Dynamic Momentum GaugeOverview
The Dynamic Momentum Gauge is an indicator designed to provide information and insights into the trend and momentum of a financial asset. While this indicator is not directional , it helps you know when there will be a trend, big move, or when momentum will have a run, and when you should take profits.
How It Works
This indicator calculates momentum and then removes the negative values to focus instead on when the big trend could likely happen and when it could end, or when you should enter a trade based on momentum or exit. Traders can basically use this indicator to time their market entries or exits, and align their strategies with momentum dynamics.
How To Use
As previously mentioned, this is not a directional indicator but more like a timing indicator. This indicator helps you find when the trend moves, and big moves in the markets will occur and its possibly best to exit the trades. For example, if you decide to enter a long trade if the Dynamic Momentum Gauge value is at an extreme low and another momentum indicator that you use has conditions that you would consider to long with, then this indicator is basically telling you that there isn't more space for the momentum to squeeze any longer, can only really expand from that point or stay where it currently is, but this is also a mean reverting process so it does tend to go back up from the low point.
Settings:
Length: This is the length of the momentum, by default its at 100.
Normalization Length: Length of the Normalization which ensures the the values fall within a consistent range.
1-BTCUSD
Volume Spike IndicatorHello dear traders,
Today we're discussing an indicator I've coded: the Volume Spike Indicator (VSI).
The indicator isn't a groundbreaking invention and certainly not a novelty. Nevertheless, I haven't seen this version of the indicator on TradingView before, so I'd like to introduce it.
1. The Origin of the Idea:
We're all familiar with volume charts: A volume chart visually represents the trading activity for a specific asset over a certain period, indicating the total number of shares or contracts traded.
We also know that volume spikes can significantly impact the market. A volume spike represents an extreme anomaly, a day, week, or month with an extraordinary amount of trading. However, recognizing these spikes in practice isn't always straightforward. What constitutes high volume? How do we define and identify it? The answers to these questions aren't easy.
It's commonly said that a volume spike could be identified if the volume is 25% more than the average of the two weeks prior, but how do you measure this 25%? It's not always easy to calculate, especially in real-time.
This challenge led me to develop the concept into an indicator.
How Does It Work?
Imagine being able to "feel" the market's energy like a surfer feels the ocean. The VSI does something similar by examining trading volume and comparing it to what has been typical over the past few weeks. Here's a quick look at the magic behind it:
Step 1: Establishing the Baseline: We start by establishing a baseline, i.e., the average trading volume over a given period. Let's use the last 10 days as the default setting. We choose 10 days because, in the traditional stock market, 10 days represent two weeks if you subtract weekends. This gives us a fixed line to compare against.
Step 2: Recognizing Peaks: Next, we look for days when the trading volume significantly exceeds this average. The size of the jump is where you have a say. You can set a threshold, such as 25%, to define what you consider a volume spike.
Step 3: The Calculation: This is where the math comes into play. We calculate the percentage change in today's volume compared to the average volume of the last 10 days. For example, if today's volume is 30% above the average and you've set your threshold at 25%, the VSI will recognize this as a spike.
Step 4: Visual Cue: These spikes are then plotted on a graph, with each spike represented as a bar. The height of the bar indicates the spike's percentage size, so you can see at a glance how significant a spike is.
Step 5: Intuitive Color Coding: For quick analysis, the VSI employs a color-coding system. Exceptionally high peaks, such as those exceeding a 100% increase, are highlighted in blue to emphasize their importance. Other peaks are shown in red, creating a visual hierarchy for quick volume data interpretation.
Why This Matters:
Identifying these spikes can help pinpoint the beginning or end of a trend. The idea is that when trading peaks at a certain level, there might be no more buyers or sellers willing to engage at that price level. Volume peaks, and a reversal is likely imminent. It's a simple yet effective concept. Therefore, it's crucial to use this indicator in the context of the trend, as not every spike carries the same significance.
Customizable:
The beauty of the VSI lies in its flexibility. Trading futures? You might want to adjust the averaging period to 14 days to better suit your market. You have full control over the settings to tailor them to your trading style.
Interpreting the Figures:
A positive percentage indicates a volume spike above the average – the higher the percentage, the more significant the spike.
If the percentage exceeds a certain threshold (which you can set, e.g., 25%), it signals a volume spike, indicating increased market activity that could precede significant price movement.
What makes the VSI genuinely adaptable is your ability to tweak the parameters to suit your needs.
Are you trading in a volatile market? Extend the SMA period to smooth out the noise. Trading in a 24-hour market? Adjust the length of your SMA. Seeking finer details? Shorten it. The VSI is yours to adapt to your trading strategy.
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As we wrap up this introduction to the Volume Spike Indicator, I hope you're as excited about its potential as I am. This tool, born out of curiosity and a desire for clarity in the vast ocean of market data, is designed to be your ally in navigating the waves of trading activity.
Remember, the true power of the VSI lies not just in its ability to highlight significant volume spikes, but in its adaptability to your unique trading style and needs. Whether you're charting courses through the tumultuous seas of day trading or navigating the broader currents of long-term investments, the VSI is here to offer insights and guidance.
I encourage you to experiment with it, customize it, and see how it can enhance your trading strategy. And as you do, remember that every tool, no matter how powerful, is just one piece of the puzzle. Combine the VSI with your knowledge, experience, and intuition to make informed and strategic trading decisions.
Thank you for taking the time to explore the Volume Spike Indicator with me.
Best Regards,
Karim Subhieh
BTC ETF VolumesVolume
This script plots the trading volume of all BTC spot ETFs as well as the aggregate volume. Works on any chart and any timeframe.
Indicators
The volume of every ETF is plotted in a different color, with the total column adding up to the aggregate volume.
If you have price and indicator labels enabled you will also see individual ETF volume on your price scale on the right hand side.
If more BTC ETFs get launched I will add them.
Bitcoin/Hash Rate Oscillator & MAWhat it does:
Finds the ratio of BTC price to the Hash Rate with an additional MA applied to find changes in volatility with relative context. Best used as a two lines cross indicator.
When the ratio of price to hashrate increases, it may be a sign miners cannot or will not sell as much.
When the ratio decreases, it may indicate miners have more capability and/or incentive to sell.
How it works:
The indicator uses a MA applied to the hashrate(first MA input), then finds the difference between it and the actual hash rate. Then it finds the STD of that to create an oscillating value. BTC is divided by said value. Then a second MA is applied to that ratio(second MA input)
Session Breakout Scalper Trading BotHi Traders !
Introduction:
I have recently been exploring the world of automated algorithmic trading (as I prefer more objective trading strategies over subjective technical analysis (TA)) and would like to share one of my automation compatible (PineConnecter compatible) scripts “Session Breakout Scalper”.
The strategy is really simple and is based on time conditional breakouts although has more ”relatively” advanced optional features such as the regime indicators (Regime Filters) that attempt to filter out noise by adding more confluence states and the ATR multiple SL that takes into account volatility to mitigate the down side risk of the trade.
What is Algorthmic Trading:
Firstly what is algorithmic trading? Algorithmic trading also known as algo-trading, is a method of using computer programs (in this case pine script) to execute trades based on predetermined rules and instructions (this trading strategy). It's like having a robot trader who follows a strict set of commands to buy and sell assets automatically, without any human intervention.
Important Note:
For Algorithmic trading the strategy will require you having an essential TV subscription at the minimum (so that you can set alerts) plus a PineConnecter subscription (scroll down to the .”How does the strategy send signals” headings to read more)
The Strategy Explained:
Is the Time input true ? (this can be changed by toggling times under the “TRADE MEDIAN TIMES” group for user inputs).
Given the above is true the strategy waits x bars after the session and then calculates the highest high (HH) to lowest low (LL) range. For this box to form, the user defined amount of bars must print after the session. The box is symmetrical meaning the HH and LL are calculated over a lookback that is equal to the sum of user defined bars before and after the session (+ 1).
The Strategy then simultaneously defines the HH as the buy level (green line) and the LL as the sell level (red line). note the strategy will set stop orders at these levels respectively.
Enter a buy if price action crosses above the HH, and then cancel the sell order type (The opposite is true for a stop order).
If the momentum based regime filters are true the strategy will check for the regime / regimes to be true, if the regime if false the strategy will exit the current trade, as the regime filter has predicted a slowing / reversal of momentum.
The image below shows the strategy executing these trading rules ( Regime filters, "Trades on chart", "Signal & Label" and "Quantity" have been omitted. "Strategy label plots" has been switched to true)
Other Strategy Rules:
If a new session (time session which is user defined) is true (blue vertical line) and the strategy is currently still in a trade it will exit that trade immediately.
It is possible to also set a range of percentage gain per day that the strategy will try to acquire, if at any point the strategy’s profit is within the percentage range then the position / trade will be exited immediately (This can be changed in the “PERCENT DAY GAIN” group for user inputs)
Stops and Targets:
The strategy has either static (fixed) or variable SL options. TP however is only static. The “STRAT TP & TP” group of user inputs is responsible for the SL and TP values (quoted in pips). Note once the ATR stop is set to true the SL values in the above group no longer have any affect on the SL as expected.
What are the Regime Filters:
The Larry Williams Large Trade Index (LWLTI): The Larry Williams Large Trade Index (LWTI) is a momentum-based technical indicator developed by iconic trader Larry Williams. It identifies potential entries and exits for trades by gauging market sentiment, particularly the buying and selling pressure from large market players. Here's a breakdown of the LWTI:
LWLTI components and their interpretation:
Oscillator: It oscillates between 0 and 100, with 50 acting as the neutral line.
Sentiment Meter: Values above 75 suggest a bearish market dominated by large selling, while readings below 25 indicate a bullish market with strong buying from large players.
Trend Confirmation: Crossing above 75 during an uptrend and below 25 during a downtrend confirms the trend's continuation.
The Andean Oscillator (AO) : The Andean Oscillator is a trend and momentum based indicator designed to measure the degree of variations within individual uptrends and downtrends in the prices.
Regime Filter States:
In trading, a regime filter is a tool used to identify the current state or "regime" of the market.
These Regime filters are integrated within the trading strategy to attempt to lower risk (equity volatility and/or draw down). The regime filters have different states for each market order type (buy and sell). When the regime filters are set to true, if these regime states fail to be true the trade is exited immediately.
For Buy Trades:
LWLTI positive momentum state: Quotient of the lagged trailing difference and the ATR > 50
AO positive momentum state: Bull line > Bear line (signal line is omitted)
For Sell Trades:
LWLTI negative momentum stat: Quotient of the lagged trailing difference and the ATR < 50
AO negative momentum state: Bull line < Bear line (signal line is omitted)
How does the Strategy Send Signals:
The strategy triggers a TV alert (you will neet to set a alert first), TV then sends a HTTP request to the automation software (PineConnecter) which receives the request and then communicates to an MT4/5 EA to automate the trading strategy.
For the strategy to send signals you must have the following
At least a TV essential subscription
This Script added to your chart
A PineConnecter account, which is paid and not free. This will provide you with the expert advisor that executes trades based on these strategies signals.
For more detailed information on the automation process I would recommend you read the PineConnecter documentation and FAQ page.
Dashboard:
This Dashboard (top right by defualt) lists some simple trading statistics and also shows when a trade is live.
Important Notice:
- USE THIS STRATEGY AT YOUR OWN RISK AND ALWAYS DO YOUR OWN RESEARCH & MANUAL BACKTESTING !
- THE STRATEGY WILL NOT EXHIBIT THE BACKTEST PERFORMANCE SEEN BELOW IN ALL MARKETS !
[ETNX] BTC CME OI L/SOVERVIEW
This indicator displays how many traders have Long and Short positions opened on CME Bitcoin Futures and Options. The data is provided from the CFTC Commitments of Traders Reports. These reports are given weekly. Therefore, this indicator works better on weekly timeframes.
The COT reports are separated into 5 categories:
Dealer/Intermediary - These participants are typically described as the “sell side” of the market. Though they may not predominately sell futures, they design and sell various financial assets to clients. They tend to have matched books or offset their risk across markets and clients. Futures contracts are part of the pricing and balancing of risk associated with the products they sell and their activities. These include large banks (U.S. and non-U.S.) and dealers in securities, swaps, and other derivatives.
Asset Manager/Institutional - These are institutional investors, including pension funds, endowments, insurance companies, mutual funds, and portfolio/investment managers whose clients are predominantly institutional.
Leveraged Funds - These are typically hedge funds and various types of money managers, including registered commodity trading advisors (CTAs); registered commodity pool operators (CPOs), or unregistered funds identified by CFTC. The strategies may involve taking outright positions or arbitrage within and across markets. The traders may be engaged in managing and conducting proprietary futures trading and trading on behalf of speculative clients.
Other Reportables - Reportable traders not placed into one of the first three categories are placed into the “other reportables” category. The traders in this category mostly use markets to hedge business risk, whether that risk is related to foreign exchange, equities, or interest rates. This category includes corporate treasuries, central banks, smaller banks, mortgage originators, credit unions and any other reportable traders not assigned to the other three categories.
Non Reportable
INPUT DISPLAY
The Open Interest can be displayed in three ways:
Contracts - How many contracts are opened on CME
BTC - How many BTC the contracts worth
Billions USD - How much is worth in USD based on the CME BTC Price
The Open Interest is calculated for:
Futures - The Futures Short and Long Positions Opened
Futures & Options - The Futures & Options Short and Long Positions Opened
Hull WavesThe Hull Waves indicator is based on the Hull Moving Averages (HMA), which are special moving averages that stand out for their ability to filter out market noise and offer a clearer view of price trends. Compared to traditional moving averages, HMAs are more responsive yet smoother, allowing traders to capture significant price movements without getting overwhelmed by short-term fluctuations.
The HMAs integrated into Hull Waves provide two distinct perspectives on the price trend:
8-period HMA: This short-term HMA is extremely reactive and closely follows price changes. It is ideal for capturing short-term trading signals while the medium-term 21-period HMA offers a more balanced view of price trends and identifies medium-term trends.
By crossing HMAs, traders can efficiently identify trend reversal points or strong market continuations.
Another feature of the indicator is the “fan” of dynamic lines, which acts as a visual float for price candles, allowing traders to quickly evaluate trading opportunities.
The "fan" or float of dynamic lines represents a visual representation of the candle's price movements. These lines extend from the start point to the end point, like an open fan. This visual approach makes the market dynamics immediately evident.
Strategy:
Long Entry Signal (Buy):
When the Hull Waves range shows a series of upward sloping lines and the Hull Moving Averages (e.g. 8-period HMA) crosses the 21-period HMA upwards, it is a long entry signal.
Confirmation of the signal can come from an increase in trader volume or other supporting indicators.
Place a buy order at the next closing price.
Short Entry Signal (Sell):
When the Hull Waves range shows a series of downward sloping lines and the Hull Moving Averages (e.g. 8-period HMA) crosses the 21-period HMA downward, it is a short entry signal.
Confirm the signal with an increase in trader volume or other relevant indicators.
Place a sell order at the next closing price.
Exit Signal (Closing a Position):
To close a long position, wait for a signal reversal, such as the Hull Moving Averages crossing downwards or a change in the Hull Waves range.
To close a short position, wait for a signal reversal, such as the Hull Moving Averages crossing higher or a change in the Hull Waves range.
3kilos BTC 15mThe "3kilos BTC 15m" is a comprehensive trading strategy designed to work on a 15-minute timeframe for Bitcoin (BTC) or other cryptocurrencies. This strategy combines multiple indicators, including Triple Exponential Moving Averages (TEMA), Average True Range (ATR), and Heikin-Ashi candlesticks, to generate buy and sell signals. It also incorporates risk management features like take profit and stop loss.
Indicators
Triple Exponential Moving Averages (TEMA): Three TEMA lines are used with different lengths and sources:
Short TEMA (Red) based on highs
Long TEMA 1 (Blue) based on lows
Long TEMA 2 (Green) based on closing prices
Average True Range (ATR): Custom ATR calculation with EMA smoothing is used for volatility measurement.
Supertrend: Calculated using ATR and a multiplier to determine the trend direction.
Simple Moving Average (SMA): Applied to the short TEMA to smooth out its values.
Heikin-Ashi Close: Used for additional trend confirmation.
Entry & Exit Conditions
Long Entry: Triggered when the short TEMA is above both long TEMA lines, the Supertrend is bullish, the short TEMA is above its SMA, and the Heikin-Ashi close is higher than the previous close.
Short Entry: Triggered when the short TEMA is below both long TEMA lines, the Supertrend is bearish, the short TEMA is below its SMA, and the Heikin-Ashi close is lower than the previous close.
Take Profit and Stop Loss: Both are calculated as a percentage of the entry price, and they are set for both long and short positions.
Risk Management
Take Profit: Set at 1% above the entry price for long positions and 1% below for short positions.
Stop Loss: Set at 3% below the entry price for long positions and 3% above for short positions.
Commission and Pyramiding
Commission: A 0.07% commission is accounted for in the strategy.
Pyramiding: The strategy does not allow pyramiding.
Note
This strategy is designed for educational purposes and should not be considered as financial advice. Always do your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before engaging in trading.
MAX_MIN_V1
Another simple indicator, maximum, minimum and average values. The point of imbalance in the price of an asset is sought.
It is used for any temporality and in almost any asset.
You can configure the visibility of the different elements.
Blackrock Spot ETF Premium BTCUSD (COINBASE) V1I created an indicator that takes the spot BTC/USD pair from major exchanges and compares it to the Spot BTC/USD pair on Coinbase that institutions will use for their Spot ETFs.
Blackrock Spot ETF Premium BTCUSD (COINBASE)
I suspect we will see a new "Kimchi Premium" where the Spot ETF pressures from institutions will raise the Coinbase Bitcoin price by a factor of 10-50% premium to the other exchanges.
Naturally excess coins from other exchanges will flow into Coinbase to capture this.
This indicator should be good for some time until one of the other exchanges delist or stop using BTCUSD "spot" If it breaks it I will update it if I remember.
FederalXBT,
Realized Profit & Loss [BigBeluga]The Realized Loss & Profit indicator aims to find potential dips and tops in price by utilizing the security function syminfo.basecurrency + "_LOSSESADDRESSES".
The primary objective of this indicator is to present an average, favorable buying/selling opportunity based on the number of people currently in profit or loss.
The script takes into consideration the syminfo.basecurrency, so it should automatically adapt to the current coin.
🔶 USAGE
Users have the option to enable the display of either Loss or Profit, depending on their preferred visualization.
Examples of displaying Losses:
Example of displaying Profits:
🔶 CONCEPTS
The concept aims to assign a score to the data in the ticker representing the realized losses. This score will provide users with an average of buying/selling points that are better to the typical investor.
🔶 SETTINGS
Users have complete control over the script settings.
🔹 Calculation
• Profit: Display people in profit on an average of the selected length.
• Loss: Display people in loss on an average of the selected length.
🔹 Candle coloring
• True: Color the candle when data is above the threshold.
• False: Do not color the candle.
🔹 Levels
- Set the level of a specific threshold.
• Low: Low losses (green).
• Normal: Low normal (yellow).
• Medium: Low medium (orange).
• High: Low high (red).
🔹 Z-score Length: Length of the z-score moving window.
🔹 Threshold: Filter out non-significant values.
🔹 Histogram width: Width of the histogram.
🔹 Colors: Modify the colors of the displayed data.
🔶 LIMITATIONS
• Since the ticker from which we obtain data works only on the daily timeframe, we are
restricted to displaying data solely from the 1D timeframe.
• If the coin does not have any realized loss data, we can't use this script.
Extreme Reversal SignalThe Extreme Reversal Signal is designed to signal potential pivot points when the price of an asset becomes extremely overbought or oversold. Extreme conditions typically signal a brief or extensive price reversal, offering valuable entry or exit points. It's important to note that this indicator may produce multiple signals, making it essential to corroborate these signals with other forms of analysis to determine their validity. While the default settings provide valuable insights, it might be beneficial to experiment with different configurations to ensure the indicator's efficacy.
Two primary conditions define extremely overbought and oversold states. The first condition is that the price must deviate by two standard deviations from the 20-day Simple Moving Average (SMA). The second condition is that the 3-day SMA of the 14-day Stochastic Oscillator (STO) derived from the 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) is above or below the upper or lower limit.
Oversold states arise when the first condition is met and the 3-day SMA of the 14-day Stochastic RSI falls below the lower limit, suggesting a buy signal. These are visually represented by green triangles below the price bars. Overbought states arise when the first condition is met and the 3-day SMA of the 14-day Stochastic RSI rises above the upper limit, suggesting a sell signal. These are visually represented by red triangles above the price bars. It's also possible to set up automated alerts to get notifications when either of these two conditions is met to avoid missing out.
While this indicator has traditionally identified overbought and oversold conditions in various different assets, past performance does not guarantee future results. Therefore, it is advisable to supplement this indicator with other technical tools. For instance, trend indicators can greatly improve the decision-making process when planning for entries and exit points.
EMA Power BandsHello!
Today, I am delighted to introduce you to the "EMA Power Bands" indicator, designed to assist in identifying buying and selling points for assets moving in the markets.
Key Features of the Indicator:
EMA Bands: "EMA Power Bands" utilizes Exponential Moving Average (EMA) to create trend lines. These bands automatically expand or contract based on the price trend, adapting to market conditions.
ATR-Based Volatility: The indicator measures price volatility using the Average True Range (ATR) indicator, adjusting the width of the EMA bands accordingly. As a result, wider bands form during periods of increased volatility, while they narrow during lower volatility.
RSI-Based Buy-Sell Signals: "EMA Power Bands" uses the Relative Strength Index (RSI) to identify overbought and oversold zones. Entering the overbought zone generates a sell signal, while entering the oversold zone produces a buy signal.
Trend Direction Identification: The indicator assists in determining the price trend direction by analyzing the slope of the EMA bands. This allows you to identify periods of uptrends and downtrends.
Visualization of Buy-Sell Signals: "EMA Power Bands" visually marks the buy and sell signals:
- When RSI enters the overbought zone, it displays a sell signal (🪫).
- When RSI enters the oversold zone, it indicates a buy signal (🔋).
- When a candle closes above the emaup line, it displays a bearish signal (🔨).
- When a candle closes below the emadw line, it indicates a bullish signal (🚀).
By using the "EMA Power Bands" (EMA Güç Bantları) indicator, especially in trend-following strategies and periods of volatility, you can make more informed and disciplined trading decisions. However, I recommend using it in conjunction with other technical analysis tools and fundamental data.
*You can also use it with CCI as an example.
With this indicator, you can identify potential trend reversals in advance and strengthen your risk management strategies.
So, go ahead and try the "EMA Power Bands" (EMA Güç Bantları) indicator to enhance your technical analysis skills and make more informed trading decisions!
High of Day Low of Day hourly timings: Statistics. Time of day %High of Day (HoD) & Low of Day (LoD) hourly timings: Statistics. Time of day % likelihood for high and low.
//Purpose:
To collect stats on the hourly occurrences of HoD and LoD in an asset, to see which times of day price is more likely to form its highest and lowest prices.
//How it works:
Each day, HoD and LoD are calculated and placed in hourly 'buckets' from 0-23. Frequencies and Percentages are then calculated and printed/tabulated based on the full asset history available.
//User Inputs:
-Timezone (default is New York); important to make sure this matches your chart's timezone
-Day start time: (default is Tradingview's standard). Toggle Custom input box to input your own custom day start time.
-Show/hide day-start vertical lines; show/hide previous day's 'HoD hour' label (default toggled on). To be used as visual aid for setting up & verifying timezone settings are correct and table is populating correctly).
-Use historical start date (default toggled off): Use this along with bar-replay to backtest specific periods in price (i.e. consolidated vs trending, dull vs volatile).
-Standard formatting options (text color/size, table position, etc).
-Option to show ONLY on hourly chart (default toggled off): since this indicator is of most use by far on the hourly chart (most history, max precision).
// Notes & Tips:
-Make sure Timezone settings match (input setting & chart timezone).
-Play around with custom input day start time. Choose a 'dead' time (overnight) so as to ensure stats are their most meaningful (if you set a day start time when price is likely to be volatile or trending, you may get a biased / misleadingly high readout for the start-of-day/ end-of-day hour, due to price's tendency for continuation through that time.
-If you find a time of day with significantly higher % and it falls either side of your day start time. Try adjusting day start time to 'isolate' this reading and thereby filter out potential 'continuation bias' from the stats.
-Custom input start hour may not match to your chart at first, but this is not a concern: simply increment/decrement your input until you get the desired start time line on the chart; assuming your timezone settings for chart and indicator are matching, all will then work properly as designed.
-Use the the lines and labels along with bar-replay to verify HoD/LoD hours are printing correctly and table is populating correctly.
-Hour 'buckets' represent the start of said hour. i.e. hour 14 would be populated if HoD or LoD formed between 14:00 and 15:00.
-Combined % is simply the average of HoD % and LoD %. So it is the % likelihood of 'extreme of day' occurring in that hour.
-Best results from using this on Hourly charts (sub-hourly => less history; above hourly => less precision).
-Note that lower tier Tradingview subscriptions will get less data history. Premium acounts get 20k bars history => circa 900 days history on hourly chart for ES1!
-Works nicely on Btc/Usd too: any 24hr assets this will give meaningful data (whereas some commodities, such as Lean Hogs which only trade 5hrs in a day, will yield less meaningful data).
Example usage on S&P (ES1! 1hr chart): manual day start time of 11pm; New York timezone; Visual aid lines and labels toggled on. HoD LoD hour timings with 920 days history:
kyle algo v1
Integration of multiple technical indicators: The strategy mainly combines two technical indicators - Keltner Channels and Supertrend, to generate trading signals. It also calculates fifteen exponential moving averages (EMAs) for the high price with different periods ranging from 9 to 51.
Unique combination of indicators: The traditional Supertrend typically uses Average True Range (ATR) to calculate its upper and lower bands. In contrast, this script modifies the approach to use Keltner Channels instead.
Flexible sensitivity adjustment: This strategy provides a "sensitivity" input parameter for users to adjust, which controls the multiplier for the range in the Supertrend calculation. This can make the signals more or less sensitive to price changes, allowing users to tailor the strategy to their own risk tolerance and trading style.
EMA Energy Representation: The code offers a visualization of "EMA Energy", which color-codes the EMA lines based on whether the closing price is above or below the EMA line. This can provide an intuitive understanding of market trends.
Clear visual signals: The strategy generates clear "BUY" and "SELL" signals, represented as labels on the chart. This makes it easy to identify potential entry and exit points in the market.
Customizable: The script provides several user inputs, making it possible to fine-tune the strategy according to different market conditions and individual trading preferences.
EMA (Exponential Moving Average) Principle:
The EMA is a type of moving average that assigns more weight to the most recent data.
It responds more quickly to recent price changes and is used to capture short-term price trends.
Principle of Color Change :
In this trading strategy, the color of the EMA line changes based on whether the closing price is above or below the EMA. If the closing price is above the EMA, the EMA line turns green,
indicating an upward price trend. Conversely, if the closing price is below the EMA, the EMA line turns red,
indicating a downward price trend. These color changes help traders to more intuitively identify price trends
In short, our team provides a lot of practical space
That is your development space
Bitcoin Limited Growth ModelThe Bitcoin Limeted Growth is a model proposed by QuantMario that offers an alternative approach to estimating Bitcoin's price based on the Stock-to-Flow (S2F) ratio. This model takes into account the limitations of the traditional S2F model and introduces refinements to enhance its analysis.
The S2F model is commonly used to analyze Bitcoin's price by considering the scarcity of the asset, measured by the stock (existing supply) relative to the flow (new supply). However, the LGS-S2F Bitcoin Price Formula recognizes the need for improvements and presents an updated perspective on Bitcoin's price dynamics.
Invalidation of the Normal S2F Model:
The normal S2F model has faced criticisms and challenges. One of the limitations is its assumption of a linear relationship between the S2F ratio and Bitcoin's price, overlooking potential nonlinearities and other market dynamics. Additionally, the normal S2F model does not account for external influences, such as market sentiment, regulatory developments, and technological advancements, which can significantly impact Bitcoin's price.
Addressing the Issues:
The LGS-S2F Bitcoin Price Formula introduces refinements to address the limitations of the traditional S2F model. These refinements aim to provide a more comprehensive analysis of Bitcoin's price dynamics:
Nonlinearity: The LGS-S2F model recognizes that the relationship between the S2F ratio and Bitcoin's price may not be linear. It incorporates a logistic growth function that considers the diminishing returns of scarcity and the saturation of market demand.
Data Analysis: The LGS-S2F model employs statistical analysis and data-driven techniques to validate its predictions. It leverages historical data and econometric modeling to support its analysis of Bitcoin's price.
Utility:
The LGS-S2F Bitcoin Price Formula offers insights for traders and investors in the cryptocurrency market. By incorporating a more refined approach to analyzing Bitcoin's price, this model provides an alternative perspective. It allows market participants to consider various factors beyond the S2F ratio alone, potentially aiding in their decision-making processes.
Key Features:
Adjustable Coefficients
Sigma calculation methods: Normal or Stdev
Credit:
The LGS-S2F Bitcoin Price Formula was developed by QuantMario, who has contributed to the field of cryptocurrency analysis through their research and modeling efforts.
Quantum TrendQuantum Trend indicator is our new tool to trade on futures and spot markets in the world of cryptocurrency.
This indicator uses some advanced techniques to determine price reversals and filter them out with other indicators, such as oscillators ( Stochastic RSI and etc. ) and trend-based indicators ( such as EMA and others ), but even after filtering signals with these tools Quantum Trend indicator then applies our own private algorithm, based on our modified z-score mertic, which reduces lag drastically and helps find good entries faster.
What algo is behind the signals?
For finding new entries we used RSI- and stochastic-based oscillators, which help us determine potential price reversal movements. When new entry is found, we filter it through our own stochastic RSI filter (takes stoch RSI's pivot points into account to find better entries; pivot points left and right bars are hard coded into the indicator) with our private indicators, based on close-to-close volatility filter methods, to understand whether or not entry valid enough. Why stochastic RSI? Because it is much less messy than most of other existing oscillators (by our own opinion and experience).
That was first filtering stage, now comes the second .
In the second phase we filter out signals even more with our own modified-standard-deviation-based indicators ( not Bollinger Bands! ) to determine whether or not price went above or below 2 sigma channel, which would mean that current price's movement is extremely rare (because for going above 2 sigma or below -2 sigma there is only 5% chance (classic Gaussian distribution)) and the reversal will probably happen soon.
If signal passed all two phases of filtering, it will be showed on the chart.
Over all, this indicator uses our own private indicators, based on some core concepts, which we described above ( classic Gaussian distribution for choosing signals with nice reversal moments , close-to-close volatility for understanding if market is volatile enough to make a good move , modified z-score metric for reducing lag and finding entries faster , own stoch RSI filter with pivot points for reducing lag and finding good reversal moments and etc. )
That's for idea reveal, now let's dive into the settings!
Indicator settings
Main Algo Settings — group of settings of the core algorithm, that forms signals.
Signal Length * — determines how many bars from the past should be taken to make a signal.
Signal Factor * — determines the threshold for signal quality.
* — the more this parameter is, the less signals you will get, but they will be more high-quality.
Signals to Show — determines which type of signals will be displayed on the chart:
Classic — Long/Short signals;
Strong — Strong Long/Short signals;
All — Classic + Strong signals;
Signal Colours — group of settings for customizing signals' colours.
Long — colour for Long signals
Short — colour for Short signals
Strong Long — colour for Strong Long signals
Strong Short — colour for Strong Short signals
Filter for Strong Signals — group of settings for strong signals.
Use Strong Signals? — enabling/disabling strong signals on the chart;
Apply this filter to Strong Signals? — enabling/disabling filter for strong signals. When disabled, strong signals won't be filtered and there will be a lot more signals on the chart, but with less quallity.
Fast Period * — number of bars for 1st group of candles to form a signal;
Slow Period * — number of bars for 2nd group of candles to form a signal ( we need these two groups to align short-term with long-term trend );
Additional Filter Period * — period for filter indicator, which cuts out bad strong signals;
Additional Filter Smoother Period * — period for filter indicator's smoother, which makes additionally smoothes signals to filter out bad ones;
Filter's source — price souce for the filter ( open, close, hl2 and etc. ).
* — the more this parameter is, the less signals you will get, but they will be more high-quality.
2nd Filter — group of settings for the 2nd filter, which cuts out bad signals from Main Algo.
Enable 2nd Filter? — enabling/disabling 2nd filter. When diasbled, there wiull be a lot more signals on the chart, but with less quality;
2nd Filter Length — period for the indicator, which is embedded in 2nd filter. Based on improved RSI;
OverBought Lvl — level, which indicates that asset is probably overbought ;
OverSold Lvl — level, which indicates that asset is probably oversold ;
TP/SL Settings — Take-Profit/Stop-Loss settings
Use TP? — Show take profits on the chart
TP Mode — Take Profit mode (either zone or 3 levels (drawn on the chart))
Take-Profit 1, 2, 3 Factor — Multiplier/factor for the 1st, 2nd, 3rd take-profits accrodingly . Determines the width of the take profits/zone (the higher the factor, the further the take profits are located from the entry point)
SL Factor — Multiplier/factor for the stop loss (line on the chart; not displayed if the take profit mode is set to zone)
Whales Screener — screener, that shows where whales buy (green zones) and sell (red zones).
Use Whales Screener? — enabling/disabling whales screener.
Support & Resistance Settings — group of settings for support and resistance lines.
Support Color — Support color;
Resistance Color — Resistance color;
S/R Strength — Strength of support and resistance lines. The greater it is, the more reliable the S/R lines will be;
Line Style — style of each S/R line ( solid, dotted, dashed );
Zone Width, % — Zone width in percentage of the price fro the last 250 bars;
Extend S/R Lines — Extend the S/R lines to the right and left.
What timeframes to use?
This indicator was built to work on any timeframe, but our practice shows that it works best on higher timeframes such 30 minutes and more, but you should find by yourself which timeframe suits you best.
What markets can this indicator be applied to?
This indicator is market-indifferent, which means that you can use this indicator on any possible market.
How should I use this indicator?
Quantum Trend indicator can be a useful tool for finding entries and confirming signals from your own trading system, as it is built with multiple signal filter layers, which drastically reduce amount of bad signals. Also it is better to use other indicators to confirm signals, produced by Quantum Trend, because this way you will get even more high-quality signals.
Does it repaint?
No, this indicator doesn't repaint.
IMPORTANT, PLEASE READ!
This is indicator is not a Holy Grail of trading and we DON'T promote it as such in any possible way. As any possible indicator, Quantum Trend uses price data of the past, which CAN NOT guarantee perfect price predicitions of the future!
Hope this indicator will help you make a much better trading decisions!
The Z-score The Z-score, also known as the standard score, is a statistical measurement that describes a value's relationship to the mean of a group of values. It's measured in terms of standard deviations from the mean. If a Z-score is 0, it indicates that the data point's score is identical to the mean score. Z-scores may be positive or negative, with a positive value indicating the score is above the mean and a negative score indicating it is below the mean.
The concept of Z-score was introduced by statistician Carl Friedrich Gauss as part of his "method of the least squares," which was an important step in the development of the normal distribution and Z-score tables. It's a key concept in statistics and is used in various statistical tests.
In financial analysis, Z-scores are used to determine whether a data point is usual or unusual. You can think of it as a measure of how many standard deviations an element is from the mean. For instance, a Z-score of 1.0 would denote a value that is one standard deviation from the mean. Z-scores are also used to predict probabilities, with Z-scores having a distribution that is expected to be normal.
In trading, a Z-score is used to determine how often a trading system may produce a string of winners or losers. It can help a trader to understand whether the losses or profits they see are something that the system would most likely produce, or if it's a once in a blue moon situation. This helps traders make decisions about when to start or stop a system.
I just wanted to play a bit with the Z-score I guess.
Feel free to share your findings if you discover additional applications for this strategy or identify timeframes where it appears to perform more optimally.
How it works:
This strategy is based on a statistical concept called Z-score, which measures the number of standard deviations a data point is from the mean. In other words, it helps determine how unusual or usual a data point is.
In the context of this strategy, Z-score is applied to a 10-period EMA (Exponential Moving Average) of Heikin-Ashi candlestick close prices. The Z-score is calculated over a look-back period of 25 bars.
The EMA of the Z-score is then calculated over a 20-bar period, and the upper and lower thresholds (bounds for buy and sell signals) are defined using the 90th and 10th percentiles of this EMA score.
Long positions are taken when the Z-score crosses above the lower threshold or crosses above the mid-line (50th percentile). An additional long entry is made when the Z-score crosses above the highest value the EMA has been in the past 100 periods.
Short positions are initiated when the EMA crosses below the upper threshold, lower threshold or the highest value the EMA has been in the past 100 periods.
Positions are closed when opposing entry conditions are met, for example, a long position is closed when the short entry condition is true, and vice versa.
Set your desired start date for the strategy. This can be modified in the timestamp("YYYY MM DD") function at the top of the script.
Pinbar IdentifierThis indicator is used for automatic recognition of established Pinbar signals.
The indicator defines the specific shape of the Pinbar and uses Bollinger Bands as the measurement standard, filtering out Pinbars with low validity. This indicator introduces strength signals.
EMAflowPRO -Ranges-DISCLAIMER: Always, please keep in mind that market conditions change, past results cannot guarantee the same results in the future.
EMAflowPRO - Ranges-
EMAflowPRO ranges indicator will detect key movements in the market that fit certain conditions and based on that create key tradable zones by providing dynamic and static range levels.
Before reading further please take a look at the indicator values names on the right in the main chart above - these names are linked to the content below when we talk about range structure. The examples included in charts are linked to the area we're discussing (if something was said - most likely closest chart demonstrates it - Also arrows present entries; can be limit or can be market buy/sell in to the wicks.)
Let's find out what indicator does...
Static range logic:
Indicator uses combination of market timing indicators (counting relationship between candles) , fisher transform, stoch rsi, bollinger bands to detect important market price action that show strenght - based on that it will project a static range where key goal is to predict where market will be extremely oversold, extremely overbought or where market could change bias etc.
The setups it provides are very similar to those that come out of harmonic patterns - but it was developed with unique approach without knowing what harmonic patterns are.. so it's not completly the same.
Range is represented by 3 tradable areas (actual trade ideas on charts - arrow points towards a level - on the right there is a scale with a number- limit order can be placed there )
Top of the range - It serves as a shorting area or if top is converted to support can also signal a potential breakout or start of new trend.
Example of a short the top of the range:
29732 - is area where wicks can be sold in to , or limit sell is placed - with higher leverage sl should be tight, with lower sell orders can be spread out up to the middle with sl just above 30500, targets can be choosen based on the provious range top as % moves point.
Example of longing the levels on the recent rise - price staying above middle of the top of the range keeps bias on the upside and potentially signals a break out or start of new trend
Uppper, Middle, Lower part of the range: Sideway area - middle of the range decides direction , above favors the upper levels , below favors the lower levels.
Very nice example where white line is middle of the range and shows that even in strong trend - range projection is able to accurately predict key pullback areas that provide substantial gain. See image below - again settign limit orders where middle of the range is allows you to get a comfortable entry with very big risk reward ratio.
Bottom of the range - market is extremely oversold
Spx example of our recent range from last year's summer - again chart includes both EMAflow indicator and EMAflow ranges as all indicators are extremely complementary and present two sides of the medal sideway and trend view.
Chart only contains ranges but shows the same pair and time:
If price goes below middle of the bottom of the range it could signal a break down or start of new bearish trend.
Dynamic range logic
Since sometimes static range gets broken out or is not respected and the price action is not yet sufficient to generated a new one we included a dynamic supply demand part where dynamic range is generated working in a similar way but does add clarity when static range fails.
example of this can be seen when ftx caused a btc dump we broke through the bottom of the range but dynamic range later showed us new bottom we could trade.
Confluence between both can also provide even more sure levels to place limit orders or to market buy or sell when wicks in to that area occurs.
Minuses:
Since ranges tend to work best when market is sideway - a second part is recommended with EMAflowPRO where focus on moving averages helps you navigate stronger trends.
Not all tfs are well synced with ranges on various assets so you will need to flip through few ones to find the best timeframes that historically worked the best - if you come across an asset that doens't look good you should just change timeframe to higher until you see something that fits or change asset until you get something that looks clear.
Settings:
EMAflow - Ranges - allows you to preset minimum potential of a trade setup you want to look for - default is 6% that ensures you can get a good setup on lower and higher tfs.
Comparison with BTC (RSI)显示当前品种与BTC汇率对的RSI值
以此判断强势或弱势品种以及超买超卖
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Display the RSI value of the exchange rate between the current variety and BTC
Use this to determine strong or weak varieties, as well as overbought and oversold
Probability Trend IndicatorUnderstanding the Indicator:
The indicator calculates the probabilities of upward and downward trends based on the percentage change in price over a specified lookback period.
It displays these probabilities in a table and plots a histogram to represent the difference between the probabilities.
The colors of the histogram bars indicate the trend direction and whether the trend is increasing or decreasing.
Setting the Lookback Period:
The indicator allows you to specify the lookback period, which determines the number of bars to consider for calculating the probabilities.
By default, the lookback period is set to 50 bars. However, you can adjust it based on your trading preferences and the timeframe you're analyzing.
Analyzing the Probabilities:
The indicator calculates the probabilities of upward and downward trends and displays them in a table on the chart.
The probabilities are presented as percentages, representing the likelihood of each type of trend occurring.
You can use these probabilities to gain insights into the potential market direction and assess the strength of the prevailing trend.
Interpreting the Histogram:
The histogram is plotted based on the difference between the probabilities of upward and downward trends, known as the oscillator value.
The histogram bars are colored to provide visual cues about the trend direction and whether the trend is gaining or losing strength.
Green bars indicate upward trends, and red bars indicate downward trends.
Lighter shades of green or red suggest increasing trends, while darker shades suggest decreasing trends.
Making Trading Decisions:
The indicator serves as a tool for assessing the probabilities of trends and can be used alongside other technical analysis methods.
You can consider the probabilities, the histogram pattern, and the overall market context to make informed trading decisions.
It's important to remember that no indicator or tool can guarantee future market movements, so prudent risk management and additional analysis are essential.
Premium MTF Layered RSI - Bitcoin Bot [wbburgin]This the premium version of my MTF Layered RSI strategy, which improves significantly on the original strategy (publicly available on my profile). Improvements are below. This strategy will also appear as an overlay on your chart. It is completely non-repainting.
The MTF Layered RSI strategy uses the current timeframe and two configurable higher timeframes to enter a long position when Bitcoin is oversold on all three timeframes, and exit the long position when Bitcoin is overbought on the current timeframe. This hedges against situations where the RSI on higher timeframes never reaches the overbought level and we are left "holding the bag" so to speak with the classic "enter long at oversold and enter short at overbought" strategy.
IMPORTANT: This strategy does not work on ranges. It will work on all timeframes and assets, but does not work on ranges (Renko blocks and some other advanced types of charts).
********** My Background
I am an investor, trader, and entrepreneur with 10 years of cryptocurrency and equity trading experience and founder of two fintech startups. I am a graduate of a prestigious university in the United States and carry broad and inclusive interests in mathematical finance, computer science, machine learning / artificial intelligence, as well as other fields.
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Improvements over the original MTF RSI strategy include:
Filters for Uptrends and Downtrends → The Premium RSI strategy will adjust its buy and sell thresholds depending on whether the instrument is trending. This means that, in uptrends, the Premium strategy will buy more frequently, bringing in potentially greater profit, and in downtrends, the strategy will stop buying altogether. These filters and dynamic buy/sell thresholds have made this strategy more profitable in my backtesting across random timeframes, but I cannot guarantee that the strategy will be profitable for you on the default settings. To that end, I have enabled a number of different configurations that you can change in the settings of the strategy.
Stop Loss / Take Profit Calculation Per Tick → Stop loss and take profit are now both enabled in the script and each has their own alerts. You can specify what type of stop loss or take profit you want: percentage or ATR. If you have alerts configured, you will be alerted mid-bar, instead of at close. This helps prevent loss from abrupt falls in price between closing price and next bar open.
Customizable Alert Messages In-Strategy → In the settings, there will be text boxes where you can create your own alerts. All you will need to do is create an alert in the alert panel on Tradingview and leave the message box blank - if you fill out the alert boxes in the settings, these will automatically populate into your alerts. There are in total eight different customizable alerts messages: Entry, Exit, Stop loss, and Take profit alerts for both Long and Short sides. If you disable stop loss and/or take profit, these alerts will also be disabled. Similarly, if you disable shorts, all short alerts will be disabled.
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Display
Configuring Stop Loss or Take Profit will make their corresponding displays appear.
Separately from the trading boxes, background colors (green, red) signify extended uptrends and downtrends, respectively.
Configuring Alerts
In TradingView desktop, go to the ‘Alerts’ tab on the right panel. Click the “+” button to create a new alert. Select this strategy for the condition and one of the two options that includes alert() function calls. Name the alert what you wish and clear the default message, because your text in the settings will replace this message.
Now that the alert is configured, you can go to the settings of the strategy and fill in your chosen text for the specific alert condition. You will need to check “Long and Short” in the “Trade Direction” setting in order for any Short Alerts to become active. Similarly, you will need to check “Enable Stop Loss” for stop loss alerts to become active and “Enable Take Profit” for take profit alerts to become active.
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Disclaimer
Copyright by wbburgin.
The information contained in my Scripts/Indicators/Algorithms does not constitute financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any securities of any type. I will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on such information.
All investments involve risk, and the past performance of a security, industry, sector, market, financial product, trading strategy, backtest, or individual's trading does not guarantee future results or returns. Investors are fully responsible for any investment decisions they make. Such decisions should be based solely on an evaluation of their financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, and liquidity needs.
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Notes on the Strategy Performance below: This is 3% of equity per trade, with a pyramiding number of 3. I did not include fees because Binance US on Bitcoin/USD does not charge fees on the instrument; however, I heavily encourage you to include fees in your backtesting if you use a different brokerage. To mitigate fees, this strategy is designed with a high average %/trade. If your current fees are greater than the strategy's average %/trade, I encourage you to choose a higher RSI period, such as 14 or 28, which will result in less trades but potentially a higher %/trade.
