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Bites Of Trading Knowledge For New TOP Traders #11 (short read)Bites Of Trading Knowledge For New TOP Traders #11 ---------------------------------------------------------------- What is Fundamental Analysis? - Fundamental analysis is a method of determining a market’s “real value” or "fair market" value through the collection and examination of financial and economic information. Information gathered may include financial metrics which identify business drivers of the market, and could involve financial modeling of the market. Fundamental analysts search for markets that are currently trading at prices that are higher or lower than what is expected to be their fair market value. If the fair market value is calculated to be higher than the market price, the market is deemed to be undervalued and could be considered to be bought. Conversely, if the fair market value is calculated to be lower than the market price, the market is deemed to be overvalued and could be considered to be sold. What is Technical Analysis? - Technical analysis is a method employed to evaluate a market and identify trading opportunities with a focus on inputs that include price and/or volume. Various financially based calculations and statistical models are commonly employed to derive price trends and patterns based upon which trading decisions are made. Technical analysts believe past trading activity and price changes of a market could be valuable indicators of a market’s future price movements. RISKS AND OPPORTUNITIES FOR CORPORATES AND INDIVIDUAL INVESTORS - Common application of financial market instruments for managing risk and opportunities. Portfolio Diversification Portfolio diversification is the process of investing your money in different asset classes and securities in order to minimize the overall risk of the portfolio. For both corporate and individual investors, having access to markets that enable the building of a diversified portfolio is an important consideration when managing futures focused accounts. Similar to managing risk, the market to trade would be a key variable to clearly state and support with reasons for trading or investing. Reasons for selecting one market over another could include price volatility, liquidity, daily volume traded, size of the minimum price increment, and value of the minimum price increment. Comparing these variables between markets will help decide the suitability and/or risk of each. For example, the parameters for a price driven strategy may be designed to be applied to any market whether it be index equity futures or forex futures. However, the signals for entry may not always trigger if a trader were just to focus on a single index equity futures such as the Micro MSCI Europe Index futures. Having access to other futures markets, such as the Mini Onshore Renminbi/US Dollar Futures, can introduce both a foreign currency and Asian element to a portfolio. This allows for the creation of a diversified portfolio with varying entry and exit points, or the ability for more trading oriented investors, increased opportunities to execute price driven strategies more often across a range of futures markets. TRADDICTIV · Research Team -------- Disclaimer: We do not provide investment advice, nor provide any personalized investment recommendations and/or advice in making a decision to trade. Before you start trading, please make sure you have considered your entire financial situation, including financial commitments and you understand that trading is highly speculative and that you could sustain significant losses.
ICESG:SDX1!Education
by traddictiv
Interest rates, Inflation and how to trade it.Hey Traders, Massive week this week fundamentally for the Forex market. 3 big interest rate decisions being released so I thought there was no better time than now to have a chat about what it is, what it indicates and finally, how traders profit from it. Fed and BOE almost guaranteed to hike rates, RBA is sitting unsure. Have a watch of the video and I am more than happy to have a discussion in the comment section! As always, have a fantastic trading week and I wish you all many profits.
Education
by the5erstrading
4
Head and ShoulderYou probably heard of the Head and Shoulders chart pattern. There are two versions of the 'Head and Shoulders' in the markets. The pattern that resembles a human figure standing upright is the BEARISH version where we would like to see SELLS in the market. The pattern that resembles a Human figure hanging upside-down is called the "Inverted Head and Shoulders" pattern where we would like to see BUYS in the market. In this chart example, we have the Bearish version. The head (where the face is located) is often times classified as the stop hunt where liquidity is established. The stop hunt liquidity is where retail buyers are trapped. An optimal entry for this pattern would be on the right shoulder (located on right side of your screen) with first targets aim at the neckline or beyond.
OANDA:NAS100USDEducation
by Skyboxpips
Poison Pill Explained: Why Elon Wants to Buy TwitterIn this post, I'll explain the ongoing situation with Twitter; how they're preventing Elon from buying the company out, and my thoughts on why Elon wants Twitter so badly. Twitter's Strategy - Twitter is using a strategy known as the 'poison pill'. - This is one of many defensive strategies that boardrooms can take when they're trying to prevent hostile takeovers. - While the method may vary depending on the deal, the essence of the strategy is simple: make the stock less appealing to the hostile acquirer, and allow opportunities for other shareholders to acquire the stock at a discounted price through the use of call options. - Netflix (NFLX) successfully used this strategy against Carl Icahn in 2012, when he attempted a hostile acquisition of the company, making it difficult for Icahn to acquire more than 10% of the company without approval from the Netflix board. - Luckily for Icahn, he made 20x returns on his investment simply from holding Netflix shares for the three years that he attempted a takeover. - In the case of Elon's acquisition of Twitter, the terms are slightly different. - Elon offered to buy the entire company for $43B, which is a generous offer of $54.20 per share. - Twitter's board however, having seen prices once hover above $70, were not happy with Elon's offer, and asked him to join the board with a 14.9% stake limit - Elon refused. - Twitter emphasized that their poison pill strategy will activate if Elon tries to acquire more than 15% stake in the company, and will remain effective until April 14, 2023. Twitter Shareholders by Size - The Vanguard Group, Inc. 10.3% - Elon Musk 9.2% - Morgan Stanley Investment Management 8.4% - BlackRock Fund Advisors 6.5% - State Street Corp. 4.5% Why Elon Wants to Buy Twitter - My thoughts on why Elon is looking to acquire Twitter is as follows: - The narrative that Elon is pushing as his justification for the purchase is "free speech". - He has been vocal about Twitter's decision to shut down former US president Donald Trump's account. - However, I personally believe that there are deeper layers to this matter than just 'free speech', and 'twitter's untapped potential'. - Tesla currently does not spend a single dime on marketing and advertisement costs. - Elon dissolved the PR department in 2020, and stated that the capital that was previously used for marketing, will now be reinvested back for R&D. - Instead, Elon has been using his twitter account as a channel to promote his businesses - not only Tesla, but also SpaceX, SolarCity, and the Boring Company. - The last time Tesla had a PR department, it spent $70m in marketing and advertisement costs. - So taking that into account, and considering the value that was created by those costs being reinvested back into R&D, Elon has singlehandedly managed to create hundreds of millions of dollars in value through his twitter account. - And the risk of him having his twitter account shut down, due to his potential violation of one of their many policies, is huge. - His acquisition of the company's stake, and taking the company private eliminates this risk for him. - Put into context, it makes more sense: Elon's $43B offer to buy Twitter is equivalent to someone with a net worth of $1m purchasing a G-wagon for their rental car business. Conclusion On one hand, we have Twitter, a company willing to use the poison pill strategy to prevent a hostile acquisition from taking place, and on the other hand, we have Elon Musk, who's trying to take the company private for $43B. I think there are bigger implications to his offer, as we've seen how he was able to connect seemingly unrelated businesses to form a virtuous cycle that would become the pillar of his entire empire. We use electricity generated from SolarCity to power our Tesla cars using solar energy. With the satellites that SpaceX launches, our Tesla cars undergo software updates in real time, and the Boring Company solves traffic jam issues by taking our Teslas through underground tunnels. I'm sure there's room for Twitter to fit into this equation, but I'm not completely sure as to what Elon has on his mind. One thing is for sure: it has more to do with Elon's personal philosophy. If you like this educational post, please make sure to like, and follow for more quality content! If you have any questions or comments, feel free to comment below! :)
NYSE:TWTREducation
by Michael_Wang_Official
11
4-8th April Economic Outlook!Hey traders, Today we're going to be looking through this weeks economic calendar. We're going to look at what data is going to be released and what really is going to be affecting the market. I will also share my bias on the different pairs and the different data being released to see if any of these are going to be tradeable or whether or not we should just kind of stay out of the market during these times of uncertainty. I hope you enjoy this outlook into the week ahead. It's going to be a quiet week compared to recent times unless we get any breaking news coming out of Russia and Ukraine. In terms of economic data releases, it is going to be a little bit quieter than usual. Monday - 4th April We don't have too much happening in our favor on Monday. Here the biggest release is the unemployment change for Spain. While it may move the euro just a little bit, I'm not seeing a whole lot of tradeable opportunity. I think Monday is going to be a lot better just to kind of sit back and watch to see what happens. Tuesday - 5th April On Tuesday, we get a little bit more exciting. We have a fair bit of data being released for us. 🟨 AIG Construction Index Early in the morning we have the AUD, AIG construction index. This index indicates how well the construction industry is actually running at the moment, it's not something we're going to trade, but rather it's good insight as looking ahead into the PMI, into our employment rates and then overall trade balance in the future. It is a good indication of how well the economy is running confined into that construction sector as it is a very large employer in Australia. 🟥 Cash Rate Coming in a little bit later in the day, we have a very large, definitely tradeable event with the RBA rate statement and their overall cash rate. The forecast is for it to remain at 0.10%. I believe this will remain at 0.10%. I'm not expecting any shock announcements. However, in the event we do get a shock number come through, it's going to be a very volatile time and a possible opportunity to be able to catch a lot of pips on the Aussie dollar. If we do get a shock event on this, it will move for a few hours prior to entering into the European market so keep an eye on this release. ⬜ EUR Looking ahead, we do get a lot of services PMI coming out for the euro, but not really looking to be trading that. I'd rather use that as an indication of how well the economy is running, looking ahead into future releases. 🟥 ISM Services PMI The biggest standout is the ISM services PMI for the US dollar. Obviously the market is forecasting growth in the services industry. I'm not too sure how well that's going to stand. It's not something I usually trade. However, given the previous data releases, I'm unsure if it's going to be able to maintain its bullish forecast. We've been told that construction spending is down, the manufacturing PMI, while still expanding has slower growth than what it was first anticipated. Our nonfarm employment change was negative. There's a lot of different areas suggesting that we may not be as hawkish as what the forecast says. So I do expect this to come in a little less than what we're looking at currently but only time will tell. Wednesday - 6th April 🟧 Crude Oil Inventories This is going to be an interesting one. This is something I've been looking to try to look to how it affects the US dollar, but rather something I'm just overly intrigued about given the current circumstances in the world. 🟥 FOMC Meeting Minutes FOMC meeting minutes is always volatile one. it is good to have a look through what the meeting discussed and how it went on. For users that don't know how this affects the market FOMC meeting minutes is a detailed record of the FOMC's most recent meeting, providing in-depth insights into the economic and financial conditions that influenced their vote on where to set interest rates. Thursday - 7th April 🟨 AIG Service Index Another AUD index release. We have the construction index earlier in the week, now we have the services index coming out. Once again it's not something I trade, however, it is fantastic insight into retail sales data. When we do get those retail sales announced next week, we can use this services index to give us a pivotal action point on where those retail sales are aiming, which is why I've noticed that in today's economic calendar, it's worth noting because we can make a preemptive play on the retail sales data release. 🟨 Retail Sales The Euro retail sales expecting a little bit of an increase with the overall potential panic buying happening across Europe. It's going to be interesting to see what happens here. We massively missed the forecast in March. However, it is looking like they've been a little bit bearish while still forecasting growth of 0.6%. Banks are no longer aiming for the real high numbers, I think we're going to come in maybe around 1%, but I'm not putting money on that prediction, it is rather an assumption. I will have to do some more research and I recommend you do you same as well, having the services PMI come through this week from all the different countries within Europe is going to be a great insight into how well the economy is actually performing on the retail sales front. Friday - 8th April Nothing worth mentioning on Friday, the week is going to come to a slow stop. As I said, it is a bit of a slow week this week, only a few different data points worth noting, so we will end the week quite quiet. Obviously, we might have a bit more movement on the fundamental side of things next week but this week looks like it's lining to be a great technical analysis trading week. Always keep your eye on the whole Russia and Ukraine situation because anything can happen there and the market will react accordingly. Do keep your news streams live and in depth as you don't want to be caught off guard by anything going on over there. These are personally just my outlooks having a look into the future week. Do note the data to keep an eye on when they are released and of course you can use the TradingView calendar as well to keep note on that. Have a fantastic trading week, I wish you all the best success.
Education
by the5erstrading
Moving Average Cross Over StrategyWe start by creating a visual for when all moving averages are in order and across the 200 moving average . In this example, I have used a vertical line in the colour of our bias direction, Long(Green) , when this condition has been met. We now have an increased confidence by filtering out trade setups that do not meet our bias giving a higher probability and focus. Levels of previous resistance give us a price that we can enter the market by turning into a new level of support . In this example I have highlighted this with a red arrow located on the left hand side. Now we have a trading bias and a methodology to set price restrictions to enter the market, we can now trade only long positions and trade setups . In this example I have highlighted long opportunities that have been triggered with arrows in green located on the right hand side. Entry points can be executed on either the daily , 4hour or 1hour charts depending on risk and trading style preference. Please note - Lower time frames may generate more signals which presents more risk.
Education
by Youza
Biggest Mover of March! (13.30%)Hey Traders! Just like that, another month has flown by, end of the quarter this time, so it's a little bit more special. What I want to do is run through and have a look at the biggest movers to the upside and to the downside of the month. One of them really stood out across all pairs an I think you guys already know which one I'm going to talk about, the Japanese yen. Looking at our biggest mover of the month, it was AUDJPY and unsurprisingly given how bullish we are looking at the Aussie dollar at the moment and how bearish we were looking at the Japanese yen. As the data unfolded throughout the month, which I talk about momentarily, I am not shocked about this big move but was no expecting a whopping 13.30%. Which was a fantastic move and good to see these types of moves in the Forex market when the volatility comes through. It's bad news obviously for the Japanese yen. Great news for the Aussie dollar. Be interesting to see how it reacts from here. The Japanese yen was very volatile this month. We have a lot of movement due to the unforeseen circumstances around the world. Looking at the Japanese yen fundamentally, it wasn't a great month. Their unemployment rate increase showing that less people had jobs. The producer price index actually increased too much greater than forecasted, which was good news for the Japanese yen, but that didn't last long with the BSI manufacturing index being a massive shock to the system. While the forecast for it was an 8.2 from its previous of 7.9 (forecasting growth). It came in at a whopping -7.6, which was very bad news. Once we adjusted to that bad news, we were met with the trade balance, which was extremely negative as you can see by the chart put below. You can see where the money started to leave the Japanese yen and flood over to the AUD. From there, the shorting of JPY just carried on and on. We had some news come out, like the Tertiary Industry Activity, it was predicted to be negative, it wasn't as negative as forecasted, but the end of the day it is still slower growth which pushed the price even further down. The unemployment rate increased right at the end of the month. As you can see that the price started to push back in and the news might start flipping to show more strength into the Japanese yen compared to what we had. We did see also the pound take a bit of a hit as well as the euro. The euro was a very interesting one as it's reacted with how the whole Russia and Ukraine, scenario is unfolding. Keep an eye on that as we proceed with peace talks, making progress supposedly. We might see a volatility coming through these currencies, but overall I have a bearish sentiment moving into April, not too sure how well that's going to hold up in the long run. And finally, looking at the Swiss franc paired against the US dollar, didn't really make much progress. It was very weak at the start of the month or maybe the US dollar was just wrong. But you can see it moves quite nicely, then we hit the mid point, it's just pulled back into almost where we've opened leaving a very tall top wick on USDCHF. It'll be interesting to see on where we progress from here. Only losing about 0.63% to the US dollar. Thanks so much for tuning in. I hope you enjoyed this. If there is any questions or anything you would like to ask, please leave a comment and I'll get back to you as soon as possible. Cheers guys. Happy trading.
Education
by the5erstrading
8 MYTHS ABOUT TECHNICAL ANALYSISThere are many people and many opinions in the market. There are those who criticize technical analysis, calling it superficial and even useless. There are those who consider technical analysis (TA) the holy grail that can bring huge profits. Today we will try to debunk 8 myths about technical analysis. myths 1. TA is for short-term trading or day trading only. Many people think that TA is only suitable for short-term and computer-driven trading, such as day trading and high frequency trades. The history of TA actually goes back long before computers were invented, and many famous and profitable traders use it for long-term trading. Technical analysis is used by traders on all timeframes, from minutes to weeks and months. 2. Only individual traders use technical analysis. In fact, investment banks have dedicated trading teams that use technical analysis. High-frequency trading, which covers a significant portion of the trading volume of stock exchanges, relies heavily on technical concepts. 3. TA has a low success rate. To debunk this myth, all you have to do is read Masters of the Market: Interviews with Top Traders by Jack D. Schwager, which quotes many traders who profit solely from technical analysis. Traders with many years of experience have been making profits using technical analysis for more than a century. 4. Technical analysis is fast and easy. Novice traders open trades based on a simple TA, but this is not enough to be profitable at a distance. Success depends on continued study, practice, good money management and discipline. Technical analysis is just a tool, just one piece of the puzzle. 5. Ready-made technical analysis software can help traders make money easily. There are a lot of advertisements on the Internet that promise to give you a program for a small amount that will do everything for you and bring you profit - in fact, this is a scam. There are programs and indicators that can help you trade, but no program will give you guaranteed profits. 6. Technical indicators can be applied to all markets. Most often, yes, TA can be applied in all markets, but there are exceptions. Different asset classes move in their own way, with their own characteristics, and a trader must be able to adjust his TA for a particular asset. Don't make the mistake of applying technical indicators designed for one asset class to another. 7. Technical analysis can give very accurate price predictions. Beginning traders expect to see 100% accurate signals and accurate profit prices, reversals and so on from TA. This is simply impossible. Most often, TA helps to find the zone where the price can go, where it can reverse from and this is not a specific point, this is a zone and experienced traders understand this. 8. The winning percentage in technical analysis should be higher. If the first trader out of 5 made 4 profitable trades, and the second trader out of 5 made 1, who is more successful? You need to get more information to give an answer, it may be that the first trader earned $ 10 in 4 trades, but at the same time he lost $ 80 in one and then he will be in the red, and the second trader lost $ 40 in 4 trades , while in one transaction he earned $ 100. The right trading structure ensures profitability even with a small number of winners. It is not necessary to have many profitable trades, it is enough that the profit covers losses and something else remains, and sometimes one trade is enough for this. essence Technical analysis is not the holy grail, it will not give you 100% profit. It does not suit everyone and you need to study it before you understand whether it suits you or not. You need to gain enough experience to learn how to use technical analysis correctly. When used correctly, TA can give you a real opportunity for trading success. Good luck!
Education
by DeGRAM
7
Forex Fundamental AnalysisHello! Today I want to talk about a topic that is rarely discussed, but important at the same time - fundamental analysis of the forex market. News, GDP, interest rates - all this affects the market and everyone needs to be able to understand this. What is fundamental analysis Forex fundamental analysis is a way of analyzing a currency, making predictions based on data that is not directly related to price charts. There are two types of influence of fundamental indicators on the price : Short term. Fundamental information has an impact on the market within minutes or hours. Long term. Fundamental factors, the impact of which on currencies lasts from 3-6 months. Used for strategic positions. Several basic levels are used for conducting FA. The level of the national economy. Comprehensive analytics of economic and political indicators of the country. Industry. The volumes of supply and demand, prices, technologies, as well as production parameters are studied. Individual currency level. Financial statements, management technologies, business strategies, competitive environment are assessed. The classical scheme of fundamental analysis looks like this : An analysis of global financial markets, the presence of signs of a crisis and force majeure events, an examination of the situation in the economy and politics of the leading world powers is carried out. Economic indicators and the general level of stability of the region (industry), the analyzed currency or other instrument are assessed. The degree of influence of regional and world economic indicators on the dynamics of the selected financial instrument in the short and medium term is determined. Main fundamental factors When using FA directly to open trading positions, the following points will be decisive (in descending order of importance) : Interest rates of central banks (CB). Macroeconomic indicators. Force majeure situations, market rumors, news. Central bank rates According to the theory of macroeconomics, increasing interest rates cause currencies to rise in price, while falling interest rates make them cheaper. However, there are situations in the Forex market in which a decrease in the rate becomes the reason for the strengthening of the currency. Foreign exchange market interventions Currency interventions are an important tool in the analysis. Central Banks resort to such a measure very rarely, but you should not ignore this phenomenon. Macroeconomic indicators For any country without exception, there are data of constant importance: the level of GDP; inflation rate; trade balance. These reports are expected by the market. The approach of their publication dates gives rise to a lot of rumors that fuel the trading frenzy. Such an environment often creates situations in which the release of specific numbers does not cause almost any reaction, since the market has already beaten them in advance. However, as FA practice shows, this happens only when the existing trend is not subject to change. In the case when the published data differ significantly from the forecast, the market response can be very violent. This is especially true of the moment of the general reversal of the current trend. Important macroeconomic indicators In simple words, a macroeconomic indicator is expected news, showing up-to-date data on the main indices of the financial and economic state of the state. The advantage is that each trader can know in advance the moment of release of any data from the economic calendar. These indicators affect the rate in the short term and are suitable for trading on medium and short term timeframes. Types of macroeconomic indicators Trade balance. This indicator reflects the volume of exported goods to imported ones. A positive balance is called when exports are higher than imports. Assumes a strengthening of the exchange rate, due to the fact that rising exports increase the demand for the national currency of the exporting region. Discount rate of the National Bank. On its basis, interest rates on deposits and loans are formed. When the national bank rate rises, the currency strengthens; when it falls, it weakens. Gross domestic product. The volume of GDP is obtained by summing up the entire range of services and goods that were produced in the country per capita. However, an increase in GDP always leads to the strengthening of the national currency against other currencies. Inflation. The growth of this indicator leads to the depreciation of the national currency. Unemployment Rate. As a rule, an increase in the indicator is followed by a decrease in output, an increase in inflation and a negative change in the trade balance. For this reason, the data on unemployment has a strong pressure on currencies, and an increase in the figure causes a depreciation. Macroeconomic indicators One of the most common mistakes in trading is trying to trade on weak news. Therefore, you need to understand which data pertains to you. Macroeconomic indicators One of the most common mistakes in trading is trying to trade on weak news. Therefore, you need to understand which of the data are important. Important market data includes : money supply; balance of payments deficit (Balance of Payment Deficit); trade balance deficit (Balance of Trade Deficit); unemployment rate (Unemployment Rate); a significant fall or rise in the rate of inflation (Rate of Inflation); fluctuations in the volume of GDP; change in key rates; emergencies (natural disasters, unexpected events in politics or Second stage of analysis An assessment of the numbers predicted in the calendar for future data. Analysis of the market reaction to this event. This is done in order to understand the price behavior at the news release. For example, when the exchange rate of a currency dependent on news is growing steadily even before the release of figures and at the same time positive data is predicted, one should not expect sharp fluctuations in the exchange rate at the time of the release of the information. And if the forecast turns out to be wrong, then the market can react with a powerful reversal of the current trend. Decision-making. There are two options for entering a trade. The first is to use the situation to open an order on the current trend before the release of the news with constant trailing stops to protect the position. The second is to wait for the release of the data and make trading decisions according to the situation. Results Fundamental indicators certainly affect the price, but each in its own way. It is worth remembering this and not running to open a position just by seeing some news. Analyze, try to understand the possible reaction of the market to the news. Use all the information, be objective and then you will be better than most. Good luck! Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩
Education
by Lingrid
45
GOLD TRADING GAUGE | EASY TO OBSERVEThe 'Why' Insight: The other way to keep your money is to put it in a savings account or into bonds that aren't very risky and will pay you interest. People who invest in gold lose money when interest rates go up because the yields on savings accounts and bonds also go up, which makes gold less appealing as a long-term investment. It is very important to look at the interest rate when you are trying to figure out how much gold is worth. Storage costs and insurance are two more things to think about. The price of the commodity will be the sum of all of these things. Thereafter, how the price moves depends on things like the movement of the US Dollar and things like demand and supply. Warning: This is the broader view, not the detail spesific method for entry.
TVC:GOLDEducation
by TradingCocktail
What is the pricing in factor?Pricing In Human behaviour, specifically greed and impatience are some of the main reasons the markets move the way they do. The term pricing in is the definition and illustration of human impatience. Due to the fear of missing out, impatience, and greed, humans natural instinct after hearing a rumour without any solid information to back it is the buy into it. Brexit has been causing a lot of this recently with rumours of a possible Brexit solution which causes investors to “price in” based on the rumours. Interest rate cuts are another example where they begin to get priced in based on the rumours. Buy the rumour, sell the news. A sentence commonly seen in the trading world. Let's imagine we have interest rate data expected to be released at 2%. The current rate is 3%. This data is seen as negative as the interest rate is dropping so many people can begin to factor that information in days prior to the release of the news. This is demonstrated by a drop in the price of the currency much earlier than the actual release. Once the data is released, it comes out at 2%, and you may notice the price does not move much. This is due to the fact that the price has dropped and been factored in prior. However, let's imagine the data released at 1.5% which is worse than expected, you can expect the value to decrease majorly. On the other hand if the data was released at 2.5%, even though the interest rate still fell from 3 to 2.5%, it is still expected to see an increase in value of the currency due to the data being greater than the expected result. In other words, when data release is unexpected, you should expect great volatility in the markets. In the markets, it is important to always watch for the unexpected at all times. Data may be predicted to be very positive or very negative and once released it can be the total opposite. Don't get caught up in trading news as it is not suggested, however learn how to use the fundamentals to your advantage and imply them into your technical analysis.
UEducation
by opes_trading_group
Analysis way - Buyers Vs Sellers ShiftsAnalyzing buyers vs sellers . Very simple way of analyzing and trading supply demand in its purest form. Identify where buyers has stepped in and showed interest in price and where is potential that they can step in again. Identify where sellerss has stepped in and showed interest in price and where is potential that they can step in again. Drop timeframe lower and - 1. see that for example Buyers are defending that level. and there is interest of buying. 2. identify shift of buyers vs sellers. see that the buyers have won battle against the sellers. Price target: In uptrend price keeps breaking highs consistently. Once this stops and market keeps breaking lows trend changes. This highs and lows act as price target that If trend would continue price should hit and break higher. Shifts: Shift where buyers won the battle against sellers and via versa.
Education
by JansIdeas
RSI:MACD advanced indicatorgreetings, hope you're doing well and thanks for your likes and comments . Today i'm gonna teach you how to mix two indicators there's lots of indicators that you can mix together and use them, at this tutorial i'm gonna try adding MACD and RSI . 1_ Once you have added the RSI indicator, you have to open RSI settings. 2_then you have to process the way below : go to settings > go to inputs (its a tab like button above) > open source, select MACD:MACD . congrats you have mixed these two indicators, but it haven't finished. 3_ after these steps you have to go to style tab > set the upper band on number 66.66 4_ you have to turn of the check of middle band (there's no need to use it;) 5_ then, set the lower band on number 33.33; well done ! "Guys there is no any %100 true analysis" . you should buy if the RSI line goes upper than lower band, you can expect growing up the price you should sell id the RSI line goes lower than upper band, you can expect getting down the price, thanks for your likes, and comments <3 If there was any questions, i will be so glad to reply to your messages !
Education
by Trader_mehrab82
How to trade fundamentals (AUDUSD BUYS)Hey traders! A common question I get is, do I trade fundamentals?? -From my experience it is to hard to trade off the back of data releases as the moves are to quick to happen and usually get very messy... -Fundamentals I believe just help push a currency in the right direction as technicals give us the entry points to catch these moves -For me its a rule to always have my stop-loss at breakeven when trading around the times of any news event or data release. -It is important that we always know when a big event or release is coming out to cover any trades we currently have running or are about to open, price can move so quick and cause slippage on accounts especially if you are over leveraged. -So the answer is I do and I don't trade fundaments, the aim of the game for me is to already be in a position with stops at breakeven to catch the bigger move but also protecting my account at the same time, at the end of the day we never know what's going to happen and price can do some wild things... ......... fundamentals overall control the market but technicals provide us with the entry points and create market structure.........
Education
by jamison_fx
14
My Issue With Technical AnalysisI am going to have to choose my words carefully in this article, as I am sure it will be an unpopular one. I first want to say that TA clearly has a time and a place, and is excellent for certain aspects of creating your position. But I fear the idea of TA is far to simple and it fails to recognize the various factors of market price. Where TA Works The idea of Technical Analysis in theory is a magnificent one. The idea that people are consistent and that trends will repeat themselves. In some cases I would agree; TA is highly useful for determining the short term price action of a stock. RSI (Relative Strength Index) is a solid measure of whether a stock is over bought or over sold, and momentum indicators are a sound way to map out the length and intensity a security will move. Finding the price channel of a security is a highly effective way to map out price targets, you may use the Fib Retracement Lines. The three techniques mentioned above are backed by history and are all based around direction of price due to the days prior. I believe that if using TA in this manner, traders can be very successful, if they consider many other factors. Where TA Doesn't Work I believe there is far to much "wishy-washy", for the lack of a better term, ideas in TA. There is far to many people "Reading candle sticks", an ineffective method backed by absolutely nothing. Before you come for my head, understand; In finance, all securities fairly priced are backed by the numbers to support that price. They are backed by the previous momentum and are tied heavily to the overall market. Nothing in finance is just a random occurrence, somebody somewhere planned for, and made it happen. So the idea that a close and a open are going to effect the next day's price, is nonsense. The idea that patterns may happen again, is valid, but the environment which it is set up in must be the exact same. I believe there are far to many strategies that people claim to work, that don't. I believe it is far to difficult for any human to see a pattern in the midst of it happening, rather than after the fact. In conclusion, I want to say I am not bashing on those who believe in TA, but I see too many inconsistencies with it. I believe when mapping momentum, planning entrance and exits, and looking into weather a security is overbought or undersold, TA can be highly effective. I would be cautious when looking into any strategy not backed by math, or that involves symbols. I believe all investors should learn the skills of TA, but should use them in a realistic sense. I see far to many influencers talking about unrealistic strategies, and only showing their success's. Have a great day everyone!
SP:SPXEducation
by braydenboyko
2
Enhanced Magic Formula for fundamental analysisThis is an experimental procedure based on fundamentals. Since, there isn't much option to backtest these methodologies, I am trying to create a trade and then measure performance over long period of time. Magic Formula investing method is invented by Joel Greenblatt . In a nutshell strategy does following: Rank all the stocks based on Return on Capital Rank all the stocks based on Earning Yield Add these ranks to come up with a combined rank. Invest equally in first 10 stoscks of combined. Rebalance yearly. Concept here is, earnings yield represents value whereas return on capital represents quality. Combining these two to get the stocks which have best of both. More information on the methodology is present here: www.investopedia.com Improved Method : Since, tradingview does not allow comparing fundamentals or technicals of all stocks, I had to do this in python. Output report can be found here: docs.google.com Basic Filtering of Stocks: Basic filtering of stocks is done based on the methods as mentioned in quality screen indicator: Since the financial data is taken from yahoo for generating report, some of the quality parameters are not included and there can be slight changes in the fundamental values present in tradingview. No other initial filtering is applied. Derive ranks on several Value, Profitability, Growth and Cashflow parameters: Value Parameters : P/E, P/S, P/B, P/C, P/FCF, PE-Forwarding, PEG Ratio Profitability Parameters : ROA, ROE, ROI, GrossMargin, OperatingMargin, ProfitMargin Growth and Momentum Parameters : Quarterly, Half Yearly and Yearly Performance, Upside Calculated from analyst valuation Cashflow Parameters : Quick Ratio, Current Ratio, Debt to Equity, Long term Debt to Equity, Debt to Assets, Long term debt to assets. Derive composite rank for Value, Profitability, Growth and Cashflow based on individual ranks: For example, Add up all ranks of value parameter to come up with Value Score. And then sort value score in ascending order to get value rank Derive combination ranks such as value/growth rank, value/profitability rank etc by similar method: Also create combined rank which considers all 4 ranks - value, profitability, growth and cashflow. Sort the values based on combined rank to get top value/quality stocks - which represents lowest score. Final stock selection consideration : Instead of picking first 10 stocks, I have picked stocks from different sectors thus sacrificing bit of Magic Formula edge. This is to avoid high concentration on single sector. Final list of stocks selected: SBSW - Basic Materials (Gold) VALE - Basic Materials (Industrial Metals and Mining) GOOG - Communication Services (Internet and Information) CROX - Consumer Cyclical (Footwear and Accessories) ENVA - Financial (Credit Services) EVR - Financial (Capital Markets) UTHR - Healthcare (Biotechnology) LPX - Industrial (Building Products and Equipment) TER - Technology (Semicondoctor Equipment & Materials) AMAT - Technology (Semicondoctor Equipment & Materials)
NYSE:SBSWEducation
by Trendoscope
7
FALSE BREAKOUTS | SPOT/AVOID/TRADE THEM LIKE PRO📈📉 FALSE BREAKOUTS | SPOT/AVOID/TRADE THEM LIKE PRO📈📉 How often have you opened a key level breakout trade, and then the price turned against you? False breakout happens quite often and it is a problem for many traders who buy at highs and sell at lows. ❗️Breakout trading is a fairly popular and viable trading strategy. However, some breakouts often turn out to be false. This can be quite frustrating, not to mention that it can often lead to a losing trade. However, in many cases, an experienced trader can analyze the market situation and react to it accordingly. False breakouts can make a profit if you know how to trade them correctly. ⚠️A false breakdown is a situation when the price violates an obvious level, but then suddenly changes direction. When the initial breakout of the level occurs, many traders open a trade in the direction of the breakdown. These traders are trapped when the price reverses, which triggers a series of stop losses. New traders are also entering the market, and this puts additional pressure on the price. This often turns the price into a new trend, the opposite of the initial breakout. A breakout that turns out to be false is a sign of strength in a downtrend or weakness in an uptrend. As you can see, a false breakout can easily cause significant losses for any trader. Some traders develop their entire strategy around trading false breakouts, as this can be a very powerful trading approach. Some of the best trades happen when market players fall into a trap and their stops start to work. ✅How to find patterns of false breakouts? 🟢If you do not learn how to correctly identify false breakouts, you will not be able to trade them profitably. For example, there will be situations when the price returns to the breakout point, and only then continues its movement. 🟢One of the ways to detect false breakouts is to monitor the volume. Real breakouts are usually accompanied by strong indications of trading volume at the time of the breakout. When this volume is absent, there is a higher probability that the breakout will not happen. 🟢Thus, if the trading volume is low or it decreases during the breakout, a false breakout is likely to occur. In contrast, if the volume is large or it increases, a real breakdown is likely. 🟢It is also useful to monitor not only the trading volume but also the price movement on the lower timeframe. In many cases, you will see that the price makes a very sharp pullback on the lower timeframe, which is not visible on the higher timeframe. ✅False Breakout Trap 🔴After all, many trading textbooks say that a breakout can be considered confirmed when a candle closes above the resistance level. However, the price moves in your direction for a while and then turns 180 degrees. As a result, you have a stop loss triggered. 🔴The false breakout trap includes several candlesticks, usually 1-4, that go beyond the key support or resistance level. Such breakouts occur after a strong movement, as the market has reached an important level, but the price momentum still retains its strength. Have you ever been trapped by a false breakout?
BITFINEX:BTCUSDEducation
by TopTradingSignals
8