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Understanding Initial Jobless Claims as a Market IndicatorIntroduction In the complex and multifaceted world of economic indicators, initial jobless claims hold a special place. As a measure of the number of individuals filing for unemployment benefits for the first time, this statistic offers a real-time glimpse into the health of the labor market, which in turn is a vital component of the overall economic landscape. This article delves into how initial jobless claims function as an indicator and their impact on the financial markets. Understanding Initial Jobless Claims Initial jobless claims refer to claims filed by individuals seeking to receive unemployment benefits after losing their job. These are reported weekly by the U.S. Department of Labor, providing a timely snapshot of labor market conditions. A lower number of claims typically signifies a strong job market, suggesting that fewer people are losing their jobs. Conversely, an increase in claims can indicate a weakening labor market, often a precursor to broader economic downturns. Initial Jobless Claims as an Economic Indicator Health of the Labor Market: The primary significance of initial jobless claims is its reflection of the labor market's health. A steady, low number of claims often correlates with job growth and declining unemployment rates, indicating a robust economy. Leading Indicator for the Economy: As a leading economic indicator, jobless claims can provide early signals about the direction of the economy. Spikes in claims can forewarn of economic contraction, while consistent decreases might indicate economic expansion. Consumer Spending: Since employment directly affects consumer income, initial jobless claims can also indirectly signal changes in consumer spending, a major driver of economic growth. Impact on Financial Markets Market Sentiment: Traders and investors closely watch initial jobless claims to gauge market sentiment. Fluctuations in these numbers can lead to immediate reactions in the stock, bond, and forex markets. Monetary Policy Implications: Central banks, like the Federal Reserve, consider labor market conditions when setting monetary policy. Rising jobless claims can lead to a more dovish policy stance (like lowering interest rates), while decreasing claims might justify tightening policies. Sector-Specific Implications: Certain sectors are more sensitive to changes in jobless claims. For instance, a rise in claims can negatively impact consumer discretionary stocks but might be favorable for defensive sectors like utilities or healthcare. Analyzing the Data Understanding initial jobless claims requires context. Seasonal factors, temporary layoffs, and unique economic events (like a pandemic) can skew data. Analysts often look at the four-week moving average to smooth out weekly volatilities for a clearer trend. Conclusion In conclusion, initial jobless claims serve as a crucial barometer for the economy and financial markets. Investors, policy makers, and economists alike monitor these figures for insights into labor market trends and the broader economic picture. As with any indicator, it's essential to consider jobless claims in conjunction with other data to fully understand the economic landscape.
ECONOMICS:USIJCEducation
by AlgoAlpha
Trading Hacks - Deep AnalysisSorry for sound quality, better quality on yt ☝️Dear traders, no one here has superpowers, and I'm just a human after all. Please take everything with a grain of salt. I'm sharing my view and one of the possible scenarios of price action, but mostly - my direct experience. When I enter I try to predict as little as possible and actually follow what the market is doing, joining the market and not arguing with it or forcing my will. Have good trading, keep a constant flow of self-awareness, and do your best. 🙌
CAPITALCOM:US100Education
by Yelli_trades
2
What is Fundamental Analysis in the Forex Market?Fundamental Analysis in Forex Trading: Factors that Affect Currencies READING TIME: 11 MINUTES Estimating future price movements in the currency market is challenging for many. Globally, the foreign exchange market commands the biggest slice of the financial ‘cake’, claiming an eye-watering US$6.6 trillion in global FX market turnover. Traders will use a variety of tools to assist them in predicting the price movement, most commonly technical analysis and fundamental analysis are methods that traders use to get a gauge of potential movement in the market. Fundamental Analysis Defined Currency pair in forex refers to, two currencies are paired together and quoted through a ‘base’ and ‘quote’ currency. The euro in EUR/USD (a major currency pair) is the base currency and represents one unit; the US dollar is the quote currency and provides the value of a currency: the euro in this case. Fundamental analysis studies economic developments of a country, events influencing the supply and demand of their respective exchange rates, either positively or negatively. Analysts employing fundamental analysis tend to approach markets using a macro-driven theme. Macro analysis, or top-down approach, focuses on broad economic factors. This involves a comprehensive assessment of the economy, evaluating aspects such as economic indicators—interest rates, growth and inflation—as well as central bank policy. Fundamental analysis is composed of three core elements: • Central bank policies • Economic indicators • Geopolitical events These three components working in harmony should translate to clearer market trends and present potential trading opportunities. If one of these areas is in disorder, interpreting a fundamental picture becomes difficult. Fundamental analysis essentially informs traders and investors why the market advances and declines, and provides a trade decision: to buy, sell or trade flat. Central Banks A country’s central bank is charged with the duty of regulating banking institutions and implementing monetary and fiscal policies. Well-known central banks: • United States Federal Reserve (or ‘Fed’) • European Central Bank (ECB) • Bank of England (BoE) • Bank of Japan (BoJ) • Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Everything begins with the central bank and they’re assessment of economic indicators. Traders and investors attempt to anticipate a central bank’s actions by evaluating economic indicators and reacting to the outcomes from the forecast (Actual versus Variance). The market projects a forecast for an economic indicator and subsequently responds to the actual figure released. Ultimately, trading opportunities present themselves when economic data harmonises with a central bank’s sentiment. This—coupled with a well-defined technical approach to fine tune entry techniques—delivers an overall trading picture to operate with. Central Bank Announcements: Major central banks meet every 4-6 weeks. The Fed and BoE meet every six weeks (8 times per year), while the RBA meets 11 times each year. Market trend, or ‘market direction’, is derived from the sentiment within the market, with the central bank acting as a stabilizer by using monetary policy. It is therefore crucial market participants recognise the arrangement of these central bank meetings and understand the terminology used. Central bank governors are the head of their respective central banks. The head of the US Federal Reserve currently is Jerome H. Powell; Andrew Bailey heads the Bank of England and the governor of the Reserve Bank of Australia is Philip Lowe. Central Banks: Why Are They Important? Central banks assess the current market sentiment at each meeting and consider whether any changes need to be made for the near-term monetary policy. The members will review data gathered over the last 6 weeks to assess on what measures need to be taken such as changing the current interest rates or using quantitative easing. A country’s central bank raising rates can be categorised by way of a ‘hawkish bias’; what they’re essentially doing here is talking up the prospect of raising rates. The prospect of cutting rates is also an option on the table for central banks, emphasising a ‘dovish bias’. Either a hawkish or dovish tone can translate into big price moves in financial markets. If economic conditions remain unchanged, the central bank is likely to adopt a neutral stance: no bias. Typically, the central bank meeting is accompanied by a statement and, of course, the interest rate decision. These are critical to understand. The statement is the primary avenue employed to communicate with investors regarding monetary policy (actions undertaken by a central bank): the outcome of the vote on interest rates alongside other policy measures and economic commentary. In addition, here you will find what the central bank’s forward projections are. A week or so later, the ‘minutes’ are available: a more comprehensive analysis of the statement and the talking points discussed in the meeting. See here for the latest US Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) Statement. Out of the interest rate decision and statement, you’re looking for market sentiment—the direction provided by central banks and the core overall trends in the market. The first two weeks of every month is ‘usually’ clear in terms of central bank sentiment, following a fresh statement from the bank. Economic Indicators Economic indicators, as their name implies, are statistics—often on a macroeconomic scale—designed to measure economic activity. Traders and investors use these indicators to analyse the well-being of a country’s economy. Government organisations and private groups release several economic reports on a weekly, monthly and quarterly basis, each measuring activity in a particular segment of the economy. Widely followed indicators are employment/unemployment (payrolls), inflation (consumer price index), growth (or gross domestic product), retail sales, the stock market, industrial production (Producer Price Index) and housing figures. In terms of release schedules, approximately five key economic indicators are released each week. No single indicator provides a clear picture of the economy’s health. At best, each indicator provides a ‘snapshot’ of current conditions. But when piecing the economic indicators together, you should get a clearer picture of how the economy is faring. However, it is crucial to understand that some economic indicators are more important than others at certain points in time. Inflation, as of this article, is important. Significant indicators to watch can be found on the statements from central banks in their forward guidance. Economic Calendar An Economic Calendar is widely used among independent Forex traders and investors. High-impacting economic releases are marked red. Orange represents potentially medium-impacting events and yellow indicates a low-expected impact on price levels, or price action. We also have Previous or ‘Prior’, ‘Forecast’ and ‘Actual’ figures. Forecasts are generally a collection of economists’ views which are then averaged. New Forex traders might want to note what the Q/Q and Y/Y labels refer to. Geopolitical Events Geopolitical tensions can complicate technical analysis and fundamental analysis, distorting the general flow of key fundamental drivers in the market. However, absent of disruptive geopolitical events, trending markets become visible. Geopolitics events are divided into wars and conflicts, terrorist attacks and international tensions. US-China trade is a good example and the ‘Brexit’ situation (United Kingdom exit from the European Union). The announcements surrounding geopolitical issues are usually not scheduled, unlike the central bank announcements and economic data. As you can imagine, this may cause confusion in currency markets and make them difficult to trade. Conclusion To wrap things up, fundamental market analysis in the Forex market looks at three core components: the central bank’s ‘direction’, economic indicators to provide instant bias, and the geopolitical situation. To aid timing, we use technical analysis to fine-tune entries. Like technical analysis, fundamental analysis involves broad study and is beyond the scope of an article to detail each element. For that reason, the objective of this article is to provide a foundation in which to build from.
Education
by FPMarkets
[EDU]Doing this will Massively improve your Trading!Hello fellow traders , my regular and new friends! Welcome and thanks for dropping by my post. DRC stands for Daily Report Card To be all transparent I adopted this from smb capital. Credits and Kudos to them. I used it and did some modifications to suit my purpose. So you can do the same to what I have over here and modify according to your requirements. The purpose of the daily report card is to help you keep track of your whole trading day. If you do have a day job or what not, you can adjust the DRC to be cater for a week or few days. It's up to the individuals. So, this Daily report card of mine basically looks something like this as shown above in the charting space. And let me give some details on each of this sections. Daily Analysis In this section, you should start off with how you have felt in the morning. Do you feel refreshed and pumped up, or grouchy as you have had not enough sleep? Or are you feeling miserable or unhappy over the big lost you had yesterday? You can put it down over here. Then continue on for how you would prepare your trading day by first analysing the market that you are trading on. Goal This will be link with the goals that you have set fore for yourself. Try to put a goal that you wanted to achieve by end of the week, month or quarter. This doesn’t necessarily be the big goal you have. It can be subset of the big goal you have. Some examples can be, to increase my position size from 1% to 2%. Or to be able to hold my trades longer, sticking to pre-defined exit strategies and improving my risk to reward ratio etc. This goals does not necessarily needs to be monetary. Reminders / general truth or principle You can put some reminders and principles for yourself here. You can start off with things like focus on your goals and not the PNL, focus on your trading as required and remove any distractions (e.g. social media). These are just some examples of the many and I will leave that for you to fill them up. What I learned/improved upon today? To this, you can write something that you find interesting or learn about the market. For example, if you are day trading, GBP could have a particular time that you have observed where it reverses it trend. OR it could just be that you come to realize some interesting trading setups using a particular indicator etc. Important trade, if any Over here, you should document down trades you find it important for your to remember or refer back to later on in the week or future. This can be trade that you have did well or a trade that you performed badly. Jot it down so that in the future you can revisit and learn from it again. Change need to be made from today? Here are some things that you felt that you should act on it immediately for example, if you lost yourself and be emotional on losses. Put it over here and evaluate what has happened and act upon it. Or you have entered a trade haphazardly ,in fear of FOMO etc. Overview Just a 1-2 sentence to sum up your day.Nothing in particular but jotting down your thoughts of the day. Finally take a look at the top left hand corner of the table I had for you. There is a X /5 which denotes the score you gave yourself on that day (if you are doing it on a daily basis). Over here, have your own scoring system to give yourself score and hold yourself accountable for it. You can do something like, giving a score of 1 for daily analysis section, 2 for goal and 1 or important trade etc. Just to evaluate how you have done for each of these section is a quick way. It's the year end and if you have yet to evaluate your trading performance and not sure how to go about starting, do check out the link i provided below for the post i have put up recently. Do Like and Boost if you have learnt something and enjoyed the content, thank you! -- Get the right tools and an experienced Guide, you WILL navigate your way out of this "Dangerous Jungle"! -- ********************************************************************* Disclaimers: The analysis shared through this channel are purely for educational and entertainment purposes only. They are by no means professional advice for individual/s to enter trades for investment or trading purposes. *********************************************************************
NYSE:BRK.AEducation
by Shadowing_The_Big_Boys
1
Technical vs. Fundamental Analysis: Finding a BalanceLooking to make more holistic investment decisions, but not sure how? Understanding the difference between technical and fundamental analysis and how to incorporate both is an essential step to accomplishing holistic investing. Today we will explore how finding a balance between these pillars of trading can help you navigate the complex world of investing. The Importance of Finding a Balance Finding the right balance between technical and fundamental analysis can be the key to successful investing. By combining the two approaches, traders gain a comprehensive understanding of a stock's potential, taking into consideration both the short-term market trends and the long-term value. When it comes to investing, it's important to have a complete view of the market. Relying solely on technical analysis may leave you susceptible to missing out on crucial information about a company's financial health and growth prospects. Similarly, relying purely on fundamental analysis may cause you to overlook short-term market trends that could impact the stock's price in the near future, potentially leading to poor entries and exits. A balanced approach allows you to leverage the strengths of both technical and fundamental analysis, providing you with a more complete picture of the investment opportunity at hand. So, whether you're a short-term trader or a long-term investor, finding the sweet spot between technical and fundamental analysis can help maximize your chances of making a profitable investment. Understanding Technical Analysis Technical analysis focuses on analyzing historical price and volume data to predict future price movements. Traders using this approach often rely on chart patterns, indicators, and trendlines to identify buy and sell signals. Chart patterns, such as triangles, head and shoulders, and double tops/bottoms, provide insights into potential price reversals or continuations. These patterns are formed as a result of the collective actions of market participants and can signal impending price movements. However, when using price patterns it is critical to understand the statistical odds of success for completion of the pattern. Price patterns can be subjective to the trader's skill and overall directional bias, so traders should combine price patterns with other forms of technical analysis. Indicators, such as moving averages, Relative Strength Index (RSI), and Bollinger Bands, help traders identify overbought or oversold conditions, measure the strength of a trend, and spot potential entry or exit points. When indicators are combined to form a robust and complementary system traders gain a wealth of information about the near-term health of an underlying asset. It is critical to note that no indicator system is perfect and will not guarantee you a 100% success rate. However, when paired with proper risk mitigation, psychology, and supporting forms of technical analysis, using indicators can lead to long-term success. Trendlines are used to analyze the direction and strength of a stock's price movement. Drawing trend lines connecting the highs or lows of a stock's price can help identify support and resistance levels, price channels, and potential trend reversal areas. Support and resistance zones are price levels on a chart that indicates where trends are likely to pause or reverse. Support is a zone where a downtrend pauses due to demand, while resistance is a zone where an uptrend pauses due to supply. These zones are based on market sentiment and human psychology, shaped by emotions such as fear, greed, and herd instinct. Traders tend to congregate near these zones, strengthening them. Support levels indicate a surplus of buyers, while resistance levels indicate a surplus of sellers. It's important to note that these levels are not exact numbers but rather "zones" that can be tested by the market. Understanding how these tools work and how to interpret their signals is crucial for technical analysis. It allows traders to make intuitive decisions based on historical price patterns and market dynamics. However, it's important to note that technical analysis has its limitations. Limitations of Technical Analysis While technical analysis can provide valuable insights into a stock's potential price movements, it's important to recognize its limitations. Technical analysis is primarily focused on historical data and patterns, which may not always accurately predict future price movements. Market sentiment, news events, and other external factors can significantly impact a stock's price, often rendering technical analysis less effective. If you don't believe me, just look at the price charts for the last four years. Try to pinpoint major world or domestic events such as the start of the pandemic or the Fed's hawkish shift. Additionally, technical analysis does not take into account the intrinsic value of a company, which is a key consideration in fundamental analysis. Therefore, relying solely on technical analysis to make investment decisions may leave you vulnerable to market uncertainties and potential pitfalls. This is where fundamental analysis comes into play. Understanding Fundamental Analysis Fundamental analysis involves examining a company's financials, industry trends, and market conditions to determine its intrinsic value. Investors who lean towards fundamental analysis believe that a company's true worth is reflected in its financial strength and growth potential. Key factors considered in fundamental analysis include a company's revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, debt levels, competitive positioning, and management team. By analyzing these factors, investors can assess whether a company is undervalued or overvalued, and make investment decisions accordingly. Most, if not all of this information is readily available on the internet, but it can take some digging to find all the information one would need. There is also a wide range of financial-related indicators readily available on TradingView. Fundamental analysis also takes into account macroeconomic factors, such as interest rates, inflation, and government policies, which can impact the overall market and the performance of individual stocks. How to Conduct Fundamental Analysis Conducting fundamental analysis involves a thorough examination of a company's financial statements, such as its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement. These statements provide insights into a company's revenue, expenses, assets, liabilities, and cash flows. Analyzing financial ratios, such as the price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, return on equity (ROE), and debt-to-equity ratio, helps investors assess a company's financial health and profitability. Much of this information is available on TradingView under the financials tab. TradingView has done an excellent job of making a majority of the aforementioned financial data available, right at your fingertips. Industry analysis is another important aspect of fundamental analysis. Understanding the industry dynamics, competitive landscape, and market trends can provide insights into a company's growth potential and its ability to outperform its peers. There is a plethora of this information online, and diligence in your research will make a world of difference. By combining financial analysis with industry analysis, investors can gain a deeper understanding of a company's overall prospects and make more informed investment decisions. Finding a Balance Between Technical and Fundamental Analysis Finding the right balance between technical and fundamental analysis requires a thoughtful approach. Here are some strategies to help you integrate the two approaches: Start with fundamental analysis: Begin by analyzing a company's financials and industry trends to assess its long-term growth potential. This will provide you with a solid foundation for your investment decisions. Use technical analysis for timing: Once you've identified a promising investment opportunity based on fundamental analysis, use technical analysis to refine your entry and exit points. Technical indicators and chart patterns can help you identify optimal times to buy or sell a stock. Consider the bigger picture: While technical analysis focuses on short-term market trends, it's important to consider the long-term value of a company. Evaluate the fundamental factors that can impact a company's growth potential and use technical analysis as a tool to validate your investment thesis. Keep an eye on market sentiment: Market sentiment can influence stock prices in the short term. By staying informed about news events, economic indicators, and market trends, you can better understand the context in which technical and fundamental analysis are operating. By finding a balance between technical and fundamental analysis, you can better manage your investment decisions that take into account both short-term market dynamics and long-term value. This balanced approach can help you navigate the complex world of investing and maximize your chances of success. In conclusion, understanding the difference between technical and fundamental analysis is crucial for making theoretically sound investment decisions. By finding a balance between the two approaches, you can gain a comprehensive understanding of a stock's potential, considering both the short-term market trends and the long-term value. So, whether you're a short-term trader or a long-term investor, incorporating both technical and fundamental analysis can help provide a better view and maximize your chances of making profitable investment decisions. Happy Trading!
NASDAQ:TSLAEducation
by LeafAlgo
16
[EDU] Why doesn't Market goes in a straight line? 3 Reasons WhyHello fellow traders , my regular and new friends! Welcome and thanks for dropping by my post. 1. Market Psychology and Greed/Fear Dynamics Trader psychology plays a significant role in market movements. As prices rise, greed may drive buying, causing the market to become overbought (likewise when market is down). Eventually, fear sets in as traders worry about a potential reversal. This fear can lead to profit-taking and trigger a pullback. This can happen at previous supply demand zone,pivot points, whole or quarter numbers etc) 2. Profit-taking - Traders who entered the market early in the trend may decide to take profits as the price moves in their favor. This selling activity can lead to a temporary pullback as these traders exit their positions. 3. Fundamental Factors - Economic events, geopolitical developments, or changes in market sentiment can trigger profit-taking or reevaluation of positions. Unexpected news or data releases may prompt traders to adjust their positions, resulting in a temporary pullback. (E.g. ECB or FED Speeches, unexpected rate changes not aligned with expectations, outbreak of diseases/wars) Do Like and Boost if you have learnt something and enjoyed the content, thank you! -- Get the right tools and an experienced Guide, you WILL navigate your way out of this "Dangerous Jungle"! --
Education
by Shadowing_The_Big_Boys
HOW-TO apply an indicator that is only available upon request?Recently, I've realized that my typical day involves constant encounters with indicators. For example, when the alarm clock rings, it's an indicator that it's morning and time to get up. I am checking the phone and once again paying attention to the indicators: battery charge and network signal level. I figure out in just one second that such a complex element of the phone as the battery is 100% charged and the signal from the cell towers is good enough. Then I’m going out on a busy street, and it's only because of the traffic light indicator that I can safely cross the road to reach the parking lot. Looking at the on-board computer of my car, with its many indicators, I know that all the components of this complicated mechanism are working properly, and I can start driving. Now, imagine what would happen if none of this existed. I would have to act blindly, relying on luck: hoping that I would wake up on time, that the phone would work today, that car drivers would let me cross the road, and that my own car would not suddenly stop because it ran out of gas. We can say that indicators help to explain complex processes or phenomena in simple and understandable language. I think they will always be in demand in today's complex world, where we deal with a huge flow of information that cannot be perceived without simplifications. If we talk about the financial market, it's all about constant data, data, data. Add in the element of randomness and everything becomes totally messed up. To create indicators that simplify the analysis of financial information, the TradingView platform uses its own programming language — Pine Script . With this language, you can describe not only unique indicators, but also strategies — meaning algorithms for opening and closing positions. All these tools are grouped together under the term "script" . Just like a trade or educational idea, a script can also be published. After this, it will be available to other users. The published script can be: 1. Visible in the list of community scripts with unrestricted access. Simply find the script by its name and add it to the chart. 2. Visible in the list of community scripts, but access is by invitation only. You'll need to find the script by its name and request access from its author. 3. Not visible in the list of community scripts, but accessible via a link. To add such a script to a chart, you need to have the link. 4. Not visible in the list of community scripts; access is by invitation only. You'll need both a link to the script and permission for access obtained from its author. If you have added to your favorites a script that requires permission from the author, you'll only be able to start using the indicators after the author includes you in the script's user list. Without this, you will get an error message every time you add an indicator to the chart. In this case, contact the author to learn how to gain access. Instructions on how to contact the author are located after the script's description and highlighted within a frame. There you will also find the 'Add to favorite indicators' button. The access can be valid until a certain date or indefinitely. If the author has granted access, you will be able to add the script to the chart.
NASDAQ:TSLAEducation
by Be_Capy
[EDU] Trading the Chart pattern SeriesTrading the Chart pattern Basics and Advanced Concepts Anatomy of Head and Shoulders Head and shoulder could possibly be one of the most common chart pattern we see on the chart. So what makes up this pattern? They are: 1. Left Shoulder: > The left shoulder forms as the price initially rises and then experiences a pullback. This creates the left peak of the pattern. > The pullback is typically less severe than the subsequent pullback after the head is formed. 2. Head: > The head is formed when the price makes a higher peak than the left shoulder, indicating a strong upward movement. > The head is the highest point in the pattern and is often characterized by increased trading volume. 3. Right Shoulder: > Following the formation of the head, there is another pullback in price, creating the right shoulder. > Similar to the left shoulder, the right shoulder is usually lower than the head and is accompanied by a decrease in trading volume. 4. Neckline: > The neckline is a horizontal line that connects the lows of the left shoulder, head, and right shoulder. > The neckline serves as a support level, and a significant break below this line is considered a confirmation of the pattern. This is Shown in Figure 1 Advanced Concept Of course, the world is not Perfect, and so is the financial market. "textbook" head and shoulder patterns would be a small fraction of the head and shoulders formed in the market. Therefore, we should also be aware of "catching" these other variants! Complex head and shoulder Figure 2 > could be one that has more than 1 left shoulder. > Right shoulder made a new Lower Low, tell tale sign this uptrend is weakening Extended head and shoulder Figure 3 > the left and right shoulder showed extended stretch in terms of duration but still it is a head and shoulder in nature > at the same time, this pattern also brings out to yet another variation, head and shoulder no necessarily is a reversal pattern. In this case it is a trend continuation pattern!(if you didnt realize that) :) Head and shoulders pattern as continuation Pattern Figure 4 > over here we have a trend continuation pattern of head and shoulder > 2nd, it has a slanted neckline > other than that it is pretty much a classic head and shoulder. Hope you all learn something from this article! Cheers. Follow and like my post if you find it useful! Thank you!
Education
by Shadowing_The_Big_Boys
1
Overview of good ideas I had :)☝️Dear traders, no one here has superpowers, and I'm as well just a human. Please take everything with a degree of doubt and critique. I'm just sharing my view and one of the possible scenarios of price action. When I enter I try to predict as little as possible and actually follow what the market is doing, joining the market and not arguing with it or forcing my will. Have good trading, keep a constant flow of self-awareness, and do your best. 🙌
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by Yelli_trades
1
The Timeless Abyss of Trading: The Greatest Trap Of All-timeI am here with a unique topic. It is about a psychological trading trap called the cycle of doom. What got me interested in this psychological topic? Well, there are very few articles about it. You can count them on one hand, and more than 90% of traders are losing money. Most traders find their method of trading. What stops them from becoming profitable traders? Tradingview platform is one of the biggest charting platforms that provide an educational section and editorial peak for traders to sharpen their knowledge related to technical analysis, trading methodology, trading psychology, etc. As a trader, we are making market memories by improving screen time, practicing technical analysis, analyzing option data(if applicable), and a lot more. Why do we still fall short in applying in real time? What stops us from becoming a profitable trader? Something looks missing out! I would like to draw your attention to the psychological trap cycle of doom, a topic discussed by only a few traders. Let me be clear, I do believe that this topic is universally applicable! The cycle of doom is made up of three phases: The search The Action The Blame "Sun Tzu said Know the enemy and know yourself in a hundred battles you will never be in peril." In order to exit from the loop of the cycle, we have to understand the parts of the cycle. 1) The Search: Probably, it's the first phase of the cycle. Just recall your initial stages of trading. You were finding a trading strategy to make money out of the money. You may have asked to friend, watched a YouTube video, read an article on Tradingview, bought a book or course or indicators, or purchased the strategy. At that time, you were entered into the cycle. Additionally, we should never trade for enjoyment but treat it as a business. The statement does not apply to the initial stages. Trader explores new methods, theories, and systems. Postulate, Trader A uses X theory to do their day trading for a living, and you were impressed and took it to put your money on it, or you found the method by yourself. The trader will switch his next position after finding a system that is convenient for his trading and trusts that he can take minimal risks to achieve expected returns. 2) The Action: The Action phase is the second phase of the cycle. Now, you have a trading system that will make your money grow to expected returns. This phase can be super exciting for traders as they believe he has an edge and is most likely a key to opening a present of unrealistic returns. Issues arise when a trader employs their strategy without supporting evidence, like backtesting results. Your heart may be pounding, and your fingers may be trembling like a child, but it doesn't mean you should directly trade the strategy without checking the results, failure, and performance of the system. Just five percent of traders actually test a trading system before putting it into action. You might discover that the trading system performs well for a prolonged period. Suddenly, a drawdown appeared! At a certain point, everything may seem bleak. While profits might flow in initially, eventually, the losing trades start to accumulate. It's a red signal for traders that their trading system is now on oxygen. I don't think traders can trust the system after a big streak of losing traders. You have entered into the blame phase. 3) The Blame: The Blame is the final stage of the cycle. As we discussed, the trader has lost their trust in his trading system, which was a holy grail for him at the initial stage. The Red portfolio hurts more than a break-up. The trader is not happy with the system as it has wiped out the gain + trading capital, and the trading system is the only cause that affected the profit and wants to remove the system and search for a new strategy. 4) Loop of the cycle: As can be seen, the trader again finds a new strategy and makes an effort and action on it, then blames the system. The cycle repeats and traps the trader in this way. How to get out of the cycle? 1. Modification is the only way to survival & Trust the system: Traders should modify their strategy according to market conditions, instruments, and trading style. Maybe not everything works for everyone. Therefore, traders should do this according to him. For example, I use Elliott wave theory as the first base and price action as a confirmation tool along with different indicators according to the situation. I do modify Elliott and price action as per my observation of price moves and wavelength. 2. Backtesting is the holy grail: Choosing trading theory also depends on traders' mindset, risk-aptitude, and expected return. Scalpers will never check the PE, P/S, or EV/EBITDA ratio of the firm just because of their duration and risk-reward calculation. After choosing an appropriate trading strategy, traders should backtest their trading strategy before doing real-market transaction. We have the advantage of backtesting tools, algo, and virtual account, which was not available for pit traders. 3. Risk management: Already many ideas are available on this topic. The trading system should be giving proper returns as per the taken risk unless it is nothing more than Drilling a well in the desert. I need more time to write a full idea on the escape of the cycle of doom. Thank you! @Money_Dictators
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by Money_Dictators
14
Mastering Impulses and CorrectionsHello, Successful trading in the stock market requires a comprehensive understanding of market trends and the ability to identify price patterns. One such pattern is the interplay between impulses and corrections. By recognizing these alternating phases, traders can gain valuable insights into potential market movements and make more informed trading choices. In this article, we will explore how to identify impulses and corrections in stocks and leverage this knowledge to guide our trading decisions. Understanding Impulses and Corrections Impulses and corrections are two primary components of price movements in the stock market. They represent the cyclical nature of stock prices, characterized by alternating phases of strong trending moves (impulses) and temporary price retracements (corrections). These patterns are largely influenced by the collective behavior of market participants, as supply and demand dynamics drive price action. Impulses: The Power of Momentum Impulses are the strong, directional moves that propel stock prices in a particular trend. They typically occur in the direction of the prevailing market sentiment and are characterized by higher volume and strong momentum. Impulses can result from a variety of factors, including positive news, strong earnings reports, or broader market trends. To identify impulses, traders should look for the following characteristics: Strong Price Movement: Impulses are marked by significant and sustained price advances or declines. These moves often occur in a relatively short period, indicating a surge of buying or selling pressure. Volume Expansion : Increasing trading volume during an impulse signifies market participation and validates the strength of the move. Higher volume confirms the presence of eager buyers or sellers, further reinforcing the direction of the trend. Break of Key Resistance or Support Levels : Impulses often break through important technical levels, such as support or resistance, further establishing the strength of the trend. These breakouts serve as confirmation points for traders. Corrections: The Breath Before Resuming the Trend Corrections, also known as retracements or pullbacks, are temporary price reversals that occur within an ongoing trend. They serve as a natural pause or breathing space for the market before resuming the dominant price direction. Corrections are characterized by price pullbacks against the prevailing trend, often retracing a certain percentage of the previous impulse. To identify corrections, traders should consider the following factors: Counter-Trend Price Movement : Corrections exhibit price movement in the opposite direction of the prevailing trend. These retracements can be shallow, typically ranging from 25% to 50% of the previous impulse's range. Decreased Volume : Corrections usually occur on lower trading volume compared to impulses. This decline in volume suggests a temporary reduction in market participation and reinforces the notion of a temporary price reversal. Support and Resistance Levels : Corrections often find support or encounter resistance at previously established price levels. These levels can act as potential reversal points, creating opportunities for traders to enter or add to positions. Using Impulses and Corrections in Trading : Recognizing impulses and corrections can provide valuable guidance for trading decisions. Here are some ways to leverage this knowledge: Trend Identification: By observing a sequence of impulses and corrections, traders can identify the prevailing trend. Understanding the broader market direction can help align trades with the momentum and improve the odds of success. Entry and Exit Points: Impulses provide opportunities for traders to enter positions in the direction of the trend. Once an impulse is identified, traders can look for suitable entry points during corrections, aiming to enter at favorable prices before the next impulse begins. Risk Management: Understanding the interplay between impulses and corrections can help traders set appropriate stop-loss levels. Placing stops below significant support levels during corrections can protect against adverse price movements while still allowing the trade to capture potential gains. Conclusion: Recognizing and understanding the patterns of impulses and corrections in stock prices is a valuable skill for traders. By identifying these phases, traders can gain insights into market trends, determine entry and exit points, manage risk, and develop effective trading strategies. Incorporating this knowledge into trading decisions can significantly enhance the chances of success in the dynamic world of the stock market. The above chart clearly shows you the Impulses and corrections on the Sunpharma chart. Good luck and all the best in your trading!
NSE:SUNPHARMAEducation
by thesharkke
Financial Planning: An IdeaHello Trader Today we have to talk about financial knowledge, how important is it to have financial knowledge and whether can it make us financially free. Let's begin, Everyone needs money to survive. Financial planning is the process of managing your money wisely to achieve your financial goals. It involves planning your future finances keeping in mind your current situation. In simple terms, financial planning helps you answer questions like: How can I save more money? When can I comfortably retire? How can I pay my debts? All these questions are very important if you want to be financially free * Financial planning helps you identify your long-term and short-term goals, whether it's buying a house, children's education, or retirement so that you don't have to worry about anything. * An important aspect of financial planning is insurance. It helps protect you and your loved ones from unexpected events like accidents, illnesses, or the loss of a loved one. By getting the right insurance coverage, you can minimize the financial disaster of such situations. * Investments are also a part of financial planning. It involves putting your money into different types of assets, such as stocks, bonds, or real estate, to grow your wealth over time. Financial planning also involves knowing where to allocate your investments accurately. Finally, financial planning includes preparing for retirement. It involves estimating how much money you will need in retirement and determining how much you should save each month to reach that goal. Retirement planning ensures that you can enjoy a comfortable and financially secure life after you stop working. Types of financial planning 1) Tax Planning Tax planning is the process of arranging your finances in a smart way to pay the least amount of taxes while staying within the rules set by the government. It involves making decisions about when to receive income, how to spend money, and which deductions or credits to take advantage of. The goal is to legally reduce the amount of taxes you have to pay, so you can keep more of your hard-earned money. Types of Tax planning Tax planning is a way to reduce the amount of tax you have to pay. But it's not just about that - it also tells you how to make smart decisions with your money to reach your financial goals. By investing in the right things at the right time, you can increase not only the tax but also your wealth. So tax planning is not just about minimizing taxes, it's about making your money work for you. Following are the various methods of tax planning (A) Short-term tax planning In short-term tax planning, individuals or businesses focus on finding legal ways to reduce their tax liability as the end of the fiscal year approaches. It does not require long-term commitments but can still result in significant tax savings. (B) Long-term tax planning With long-term tax planning, individuals or businesses create a tax plan at the beginning of the fiscal year and follow it throughout the year. While immediate tax benefits may not be available, this approach can be beneficial in the long run. (C) Permissive tax planning Permissive tax planning involves utilizing various provisions within the tax laws of a country, such as deductions, exemptions, contributions, and incentives. For example, in India, there are provisions like Section 80C of the Income Tax Act, 1961, which offer deductions on specific tax-saving investments. (D) Purposive tax planning Purposive tax planning involves using tax-saving instruments with a specific purpose in mind. This strategy ensures that you maximize the benefits of your investments. It includes carefully selecting suitable investments, having a plan for replacing assets if necessary, and diversifying business and income assets based on your residency status. 2) insurance planning If you don't plan properly for insurance, unexpected events in life can leave you financially vulnerable. By insurance planning, you can identify the risks that may affect your life and choose the right insurance policy to protect against those risks. So that you can protect yourself and your family financially in the future. Let's talk about the benefits of insurance planning (A) Protection from Unexpected Events Having a good insurance policy helps you reduce the financial risks associated with things like illness, accidents, or even death. It ensures that you and your family are prepared to face these unexpected challenges without having to give up your quality of life. (B) Different Types of Insurance Coverage * There are different types of insurance policies that cover various risks. For example, health insurance plans cover medical emergencies, hospital expenses, medications, and doctor visits. * Life insurance or personal accident insurance provides coverage in case of premature death. * Motor insurance protects your vehicles against theft, accidents, and liabilities to third parties. * Travel insurance policies offer coverage for unexpected events during your trips. By choosing the right combination of policies, you can create a complete financial protection plan for yourself and your family. (C) Financial Protection Insurance planning provides financial security by compensating for losses incurred during covered emergencies. It helps you recover financially from unexpected situations and protects your savings. (D) Tax Benefits Certain insurance plans also provide tax savings. For example, the premiums you pay for health insurance are eligible for tax deductions under the Income Tax Act. This means you can lower your taxable income by purchasing specific insurance policies. (E) Peace of Mind Having a well-planned insurance portfolio gives you peace of mind. You don't have to worry about losing your savings due to unforeseen events. You can also plan for the financial well-being of your family even after your death by using term and life insurance plans. Insurance planning can be easier if these points are kept in mind 3) Investment planning * Investment planning is a process that helps you make smart decisions about your money. * It involves thinking about your goals and figuring out the best ways to use your money to achieve those goals. * There are various options for investment, such as putting your money in stocks, bonds, or property and earning good profits. * This planning helps you build a strong financial foundation and make adjustments as needed. Here I will tell about 7 benefits of investment planning (A) Building Wealth Investment plans with life insurance are a reliable way to grow your wealth over time. As an investor, you can choose the plan that best suits your needs based on risk, returns, and the amount you can invest. These plans can provide financial assistance for future expenses like your child's education, their wedding, your retirement, or a pension. (B) Financial Security Life insurance policies offer both life coverage and investment options. They take care of your family financially by providing both survival benefits and death benefits. When the policy matures, you receive returns with profits. This ensures long-term financial security for your family. In the unfortunate event of your demise before the maturity period, the insurance company pays the sum assured to your nominee, providing financial protection to your family. (C) Coverage for Death Risk Not all investment options offer coverage for the risk of death, but investment plans with life insurance do. These plans include death risk coverage, ensuring that your family's financial needs are taken care of even in your absence. The sum assured is paid to the nominee in the event of your death. (D)Retirement Savings You can purchase these investment plans at any stage of life, allowing you to create a retirement corpus. By investing in these plans, you can become financially independent even after retirement. (E) Flexibility These investment plans offer flexibility in terms of the amount you can invest and the duration. You can choose what suits your needs and financial planning. (E) Tax Savings Investment plans not only provide risk cover and help accumulate wealth, but they also offer tax savings. The premiums and payouts are exempted from tax under sections 80C and 10(10D) of the Indian Tax Act. These plans offer a perfect combination of savings, wealth creation, financial protection, and tax benefits. (F) Loan Facility Life insurance investment plans can also act as loan facilitators, depending on the coverage you have, the premiums paid, and your eligibility for the loan amount. 4) Retirement planning * Retirement planning is the process of preparing for life after you stop working. * It involves thinking about how much money you will need to live comfortably when you are not earning a regular income. * Retirement planning tells you how to save and invest your money wisely to have enough funds to support yourself during your retirement years. * Retirement planning is essential so that you can enjoy a comfortable and worry-free life when you decide to stop working. Understanding retirement planning * Retirement planning is the act of preparing for life after employment, which includes not only financial aspects but all areas of one's life. * Beyond financial considerations, retirement planning includes lifestyle choices, such as how to spend time, where to live, and when to stop working altogether. * Retirement planning focuses on different stages of life. * In the early stages of a career, the emphasis is on setting aside sufficient funds for retirement. * As one approaches mid-career, it may also include establishing specific income or wealth goals and taking the necessary steps to achieve them. * Thus, retirement planning is necessary for you to lead a comfortable life at the time of retirement. 5) Estate planning * Estate planning is when you make important decisions about what happens to your money, assets, and liabilities after you pass away or if you become unable to make decisions for yourself. * This includes things like choosing who will receive your assets, making sure debts and taxes are taken care of, and even deciding who will take care of your children or pets. * People usually work with an attorney who knows estate law to help them plan. * Some common steps in estate planning include making an inventory of what you own and owe and checking your bank account. Process of Estate Planning * Estate planning is the process of deciding what will happen to a person's assets after they pass away and how their financial affairs will be managed if they become unable to do so themselves. It's important to know that estate planning is not only for wealthy individuals; anyone can and should consider it. * An estate includes things like houses, cars, investments, artwork, life insurance, pensions, and debts. People have different reasons for estate planning, such as preserving family wealth, providing for their spouse and children, funding education for future generations, or leaving a charitable legacy. * The first step in estate planning is usually creating a will. Other important tasks include * Setting up trust accounts to reduce estate taxes and benefit specific beneficiaries. * Designating a guardian for dependents who are still alive. * Choosing an executor to oversee the will's instructions. * Updating beneficiaries on life insurance policies, IRAs, and 401(k) accounts. * Making funeral arrangements in advance. * Making annual gifts to charities or nonprofits to lower the taxable estate. * Creating a durable power of attorney to handle other assets and investments. By taking these steps, individuals can ensure that their wishes are followed, their loved ones are provided for, and their assets are distributed as intended. 6) Cash flow planning * Cash flow planning is all about managing and predicting how money comes into and goes out of someone's or a business's finances. It means keeping track of how much money is earned (income) and how much is spent (expenses) during a specific time, usually every month or year. * The main goal of cash flow planning is to make sure there's enough money to cover important expenses, meet financial commitments, and achieve money-related objectives. It helps individuals and businesses make smart choices when it comes to spending, saving, and investing their money. * Basically, cash flow planning involves creating a budget or financial plan that outlines the expected sources of income and estimates of expenses. By analyzing and keeping an eye on cash flow, it becomes possible to spot potential shortages or surpluses and adjust accordingly. This way, people can manage their money better and make informed decisions on how to use their resources effectively. * When there's a clear understanding of cash flow, individuals and businesses can take proactive steps to ensure they have enough money to cover their needs, save for the future, and handle any unexpected financial challenges that might come up. * Thus by doing financial planning in this way and by doing this 6-step planning you can become financially free. Note: The next article is on the life cycle and wealth cycle in which I will tell you what percentage should be invested according to age and income. I apologize for the grammatical errors. Thank You! Money_Dictators By @Money_Dictators on @TradingView Platform
NASDAQ:NVDAEducation
by Money_Dictators
3
Learn the 3 TYPES of MARKET ANALYSIS In the today's post, we will discuss 3 types of analysis of a financial market. 🛠1 - Technical Analysis Technical analysis focuses on price action, key levels, technical indicators and technical tools for the assessment of a market sentiment. Pure technician thoroughly believes that the price chart reflects all the news, all the actions of big and small players. With a proper application of technical strategies, technical analysts make predictions and identify trading opportunities. In the example above, the trader applies price action patterns, candlestick analysis, key levels and 2 technical indicators to make a prediction that the market will drop to a key horizontal support from a solid horizontal resistance. 📰2 - Fundamental Analysis Fundamental analysts assess the key factors and related data that drive the value of an asset. These factors are diverse: it can be geopolitical events, macro and micro economic news, financial statements, etc. Fundamental traders usually make trading decision and forecasts, relying on fundamental data alone and completely neglecting a chart analysis. Price action on Gold on a daily time frame could be easily predicted, applying a fundamental analysis. A bearish trend was driven by FED Interest Rates tightening program, while a strong bullish rally initiated after escalation of Israeli-Palestinian conflict. 📊🔬 3 - Combination of Technical and Fundamental Analysis Such traders combine the principles of both Technical and Fundamental approaches. When they are looking for trading opportunities, they analyze the price chart and make predictions accordingly. Then, they analyze the current related fundamentals and compare the technical and fundamental biases. If the outlooks match, one opens a trading position. In the example above, Gold reached a solid horizontal daily support. Testing the underlined structure, the price formed a falling wedge pattern and a double bottom, breaking both a horizontal neckline and a resistance of the wedge. These were 2 significant bullish technical confirmation. At the same time, the escalation of Israeli-Palestinian conflict left a very bullish fundamental confirmation. It is an endless debate which method is better. Each has its own pros and cons. I strongly believe that one can make money mastering any of those. Just choose the method that you prefer, study it, practice and one day you will make it. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by VasilyTrader
4
Roaring 2020s trading-investing economyAs you can see on the presented chart we made current economy started in 1998 with the crash of the LTCM, MFG, Bankruptcy of Russian Federation and BoE. With occasional dumps in liquidity we're heading into new golden era of global finance. Let us introduce you to what we think is the most impotant financal instruments in the world right now. Said instruments is the most liquid financial markets in the world leaving aside rest of the economy we will speak about later. So it would be Standart and Poors which is the most profitable companies in the United States of America, numbers about this field are presented on the top of the chart. Second to this further to the bottom of the presented chart are numbers about gold market, New York Stock Exchange volatility, United States of America 20 year yield, GDP, Labour Inflation, Oil markets, Russian Federation GDP, Russian Federation Moscow Exchange liquidity which is equivalent to quintillion rubles, said exchange volatility level called RVI, Inflation of Labour of the same country. After this goes Passives/Actives of the most expensive venture in the dynamically changing world Federal Reserve. And last but not the least goes 20 year yield of China Republic and Russian Federation. Try to analyse presented chart with your idea of public markets and how they react on the events you see as important or playing a big role in life. Thank you for your attention please read and comment see you in later events. And remember correlation do not present cause effect. We wish you luck in roaring 2020s keep yourself in the peace mood of mind.
CME_MINI:ES1!Education
by UnknownUnicorn462803
Peter Lynch's Timeless Investing Principles Introduction Peter Lynch, one of the most celebrated investors of all time, is renowned for his remarkable track record managing the Fidelity Magellan Fund from 1977 to 1990. Under his stewardship, the fund generated average annual returns of approximately 29%, outperforming the S&P 500 by a substantial margin. Lynch's success was not just a stroke of luck; it was the result of a well-thought-out investment philosophy and principles that remain relevant to this day. In this five-page article, we will delve into the core principles that underpin Peter Lynch's approach to investing and explore how these principles can be applied by individual investors seeking to achieve their financial goals. I. Invest in What You Know One of the foundational principles of Peter Lynch's investment philosophy is to "invest in what you know." This principle emphasizes the importance of understanding the companies and industries you invest in. Lynch believed that individual investors have a natural advantage over professional fund managers because they can leverage their everyday experiences and knowledge to identify promising investment opportunities. Lynch often cited examples from his personal life to illustrate this principle. For instance, he famously discovered the potential of the Hanes Corporation when he noticed his wife buying their products. He reasoned that if his family liked the company's products, there was a good chance that others did too. This simple observation led to a highly profitable investment. II. Long-Term Perspective Lynch advocates taking a long-term perspective when it comes to investing. He discouraged frequent trading and market-timing, believing that such strategies often led to poor performance and excessive transaction costs. Lynch's approach focused on identifying fundamentally strong companies and holding them for the long haul. He often remarked, "In the short run, the market is a voting machine, but in the long run, it is a weighing machine." This means that in the short term, stock prices can be influenced by emotions and market sentiment, but over the long term, the fundamentals of a company will ultimately determine its stock price. III. The P/E Ratio The Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio is a fundamental metric Lynch frequently employed in his investment analysis. He believed that the P/E ratio could provide valuable insights into a company's valuation. A low P/E ratio might indicate an undervalued stock, while a high P/E ratio could suggest an overvalued one. However, Lynch cautioned against relying solely on the P/E ratio. He emphasized the importance of considering a company's growth prospects, industry dynamics, and competitive position when evaluating its stock. A low P/E ratio might be justified if a company has strong growth potential. IV. Diversification and Concentration Peter Lynch had a nuanced approach to diversification. While he recognized the benefits of spreading risk across different investments, he also believed in concentration when you have high conviction in a particular investment opportunity. This approach is sometimes referred to as "diworsification" – spreading investments too thin, which can dilute returns. Lynch advocated holding a concentrated portfolio of your best ideas while still maintaining a level of diversification to mitigate risk. He noted that over-diversification could limit potential gains and lead to mediocre performance. V. Be Patient and Contrarian Lynch's investment philosophy often aligned with being patient and contrarian. He suggested that investors should not be swayed by short-term market fluctuations or popular trends. Instead, they should have the patience to wait for the market to recognize the value of their investments. Moreover, Lynch saw value in going against the crowd when necessary. He believed that some of the best investment opportunities could be found in out-of-favor industries or companies that others were avoiding. Contrarian thinking often led him to uncover hidden gems. VI. Stay Informed and Do Your Homework Despite his emphasis on simplicity and "investing in what you know," Lynch was a firm advocate of doing thorough research and staying informed. He advised investors to study financial statements, read annual reports, and understand the ins and outs of the companies they invested in. Furthermore, Lynch recommended paying attention to economic indicators and industry trends. Being well-informed allowed him to make informed investment decisions and identify potential risks and opportunities. Conclusion Peter Lynch's principles of investing continue to resonate with both novice and experienced investors. His common-sense approach, emphasis on knowledge and patience, and focus on long-term value have stood the test of time. By adhering to these principles, individual investors can navigate the complex world of finance with confidence and increase their chances of achieving their financial goals. Whether you are a seasoned investor or just starting on your investment journey, Peter Lynch's timeless wisdom provides a solid foundation for success in the world of investing.
CAPITALCOM:US100Education
by financialflagship
10
Investing vs Trading: A Comparative AnalysisHello, money enthusiasts! Whether you're a Wall Street wolf or a Main Street newbie, today we're diving into the exhilarating world of finance to dissect two popular money-growing strategies - investing and trading. So, sit back, relax, and prepare to soak up some knowledge! The Basics Let's kick things off with some simple definitions. Think of investing as adopting a kittens. It requires time, patience, and care, but over the years, the bond strengthens and becomes incredibly rewarding. On the flip side, trading is like pet-sitting. You look after someone else's pet for a short while, enjoy the perks, and then move on to the next one. It's all about quick interactions and constant change. Risk & Reward: The Financial Tango In the world of finance, risk and reward are partners, always moving together. Investing often involves lower risk and lower returns over a long haul. It's a slow waltz where you glide along with the rhythm of the market. Trading, however, is a fast-paced salsa. It's high risk, high reward, and you need to keep up with the tempo. The possibility of quick gains is exciting, but remember - one misstep can lead to a financial tumble. Time Commitment: Marathon vs Sprint Investing is like running a marathon. Once you've done your research, picked your stocks (your training plan), and invested, you can pace yourself and wait for the finish line. Trading, in contrast, is a series of sprints. It demands constant attention, quick decisions, and the stamina to keep going. You need to be on your toes, ready to sprint when the starting gun fires. Skills & Knowledge: Driving vs Racing Investing generally requires a basic understanding of a company’s fundamentals, kind of like driving a car. You know the basics, you follow the rules, and you get to your destination safely. Trading, however, is like racing. It requires an in-depth understanding of market trends, technical analysis, and financial charts. You need to know your vehicle inside out, anticipate the moves of other drivers, and make split-second decisions. Emotion & Stress: Meditation vs Thrill Ride Investing is akin to a meditation session. It's slow, steady, and although it might seem boring at times, it's beneficial in the long run. Trading, on the other hand, is like a thrill ride. It's exhilarating, nerve-wracking, and requires a strong stomach. But for some, the thrill is part of the appeal! In conclusion, whether you choose to invest or trade depends on your risk appetite, time commitment, knowledge level, and how much excitement you want from your money. Neither approach is inherently better—they're just different strategies to reach financial growth. So, are you the patient pet owner, nurturing your investment over time? Or are you the dynamic pet-sitter, always looking for the next opportunity? Whichever path you choose, remember to stay informed, stay calm, and may your financial journey be prosperous. Happy money managing!
NASDAQ:IXICEducation
by AfnanTAjuddin
The Power of Candlestick Encapsulation in Trading: Utilizing theTrading is a captivating and intricate field that demands a profound understanding of financial markets, investment strategies, and technical analysis. Among the many techniques employed by traders, candlestick encapsulation is one that can prove to be particularly powerful. In this article, we will explore the concept of candlestick encapsulation and how one can harness the 50% of the first candle's length as a potential support or resistance level. What Is Candlestick Encapsulation? Candlestick encapsulation, also known as an "inside bar," is a price pattern that occurs when a subsequent candle develops within the boundaries of the preceding candle. In other words, the price range of the second candle is entirely contained within the range of the first candle. This pattern can appear on any time frame, from daily candles to one-minute candles, and is often used by traders to identify potential turning points in the markets. How to Identify Candlestick Encapsulation? To identify candlestick encapsulation, follow these steps: * Examine the First Candle: Begin by observing the most recent candle on your price chart. This will be the "mother candle."
 * Take a Look at the Next Candle: Next, examine the candle that follows the mother candle. This candle should have a price range that is completely contained within the range of the mother candle.
 * Confirm the Pattern: To confirm candlestick encapsulation, the second candle must close within the range of the mother candle. Using the 50% Level as Support or Resistance Now that we understand what candlestick encapsulation is, let's explore how to leverage the 50% of the first candle's length as a potential support or resistance level. * Calculate the Length of the First Candle: Measure the length of the mother candle from its high to its low.
 * Calculate 50% of the Length: Now, calculate exactly 50% of this length. You can do this by adding the high and low of the mother candle and dividing by two.
 * Draw the Horizontal Line: Plot a horizontal line on your price chart at the level you calculated as 50% of the mother candle's length.
 * Observe Price Behavior: This horizontal line represents a potential support level if prices move below it or a resistance level if prices stay above it. Observe how prices react when they reach this level. Interpretation and Strategy The use of the 50% level of the mother candle's length as support or resistance can be applied in various trading strategies. Here are some important considerations: * Breakout Strategy: If prices break above the 50% level, there may be a potential bullish breakout. In this case, traders may look for buying opportunities.
 * Pullback Strategy: If prices return to the 50% level after a breakout, this could be an opportunity to enter positions in the direction of the prevailing trend.
 * Stop Loss and Take Profit: Traders can use the 50% level as a reference point to place stop-loss or take-profit orders. Conclusion Candlestick encapsulation is a technical analysis technique that can provide valuable insights into potential turning points in financial markets. By using the 50% level of the mother candle's length as support or resistance, traders can add another tool to their trading toolkit for making informed trading decisions. However, it is important to remember that no technique is foolproof, and trading always involves a degree of risk. Therefore, it is advisable to combine this technique with careful risk management and a solid understanding of financial markets.
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by AleSaira
The VIX: A Measure of Market FearThe VIX, or Volatility Index, is a measure of the expected volatility of the S&P 500 index over the next 30 days. It is calculated using the prices of options on the S&P 500 index. A higher VIX indicates that market participants are expecting more volatility in the future, while a lower VIX indicates that they are expecting less volatility. The VIX is an important tool for investors because it can help them understand how risky the stock market is. A high VIX indicates that the market is expected to be volatile, which means that there is a greater chance of large price swings. This can make investing more risky, but it can also create opportunities for profit. The VIX is also correlated with the S&P 500 index. This means that the VIX tends to move in the opposite direction of the S&P 500. When the S&P 500 falls, the VIX tends to rise, and when the S&P 500 rises, the VIX tends to fall. This correlation is not perfect, but it is strong enough to be useful for investors. The VIX can be used in a variety of ways by investors. Some investors use the VIX to assess the risk of their portfolios. Others use the VIX to trade volatility, either by buying or selling VIX futures contracts. Still others use the VIX to hedge against risk in other assets. The VIX is a complex and volatile asset, but it can be a valuable tool for investors who understand how to use it. Here are some additional things to keep in mind about the VIX: The VIX is not a direct measure of the volatility of the stock market. It is a measure of the expected volatility, which means that it is based on the opinions of market participants. The VIX can be affected by a variety of factors, including economic news, political events, and natural disasters. The VIX is not always accurate. It can sometimes overshoot or undershoot the actual volatility of the stock market. Despite its limitations, the VIX is a valuable tool for investors. It can help investors understand the risk of the stock market and make informed investment decisions. I hope this post is helpful. This analysis represents my thoughts at the date it is posted. This analysis does not represent professional and/or financial advice. You alone assume the sole responsibility of evaluating the merits and risks associated with the use of any information or other content found on this profile before making any decisions based on such information.
CAPITALCOM:VIXEducation
by YExplore
2
Mechanical Consistency Weekly Review 5; +9% Return.TL;DR Total Profit of approximately $900 (around +9%) for the 2nd week of August 2023. Total 9 trades, 8 wins & 1 loss. 1-hour Timeframe, Oanda, XAUUSD(Gold), $10,000 Capital, $200/ 2% per trade. Mechanical Consistency Trading Strategy; Purely rule-based strategy, zero guesswork, zero analysis. Disclaimer: I am not a financial advisor. The content for this article is purely for educational/research purposes only and is merely based on my personal opinions. Please note: There will be affiliate links in this article. But it will only benefit both of us. If you do not wish to participate under my affiliate links, please feel free to Google them separately. Cheers! We had a beautiful trading week for 2nd week of August. Most of my predetermined parameters got triggered and reached my take profit without much drawdown. Let’s break it down. Monday (14 August 2023) I encountered my first loss of the week when the initial mean reversion trade didn’t go as planned. The price swiftly plummeted, triggering my stop loss and prompting me to initiate my second mean reversion trade. Fortunately, I managed to bounce back and secure some profit from take profit 1 before the price continued its downward trend. Tuesday (15 August 2023) My daily bias, determined by the 21 EMA, indicated a clear downtrend. I executed both trades flawlessly. The first mean reversion trade unfolded precisely as anticipated, allowing me to capture profits at each stage. The second trade, a retracement play, experienced an immediate reversal shortly after entry, with almost no drawdown. It was the ideal trade setup I had been hoping for! Wednesday (16 August 2023) The daily bias continued to favor a downtrend. While Tuesday’s trade remained open, my parameters signaled another retracement trade, and both trades successfully reached all of my predetermined take profit levels. As the trading day neared its end, I was triggered into a mean reversion trade at 127%. Fortunately, I managed to secure some profits before ultimately closing the trade on Thursday. Thursday (17 August 2023) The daily bias remained in a downtrend. Most of my attention on Wednesday was dedicated to managing the ongoing trade from that day. However, once I closed out the Wednesday trade, I was able to initiate a standard retracement trade that successfully reached both of my pre-set take profit levels, resulting in a substantial profit. Later that same night, my mean reversion trade was triggered, and I had to manage it until Friday. Friday (18 August 2023) Even though market sentiment began to show signs of shifting towards the upside, my daily bias remained in a downtrend. I successfully closed my Thursday’s trade with a profit and promptly initiated a standard retracement trade, reaching the first take profit level and securing a breakeven point at the entry price, just before the market began its upward momentum. Endnote As I navigated a market with a prevailing downtrend, while also observing hints of a shift in market sentiment towards the upside. Despite these challenges, I executed my trades with precision, closing out profitable positions and making the most of favourable retracement opportunities without any market analysis + zero guesswork, purely using a mechanical system that I developed, backtest and forward testing. Same strategy, same system day in and day out! As a full-time working individual, I do not have the time to constantly monitor the charts and look for the "perfect" trading opportunity. This is why I adopted the mechanical trading strategy to earn extra money. This approach eliminates the need for extensive technical or fundamental analysis and removes any guesswork. It is a 100% Mechanical rule-based strategy, ensuring disciplined and consistent decision-making. Here's how it works: Immediately after the 1st-hour candlestick closes either below or above the 21 EMA (Exponential Moving Average), you place precise Buy/Sell limit orders. Once all parameters are meticulously set, you can confidently attend to your daily routine, including your day job, while entrusting the market to dictate the trades. If you want to learn my strategy, please visit my blogging site, link in BIO. Thank you!
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by Barry_Games_Trading
TRADING IS THE MOST REWARDING BUSINESS WORLDWIDETRADING IS THE MOST REWARDING BUSINESS IN THE WORLD. But 99% of traders don't know how to win. 6 STEPS TO BECOME A TRADING SNIPER: 1. Develop A+ setups - Focus on low risk, high reward - Don't worry if you need time to execute - You don't need to catch every market's movement to be successful One setup is enough to kill in the trading arena. 2. Focus on A+ setups - Execute like a machine when you spot an A+ setup - Forget anything else. Don't take stupid trades just because you don't have opportunities Trust your setups. Trust your plans. Trust your execution. 3. Control your emotions Waiting is the hardest trading skill: - You need patience to wait for your setups - You need discipline to execute your setups - You need confidence to win with your setups Traders, like snipers, wait 99% of the time. 4. Know your system like a brother - Know the details. RR, WR, strengths and weaknesses. - Know what to expect: "If x happens, I'll do this. If y happens, I'll do this." Always have a plan. 5. Aim for 1% If average traders practice 1 hour per day, start practicing 2 hours per day. If average traders review trades once a week, start reviewing trades every day. If average traders never shapes minds, start meditating every day. To be the 1%, do what the 99% don't do. 6. Become a trading sniper - Focus on A+ setups - Control your emotions - Always have a plan Shape your weapons. Shape your trading. If you enjoyed this insightful post, please share with your friends and invite them to join us. Thanks
Education
by opizzlefx
Master the Basics (Understand Support and Resistance in Trading)Hello, TradingView community! One of the foundational elements of technical analysis is the concept of 'Support and Resistance'. Whether you're trading BTCUSD, Gold, or any other instrument, these principles remain consistent. Let's dive in! 1. What are Support and Resistance? Support is a price level where a downtrend can be expected to pause due to a concentration of demand (buyers). Think of it as the floor where the price seems to bounce off. Resistance is where a trend can pause or stop due to selling interest. Imagine it as the ceiling where the price seems to hit and then starts declining. 2. The Power of "Why" Over "What" Understanding why these levels exist is more crucial than just spotting them. They're formed due to: Historical turning points (past highs and lows). Psychological levels (e.g., round numbers like $10,000 for BTC). Moving averages or other technical indicators. 3. Mixing It Up with Different Timeframes Different timeframes can show different support and resistance levels. While a daily chart might show a clear resistance, a monthly chart might still be in a strong uptrend. It's essential to mix up your timeframes to get a holistic view. 4. Presentation is Crucial When marking these levels on your chart: Use horizontal lines or zones to represent areas of interest. Annotate and explain why you believe a particular level is crucial. Keep your charts clean and easy to understand. 5. Quality Over Quantity It's tempting to mark every minor level you see, but focus on the most evident and historically respected levels. Too many lines can clutter your chart and lead to analysis paralysis. 6. Stay Truthful and Updated Markets evolve, and so do support and resistance levels. Be ready to adjust your lines as the market provides more data. And always be truthful – if a level breaks, it's an opportunity to learn, not to hide. In Conclusion Support and Resistance are more than just lines on a chart. They represent the collective psychology of the market, areas where traders have historical memories, and points of decision-making. As you analyze popular instruments like BTCUSD or Gold, remember these principles and use them to enhance your trading decisions. Remember, in trading and in sharing, honesty and continuous learning are key. Let's grow together, one trade at a time. Happy trading and charting! 📈🌟
Education
by Hussinvestments
🐼Mastering the Art of Forex Trading Strategies🐼 Key words: ,,,,, , ,, 🐼The world of forex trading is as fascinating as it is dynamic. To thrive in this fast-paced market, developing a robust trading strategy is paramount. In this article, we will explore the key points that can help you identify and refine your trading strategy, bringing you closer to success. 🐼Identifying Market Trends: Understanding market trends is crucial in making informed trading decisions. By analyzing moving averages, trend lines, and price patterns, you can identify the prevailing market direction and potential opportunities. 🐼Implementing Effective Risk Management Strategies: Mitigating risks is a vital aspect of any trading strategy. Set appropriate stop-loss orders, determine suitable position sizes, and manage leverage wisely to protect your capital and minimize exposure to potential losses. 🐼Incorporating Technical Analysis Tools: Technical analysis tools provide valuable insights into market behavior. Use oscillators like the Relative Strength Index (RSI) to identify overbought or oversold conditions, Fibonacci retracement levels to pinpoint support and resistance levels, and Bollinger Bands to gauge market volatility. 🐼Staying Informed about Market News and Economic Calendar Events: Keeping up with the latest news and economic events can provide valuable context for your trading strategy. Monitor economic indicators such as GDP releases, central bank meetings, and geopolitical events to understand potential impacts on currency movements. 🐼Conclusion: Crafting a successful forex trading strategy requires a comprehensive approach that covers market trend identification, risk management, technical analysis, and staying informed about market news. By incorporating these key points into your strategy, you can enhance your trading skills and increase your chances of long-term success in the forex market. Remember, forex trading is a continuous learning journey, so adapt and evolve your strategy as the market evolves. Please cheer me up with a like and a nice comment😸❤️ Please, support my work with like and comment! Love you, my dear followers!👩‍💻🌸
Education
by AnabelSignals
6
Finding Bottoms Using Monthly Inside Candles: SNOWThis past year, I shared many bottoms on names on my weekly WLs based on bottoming consolidation structures, mentioning a specific strategy as a reasoning for the trades. Aside from understanding price action, I used a simple method: Monthly inside candles/bars. ---------------------------------------------- What is an inside candle/bar? Inside candles trade “inside” its previous candle. The previous candle’s high and low can be used as resistance and support, respectively. Your trade execution comes on a break & hold above/below the range. Here are a few examples of this: pbs.twimg.com ---------------------------------------------- NYSE:SNOW This has traded within it’s May ‘22 inside range for over a year. This has been one of my top watches earlier this year. The range provides a macro resistance/support of $187.23 and $112.10, respectively. These levels can now be used as targets for your trades. How do I execute on this? Zoom into LTFs to find swing opportunities. In my 1/23/23 weekly watchlist, I provided NYSE:SNOW based on a previous bull div + key support/demand being held (red box). pbs.twimg.com All swing contracts provided on the WL printed, while NYSE:SNOW saw a massive upside move from $140 into $178.70 within 2 weeks. You’ll also notice my invalidation for this was $133.10 while the low was $134.34. This invalidation was based on a breakdown of the range low. Now once again, on 3/31/2023 I mentioned NYSE:SNOW as a potential high R:R trade. Based on the exact same reasoning as my January WL. Once again, NYSE:SNOW was able to hold its demand zone with a macro target of the monthly inside candle resistance. NYSE:SNOW The same exact entry & same exact analysis now provided a recent move into my $187.23 target. First move providing a 33% move, second providing a 42% move. This is how you take advantage of macro inside ranges (specifically monthly candles in these examples). pbs.twimg.com
NYSE:SNOWEducation
by DKingTrades