EURUSD-2
Eur/Usd Value Area Needs A BreakoutEur/Usd has no clear direction as of right now but past experience and past knowledge tells us when price is moving up and then enters a area of value or consolidation , many times price will move up, however... this pattern is not leaning down or up! This is a rectange! Price could go either way!
We trade the breakout of this area to the upside or downside with a limit order or by watching price action and then placing the order.
EURUSD - Clear Trading OpportunityAfter EURUSD retests to the 1.23800 resistance level, it will bounce back off due to insufficient buying momentum. This is a clear trading opportunity: simply enter the trade selling EURUSD when it has reached the resistance level, put your stop loss above the 1.23800 resistance level and take profit a bit above the 1.12500 support level to be safe.
Charts Gives you Sign, Read The Price Action! The Art of technical analysis is Simple:
1) Take a Clean Chart
2) Look For major Trend in Daily Chart.
3) Zoom into H4 for any counter trend, In case of EURNZD I spotted Post rejection of 61.8% Fib level
4) Eventually Price broke the Counter trend line (here where 90% retail trader starts selling) No Be patient Let the price show you confluences.
5) Price pulls back up and retest its former Support/Resistance, trendline (incase of EURNZD it pulled back up and retested trendline and rejected) Still be patient as we dont have much confluences.
6) Finally I had a 4H bearish engulfing candle close giving 2nd confluence that the bearish major trend of daily chart will prevail. Price just came up to 61.8 Fib level to make a LOWER HIGH (LH)
7) Now after having 3 Confluences (Trendline Break, Trendline Retest & Rejection, Bearish Engulfing) I took a sell @ 1.6911 with Stoploss right above previous 3 candles @ 1.6955
8) Price came down and broke keylevel zone (as from point #6 on chart we see it came back at the top of keyzone and pulls back down with a nice bearish engulfing) Holding Positions Patience!
9) Nice +80 Pips, Here we need to apply exiting strategies (Close your 50% position and book profits) & put stoploss at breakeven) trade is safe now Let it RUN.
FX:EURNZD
EURUSD - EDUCATION - 13. JULY. 2019Welcome to DACapitalTrading, We provide any kind of Technical and Fundamental Analysis
for Forex and Crypto-Currency Markets every day!
-
1 HOUR
Sideways consolidating market conditions right now.
4 HOUR
Small bullish pullback to the upside after a bearish rally.
DAILY
Bullish waving market forming several HH / HL Structures.
OVERALL
Expecting market to break previous week highs and taking out shortterm sellers before
heading back down to average price movement at 1.12400!
Be patient and wait for reactions at our levels :)
Good luck
-
Leave us a comment or like to keep our content for free and alive.
Have a great week everyone!
ALAN
How to Read Volume Profile StructuresWhat Is Volume Profile?
There are two ways of observing the total volume transactions in any market. As a spot forex trader, you can tap into tick volumes as an accurate visual representation of the total traded volume in the X-axis, which would then make your analysis be based on time.
Alternatively, you can carry out your volume study through the vertical Y-axis, in which case, you are analyzing the total activity based on price levels. It is this latter study what volume profile is about; it’s a histogram of the amounts bought and sold at specific price levels as opposed to specific times.
The volume profile allows any trader to evaluate the market context to keep track of the never-ending auction process. That’s what a market is at the end of the day, a constant negotiating process to find equilibrium/agreement (via the accumulation of transactions at a certain level), and the ones that were perceived too cheap or too expensive (no volume found). The art of reading volume profile is all about studying the anatomy of the market auctions.
Before taking things to the next level, allow me to walk you through some basics. When drawing your volume profile in the chart, you must become intimately familiar with the following values:
1. Point of Control (PoC): It refers to the area in the chart with the most traded volume activity. This is by far the most relevant area you want to monitor as it can help to define the placement of your stops or the areas in the chart where you might find the most pristine entry levels. The highest concentrated area of volume for a particular period of time we will call it PoC or Point of Control and you will be surprised how many times it acts as a wall on a retest. Traders tend to factor this in as an area of support or resistance.
2. High Volume Nodes (HVN): Sub-sequences in the chart with high volume activity. While not as powerful nor symbolic as the PoC, the HVN is also a powerful area as it also represents increased trading activity.
3. Value Area (VA): The range of price levels in which a specified percentage of all volume was traded. By default, the industry standards tends to be 70%. Once I explain the principle of the distribution curve below, it will become much clearer why the default number is the 70%, bear with me.
There are three different types of volume profiles to use in your charts. When you first call the volume profile option through the widely popular charting package trading view, the options include:
Fixed Range
Visible Range
Session Volume (Preferred)
I personally find the combination of the daily price action activity and its respective volume flows at specific price levels the most relevant approach as I will demonstrate in the next paragraphs. The session volume allows you to constantly obtain an update to re-evaluate the market, whereas the assessment of the fixed range or the visible range is more discretionary.
That said, the fixed and visible range options also serve as useful tools depending on the purpose of your analysis, that’s why I will also spend some time going through the most valuable benefits of its use.
Fixed Range: Selection Of Interest Levels A La Carte
Trading the markets, especially if you are an intraday trader, involves constant interaction with your charts. You are constantly looking for areas that you can lean against to take certain actions. Right? This first fixed range option allows you to select any area in the chart to deconstruct the total activity. This is a tool that can be of enormous value if you are looking to tighten or trail your stops as well as spotting areas of most interest to enter your positions.
Let’s say that you wanted to play a short in the EUR/USD 30m chart after the breakout of the range. A fairly conventional strategy would have been to wait for the price to break below the two horizontal support levels and enter short on a retest of either one of them. The next logical question would then be, where would you place your stop? If you are trading conservatively, you’d probably be placing your stop somewhere above the 1.16 in order to leave enough wiggle room in case the rebound returns back into the range.
However, if you think about it, there are other areas in the chart that still make a lot of sense to capitalize on. If you were interested in tightening your stop in such a magnitude that your short trade could exploit the prospects of a much larger risk reward, you could then be tapping into the power of the fixed range volume profile to identify at what price level after the range breakout the highest concentration of volume occurred. You could then use this as an area of relevance to assist your action as a seller. In the example, it may have been a great area to play with a much tighter stop.
There is a multitude of examples I could provide about the usefulness of the fixed range volume profile. However, since I want the core of this tutorial to be about the session volume structures, I’d refrain from further chart illustrations unless you want me to (post comments below). I am sure you can figure out how it could be of benefit to you, depending on your trading style.
Visible Range: The Macro View Of The Market
As the name indicates, the visible range option unpacks as much trading activity as data is in your chart. It portrays the big picture view of the most-traded price levels over a specified period of time.
This option is most suited as part of your daily or weekly analysis to spot areas of interest in the chart. By stepping back and projecting an eagle-view from a macro level, it helps you to easily identify key supports and resistances, which is what I mainly suggest to use the visible range for.
One of the most powerful approaches that I recommend is to select your macro areas of interest by zooming out your charts. Once done, you can start drawing horizontal rectangles at every high volume nodes (in black) or low volume node (in red). The areas highlighted will be by far the most relevant that you want to be paying attention going forward.
EURUSD - EDUCATION - 06. JULY. 2019Welcome to DACapitalTrading, We provide any kind of Technical and Fundamental Analysis
for Forex and Crypto-Currency Markets every day!
-
1 HOUR
Strong dropping market with a lot of pressure.
4 HOUR
80% Pullback of previous wave and low/high - structure,
DAILY
Bullish waving market with a very strong pullback now.
OVERALL
Expecting market to drop even further on monday towards or even below previous lows
taking out several long holders and buyers. Looking forward a 50% Pullback of previous bearish
break and price movement.
Good luck
-
Leave us a comment or like to keep our content for free and alive.
Have a great week everyone!
ALAN
A Yearly Analysis Of Eur/UsdThis is not meant to be a signal or a trade idea! This is a long term analysis of Eur/Usd using a Weekly Time Frame With A Line Chart.
So as you can see, Price broke Support and Came back up recently to Retest WEEKLY SUPPORT NOW TURNED RESISTANCE.....
This gives me the idea that the EXTREME LONG term bias toward Eur/Usd will definately be down into the next major weekly resistance area.
I did draw some trend lines and tried to add all of the touches just to give traders an idea of why I put these lines on the chart.
I know that it may look messy but I think this chart can give us a beginning... in order to form our trade ideas over the next few weeks....
Using the Forecast Tool on tradingview, It would take around 1 Year before price would enter the next support zone.
WHY A BEARISH BIAS FOR NFP TRADELet 1st 15m bar close
1st bar closed below Kijun-sen,
+ vol, oversold %R, Red Macd bar
Wait for a 23%+ fib pullback retrace
2nd bar 38.2%+ pullback & closed below 38.2% level
Enter on open of 3rd bar
3rd bar CLOSE confirmed bearish bias because
Volume+, Oversold %R, Macd red bar
You find your own SL and TP
The Advantages of Price Action (Technical Analysis) Technical Analysis (AKA Price Action)
Technical analysis is the understanding and observing of markets through the only thing that matters; price. Prices generate similar patterns over time, in every market. A single price chart contains more information than you would ever imagine at first glance. Everything you need to know about any company, or market is on the chart in front of you. The current price is what the true value of the market is, regardless of news, indicators, or anything else.
The Advantages of Technical Analysis (Price Action)
No News - Everything you need to know is on the chart in front of you. Completely disregard all news and outside information. All news is already built into the current price. The price action of the market is all you need to know. Once you understand how institutions operate, you can follow them.
No indicators. All indicators are a derivative of price. For example a Fibonacci level. Every price on a chart is a Fibonacci level of some other price on the chart. Although they appear to work, these levels do not work because of Fibonacci. But instead due to the traders equation, which is the mathematical formula institutions use to enter and manage trades.
Clearly define support and resistance. You can see on a chart where prices are likely to do something. These are "Key entry points" or "Buy and Sell Zones."
Clearly define risk and edge. With technical trading, you have the ability to define your risk before getting into a trade. If the market does not do what you expected, and instead goes beyond your stop, you exit. Without needing to wonder about why this happened, or constantly observing the news.
Identify the strongest markets without relying on outside information like news, indicators, someone else, or a "tip." Become independent and trade for your self.
If you found this helpful please like! Feel free to comment or ask questions.
The Advantages of Technical Analysis (Price Action)Technical Analysis (AKA Price Action)
Technical analysis is the understanding and observing of markets through the only thing that matters; price. Prices generate similar patterns over time, in every market. A single price chart contains more information than you would ever imagine at first glance. Everything you need to know about any company, or market is on the chart in front of you. The current price is what the true value of the market is, regardless of news, indicators, or anything else.
The Advantages of Technical Analysis (Price Action)
No News - Everything you need to know is on the chart in front of you. Completely disregard all news and outside information. All news is already built into the current price. The price action of the market is all you need to know. Once you understand how institutions operate, you can follow them.
No indicators . All indicators are a derivative of price. For example a Fibonacci level. Every price on a chart is a Fibonacci level of some other price on the chart. Although they appear to work, these levels do not work because of Fibonacci. But instead due to the traders equation, which is the mathematical formula institutions use to enter and manage trades.
Clearly define support and resistance. You can see on a chart where prices are likely to do something. These are "Key entry points" or "Buy and Sell Zones."
Clearly define risk and edge. With technical trading, you have the ability to define your risk before getting into a trade. If the market does not do what you expected, and instead goes beyond your stop, you exit. Without needing to wonder about why this happened, or constantly observing the news.
Identify the strongest markets without relying on outside information like news, indicators, someone else, or a "tip." Become independent and trade for your self.
If you found this helpul please like! Feel free to comment or ask questions.
EURUSD - EDUCATION - 22. JUNE. 2019Welcome to DACapitalTrading, We provide any kind of Technical and Fundamental Analysis
for Forex and Crypto-Currency Markets every day!
-
1 HOUR
Strong bullish price action and pressure.
4 HOUR
Amazing bullish wave above previous highs and resistance.
DAILY
Sideways waving market about to find resistance and break back to the downside.
OVERALL
Expecting prices to form new highs on Monday/Tuesday and head back to the downside towards our
average price index and Psychological support zone!
Very nice and simple pattern, looking forward next week and will update you on market open :)
Good luck
-
Leave us a comment or like to keep our content for free and alive.
Have a great week everyone!
ALAN
EURUSD - EDUCATION - 15. JUNE. 2019DACAPITALTRADING V2.0:
Welcome to DACapitalTrading, We provide any kind of Technical and Fundamental Analysis
for Forex and Crypto-Currency Markets every day!
-
1 HOUR
Very bearish price action on friday with a strong negative closure for last week.
4 HOUR
Pullback after forming a med-timeframe Double top with a strong reaction.
DAILY
Bearish waving market turned bullish with a strong reaction and pullback afterwards.
OVERALL
Bullish market with over 50% Pullback of previous week price action + wave formation,
expecting market to drop below previous week lows and rise very strong instantly afterwards.
Very good setup with high probability, we patient to get good entries next week :)
Good luck
Leave us a comment or like to keep our content for free and alive.
Have a great week everyone!
ALAN
USING MATH TRICKS ON YOUR CHARTS You can't count cards in casinos, but you can count bars in price action. No matter what pattern you trade, I would bet that if it falls out of of the pattern in less than 5 bars, it's not going to happen, so don't waste your time. Come back to it later. But, if it holds the pattern for 10 bars, it's probably going to continue in the pattern for 20 to 30 more bars. This little trick enables you to estimate how much time to expect your trading pattern to continue which is very useful when you're deciding whether or not you want to take the trade.
For example, if you're looking for a range pattern to trade on a short-time frame chart, look for one that has been working the range for 10 bars and you can expect at least 10 to 20 more bars of similar price action.
The MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) is another math-hound I love on my charts. It looks at historical prices and gives you a picture of current momentum and direction. MACD crunches numbers on 4 different levels, and that might be hard to do in your head. But, have a look when the MACD line crosses zero, changing from positive to negative polarity, and you'll know the math is telling you something new is happening in the market right now. How does it take historical price numbers and tell us what's happening now or even be predictive of what's going to happen next? Mathematically, of course, it can compare what was happening awhile ago with what the price numbers are doing now, and detect change in the algorithmic patterns. When "change" is viewed as momentum starting to build, that math makes you smarter with your trade entries and exits.
CAN MOVING AVERAGE GIVE CONTEXT TO PRICE MOVEMENTConsider the common situation in Forex when price makes a move for 50 or more pips in one direction. It could be a sudden move covering a large distance in just one or two bars, or it could move steadily over many days. Whether the move surprises you or steadily makes tracks in one direction, it happens that you notice this market might be trending. Will it continue? Or, should you expect it to suddenly reverse? How do you know?
Trading is a speculative venture without absolute assurance of timing or direction for the market’s next move, but there is something you can do to stack the odds in your favor. Plotting a moving average gives context to changes in price, and provides a template for planning trades with expectations about what the market will do next.
Look at these 2 charts. The first one, without any technical indicators, is a picture of rapid change in price. It would be impossible to know if it’s random, if it’s expected to continue going down, or if it might swing back in the opposite direction.
In the second picture, two moving averages give context to that same price action.
In the midst of a choppy market where price is jumping up and down over a period of time, the moving averages show me that price is holding to one side, giving me the information I need to know this market is in a down-trend and will be looking for lower lows. Going short is a good bet in spite of the volatility.
Moving averages are guides, providing context and making the world of price action look a lot less random.
Discipline management is one of the hardest things to master. Discipline management is one of the hardest things to master . At the same time, it is the most important element
of successful trading.
It is up to every trader to establish a pre-market routine and build strong trading habits.
You should strive to attain discipline if you ever hope to achieve any level of trading success.
Trading discipline is practised 100 percent of the time, in every trade, each and every day.
If you want to trade the market,and you still find it difficult because your strategey doesn't work or you don't
know what to do, iam here, and i can help you.i have a trading method that helped thousands of traders
become profitable,it is easy, simple, and very profitable, and it will work certainly for you. if you are interested Just Send me A private Massege
TRADING BREAKOUTS WITH KELTNER CHANNELTrading Breakouts with Keltner Channel
When it comes to breakout trading, Keltner Channel is a very powerful indicator. The keltner channel breakout system works best when volatility rises. However, the Keltner indicator measures not just the volatility, but it can also show anomalies in the price behavior.
Since Keltner channel indicator is lagging in nature, we can use a secondary tool like the ADX indicator to give us more confluence. These two indicators can help us catch explosive breakouts.
With the ADX we measure the strength of the breakout. Generally, and ADX reading above the 20 level is considered to be the beginning of a bullish/bearish trend. Any reading below 20 signals a period of consolidation.
The ADX needs to continue to rise to suggest that the trend is strong. When the Keltner Channel is used in combination with the ADX indicator, you can trade breakouts with objectivity.
Trigger conditions for buying breakouts:
Keltner Channel bands need to turn flat.
Price need to break above the upper band.
ADX needs to cross above the 20 level.
Follow the above trading rules if you want to avoid most of the false breakouts.