Accumulation and Shakeouts - How To Predict A Potential PumpMy First video idea. Just wanted to talk about something I've been observing in the market recently. This is how I was able to predict the recent ICX and ONT rises.
Hope you enjoy!
This video is not financial advice --- meant for educational purposes only!
-Victor Cobra
1-BTC
NIETZCHE AND TRADING PSYCHOLOGY, (MUST WATCH!)If you're a middle school basketball star, do you cry when you skin your knees after getting fouled when you chose to play street ball in downtown Detroit? No, because you should have known what you were getting into, and if you do cry, all the street ballers will tear you to shreds. If you don't want to play street ball and learn to play like everyone else does, go back to your middle school basketball court. If you can't understand why you keep getting hurt trading crypto and are unwilling to adopt the winning fighting style, go back to trading securities. Winners don't need to play by the rules of "golden standard" of TA.
What if the "golden standard" is only so because they're tools that make you predictable for people who know better? If you have the masses all trading the same information, that makes for predictable moves.
Predictable traders make for a predictable market. A predictable market makes for a profitable market. The only reason you've been given the "golden standard" is to provide liquidity for those with more buying power, resources, knowledge, experience and connections than you.
95% of retail traders lose money, so if you’re watching this, that probably includes you. What matters is that you take steps to learn rather than keep throwing money down the drain. Market manipulation in crypto exists, and with respect to trading, it’s not that it’s good or fair so much that it just is and you have to play the game as it is rather than what you may want it to be. There are ways to do that, and we’re confident we have one of them.
It’s worth noting for the record that other markets have manipulation too. Just less egregious amounts of the kinds you’ll find on the list on the Wikipedia article for market manipulation.
If you've found this info useful, dive into the links below.
Could Bitcoin Bottom at $1500I know people say that 200 MA is a strong indicator for when the market should turn, but if we had to do a symmetrical test of the previous bear market we can see a lot of symmetry in the 2 white boxes white in the previous case lead to a 60% drop and it lead to the bottom of the 2016 bear market. Just another chart to play devil advocate with. A what if scenario
Message in a bottle maybeSymmetry like rules are there to be broken maybe. Then again lots of grids out there all part and parcel of the securitization and commoditization of new a crypto world order maybe. Who in the market do you think got the master grid ? Who's will win ? Satoshi ? Coin exchange ? The futures exchange ? Big bank ? Hedge Fund ? NOT ADVICE DYOR
Gann using 192 VibrationsHow to set up a GANN 192 vibration.
Step 1: Using a 4H BTC chart I first lock my price/bar ratio to 5 in settings.
Step 2: Now use a date range from the recent low to range 192 candles in front and then use a vertical line on the 192nd to help in step 3.
Step 3: Now use a gann square fixed from the low to the 192nd bar infront. The vertical line will help the square meet the 192nd bar infront of you.
Step 4: Now use a gann box and in the style settings apply angles to help overlay on top of the gann square fixed. The 1/1 angle will always be 45 degrees.
Step 5: Now you can take the high from the gann box and use a fib speed resistance fan from bottle left to top 5 to make it look like a unicorn rainbow.
Enjoy
Did I just GANN in 5 steps?
BTC may have a short - term opportunityAt present, BTC has gone through the first wave of rise and entered the horizontal consolidation stage. If it does not break below the trend line below, there is still a chance to rush higher in theory. For the fund that was shorted yesterday, it can be considered to make a short term, but please do a good job in risk control.
Standard of entry: zigzag line
Stop surplus, upper pressure level,
Stop loss: enter below the purchase price
Contract position: 10 times or less
Applicable people: have enough trading experience, understand the risk of contract trading, and understand the standard of the word war.
Bitcoin's Fake Breakdown: Another Bullish Signal (We Go UP!)Bitcoin (XBTUSD) had a fake breakdown, which only assists us in buying more for our active LONG XBT trade.
Bitcoin breaking down is bad because we are at an important phase for Bitcoin and we saw one recently that we can now say was completely fake.
A fake breakdown, or bears/sellers rejection, is a perfect bullish signal.
Bear trap, shakeout, whatever you want to call it, Bitcoin is moving back up after yesterday's drop.
We remain bullish on Bitcoin short term and have an active trade for it with over 100% ROE potential.
You can see it here:
Thanks a lot for reading... Feel free to hit LIKE.
Namaste.
Stellar Lumens long term outlook Long term consolidation from 2018 broke down into medium term bearish trend testing fibbonacci retracement levels and forming some short term triangle consolidations on the way down. Current triangle has until the end of march until it completes, likely sideways for a week or two until breakout.
Still a bull run opportunity? YES but guess what...read belowHere's why close above 20 MA is key. The good news is that price recently did not closed below 20 MA. Here's how I worked out price right now above 20 MA is still key to possible big move up. Using my custom MACD (6, 13, close, 31), only interested in dark green in the histogram. Here's the magic key. You need to mark all the first days when the bleu MACD rises from a trough (don't include days when blue MACD turns positive). From those first days up it's vital that price does not close below 20 MA. That's when I added in the light blue background squares to mark out Price x Time = Volume covered before price dropped below the 20 MA again. The stats and strategies possible are worth a look. Then again not sure if the size of sample in my study was good enough to make findings relevant. So I'm a bear for now because based on my earlier studies 20 MA was broken, but because price closed above 20 MA if it continues to hold we are still in a potential upside opportunity. Not Advice. DYOR.
Bitcoin long history with the MA100Hey, I got some stats for you.
So Bitcoin MA 100 got tested 38 times since 2010, and this happened:
* Clean bounce : 12 times
* The MA got passed, with little follow up (< 10%), the price stagnated, and then the price went back the other way: 9 times
* Break with follow up (immediate): 7 times
* MA break followed by rapid reversal (like bouncing on it but after passing throught it a bit > 10%): 3 times
* Break MA slighlty, stagnates, then continues: 3 times (case #26 in the screenshot is the 3rd time)
* Bounce, stagnates, breaks: 1 time
Here are all the times Bitcoin MA 100 got tested:
The 3 cases when the MA got slightly broken, then price stagnated, and then there was follow through, in 2 cases the price stagnated for a very long time on the opposite side of the MA before breaking it weakly.
So to sum up out of 38 times the 100MA got visited, the price broke it and stagnated 12 times, and out of these 12 times, only 3 were wins for traders buying the break.
Is this always the same? With other markets?
That seems logical. If a resistance gets broken, but there is no follow up the first few days, it would seem very unlikely anything happens. You need an initial snowball to grow a snowball bigger.
But I never backtested the MA100 or any moving average actually, that much. What do you think? The odds of going up are about 1 in 4?
Timing the BTC bottom with Murad, Vinzen & Tone V.MustStopMurad had this analysis where he suggested that the next BTC bottom would be around the 300 MA.
Tone Vays has for a long time compared MA crosses from 2014 with todays MA crosses for estimating how far into the bear market we currently are.
Yesterday when watching Tone Vays video with Vinzent and Willy Woo (first of the recent Thailand videos) Vinzen suggested with the Fib Time Zone (I believe) that the bottom would be between 2020-22. Combining the above two analysis’ which I attempted in the chart actually suggests the same a bottom around 2021 which I found interesting. Estimations of moving averages is drawn by hand so not sure how accurate this will be (and obviously these estimations are also just a predictions so could be completely inaccurate). Would still be very interesting to hear peoples thoughts on this anyways.
Best regards.
Bitcoin - How to ride this baby (Set-up) since 2014 using 20MAThe easy way to ride this baby. There aren't many set-ups like this to study. Work your strategy using 20MA by studying stats for each set up. Using my custom MACD (6, 13, Close, 31) I've boxed price where MACD in blue switches above zero through to where Signal Line does same. I've marked with vertical white line where MACD first switches above zero. That's all you need to do folks. Not Advice. DYOR.
Use moving average indicators to find short - termpWhen a wave of market into the horizontal consolidation, how to choose the next buy? I will give you a simple indicator today. The moving average is a common technical indicator used in tables. When many people start trading, the first thing they come into contact with is the moving average and K chart. The moving average is the average of the closing price of n days, and also the average cost of n days. Early investors all know the theory of reason and the galanz method, which are the tools to use the moving average for investment behavior. Although traditional, they work wonders in the digital currency market. As shown in figure, I set the ma12, and in this wave of market, the price obtained the obvious,, ma12 also showed a trend of obvious rise, after all line go flat, also is the first time we have underweight position, after some form, should be on average once again become warped, price placeholder line, is to make the average also become one of your support, hold prices up. Once the formation of a moving average pressure, is the signal to reduce the departure. Although this index is simple, but easy to operate, the disadvantage is poor sensitivity, not suitable for short - term trading, but the amplitude of the currency market, band trading profit is also very rich.
A Clear Idea Why BTCUSD is trading sideways these days.I cannot publish these ideas at a smaller resolution. But as you can see, these days, whenever BTC/USD rally above 3600, There would be a dump.
If you just open the chart at the 5min interval, the dump is more obvious.
Why would someone keep dumping BTC/USD at such a price, their motivation is unknown.
***This post is meant to be educational and not meant to be information to buy or sell.