Bear Pressure Remains (Key Levels to Watch - SPX, NDX)Tuesday - Bear Candle breaking support
Wednesday - weak re-test of the support (now becoming resistance)
Bearish pressure remains firm with key levels lower on the major indexes.
Near-term bearish until price proves otherwise. Taking stops, protecting profits and managing hedges.
JPY "unwinding" is also back on the radar. I'll be watching the JPY strength and Nikkei correlation. I still hold long FXY through 2026 (call options)
Thanks for watching!!!
1-BTCUSD
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 9-4 : CRUSH Blends Into Rev-RallyYesterday's price move was clearly a CRUSH pattern I expected on Monday. Because of the holiday trading schedule this week, I believe the CRUSH pattern blended into Tuesday's trading - resulting in today's pattern being a blend of the Rev-Rally pattern on Tuesday and the Up-Down-Up pattern for Wednesday.
Overall, I believe the CRUSH pattern removed a lot of downward price pressure and set the markets up for a bigger upward move starting on September 9-11.
At this point, I believe the US markets will attempt to find a base/support and transition into the end of this week by "looking for support—then rallying away from support."
So, I expect the US markets to find a critical support level today or tomorrow, then begin to form a base and rally away from that support level.
Let's play what is in front of us on the charts and Get Some.
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SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 9-3 : Reversal Rally Today.Today's SPY Cycle Pattern is a Reversal Rally.
After yesterday's CRUSH pattern (on the Labor Day holiday), we should expect the indexes to persist in a moderate rally phase (or melt-up) today.
I believe yesterday's CRUSH pattern played out very nicely on the ES.
Today's Reversal Rally pattern should result in the ES attempt to move back to 5653-5660.
For the SPY, that will be a move back to 563.00 to 563.40.
Overall, I believe today will show a solid attempt to move higher (melting upward) as the price slides into the end of this week very sideways/flat.
Starting on Sept 9-10, we should start to move into a rally phase for the SPY/QQQ.
Sit tight until then. These intra-day swings are perfect for day trading Gunslingers.
Get some.
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17 year experienced trader talks about BITCOINMartyBoots here , I have been trading for 17 years and just want to share my thoughts on Bitcoin. This is a very important video and should be watched carefully.
Bitcoin is getting to the end of the consolidation and very close to a move.
Any questions please hit me up
BTC BITCOIN Technical Analysis and Trade Idea👀 👉 In this video, we explore BTC, which has recently exhibited bearish momentum with a break of structure on the 4-hour time frame. The pair has pulled back and is now retracing into a critical resistance level. I see potential for further downside and am closely monitoring whether the price holds below the current range low. If a breakout occurs, I plan to enter a sell position, as explained in the video. However, if the price action doesn't align with the discussed setup, there will be no trade.
It's essential to understand that these insights are speculative and not guaranteed predictions. Confirming specific price actions before entering any trades is crucial, as emphasised in the video. The analysis offers an in-depth look at the current trend, market structure, and price behaviour. Remember, this content is for educational purposes and does not guarantee success. Trading involves significant risks, so always implement strong risk management strategies. 📈✅
BTC Higher Timeframe Outlook 70k Next -> Then 32kIn this video, I break down the market from a top-down perspective, analyzing from higher timeframes down to lower timeframes. I carefully frame key Points of Interest (POIs) to help identify potential trading opportunities.
Additionally, I share a specific short-term trade idea with detailed entry, exit, and risk management strategies. My first target is set at 70k, followed by 32k, and I explain the reasoning behind these levels. Watch to get a clear understanding of the current market structure and actionable insights for your trading journey.
Ducks in A Barrel Long Setups - BTC, SOL, TON & PADISCLAIMER: This is not trade advice. This for educational purposes only to show how I am looking to participate in these markets. Trading involves significant risk, do your own homework and due diligence.
Ducks in a Barrel Weekly-Daily Strategy
LONGS: BTC, SOL, TON
SHORT: PA
LONGS:
The crypto market is overall in a strong up trend based on weekly MA's sloping up. We see that BTC, SOL & TON are undervalued vs the price of Gold and Treasuries, and are oversold on stochastic. If we see a trend change to the upside on the Daily chart, I'll look to long these markets. I admit, I'd like to see sentiment more bearish, as currently sentiment is in the middle of the road. Perhaps one more flush to the downside would create some panic and bearish sentiment, which would make this trade idea even more valid.
SHORTS:
Palladium is in a strong weekly downtrend. Right now we are overvalued vs treasuries, but not yet overvalued vs gold or overbought. I'd like to see this market get overbought & overvalued vs gold to qualify looking for shorts on the daily time frame.
Good luck & Good trading.
Friday Market Update - $IBIT, $BTC, $DXY and $SOL ForecastHere's a quick update to the video I posted last week showing a final unfilled Gap on the 4-Hour NASDAQ:IBIT likely pushing price down (We're NOT sure yet how this is correlated, other than the BIG money is playing with Options / Futures and now the NASDAQ:IBIT , which makes Bitcoin a Wall Street product now essentially.
My targets on Bitcoin now are $57k and I'm thinking we may even see a 'news driven' selloff to the $50k - GETTEX:52K range into our buy blocks as shown here.
"Show me the charts, I'll tell you the news" is one of my mantras, and with everyone thinking we go higher here, I'm thinking we have one more shakeout to wipe out some longs.
Last week a well-known short posted that he 'gave in and the Bulls Win' showing his $2.5M loss.
Think the games are over? I think not.
So I'm mostly out of the market, holding some SOL and planning to DCA buy lower at levens I mention in the video.
I also dicuss the DXY bounce, Total Market Cap, and why this weekly candle close is important.
Apologies -- the recording stopped when I tried to update one of my alerts, and I have a Labor Day party to finish planning so no time to-record it.
Have a great weekend everyone, and let's see what Tuesday brings when the big Wall Street traders get back from summer vacation and start putting wall-street money to work.
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 8-30 : Carryover In Counter TrendToday's SPY Cycle Pattern suggests the SPY will attempt to trend moderately strongly to the upside (if my research is correct).
The counter-trend mode of the carryover pattern suggests the price trend will be opposite of the last 2-3 bars - so a potential upward price trend today.
The carryover pattern suggests that price will behave very similarly to what we've seen over the past 2-3 days—moderately trending.
So, I expect the SPY to attempt to rally the 563-564 level and hold above recent lows.
The QQQ should be similar—attempting to break away from the downward price channel, then consolidating into early/mid-next week before attempting to move higher again.
Gold is within my breakout range (over the next 2~5 days), and I believe the 2564 level needs to be broken (upward) for the 2593 level to become the next target. We are still seeing active support near 2511.
Bitcoin should move back to the upside, trying to target the $62.8k level over the next 5+ days. The Flag formation in BTCUSD is holding up well.
Happy Friday everyone.
Let's make today a great day and prepare for next week.
Get some.
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BTC to hit 56k soonIn this video, I dive deep into liquidity zones and explain why they are crucial for our trading strategy.
I'll also review what has happened in the markets since my last video and analyze the key developments.
We’ll explore what to expect next, looking at potential scenarios that could unfold.
Finally, I’ll highlight some potential targets to keep an eye on in the coming days or weeks.
Make sure you don’t miss out on any important insights—subscribe to the channel for more analyses!
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 8-29 - Breakaway in Carryover ModeToday's pattern should play out as a reversion to yesterday's selling pressure.
I did not expect to see the markets sell downward as hard as they did yesterday, but my systems were able to catch the downward trend well.
As a trader and a researcher, I try to base my expectations on what I believe to be the highest probable outcome. Yet, sometimes I'm wrong.
I've mentioned this before, and I'll probably say it again and again...
Traders must be capable of adapting to the charts. Play what is in front of you. My SPY Cycle Patterns offer assistance in what may happen based on Fibonacci/Gann price characteristics. Yet, news items (or positioning ahead of NVDA earnings) can drive market trends in unique directions.
We must understand that big news events/earnings/data can alter price trends away from the SPY Cycle Pattern triggers, and we have to be able to play the chart in front of us.
So we adapt to what the chart is telling us - always.
Remember, Fibonacci Price Theory was very clear yesterday after the first breakdown in price - this trend is BEARISH.
Watch this video. Gold is getting ready to make a move up to 2593+ and Silver wants to follow up to about $31. But Silver will lag Gold a bit - so position yourself correctly.
Bitcoin will stay range-bound over the next 5-7+ trading days - trying to run out time on the Flag Apex. Then, it should make a bigger move to the upside.
Get some.
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SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade 8-27 - Inside Breakaway PatternThe SPY continues to slide into a sideways melt-up type of trend. Today's Inside Breakaway pattern suggests the SPY will attempt to move away from this consolidation range.
Although I don't expect a huge breakaway today, I do expect the SPY to attempt to move up into the 563+ area, setting up for a bigger move on Thursday and a pullback on Friday.
Gold is pulling back reasonably hard. The 2530-2535 level would be an excellent area to consider buying or adding to any open position. The 2510-2515 level is the Make-Or-Break level for Gold (that would also be our stop level).
I still believe Gold will make another move higher - but I don't think Gold will build enough momentum to rally out of the current range until next week.
Bitcoin has pulled back into the APEX range (see the chart). We need to see it hold up near this Apex range - or it could risk falling below $57k again.
Overall, I see all of these charts (SPY/QQQ/Gold/Bitcoin) stalling and attempting to base ahead of next week. Next week, I believe prices will be more volatile and try to trend upward.
As I've been warning, this week, the markets needed to pause a bit. Now is the perfect time to position yourself for the next big move.
Get some.
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SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade 8-27 Update : Possible Long Squeeze EODToday's SPY Cycle Pattern should reflect a decidedly bearish overtone to price action. The fact that we opened with a GAP downward and have waffled around just above yesterday's closing price does not really excite me.
I see price failing and waffling around in "no man's land".
This video covers the SPY, Bitcoin, & Gold.
Stay agile. I see the markets rolling downward into the end of the day today - but I could be wrong.
Get some.
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BTC : HARD DROP Likely BEFORE New ATHHold on to your horses - in today's analysis we're going to do a really deep dive on Bitcoin, the altcoin market (TOTAL 3) and Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D) Make sure you watch all the way until the end to reach the final conclusion!
In this video, I systematically point out two main reasons why the corrective phase isn't over, as well as what could possible happen NEXT based on the rotations between alts and BTC.
COINBASE:BTCUSD COINBASE:BTCUSDT CRYPTOCAP:BTC CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL3 CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D
For months I've been anticipating a multi-month corrective pattern, before another impulse wave up which I believe leads us to our final all time high (ATH) for this bullish cycle. Although I've said "multi-month" quite a few times... who knew it would be such a drag! I nearly thought BTC was ready to turn towards the upside, but after THIS* happened (together with the analysis in the video) it's likely we're still heading lower:
*https://www.tradingview.com/chart/BTCUSD/h2bMes4J-BTC-FINALLY-Bullish-BREAKOUT/
THIS* is referring to my update on BTC two days ago, where it seemed like a bullish breakout. At this point however, the price is not able to hold the support zone (which was the condition I listed) and therefore it's likely a fakeout.
If you're looking for the idea I referred to in the analysis on the Altcoin dump find it here:👇
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SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 8-27: Close-1 GAP Trend PatternToday's pattern suggests the GAP Trend portion reflects whether today's open is above or below yesterday's close.
If today's open is above yesterday's close, then I would expect a higher opening GAP leading to a fairly strong rally phase today.
If today's open is below yesterday's close, then I would expect a lower opening GAP leading to a fairly strong selling phase today.
These types of patterns do not often reflect a reversal bar - although reversals can happen.
Overall, I believe the bias is still to the upside. But I also believe price is consolidating in early trading this week and needs to continue to consolidate before attempting to rally again later this week (Thursday/Friday maybe).
So, I would not be surprised to see price stall out a bit today.
Let's see what happens. We may see a bit of a rally or sell-off depending on where today's opening price is and if we see any substantial Opening GAP. The bigger the GAP, the more likely we are going to see price trend.
Get some.
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SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 8-26 : BLANK SPY Cycle PatternToday's blank SPY Cycle Pattern means there is no definition for today's pattern in the pattern library. I will dig into this a bit further.
At this point, when we get blank days, it is usually a fairly rare and uncommon pattern that may not develop very often. That makes it hard to identify if there are not many reference points to determine what type of price action to expect.
Still, I go into detail related to what I believe will happen over the next few days/weeks for the SPY, Gold, Bitcoin and provide a series of opportunities for traders in this video.
Remember, it is not about trying to force the markets to make a move. Often, we have to sit back and wait for the next big opportunity to setup.
I believe the next 5+ trading days will present a moderate melt-up in the SPY and Gold. I believe Bitcoin will stay rather flat after the rally over the past 3+ days.
This is why I believe the markets are transitioning into a bigger breakaway phase setting up for Sept 4~10. Thus, I believe traders need to prepare for that bigger move over the next 5~7+ trading days and stay cautious right now.
We are going to move into a consolidation/peak/top phase near Sept 20~25. So, this next rally phase only lasts from Sept 5th through Sept 21 - about 10+ trading days.
Heads up.
Get some.
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BTC BITCOIN Technical Analysis and Trade Idea👀👉 I'm keeping a close eye on BTC right now. We’re seeing a market structure break with a higher high on the chart, along with the potential formation of a base that could lead to further upward movement. If market conditions align as discussed in the video, I'll be considering a buying opportunity.
This analysis focuses on key aspects of technical analysis, such as trend identification, price action, and market structure. We’ll also discuss a potential trade setup and examine strategies that could increase the chances of success.
Please keep in mind that this analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as financial advice. The observations are speculative and do not guarantee future market outcomes. It’s important to verify current price actions before making any trading decisions.
This presentation provides a comprehensive review of the current trend, market structure, and price dynamics. However, it's important to recognize that while the information is educational, it does not guarantee trading success. Trading in the foreign exchange market carries significant risks, and we strongly advise using sound risk management techniques in all your trades.
We encourage you to do thorough research and carefully consider all factors before making any trading decisions. Stay informed, exercise caution, and approach the markets with a well-thought-out strategy. 📊✅
Prepare For The BOT COM BUBBLE (Starting 2026 & Beyond)I spent quite a bit of time this weekend going over my custom indexes and other research data to try to identify what and how the Vortex Rally I predicted would take shape.
I mentioned something to my followers/subscribers last week about how today feels like the early 1990s (1991-1994 roughly). At that time, interest rates were just dropping from all-time highs and the general markets were in a bit of stagflation. People were not actively investing in homes or other big assets because it was not clear what the future would bring.
The US government has just gone through the Regan Era - where spending on Starwars and other projects were considered Excessive - but that translated into a massive technology boom-cycle in the last 1990s.
Are we going to see the same type of explosion with Robotics and AI over the next 10-20+ years.
Will that lead to a massive rally phase (global & space growth industries) over the next 50+ years?
How will humanity react to a massive robotics expansion where jobs and services may be replaced by robots?
What will this transition lead to - some new type of human society/expectation where we can actually live a life dedicated to improving the human experience vs. working our entire life?
Watch this video. Pay attention to my research.
If I'm right - we are about to move into a very explosive market phase and smart traders should prepare for this move NOW.
Get some.
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BTC remains bearish next targets 57.7k and 56kIn this video, I provide an update on my previous trading analysis.
I'll discuss the current targets for the bearish scenario and highlight the key levels to watch. Additionally, I present a bullish counter-idea and explain where the invalidation of the bearish thesis might occur. This way, you'll be well-prepared no matter which direction the market takes. Stay tuned to catch all the important details!