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EURUSD-2

EW Analysis: The Connection Between USD and BitcoinHello traders! Today we will talk about US Dollar and Bitcoin! We have noticed very interesting patterns and correlation between US Dollar and Bitcoin. In the first chart we can clearly see bearish setup on US Dollar after that sharp and impulsive decline followed by a three-wave a-b-c expanded flat correction back to ideal 61,8% Fibo. retracement. At the same time, in the sceond chart even EURUSD can be making bullish setup after that strong five-wave rally followed by a three-wave a-b-c decline with a triangle in wave "b" back to ideal 78,6% Fibo. retracement, which indicates a corrective drop! So, based on USD correlations, seems like USD Index can see some weakness in the upcoming sessions at least towards 97.00 - 96.50 area, while EURUSD may start recovering back to 1.1250 highs or maybe even 1.1300 area! Well, as you can see in the third chart, when EURUSD turned down into a correction, even BTCUSD made a bigger and in our opinion corrective decline down to 9500 level, ideally for wave C of a big bullish triangle pattern, which can be seen in our previous idea! So, according to correlations with EURUSD, we believe that even BTCUSD can see a bigger recovery soon, ideally back to 61,8% - 78,6% Fibo. retracement and 11200 - 11700 area for wave D! That being said, while USD Index can be headed lower, watch out for the recovery on EURUSD and BTCUSD in the upcoming week! Bu humble and trade smart! Disclosure: Please be informed that information we provide is NOT a trading recommendation or investment advice. All of our work is for educational purposes only.
TVC:DXYEducation
by ew-forecast
1
Mirror levels, How it can save you years and thounthends of USD.Today I want to share with 1 one type of key levels and also explain why it's so profitable for you to use it. This knowledge will save you years in trading and thousands of dollars. For a start lat`s discuss some fundamental rules in trading: 1. We trade probabilities. It means it's impossible to say with 100% accuracy current signal will close with profit or not but it's possible to say that if we open 100 entries we will close 50% ... 60% or 70% entries in profit. 2. You don't need to hunt for 100% accuracy. That's one of the most common mistakes of freshers because if you will learn what is Risk / Reward you will understand how really you can make money in trading. You can be profitable even if you have 30% — 40% of profit deals if you take enough risk/reward. Example of risk-reward. Just imagine that you have a risk per 1 position $100 and you always set potential profit (Risk/Reward (R/R)) 1 to 4 (in 4 times bigger) $400. If you will get 3 losses and 1 positive entry you still will be in profit. Calculations: -$100 -$100 -$100 + $400 = +$100. It is only 25% accuracy. 3. You always need to use the same risk per 1 position only in that case your mathematical expectancy will work. I will write more about it in the future posts if this idea will get more than 100 like. When we trade key levels we get: - Accurate entries. - Low predictable risk. - Potential profit is in many times bigger than a risk. Mirror level is: Support become Resistant or Resistance become Support . How you can find a mirror level? Drow key level and wait when the price will break it. Below I will show you how I do it. Key levels better to build on: - Trend change points - Many daily candles bounced from one level. It will be the most powerful levels which accumulate a lot of volumes. Examples: EUR/USD: Gold: SP 500: OIL : BTC/USD: You can see that this system works on all markets. P.S. It is only a first part about mirror levels. I will write more about: how it`s better to find levels on a chart, meanig of it and how big players accumulate volume using such type of key points if this post will reach 100 like. P.P.S. Write in comments about what questions you have about Mirror levels.
Education
by Yuriy_Bishko
21
How to open accurate entries with key support resistance levelsIn this Education posit I want to share with you how to pic best places on a chart. Where to open entries with potential profit in 5...10 times bigger than a risk. I recommend to use Historical levels or Breakpoint of the trend: - Most of the retail traders set stop Losses below or above such key levels. - Stop Losses of retail traders is a Fuel for Big Players. - You Have low and predictable risk if you open entry after the false breakout of a key level. How to find such levels on a chart? - Price bounced from it and started a new trend. - An instrument made deep pullback from that point. What can make entry more accurate? Price sharply came to such level. Moved 2 or 3 Average daily move. UK OIL Example. 01 Aug 2019 oil rate drop-down 400 pips. It's more than 2,5 average daily move. after a false breakout price bounced up 300 pips. Risk in that entry was 30 pips. Potential profit in 10 times bigger. Examples: 1. US 2000 Index Price bounced from the breaking point 1454,6. 2. UK 100 Index 3. Dax 4. EUR/GBP 5. US OIL www.tradingview.com If u trade such level u can take in 5...10... bigger than you risk. P.S. Write your thoughts about this strategy. P.P.S. After 100 like I will write another educational post about my trading strategy and how you can use it.
TVC:GOLDEducation
by Yuriy_Bishko
56
SUPPORT AND RESISTANCE A major mistake traders make is to assume that in order to be profitable you need to use so many tools and it's in fact the opposite. Let's start off with basic support resistance. We know the market moves up, down and side ways. But it never moves straight up or down. As it moves up or down it will meet levels of support and resistance. It's important you understand where these levels are on which ever pairs you trade. SUPPORT - you will meet points of support mainly in a downtrend. As pointed out above, you can see there are more points of support than resistance. So remember support will appear below price, below the candlesticks. see it as the floor of the chart. RESISTANCE - You will meet points of resistance mainly in an uptrend, support is the 'roof' it will appear above price. Price meets head on with resistance levels. Previous support/resistance turning into future resistance/support - Previous support can turn into future resistance, this is where price will break through this support in a downtrend and the come back and retest this level ( as shown in the chart above) . This previous support is now resistance. This also applies the other way around. Support and resistance levels are points within the market where price will pivot. There are also levels in the market where price will gain momentum before continuing a move. You always want to plot these levels on the higher time frames as the levels on the higher time frames will hold more significance. i.e. support on the daily time frame will hold a lot significance than support on the 1hr time frame. Hit that follow button for more stuff to come..
Education
by Malika_Analysis
Charts Gives you Sign, Read The Price Action! The Art of technical analysis is Simple: 1) Take a Clean Chart 2) Look For major Trend in Daily Chart. 3) Zoom into H4 for any counter trend, In case of EURNZD I spotted Post rejection of 61.8% Fib level 4) Eventually Price broke the Counter trend line (here where 90% retail trader starts selling) No Be patient Let the price show you confluences. 5) Price pulls back up and retest its former Support/Resistance, trendline (incase of EURNZD it pulled back up and retested trendline and rejected) Still be patient as we dont have much confluences. 6) Finally I had a 4H bearish engulfing candle close giving 2nd confluence that the bearish major trend of daily chart will prevail. Price just came up to 61.8 Fib level to make a LOWER HIGH (LH) 7) Now after having 3 Confluences (Trendline Break, Trendline Retest & Rejection, Bearish Engulfing) I took a sell @ 1.6911 with Stoploss right above previous 3 candles @ 1.6955 8) Price came down and broke keylevel zone (as from point #6 on chart we see it came back at the top of keyzone and pulls back down with a nice bearish engulfing) Holding Positions Patience! 9) Nice +80 Pips, Here we need to apply exiting strategies (Close your 50% position and book profits) & put stoploss at breakeven) trade is safe now Let it RUN. FX:EURNZD
Education
by Keashif
EURUSD - EDUCATION - 13. JULY. 2019Welcome to DACapitalTrading, We provide any kind of Technical and Fundamental Analysis for Forex and Crypto-Currency Markets every day! - 1 HOUR Sideways consolidating market conditions right now. 4 HOUR Small bullish pullback to the upside after a bearish rally. DAILY Bullish waving market forming several HH / HL Structures. OVERALL Expecting market to break previous week highs and taking out shortterm sellers before heading back down to average price movement at 1.12400! Be patient and wait for reactions at our levels :) Good luck - Leave us a comment or like to keep our content for free and alive. Have a great week everyone! ALAN
Education
by DACapitalTrading
14
How to Read Volume Profile StructuresWhat Is Volume Profile? There are two ways of observing the total volume transactions in any market. As a spot forex trader, you can tap into tick volumes as an accurate visual representation of the total traded volume in the X-axis, which would then make your analysis be based on time. Alternatively, you can carry out your volume study through the vertical Y-axis, in which case, you are analyzing the total activity based on price levels. It is this latter study what volume profile is about; it’s a histogram of the amounts bought and sold at specific price levels as opposed to specific times. The volume profile allows any trader to evaluate the market context to keep track of the never-ending auction process. That’s what a market is at the end of the day, a constant negotiating process to find equilibrium/agreement (via the accumulation of transactions at a certain level), and the ones that were perceived too cheap or too expensive (no volume found). The art of reading volume profile is all about studying the anatomy of the market auctions. Before taking things to the next level, allow me to walk you through some basics. When drawing your volume profile in the chart, you must become intimately familiar with the following values: 1. Point of Control (PoC): It refers to the area in the chart with the most traded volume activity. This is by far the most relevant area you want to monitor as it can help to define the placement of your stops or the areas in the chart where you might find the most pristine entry levels. The highest concentrated area of volume for a particular period of time we will call it PoC or Point of Control and you will be surprised how many times it acts as a wall on a retest. Traders tend to factor this in as an area of support or resistance. 2. High Volume Nodes (HVN): Sub-sequences in the chart with high volume activity. While not as powerful nor symbolic as the PoC, the HVN is also a powerful area as it also represents increased trading activity. 3. Value Area (VA): The range of price levels in which a specified percentage of all volume was traded. By default, the industry standards tends to be 70%. Once I explain the principle of the distribution curve below, it will become much clearer why the default number is the 70%, bear with me. There are three different types of volume profiles to use in your charts. When you first call the volume profile option through the widely popular charting package trading view, the options include: Fixed Range Visible Range Session Volume (Preferred) I personally find the combination of the daily price action activity and its respective volume flows at specific price levels the most relevant approach as I will demonstrate in the next paragraphs. The session volume allows you to constantly obtain an update to re-evaluate the market, whereas the assessment of the fixed range or the visible range is more discretionary. That said, the fixed and visible range options also serve as useful tools depending on the purpose of your analysis, that’s why I will also spend some time going through the most valuable benefits of its use. Fixed Range: Selection Of Interest Levels A La Carte Trading the markets, especially if you are an intraday trader, involves constant interaction with your charts. You are constantly looking for areas that you can lean against to take certain actions. Right? This first fixed range option allows you to select any area in the chart to deconstruct the total activity. This is a tool that can be of enormous value if you are looking to tighten or trail your stops as well as spotting areas of most interest to enter your positions. Let’s say that you wanted to play a short in the EUR/USD 30m chart after the breakout of the range. A fairly conventional strategy would have been to wait for the price to break below the two horizontal support levels and enter short on a retest of either one of them. The next logical question would then be, where would you place your stop? If you are trading conservatively, you’d probably be placing your stop somewhere above the 1.16 in order to leave enough wiggle room in case the rebound returns back into the range. However, if you think about it, there are other areas in the chart that still make a lot of sense to capitalize on. If you were interested in tightening your stop in such a magnitude that your short trade could exploit the prospects of a much larger risk reward, you could then be tapping into the power of the fixed range volume profile to identify at what price level after the range breakout the highest concentration of volume occurred. You could then use this as an area of relevance to assist your action as a seller. In the example, it may have been a great area to play with a much tighter stop. There is a multitude of examples I could provide about the usefulness of the fixed range volume profile. However, since I want the core of this tutorial to be about the session volume structures, I’d refrain from further chart illustrations unless you want me to (post comments below). I am sure you can figure out how it could be of benefit to you, depending on your trading style. Visible Range: The Macro View Of The Market As the name indicates, the visible range option unpacks as much trading activity as data is in your chart. It portrays the big picture view of the most-traded price levels over a specified period of time. This option is most suited as part of your daily or weekly analysis to spot areas of interest in the chart. By stepping back and projecting an eagle-view from a macro level, it helps you to easily identify key supports and resistances, which is what I mainly suggest to use the visible range for. One of the most powerful approaches that I recommend is to select your macro areas of interest by zooming out your charts. Once done, you can start drawing horizontal rectangles at every high volume nodes (in black) or low volume node (in red). The areas highlighted will be by far the most relevant that you want to be paying attention going forward.
Education
by Mr_YOGi
1
EURUSD - EDUCATION - 06. JULY. 2019Welcome to DACapitalTrading, We provide any kind of Technical and Fundamental Analysis for Forex and Crypto-Currency Markets every day! - 1 HOUR Strong dropping market with a lot of pressure. 4 HOUR 80% Pullback of previous wave and low/high - structure, DAILY Bullish waving market with a very strong pullback now. OVERALL Expecting market to drop even further on monday towards or even below previous lows taking out several long holders and buyers. Looking forward a 50% Pullback of previous bearish break and price movement. Good luck - Leave us a comment or like to keep our content for free and alive. Have a great week everyone! ALAN
Education
by DACapitalTrading
39
A Yearly Analysis Of Eur/UsdThis is not meant to be a signal or a trade idea! This is a long term analysis of Eur/Usd using a Weekly Time Frame With A Line Chart. So as you can see, Price broke Support and Came back up recently to Retest WEEKLY SUPPORT NOW TURNED RESISTANCE..... This gives me the idea that the EXTREME LONG term bias toward Eur/Usd will definately be down into the next major weekly resistance area. I did draw some trend lines and tried to add all of the touches just to give traders an idea of why I put these lines on the chart. I know that it may look messy but I think this chart can give us a beginning... in order to form our trade ideas over the next few weeks.... Using the Forecast Tool on tradingview, It would take around 1 Year before price would enter the next support zone.
Education
by RlcTrading
The Advantages of Price Action (Technical Analysis) Technical Analysis (AKA Price Action) Technical analysis is the understanding and observing of markets through the only thing that matters; price. Prices generate similar patterns over time, in every market. A single price chart contains more information than you would ever imagine at first glance. Everything you need to know about any company, or market is on the chart in front of you. The current price is what the true value of the market is, regardless of news, indicators, or anything else. The Advantages of Technical Analysis (Price Action) No News - Everything you need to know is on the chart in front of you. Completely disregard all news and outside information. All news is already built into the current price. The price action of the market is all you need to know. Once you understand how institutions operate, you can follow them. No indicators. All indicators are a derivative of price. For example a Fibonacci level. Every price on a chart is a Fibonacci level of some other price on the chart. Although they appear to work, these levels do not work because of Fibonacci. But instead due to the traders equation, which is the mathematical formula institutions use to enter and manage trades. Clearly define support and resistance. You can see on a chart where prices are likely to do something. These are "Key entry points" or "Buy and Sell Zones." Clearly define risk and edge. With technical trading, you have the ability to define your risk before getting into a trade. If the market does not do what you expected, and instead goes beyond your stop, you exit. Without needing to wonder about why this happened, or constantly observing the news. Identify the strongest markets without relying on outside information like news, indicators, someone else, or a "tip." Become independent and trade for your self. If you found this helpful please like! Feel free to comment or ask questions.
Education
by tradersmentality