3 Things I Wish I Was Told Before Becoming A TraderTrader Jamal…
Hey, Finn—What you doing here… Are you here to wind me up?
No, Jam! Shucks—Just heard you’re rich now. Trading stole our red-collar boy. How has it being though?
Tough!… I won’t even lie to you man. It’s being real tough. I even told my story here to people. You know what they said, “I told you so”.
I mean all I wanted was “financial freedom”. Pfft—I don’t even know what I was thinking. I’m broke man! Everything I’ve done has really messed me up, Finn.
I’ve lost close to $70,000 in total. Mistakes, hesitations, personality problems, and fear. I think… I might just quit—Maybe trading isn’t for me man… Came to get some food. We’ll talk later Finn—Bye!
“As a trader, the key is to learn more about yourself”… Huh! What do you mean sir?—Are you talking to me?
Yes, Forgive me son—I overheard your complaints to your friend. 43 years ago—I was exactly like you son. If I may ask, how long have you been trading?
Umm, 2 years sir. It really hasn’t being that long.
Then why are you complaining? … I’ve been in the game for 43 years and I didn’t achieve consistency—until after 10 years of trials and lots of errors. So, don’t give up yet!
Erg! sir… —I just don’t know what I’ve been doing wrong. I can’t tell.
The Old Trader tale
Everything I’ve done has been a total fail. You know, I went to school of candles Pretoria—Nothing has happened, so far. Tell me sir, what else should I do?
All right Jamon… … It’s Jamal sir
Jamal, can I tell you my story… I’ll appreciate that sir.
November 3, 1850, I became a trader—A friend introduced me to trading, when I was at my lowest. A short story…
What do you mean sir? I don’t understand… I’m going to let you in—on my secret. But, you have to make sure, you’re patient enough to listen.
On January 5, 1849 I graduated with a first class honors in Business and Finance. It was the greatest day for me—Cos’ I could finally become the Businessman/Banker I’ve always wanted to be. I thought to myself, “Isn’t this great?”
So I started job hunting, I focused more on the banking sector… I searched and foraged around Beverly hills but—It was total disappointment. Until, I finally got it.
Hey! guess which bank came through—It’s The First Republic Bank. They took me in. Good pay and all; it was my dream job.
I mean you must be asking, “why quit and become a trader?”
Simple! it wasn’t the life I pictured. I know I wanted to be in the financial sector—Wanted that classy business guy life—But, the idea of sitting in a spot to make money… wasn’t what I imagined. Two words, “It’s Boring”!
Why Quit Your Job Trader
The questions I asked myself was, “Is this where you really see yourself in 5 years?”… That was the only bank that offered me a great job—I knew that per fas et nefas, I am definitely going to have my financial freedom.
So, I started my search again. This time I was specific—No bosses, anywhere in the world and My own time. You should know what that means, right Jamal?
Oh! Yes sir I do… Just curious to how trading met you…
Sir, you graduated with a first class honors in finance yet, you spent 10 years in becoming a consistent trader What happened?
Don’t worry I’m getting there. Most traders don’t know this yet but, “It’s really mind over market; EQ over IQ” here. You’ll think that, because I came out with such good grades—I’ll be a market wiz in a short period.
That’s not how trading works!
You know, my friend Victor once said, “The key to trading success is emotional discipline. If intelligence were the key, there would be a lot more people making money trading… Ergo—the single most important reason that people lose money in the trading is because—they become too emotional, in denial, and cannot control these emotions”.
That’s why Jamal, Trading is really not about your IQ; It’s more or less about you as a person. Your mindset, beliefs, character—everything about you would be tested. As a trader , you are really playing against yourself. It’s you versus you!
I Discovered The Art Of Trading!
Before I continue my story, I’ll ask you a question—Do you understand your personality?
Shucks, well… Yes! I do. But, the change hasn’t been easy sir. I realized that my character flaws gets in the way of my progress. Exactly! Jamal…
Back to my story. I wasn’t happy with my job; even though it felt like it was my dream job. After working there for a year and reflecting—I realized, “No! man this isn’t what I expected”. It’s a bore!
Most people are like you Jamal. They’d ask, “Why spend 10 years in figuring out trading, if you graduated with a—first class Honors”. It’s because… trading is more than IQ! In trading, the intelligent also encounter problems, if not more—in trading. You know… You and I.
That’s why I used victor’s quotes.
Now, I was looking for my dream job, which was, making money whilst at the comfort of my home. My degree couldn’t give me that. I needed to have a skill. But, I’ll let you on a secret Jamal–-“A degree without skill is just nothing more than, a unit of angle measurements”.
Something happened—on the 15 September, 1850, there was a seminar. The bank made sure every of its staff were in attendance—Most grumbled, some happy, others indifferent. I actually wanted to reject the offer… until I saw the topic of the seminar. It read, “Your missing key to financial freedom”.
Of course I went. That’s what I wanted! Ugh… That seminar alone changed my view of the finance industry and I discovered the art of trading. A beautiful art I must say; The best!
Immediately, I saw a reflection, I imagined what it would feel like—If I became a trader.
Self-Reflection
The moderator said something, he said, “What kind of life do you want to live? A 9-5 till your 60 or an anytime you want till your 30”. You see, I pondered on that quote for the longest time. I don’t think I’ve ever had to think so hard. Anyway, I made a choice!
I have to know how to trade!
That’s what I said to myself. But, I didn’t quit my job just yet. I needed that job at least, till—I was great at the art of trading. Damn! I probably shouldn’t have quit my job right?
Heh! Listen, what’s already done shouldn’t be spoken about. You made a decision that was best for you at that time. Jamal you’re still young and there’s still time to make better decisions. As a trader, allow yourself make mistakes; if not, you’ll avoid them only to meet them at the finish line.
Do you understand!… Yes sir.
When I told myself that, I started looking. I searched for articles, books and listened to colleagues. We had no YouTube then—all we had were newspapers and the lying broadcast. But, I didn’t give up!
Working in the bank kind of gave me an upper hand—because I had access to financial data. Jimmy was our foreign exchange (forex) wiz. I needed Jimmy to be my friend.
I had to become a trader!
Becoming a trader, gave room to a lot of challenges—I encountered… The first was putting up with old Jimmy’s attitude. Jimmy wasn’t a friendly person but, Jimmy had what I needed. Did that stop me? No!
I had a goal. “I had to become a Trader!”… Old Jimmy wasn’t going to be a hindrance to that plan.
Secondly, I had to be patient because I knew Old Jimmy might say—The words I dreaded the most, “No!”. Which he did—severally!
Each time I got home, I’d tick my trading boxes. Each time, I realized how far I was—from becoming this trader. But, I stayed.
Months passed, days tripled and I finally got a demo account.
Trader Jimmy, Here—I Come…
Jimmy insisted I start with the demo. His words, “You need to get familiar with the system”. So, I started practicing what I’ve learnt and I was doing surprisingly well.
Also started making paper trading cash—I became obsessed with the reality that—it could all be mine. I assumed, “Maybe that’s all I need from learning”.
So, I quit!
Left the bank, told my colleagues, “bye”… I was out!
Hmm… thought to myself, “Hey, Trader …here I come”.
Months passed and I finally invested 50% of my salary into—a live account. I was ready or—I thought I was.
The first few trades were great; an account of $50,000 tripled. “Woah! I can’t believe that worked—what have I been doing in the bank since?”, “Could have been earning twice my salary in a day”, I mulled.
It’s a Friday morning. Hurrah! NFP… “the best time to get the bag”, that’s the phrase Jimmy would use.
Wham! I opened several positions and… Sighs, it ate my equity. Damn! it’s all gone. As if that wasn’t enough—I added more money. Told myself, “You can’t give up now” This is all you have!
In my bank account, $70,000 was left. Hmm… “well, it’s all or nothing” I exclaimed. Dialed the broker and added $30,000… left $40,000 for emergency reasons. Cos’ if I could lose $50,000—then it’s possible to lose more of that. Wasn’t going to be foolish twice!
But, it was actually worse…
For 9 horrible years of my life… I couldn’t figure it out. This Trader became miserable, broke and hurt.
Until, I realized…
One thing the demo does for the trader is, it reveals to you all you can achieve if—you didn’t have emotions. But, you’re human!
We all have emotions—that’s actually a problem. After my years of failing and picking myself up from the fence, I understood the market was trying to teach me something.
Jamal, I’m going to share with you 3 lessons I learnt from my Chi-Fu called, “market”. These lessons all come with sacrifices… It should help you pick up your art and become its master. The first…
As A Trader Become A Great Loser
Jamal, can you think of a trader who actually boasted about his losses?
Most people don’t like to show the black eye and swollen lips—they show you the beauty marks and glittering veneers. Obsessions over something makes you have less of it. To be a good winner; you have to be a good loser.
Huh! what does that mean sir?
You have to come to terms with losing. In-fact, losing should be an opportunity for you to learn something new about—yourself and the markets. Learn to appreciate your losses.
Why sir? It hurts! That’s my hard-earned money… Jamal cries.
Exactly, Jamal! It should. Life is all about lessons and so is the market. Have you ever received something without giving?
Uh… Not that I can remember.
Exactly! It’s because you haven’t. In everything, there’s a relationship. Now—this relationship can either be mutualistic or parasitic. Trading is only parasitic if the lessons aren’t fully digested.
Listen, If I gave you $500 and you misplaced it; you became careless—It got missing. What will you do?
Err, I probably look for it Sir.
“What if you don’t find it, remember it’s not your money”, The man responds.
“I’ll probably cry Sir. How else would I replace it”, Jamal interjects.
Okay great, You know that “crying” doesn’t bring the money back right? That’s exactly what happens in the market. We fail to learn from our mistakes, we let our emotions take over, instead of listening to the actual lesson.
The next time someone gives you $500—I know for a fact—Jamal, that you’ll be more careful. You know why? Because there’s being a loss before. Now, you either learn to protect it or become careless again.
What will you choose?
I’ll learn to protect it Sir.
Good! That’s the first lesson. In the market however, you might keep losing this $500—Each time there’s a loss, there’s a lesson. Right?
Which brings me to my next lesson. It’s a question first; then after the question—comes the lesson. Are you ready for it Jamal?
Heh, yes sir!
Haha! Nice, you want to take down notes. Interesting…
Will You Allow The Market Bully You?
Have you ever been bullied in life? Either a childhood school bully or a boss… “Oh, my God—Yes sir!”,
Heh!… okay, That was a fast response—seems you can’t forget that one. It was bad huh?
Bad!
Anyway, bullies’ have power—only when they feel superior. It’s just like a Cat and Mice, the cat seems very powerful when ever he sees a mice—Cos’ he’s bigger. But, most times—The mice is smaller and wiser. A mice that isn’t wise gets trampled upon.
So, If that school bully comes now and tries to bully you, will you allow it?… Of course not. I’m probably a lot bigger now and It ain’t possible anymore.
Exactly, Jamal. You got better!
If you’re that kid that got bullied in school, You know it’s no different from the market. The market is that childhood bully, that boss at work—but this time around, I want you to see the market as “Jimmy”. Yeah, he would bully you but—you should allow him: to gain from him.
Try to come to terms with his agreement. Now, you have to be friends with this bully…
What!… Why, I mean how do you get a bully to be your friend?
“You don’t force the bully to be your friend Jamal, he doesn’t have to like you—but you have to like him.”, The man responds.
The reason you allow this bully (market) to get to you—is because, you get to gain from him (the bully). The bully is a tough nut to crack but, knowing that each pain becomes an experience is the goal. Have you ever lost something valuable before Jamal.
“Uh… Yeah” Jamal stutters, while answering.
Okay, great—how did you feel? Not a pleasant emotion, right?… but, what happens—you learn from the experience. Two choices: you either decide to move on or avoid it right?
What do you do Jamal?
“Run away—I guess. Cos’ I really don’t want to feel that pain again. It’s horrible so why try to experience it twice?”, Says Jamal.
Trading should a pleasurable pain—like a woman who just lost her virginity. A bittersweet experience…
I thought you will say that. Listen Jamal—the bully is going to keep hurting you, as long as, you still in that school. Likewise, you’ll probably encounter more losses—as long as, you decide trading is what you want to do.
Listen, in life change or experiences just don’t happen—they only happen when they become a necessity.
You decide you want to change; when you know that beating becomes unbearable. It’s not something you run from.
Don’t be a wuss Jamal!
Face it!…You’ll need to actually face it.
Most traders are wimps—looking for the nearest rat… because, the elephant becomes too big for them to handle. So, are you a wimp or are you valorous? The more you learn from the experience—the better you become.
But, the more bruises..
Until, you become so good that—you no longer fear the bully and you might even learn to face this bully. Do you get it? I’ll give you some time to digest that before the last and final lesson.
Try to know the other side
“I’m ready sir!”
Great! A wise man once said, “Certainty is the only illusion a trader has.” Do you know what that means? … I’ll take that as a “no”. Anyway, have you ever seen a coin before? Heh—who am I kidding, you probably have some in you pockets now.
So, a little exercise—shall we?
Now, look at the front of the coin you’re holding—carefully study it, Now—tell me what’s at the back of it? Eh… I have no idea sir—I’ll have to flip it.
Exactly, most traders don’t actually flip this coin—you see. They don’t even want to know what’s on the other side. You know why? It’s because they love their comfort zone. These are the wuss traders; the ones who run from the bullies.
We call them, “routine traders”.
There are always two sides to a coin but most times, until you flip it… you’ll have no idea what the other side looks like. I won’t even lie—we always like the safe route to things. If something is safe for you, you might just tell yourself, “uh, well—I like it here. Why stress to know what’s on the other side?”. But, in trading—there’s no safe route.
Don’t hold strong opinions about things you don’t truly understand.
You have got to take that risk. No shorts to this cut, Jamal. There are two sides to a trader: the one who runs from the bullies—because the pain become unbearable and the ones who face the pain—knowing that the end to that tunnel is great.
The question is, what side are you on?
Most traders quit because they prefer the latter—“I like it here tommy, don’t pull me out yet—I can’t face the world”, They’ll say.
My final lesson is; have an open mind. The strong willed—don’t always will lots of bucks here. Try not to have a strong opinion in your trading decision. Be the trader who adapts to the changes of the market—not the one controlled by it. Remember, be the lame kid who takes the blow.
Painful but, worth it.
Now You Know… What Next?
You know Jamal—I tell people, “those who have strong opinions about the markets are either knowledge-able or totally ignorant”. The only strong opinion you should have about trading, Jamal, is—you shouldn’t be married to an opinion. A dangerous thing about trading is that—it isn’t really a game for spectators. If you ask me, the most dangerous sport out there is—trading.
Traders are also the most dangerous people on planet… where-ever you breathe right now.
You know why?
These guys take crazy risk, without any form of medication in place. The number of heart breaks a trader has in a day/week will be enough to make him never believe in love. Haha! Nah trading is actually fun but—don’t let anyone deceive you into thinking, it’s all roses and sunshines. It’s really not!
It’s a mental game—about emotions. Where the emotional ones get kicked out; The heartless/ruthless ones always make it far. Simple!, they really “don’t care”.
My friend Scott will say, “i’m suspicious of people who have strong opinions on complicated stuffs”. Heh! people who sugar-coat things—they don’t tell you what you should hear. They’re also the ones who post for the media sake.
Now most traders try so hard to understand the market that—they actually fail to make money. Don’t lose yourself in trying to beat the market… You can’t!
She’s way smarter and richer. You’re a pauper!
Stick to management cos’, this one’s a thief. She’ll dig you of all your diamonds if you think you can beat her. Probably the smartest woman out there! Anyway, Jamal, I think with this few lessons of mine—you should never, ever, think you’re the worst trader on earth. The fact that you even lost means you tried.
Well, it’s a good thing you met me. Hey! i’m Trader Steve—the worst trader on earth.
Trading Plan
8 tips to keep you sharp over the weekend!Tomorrow is Christmas eve, the general markets will be closed, of course crypto will still be rocking and rolling, but the CFD markets will be shut. In day trading it is very easy to get rusty, a few days will do the trick, so with a 3 day weekend approaching we wanted to use this time to help you stay on track so you remain "hot" for the last trading week of 2021!
For those of you who will be celebrating Christmas, you will be busy Friday and Saturday, but we're sure you can find a cheeky hour on Sunday to work on yourself, since the weekend is the perfect time to grind, and do things such as reviewing your trades, seeing which assets moved the most and why (so you can take advantage of these situations in the future).
Today's blog topic will be guidance on what you could work on this weekend to keep yourself hot and not get rusty!
"DO OR DO NOT, THERE IS NO TRY." - YODA
1. THINK HOW CAN YOU IMPROVE YOUR PATIENCE – Having patience as a day trader will help in many ways, one of them being better entries, since entries are directly connected to our PnL it is then a vital skill to acquire, think what you could do to become a more patient trader and create a plan for the new week and apply it on your first opportunity!
2. REVIEW THE MAIN MOVERS THIS WEEK/MONTH – Every successful person, whatever industry it may-be practices a lot, the best way we trades get to practice is to review the charts and see what you could have done to profit in the new week by learning what you missed the week before
3. REVIEW YOUR RULES (PROCESS / ENTRY / EXIT / WATCHLIST) – Always helpful to read over and reevaluate your trading rules, it is a very underrate process, and because the majority of traders do not review their rules and processes they generally do not know what they are nor do they apply them!
4. VISUALIZE SUCCESS AND CHALLENGES – Visualize yourself making good/great trades. see yourself going through different scenarios and achieving the profits you seek. From seeing the perfect setup to executing the trade to exiting the trade, every aspect of trading, see it and feel it. Then also review the challenges you face as a trader, I'm sure you can think of dozens of them!
5. THINK HOW CAN YOU MAKE ONE A+ TRADE AT A TIME - Work on your entry process and criteria, know what the BEST TRADES look like, write it up! So when they show up you can execute with a larger size and maybe bank a much bigger profit than normally.
6. TALK TO EXPERIENCED TRADERS – It is very helpful to get ideas and see what these traders are doing, there is always something for you to learn, even when you become a millionaire trader, you'll still have so much to learn!
7. HOW CAN YOU IMPROVE THE RETETION OF PROFITS – If you are up on the day, set a tighter stop loss to keep your profits, that could always be a solid idea right? There are many ways to retain profits, such as lowering your size after a strong winning streak in a day... but its also your job to think about how you could do this better!
8. WORK ON YOUR PREPARATION – Preparation is Key for success! If you fail to prepare, you prepare to fail! We prepare for a solid hour before we start to trade, there is value in this... so this weekend create your "preparation process" and put it to work!
Ok we are done! Thanks for reading, but before we let you go we have a small request! If you come up with any good ideas that work for you, or have them already, please share them with us we'd love to learn from you too!
Merry Christmas and all the best!
Breakout Trading | 7 Steps to Follow 📝
Hey traders,
Breakout trading is one of the most popular trading strategies.
Being quite simple in theory, it remains quite complex and complicated in practice.
In this post, we will discuss 7 steps every breakout trader must follow.
💬And just in brief about a breakout trading itself:
this method aims to spot a key level (it might be horizontal support/resistance or a trend line) and then to trade its occasional breakout assuming that it will trigger an impulsive move.
1️⃣No surprise, the first task of a breakout trader is the identification of key levels. Preferably these levels should be spotted on weekly/daily time frames.
2️⃣Once key levels are spotted, a breakout trader should patiently wait for the test of one of those. His goal is to wait for a breakout.
In that step, many traders fail. The problem is that in order to confirm the breakout, one should have strict & reliable rules to follow. The rules that describe a confirmed breakout.
*I apply the following rule: the breakout of a level will be considered to be confirmed once the candle closes above/below the structure on the highest time frame where the structure is recognizable.
3️⃣Once the breakout is confirmed, the next step is to wait for a retest of a broken level. Why retest? Simply because a retest gives a better risk to reward ratio for the trade. And even though there is no guarantee that the price will retest the broken level and because of that some trading opportunities will be missed, in the long run, retest trading produces higher gains.
4️⃣Opening a trade on a retest one should know the exact target levels. The levels where the profits will be taken. Again, newbies traders make a lot of mistakes on that step. Remember that your targets must be realistic, they must be based on closest strong structure levels, not on your desired returns.
5️⃣Also, a breakout trader should set a stop loss. And again, a stop-loss level must be safe, it must be set at least below/above a previous minor structure to protect you from stop-hunting.
Stop-loss reflects the point where the trader becomes wrong in his predictions and where the trading setup becomes invalid.
6️⃣Once the trading position is opened and stop-loss & take-profit are set, one should patiently wait. There is no guarantee that the price will start falling/growing sharply after the breakout. The market may start coiling for a quite long period of time before it starts acting.
Breakout trader must be patient not allowing his emotions to intervene.
7️⃣Lastly, one should remember that his exit points are stop-loss/take-profit levels. Stop-loss adjustment in case of a position drawdown, preliminary profit-taking, and target extension are your worst enemies. Be disciplined, don't be greedy, and keep your emotions in check.
Of course, this 7-steps trading plan is not sufficient enough for profitable breakout trading. There are so many nuances on each step of the plan to consider.
However, let this plan be your initial guideline: learn & follow that and with time, keep elaborating its rules until you become a consistently profitable trader.
Are you a breakout trader?
❤️Please, support this idea with like and comment!❤️
Why Do Most Traders Lose Money?Hi Traders, welcome back to another workshop. In today's workshop, I'll be sharing some personal perspective on why do most short-term traders lose money. I've been trading for over 5 years, and yet I've seen these repeated traits happen in most losing traders.
1. Sense of Urgency
- Most traders approach the market with an expectation of low risk high return. Just ask yourself, who doesn't want to achieve highest possible return in the shortest period of time? Everyone wants to make money, but the main thing is the process.
- How do you extract money consistently from the markets? How do you differentiate yourself from the 95% of the losing traders?
2. Risk Management
- Risk Management is one of the key element to make sure you stay in the business as long as you intend.
- Without a proper Risk Management, there's no way you can come out the markets long-term being profitable.
- It also directly reflect your patience level, patient traders always have a fixed risk per trade to pre-define their risk, simply because they understand that the outcome of any single trade is random. The eagerness to get-rich-quick will often blind yourself from protecting your capital.
3. Trading without an Edge
- Often new traders neglect the importance of having an Edge. An Edge simply means you are being confidence in a sense that you'd always come out profitable in the long-term.
The outcome of any single trade is completely random, so stop focusing on the short-term result, and never switch your trading system purposelessly.
4. Mindset
- Above all comes down to this one final key element, which is the proper mindset.
- Always think in terms of probability and possibility. Having a realistic mindset motivates you to put in the necessary hardwork to achieve your goals, not by day dreaming.
Let me know your thoughts in the comments below.
If you enjoy the content, make sure you click the like button and share it with someone who need to read this.
Why Traders Suffer From Analysis Paralysis In TradingAnalysis-Paralysis In Trading This is an article I’ve been avoiding. Maybe it’s cos’ I’m guilty of it.
You know, A bunch of knowledge makes—jack cross the rubicon.
It’s December 1, 1990. ugh… what a glorious day! I mean—I’m grateful I survived. Are you? (rhetorically—cos’ I talk to myself a lot). Anyway, I finally get to attend “School of Candles” in Pretoria.
South Africa is a great country but, only because they have one of the best—Trading schools in the world. Hashtag “respectfully” .
I mean—Finally! Heh… I’m here. The Oakland… miserable red-collar guy is here. Can you believe it? Considering all the blown accounts and failed trades—I finally left the country to… South Africa.
Pfft… Don’t mind my excitement—at least—I’m not sitting on my a*s reading this article because I have a problem. You are!
i’m pretty sure you haven’t travelled out yet and it’s cos’ you keep losing. You’re a loser! At least… someone had to tell you.
Don’t worry that makes two of us. Yeah—you and uh… you!
Ugh… duh… I know you are not here for my—school of candles story. You’re here cos—you are stuck!
Am I right?
Anyway, I’ll help I promise. But, you have to promise me that I won’t be wasting my time. Do you promise? Okay—Great.
So…
Analysis Paralysis In Trading (What Does That Even Mean?)
Look at them… so peaceful. Quick question—Have you ever really stopped to watch kids play? The laughter, glee, ambience, passion—so peaceful; so serene!
These guys literally have nothing to worry about. Don’t you miss that?
When last did you laugh? No… like actually laugh. These days—we have to watch a funny illiterate online to… crack up. How miserable can one’s life be?
So sad; so depressing and why’s that?
I don’t know about you—but, I miss those days. Nothing to worry about.
You’re probably wondering, “What’s he on about?”… I just had to remind you of what your life (hopefully you’re still breathing)… is supposed to feel like. Before… I tell you how it actually feels like. That’s why you’re here right.
Shucks. Analysis paralysis—wonder who comes up with these names. In a lame man’s term, it’s basically being paralyzed (not literally) from over-thinking. over-researching and over-analyzing…
Why do we do these things; why do we even do anything. Imagine the thought of—mentally paralyzing yourself… Do you love yourself at all? Of course not—Humans (you reading this now) think of the possible worst for—every situation.
Imagine… You go out and a complete stranger gives you money, from nowhere; out of the blue. What’s the first thing that comes to your mind? Be honest, Don’t lie.
That’s what I thought.
Anyway, Being completely mind-paralyzed is bad. I mean … have you seen—how they have to literally drive paralyzed people everywhere… They become furnitures (not trying to be insensitive); they really can’t do anything… on their own.
You’ll end up—A furniture trader!
Analysis Paralysis In Trading (How Can You Tell?)
In school (school of candles), I attended every class. Wyckoff 101, Fibonacci 203 (borrowed course), Way of the candles, Price-action 105, Order blocks and Market structures 103, Supply and Demand, Indicators not manipulators… Weird ones! I took all.
Trust me —I was a diligent student. But, I had no direction.
I practically learned everything and anything. I mean—I wanted to be a great trader (don’t we all).
The next class (Final year) required… Mastery. I realized that—sticking to one thing was a problem. Oh! No, I can’t choose. I literally attended all classes—just to find out what was best for me—even after taking these classes… in my first year.
Hello Jane, I know this is kind of awkward… But, what’s your major?
Uh… Order blocks.
Imagine! I couldn’t even come up with something. What the H-E-L-L do you want Jamal? You’re just going round in circles.
I couldn’t choose. Wanted to take action but, how could I? No one gave me the memo. I don’t even know what making decisions feels like. “Making Decisions” suddenly sounds like the strangest word in—the dictionary.
So, tell me have you been in this position. All you keep doing is learning—anything; everything. But, no actions!
Two ways you can tell:
Can’t seem to make a decision.
Always looking for a better solution—without actions!
For analysis paralysis in trading It’s not something you can cheat. As a trader, You can’t go over or under it—Dealing with it is… the only solution.
You keep delaying actions—whilst over-analyzing every situation. For this trader—you keep imaging downsides… Always the negatives; never positives. Imagine taking a trade—but, you’ve already imagined—300 scenarios of your plan going badly.
Pfft… heh—who does that? Uh! you. You’re literally mentally paralyzed. What other options do you have than over-thinking everything.
Are You Asking The Right Questions?
Ta-ta… I envy them so much. Anyway, You learn to be in the comfort zone because…
Why stress your brain till it’s paralyzed. Your brain is literally “yours truly”—It would always try to keep your safe. It will protect you, which is good. But, you become safe and unsuccessful.
In trading, which do you prefer?
Actually making a decision irrespective of the outcome or… staying out and avoiding everything.
I mean if we’re being honest—the second option looks safe and comfortable. Will you choose that though? Remember you want to be rich; you want financial freedom.
Even if you go through hell—do it without hesitations.
Yup—That quote is a reference to the previous sentence. Eh… your lack of decision making will only make you—miss out on a million market opportunities. So, are you asking the right questions?
When you literally ask yourself the right questions… It gives room for a clearer thought process and faster decision-making.
Honestly though—Let’s blame google.
An increase in options; an increase in choice. The fear of making the wrong choice arises. Then you become mentally paralyzed.
Most traders today are stuck.
I remember meeting a guy (Joe)—In one of my trading communities—in school. This guy found it hard to make a decision. Heh… So he buys and sells at the same time.
Analysis paralysis in trading can make you a fan of gambling. But, there’s a solution…
You can start by answering the right questions. What are the right questions?
Is it worth the risk?
Will it matter in 5 minutes?
What was my first choice?
Can you answer these questions? Make it a habit to answer these questions before—you take a trade. Not just trading—anything at all… Train that brain of yours.
Is It Worth The Risk?
You know some-times the best way to eliminate choices is to—know the risk attached to each choice. Imagine having a $50 account (your only money) and trying to take a trade. You’ll probably over-think every thing because—you just can’t lose that money. I mean… Heh—that’s all you have right?
So, the first question should be… “If I take this trade, is it worth the risk”. Note that… you might lose—but, the keyword here is “risk”. How much are you willing to let go of?… That should be the first thought.
Try this exercise and you have to be truthful—always!… If I was given $50 and I was told to give someone $5 (out of your $50)… Would I be okay with that?
If you will, then you can decide to risk 10% of that account—knowing that you won’t feel bad if you lose.
Ergo, You’ve just made a decision—because you eliminated your options.
I mean losing 10% of $50 is better than losing all.
Now what next? you need to eliminate all trades that will make you lose more than 10%. See, No mulling— just progress.
Note that… Not all trades are negatives. But, we should always consider the risk.
Will It Matter In 5 Minutes?
Now you know the risk you’re willing to take, the next question is—Will it matter in 5 minutes?
Ever heard of the “5 by 5 rule”?
Well, the 5 by 5 rule states that—if you come across an issue take a moment to think—whether or not it will matter in 5 years. If it won’t, don’t spend more than 5 minutes stressing out about it.
Forget the “5 years”—My own 5 by 5 rules is… don’t waste 5 seconds pondering over it, if it won’t matter in 5 minutes. Mine works right?
I mean… 5 years is a pretty long period you know. By the way, the market waits for no man. The fact of the matter is, there are some problems that do not need your full attention.
Why stress over some money you’re okay losing. If after 5 seconds you’re cool with it then—go ahead!
Do me a favor. Let’s practice… Um—can you remember what you just did 5 seconds ago? If you can, it matters; If you can’t, “It’s irrelevant and doesn’t matter. There, fixed right!
What Was My First Choice?
The human mind is like a sick computer virus.
It’s basically, randomly, just processing relevant and irrelevant informations and thoughts. You tend to have all these choices, thoughts and feelings all mixed up—especially during pressure. I was listening to Roger Khoury the other day and he said, “When driving a car in a—calm state—you’re basically just following the rules of the road right? But, what happens when you’re late for a meeting—You find yourself breaking all these rules.”
Similarly… same applies to the market. You don’t have time; you’re supposed to make a decision—If not, the market leaves you.
Then if you’re like me that attended all classes in—Pretoria, you probably don’t have a particular strategy. Different options; different opinions. What happens?
You become paralyzed!
All this can be avoided if you remember your first choice. Many traders fail to understand that our gut feelings, our instincts—matter.
Where do instincts come from?
In as much as the brain behaves sick sometimes—It also stores useful informations… knowingly or unknowingly. These useful informations are usually processed when needed.
Do you ever know something and wonder—how you know that thing?
It’s cos’ you probably already came across that stuff but, you ignored it. Cos’—It didn’t matter. But, look who wasn’t ignorant “your brain” yeah, remember… “Yours truly” loves you.
Those first choices… are thought of for a reason. So, make them your last resort—always!
Havoc Of Analysis Paralysis In Trading
Hey guys, my name is Jamal and I’m a victim of Analysis Paralysis in trading … “Hey Jamal”…
Sounds familiar. Yeah, group home.
My encounter with Analysis Paralysis in trading wasn’t a great one. There were consequences. Each with its own baggage.
After I narrowly graduated from the School of Candles, Pretoria. I mean I’ve learnt everything—I was ready for the market.
On Tuesday, May 3, 1994, I deposited $50,000 to my trading account. As a graduate of School of Candles—what was the next thing? To get into the real world of trading .
A nasty encounter in the market occurred. I found a GJ (gbp/jpy) trade, the daily had a bearish head and shoulder, the—4 hour, a double bottom. On my chart, I had Bollinger bands, Moving averages, Relative strength index… Name it.
Yeah —I was that confused. Didn’t know if to—buy or sell. Oh! No, a clash of interest.
My indicators… some gave me buy signals; others sell signals. Oh my God! What now? What’s the direction—Now I’m exhausted, tired, I can’t think straight!
The market decides to buy… Yeah, I guess I’ll go long now.
The sound your phone makes when you just placed a trade. Greedy old Jamal, used 2 standards for US30 on a $50,000 account. I was more than confident.
The market does it thing. What! no… no… n0—Why is there a sell taking place now? No!
The Havoc
That’s it… That was so easy I lost it all.
Everything! “What was the point of school then?” I thought. Useless! You’re so useless Jamal. You can’t get anything right.
I couldn’t make a decision… My brain said, “Pause”. I was paralyzed and I failed. Three things happened to me:
My trading performance reduced
Creativity was gone. Couldn’t decide on a strategy and all patterns became useless.
Lost my willpower. I couldn’t make a decision—too many options.
Thank you for listening! “Thanks for sharing Jamal”.
How To Overcome—Final Words
Don’t ask me what I went to a group home to do. Analysis paralysis in trading affects you mentally—It builds into a habit and you become the hesitant trader.
Do you remember him? That guy who couldn’t make decisions, that insecure coward. Yeah—that was who I became.
June 23, 1994, I was in bed. Thinking, crying, staring—”What went wrong?”, I thought. How come… I mean i’ve gone to one of the best schools, learnt everything there is to learn, and graduated with a 2:1. So, what exactly is the problem.
I discover that—I was.
“Jamal you are the problem”—I discovered 6 things. These 6 things I’m going to tell you are very important. I’m telling you because—I love you.
You shouldn’t follow my past; you shouldn’t make my mistakes. My mom’s teaching helped. Remember when she gave me the trading elements and principles…
Steps To Overcoming This Nuisance.
This is the truth; this is my truth. After a month I discovered that:
You need to trust you. No one else opinion matters in the business of trading. It’s your business—You should mind it.
Limit the amount of research (information you consume) you do. It’s called “learn and earn” for a reason—Not “Learn and continue learning”.
Talk to someone. If you think you’re stagnant, you need to pour out all those information—on someone. Teach them!
Perfection isn’t the key. Progress is!
Know your end goal always.
Notice every thoughts and emotions. If possible, write them down.
If you follow this manual, you should never have reason to be stuck or mentally paralyzed. Remember sharing is caring!
Tell someone about this article. Most traders have no idea what analysis paralysis in trading is.
ENGULFING CANDLE. Powerful reversal candlestick pattern🕯
✅Candlestick patterns trading is one of the oldest but most effective ways to analyze the foreign exchange market. The trader needs to find certain patterns, and based on them, decide where the price will go. Today we will talk about one of these candlesticks, which is called the "engulfing candle". There are two types of it: bullish and bearish. The appearance of such a model on the chart with a high probability indicates a possible reversal of the trend and is a signal to enter the market.
Types of engulfing and their features
⚠️So, we realized that there are two types of this candle:
🟢Bullish. It indicates that the trend is turning towards an increase in the value of an asset or currency pair. The candle must engulf the range of the previous bearish candle to be valid.
🟢Bearish. The same as with bullish, only the opposite. It indicates that the trend is turning towards a decrease in the value of the asset. In this case, the candle must engulf the range of the previous bullish candle.
✅The formation of the "Bullish engulfing" candle says that buyers have sat on the throne, and "Bearish" - sellers. Let's discuss the theoretical foundations of the pattern. In the case of the "bullish engulfing" pattern, everything will be the same, just the opposite.
Rules for the formation of the "bearish engulfing" pattern:
There should be a bullish trend in the market, and the price should be on a key level.
❗️A long-bodied bullish candle appears (that is, directed towards the trend). The opening of the second candle should be carried out with a gap relative to the closing of the first, and its body should be larger than that of the previous one. It seems to engulf the trend with its dimensions, and therefore it is necessary to sell (a bearish candle indicates the beginning of a downward trend).
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Trading Myths vs Reality. Beginners, this one is for you!Hey, wizards! Happy Thursday and welcome on another Educational Post. The topic is the following: Myths and Reality of Trading.
As you may already know, there are so many false statements that beginners run into before starting their trading journey. Those statements are illustrated on the layout and interpreted below:
1) Most people think that trading is easy and they can quit their job or whatever they do and start making a living off trading straight away. In fact, in order to be profitable, consistent, and be a full-time trader in general, he or she MUST have a backtested strategy and be experienced enough in this sector. Remember that it takes a while to be successful, but it is fully worth it!
2) “Trading is like a casino”- we hear this one quite often. Only two types of people use this expression a lot: those who have never been able to become successful in this industry, and those that have no plan or idea about what they are doing. One should never open a positions based on a coin flip or what others are saying. Ideas and analyses of other can be used as a confluence and inspiration for a trader to open a positions on a specific security.
3) Whether it is trading or any other industry, one can never be rich over the course of a night. It takes 10-14 for someone to become a licensed surgeon, at least 6 years to become a professional lawyer. What makes you think that you will become a professional trader in just a few weeks or months?
4) No matter what the situation is, always use a Stop Loss to avoid deep losses. Whether liquidity hunt exists or it does not, it is always important to stay safe and sound.
5) Risk management is always more important than the win rate. Imagine having a 1:3 Risk-to-Reward ratio on your next 10 trades and the win rate is only 50%. That means you will win 5 and you lose 5. Now, let’s say that we decide to risk 1% of our total capital per trade. If we do quick maths, we will see that with only 50% win rate and 1:3 RR, we will result in making a juicy 10% return from the total of our next 10 trades. Of course, this is not always the case, as there are some factors that should be considered, such as spreads, fees, pip value etc. However, this is a perfect example to help you get the overall idea.
6) There is a big number of traders who do not like the “Retail Way” and would rather trade the “Smart Money” concept, which is apparently the closest thing that we have to the Institutional Trading. The bottom line is this: choose a strategy that suits you the best, and go with it while optimizing along the way. Changing strategies every week/month will not make one consistent. It is crucial that you stick with one trading plan and be loyal to it.
7) Many beginning traders tend to increase their risk in attempts to make more profits. This approach is so risky and totally wrong. If one is willing to make more money trading, it is important that he or she increases the input, and not the risk.
The Quarters Theory (15 minute) Part 4-4If you use the 15 minute time frame for entries, exits, stop losses and targets, I would strongly suggest you use the quarters theory- BUT- it is actually the eighth theory (place these lines every 12.5 pips away from each other).
Example 15 minute chart of GbpJpy pair today:
(Place lines every 12.5 pips away from each other)- if you are scalping and or day trading. These will define your trades and structure.
150.500
150.375
150.250
150.125
150.000
149.875
149.750
What do you see about price action at these different price action line levels? Does PA go right thru them without any issues? Does price action stop and reverse? Does price action reverse at these lines? What pair are you trading- What price is on chart now? What session(s) are open now? What Time is it?
Look left on all charts and put these either quarter lines on them above 1 hour or eighth lines on time frames below one hour time frame.
The Quarters Theory (1 hour) Part 3-4The quarters theory on one hour time frame is great for both day trading and/or scalping.
Make sure you put the quarter lines every 25 pips away from each other, just find the closes whole round number and start there with adding lines on charts.
On noted GbpJpy chart the quarter lines are as follows:
150.750- yellow line
150.500- red line
150.250- yellow line
150.000- black line
149.750- yellow line
These lines help with structure of price action, what has happened before at these lines? go left
These lines help with entries, exits, stop losses, targets and risk management.
The Quarters Theory (4 hour) Part 2-4Quarters Theory example on a 4 hour chart of AudJpy:
What does chart show you?
1) Whole round numbers (black lines)- 100 pips away from next round whole number
2) Quarter numbers (yellow and red)- 25 pips away from next quarter number
These lines make it a lot easier to trade any time frame, why?
1) You can set you enter and exits at these lines on charts
2) These quarter lines give you structure and informs you where price action swings had happen before
3) These quarter lines give you a great place to set your stop losses, on 1:1 or higher risk reward setups.
4) These define your trade, so you can set your risk management via quarter lines on charts
Per attached chart you might know where I think price action will continue to today and/or tomorrow. Yes, you could do a 50 pip stop and 50 pip target on these 1:1 trades but you need a 60% or higher win rate if you only do 1:1 RR trades. But this is not hard to do if you have the knowledge. If you either day trade and/or scalp, I would strongly advise you to you tube and/or google The quarters theory and start using them to define your trades, lot size, entries, exits and targets. This will help you greatly in your trading.
The Quarters Theory (Daily) Part 1-4On example daily chart of EurAud (on this article)- what do you see related to the quarters theory? support and resistance? trading edge?
I see 100 pip round whole numbers (black lines) divided into four equal parts of 25 pips apiece (red and yellow lines)-
If you did trade with 100 pip stop losses- this would be a great way to trade either position, swing or daily charts- from whole round numbers to next whole round number.
Those would be 100 pip stop losses vs 100 pip targets or 1:1 Risk Reward setups- you would need to have a win rate of 60% or more to make a profit with this type of trading, or you could set a 100 pip stop loss and let trade run for either a couple, few or many more days and have a higher Risk Reward setup.
The quarters theory started with 1000 pip areas, like example from 1.6000 to 1.7000 would be 1000 pips, break this down into four equal parts or as follows:
1.6000- major round number-
1.6250- minor number-250 pip area
1.6500- minor half number- 250 pip area
1.6750- minor number- 250 pip area
1.7000- major round number
This can be done on any charts from monthly down to 1 minute and should be done for knowing possible entries, exits and risk reward (lot sizes)- on every trade you make. I use the quarters theory for scalping, it will give you a trading edge and control your trades within a certain structure of the market.
THE ART OF MULTI-TIMEFRAME ANALYSIS AND MULTIPLE CONFLUENCESHey, wizards, hope you are all having a great week so far! We would like to welcome all of you on another educational post, the topic of which is Multi-Timeframe analysis and multiple confluneces involved.
As it can be inferred, the Monthly and Weekly timeframes are used to determine the direction of the market, the Daily timeframe is used to identify key areas and important zones, and finally, the 4-hourly timeframe is utilized for entering trades. Now, let’s dig deeper into it and analyze the situation that we have on EUR/USD.
MONTHLY: Observing the weekly timeframe graph, we can say that the price has been printing bearish candles for a few consecutive weeks. As one of the main trading principles says, after a strong impulsive move, a correction is needed. We can witness some bearish weakening signs and therefore we are looking for a short-term long position. Our possible target would be set at a previous level of support turned resistance, which aligns with the golden Fibonacci zone.
WEEKLY: Leveling down to the weekly timeframe chart, we can see that the price is consolidating, as it is unable to push lower. Technically, after long lasting consolidations, it is believed that the price will either fly like a rocket or drop like a needle. This gives us another confluence and backs up our plan.
DAILY: Moving down to the daily timeframe graphic, we can notice that the previous candle was super bullish and some kind of an ascending triangle is being formed. If the price breaks and retests the upper boundary of the formed triangle, we can see some nice bullish moves.
4H: Last but not least, the 4-hourly timeframe a.k.a. the timeframe of entries. After a massive bullish push to the upside yesterday, the price has started correcting before further bullish moves happen. Here, we are using two entry confluences: the area of previously broken structure that nicely aligns with the 61.8% fibonacci retracement level. Before entering the trade, we will carefully monitor the price action and wait for the price to bounce off the local zone.
We are hoping that this educational post will be of value for you and we are wishing you all a great day!
Regards,
Investroy Team
With Hardwork and Dedication, Anything Is Possible!This isn't our typical workshop or market breakdown. Just want to take some time to deliver this message to you all supporters and passionate traders out there.
Talent isn't everything.
In fact, hard work beats talent.
If you're willing to dedicate 110% of your time and energy, you're moving towards your goals, and that's all you need to do.
Remember, regardless of where you are, you can do it.
Your closest ones may not be as supportive as your expected. But it's totally fine! It is not their responsibility to trust you or even have faith in you!
Your journey to success takes time, sweat, and tear. Loneliness is part of the game.
Remember this...
Winners never quit and quitters never win.
Think positive. You never lose, you either win or learn.
So don't give up yet, keep hustling, stay humble, you'll get there.
It might not be today or tomorrow, but someday!
I'll be there supporting you all behind!
I Just Took a Big Proft - What Should I do?Hi Traders, welcome back to another workshop. This topic is often a big question mark within a lot of traders, wondering should they continue trading after getting a jackpot trade? When it comes to this, again, there's no right or wrong. It is all about your plan, mindset, and performance. Below I've summarized the 3 main highlights of this workshop
1. Identify whether it is a good win or bad win
- If a winning trade is within your trading plan, something that you carefully planned and executed, then it is a good win. Because most likely it is something that is repeatable and duplicable, which can contribute a big part to your long-term consistency.
- If a winning trade is not within your trading plan, then often it is categorized as a bad win. You took the trade based on impulsive behaviour, you jumped into the chart just start taking blind trades. Yes, it is still a winning trade, but as a professional trader we do not determine the quality of a trade based on the outcome. It all depends on the execution of the strategy and the quality of the setup itself. You can have the best setup where everything aligns but still lose money. Think about it.
2. Do a mindset checking - "Is my mindset still clear?"
- Is your mindset still at at peak? If the answer is yes, then feel free to continue trading, because who knows it could be one of those good months?
- But if the answer is no, then probably you should take a step back. You can either trade less size to track your performance or you could perhaps stop trading and focus on something else, then come back stronger.
3. Set a drawdown limit (Very important)
- Always pay yourself first. Active trading is still considered a job. I understand the importance of compounding, but always take a small portion of the money and pay yourself first, then continue growing your account.
- By setting a drawdown limit, it calms your mind as you secured portion of the profits. It always avoid you from performing poorly due to a different mindset approach then eventually give back all of them back to the markets.
Let me know your thoughts in the comments below.
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What Type of Trader Are You? 🤔
Hey traders,
In this post, I decided to make a comparative analysis of three main trading styles: scalping, day trading, and swing trading.
We will go throw the main pros and cons of each approach and discuss common misconceptions.
🏃♀️🏃 Let's start with scalping.
I guess many of us were impressed by videos on youtube showing how a guy makes thousands of dollars applying a simple scalping strategy.
Some of these videos get millions of views and excitement from the audience. No surprise the majority of newbies start their trading journey with scalping strategies.
Practicing some of them and trading on a real account, these traders suddenly realize that the youtube videos barely reflect the reality of scalping.
Scalping requires being extremely reactive, making trading decisions quickly, and constantly staying focused.
Moreover, it turns out that this trading style is extremely risky, and occasional losing streaks become an essential part of the process.
A pro scalper usually opens dozens of trading positions per day and manages many of them simultaneously.
Even though it is a fact that a solid scalping strategy is a true cash machine, the constant pressure and high level of stress make many traders leave that game blowing their trading account.
A true scalper is a guy with iron nerves and a sharp mind.
It takes many many years to become a person like that.
🚶♀️🚶Intraday trading is a bit simpler. While quite often scalping gives a trader just a couple of minutes to react and make a trading decision, intraday trading gives the hours. Such a trading style is slower, the intraday perspective is not that chaotic and irrational. It takes many hours for the trading setup to play out making the trade management process not that time-consuming. Moreover, intraday trader tends to open much fewer trading positions than a scalper. Analyzing primarily 4h/1h time frames less trading setups meet the entry conditions.
That primarily affects the potential gains though. Lesser you trade, the less money you make.
I consider myself to be an intraday trader. Trading full-time of course I was trying different scalping strategies, but I must admit that I can’t make the decisions that quickly, I can’t constantly hold so many active trading positions in my mind, I need some time to think, I need some time to do other things, I want more freedom. For that reason, intraday trading is my choice.
And let me be frank right here: I am not trying to say that intraday trading is simple, it is SIMPLER than scalping still remaining extremely complicated to master.
🕴🕴 If you want trading to become your side income if you have a full-time job and just a couple of hours per day for charting, I believe that intraday trading/scalping are not appropriate for you. In your situation, I would consider swing trading.
Swing trading is extremely slow. Being primarily focused on weekly/daily time frames a swing trader tends to hold trading positions for weeks, sometimes even months.
Moreover, it takes many days for a swing trading setup to form and the market gives a trader much time for reflection.
Of course, that primarily affects the potential gains:
I believe that among the 3 trading styles that we discussed, swing trading generates the lowest returns.
Swing trader is the best starter for newbie traders.
Analyzing higher time frames they can constantly follow the market and don’t miss the major moves.
Just 1-2 hours per day are enough to follow dozens of financial instruments.
Only by becoming a consistently profitable swing trader, one can try himself in intraday trading.
Working with hundreds of struggling traders from different parts of the world I realized that the majority has the inverted perception of scalping/intraday/swing trading. I hope that this article will shed a light on that topic.
What trading style do you prefer?
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How to Spot & Trade Falling Wedge Pattern | Price Action 🤓
Hey traders,
In this video, I will teach you how to trade a falling wedge pattern.
I will share with you my rules on how to identify the pattern,
how to read it correctly, how to select the target & entry levels
and how to set a safe stop loss.
We will discuss a theory and real market examples.
❤️Please, support this video with like and comment!❤️
Stopped Out - Is It Okay To Re-Enter?Hi Traders, welcome back to another workshop. I believe this is a very common struggle within our community as a Trader. Often when you take a loss on a particular setup, the urge of getting back into the market is intense, and that's human psychology.
Do you realized how focused and how biased you are when you are hunting for a specific setup?
- Get stopped out once, you'd still take it because it doesn't do any damage to your account
- Get stopped out twice, you'd still arguably take it because you allow yourself for a re-entry
- Get stopped out thrice, now your emotion is taking over your rational behaviour. Now all you're focusing is either "How can i make my money back?!" or "I MUST be correct" or "This cannot be ..."
Familiar?
Remember, trading is not so much about Yes or No. It's all about measuring the Risk-to-Reward VS Probability of Success. If a setup is so valuable that you cannot afford to miss it (assume it passed through your trade evaluation process), feel free to take it again and again. But if you're trading the P&L, then i'd suggest you to only allow yourself a maximum of 2 chance entries, meaning that if you're getting stopped out twice in a row in a similar setup, you should probably get some rest or trade the other markets.
Most of the time, when a trader gets stop out multiple times in a row trading a similar setup, the emotion kicks in. Now their trading lens is no longer focusing on finding the best setups, but rather 'this must be it'. That's also how the over-trading and revenge trading behaviour pops out.
Let me know your thoughts below.
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Tired of catching losers and missing winners? Have a checklist.If you too are fed up of catching so many losers AND missing out winners then here is a suggestion.
I don't give much attention to some setupds that sometimes end up really good, and I insist with setups that catch my eye but are really not that great.
The solution is first of all to pay attention to the markets (and charts) every single day, and second it is to systematically run the setups in a checklist, as objective as possible, checking every point 1 by 1 (can't be lazy). Unless you are highly autistic I think this is necessary (or strongly recommended).
If this is to be a real "job"...
> Be able to justify why you took an investment
> This is not gambling
> As if you were hired and had to explain to investors or a boss
I gave an example with a list of 9 conditions. Not for me to say what they should be or how many there should be but more than 10 seems like too much, it should be more synthetic and we do not want to spend 1 hour every time we want to check something. I think the conditions should have some objective measurement(s) that should take a few seconds to a few minutes to check. If it takes too long it is a bad sign, it might be too complicated or too subjective, too emotional.
Example:
Something such as "support level", to put a score (0-3) one could proceed like this, and that would take 1 minute or less:
For the trend we find some objective way (can be EMA or extension from ATR or BB) to tell if it is:
- Choppy/Ranging = 0
- Weak Trend = 1
- Strong Trend = 2
- Diagonal Trend = 3
And parabolic trends are a separate thing entirely.
Trading Strategy TunerThat strategy tuner idea made for only making your strategies easier to build. None of the things that I wrote are strategy or investment advise. Please take your decisions only by yourself and please build your strategy only by yourself because only you can know yourself well and only you knows how much risk you can take.
Trading strategies, Part 1: First stepsWelcome to a series of videos called Trading Strategies. In the next couple of weeks, we'll talk about different strategies one can use to maximize gains: Market psychology, trading tools, trading styles, technical analysis.
Today, the first steps:
1- Defining who you are: Are you an investor or a trader
2- Educating yourself: Knowledge is the best tool someone can have on the market
3- You can't win all the time
4- Don't be greedy
Stay tuned for more content
HOW PROFITABLE TRADING LOOKS LIKE ? (EDUCATION)Hello traders, I'm making this post in order to help the community, most of you focus to much in technical analysis but let's take back to basics a put things clear.
Before continuing reading make sure to give a like this will help the community use proper risk management.
Let's talk about simple math : This is simply a conceptual series of 10
trades, taken one after the other from abeginner perspective let's us act as a beginner: if at the beginning you risk more than expected then it will take you a lot of work to recover from that DD%. Make sure to have a proper risk modelling and follow the rules to survive. New traders execute trades with certainties
" this loos good"
"I will risk more"
“ I can’t lose in this trade “
"I will risk more in this
one because I need to recover my
previous loss" .
"I lost the previous one i
will risk less"
Here is where the problem occurs:
When you modify parameters in your risk
modeling it will have a strong impact in
the outcome.
This example was clear. Our dear Mr amateur risked more in the first trade end up losing more ( uncontrolled loss) , then took another normal loss , after that he has two winning trades but guess what? Mr emotional become greedy and risk more after having two profitables trades and guess what ? He just distributed all the money back. See how his biggest loses come after the biggest wins . After that big loss mr amateur is scarred to pull the trigger and of course he cut winners very quickly because he’s afraid to distribute back . Well for him trading becomes a nightmare . Markers are consuming his pocket and soul .
Now Let us say for example that you took
10 trades with proper risk management ? With a probabilistic approach?
the outcome is totally different. And guess what there is no magic trick . Profitable trading is a unemotional risk manager game , Chose wisely .
Here is where the solution is :
EVERY TRADE IS UNIQUE , ANYTHING CAN HAPPEN.
MANAGE YOUR EXPOSURE OR YOU WILL HAVE NOTHING LEFT TO MANAGE.
PRO traders understand that in order to have results they must adopt a series per trade approach
Please do follow and comment your thoughts. let me know in the comment section what do you think about it .
Forex Signals Providers - Scam? Points you should keep an eye onForex Signals Providers - Scam? Points you should keep an eye on before buying.
Points:
- Trading Strategy
- Trade Management / Timing
- Risk Management / Risk Rewards
- Broker
- Result
Trading Strategy:
Well we never know what these traders are really doing. We may see the analysis but we do not have their rules (Trading Plan). So you would need to understand their Price Action Confirmation and many more. How to act in certain scenarios and which is the best approach in these scenarios in order to get the maximum out of it. As we all know forex is a business of probabilities. With the right approach we can minimize our losses and maximize our wins. This part is completely missing. When price hits SL you do not know why and how to take the counter trade or when you can simply reenter. This is the procedure of evaluation.
Trade Management/Timing:
We need to catch every single trade in order to make the same profit like them. This may be very difficult. Especially if you are working at your 9-5 job. Signals may be better for full time traders. But full time traders do not need Signals obviously.
You can not make time management as you are depending to your Signal Provider. At the end it will be necessary to take it as a 9-5job. Otherwise you will miss too many trades. This should not be your approach as a trader. You need to only attach in certain scenarios this is how you ensure high concentration and you can increase your win rate.
Risk Management / Risk Rewards:
Here I see the biggest problem. The majority provider use multiple TP Take Profit Levels like TP1 TP2 TP3 TP4. This does not work properly. It is simply an illusion that they make so much percentage. The only thing what they do is pips. But not the real ROI. This is what will gain you the percentages on your trading account and not pips. Of course there is a Risk Management system with pips but there you have big disadvantages as you can not scale your wins. With a percentage method you minimize your risk/losses and you maximize your wins to the fullest.
Broker:
Every broker has different spreads. Therefore you may not get involved in some positions or you will get stopped out. This point is only important for Signal Services where the SL are super tight.
Result:
Here the majority are just faking and they are claiming big results. So you need to check it. This is very difficult. You need here proven results. When they will show you their 6th Tp level hit then you know that this Channel is just giving you unreal results
Recommendation:
What I suggest is to learn Forex by yourself and from others that are already there where you want to be. Join a community with the same goal. The community should not be too big. Otherwise it will be difficult to interact and also the mentors can not really help you individually.
You need to commit yourself for at least 3years nonstop in order to really understand how this business works. It is like in any other business or 9to5 job. You will not just start from the beginning and you will understand everything. No you go to the school, seminars, ....
It will just take time my friends. But I promise you with CONSISTENCY you will reach it.
"Give a man a fish and you feed him for a day teach a man to fish and you feed him for a lifetime"
This is my approach for this industry.