates the market is moving effortlessly, usually on moderate volume. Key Characteristics: In an uptrend, it signals strength. In a downtrend, it signals weakness. Acts as support or resistance during subsequent corrections. Why "Measuring" Gap? It often occurs at the halfway point of a trend. By measuring the distance the trend has already traveled, the probable extent of the remaining move can be estimated by doubling the amount already achieved. █ 3 — The Exhaustion Gap The exhaustion gap appears: Near the end of a market move. Key Characteristics: Occurs after objectives have been achieved and other gap types (breakaway and runaway) have been identified. In an uptrend, prices leap forward in a final push but quickly fade. Within a couple of days or a week, prices turn lower. █ Conclusion By understanding the types of gaps and their characteristics, traders can better interpret market signals and anticipate potential trends or reversals. █ Source: Murphy, John J. Technical Analysis of the Financial Markets: A Comprehensive Guide to Trading Methods and Applications. New York Institute of Finance, 1999. Chapter 4, "Price Gaps," pp. 94-98.
CME:BTC1!Education
by kingthies
1
All Stars Aligned: Bitcoin, Gold, Fiat, and DebtThis post explores the idea that Bitcoin, often referred to as "digital gold," might one day replace gold as the preferred store of value. Gold’s price (shown in yellow) has traditionally been sensitive to inflation, which is influenced by money printing, as indicated by the US M2 money supply (shown in white on the chart). Geopolitical and economic insecurity also drives demand for gold, the "safe-haven" metal. To add further context, I've also included US debt (shown in red). The chart reveals that the market seems to have found some form of equilibrium at current levels, with gold’s price finally tracking the M2 money supply and debt parameters closely. Interestingly, Bitcoin (shown in orange) has mirrored this behavior in a similar fast-paced manner. Around the $3,000 mark for gold and near $100,000 for Bitcoin, both assets are aligning with the money supply and debt trends. This suggests that any further price increases could be limited unless additional money is printed or debt increases. Of course, a Black Swan event could disrupt this equilibrium at any time. I also used TradingView’s Correlation Coefficient tool to examine the relationship between Bitcoin and gold. The correlation is impressively high at 0.87, indicating an almost perfect alignment between the two assets. The chart supports the idea that Bitcoin is tracking gold closely, strengthening the notion that Bitcoin could indeed be positioning itself as the "digital gold" of the future. Let me know your thoughts in the comments below!
CRYPTO:BTCUSDEducation
by aibek
Key Insights into Bitcoin’s Halving Cycles (updated)1. Halving Cycle Structure This chart leverages Bitcoin's logarithmic scale to illustrate its price behavior across halving cycles, providing a clearer perspective on exponential growth and diminishing returns. Key Takeaways from Bitcoin's Halving Cycles 1. Halving Cycle Structure Cycle Length: Each cycle spans 1432 days (approximately 4 years), divided into: Bull Market Phase (1064 days): Gradual accumulation followed by accelerated growth. Bear Market Phase (365 days): Sharp corrections and consolidation before recovery. Historically, bull markets account for the majority of price growth, with bear markets serving as cooling-off periods. 2. Historical Price Performance Cycle 1 (2012 Halving): Entire Cycle move: 11644% Pre-Halving having: +390% Post halving +2947% 96.65% of the entire move was after the Halving. Cycle 2 (2016 Halving): Entire Cycle move: 2503% Pre Halving: +213% Post halving +703% 91.5% of the entire move was after the Halving Cycle 3 (2020 Halving): Still going... Hypothesis: 86% of the entire move was after the Halving. Entire Cycle move: 1671.43%% based on my maths Pre Halving: +234% so far Post halving +92% so far If the hypothesis is true then 905k is the projected price. 3. Upcoming 2024 Halving Predictions Projected move: 270K USD peak if historical patterns persist and the Hypothesis holds. Bear Market (2027–2028): Based on prior cycles, corrections could range from -70% to -80%, leading to a consolidation Trade safe Tarder Leo
INDEX:BTCUSDEducation
by BTM-LEO
5
Key Insights into Bitcoin’s Halving Cycles1. Halving Cycle Structure This chart leverages Bitcoin's logarithmic scale to illustrate its price behavior across halving cycles, providing a clearer perspective on exponential growth and diminishing returns. Key Takeaways from Bitcoin's Halving Cycles 1. Halving Cycle Structure Cycle Length: Each cycle spans 1432 days (approximately 4 years), divided into: Bull Market Phase (1064 days): Gradual accumulation followed by accelerated growth. Bear Market Phase (365 days): Sharp corrections and consolidation before recovery. Historically, bull markets account for the majority of price growth, with bear markets serving as cooling-off periods. 2. Historical Price Performance Cycle 1 (2012 Halving): Entire Cycle move: 11644% Pre-Halving having: +390% Post halving +2947% 96.65% of the entire move was after the Halving. Cycle 2 (2016 Halving): Entire Cycle move: 2503% Pre Halving: +213% Post halving +703% 91.5% of the entire move was after the Halving Cycle 3 (2020 Halving): Still going... Hypothesis: 86% of the entire move was after the Halving. Entire Cycle move: 1671.43%% based on my maths Pre Halving: +234% so far Post halving +92% so far If the hypothesis is true then 905k is the projected price. 3. Upcoming 2024 Halving Predictions Bull Market (2024–2027): Projected move: 905K USD peak if historical patterns persist and the Hypothesis holds. Bear Market (2027–2028): Based on prior cycles, corrections could range from -70% to -80%, leading to a consolidation Resistance Zones: $250K, $500K, and $905K projected peaks based on logarithmic trends. Trade safe Tarder Leo
INDEX:BTCUSDEducation
by BTM-LEO
2
Crypto Money Flow CycleHello, The Crypto Money Flow Cycle is a flow model that discusses the route of investments from fiat to Bitcoin, from Bitcoin to altcoins, and backward into fiat, booking profit at every step. The model theorizes that most Bitcoins in circulation aren't mined but are bought for fiat. Before every bull run, investors don't necessarily buy mining equipment but purchase Bitcoins from their fiat money. As more and more money flows from fiat into Bitcoin, Bitcoin price rallies. At this phase, Bitcoin usually pumps more than most altcoins. At the end of the phase, investors buy altcoins from their Bitcoins. They prioritize large caps like Ethereum. So, the price of large caps rallies compared to fiat and Bitcoin. Usually, these rallies outperform Bitcoin because the investors can afford to invest not only the initial fiat value but all the profits so far. That is Bitcoin's performance on fiat compounded by the large caps' performance compared to Bitcoin. Over time, investors move the value from large caps to medium caps and from medium caps to small caps, pumping the markets in this order. Since the investment in medium caps is larger with the profit than the large caps, medium caps usually pump more, and similarly, small caps pump even more when money from medium caps flows into them. To realize all the profit so far, investors can exchange small-cap altcoins back into Bitcoin, which means Bitcoin will pump once again. Then all the money so far, which is the initial fiat value compounded by the profit from each phase can return into fiat. Usually, this is when Bitcoin suffers correction and drags altcoins with itself. That's how the Crypto Money Flow Cycle usually works. It's a model, which might or might not be true. However, I can say AI could trade the estimated phases with a success rate of over 71.23%, which means there might be more to this model than luck. Regards, Ely
COINBASE:ETHUSDEducation
by Elysian_Mind
9
Getting Started with Forex Prop Trading: Intro Guide🔸Forex prop trading (short for foreign exchange proprietary trading) refers to a trading model where traders use capital provided by a proprietary trading firm to trade in the Forex (foreign exchange) market. Unlike traditional retail trading, where traders use their own funds, prop traders operate with the firm's capital, typically after passing a series of evaluations to prove their trading skills and risk management abilities. In return, the firm takes a percentage of the profits generated by the trader. 🆕 Here’s a more detailed look at how forex prop trading works and why it's appealing: 🔸 Access to Capital Prop firms offer substantial capital to skilled traders, allowing them to trade with much larger account sizes than they might be able to on their own. For example, a trader might be funded with anywhere from $10,000 to $1,000,000 or more, depending on their experience and the firm's offerings. 🔸 Evaluation Process Most prop firms require traders to pass an evaluation or assessment phase before providing access to live capital. This involves trading on a demo account and meeting specific performance metrics like profit targets, drawdown limits, and risk management rules. If the trader successfully passes this phase, they are then given access to a live account with the firm's capital. 🔸 Profit Sharing Once a trader is funded, they enter into a profit-sharing agreement with the firm. Typically, the trader receives a percentage of the profits, often around 70-90%, while the firm keeps the rest as compensation for providing the capital and infrastructure. For example, if a trader makes $10,000 in profits and their profit split is 80/20, they would keep $8,000 while the firm takes $2,000. 🔸 Risk Management Prop firms are very strict about risk management because they are providing their own capital. They impose limits on the maximum drawdown (the amount a trader can lose), daily loss limits, and leverage. If these rules are violated, traders risk losing their funded status. 🔸 Advantages for Traders Low Financial Risk: Traders do not need to risk their own capital, reducing personal financial exposure. No Pressure to Invest Large Sums: With access to firm capital, traders don’t need to save up large amounts to trade at higher levels. Support and Resources: Many prop firms provide educational resources, trading platforms, and tools to help their traders succeed. 🔸Types of Prop Firms Prop firms can generally be categorized into two types: 🔸Traditional Prop Firms: These firms often require traders to work in-office and provide access to a wide range of markets beyond Forex, including stocks, commodities, and derivatives. Online Prop Firms: The more popular model today, these firms operate remotely, allowing traders from around the world to participate. 🔸 Fees Most prop firms charge traders an initial fee to cover the evaluation process. This fee can range from a few hundred to a couple of thousand dollars, depending on the account size. In many cases, this fee is refundable if the trader successfully completes the evaluation. 🔸 Challenges Strict Rules: If traders fail to adhere to the firm's rules (such as daily loss limits or maximum drawdown), they can lose their funded account. Pressure to Perform: Trading with someone else’s capital can create pressure, which can affect trading decisions and lead to mistakes if not handled well. 🔸Bot Algo Trading in Forex Algorithmic trading (algo trading) involves using pre-programmed instructions (algorithms) that can automatically execute trades in the Forex market based on specific conditions. These conditions can be price, volume, time, or other market indicators. Algo trading has become increasingly popular in the Forex market due to its ability to: ▪️Execute trades at high speed without the need for human intervention. ▪️Remove emotional biases, which can often lead to poor decision-making in trading. ▪️Test and optimize strategies through backtesting on historical data to ensure effectiveness. ▪️Implement complex strategies that would be difficult for a human to execute manually. 🔸what is a Bot Algo Expert? A bot algo expert is typically a professional who specializes in developing and optimizing trading algorithms (bots) for Forex markets. They possess skills in coding, often using languages like Python, MQL4/5 (MetaQuotes Language), and other programming languages tailored to financial markets. 🔸The expert focuses on building bots that can: ▪️Identify trading signals based on technical indicators (like moving averages, RSI, Bollinger Bands). ▪️Automatically execute trades when certain criteria are met (such as entering or exiting positions). ▪️Manage risk by setting stop-loss and take-profit orders to minimize potential losses. ▪️Optimize performance by regularly updating the algorithm based on market conditions. 🎁Please hit the like button and 🎁Leave a comment to support our team!
Education
by ProjectSyndicate
16
The Coin Market is Different from the Stock Market Hello, traders. If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly. Please also click "Boost". Have a nice day today. ------------------------------------- The coin market discloses a lot of information compared to the stock market. Among them, it discloses the flow of funds. Most of the funds in the coin market are flowing in through USDT, and it can be said that it currently manages the largest amount of funds. Therefore, unlike the stock market, individual investors can also roughly know the flow of funds. Therefore, you can see that it is more transparent than other investment markets. - USDT continues to update its ATH. You can see that funds are continuously flowing into the coin market through USDT. USDC has been falling since July 22 and has not yet recovered. The important support and resistance level of USDC is 26.525B. Therefore, if it is maintained above 26.525B, I think there is a high possibility that funds will flow in. If you look at the fund size of USDT and USDC, you can see that USDT is more than twice as high. Therefore, it can be said that USDT is the fund that has a big influence on the coin market. USDC is likely to be composed of US funds. Therefore, if more funds flow in through USDC, I think the coin market is likely to develop into a clearer investment market. But it is not all good. This is because the more the coin market develops into a clearer investment market, the more likely it is to be affected by the existing investment market, that is, the watch market. This is because large investment companies are working to link the coin market with the coin market in order to make the coin market an investment product that they can operate. In order for the coin market to be swayed by the coin-related investment product launched in the stock market, more funds must flow into the coin market through USDC. Otherwise, it is highly likely that it will eventually be swayed by the flow of USDT funds. Therefore, USDC is likely to have a short-term influence on the coin market at present. - As mentioned above, the most important thing in the investment market is the flow of funds. The flow of funds in the coin market can be seen as maintaining an upward trend. Therefore, there are more and more people who say that there are signs of a major bear market these days, but their position seems to be judging the situation from a global perspective and political perspective. As mentioned above, the funds that still dominate the coin market are USDT funds, which are an unspecified number of funds. Therefore, I think that the coin market should not be predicted based on global perspectives and political situations. The start of the major bear market in the coin market is when USDT starts to show a gap downtrend. Until then, I dare say that the coin market is likely to maintain its current uptrend. ------------------------------------ (BTCUSDT 1D chart) The StochRSI indicator is approaching its highest point (100), and the uptrend is reaching its peak. Accordingly, the pressure to decline will increase over time. - (1W chart) The StochRSI indicator is also in the overbought zone on the 1W chart. - (1M chart) On the 1M chart, the StochRSI indicator is showing signs of entering the overbought zone, but it is not expected to enter the oversold zone due to the current rise. The movement of the 1M chart should be checked again when a new candle is created. - You can see that the StochRSI indicator on the 1M chart is the most unusual among the three charts above. In the finger area on the 1M chart, the StochRSI indicator was in the overbought zone, but it is currently showing signs of entering the oversold zone. Therefore, you can see that the current movement is different from the past movement. Therefore, I think it is not right to predict the current flow by substituting past dates. ------------------------------------------ I wrote down my thoughts on the recent comments from famous people who say that the coin market will enter a major bear market along with the stock market. - Have a good time. Thank you. -------------------------------------------------- - ​​Big picture It is expected that the real uptrend will start after rising above 29K. The section expected to be touched in the next bull market is 81K-95K. #BTCUSD 12M 1st: 44234.54 2nd: 61383.23 3rd: 89126.41 101875.70-106275.10 (overshooting) 4th: 134018.28 151166.97-157451.83 (overshooting) 5th: 178910.15 These are points where resistance is likely to be encountered in the future. We need to see if we can break through these points. We need to see the movement when we touch this section because I think we can create a new trend in the overshooting section. #BTCUSD 1M If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to start by creating a pull back pattern after rising to around 57014.33. 1st: 43833.05 2nd: 32992.55 -----------------
CRYPTOCAP:USDTEducation
by readCrypto
Chart with trend(MACD), momentum(DMI), and market strength(OBV) Hello, traders. If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly. Please click "Boost" as well. Have a nice day today. ------------------------------------- BW+ indicator is an indicator that comprehensively evaluates MACD, DMI, and OBV indicators. Therefore, knowledge of MACD, DMI, and OBV indicators is required. I added the existing HA-Low and HA-High indicators to express the section to start trading more clearly. - The indicators have changed and been supplemented a lot over the past 6 years of using TradingView. It was not easy to express my trading method as an indicator. Because of this, I think there are people who unintentionally interpret my writing differently from what I think. So, to narrow this gap, I am explaining the indicators used in my article. Since these indicators are automatically generated by a formula, no one can change them. Therefore, I think anyone can look at the chart and interpret it from the same perspective. However, there may be differences in interpretation depending on one's investment style or average purchase price. However, since everyone talks about the same point, there will be no confusion. - When talking to each other in the community, if you talk with the chart tool you drew, you may talk differently and there may be room for misunderstanding. So, I think the conversation often goes in a strange direction because the conversation ends up talking about whether it is LONG or SHORT right now. I think that charts drawn with chart tools are not very meaningful because they only show a part of the person's thoughts through chart analysis. This is because they do not tell you the selection point using the chart tool, so interpretation or understanding is lacking. Therefore, you cannot apply such content to your own chart. So, since it can't be used as a trading strategy, I can't help but just say, "Oh, that could be possible." However, if there is a chart that everyone can see and no one can change, I think it would be easier to talk and reflect each other's thoughts on my trading strategy. I think that because of that, I can find out what I lacked and supplement it. Not everyone sees the same thing and thinks the same, but if the basic point of the thought is the same, I think it can help me make other people's thoughts my own. - Anyway, I hope that this chart change will help you create a clearer analysis or trading strategy. - The MACD indicator added to the chart is an indicator with a modified formula from the existing MACD indicator, but the interpretation method is the same. That is, - If MACD > Signal, it is interpreted as an upward trend, - If MACD < Signal, it is interpreted as a downward trend. - The DMI indicator added to the chart simplifies the interpretation of the existing D+, D- indicators by expressing them as lines on the ADX line. That is, - The section expressed in Aqua color means a downward section, - The section expressed in Orange means an upward section. - When ADX is above 25, it means that the strength of the upward or downward movement is strong, - When it is below 25, it means that there is a high possibility of forming a box section or sideways section. - The OBV indicator added to the chart means an upward trend when each line is broken upward, and a downward trend when it is broken downward. - The indicator that expresses the contents explained above is the BW v1.0 indicator. In order to see this more intuitively, the BW (100), BW (0), and Mid (50) indicators were added so that they can be expressed in the price candle section. In addition, there are also High (80 Down), Low (20 Up) indicators. - It is never easy to interpret each indicator and evaluate it comprehensively. It is especially difficult when trading in real time. - When interpreting the BW v1.0 indicator, it is basically divided into rising and falling based on the 50 point. Therefore, passing the 50 point increases the possibility of a significant change in the trend. Therefore, it seems that trading can be done based on whether there is support near the Mid (50) line generated when the BW indicator passes the 50 point, but this is not the case. The reason is that volatility is likely to occur when a change in trend occurs. When volatility occurs, your trading point will go up and down, so psychological pressure will increase and you may proceed with an inappropriate trade. Therefore, a good point to start trading is the BW (0), BW (100) or HA-Low, HA-High point. Since these indicators are generated at the boundary of the low or high point range, if you start trading based on whether there is support, you are more likely to get good results. - In any case, you should think in line with your average purchase price. Otherwise, if you trade incorrectly due to psychological pressure when you get close to the average purchase price, you may end up with little profit or even a loss. This means that when you start a new trade, it is better to start near the BW (0), BW (100), HA-Low, and HA-High indicators as mentioned above. - Have a good time. Thank you. --------------------------------------------------
Education
by readCrypto
Misconceptions and Truths about Paper Trading Hello, traders. If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly. Please click "Boost". Have a nice day today. ------------------------------------- TradingView also supports Paper Trading. For more information, please click the link below. www.tradingview.com More flexibility: change your Paper Trading account currency : www.tradingview.com Even more seamless order design — directly on chart : www.tradingview.com --------------------------------------- Paper Trading is thought to support trading practice for beginners. However, this is a wrong idea. If you lack prior knowledge about trading or have no concept of trading strategy, you should not do paper trading. The reason is that the psychological burden is different. The success or failure of a trade is thought to be the result of trading strategy or response ability, but in reality, it can be said that it is determined by the battle with oneself and psychological state. This means that psychological state has a significant impact on trading. Therefore, paper trading should be considered as a transaction that is conducted to confirm one's trading strategy and response strategy after completing chart analysis. If you have completed some verification of your trading strategy or response strategy, you should continue to conduct actual trading even if you suffer a loss. The reason is that you should not forget that you can only gain know-how in trading through actual trading. Therefore, paper trading should not be used to practice mid- to long-term trading, but should be used to verify trading strategies or response strategies for short-term trading or day trading. In order to do so, you must close the transaction by selling or cutting your loss. ------------------------------------------- For more information on trading orders in paper trading, please refer to the explanation through the link above. - You can proceed with Paper Trading by clicking the Trading Panel at the bottom menu of the TradingView chart. If you connect to a Paper Trading account, you can start with an initial fund of 100,000. If the Buy/Sell button is not activated, activate the chart settings to activate the Buy/Sell button before proceeding with the trade. Right-click on the space in the price candle area to activate the window, and then hover your mouse over the Trade section to check the trading order or trading settings (when you click the Trading menu in the Chart Settings window). - In addition, TradingView is linked to a real exchange and supports real trading. It supports various exchanges, so I recommend you to check if there is an exchange that you are trading on. - Have a good time. Thank you. --------------------------------------------------
Education
by readCrypto
Activate the alarm function when touching the set indicator Hello, traders. If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly. Please click "Boost" as well. Have a nice day today. ------------------------------------- One of the good things about using TradingView charts is that you can use the alarm function. This alarm function has a limit on the number depending on the plan you use, so please check it out. I will take the time to explain the alarm function using my chart. It is hard, boring, and tedious to just look at the chart until you meet the desired trading point or criteria. If you do that, you may end up making a wrong trade or missing the trading period while doing something else. If you create an alarm and change the Value section to the HA-MS_BW indicator, multiple indicators will be displayed. The indicators currently activated on the chart are HA-Low, HA-High, BW, and M-Signal indicators on the 1D chart, so you can select BW or HA-Low, LH, LL and check if the alarm turns on when they cross. When looking at the 15m chart, since it is moving sideways in the box section of the HA-Low indicator, if you set it to LH, LL indicator, the alarm will come when you touch the upper or lower point of the box. Then, you can use it conveniently when you want to trade within the box section. If you want to trade in a large trend, I think it would be good to set the alarm to turn on when you touch the 5EMA on the 1D chart. Or, you can set the alarm to turn on when the OBV indicator breaks through the high (HH) or low (LL) line upward. If you are a paid member of TradingView, I highly recommend using the alarm function. - Have a good time. Thank you. -------------------------------------------------- - ​​Big picture The real uptrend is expected to start after it rises above 29K. The area expected to be touched in the next bull market is 81K-95K. #BTCUSD 12M 1st: 44234.54 2nd: 61383.23 3rd: 89126.41 101875.70-106275.10 (overshooting) 4th: 134018.28 151166.97-157451.83 (overshooting) 5th: 178910.15 These are points where resistance is likely to occur in the future. We need to check if these points can be broken upward. We need to check the movement when this section is touched because I think a new trend can be created in the overshooting section. #BTCUSD 1M If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to start forming a pull back pattern after rising to around 57014.33. 1st: 43833.05 2nd: 32992.55 -----------------
Education
by readCrypto
Basic example of starting a trade Hello, traders. If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly. Please click "Boost" as well. Have a nice day today. ------------------------------------- This is an example of starting a trade, explaining that you should objectively define the basics that are right for you. Therefore, I hope that this will be an opportunity to reexamine your trading judgment criteria rather than judging it as right or wrong. ----------------------------------------- It is showing a downward trend without breaking through the sell line of the superTrend indicator. Accordingly, the key is whether it can receive support near the M-Signal indicator (approximately 59953.52) on the 1W chart and rise above 60672.0-61099.25. If not, you should check whether it is supported near the MS-Signal (M-Signal on the 1D chart). Therefore, 1st: 59053.55 2nd: 57889.10 You should check whether it is supported near the 1st and 2nd above. - Usually, there are many cases where you trade impulsively based on your psychological state. To prevent this, it is good to have an objective trading method according to your investment style. This objectification is best done at the support and resistance points drawn on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts. Therefore, it is good to trade based on whether it is supported near 59053.55 or 60720.0-61099.25. However, judging whether it is supported only by sight can lead to an incorrect judgment depending on psychological factors that occur during trading, so it is good to have objective information as the basis for judgment. It refers to indicators added to the chart as objective information. The MS-Signal indicator is used as a trend-related indicator, which is the M-Signal indicator of the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts. As a trading-related indicator, the HA-Low, HA-High indicators and their corresponding box sections, superTend, and volume profile are used. As a trading-related reference auxiliary indicator, the BW indicator and StochRSI indicator are used. - If we explain the current movement by referring to these indicators, - The superTrend indicator, which is passing around 60672.0-61099.25, has failed to rise above the sell line, - It is showing a downward trend below the M-Signal indicator of the 1W chart, - The StochRSI indicator is showing a trend of changing from an upward to a downward slope in the overbought section. However, since the StochRSI indicator has not yet fallen from the overbought zone and is not in a state where StochRSI < StochRSI EMA, it is difficult to see it as a downward turn. Therefore, an aggressive sell (SHORT) is possible between the M-Signal indicator of the 1W chart and the 60672.0-61099.25 range. Afterwards, when the StochRSI indicator falls from the overbought zone and becomes a state where StochRSI < StochRSI EMA, if it shows resistance near 59053.55 or the MS-Signal (M-Signal on the 1D chart) indicator, you can sell (SHORT). If it is supported at the point mentioned above, you can buy (LONG). However, it is recommended to check whether the state has been changed to StochRSI > StochRSI EMA. If not, it can pretend to rise and fall right away. - Have a good time. Thank you. -------------------------------------------------- - ​​Big picture It is expected that the real uptrend will start after rising above 29K. The section expected to be touched in the next bull market is 81K-95K. #BTCUSD 12M 1st: 44234.54 2nd: 61383.23 3rd: 89126.41 101875.70-106275.10 (overshooting) 4th: 134018.28 151166.97-157451.83 (overshooting) 5th: 178910.15 These are the points where resistance is likely to be encountered in the future. We need to see if we can break through these points. We need to see the movement when we touch this section because I think we can create a new trend in the overshooting section. #BTCUSD 1M If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to start by creating a pull back pattern after rising to around 57014.33. 1st: 43833.05 2nd: 32992.55 -----------------
Education
by readCrypto
1
All About the Head & Shoulders Pattern(Beginner-Friendly) Part.2Hello, everyone. Today, I’m excited to share the second part of my educational series on chart patterns. In this post, we’ll be focusing on the 'Head and Shoulders' and 'Inverse Head and Shoulders' patterns. For those who missed the first part, you can catch up here: ↓↓↓ As always, I’ve kept the explanations simple and beginner-friendly. I hope this guide provides you with valuable insights! Here’s today’s outline: ———— ✔️ Outline 1. What is the Head and Shoulders pattern? Definition Key components Characteristics 2. Head and Shoulders Basic features Examples 3. Inverse Head and Shoulders Basic features Examples ———— 1. What is the "Head and Shoulders" pattern? 1) Definition The Head and Shoulders pattern is a well-established reversal formation that appears after an uptrend and signals the potential start of a downtrend. It indicates that buying pressure is weakening and selling pressure is gaining momentum. 2) Key components Left Shoulder: The initial peak, where the price rises and then pulls back. Head : The highest peak, situated between the two shoulders, representing the final bullish push. Right Shoulder: The third peak, which is typically lower than the head but similar to the left shoulder, signaling diminishing buying interest. Neckline: A key support line drawn across the lows of the left and right shoulders. A decisive break below this neckline confirms the reversal and the beginning of a downtrend. 3) Characteristics Reversal signal: The Head and Shoulders pattern marks a transition from an uptrend to a downtrend. Easy identification: The structure is visually distinctive, with three clear peaks. Neckline significance: A break below the neckline serves as a confirmation signal for the downtrend. Volume dynamics: Volume typically rises during the formation of the left shoulder and head, decreases during the right shoulder, and surges again when the neckline is breached. ———— 2. Head and Shoulders (Reversal from uptrend to downtrend) 1) Basic features End of an uptrend: The Head and Shoulders pattern forms at the end of a bullish phase, signaling a weakening in buying strength. Distinct peak heights: The head is always higher than the shoulders, which are generally symmetrical, though the right shoulder may sometimes be slightly lower, enhancing the pattern’s reliability. Neckline as a trigger: The neckline acts as a critical support level. A break below it confirms the pattern and signals the onset of a bearish trend. Volume confirmation: Volume increases during the left shoulder and head formations, weakens during the right shoulder, and spikes when the neckline is broken, confirming a potential sell-off. Price target: After the pattern completes, the expected price drop is typically equal to the distance between the head and the neckline, providing traders with a target. 2-1) Example 1 In this example, we see a fakeout at the right shoulder, followed by a sharp decline. After a brief retest of the neckline, the price broke through and continued its downtrend. 2-2) Example 2 In this chart, a fakeout occurred when the price dropped from the head and formed the neckline, misleading many market participants. After forming the right shoulder, the price successfully declined. There were two retests, which confirmed the reliability of the pattern. ———— 3. Reverse Head and Shoulders (Trend reversal from downtrend to uptrend) 1) Basic features End of a downtrend: The Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern typically forms at the end of a downtrend, signaling a potential reversal to the upside. Formation of lows: Like the standard Head and Shoulders, this pattern consists of three lows—left shoulder, head, and right shoulder—with the head being the lowest point. Neckline significance: The neckline is drawn across the highs of the left and right shoulders. A break above this line confirms the reversal and acts as a strong buy signal. Volume pattern: Volume tends to decrease during the formation of the pattern but surges when the neckline is broken, signaling strong buying momentum. Target setting: After the pattern is confirmed, the expected price rise is often equal to the distance from the head to the neckline, which helps traders set profit targets. 2-1) Example 1 After the Head and Shoulders pattern formed, the price broke above the neckline, successfully reversing the downtrend into an uptrend. A buy strategy would have yielded profits at the breakout point. 2-2) Example 2 In this example, a smaller Reverse Head and Shoulders pattern formed within the head of a larger pattern (see Example 3). After two successful retests, the price reversed into a strong uptrend. 2-3) Example 3 This example showcases the smaller Reverse Head and Shoulders pattern mentioned in Example 2, located within the head. After two successful retests, a buy strategy could have led to profits as the price reversed into an uptrend. ———— ✔️ Conclusion "Charts are the maps of the market." The Head and Shoulders and Reverse Head and Shoulders patterns we’ve covered in this post are key signals that frequently appear in the market. Charts aren’t random—they are visual representations of market psychology and investor behavior. As traders, our role is to interpret these maps, navigate the market, and make informed decisions. Investing is more than just buying and selling. Sometimes the market may move contrary to our expectations, while other times we seize opportunities and achieve success. Each experience is a chance to learn and grow. The more experience you gain, the more paths you’ll recognize on the chart. Success in this market requires persistence, patience, and continuous learning. Understanding and analyzing chart patterns like the ones discussed here is just the beginning. I hope this post has helped you gain a deeper understanding of the market and make more informed decisions. The market is always evolving, but within that evolution lies opportunity. The key is developing the ability to spot those opportunities. With knowledge, experience, and confidence, you’ll find greater success. Stay prepared, and always listen to what the market is telling you.
Education
by Killer_Whales
1
Less is more...If you don't know me, I have been a trader a very long time. Nearly 25 years to be exact. Over the years, I have spent a lot of time studying a wide array of techniques, tools, patterns and market sentiment. Lucky enough, the markets have also been very kind to me. I've been fortunate enough to have two trading books published by large traditional publishing companies. So it's safe to say, I live and breathe trading. I am going to do a series of posts here covering a couple of key educational topics - starting with Elliott Wave theory. When it comes to Elliott Wave theory, there seems to be a love hate relationship for many people. Some get it, some see it as not relevant. To be honest, both are correct. Now before you jump on the high horse "it doesn't work for crypto" - let me start by saying, this is not a lesson on how to use Elliott Theory. I covered that in these posts below; And step two; In terms of using Elliott, it's not as simple as trying to figure out each and every move. (this is often why, it does not work.) Instead the benefit of Elliott, is to accept it as a bias tool that aids in understanding the current market sentiment. We often see posts online about things like the Wall Street cheat sheet. I also covered this in another post here on @TradingView Where the theory has any real value, is simply to obtain a bias. The market is always searching for liquidity. In order to obtain liquidity, the market needs to attract players for the game. Now, you have probably entered a trade and felt almost immediately that the market has pushed against you, it's out to get you and the brokers are playing 1 vs 1 against you. This is where sentiment really comes in. As a retail trader you have likely been exposed to tools such as RSI, MACD or even dabbled with Elliott and Wyckoff. But the reason the market does, what the market does, is not to get you as an individual, instead it's there to collect liquidity from a crowd. Elliott wave theory isn't a technical tool, it's a sentiment tool. So instead of trying to guess every internal and nested swing, you can make an awful lot of money by simply giving a directional bias. I wrote an article in 2021 here - About the emotions, I used the Simpsons to get the point across. The general idea is to understand where liquidity is likely to be and use that to make informed trading decisions. If you have any specific questions, even topics you would like covered, leave a comment below. I'll add to this in another post as part of this series. Stay safe and wish you all the best. Disclaimer This idea does not constitute as financial advice. It is for educational purposes only, our principle trader has over 20 years’ experience in stocks, ETF’s, and Forex. Hence each trade setup might have different hold times, entry or exit conditions, and will vary from the post/idea shared here. You can use the information from this post to make your own trading plan for the instrument discussed. Trading carries a risk; a high percentage of retail traders lose money. Please keep this in mind when entering any trade. Stay safe.
BITSTAMP:ETHUSDEducation
by Mayfair_Ventures