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1-BTCUSD

SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 9-20 : Breaking Up/Down PatternAfter watching yesterday's rally phase (which I believe was a relief rally driven mostly by foreign markets), I believe today's price move will be somewhat muted. Yes, today's pattern is a Breaking (UP/DN) pattern, which suggests we may see some type of volatility event today. But overall, I believe yesterday's big price move was a volatility event, and today, the markets will struggle to identify a trend. I believe price will struggle for direction/trend today, and because of that, I'm urging traders to move assets away from the markets heading into this weekend. I think it is better to move assets into CASH and prepare for trading next week. There is no reason to attempt to pick a position or trade heading into this weekend when we really don't know how the global markets will react to news or conflict events worldwide. So, the best option today is to try to identify a few early trades, then move your assets into mostly cash and wait it out (till Monday). I don't expect the markets to do anything besides consolidate below yesterday's highs. Gold made the move up to 2635-2640 today - perfect. Pull profits today and wait for the next move. BTCUSD is a bit higher today, but I believe it will pause - just like almost everything else today. The global markets are still digesting the rate cut. We'll see what happens early next week - but today will probably be a stalling/pause in trend. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
AMEX:SPYShort
by BradMatheny
18
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 9-19 : Top-Resistance PatternToday's pattern is a Top-Resistance pattern. After yesterday's Fed rate cut and the reaction, overnight, by the global markets, this top pattern suggests the markets will find a peak today and roll downward, away from that peak level. Overall, I'm not too worried about a major crisis top today. I believe the Fed has unchained the US/Global markets a bit with the 50bp rate cut. My custom indexes show the US/Global markets have moved into a new US-Dollar-based demand phase at the same time we are seeing a valuation-base and speculative-based price appreciation phase. That means we are the following is taking place: _ US Dollar is still stronger than most other currencies and demand for US-Dollar-based assets is still dominant. _ Price appreciation is based on a renewed valuation accumulation phase. This is where traders see the US stock market as moderately undervalued and begin to accumulation based on discounted valuation levels. _ Price appreciation is also based on a new speculative trend phase - showing more of a RISK ON mode where traders are chasing the upward price trends a bit more aggressively. Putting all of that together, ahead of a US POTUS election event and the recent decrease in FFR, I think we are seeing a perfect environment for a MELT-UP trend to continue into a moderate early Santa Rally. The one thing that could derail this momentum is some unexpected or crisis event that pops up out of nowhere. So be aware there are still risks. Now, let's sit back and enjoy a rally day while we wait for confirmation of the breakaway high (FPT breach to the upside). Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by BradMatheny
Sui's fundamental growth is seeing price surgeThe Sui chain is trying to enter BIG4 category Since October last year its been clear that the BIG3 are Eth, Sol and BSC. BSC has been losing market share since 2021 but is still dominant to second tier chains. Out of the second tier chains Sui has been growing. Now competitive with only Avax.. Sui is trying to make its way into becoming apart of the BIG4 if not replace BSC in the BIG3. Sui has seen a price surge off the back of this As Sui grows and expands into things like USDC integration.. the price will likely align. We are enter a stage of value investing within crypto which shows the development within the space. Sui is proving itself as one to keep an eye on in that regard.
Long
by SoftQuant
What To Expect After The Fed rate Cut: 9-18-2024 (Fed Day)This video is really designed to teach you some basics about Fibonacci Price Theory (FPT) Analysis. I wanted to show you how I see the charts using FPT and why, sometimes, I might be seeing things differently than you do on the charts. In my world, there are simple constructs that are evident on every chart. Supply & Demand zones, trending/flagging, and most importantly Fibonacci Price Theory constructs. Fibonacci Price Theory is the basis of all my analysis. It is the ground-level structure I look for in price on all charts. Then, I move to more advanced indicators and other analysis types to develop a Success/Failure outcome (trend/trade expectation). What I do is not hard to understand - it just takes practice. Fibonacci & Gann techniques are infinitely adaptable to any type of price action. I use another technique I call the Tesla Price Amplitude Arcs which often help me identify where/when price events may happen - but that is for another video (maybe). Ultimately, it comes down to understanding the structure and intent of price action (either success or failure) and how to position your trades for that success or failure of any price event. There are really two types of traders: trend traders and counter-trend traders. Trend traders try to catch the explosive price moves as trend events. Counter-trend traders try to catch major reversal levels in price and try to profit from counter-trend price moves (reversals/reversions). Using FPT, you can learn to execute both type of trading styles and improve your ability to see the market trends/setups more clearly. I hope this video helps you learn to become a better trader and helps you understand my Plan Your Trade videos more clearly. At least you'll be able to understand how I see charts and what drives much of my thinking related to chart. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
AMEX:SPYEducation
by BradMatheny
7
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 9-18 : Gap Potential & Fed DayThis video pretty much covers everything I've been telling all of you over the past 5+ days. Yes, I'm planning on waiting out the consolidation/early trading today and waiting through the Fed decision. There is no reason to jump in front of a moving train attempting to change its direction or speed. You just get run over and beat up. So, I'm going to take a break this morning, watching the markets and waiting for the Fed rate decision. While I did look at some data points this morning, the one thing that caught my attention was the Mortgage Refinance Index. That index has jumped more than 45% over the past 12-16+ months while mortgage rates are still above 6%. I believe this is an indication that ARM borrowers are under some pressure now (after roughly 36 months) to refinance and are dealing with higher rates. 2024-3 = 2021. Those hot to buy anything after the COVID pandemic may have signed into ARM loans with a 3-year rate guarantee - which may now be rolling into fully adjustable rate loans. That would push the refinance index higher as these homeowners attempt to wiggle their way into something more realistic than the 6.5 to 7.5% rates on their ARMs now. In my opinion, this is the only thing that may prompt the Fed to lower rates a bit - the pressure on a small segment of home owners in ARM loans that need some relief. We'll just have to wait and see what happens today. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
AMEX:SPYShort
by BradMatheny
2
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade Update For 9-17 : Wednesday is CriticalIf you were paying attention to my SPY Cycle Patterns today - boy, a beautiful "top" pattern setup today. Just like my SPY Cycle Patterns predicted more than 3 years ago. If you've been following my research, you already know I've identified dual excess Phase Peak patterns that should resolve into a rollover topping pattern, sending the SPY/QQQ moving downward towards the end of this week (Sept 19-20). If the current Ultimate High price level continues to act as resistance, there is a real potential for the SPY/QQQ to move into a downward momentum breakdown the following week (Sept 23-30). But, the one thing that throws the whole topping pattern into a mess is that the RSP has already broken to new ATHs and appears to be attempting to hold above the previous high-price fractals. Thus, we are seeing the equal-weighted S&P already moving into a broad value-based rally phase. Watch this video to understand why I continue to suggest traders avoid engaging in any big trades or get greedy, thinking they are going to WIN BIG on their trades. Yes, I'm sure some people will hit their targets over the next 3-7+ days, but others will get run over (hard). Unless you really like taking the risk of getting run over by the markets or market makers, I suggest sitting back and reading a good book while the markets or traders struggle to find their exits. One thing is certain: the markets will move into a trend by the end of September—either into a breakaway rally phase or into a rollover topping phase. You'll have lots of time to position for these trends because my research shows the next cycle phase is October 7-10 (nearly two+ weeks away). So, why stress out about tomorrow's Fed Rate decision? Just sit back and wait for the markets to give you a clearer understanding of what's next. I'll create another morning video tomorrow morning. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
COMEX:GC1!Short
by BradMatheny
2
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade Update For 9-17: Excess Phase Peak BreakThis short video explains why it is so important to often wait for the markets to show you what it really wants to do - not trying to force a trade when the markets are undecided. Many traders are likely short right now - expecting a top to setup in the markets ahead of the Fed rate decision. My research suggests a top would likely form because of the dual Excess Phase Peak patterns on the charts as well. But, the RSP rally to new ATHs over the past 3+ days gave me reason to PAUSE and really consider the potential that price may rally and break away from the Excess Phase Peak setups. Well, today we have a new ATH in the SPY. We need to wait till the end of the day to see if price gets rejected at these new ATH levels - but this is a BREAK of the Excess Phase Peak pattern. Over the past 10+ days, I've continued to share why these Excess Phase Peak patterns are one of the core constructs of price action. They happen all the time (probably 60% of all trading through any year is an Excess Phase Peak pattern). There are five constructs to the pattern. They can be Bullish or Bearish in structure. At any time after the initial PEAK/TROUGH is set, they can INVALIDATE. So, we have to stay keenly aware of when/how they can invalidate. This video will show you multiple examples of Excess Phase Peak patterns and how to use them. Get ready, we may be at the start of a moderate melt-up for the SPY targeting 585-595 or higher. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
AMEX:SPYShort
by BradMatheny
5
SPY/QQ Plan Your Trade For 9-17 : Top PatternToday's Top pattern suggests the markets will melt upward in early trading, finding resistance, then rolling over into a moderate downtrend. A top pattern is very similar to a reversal pattern. Where price moves higher, finds a key resistance area, tops, and then rolls downward away from the resistance area. In today's video, I take a quick look at RSP, the equal-weighted S&P500 ETF, where price levels have already moved to new ATHs. And this may be very important for all traders to consider. If the equal-weighted S&P ETF is moving to new all-time highs right now, while the QQQ and SPY struggle within the Excess Phase Peak patterns, it may be just a matter of time before the SPY invalidates the Excess Phase Peak pattern and moves to new ATHs as well. The QQQ may be a different story as that chart still shows quite a bit of upper price range before invalidating any of the Excess Phase Peak patterns. Therefore, I suggest traders stay very cautious today and tomorrow as we see how things play out. Right now, I would suggest the topping/peak pattern has about a 60% probability of playing out successfully today. Those ATHs in the RSP are more indicative of a moderate melt upward instead of a rolling top pattern - at least right now. Gold and Silver will pause a bit ahead of the Fed rate decision. All markets are in a "wait and see mode" ahead of the Fed. This is another reason why you should not be overly aggressive in your trading right now. Bitcoin is attempting to FLAG again - moving into a tighter, more consolidated price range just below $60k. I still believe an explosive upward price trend is building for BTCUSD. I believe we will see an explosive upward price trend setting up just before the elections across the SPY/QQQ and other markets as well - we have to get through the next 45 days of consolidation and uncertainty ahead of the elections. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
AMEX:SPYShort
by BradMatheny
4
NQ-SP500-NKD-BTC, The wave has startedCME_MINI:NQ1! BINANCE:BTCUSD CME_MINI:ES1! CME:NKD1! The wave has started. It's slow, and choppy as they move through the time frames, so if you play the longer time frames, be patient. If you play the shorter time frames, ensure you take profit along the way so you're not chopped up Video covers – NQ – SP500 – NKD – BTC ES (S&P) – 100 pt price blocks (Bold Yellow Lines) NQ (Nasdaq) – 500 pt price blocks NKD (Japanese Market) – 1000 pt price blocks BTC (Bitcoin) – 5000 pt price blocks Legend Bold Yellow Lines: Top and Bottom of Price Blocks Dotted Blue Lines: 50% of any Price Block White Solid Line: 20 EMA Yellow Solid Line (not price block): 50 EMA Blue Solid Line: 200 EMA Method: Follow the MACD and the 200 EMA. Generally speaking, if the MACD is negative or heading negative, the price should be below the 200 EMA or heading below it, and visa versa, as it goes up to go positive, so should the price, and you should be targeting a price (at a significant level – price block) above the 200 EMA.
CME_MINI:NQ1!Short
by The_GoldFinch
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 9-16 : Gap Reversal PatternMy honest opinion related to the next 2~3 trading days is - go take a few days off and wait out the markets for the next 48+ hours. I don't believe there will be much in terms of opportunity over the next 48-72 hours as price is likely to chop around near the top of the current FLAG. The real opportunity comes late Wednesday and into Thursday/Friday as price should attempt to break downward (if my analysis is correct) and move into a solid 5-7+ days of downward price momentum. What I see happening over the next 48-72 hours is Sideways Chop. Not fun for the average trader and really not something you can make a lot of money trading unless you are very skilled at catching short-term price rotation with options. Overall, the next 48+ hours should be about observation - watching price attempt to stall, break away from this FLAG, and setting up for the bigger move near the 19th & 20th of September. I'm not telling you how or what to trade. I'm just saying I believe the next 48-72 hours will be very difficult for average traders. OK. Happy Monday. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
AMEX:SPYShort
by BradMatheny
8
BTC Bitcoin In-Depth Analysis and Trade Idea👀 👉 Navigating Key Market Levels with Bitcoin Bitcoin (BTC) has broken market structure to the upside. On both the daily and 4-hour charts, we see a pullback into equilibrium, offering a potential buying opportunity. In this video, we dive into market structure, price action, and, most importantly, the trend. We also discuss how smart money has been targeting stop losses recently. The goal is to set up a trade that minimizes the risk of a stop run without compromising our risk-to-reward ratio. *Disclaimer: The information shared in this video is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always perform your own analysis or consult a financial advisor before making trading decisions.* 📊✅
Long
by tradingwithanthony
2
BTC Price Targets $44K & $15K - ETHBTC & BTC.DIn this video, we dive deep into the current bearish market structure Focusing also on ETH/BTC and Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D). Understanding these key indicators is crucial for gauging the broader market trend and positioning yourself for potential moves ahead. We’ll start by breaking down ETH/BTC, analyzing the weakness in Ethereum’s price action relative to Bitcoin, and what this could mean for altcoins in general. Next, we’ll examine the Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D) chart, which is showing a shift in capital allocation within the crypto space. This movement could signal Bitcoin's growing dominance as altcoins lag behind. Lastly, we discuss two critical Bitcoin price targets: the near-term resistance at $44,000, and the potential downside scenario to $15,000. These levels could define the next big moves for Bitcoin and the overall market direction. Make sure to watch until the end to get a complete picture of the market’s current state and how to navigate it! 🔔 Don't forget to like, subscribe.
Short
by SerenityEquity
NQ - SP500 - NKD - BTC Coming Week(s) - BearKey Points: Video covers – CME_MINI:NQ1! - CME_MINI:ES1! - CME:NKD1! - BINANCE:BTCUSD ES (S&P) – 100 pt price blocks (Bold Yellow Lines) NQ (Nasdaq) – 500 pt price blocks NKD (Japanese Market) – 1000 pt price blocks BTC (Bitcoin) – 5000 pt price blocks Legend Bold Yellow Lines: Top and Bottom of Price Blocks Dotted Blue Lines: 50% of any Price Block White Solid Line: 20 EMA Yellow Solid Line (not price block): 50 EMA Blue Solid Line: 200 EMA Method: Follow the MACD and the 200 EMA. Generally speaking, if the MACD is negative or heading negative, the price should be below the 200 EMA or heading below it, and visa versa, as it goes up to go positive, so should the price, and you should be targeting a price (at a significant level – price block) above the 200 EMA.
BINANCE:BTCUSDShort
by The_GoldFinch
Bitcoin FULL Analysis PART 2In a previous analysis, I discussed the relationship between Bitcoin, the Altcoin market and Bitcoin Dominance. An important rotation exists between these three; and by using TOTAL3 together with BTC.D, you can get a clearer picture of where BTC is trading in the current cycle. In this video, I make an important suggestion based off Elliot Wave Theory. This theory is backed up by the points mentioned but also by the Logarithmic view: From the log scale, we can see BTC is still trading relatively low compared to previous cycle top-outs. So the question remains - the end... or just the beginning? ________________________________________ COINBASE:BTCUSD BINANCE:BTCUSDT CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL3 CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D
by CryptoCheck-
1
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 9-13 : Rally DayPlease take a minute to watch this video, and possibly some of my earlier videos from this week, as we continue to see the SPY, QQQ, and Bitcoin continue to move through an Excess Phase Peak pattern. It is very important for traders to understand the eventual A/B outcome of the Excess Phase Peak pattern. For the SPY/QQQ, we are still flagging into what is very likely to be a rolling top pattern - setting up a broad downward price trend in the near future. The only thing that can stop that rollover top is a rally to new ATHs (which can happen to invalidate the Excess Phase Peak pattern). Because of these pattern setups, it is important to see were the SPY ends this current rally phase and if the SPY can rally above the recent ATH levels or not. Gold is moving into a temporary topping pattern above $2600. I would think the 2613 level would be the ideal topping level for Gold - but I would expect Gold to struggle to move up to the 2613 level at this point. Bitcoin is showing an inverted Excess Phase Peak pattern. I go into detail about this pattern and what we need to look for over the next few weeks. Ultimately, I believe the markets are moving into a transitional price rollover ahead of the election. Plan, prepare, and Get Some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
Is Kamino (KMNO) Aave's Biggest Compeition??Aave is dominanting the Ethereum space Looks like Aave is pulling away in terms of Ethereum lending protocols. It may continue this trend of dominance. Of course things could change within ethereum but if the trend continues then perhaps their competition will lay outside ethereum. Solana massively grew its footprint Solana may have had its issues whilst being massively stress tested. Certain points having higher dex volume than Ethereum. With users flocking to Solana and Solana handling its growth relatively well.. its very possible that we see the trend continue next wave. Kamino is dominanting Solana lending space If Kamino continues to dominate the solana lending space and solana goes back to overtaking ethereum dex volume.. then it stands to reason that Aave's biggest competition may lay outside Ethereum. If Aave runs aggressively out of its long term base then the solana flock may start herding into their best version. Becareful of the bearish stophunt on Kamino
Long
by SoftQuant
Markets Finding Equilibrium Before FOMCAll major indexes and broad market advancing today with the US CPI/PPI combo causing some big recoveries since the post Labor Day selloff. Momentum goes to the bulls for now until price proves otherwise. FED likely to cut 25 bps next week with more to come by end of year. It's amazing how quickly sentiment can shift like it did with Aug 1-5 and after, and again Sep 3-6 and after. I hope you enjoy today's video. Friday's close for the day and week will be important and perhaps it's all quiet on the western front heading into FOMC next week where price can be excitable and volatile, but we'll do our best to navigate everything. Thanks for watching!!! See you in the markets.
AMEX:XLRE
by ChrisPulver
1
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade Update : GOLD Breakout WINNERGetting through my morning with phone calls and coding - I took a break to check on the markets and what did I see? A huge breakout rally in GOLD. This huge move higher (+$40) is a massive win for those who followed my Plan You Trade Videos. I've been saying any price move above $2565-$2575 would be a gift and traders should attempt to BOOK PROFITS as Gold moves above these levels. I warned not to hold positions above $2585-2593. In fact, I'm expecting a bit of a metals flash-crash event to take place near mid-October. But, today is a winner day for gold traders. A HUGE WINNER day. I'm so happy to hear from all of you about your success with my Plan Your Trade videos. This is what it is all about - help you become a more skilled trader. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
COMEX:GC1!Long
by BradMatheny
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 9-12 : BreakAway PatternMuch like yesterday's pattern, today is a Breakaway pattern for the SPY. I believe today's price move will be more muted than yesterday's big rally off the 540 lows. Combining the 830 jobs data with price expectations is difficult. I believe jobs data will be relatively soft, and traders will interpret that as the Fed may decrease rates before the end of this year. But I believe traders will be wrong, and the markets will flatten out this afternoon (after some morning volatility). Ultimately, the Fed is very confident that it will leave rates where they are unless something breaks. And because of that, I believe traders are trying to WISH the Fed into making a move. Because of this dynamic, I believe hedge assets will continue to melt upward and we will move into a fairly consolidated price period between now and the Nov 5 election. Overall, I believe most of today's price action will take place before Noon ET. Buckle up and prepare to take the afternoon off if my research is correct. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by BradMatheny