Sinusoidal movement in channel, GalaIn this post, I am not referring to physics and math equations and probabilities, I'm just saying that the Display method of the probability of a numerical event is between 0 and 1,
and just for easy recall in tutorials, I consider a number between 0 and 100.
0 indicates impossibility and we know that 100 indicates certainty.
Therefore, will explain this price movement detection method in a simple and concise way.
Consider a few general rules:
1- The price chart in a channel always tends to approach and return to the middle line of the channel.
This is true for all types of the uptrend, downtrend, and neutral channels.
2- Sinusoidal movement is dynamic (of course, I mean in the financial market) and the range of movement, speed, and volume can vary.
3- the price chart after hitting the middle line, faces 3 possibilities.
Usually, we consider these possibilities as 33 - 33 - 33 %
3-1- Reversal (pull-back ) to the previous direction.
3-2- Crossing the middle line and moving to hit the other line of the channel.
3-3- The price chart attached to the middle line of the channel continues to move.
(I will publish the third point and its reasons in another post because this one is a complete and long tutorial for himself)
4- usually In uptrend and downtrend channels, the movement angle of 45 degrees is the most appropriate movement angle to create sinusoidal movements (consider between 30 and 50 degrees).
And the 5:
"Keep this last point in mind in all the training you read and learn from different people.
From great masters in financial market analysis to an ordinary person like me "
** No theory, method of analysis, or analysis is ever 100% correct.
In probabilities, we always have the nearest states, which means that when we say 100 for the certainty of occurrence,
A probability may be up to 99.999999, but it is NOT 100%.
So remember that there is always a possibility of a movement or change contrary to our analysis, rules, or imagination, and
"This is one of the main reasons for placing a Stop-loss limit in trading"
-----------------------------------
Please write any advice or suggestions.
Dear friends, request any cryptocurrency pair, currencies pair for forex, and any index that you want to be analyzed and ask any questions.
Thanks for your attention
Analysis
Monero : Every detail about latest hardfork + Technical AnalysisHi friends.
hope you are good.
today i want to tell you some details about August 14 Monero Hardfork.
after that we take a look at XMR chart and analyze that in price action.
Lets Do Them:
This fork happened at block 2,688,888, this Sunday (14 August).
It brought several fixes to the internal multi-signature mechanism to facilitate the exchange of information.
Such as key sets and data synchronization between wallets, as explained on their website:
“Multisig means that a transaction needs multiple signatures before it can be submitted to the Monero network and executed.
Instead of one Monero wallet creating, signing, and submitting transactions all on its own,
you will have a whole group of wallets and collaboration between them to transact.”
The network upgrade also included changes to its ‘Bulletproofs’ algorithm to boost transaction speeds
and reduce transaction sizes by an estimated 5-7%, as well as improvements to its multisig mechanism.
At the end lets see some after effects:
1-Monero’s block size increases.
2-XMR’s market capitalization rose
3-According to Lunarcrush.com , Both social mentions and engagement saw 121% and 180% hikes.
4-Whales began to showcase interest to XMR.
Hope you enjoy this article.
now lets see Technical analyze of XMR on marketcap:
please share me your opinion about this post in comments.
we will grow togheter...
Bitcoin dominance. How does it affect the cryptocurrency market?#BTC #altcoins #dominance #education
▪️Bitcoin dominance index - is an indicator that indicates the ratio of bitcoin capitalization to the capitalization of the entire cryptocurrency market.
▪️How does btc dominance affect the market? - When the dominance of bitcoin falls, altcoins begin to rise - this is called the alt season!
▪️Now the dominance is at its minimum values, which means that it will soon begin to grow! Altcoins will be weak during this period of time. Bitcoin may reach $30,000 and go for a correction. So far, these are my thoughts for the near future!
Subscribe. stay tuned for ideas! Links below👇
Using BTC Dominance With Current Bitcoin PriceSome people monitor bitcoin price along with bitcoin dominance to help them make trading decisions. Although they are not iron laws, here are some potential outcomes that various combinations of BTC price and dominance may be indicative of.
1. When the price and dominance of BTC are rising, it could signal a potential bitcoin bull market.
2. When the price of BTC is rising but BTC dominance is falling, it could signal a potential altcoin bull market.
3. When the price of BTC is falling but BTC dominance is rising, it could signal a potential altcoin bear market.
4. When the price and dominance of BTC are falling, it could signal a potential bear trend for the entire crypto market.
5. While these two factors do not imply a definite bull or bear market, historical observations suggest a correlation.
ETH 2.0 Merge Upgrade Detailed and Release DataHello all traders and investors.
according to go approch ETH 2.0 Merge upgrade
Today i decide to explain more about that and tell you more
about wahts going to happen.
I try to explain as simple as possible
Whithout killing time lets go...
What is The Merge?
The Merge represents the joining of the existing execution layer of Ethereum (the Mainnet we use today)
with its new proof-of-stake consensus layer, the Beacon Chain.
It eliminates the need for energy-intensive mining and instead secures the network using staked ETH.
A truly exciting step in realizing the Ethereum vision – more scalability, security, and sustainability.
It's important to remember that initially, the Beacon Chain shipped separately from Mainnet.
Ethereum Mainnet - with all it's accounts, balances, smart contracts, and blockchain state - continues to be secured
by proof-of-work, even while the Beacon Chain runs in parallel using proof-of-stake.
The approaching Merge is when these two systems finally come together, and proof-of-work is replaced permanently by proof-of-stake.
Merging with Mainnet
Since genesis, proof-of-work has secured Mainnet.
This is the Ethereum blockchain we're all used to—it contains every transaction, smart contract, and balance since it began in July 2015.
Throughout Ethereum's history, developers have been hard at work preparing for an eventual transition away from proof-of-work to proof-of-stake.
On December 1, 2020, the Beacon Chain was created, which has since existed as a separate blockchain to Mainnet, running in parallel.
The Beacon Chain has not been processing Mainnet transactions.
Instead, it has been reaching consensus on its own state by agreeing on active validators and their account balances.
After extensive testing, the Beacon Chain's time to reach consensus on more is rapidly approaching.
After The Merge, the Beacon Chain will be the consensus engine for all network data, including execution layer transactions and account balances.
The Merge represents the official switch to using the Beacon Chain as the engine of block production.
Mining will no longer be the means of producing valid blocks.
Instead, the proof-of-stake validators assume this role and will be responsible for processing the validity of all transactions and proposing blocks.
No history is lost. As Mainnet gets merged with the Beacon Chain, it will also merge the entire transactional history of Ethereum.
You don't need to do anything. Your funds are safe.
What do I need to do to get ready?
You do not need to do anything to protect your funds entering The Merge.
As a user or holder of ETH or any other digital asset on Ethereum, as well as non-node-operating stakers,
you do not need to do anything with your funds or wallet before The Merge.
Despite swapping out proof-of-work, the entire history of Ethereum since genesis remains intact and unaltered after the transition to proof-of-stake.
Any funds held in your wallet before The Merge will still be accessible after The Merge. No action is required to upgrade on your part.
Take away from scammers after the Merge:
As we approach The Merge of Ethereum Mainnet, you should be on high alert for scams trying to take advantage of users during this transition.
Do not send your ETH anywhere in an attempt to "upgrade to ETH2."
There is no "ETH2" token, and there is nothing more you need to do for your funds to remain safe.
Ethereum Merge Date
The Ethereum merge date and transition to proof-of-stake is expected to take place on September 19, 2022.
We have some Testnet examination before Merge.
I list them for you below:
- Goerli/Prater client releases 27th or 28th of July.
- Announce 28th/29th.
- Prater Bellatrix on the 8th of August
- Goerli Merge on the 11th.
- ACD 18th August plan mainnet Merge:
- Bellatrix early september;
Merge two weeks later (week of Sept 19th).
and additionally i attached a Technical Analysis for ETH/USDT
After we surpass 1700 Resistance , we reach 1800 now and we pass it too.
now we are on road to strong 2000 resistance and after that 2400.
According too incredible happenings for ETH 2.0 and the U.S. inflation record
a peak i think we will see this levels in coming days.
Additionally we see 3 strong candle patterns on 1800 breaked Resistance
1 - Marobuzu Candle
2 - Morning star pattern
3 - Bullish Engulfing
Like i show on the chart.
These patterns are showing a strong demand in this zone.
Hope you enjoy this article.
please share me your opinions in comments
and i want for all of you a lot of profits.
thanks for reading.
Shooting Star Candlestick
What is the Shooting Star Pattern?
1. A shooting star is a type of candlestick pattern which forms when the price of the security opens, rises significantly, but then closes near the open price.
2. The distance between the highest price of the day and the opening price should be more than twice as large as the shooting star’s body.
What does Shooting Star tells you?
1. Shooting stars signals a potential downside reversal and is most effective when it forms after 2-3 consecutive rising candles having higher highs.
2. A shooting star opens and rises strongly during the trading session, showing the same buying pressure that is seen over the last trading sessions.
3. At the end of the trading session, the sellers push the price down near the open.
4. This shows that the buyers have lost control by the end of the day, and the sellers have taken over.
5. The long upper shadow indicates that the buyers are losing position as the price drops back to the open.
6. The candle after the shooting star gaps down and then moves lower on heavy volume.
7. This candle helps in confirming the price reversal and indicates that the price will continue to fall.
Trading Scenario
1. Trade Entry: Before you enter a shooting star trade, you should confirm that the prior trend is an active bullish trend.
2. Stop Loss: You should always try to use a stop-loss order when trading the shooting star candle pattern.
3. Taking Profits: The price target for this trade should be equal to the size of the shooting star pattern.
Limitations of Shooting Star
1. One should not only rely on a candle pattern like in a shooting star for making trading decisions.
2. This is why confirmation is required, one can confirm by the next candle or other technical analysis indicators.
3. One should also use stop losses when using candlesticks to control the losses.
4. A candlestick pattern is more significant when it occurs near an important level signaled by other forms of technical analysis.
THE MOST IMPORTANT FOREX FUNDAMENTALS 📰
Hey traders,
Even though I am a pure technician and I rely only on technical analysis when I trade, we can not deny the fact that fundamentals are the main driver of the financial markets.
In this post, we will discuss the most important fundamentals that affect forex market.
📍Unemployment rate.
Unemployment rate reflects the percentage of people without a job in a selected country or region.
Rising unemployment rate usually signifies an unhealthy state of the economy and negatively affects the currency strength.
📍Housing prices.
Housing prices reflect people's demand for housing. Rising rate reflects a healthy state of the economy, strengthening purchasing power of the individuals and their confidence in the future.
Growing demand for housing is considered to be one of the most important drivers in the economy.
📍Inflation.
Inflation reflects the purchasing power of a currency.
It is usually measured by evaluation of the price of the selected basket of goods or services over some period.
High inflation is usually the primary indicator of the weakness of the currency and the unhealthy state of the economy.
📍Monetary policy.
Monetary policy is the actions of central banks related to money supply in the economy.
There are two main levers: interests rates and bank reserve requirements.
Higher interest rates suppress the economy, making the currency stronger. Lower interests rates increase the money supply, making the economy grow but devaluing the national currency.
📍Political discourse.
Political discourse is the social, economical and geopolitical policies of the national government.
Political ideology determines the set of priorities for the ruling party that directly impacts the state of the economy.
📍Payrolls and earnings.
Payroll reports reflect the dynamic of the creation of new jobs by the economy, while average earnings show the increase or decrease of the earnings of the individuals.
Growing earnings and payrolls positively affect the value of a national currency and signify the expansion of the economy.
Pay closes attention to these fundamentals and monitor how the market reacts to that data.
What fundamentals do you consider to be the most important?
❤️If you have any questions, please, ask me in the comment section.
Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
Quick coin analysis before buyingBINANCE:BTCUSDT
How to evaluate the tokenomics of the project?
Below you will find the main questions that you need to ask yourself when analyzing the tokenomics of the project - this scheme will not predict the price of the token with an accuracy of a cent, but it will help to predict the dynamics and assess the prospects.
1. Supply
Main question: based on supply alone, will the token be able to maintain/increase the price, or will it be eroded by inflation?
General supply
— How many tokens exist today?
How many will there be in the future? Is there a supply limit?
Emission rates
Is the emission rate fixed or changing?
— If it changes, what factors determine it?
Allocations/vesting
— How was supply originally distributed among investors, community, team? Are there any groups that own a significant share of the supply and could exert significant selling pressure after vesting ends?
— What is the vesting schedule for the largest holders?
2. Demand
Main question: why would anyone hold this token?
ROI
- Without taking into account the price increase, what income does a simple hold of a token bring (for example, due to staking)?
— Is it possible to get additional profit through farming?
— Are protocol revenues distributed among token holders?
— Is there a rebase* as inflation progresses?
* A rebase is similar to a stock split, when holding or staking a token allows the owner to increase its amount, thereby compensating for the impact of inflation (for example, a mechanism when the share of ownership of a supply remains unchanged).
Community
How active are Discord and Twitter of the project?
— Is there an ecosystem fund? Grants? Hackathons?
— How actively is the protocol working on community involvement?
— Are there one-time or ongoing initiatives to create additional demand for the token?
— Is there a token blocking program? If yes, how many awards are allocated to it and what are the requirements for receiving these awards?
— What share of the total number of tokens in circulation is locked?
— What additional selling pressure will arise after the expiration of locks?
Are there non-monetary benefits from staking and locking tokens (e.g. increased voting power)?
It is worth noting that even taking into account all these factors does not in itself guarantee the growth of the token or the success of the project, but is only one of the necessary aspects, in addition to the market phase, hype around a particular direction, and others.
Hope you enjoyed the content I created, You can support with your likes and comments this idea so more people can watch!
✅Look at my ideas about interesting altcoins in the related section down below ↓
✅For more ideas please hit "Like" and "Follow"!
Volume Profile and why you need it.Volume profile is an underused and quintessential part of trading, it tells you build up of orders, it tells you fair price, and it tells you where the majority of the liquidity is.
You can see in this chart, I have taken it apart piece by piece to show you the basic mechanics and why price moves the way it does, now be honest, how many of you rushed into selling GU last minute because the price was collapsing? Well the funny thing is despite not being alone in doing so in the retail trading world, big banks and instituitions were already two steps ahead as expected, check the Volume profile, notice how it declined on a massively falling currency, what this is telling you is that the amount of exchanges is very low, as the shorters pushed price down they began to close positions, also what would have happened is the amount of retail money and money that isnt associated to high end firms would have started to see negative positions so what do they do? they have to close these sells with buys! so not only are the big banks taking profit, they are also using you as rocket fuel! as the masses of small money becomes negative/trapped/stoplosses, price reacts in an equal and opposite reaction, price rallies. So where is price heading too? it is heading back to an area where it can happily trade, and this is shown by larger bars on the VP, price wants to be happy, to be happy it needs to transact alot! So two takeaways... One, dont rush into falling or rising currencies! as they are heading into areas of low volume and will use mean reversion to run you over... Two, Utilise the fact price has low VP build up to your advantage! use price action and catch moves like that GU rally back to an area of more transactions! and a final little trick, use the VP to tell you if your orderblock is real or a figment of your imagination! feel free to drop some questions below, I may have to make more posts on VP for it to make sense. Maybe I will also make some posts on examples of trading using it, and what to do and not to do. Thinking about it, there is more posts to do, I need to show how to trade mean reversion and 'mountain to mountain' tactics. Hope you find this post interesting, as I take a journey of taking back the layers of many traditional strategies, indicators and the deeper world of maths, I am doing this to try help new traders actually get somewhere! So please give me a like and a follow, I want to expand my reach here on tradingview :) All the best ZenFlo.
Candles continued.So here I am following on from the previous post, we have moved to the 4H chart, and I have taken a deeper delve into how to filter the candles out to find optimal ones, and look here, all the Bullish engulfing under the moving average... very poor performance, but the Bearish engulfing that is rejecting the moving average, remember previous post we talked about what price is attempting on pullbacks to the moving average? also has an orderblock rejecting as the moving average is down, remember what that tells us?? I will post the links to them under this post so you can go back over it. The Bollinger band squeezed just before aswell before the expansion. What to take away... Patience and optimisation! make the rules to your system click! do not react to every candle, find where price has action!
ETH 2 phases and why we need it?Hi friends
today i want to explain ETH 2.0 phases in short.
like you see in picture above it explain our need to ETH 2.0 so
i will summarize phases below:
Phase 0 : Beacon Chain
Phase 0 is the name given to the launch of the Beacon Chain.
The Beacon Chain will manage the Proof of Stake protocol for itself and all of the shard chains.
Once Phase 0 is complete, there will be two active Ethereum chains.
For the sake of clarity let’s call them the Eth1 chain (current, PoW main chain) and the Eth2 chain (new Beacon Chain)
During this phase, users will be able to send their ETH from the Eth1 chain to the Eth2 chain and become validators.
(They will NOT be able to migrate this ETH back to Eth1)
Phase 1 : Shard Chains
Shard chains are the key to future scalability as they allow parallel transaction throughput
and there will be 64 of them deployed in Phase 1 (with the possibility of adding more over time as hardware scales).
Shard validators, who are randomly selected by the Beacon Chain for each shard at each slot,
merely come to agreement on each block’s content.
Phase 2 : State Execution
Phase 2 is where the functionality of the entire system will start to come together.
Shard chains transition from simple data containers to a structured chain state and Smart Contracts will be reintroduced.
Phase 2 also introduces the concept of 'Execution Environments (EEs).
Every shard has access to all execution environments and has the ability
to make transactions within them as well as run and interact with smart contracts
hope this article is useful for you.
thank you all for your supports.
5 PHASES OF TRADE ANALYSISHello everyone!
Trading is hard mental and emotional work.
The market is a dangerous place that will show all your disadvantages.
Without strategy and control, it's not even worth trying to beat the market.
Today I want to talk about the five phases that a good trader must go through when trading on the market.
PHASE 1
The first step for a good deal is to choose the right instrument.
To do this, you must be able to understand stocks, currencies, indices.
You must understand the specifics of each tool, be able to understand the data of reports and news, and use the information correctly.
The big mistake of beginners is trading all instruments indiscriminately and without preparation.
You should understand that, although there are similarities between the markets, they still have differences.
YOU should understand that the bankruptcy of a small company will not affect the market, but Google's problems can.
An increase in the interest rate in a third world country does not have much impact on the world, unlike the actions of the US central bank.
Study the specifics of the market and follow the news, then make a choice what you will trade.
PHASE 2
After you have selected a suitable instrument for trading, you must open a position.
To do this, you must have a strategy prepared in advance, in which the entry conditions will be prescribed.
This topic is a separate article because the issue of opening a deal is very important.
You will be able to know where to open a position and where not to do it only when you try existing entry strategies, analyze the results and do something of your own.
After finding a suitable entry strategy and waiting for the right conditions, open a deal.
PHASE 3
After opening a deal, all you have to do is follow the market and the news.
But don't overdo it.
Beginners often sit in front of the screen monitor for a long time and monitor every price movement, which eventually leads to fatigue, and this leads to mistakes.
Of course, if you are engaged in scalping, for example, you will follow the movement, your trading style also decides how much you will be behind the monitor screen, but do not overdo it.
Open a position, watch how the price reaches important levels, but do not overdo it.
PHASE 4
Then you have to close the position.
The strategy of closing a deal is also important and there are many styles of closing deals.
You have to choose your strategy and close the position according to it with profit or loss.
The main thing is not to deviate from the rule and not to forget about the stop loss.
PHASE 5
Beginners, as a rule, after closing a deal, go further for a new position and this is a big mistake.
The resulting profit is maddening, and newcomers think they have understood the market.
Losses spoil the mood and you don't want to remember them, so beginners quickly run on.
Not performing an analysis of the completed transaction is the biggest loss.
You lose the most at this stage, because by analyzing the transaction, you will avoid losses in the future and get even more profit, without doing the analysis you will continue to trade poorly.
Therefore, at the end of the day or week, allocate time to analyze all transactions, draw conclusions and make no more mistakes.
conclusion
As you can see, it is not enough just to open a position and close it, you need to prepare, and then analyze everything.
These steps will help you reach a new level as a trader, if you haven't started trading like this yet.
Good luck!
DECISION MAKING: SUPPLY AND DEMAND ZONEMaking day-to-day investment decisions is challenging enough without the added stress of trading. Whether you are a beginner or an experienced trader, the world of finance can be challenging. It’s not always easy to know whether your trading ideas are worth pursuing or not. Even experienced traders struggle to make the right investment decisions on a regular basis. This is where decision-making and trading strategy comes in. Understanding how to make the technical analysis and right trading decisions is essential in any trading career. The share market uses the technical analysis to test or forecast the price down trend or uptrend. Knowing how to determine the supply and demand zone is the critical factor in the technical analysis.
The insights of supply and demand trading
Supply and demand zones are a popular analysis technique used in day trading and considered as key indicators in the supply and demand trading. These zones are both supply zone or distribution zone and the demand zone or accumulation zone. They present the liquidity at a specific price.
Key takeaways
Markets are driven by supply and demand zones.
Investors can use supply and demand zones to make purchases or sales decisions.
The price drop begins and starts at the distribution zone.
A bearish stock displays greater supply than demand and exhibits distribution.
Buying pressure accounts for distribution, whereas accumulation reflects selling-side
pressure.
When a stock's price stops falling and starts moving sideways for a period of time, this
signals that there is accumulation and that the stock may rise.
Three NOTES for supply and demand trading
When looking for stocks to buy, the first thing to determine is whether you're in a supply or demand zone. In a supply zone, the stock's price is above the bid price, while in a demand zone, it is below. The bid price is the amount a trader is willing to pay for a stock.
Once you find the most active market supply and demand zones, you can identify the next thing you must do. You can either buy or sell depending on whether the trend continues or reverses in that zone.
Understanding rally and drop patterns is the third aspect. When you see a pattern indicating a rally, you should buy high and sell low. When you see a pattern indicating a price drop, you should sell short.
Strategies with the Supply and demand trading
To make a bright decision and set your smart strategy in trading, a trader should definitely know what current socio-economic and political conditions are. This is paramount to being a successful trader. They should look at any economic or political disruption that could affect the trading environment, or question whether there are a lot of volatility in the markets or not. If the answer is yes, a supply and demand trading strategy might be used to make a good trading strategy with the breakout or range trading involved.
When the market is stable and not extraordinary, a trading range may be used to describe it. The breakout is a supply and demand trading strategy when market conditions are expected to change.
When markets open or close, day traders may have to watch for breakout formation of rectangular ranges when liquidity or volatility are higher.
A limit order can be used to buy or sell stock at a set price. You can use price action entry to enter a position at a certain price or zone. Candlesticks are used to enter positions with price action. Using candlesticks as a strategy is more effective.
Bottom Line
There are a lot of factors that can affect your trading success and trading strategy. You need to make sure that you’re looking at the right factors when examining your data. You also need to make sure that you’re staying away from automated trading strategies. These are the two factors that are going to make the biggest impact on your trading success. You need to know where the supply is at and the demand. You should understand the factors that are affecting the market and the future support and resistance levels. This is the only way to make the correct trading decisions.
Understanding the Story of a Currency Pair
When trading price action, it's crucial that you understand the story of the currency pair you are trading.For what current price is doing is only valuable in the overall context of what a currency pair has been doing.Just like reading a book or watching a movie, watching it from the half-way point won't allow you to understand what's happening; for current dialogue only has meaning with a context.So here's 2 things you can do to know the story of a currency pair:
1.) Analyze new price everyday to build the story. Ask yourself, " is current price confirming your perspective of the direction of a currency pair?Or is current price showing signs of a changing story? 2.) Use multiple time frames.The higher and lower time frame's stories should compliment eachother.Ask yourself " is current price on the lower time frames confirming the story on the higher time frames?"
Moreover, understanding the story of a currency pair gives the trader an understanding of the tendancies of that pair.Each pair has very different characteristics.Just like how a music composer has tendancies when composing music.Each pair has identifiable, or rather, "trademark" tendancies.For example, the Eur/Usd pair tends to be very accurate in terms of price levels.So if there's a well repected trendline and you expect price to bounce off of it, it will do so with accuracy right down to the last decimal.Moreover the Gbp/Usd tends to have many pullbacks before an extended move in a direction takes off.Having this knowledge allows for great position building as well as the understanding that there are further opportunities to enter a trade even if you missed the initial entry.
In this way, understanding the story of a currency pair and keeping this story up to date, gives a trader a general sense of "unison" with that pair.Allowing them to notice slight changes in the over-arching trend and therefore have the ability to be one step ahead of the market at all times.
That's it! I hope this helps!
Have a great day guys!
Ken
Non-Fungible Token (NFT)Hi traders – I hope you all are doing well despite bear 🐻
It’s been a while since my last post but as NFT topic is largely uncovered in TradingView I thought that I will put something together. I have been learning about this area in past months
and here are my findings. I divided my writing into three chapters:
1) Research
2) Gaming and NFTs
3) CryptoWalkers
This way it’s more structured and easier to read.
1. Research
For last 6 months I have been researching NFT space and some of my conclusions are following:
NFTs can have basically unlimited use cases from music to land ownership
NFTs are here to stay and will become an asset class with very high market capitalization
Many well-known companies have shown their interest for NFTs
Can expect a lot of innovation in this sector
There are opportunities for investors/traders
Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong said to Bloomberg: „The market for non-fungible tokens could rival or even be larger than the company’s cryptocurrency business.“ (10.11.2021)
I don’t know if that’s the case but there are definitely big potential in NFTs. According to CoinMarketCap, total Crypto market capitalization is $1.27 Trillion and NFTs total
market capitalization is $11,4 Billion (30.05.2022). This makes NFT market capitalization 0.9% of total Crypto industry. These numbers show that we are still very early.
During my research I have:
Deep dived into discord servers (every NFT project has their own server). I have been active there – asking questions and made suggestions. Fun thing about that is you generally
don’t know if you are speaking with 15 year old youngster or 60 year old elder.
Minted NFTs
Bought and sold NFTs on secondary markets
Invested into failed projects
To me investing into NFT projects is very similar to investing into startups – you invest mainly into founders & team. Idea is also important – as well ability
to make changes when something is not working. Also keep in mind that many startups fail, I guess that this number will be even higher in NFTs. Before bear market
there was extreme hype around NFT sector and you could basically draw a cow in Microsoft paint and sell it for 3 ETH if you were a good marketer. This is not the case
anymore. Currently sometimes even good projects are struggling to sell out. Generally I believe that bear market is good for the NFT ecosystem. It will clear up some air
and weak projects will fail. As famous investor Warren Buffett said: „Only when the tide goes out do you find out who’s been swimming naked.“ Strong projects will make it
because they keep building and this gives better foundation to new market cycle. This will also educate investors because at some point when investor had a whitelist spot
for minting event, it meant basically guaranteed profit. Markets can’t run like this forever. I mean you can still make money trading NFTs but it’s much harder with these market
conditions and more work needs to be done.
Here is little overview about different NFT categories (although sometimes it is difficult to classify them):
For example sometimes NFT belongs into multiple categories, like PFP (Profile Picture) project with P2E (Play-to-Earn) mechanics. I believe in time these categories will be
more precise as whole NFT market evolves. One of the most interesting area is blockchain gaming. This topic is nicely explained in Gemini's article and I copied it here (full link below).
2. Gaming and NFTs
While the global gaming industry continues to grow across all markets, it remains structured in a way that primarily benefits game developers and perpetuates a one-directional flow
of value where players spend money to unlock access to in-game assets and gameplay configurations. In contrast, blockchain-built games and decentralized applications (dApps) enable
players to capture the utility and value of in-game purchases and asset acquisitions more effectively.
Blockchain technology in gaming is driven by non-fungible tokens (NFTs), digital assets that represent in-game content. These tokens are unique, rare, and indivisible, while the
blockchain networks that underpin NFTs facilitate player ownership, provable scarcity, interoperability, and immutability. Together, these advantages have the potential to drive
mainstream adoption and a far more equitable value model.
Although the adoption of NFTs in the gaming world comes with benefits, it also presents significant obstacles to overcome. Most notably, NFTs need to be made more appealing and intuitive
to mainstream consumers who might not be technically oriented. And because NFTs possess intrinsic value, there's a risk that some will be used predominantly as speculative assets.
This potentiality could motivate players to purchase in-game assets with the hope of selling them for future profit instead of using the assets within the gaming ecosystem as intended.
Despite these challenges, the potential for profit within the gaming industry will motivate more non-blockchain-focused brands to experiment with NFTs, likely by forming partnerships with
third-party blockchain projects that have the technical expertise needed to bring their vision to life. Simultaneously, the broader success of gaming dApps will likely play a role in further
catalyzing NFT infrastructure improvements and drive the development of innovative solutions that unlock mainstream adoption.
Read full article here: www.gemini.com
3. CryptoWalkers
Cryptowalkers is unique collection of fully rigged 3D walking characters aimed to live in the Metaverse. All characters come with full bodies (and custom 3D backgrounds) to be used by
it’s owners in various Metaverse environments.
One of the main goals of this project is to develop P2E shooter game and it should be launching at February 2023 (dates can change, especially in Crypto but this is rough estimate).
Development is well underway and team has released some video clips from the game - this is one of the most advanced blockchain based P2E game I have seen so far. I think that
NFTs, P2E and Metaverse will become big things in Crypto. Despite being still early there are signs that this one will become one of the top players in the near future. I have
been part of their community since their minting event (December 2021) and feel very bullish on this project. I'm mostly impressed how professionally this one is managed.
Capable team is key to success and here we have one of those teams. They started with zero (0!) marketing budget but this little thing did not disturbed them. They managed to
build a strong community within short time-frame. When team is able to do things with limited resources then you could imagine what will start to happen when there is some money
backing their vision. In February Outlier Ventures joined as an investor and strategic partner. After that there are basically no closed doors for them. As I mentioned before,
it is wise to invest into strong teams. This is especially true in bear market.
Secondly, I believe that these CryptoWalkers have some X-factor that I can't describe. It's the same factor that separates great songs from good ones. To be honest, when I first
saw them then they seemed little weird to me 😀 Now I really like those Walkers... X-factor is working.
Here is chart of CryptoWalkers price movement (nftgo.io)
Current floor price is 0.18 ETH. Highest floor price was 0.5 ETH (02.02.2022). Current entry is more than 50% below that. Due to market conditions there is possibility to enter cheaply.
I think that this could be very good holding if trader wants some exposure in NFT sector.
CryptoWalkers website is: cryptowalkers.io
As always, DYOR!
Thank you and have a nice day. Cheers.
‼️ Economic Calendar Week 09.05-13.05 Next week will be a less fundamentally busy one, as we have only CPI on USD and OPEC Meetings on Wednesday, this means we could see some volatility on OIL and PPI on USD on Thursday, so you are free to trade technically. I expect the price to respect technical arguments and we will make some great trades.
HOW TO USE TRADINGVIEWIn this video, i showed you how to use Tradingview to analyze different types of markets and asset classes.
You will discover how to open a chart and analyze any assets.
You will discover how to use different tools on tradingview to make your analysis easy and precise.
Tradingview made easy for you.
Bites Of Trading Knowledge For New TOP Traders #11 (short read)Bites Of Trading Knowledge For New TOP Traders #11
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What is Fundamental Analysis? -
Fundamental analysis is a method of determining a market’s “real value” or "fair market" value through the collection and examination of financial and economic information. Information gathered may include financial metrics which identify business drivers of the market, and could involve financial modeling of the market.
Fundamental analysts search for markets that are currently trading at prices that are higher or lower than what is expected to be their fair market value. If the fair market value is calculated to be higher than the market price, the market is deemed to be undervalued and could be considered to be bought. Conversely, if the fair market value is calculated to be lower than the market price, the market is deemed to be overvalued and could be considered to be sold.
What is Technical Analysis? -
Technical analysis is a method employed to evaluate a market and identify trading opportunities with a focus on inputs that include price and/or volume. Various financially based calculations and statistical models are commonly employed to derive price trends and patterns based upon which trading decisions are made.
Technical analysts believe past trading activity and price changes of a market could be valuable indicators of a market’s future price movements.
RISKS AND OPPORTUNITIES FOR CORPORATES AND INDIVIDUAL INVESTORS -
Common application of financial market instruments for managing risk and opportunities.
Portfolio Diversification
Portfolio diversification is the process of investing your money in different asset classes and securities in order to minimize the overall risk of the portfolio.
For both corporate and individual investors, having access to markets that enable the building of a diversified portfolio is an important consideration when managing futures focused accounts.
Similar to managing risk, the market to trade would be a key variable to clearly state and support with reasons for trading or investing. Reasons for selecting one market over another could include price volatility, liquidity, daily volume traded, size of the minimum price increment, and value of the minimum price increment. Comparing these variables between markets will help decide the suitability and/or risk of each.
For example, the parameters for a price driven strategy may be designed to be applied to any market whether it be index equity futures or forex futures. However, the signals for entry may not always trigger if a trader were just to focus on a single index equity futures such as the Micro MSCI Europe Index futures. Having access to other futures markets, such as the Mini Onshore Renminbi/US Dollar Futures, can introduce both a foreign currency and Asian element to a portfolio. This allows for the creation of a diversified portfolio with varying entry and exit points, or the ability for more trading oriented investors, increased opportunities to execute price driven strategies more often across a range of futures markets.
TRADDICTIV · Research Team
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Disclaimer:
We do not provide investment advice, nor provide any personalized investment recommendations and/or advice in making a decision to trade. Before you start trading, please make sure you have considered your entire financial situation, including financial commitments and you understand that trading is highly speculative and that you could sustain significant losses.
Interest rates, Inflation and how to trade it.Hey Traders,
Massive week this week fundamentally for the Forex market. 3 big interest rate decisions being released so I thought there was no better time than now to have a chat about what it is, what it indicates and finally, how traders profit from it. Fed and BOE almost guaranteed to hike rates, RBA is sitting unsure.
Have a watch of the video and I am more than happy to have a discussion in the comment section!
As always, have a fantastic trading week and I wish you all many profits.
CL1! - How I approach my analysisA Trader asked me, if I could show how I approach my analysis. And this is what this Video is about.
At the end we even have a potential trade and definitely a chart to observe.
What you will see is:
- the big picture
- swings
- Andrews Pitchfork
- the sine-wave pattern
...and even the classic Head & Shoulder, which reveille where the meat is.
Let's start...
Head and ShoulderYou probably heard of the Head and Shoulders chart pattern. There are two versions of the 'Head and Shoulders' in the markets. The pattern that resembles a human figure standing upright is the BEARISH version where we would like to see SELLS in the market.
The pattern that resembles a Human figure hanging upside-down is called the "Inverted Head and Shoulders" pattern where we would like to see BUYS in the market.
In this chart example, we have the Bearish version. The head (where the face is located) is often times classified as the stop hunt where liquidity is established. The stop hunt liquidity is where retail buyers are trapped.
An optimal entry for this pattern would be on the right shoulder (located on right side of your screen) with first targets aim at the neckline or beyond.
Poison Pill Explained: Why Elon Wants to Buy TwitterIn this post, I'll explain the ongoing situation with Twitter; how they're preventing Elon from buying the company out, and my thoughts on why Elon wants Twitter so badly.
Twitter's Strategy
- Twitter is using a strategy known as the 'poison pill'.
- This is one of many defensive strategies that boardrooms can take when they're trying to prevent hostile takeovers.
- While the method may vary depending on the deal, the essence of the strategy is simple: make the stock less appealing to the hostile acquirer, and allow opportunities for other shareholders to acquire the stock at a discounted price through the use of call options.
- Netflix (NFLX) successfully used this strategy against Carl Icahn in 2012, when he attempted a hostile acquisition of the company, making it difficult for Icahn to acquire more than 10% of the company without approval from the Netflix board.
- Luckily for Icahn, he made 20x returns on his investment simply from holding Netflix shares for the three years that he attempted a takeover.
- In the case of Elon's acquisition of Twitter, the terms are slightly different.
- Elon offered to buy the entire company for $43B, which is a generous offer of $54.20 per share.
- Twitter's board however, having seen prices once hover above $70, were not happy with Elon's offer, and asked him to join the board with a 14.9% stake limit - Elon refused.
- Twitter emphasized that their poison pill strategy will activate if Elon tries to acquire more than 15% stake in the company, and will remain effective until April 14, 2023.
Twitter Shareholders by Size
- The Vanguard Group, Inc. 10.3%
- Elon Musk 9.2%
- Morgan Stanley Investment Management 8.4%
- BlackRock Fund Advisors 6.5%
- State Street Corp. 4.5%
Why Elon Wants to Buy Twitter
- My thoughts on why Elon is looking to acquire Twitter is as follows:
- The narrative that Elon is pushing as his justification for the purchase is "free speech".
- He has been vocal about Twitter's decision to shut down former US president Donald Trump's account.
- However, I personally believe that there are deeper layers to this matter than just 'free speech', and 'twitter's untapped potential'.
- Tesla currently does not spend a single dime on marketing and advertisement costs.
- Elon dissolved the PR department in 2020, and stated that the capital that was previously used for marketing, will now be reinvested back for R&D.
- Instead, Elon has been using his twitter account as a channel to promote his businesses - not only Tesla, but also SpaceX, SolarCity, and the Boring Company.
- The last time Tesla had a PR department, it spent $70m in marketing and advertisement costs.
- So taking that into account, and considering the value that was created by those costs being reinvested back into R&D, Elon has singlehandedly managed to create hundreds of millions of dollars in value through his twitter account.
- And the risk of him having his twitter account shut down, due to his potential violation of one of their many policies, is huge.
- His acquisition of the company's stake, and taking the company private eliminates this risk for him.
- Put into context, it makes more sense: Elon's $43B offer to buy Twitter is equivalent to someone with a net worth of $1m purchasing a G-wagon for their rental car business.
Conclusion
On one hand, we have Twitter, a company willing to use the poison pill strategy to prevent a hostile acquisition from taking place, and on the other hand, we have Elon Musk, who's trying to take the company private for $43B. I think there are bigger implications to his offer, as we've seen how he was able to connect seemingly unrelated businesses to form a virtuous cycle that would become the pillar of his entire empire. We use electricity generated from SolarCity to power our Tesla cars using solar energy. With the satellites that SpaceX launches, our Tesla cars undergo software updates in real time, and the Boring Company solves traffic jam issues by taking our Teslas through underground tunnels. I'm sure there's room for Twitter to fit into this equation, but I'm not completely sure as to what Elon has on his mind. One thing is for sure: it has more to do with Elon's personal philosophy.
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