BTC Risk Metric - Estimates the risk of BTC price versus the USD
- To be used on the daily timeframe
- Works best on a BTC pair that has a lot of bars, e.g. The Bitcoin All Time History Index
- 0 is the lowest risk, 1 is the highest risk
- Historically, buying when the risk was low and selling when the risk was high would have yielded good ROI
- The risk bands are 0.1 in width and are highlighted on the plot
Typical Strategy:
- weighted DCA into the market when risk <0.5, do nothing between 0.5-0.6 and weighted DCA out of the market when risk >0.6
- x = buy amount per DCA interval
- y = 1/10th total BTC held by the user
- if 0 ≤ Risk < 0.1 then buy 5x
- if 0.1 ≤ Risk < 0.2 then buy 4x
- if 0.2 ≤ Risk < 0.3 then buy 3x
- if 0.3 ≤ Risk < 0.4 then buy 2x
- if 0.4 ≤ Risk < 0.5 then buy x
- if 0.5 ≤ Risk < 0.6 then do nothing
- if 0.6 ≤ Risk < 0.7 then sell y
- if 0.7 ≤ Risk < 0.8 then sell 2y
- if 0.8 ≤ Risk < 0.9 then sell 3y
- if 0.9 ≤ Risk ≤ 1.0 then sell 4y
1-BTCUSD
Simple EMA Crossing Strategy TradeMathSimple EMA Crossing strategy, based on crossover Fast exponential moving average = EMA21 and Slow exponential moving average = EMA55.
Default stop loss is 3%, but you can change it.
Default take profit is 9%, it based on stop loss.
Risk to Reward ratio is 1 to 3.
Strategy was tested on BTCUSDT 1H timeframe and works fine with these parameters.
[Joy] Jasmine Strategy for Bitcoin and CryptoIt is my strategy I use for spot and future trading, mostly for BTCUSD
Notable parameters used:
INDEX:BTCUSD
Data: 2017 - today
Long trade margin/leverage: 8x (50/8 = 6.25)
Short trade margin/leverage: 1x (50/50 = 1)
Commission: 0.075%
Initial Capital: $15, 000
Results:
Net profit: 832.74 %
Buy & Hold: 602.56 %. It beats the buy and hold.
Percent profitability: 88 % . It means 8 out of 10 trades resulted in profits.
Margin Calls: 0 (i.e. Never had a margin call according to backtest from 2017 till today)
Total closes trades: 25
Profit factor: 8.238
Avg Winning Trade: 43.08 %
Largest Winning Trade: 334.85 %
Avg # Bars in Winning Trades: 44 (i.e. 88 days)
Sharpe Ratio: 0.61. A Sharpe ratio under 1.0 is considered sub-optimal. Because of the big swings, I cannot make the Sharpe ratio any better at this time.
Sortino Ratio: 5.153. I think a Sortino ratio of 3.0 or higher is considered excellent. Do your research.
I am using 7.1% stop loss on long trades. However, you can turn off the stop loss and note the profitability remains the same.
Do remember there may be other costs, such as funding costs.
Description:
The strategy hunts for a few market features, namely breakouts, abnormal wicks relative to the body, abnormal volume relative to the candle characteristics, and possible confirmation of all these. It also hunts for more aspects. It gives a relative score of each of the characteristics. Finally, it tries to draw a guesstimate. In the end, it is only a guesstimate. Users see the final outcome (buy/sell etc). The whole logic happens at the background.
The strategy is not to be used for scalping, day trading or swing trading. In other words, it is not suitable for trading in a lower timeframe. It is to be used for Positional Trading For example, if one is trying this for BTCUSD, one may only try this for BTCUSD in a 2day timeframe and not in lower timeframes (such as 4 hours or 1 hour etc.) I am primarily interested in BTC for my research. However, it may be tested on other cryptos as well with varying degrees of results.
Please remember that past performance does not be indicative of future results. Different types of investments involve varying degrees of risk. There can be no assurance that the information referred to directly or indirectly in this strategy will be profitable, equal to any corresponding historical performance level(s), or suitable for you in any form or shape. Market condition changes very fast. Moreover, it would be best if you did not assume that any discussion or information contained here serves as the receipt of, or as a substitute for, personalized investment advice. I am not a financial advisor. I have no qualifications to be a financial advisor. It is only for educational and research purposes. Readers are encouraged to consult with a professional advisor of his/her choosing. Neither I nor my indicators or strategies take any responsibility for any misuse of the information for any actual trading. Even though this strategy did 88% profitability from 2017-2021, it may do poorly and may even be NOT profitable in the future.
Roberts Pi Cycle Top and Bottom Indicator BTCIndicator Overview
The Pi Cycle Top Indicator has historically been effective in picking out the timing of market cycle highs to within 3 days.
It uses the 111 day moving average (111DMA) and a newly created multiple of the 350 day moving average, the 350DMA x 2.
This updated indicator is based on the original x2 Daily Simple Moving Average Pi Cycle Top Indicator for BTCUSD but with the addition of a 3rd 350 SMA
Standard Pi Cycle SMA = 350*2 SMA + 111 SMA
Updated Pi Cycle SMA = 350*2 SMA + 111 SMA + 350 SMA
How It Can Be Used / How to Read:
Chart should be used on BTCUSD only
Chart should be set to Daily Timeframe only
Buy signal RED SMA crosses up over WHITE SMA
Sell Signal RED SMA crosses up over GREEN SMA (a vetical yellow line will indicate the cycle top)
[CP]Pivot Boss Floor Pivots with ATR Dilation and Dynamic LevelsINTRODUCTION:
Compared to all the Pivot Indicators available on Trading View Public Library, this Floor Pivots Indicator differentiates itself in two major original ways:
Dilates the Pivot Support/Resistance Levels into Support/Resistance Bands based on volatility
Displays the S/R Levels Dynamically , that is, only those levels will be shown that are close enough to the price resulting in much cleaner looking charts.
There were a few features whose logic I had figured out, but I could not implement them due Pine Script’s Limitation (they should really work on increasing Pine Script’s capacity instead of adding more and more features to the language in order to make it look ‘better’):
Showing multiple timeframe pivots at the same time (not possible due to Pine Script’s limitation on the ‘Max Number of Outputs’ )
Automatic Detection of highly profitable Double Hot Pivot Zones (DPZ), also due to the ‘Max Number of Outputs’ limit
GENERAL USER INPUTS:
Most of the settings are self-explanatory, however, a few of them need some explanation:
Show Floor Pivots Dynamically – This will turn ON the dynamic pivot levels, please note that this function will work ONLY IN INTRADAY timeframes.
Dynamic Pivot ATR Period – Period over which the ATR value is calculated to show the pivots dynamically.
ATR Threshold for Dynamic Floor Pivots – Simply put, the indicator will start displaying Pivot Levels if they fall within the 2*ATR distance (default value) of the price. You can increase this number if the volatility increases and vice-versa.
Use ATR to Dilate Intraday Pivot Levels – This will turn ON Floor Pivot Dilation, turning pivot ‘lines’ into ‘bands’ .
ATR Dilation Factor – This number decides the width of the Pivot bands. Larger this number, thicker the bands. Typically, high volatility stocks will require a higher number.
ATR Period – Same as Dynamic Pivot ATR Period, but for Pivot Level Dilation.
INDICATOR USAGE EXAMPLES:
This indicator works great in conjunction with my Pivot Boss Candlestick Scanner indicator.
There are a lot of optimizations I have done in the code, although it looks trivial at first glance, but it's fairly complex.
Feel free to use it and modify it as you wish.
Here are a few examples where the indicator has shown great entries and exits, with the default settings:
NIFTY 5m Chart
Reliance 5m Chart
Tesla 5m Chart
Bitcoin-USDT 15m Chart
FINAL WORDS:
Please understand that I have Cherry Picked the examples to showcase the capability of the indicator and its usage.
DO NOT conflate the accuracy of examples with the accuracy of this indicator.
Once you start using floor pivots, you will realize that a lot of days simply don’t give any high probability setups and you will simply sit out of the market and do nothing (which is a good thing).
If you really want to learn how to use Pivots, read the book ’Secrets of a Pivot Boss’ . This book can change your life.
supertrend strategyHI,
today I have finished to study another strategy, this time I have done a supertrend with a positive backtest untill 2015 in ETH / BTC pair.
It is very simple to understand and there are only 4 parameters:
The first 2 parameters are about supertrend u can change it as u want.
The last 2 parameters are about trailing stop and target profit, personally I use target 9.6% and trail 8%.
That's all, this is a very simple and profittable strategy.
My personal setting are 4,7,8,9.6
For info write me in private
Please press like, comment or follow :)
BTCUSD Risk Oscillator- To be used with the BTCUSD All Time History Index (on the daily)
- Estimates the current risk of BTCUSD
- The risk model oscillates between 0 and 1 (0 is the lowest risk, 1 is the highest)
- Historically, buying when the risk is low and selling when the risk is high yields good ROI
- User inputs generally do not need to be changed, they are used to create integers for the normalization process
AI Crypto Signals BTCUSD 15m Ultimate ScriptBYBIT:BTCUSD
Hello everyone! Sky First Capital in partnership with AI Crypto Signals is proud to introduce the AI Crypto Signals 15M BTCUSD Ultimate Script . This script works well on the 15M, 30M, 45M and 1HR chart using traditional candles. This means no false data or inaccurate entry/exit points such as with the ones using HA candles.
The script is based upon an initial strategy developed by user Bunghole here on TradingView, but we have optimized it, back-tested it with ideal settings, and added alerts that you can use to connect with your trading bot such as Alertatron, Cornix, etc. This script uses BB (Bollinger Bands) and RSI (Relative Strength Index) as indicators for signals.
Back-testing data for the 15M chart from 7/1/2021 to 10/15/2021 showed a 51.19% profit.
Back-testing data for the 1HR chart from 7/1/2021 to 10/15/2021 showed a 191% profit.
This script does not repaint.
Ideal use is to enter and exit at the close of the candle and take-profit/stop-loss once per candle.
This script has Entry/Exit/Take-Profit/Stop-Loss alerts.
We offer consulting and training services if you need help on using this script or getting it configured with an automated trading system.
We offer a 24 hour free trial of the script, send us a message to request access.
RSI+CMO Hybrid StrategyThis strategy is based on the RSI+CMO Hybrid Index I created. I modified both the original RSI and CMO so that the RSI+CMO Index value ranges from -100 to +100 and defined as follows. When the RSI+CMO Hybrid Index values close above the Bull Level and below the Bear Level, the strategy will trigger long and short signals respectively. This newly defined hybrid RSI+CMO indicator showed better win rates and better profits than the original CMO strategy. The default setting for this strategy is optimized for an 8-hour candle. For candles at different times, try to find the optimal value yourself.
* I was going to open the script, but recently there was a case of stealing my script and publishing it without permission, so I decided not to disclose it.
▶ Modified RSI = Original RSI - 50
Therefore,
Original RSI (0 ~ 100) → Modified RSI (-50 ~ +50)
▶ Modified CMO = Original CMO * 0.5
Therefore,
Original CMO (-100 ~ +100) → Modified CMO (-50 ~ +50)
▶ RSI+CMO Hybrid Index = Modified RSI + Modified CMO
Therefore,
RSI+CMO Hybrid Index (-100 ~ +100)
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이 전략은 기존의 RSI와 CMO 지표를 수정하여 새롭게 정의한 하이브리드 RSI+CMO 지표를 기반으로 만들어졌습니다. 지표 값의 범위가 -100에서 100의 범위를 가질 수 있도록 기존의 RSI와 CMO를 수정하여 만들었습니다. RSI+CMO Hybrid Index 값이 Bull Level 이상과 Bear Level 아래에서 봉마감을 하면 이 전략은 각각 롱과 숏 신호를 트리거합니다. 이렇게 새롭게 정의된 RSI+CMO 지표는 기존 CMO 전략 대비 승률과 수익이 더 우수합니다. 이 전략의 세팅 기본값은 8시간봉에 최적화 되어있습니다. 다른 시간대 봉에서는 최적값을 직접 찾아보십시오. 그리고 이전략은 RSI+CMO Hybrid Index와 함께 사용하면 Long과 Short 신호를 예측할 수 있어 편리합니다.
* 최근에 제 스크립트를 도용/표절하여 무단으로 퍼블리쉬한 사례가 발생하여 더 이상 스크립트는 공개하지 않기로 하였습니다.
Chanu Delta Strategy V3This strategy is built on the Chanu Delta Indicator, which indicates the strength of the Bitcoin market. When the Chanu Delta Indicator hits “Delta Bull” and “Delta Bear” and closes the candle, long and short signals are triggered respectively. The example shown on the screen is a default setting optimized for a 4-hour candlestick strategy based on the Bybit BTCUSDT futures market. You can use it by adjusting the setting value and modifying it to suit you.
This new version is selectable from both reference and large amplitude BTCUSD markets in order to enable fine backtesting. I recommend using BYBIT:BTCUSDT for the reference market and INDEX:BTCUSD for the large amplitude market.
If you use this strategy in conjunction with the Chanu Delta Indicator, it is convenient to anticipate alert signals in advance. Because the Chanu Delta Indicator represents the price difference based on the Bybit BTCUSDT futures market, backtesting is possible from March 2020.
▶ Improvements and originality compared to the previous version
1. Selectable BTCUSD reference and large amplitude markets
2. Improvement of the SL/TP Function
- Improved SL/TP function based on the actual entry price of the position.
- Application of SL/TP function can be turned on/off.
Bitcoin Logarithmic Fractal Growth Model By ARUDDThis model, which I'm calling the Logarithmic Fractal Growth Mode (L.F.G) , uses Bitcoin's mathematical monetary policy to evaluate the future possible price valuation.
It takes into account fractal (and logarithmic) growth as well as how those who hold bitcoins might react to certain events such as changes in supply and demand. It also shows that it is mathematically logical that someday it must become stable.
The information gained from knowing this helps people make more informed decisions when buying bitcoin and thinking of its future possibilities.
The model can serve as some type of general guideline for determining how much bitcoins should be worth in the future if it follows a certain path from its current price.
Modeling Bitcoin's money supply mathematically, and knowing that there is a finite number of them, makes this whole process much more rational than just thinking about the possibilities in pure subjective terms.
Before going any further I want to say that no one can know with absolute certainty what will happen to bitcoins price in the future, but using mathematics gives us an idea of where things are headed.
The results presented here are based on very reasonable assumptions for how bitcoin might continue to grow (and then level out) once there are over 21 million bitcoins in existence.
The model shows that bitcoin's price can never go down to zero (thus creating the "death spiral" phenomenon), and as such, bitcoin has an extremely high probability of becoming stable as it approaches infinity.
Conversely, this model also shows that at some point there is a high probability that bitcoin will not continue to grow exponentially forever.
Credit goes to Quantadelic for the awesome original script.
ARUDD
Traffic Lights Strategy4HS Crypto Market Strategy
This strategy uses 4 ema to get Long or Short Signals
Length are: 4, 9, 18, 100
We take long positions when the order of the emas is the following:
green > yellow > red (As the color of Traffic Lights) and they are above white ema (Used as a filter for long positions)
We take short positions when the order of the emas is the following:
green < yellow < red (As the color of inverse Traffic Lights) and they are below white ema (Used as a filter for short positions)
Enable Long and/or Short Positions in settings
Enable Profit and Stop in strategy settings with different percentage to backtest the strategy. Also if it is better to use a Traditional Stop Loss or a Trailing Stop Loss based on ATR
Change ema filter resolution in settings for better strategy performance
This Strategy was tested on Crypto Market with good results in assets as BTC, ETH, BNB, ADA, LTC, XLM, BCH, among others
Feel free to optimize this strategy, optimizing its parameters. Each asset has its own "personality".
Super D2Momentum Indicator based on previous candle structure over past 40 periods
- Blue is momentum score
- Green = 15 ema
- Red = 50 sma
- orange = 100 sma
The indicator looks at the previous candles differences between open, close, high, and low to determine momentum. A high close relative to open or low indicates very strong momentum for example.
MyTradePartnerMyTradePartner strategy makes the cryptocurrency markets buy and sell automatically. 5 stoploss, fixed profit take and stoploss level can be customized from strategy settings. There are 4 separate strategies that you can set in the strategy. First of them, there are strategies that decide long and short positions in accordance with your settings at the pivot levels, second of the super trend, third of the potential return levels, third of the up and down breaks. Pyramiding can offer multiple entry points. Strategy back tests can be adjusted to the desired time period and can be used as spot or term if desired. Frostybot is set to work fully compatible with js when the necessary inputs are made from these strategy settings. When installing an alarm for FROSTYBOT JS, the alarm message field is {{strategy.order.alert_message}}.
FEATURES:
-Fully compatibly with Frostybot
-High Percent Profitable strategy up to %60
-İnclude five level Trailing Stoploss, fixed stoploss and takeprofit with position size management
-include four strategy mentably in one strategy use one, use two or both
-All settings are customizable. Create your unique strategy with settings.
Optimized Keltner Channels SL/TP Strategy for BTCThis strategy is optimized for Bitcoin with the Keltner Channel Strategy, which is TradingView's built-in strategy. In the original Keltner Channel Strategy, it was difficult to predict the timing of entry because the Buy and Sell signals floated in the middle of the candle in real time. This strategy is convenient because if the bitcoin price hits the top or bottom of the Keltner Channel and closes the closing price, you can enter Buy or Sell at the next candle start price. In addition, this strategy provides Stop Loss and Take Profit functions to maximize profit.
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Recommended settings are below.
- length: 9
- multiplier: 1
- source: close
- (v) Use EMA
- Bands Style: Average True Range
- ATR Length: 19
- Stop Loss (%): 20
- Take Profit (%) : 20
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- length: 9
- multiplier: 1
- source: close
- (v) Use EMA
- Bands Style: Average True Range
- ATR Length: 18
- Stop Loss (%): 20
- Take Profit (%) : 5
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▶ Usefulness and Originality
- Stop Loss and Take Profit functions are available
- Convenient Buy and Sell entry compared to the original Keltner Channel Strategy
- Optimized for BTCUSD market (maximizing profits)
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이 전략은 TradingView의 Built-in 전략인 Keltner Channel Strategy를 비트코인에 맞게 최적화되었습니다. 기존의 Keltner Channel Strategy는 Buy, Sell 신호가 캔들 중간에 실시간으로 떠서 진입 시점을 예측하기 어려운 불편함이 있었지만 이 전략은 비트코인 가격이 Keltner Channel 상단 혹은 하단을 찍고 종가를 마감하면 그 다음 캔들 시작가에서 Buy 혹은 Sell 진입이 가능하여 편리합니다. 또한, 이 전략은 Keltner Channel을 만나서 캔들을 마감한 가격 (bprice, sprice)을 시각적으로 plot을 제공하여 타점 및 차트를 보기에 편리하며 손절가 및 목표가를 지정한 백테스팅이 가능합니다.
NVT & HV ComboFamous NVT indicator combinated with HV
Use with BTC weekly or daily chart . Blue line represents HV 40 threshold.
Interpretation:
Red above threshold -> regular bearish
Green above threshold-> regular bullish
Red crossing threshold from below to above -> very bearish
Green crossing threshold from below to above -> very bullish
NVT + HV CombinationFamous NVT indicator combinated with HV
Use with BTC weekly or daily chart. Yellow line represents HV 40 threshold.
Interpretation:
White above threshold -> regular bearish
Red above threshold-> regular bullish
White crossing threshold from below to above -> very bearish
White crossing threshold from below to above -> very bullish
Kimchi Premium Indicator with Selectable SymbolsThis indicator is the Korea Premium, also known as “Kimchi Premium” indicator, which shows how expensive and cheap the bitcoin price of the bitcoin exchange in Korea as compared to the bitcoin price traded in dollars or tether. Previously, the Kimchi premium indicator in TradingView does not have the recently added Upbit BTCKRW market, and it is not possible to select markets. In addition to the recently added Upbit BTCKRW market, this indicator is convenient because you can select all markets offered by TradingView. Therefore, not only bitcoin but also altcoin kimchi premium can be plotted.
▶ Usefulness and Originality
- Users can choose from various BTCKRW and BTCUSD markets.
- Users can plot altcoin Kimchi Premium in addition to Bitcoin.
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이 지표는 달러 혹은 테더로 거래되고 있는 비트코인 가격 대비 한국에 있는 비트코인 거래소의 비트코인 원화 가격이 얼마나 비싸고 싼 지를 나타내는 코리아 프리미엄, 일명 "김치 프리미엄" 지표입니다. 이전에 트레이딩뷰에 있는 김치 프리미엄 지표는 최근에 추가된 업비트 BTCKRW 시장이 없을 뿐만 아니라 마켓을 선택할 수가 없습니다. 이 지표는 최근에 추가된 업비트 BTCKRW 마켓과 더불어 트레이딩뷰에서 제공하는 모든 마켓을 선택할 수 있어 편리합니다. 따라서 비트코인 뿐 만 아니라 알트코인의 김치 프리미엄도 plot할 수가 있습니다.
▶ 유용성과 독창성
- 사용자가 다양한 BTCKRW 및 BTCUSD 마켓을 선택할 수 있음
- 사용자가 비트코인 외에 알트코인 김치프리미엄도 plot 할 수 있음
Chanu Delta StrategyThis strategy is built on the Chanu Delta Indicator, which indicates the strength of the Bitcoin market. When the Chanu Delta Indicator hits “Delta_bull” and “Delta_bear” and closes the candle, long and short signals are triggered respectively. The example shown on the screen is a default setting optimized for a 4-hour candlestick strategy based on the Bybit BTCUSDT futures market. For the 15-minute candle, "Delta_bull=32", "Delta_bear=-31", "Source=hlc3" are best. You can use it by adjusting the setting value and modifying it to suit you.
If you use this strategy in conjunction with the Chanu Delta Indicator, it is convenient to anticipate alert signals in advance. Since the Chanu Delta Indicator represents the price difference based on the Bybit BTCUSDT futures market, backtesting is possible from March 2020.
Chanu Delta IndicatorThe Chanu Delta Indicator was created as the price difference between the two markets using the principle that the Bitcoin price fluctuations in the BTCUSD market on the BYBIT exchange are greater in the BTCUSDT market. This indicator shows the strength of the current market's buys and sells, and helps in short-term trading.
Chanu Delta Indicator (Δ) = BTCUSD ($) - BTCUSDT ($) (Unit: Dollar, Source: Close)
● Δ > 100 : Strong Buy
● 20 < Δ < 100 : Buy
● -20 < Δ < 20 : Neutral
● -100 < Δ < -20 : Sell
● Δ < -100 : Strong Sell
RTA MACD IndicatorRTA MACD Indicator comes from RTA Academy, author: RTA-Ruomise, public indicator.
instruction
This indicator is different from the traditional MACD indicator. The indicator combines the double moving average system with the traditional MACD indicator to judge the trend, and has made a new definition of the fast and slow lines and smooth lines, which is limited to the digital currency market.
And a logarithmic version is added, because as the price of BTC in the digital currency market rises, the BTC base is much higher than before. MACD fast and slow lines indicate price changes. In order to better judge the rate of price changes, the fast and slow lines are processed logarithmically, so that the speed of price changes can be observed more intuitively.
And the new deviation identification function, because there are many ways to define market deviation, according to the author's definition of identification deviation.
Function
Select【Logarithmic Edition】【Original Edition】【Volume Edition】
Modify the length of the fast line (default 14)
Modify the length of the slow line (default 28)
Fast and slow line smoothing (default 10)
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RTA MACD Indicator 来自RTA学院，作者：RTA-Ruomise, 公开指标。
RTA MACD Indicator 中文名 RTA MACD指标
说明
该指标不同于传统MACD指标，指标结合双均线系统，配合传统MACD指标对趋势进行判断，对快慢线和平滑线做了新的定义，仅限于数字货币市场使用。
并新增对数版，因为随着数字货币市场BTC价格升高，BTC基数比之前高得多。MACD快慢线表示是价格变化，为了更好判断出价格变动的速率，对快慢线进行对数处理，这样便能更加直观观察价格变化的速度。
且新增背离标识功能，因为市场背离的方式定义非常多，根据作者定义标识背离情况。
功能
选择【对数版】【原版】【成交量版】
修改快线长度（默认14）
修改慢线长度（默认28）
快慢线平滑（默认10）
当前版本
2021/07/30 V2.2
Bitcoin S2F(X)This indicator shows the BTCUSD price based on the S2F Model by PlanB.
We can see not only the S2F(Stock-to-Flow) but also the S2FX(Stock-to-Flow Cross Asset) model announced in 2020.
█ Overview
In this model, bitcoin is treated as comparable to commodities such as gold .
These commodities are known as "store of value" commodities because they retain their value over time due to their relative scarcity.
Bitcoins are scarce.
The number of coins in existence is limited, and the rate of supply is at an all-time low because mining the 2.2 million outstanding coins that have yet to be mined requires a lot of power and computing power.
The Stock-to-flow ratio is used to evaluate the current stock of a commodity (the total amount currently available) versus the flow of new production (the amount mined in a given year).
The higher this ratio, the more scarce the commodity is and the more valuable it is as a store of value.
█ How To View
On the above chart price is overlaid on top of the S2F(X) line. We can see that price has continued to follow the stock-to-flow of Bitcoin over time. By observing the S2F(X) line, we can expect to be able to predict where the price will go.
The coloured circles on the price line of this chart show the number of days until the next Bitcoin halving event. This is an event where the reward for mining new blocks is halved, meaning miners receive 50% fewer bitcoins for verifying transactions. Bitcoin halvings are scheduled to occur every 210,000 blocks until the maximum supply of 21 million bitcoins has been generated by the network. That makes stock-to-flow ratio (scarcity) higher so in theory price should go up.
The stock-to-flow line on this chart incorporates a 463-day average into the model to smooth out the changes caused in the market by the halving events.
I recommend using this indicator on a weekly or monthly basis for BITSTAMP:BTCUSD .
█ Reference Script
Bitcoin Stock to Flow Multiple by yomofoV
GMMAs v2.0 CRYPTO [badshah_e_alam]Hello Traders ,
The GMMAs v2.0 CRYPTO strategy stands for gap modified moving averages designed for cryptos. This is a non Repainting Indicator.
This strategy version is a advanced and modified to one of my previously published indicator named as "gap modified moving average".
I am using my Modified Moving Average indicator for a while. I always wanted to add some more information to moving
averages and made some modification to Moving averages.
The additional Information I have added to the Moving Average helps it to act more quickly based on the price of that
particular asset.
How is strategy gives signals?
when the GMMA'w cross over or cross under the GMMA'y than a trade is taken depending on the filter status.
Info about the settings :
The default setting is for 11m ETHUSD , it works with other cryptos and other timeframe as well . For other timeframes it need to be fine tuned and need little change.
The first category is for the selection of Moving average to be modified and the source to be used for that moving average .
I have added seven moving averages to choose between. SMA works good for me , you can choose and play with other MAs.
following are the option to choose MAs
1.EMA
2.SMA
3.HMA
4.RMA
5.WMA
6.VWMA
7.SWMA
Next option in setting is GMMA'y and GMMA'w :
these two settings define the length and lookback period of the MA you have choosed above.
The length is similar to the length of the moving average chosen to be modified.
The lookback option will look for that number of bars for the modification.
GMMA'w is more sensitive than the GMMA'y. So make sure that the setting input of the GMMA'y is significantly larger than the
GMMA'w.
FILTER:
I have added TradingView inbuilt SUPERTREND as a filter in the strategy, it works very good in filtering out false trades
you can enable/disable it in the settings.
EXIT strategy:
The exit Strategy is based on ATR, Take profit and SL are decided by the ATR in the SL/TP setting option. You can change the RR ratio in the setting.
The backtest settings are as follow:
Initial capital:10k
Initial Commission = 0.000
Initial Pyramiding = 0
Reference :
Thanks to pinecoders and Tradingview community.
my previous gap modified moving average version is :https://in.tradingview.com/script/e3WestBa-Gap-Modified-Moving-Average/
watermark added from:
color gradient framework picked from :https://in.tradingview.com/script/hqH4YIFa-Color-Gradient-Framework-PineCoders/
DISCLAIMER
Any and all liability for risks resulting from investment transactions or other asset dispositions carried out by the user based on information received or a market analysis is expressly excluded by me.
All the information made available here is generally provided to serve as an example only, without obligation and without specific recommendations for action. It does not constitute and cannot replace investment advice. We therefore recommend that you contact your personal financial advisor before carrying out specific transactions and investments.
Do your own research and Risk management before taking any trade.
