SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 10-3 : Reversal Rally DayOver the past few days, I've posted 4-5+ videos highlighting my SPY Cycle Patterns and how these help traders plan and prepare for future price action/trades.
Today's Reversal Rally pattern should prompt a moderately strong upward price move in the SPY/QQQ. I'm expecting the SPY to attempt to rally up into the 572-573 range today - maybe a bit higher. The QQQ may attempt to rally up into the 487-489 range today.
Gold and Silver are working through a Temporary Bottom pattern today. This pattern usually starts with a moderate downward price move (setting up a base) and then rolls upward. So, I expect Gold to attempt to move back up to the 2680-2685 level today, and I expect Silver to rally up to the 32.12-32.25 level today.
BTCUSD is stuck in the Excess Phase Peak setup's downward (rolling base) pattern. This rolling base will likely take more than 2-4 days to resolve before we'll start to see BTCUSD move into the FLAGGING stage of the Excess Phase Peak pattern.
This suggests BTCUSD will struggle over the next 4 to 7 days before resolving into a moderate uptrend (the FLAGGING stage) - leading to a make-or-break price move sometime near October 15-19 or so. That make-or-break move could be huge depending on how BTCUSD resolves the end of the FLAGGING phase.
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1-BTCUSD
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade 10-2 End Of Day Review.For those of you following my research and SPY Cycle Patterns, this video helps to understand where we are within the SPY Cycle Patterns (and also the GOLD Cycle Patterns) while providing context and information related to future trends.
I suspect the price will follow my "Buy Here" and "Sell Here" levels very closely, as this week's price rotation seems very clear.
Most traders should have no problem trying to understand where opportunities exist after the recent Harami and CRUSH patterns collided into one bigger downward sweep of price. Over the last few days, the Israeli/Lebanon conflict became a focal point, and prices reacted to this news.
Now that the issue seems to have passed (a bit), the markets will return to doing what they do.
Watch this video and post any questions you may have.
The rest of this week should be a great opportunity for skilled traders.
Get some.
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SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade 10-2 CRUSH Pattern UpdateThe SPY is searching and seeking support early in trading today.
I believe this attempt to find support will fail, and the price will continue downward, attempting to find lower support.
Watch this video as price attempts to identify direction and trend.
Get Some.
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SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 10-2 : CRUSH Pattern TodayPlease take a minute to watch this video related to my SPY Cycle Patterns and today's CRUSH pattern.
Although I expect the markets to find support over the next 2-3 days and resume the rally higher, today's CRUSH pattern will likely prompt the markets to sell downward, looking for support.
I've clearly laid out the rotations I expect for the SPY/QQQ, and Gold/Silver in this video.
I've also shown why I believe BTCUSD will struggle to move away from the $57k to $61k level over the next 10 to 15+ days. It is likely trapped in a rolling base/bottom pattern, moving into the Flagging stage of the Excess Phase Peak pattern.
The markets are struggling for direction right now, but I believe the outcome for the SPY/QQQ is still bullish and I believe Gold and Silver will make a very big move higher into the end of this year.
Bitcoin is another story. It is searching for support and may break downward if this Excess Phase Peak pattern unfolds correctly.
Get some.
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Q4 Kickoff - US down, VIX Up, Oil Drama, China RipQuick video recap to highlight what's the latest and greatest in the markets.
Oct 1 - Happy Q4
US Big Tech in "big red" today
US Energy in "big green" today - thanks for a wild bid on USOIL
China continues to rip "green" and it's playing catchup quickly
US will have to deal with employment news, inflation news, earnings news, all before the US Election and Nov 7 FOMC Rate Decision (expecting another 25 bps cut)
Major levels to the downside if there's a US market pullback, FOMC lows, gap fills, and up trendline levels (50 period SMA, 100 period SMA, 200 period SMA) but we'll see
Stay frosty out there :)
Thanks for watching!!!
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 10-1 : Amazing Harami PatternI wanted to create a video highlighting some of the success my SPY Cycle Patterns have had over the past few weeks and months for all of you.
Many of you don't comment on my videos but follow my research intently. I see my videos getting 250 to 400+ views daily - so I know many of you are seeing my content. And that makes me happy because I'm doing this to help you become a better, more skilled trader.
Yet, after the last few days of price rotation, and particularly today's big news day, I'm absolutely amazed that if the SPY closes above 750.45, we may end up with a true Harami-Inside price pattern.
I want all of you to consider something for just a few minutes. My SPY Cycle Patterns are built on Fibonacci and GANN technology, which attempts to map out price patterns in a matrix. From this matrix, I can develop complex lookup engines (an inference engine) that attempt to map the current price pattern with known data from the matrix.
By doing this, I can map out any construct or type of price action/pattern that happens within price—now, in the past, or in the future. And, with my complex inference engine, I can map the Fibonacci/GANN structures nearly forever into the future.
For example, here are the SPY Price Patterns for the first two weeks in November 2036...
11/1/2036 Top/Resistance
11/2/2036 GAP Potential
11/3/2036 GAP-Reversal
11/4/2036 GAP/BreakAway
11/5/2036 Break-Away
11/6/2036 Carryover
11/7/2036 Inside-Breakaway
11/8/2036 Break-Away
11/9/2036 WeekendGap/WeekdayFlat
11/10/2036 GapUp-Lower
11/11/2036 GAP/BreakAway
11/12/2036 Harami-Inside
11/13/2036 CRUSH
11/14/2036 GAP Potential
11/15/2036 Top/Resistance21
What amazes me is that these patterns are predicted more than 3 to 5+ years before the actual price moves.
Like today's Harami pattern, I'm amazed that my SPY Cycle patterns could attempt to accurately predict a Harami-Inside price pattern 3+ years in advance of it happening.
I don't know anyone on the planet who can do this research and attempt to accurately map out future price trends/moves/setups like this.
Watch this video and see why learning to use my SPY Cycle Patterns is absolutely incredible.
I'm going to work on a QQQ version next.
Let's go get some profits together.
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SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 10-1 : Harami-Inside PatternToday's video spends quite a bit of time going over the next 8+ trading days and why I expect the markets to continue to move upward - with the SPY targeting 595-605.
What is important to understand is that outside new events can disrupt my SPY Cycle Patterns. So, this new move by Israel to encroach into Lebanon may present some real disruptions in price activity.
But, ignoring that potential news suggests my price patterns will show price ultimately wants to melt upward.
My own personal opinion is the world has already discounted The continuing conflicts between Israel and these terrorist groups. I believe the world already knows Israel will do what is necessary to prevent further rocket/other attacks from these groups. And that's that.
So, I don't see it being a big distraction for the markets.
In fact, I see it as the natural order of how things must play out to reach a conclusion.
And I see the world's global markets moving higher as a result of these conflicts and the pending US elections.
Follow my research and ...
Get Some.
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Bitcoin Analysis Weekly Outlook and Breakout SetupIn this video, I analyze Bitcoin's intermediate bullish weekly close and the next steps we're looking for. I discuss the importance of price taking out sell-side liquidity and trading into the weekly Fair Value Gap (FVG), setting us up for potential long opportunities.
The goal is to see Bitcoin break out of the current consolidation phase and continue its upward momentum. Tune in to get the key levels and insights for the next move!
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 9-30 : 2 Week ExpectationsThis video highlights two weeks of SPY Cycle Patterns and what I believe is the most likely outcome over the next 10+ trading days.
I urge traders to stay cautious as the current capital shift (related to the Fed rate cut) is transitioning. This is a process where capital is actively seeking undervalued and ignored global market sectors.
This transitioning process may mute some price action related to the US markets and forward expectations. This is almost a certainty related to the pending US elections only 30+ days away.
I'm suggesting the current melt-up trend will continue until a potential topping pattern setup near October 18-24. I still believe a topping pattern is likely just before the elections which will send the markets moving downward. Traders must be aware of this topping pattern's potential downward price move.
I do see a solid upward price move in the SPY/QQQ over the next 7 to 10+ days. There is a CRUSH pattern on Wednesday this week, but the next two weeks show identical SPY Cycle Pattern setups.
I believe this week will be somewhat volatile for traders. But the next two weeks will be rock solid to the upside.
Gold and Silver will contract a bit in early trading this week, but should start moving higher on Wednesday/Thursday. Gold will target $2750 and Silver will target $33.50-34.00.
Bitcoin is rolling, just as I expected, to the downside. I believe BTCUSD will fall to 59k-60k before finding support. I also think BTCUSD will stay rather muted throughout the end of this year (at least into and through the elections).
Here we go—another week of opportunities.
Get some.
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BTC Important Weekly Close - Breakout to 80k upcoming week?In this video, I analyze the current Bitcoin market structure with a focus on the bullish trend forming on the weekly chart. I discuss the importance of the upcoming weekly close and explain why it plays a critical role in determining Bitcoin's future direction.
You'll get insights into the key levels to watch and how this close could impact the overall market trend. Enjoy the analysis!
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 9-27 : Gap Potential PatternToday's Gap Potential will likely resolve in an opening price gap to the upside.
I believe the current price bias, which is still to the upside, will prompt a higher opening price gap followed by a moderate bullish trend today.
I will warn you that an afternoon consolidation period heading into the weekend is not out of the question. So, be prepared for a flat trading range after Noon (NY) lasting possibly 60-90 minutes.
The close of trading today could prompt a fairly big price trend (an end-of-day Squeeze). This is capital moving out of the markets before the weekend, and it could prompt a big opportunity for traders. My guess is it would be to the upside, but it really depends on how price reacts throughout the day.
Right now, I would guess the upward price squeeze will change by 55 to 65% at the end of the day.
Overall, I believe today will be rather muted for the SPY, QQQ, Gold, Silver, and BTCUSD. Yesterday's big CRUSH bar is the volatility event this week (setting new higher highs and higher lows), followed by today's price action, which will settle ahead of next week.
So, today, it will likely show moderate trending with periods of flat/consolidation. The end of the day may show a more aggressive "Squeeze" trend - but we'll see if that happens.
Either way, play the chart. Play what is in front of you, and don't get trapped in any longer-term expectations. There will be lots of opportunities next week for bigger trends.
Get Some.
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SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 9-26 : CRUSH In Trend ModeAnd here we go..
If you've been following my research/videos for the past few weeks, you already know how accurate and valuable my research/content is for traders.
I'm using common techniques: Fibonacci Price Theory, Technical Analysis, Candlesticks, and quite a bit of my own proprietary research to share insights and information with all of you.
The point behind all of this is to help you become a better, more skilled trader - and to learn to be patient while waiting for the best trade setups.
Today, we'll see the benefits of waiting out the last 5+ days of price consolidation and how price moves in only two modes: trending or flagging.
Today is a trending phase.
It seems like all the pressure of capital flow (after the Fed rate cut) is finally starting to hit as the US markets attempt to make a big move.
Remember, the top in the SPY should be between 595-605. The top in the QQQ should be near 505. The top in Gold (temporary peak) should be near 2720-2735. And the top in Silver should be near 34.50-35.00.
I'm still expecting BTCUSD to roll downward over the next 2-3 weeks - targeting 60,150.
Get some.
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Bitcoin - MORE INCREASE? Have to see THIS FIRSTBitcoin has been giving us some positive vibes as buying pressure shows up on lower timeframes. We've even managed to keep the price above $60k - an excellent sign of strength.
However, before considering more upside there really is just ONE thing we need to see - higher lows.
For as long as we are unable to breakout ABOVE the diagonal resistance zone, we'll just be stair stepping down into a slowburn, slow decline until point 4 is established and we're ready to complete the final impulse wave up (4-5).
Making higher lows would result in prices back towards the upper 60's, with a successful retest of the neckline support.
EXTRA FOR EXPERTS - Here's how to use the Bitcoin Dominance chart together with the Altcoin market chart to gauge the next direction of BTC:
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BINANCE:BTCUSDT
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 9-25 : Carryover in Carryover ModeToday's carryover trend will likely prompt a moderate meltdown in the SPY and QQQ. Pay attention to how the QQQ is still transitioning away from the shorter-term (blue) Excess Phase Peak pattern while the SPY has broken both the long-term and short-term Excess Phase Peak patterns.
In my opinion, this suggests the markets are still struggling to move higher overall.
The recent Fed rate cut will prompt the markets to shift attention towards more undervalued stock sectors. This will prompt a fairly broad-market rally phase to settle into place.
However, the US elections, which are only about 35 days away, act as an "uncertainty factor" for the markets.
Thus, we have a very interesting dynamic. The markets want to transition into a fairly broad rally while uncertainty and concern related to US policy and leadership are becoming increasingly contentious.
This translates into volatility, and I believe the markets are set up for a DEEP-V type of Flash Price move over the next 30 days. This is why I'm urging traders to stay cautious of a big volatility event after October 10-14.
In the meantime, the SPY and QQQ should attempt to rally a bit higher, and Gold will try to reach $2710-2720.
BTCUSD, on the other hand, looks like it will roll downward, targeting the $60,150 level.
Get some.
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Bitcoin (BTC) Technical Analysis and Trade Idea👀 👉 Bitcoin has been range-bound for a while, recently reaching a key resistance level. The bullish momentum appears to be weakening. In this video, we dive into the trend, price action, and market structure, exploring various possibilities for a potential trade setup.
Disclaimer: The information provided in this video is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. 📊✅
XRP Dying Star?! Or Rising Again!?XRP has been dying for years
Relative to the space XRP has been a bad hold. In the last bull run it underperformed BTC and of course many others. It also underperformed its own previous high.
Pattern is similar to previous mega run
The lower high pattern is similar to what it made before its last mega run in 2017. It did top out late and was a market topping signal overall.. so even if not an XRP fan its worth keeping an eye on.
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 9-24 : Counter-Trend BreakawayToday's counter-trend Breakaway pattern suggests the markets will attempt to move downward (counter to the current Bullish trend) and attempt to find support.
I believe the downward price move in the SPY will target the 565-566 level for a low today - setting up a solid reversal rally phase going into the rest of the week.
We didn't see much downward trending yesterday - so, today could be the day the markets attempt to flush downward a bit.
I'm still urging traders not to overreact to this minor downward price move (potentially today). My analysis suggests the SPY is still on a path to target 595-605 before Oct 10th or so.
Gold/Silver will likely move downward today - setting up a nice base before the next rally phase higher. The strengthening US Dollar will continue to put pressure on Gold/Silver - but I don't believe the US Dollar will rally above 102 at this point.
BTCUSD appears to be rolling over into a consolidation phase. I believe we could see $60k to $62k before the end of this week as a base/bottom.
Now if not the time to be foolish. Just sit back, time your entries, and prepare for the next rally phase in the markets.
Get some.
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BITCOIN - It's time to decide the directionThe situation at the moment is quite dubious, the price has been around the old ATH for six months now, I don't feel like saying that we are entering a bearish period for the simple fact that there has not been a violent rejection on the old ATH and I don't even feel like saying that the price action is bullish, because in this case the price, after closing above the old ATH would have used it as support and then continued upwards. Right now I'm just watching what happens
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 9-23 : GAP Breakaway PatternToday, I believe the SPY will consolidate downward after last week's Fed rate cut. I believe the next move for the SPY/QQQ will be higher, but I feel the markets need a pause phase to settle before moving into the rally phase near Wednesday (9-25).
Overall, I believe the SPY/QQQ and Gold/Silver will pause in early trading this week, then move into a continued rally phase as the markets digest the Fed rate cut.
Remember, this 50bp cut won't translate into any real immediate move of 2-4%. The way the markets work is they transition into the opportunities created by the rate cut. That means we'll see technology and speculative stocks attempt to bounce higher going into October 14-15 - maybe a bit further.
But, I do expect a wave of selling to hit just before the elections - so I'm warning everyone to stay cautious after October 11-14 as I believe the likelihood of a moderate Flash-Crash (Deep-V) type of event is very high.
Right now, the markets seem like they want to settle and attempt to break away from recent resistance areas. This is more evident on the QQQ chart.
Your opportunity to buy into lows over the next 2-3 days will allow you to really benefit from the next upward rally phase.
BTCUSD appears to be stalling/topping and will likely roll downward towards the 58k to 60k level over this same time. BTCUSD needs to settle into the next low before attempting to make another move higher (probably very late in October - after October 25-28).
Get some.
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BTC Bitcoin Technical Analysis and Trade Idea👀 👉 BTC has recently broken market structure to the upside, signalling a potential bullish opportunity. The breakout is evident on both the daily and 4-hour charts, suggesting a buying setup could be forming. In this video, we’ll analyse market structure, price action, and focus on the prevailing trend. We’ll also highlight a potential trade setup, contingent on the price action aligning with our outlined scenario.
**Disclaimer:** This content is for educational purposes only and should not be interpreted as financial advice. 📊✅
This is NOT Bullish for the Stock Market!This week The Fed lowered rates and everyone was "SURE" that this would lead to a huge market yeet in stocks and Bitcoin INDEX:BTCUSD ... but are we getting it?
Price closed the week with an attempt to break higher on the S&P 500 futures CME_MINI:ES1! BUT closed BACK INSIDE the prior All Time High. THIS is a key sign of a potential reversal. In this video I look at similar instances to demonstrate how this simple element of price action is often all one needs to correctly identify reversals whether it is Bitcoin, individual stocks, or the market as a whole!
Why The Fed Lowered Rates - My Opinion Part IIThis is Part II of Why The Fed Lowered Rates - My Opinion
The only reason the Fed lowered rates by 50bp this week is because the global markets are reeling under pressure from a strong US-Dollar and a strong US economy.
Without any relief, the new POTUS would enact new policies and push them through Congress, and the US would start another spending spree—pushing the US-dollar-based assets even higher and driving the capital flow into USD-based assets even further.
That capital flow is harming foreign economies, and global central banks have been trying to fight the tide of a very strong US dollar for more than two years.
If the Fed had not lowered rates, we would likely start to see severe pressure on global central banks and possibly even governments/economies over the next 24-48 months.
This is a way for the US Fed, and thus the US economy, from potentially being dragged into a global contagion event after 24+ months of reducing global money flow/function.
Simply put, the US Fed gave in to global central bank concerns related to a strong US economy/Dollar compared to their weaker currencies/economies and the pressure being exerted by a decoupling global economy.
Even though the lower US rates may provide some relief for the global market, the pressure on global currencies/economies may adapt to this "new normal" and continue to squeeze global central banks.
Time will tell.
Get some.
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