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Volume

Extreme Day Trading/Scalping Strategy------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- HD Session Volume Profile (SVP HD) - Go to settings under Inputs. Click custom. I set to 10:00am-10:00pm Pacific/Auckland time. I live in NZ. Set to your time zone. Click extend right box for POC, VAH, and VAL. Then go to Style and click VAH and VAL box. Unclick labels in price scale and values in status line box. Click histogram box and turn down opacity from 6% to 0. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Visible Range Volume Profile (VRVP) - Go to settings under Style. Click VAH and VAL box. Unclick labels in price scale and values in status line box. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Volume Weighted Average Price (VWAP) - Go to settings under Inputs. Click bands multiplier #2 and #3 box. Go to style. Unclick bands fill box #1, #2, and #3. Unclick labels price line and values in status line box. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 100 Volume Weighted Moving Average (VWMA) - Go to settings under Inputs. Set length to 100. Go to style and set color to white. Unclick labels on price scale and values in status line box. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Vertical dotted lines (1period) - They are the open and close for each session. Red: Tokyo 1pm-8pm NZST. Blue: London 9pm-4.30am NZST. White: New York 2.30am-9am NZST. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Horizontal dotted lines (1 period) - They are very useful and powerful price levels I believe. The big players (banks and financial institutions) especially love big round even numbers in the market. I simply put them down and divided them into quarters. l put levels on whole, half, and quarters of values of price. So for example I put one on 144 and 145. I then simply divided in half, 145.5. Then I divided again to get 145.25 and 145.75. I believe this principle/idea can help to find useful support and resistance levels. It's based from the bigger whole round numbers in the market. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Range Bars (I flick between 10R to 50R for EJ and GJ) - I use range bars. I love range bars. 100X better than time based charts. I've ditched all time based charts. Range bars filter out and remove time from the equation. They simply just show raw movements of price. Raw and uncensored. They show every nook and cranny of market structure and market structures on any chart. They show the market as it really is with no lag no delay. You see the market as it when it is playing out. No filter. You plainly and sharply see every single price movement. This is incredibly invaluable for day trading and scalping. They are very powerful for seeing patterns, breakouts, breakout and retests, and support and resistance. They are far better than time charts because you don't have rely on time. You are actually only relying on price to move. That is all you are focusing on. If you can focus on market structure instead of time I believe it really helps to read the chart in a way deeper and powerful way.
Education
by JdMullin
Heiken Ashi Algo Volume Scalping StrategyHeiken Ashi Algo Volume Scalping Strategy Welcome everybody this is your Barista Eric should I be calling it a baristo cuz Barista sounds kind of effeminate and you can tell by my voice I am not a woman. So we got something interesting. Today I'm going to be sharing with you a volume scalping strategy that you can use with the heiken Ashi Algo. This is a wonderful strategy because the algo has a lot of features that plot onto its oscillator and you can actually turn most of them off you only need basically three things showing up. To do this all you need are: Heiken Ashi Candles The RSI Moving Average and RSI (relative strength index line) So let's go into the settings. I'll show you what to do and you'll be able to get started in this in just a few minutes. Open tradingview and go to the indicators and I'm going to type in Heiken Ashi Algo. There you will see it under the Community scripts by @coffeeshopcrypto the "Heiken Ashi algo Oscillator" Here is a link to it (Click there) Add it to your chart and let's go to the settings. In the style tab of the settings You can turn off both of the stochastics. Also you'll notice a couple of grade out boxes to things that are not selected. The RSI upper band and the RSI lower band. These print the 70 and the 30 level on your oscillator so turn them both on. If the other bands distract you you can turn them off. These would be the 40 and 60 levels. The last thing you want to do here is change your RSI to yellow and your RSI moving average to red. Now let's go to the inputs tab and change your RSI to 18 and RSI Moving average to 36. If you're trading on a higher time frame than one hour you should probably change them to 21 and 50 as a maximum.. If you're trading on a 15 minute or lower time frame you should set them to about 12 and 14 or or lower. Also change your RSI moving average type to a volume weighted moving average. *******************Special Note****************** I want to address a couple of questions I got since the release of the Algo and one of the questions that I tried to cover in the previous couple of videos was when someone is going to ask me "what are the best settings at certain time frames?" You have to understand there are no best settings because if you're trading in crypto against the US dollar or crypto against For example another crypto then things move differently. your settings for the US dollar can be set one way but if you're trading crypto against crypto pairs you need different settings. also the settings are really tied to the market that you are in. if you are trading on the S&P or indices or Futures your settings are different for all of those things they are not the same for either one of them and once you get into crypto the markets are so volatile that you need to watch things closely/ so I cannot tell you what are the best settings because the best settings do not exist. Choose the settings that work well for you and if they are not working well it's because the market is changing just a little bit and you need to start developing additional strategies. You can not just have one strategy that you use all the time because that will not work all the time. Markets change. They have four different versions and you need to have several strategies that will be able to address each one of those types of Market. One of the reasons that I've created this particular indicator is because it allows you to develop several different types of strategies and this particular video is one of those strategies that you can practice and you can use from time to time when you are seeing extremely changing volumes in the market that you're in. This way you have another piece of ammunition in your pocket that you can use when your current strategy or whatever you used to using isn't working as well as it should be.
Education
by CoffeeshopCrypto
15
What is the Heiken Ashi Algo OscillatorWhat is the "Heiken Ashi Algo Oscillator" Well here is a link to it It is an indicator that measures volume and momentum. It plots and RSI as Heiken Ashi candles. It includes seven different types of moving averages against the relative strength index. Each one of these moving averages calculates faster than the previous, starting from the SMA to the LSMA. It includes a hidden vwap as a moving average to confirm Trend Direction. It uses a "Double Stochastic Strategy" designed by @CoffeeshopCrypto The first Stochastic being called the "slow stochastic" and the second stochastic using a hull moving average calculation and it's K% and a separate multiplication in its D%. ------------------------------------------------------------------ Welcome to the coffee shop everyone. This is your host and Barista Eric as always serving up something piping hot and frothy unless you just like a chai tea which tastes like a hot Garden in a cup. Chai is definitely not my cup of tea but I do like drinking tea over coffee . So if you feel like sending me something then let it be either coins on tradingview or it could be a few tea bags of your favorite. Okay so I'm keeping the intro very short today and I know my videos tend to be pretty long and I max out at the 20 minute marker but I do like to keep you people informed and today is the information you've been waiting for. today is the release of the Heiken Ashi Algo oscillator. There is definitely not enough time in this video To break down all the different ways you can use it for trading because it is available to so many different styles and strategies so in today's video I'll show you what all the parts do what all the parts mean you can take it and added to your chart and start running with it. In the meantime day-to-day you will see new strategies posted in my profile. Each one depicting a different trading strategy and trading style that can you can use against the Heiken Ashi Algo Oscillator. I figured it would be easier this way anyway to break up the trading Styles across different videos so that there is no confusion and you won't have to worry about watching two different styles in the same video at least . So without further Ado let's grab our coffee and tea and raise our glasses in a universal, community style toast and get onto the oscillator and all of it's moving parts. This is where you need to play the video and listen, because it would be TOO MUCH to type and too much to read. So let's go. ----------------------------------------- For my trading style, the HA candles have been Recalculate it again because I come to find out that the AHA candles are based on a 2. Calculation which means if my candles are set to 9. IRS I should be twice of that and my RS I'm moving average should be two times at so my candles are 9 my RS I is 18 which is 9 * 2 and my are as I'm moving average is 36 which is 18 * 2. I just wanted to point this out before anyone starts asking me what are the best settings. these are not necessarily the best they are simply the ones that work for me. HA Candle: These are the colors, Wicks, and borders, as they are plotted against yourRSI. they are simply a representation of the RSI signal but you can have your RSI set at one length while your candles are set at another length. RSI: No description needed here this is simply the relative strength index long exit - This is a signal to tell you the uptrend is going to pause or stop. short exit - this is a signal to tell you that the downtrend is going to pause or stop Resistance levels - This is a signal to tell you where you can set the beginning of a trend line and the level of resistance on your chart. support levels - is this a signal to tell you where you can set the beginning or end of a trendline and set a support level on your chart RSI Moving average - this is the signal line of your moving average against your RSI and you can choose up to 7 different calculations. Buy and sel Signals - These signals are triggered based off of certain criteria happening in the oscillator related to volume and Trend Direction. **WARNING** You should take BUYS when you are in an uptrend and SELLS in a downtrend. (IE 200ma below the 50 ma for uptrend and 200 above 50 for downtrend) Slow stochastic RSI ribbon - this prints a visual representation of the regular stock a stick on your oscillator. Fast Stochastic RSI ribbon - This is the second part of the double Stochastic strategy which prints a fasterStochastic on your chart which uses part of a hull Moving Average calculation. Finally ALERTS have been included. To use the alerts go to your alerts Tab and click create alert. Under "Condition" select Heiken Ashi Algo In the drop-down below it you can select: buy signal to enter long Sell signal to enter short Soft Long or Short exit, if you want to get out of your Long or Short trade when the trend begins to change Hard Long or Short exit, Is when you definitely should get out of your long or short trade. there is also an alert set up if you want to be notified about new resistance levels or new support levels. Just select the one you want and adjust the message that will arrive to you via email, phone, or on screen. So........ did we do a good job? Let's talk in the comments below.
Education
by CoffeeshopCrypto
12
Indicator: Bad Ass Bollinger Bands by wyckoffmode InstructionsHello, At this time you may buy Bitcoin below the lower indigo band of Bad Ass Bollinger Bands and sell above the white upper band. In the future you can come up with your own trading strategy by looking at the BBB indicator and finding the points on the indicator where buying is optimal. For instance like I said now is the time to buy below the lower indigo or "blue" band and sell above the white upper band. Please, I'm interested to know your thoughts and would appreciate if you write me some information in the comments about this. Please, pair Bad Ass Bollinger Bands with "Phoenix Ascending" also by username wyckoffmode aka David. He's a great man. You may also ask him for access to "Phoenix ARI" and combine stochastic RSI with Phoenix ARI because Phoenix ARI is less susceptible to price action. By merging the two you get a good glimpe of volitility mixed with price action. By using Phoenix Ascending a general rule of thumb is to buy Bitcoin when the blue LSMA is below the 20 line. However as you can see that doesn't happen a lot. So try to buy when all three green,red and blue are as close to the 20 as possible with green even being below the 20. The best timeframe to use this on in my opinion is the three hour. If you are using this on the 15 minute or 30 minute chart please make sure you load a copy of the 3 hour and 6 hour charts in another tab and monitor to them to accurately make a good trading decision. Always remember what it generally boils down to in this market is to buy below the the lower indigo and sell above the upper white. Good day and best wishes.
Education
by SolanaMemeCoins
CSC-HARSI UPdate: Bull Rejection / Bear RejectionWhat's new in this indicator Support and resistance levels have been re-coded to give you a cleaner visualization. as always when you see a support indication you set the support level at the close of the candle. if they cancel this red you place it at the bottom. If the candle is green you place it at the top. You always place the S/R level at the close of the candle. Two other indications added to the script are called, Bull Rejection and Bear Rejection. --Bull rejection shows up when there's a bullish rally and then there's enough resistance to stop that upward move. --Bear rejection is when there's a bearish move and there is enough resistance to stop that downward move. If you get a resistance indication followed by a bullish rejection indication you should exit your trade. Because it's showing you resistance at that level and enough pushing back down. If you get a support indication followed by a bearish rejection you should exit that short trade because it's showing you there is support at that level and enough force pushing to the upside.
Education
by CoffeeshopCrypto
3
Unfi Short Scalp using CVD to confirm the trade - 84.86% profit BINANCE:UNFIUSDT BYBIT:UNFIUSDT COINBASE:UNFIUSD Educational post on CVD or Cumulative Volume Delta and how I use it to confirm scalps and swing trades Unfi Short Scalp using CVD to confirm the trade - 84.86% profit in 30 minutes! Delta only shows us market orders. NB!!! Bearish CVD: (used in this trade) Price making LH but CVD making HH. People are aggressively market buying, but highs in price can’t be taken out. Bigger limit order trader has absorbed price Bullish CVD: More people market shorting (CVD) but Price forms HL. CVD makes LL. if price making HL and more people market shorting, then a bigger trader or traders has come in with a limit order and absorbed the market shorts Both leads to trapped traders and you can expect a decent follow through. Not Financial Advice. DYOR. Papertrade before trading with real money. Hope you have a profitable trading day! Shawn
UEducation
by zartraderguy
CSC-HARSI with Alerts for GO long or Short and when to BUYWelcome to the coffee shop everybody I am highly highly highly excited about the new developments taking place with the CoffeeShop Crypto HARSI 2022 Don't let the name of the indicator fool you it can be used on more than just crypto you can use it on all markets or any markets that you choose to use it on. As you know the indicator was released sometime ago and I really want to give a big thank you to all the people who come through Boost the script as well as use it on their charts it's really nice to see you guys doing that and I want to let you know that I get information I get indications of that taking place and I do make sure to follow you because I want to know what it is that you're up to and I want you to see what I'm up to. okay now that we're done with the introductions and all the salutations and make you feel good about yourselfes let's get into what's happening with the CSC-HARSI. Make sure to take a look at the attached video above because you're going to see and hear me discussing the new implementation of 2 types of alerts and indications that show up on the indicator itself. One indication is when it is going to be telling you to Bi-Lo another indication is going to be when it tells you to go long. That is related to people who want to go bullet in the market and Buy Low sell High. "Bi-Lo" Means that the trend is about to reverse or that if you're in a ranging Market you can buy at this very low price. Shortly after that you'll end up getting another indication saying "Go long". This means that you've already bought at the lowest possible price in a safe place and now when it says go long you can set your trade and take profit levels. So "Buy Lo" does not mean enter into the market and set your take profit it simply means that you buy shares at a low price. The other indications that will show up will be simply the reverse of that. One would say "Buy Hi" which means you just accumulate shares or coins or what have you so that you can short them later on. A little while after that you'll get another Indication that says "go Short". This means that you've already accumulated shares at a high value and now you're going to "short" them. In the attached video you'll be able to see how to use the coffee shop crypto and when and how do you use these two separate alerts for example "Bi-Lo" and "Go-Long" or "Buy-Hi" and "Go-Short" As of the recording of this video in the publication of this idea do not look for the information related to that in the coffee shop crypto heart see this is simply an idea to let you know what's coming up next. So in the meantime go ahead add to your favorites from this link and add it to your chart and when I published the new version of the code which will be with somewhere in the next 24 hours I hope you'll get an indication from tradingview and it'll say hey has been an update to this script go and get the new one. At which point you would simply delete the coffee shop crypto from your trading chart, then you would end up going to the Community Scripts and typing in CoffeeShop Crypto 2022 And re-add it to your chart. So again make sure you watch the video that's attached and if you have any questions go ahead and drop them below if you just simply excited about it go ahead link a comment about that below as well.
Education
by CoffeeshopCrypto
10
A Dive Into My Swing Trading Approach (+setup) This video was a short synthesis of my swing trading approach. For the amount of information I presented, I'm not expecting to successfully being able to convey my means and ways in one short video, but I'm glad if I could at least show a different perspective. Some important things I forgot to mention: - The tolerance for identifying a visual weak liquidity pattern is 2 ticks, 3 ticks during highly volatile days (for the ES). This can change from one market to another. Anything more than 2/3 ticks is considered a move of conviction supported by strong liquidity, a market that has the confidence to see what's beyond a certain point to then either sharply reverse or move forward. - Using this method I CANNOT know what the market makers are exactly doing, there is no way to know, they will always be a step ahead of any brilliant retail trader. However, we can understand their logic and the weak traders' logic, the latter is the type we want to trade against. SETUP As I said, I favour a short trade, but as of today I have to remain on the sidelines. During this times is important to be flexible and change ones bias if that's what the market is suggesting. I will post my set up (if any) in due course.
CME_MINI:ES1!Education
by LionLazzari
AN INTRODUCTION: HOW TO TRADE ON VOLUME BARS AND WHAT THEY MEAN!The good ol' fashioned volume bars, long a part of basic TA has been commonly misunderstood, mis-used and under-appreciated. Many people over confuse their TA with other indicators, and frankly, once you learn the volume game and how to use it - you will NEVER want to cheat on the volume indicator with another one, ever again. TA on volume actually works on all timeframes. Hourly, weekly, monthly... And even on the one minute chart!!!! I try to pretty much spell it all out for you guys on the charts below! Hopefully, everything can be clearly explained by them. The above chart is a 1hr view, the below charts explaining volume trading are utilizing the 1 min chart for extreme clarity. ***PLEASE NOTE: Since CRYPTO in general is a slightly different animal than the stock market (because all stocks are basically under one exchange). Volume is derived differently on each exchange. Each crypto exchange will have different volume, BUT my rule of thumb is that typically BINANCE will have the most accurate volume ticks because they are one of the largest exchanges. This particular BTC chart is a Tradingview INDEX chart, which likely means that all of the information from most eligible exchanges are consolidated into one chart. NOT ALL crypto pairs will have this, so please be careful! You CAN comfortably use this method on stocks (again, they are all under one or two exchanges, but have the same federal rules that they must comply with). Hope this helps everyone up their trading game. It has helped me a TON!!! (PS: See my link on the last idea I posted right before we shot up to 24.2k - This is the method I used to forecast that jump in price)
INDEX:BTCUSDEducation
by Zulu_Kilo
2
The ART of the Fade.Tilray is a Cannabis stock, but the importance of this post is the art of fading. I have numerous posts on Volume profiles and how and why they are very effective, and have kinda made it a mission to show you how great they are! Here I am showing you how to fade around value, notice the profile, notice how price is trading sideways in this range and building mass of orders, I have used the two blue horizontals to show the outerside of range, and look how price has acted! Absolutely beautiful fades back into Value! honestly so beautiful. Price attempts to break the outside boundaries before being turned around and heading back into the mass of orders, it is truly beautiful. The takeaway from this post is the importance of using a volume profile in trading, as the big boys are! step up your game now!
NASDAQ:TLRYEducation
by ZenFlo
2
Pro Traders Take Profits on EarningsWhat happened today on the earnings announcement by PEP? Pro traders took profits against the retail crowd's buying on the news headlines that suggested an earnings "beat" for Q2. The retail buying causes the gap up at open, which is a prime cue to take profits on swing trades. This was what we call a pre-earnings run. The earnings results don't matter as much as the technical setup a few weeks ahead of the earnings release. Swing trades were initiated at the reversal from the support at 155, confirmed by price and volume patterns at that time. Now, with resistance overhead, where the initial target for this earnings play was, and the retail crowd causing a gap up at open on the earnings announcement, this is where professional short-term traders close long positions. This should not be construed as a good opportunity to short swing-style, however. It is an example of the execution of a long swing-style earnings strategy. This is an example of TechniTrader's Relational Technical Analysis techniques for planning better trades.
NASDAQ:PEPEducation
by MarthaStokesCMT-TechniTrader
2
Volume Profile and why you need it.Volume profile is an underused and quintessential part of trading, it tells you build up of orders, it tells you fair price, and it tells you where the majority of the liquidity is. You can see in this chart, I have taken it apart piece by piece to show you the basic mechanics and why price moves the way it does, now be honest, how many of you rushed into selling GU last minute because the price was collapsing? Well the funny thing is despite not being alone in doing so in the retail trading world, big banks and instituitions were already two steps ahead as expected, check the Volume profile, notice how it declined on a massively falling currency, what this is telling you is that the amount of exchanges is very low, as the shorters pushed price down they began to close positions, also what would have happened is the amount of retail money and money that isnt associated to high end firms would have started to see negative positions so what do they do? they have to close these sells with buys! so not only are the big banks taking profit, they are also using you as rocket fuel! as the masses of small money becomes negative/trapped/stoplosses, price reacts in an equal and opposite reaction, price rallies. So where is price heading too? it is heading back to an area where it can happily trade, and this is shown by larger bars on the VP, price wants to be happy, to be happy it needs to transact alot! So two takeaways... One, dont rush into falling or rising currencies! as they are heading into areas of low volume and will use mean reversion to run you over... Two, Utilise the fact price has low VP build up to your advantage! use price action and catch moves like that GU rally back to an area of more transactions! and a final little trick, use the VP to tell you if your orderblock is real or a figment of your imagination! feel free to drop some questions below, I may have to make more posts on VP for it to make sense. Maybe I will also make some posts on examples of trading using it, and what to do and not to do. Thinking about it, there is more posts to do, I need to show how to trade mean reversion and 'mountain to mountain' tactics. Hope you find this post interesting, as I take a journey of taking back the layers of many traditional strategies, indicators and the deeper world of maths, I am doing this to try help new traders actually get somewhere! So please give me a like and a follow, I want to expand my reach here on tradingview :) All the best ZenFlo.
Education
by ZenFlo
5
E-MINI Russel 2000 index (pressure concepts/tutorial) To optimise your "edge" practice identifying previous demand and supply zones. These zones have multiple titles. Some analysts call them "order blocks".. I do like order blocks because it does assume a square pattern. Accumulation patterns tend to outline as a square whereas RE accumulation will take on more of a triangular pattern. Imagine if you will an accumulation pattern. This pattern can vary as far as time. But in general these should b considered "HIGH PRESSURE" zones. Price can and will exit this "block" without utilising all of the stored pressure... however, this pressure is still in this zone. When and if price does return here, it will encounter this pressures and there will be a reaction. There are 3 ways in which price will react: 1- Price will find pressure and "bounce" off of this previous box and continue to "mark-up" 2- Price will find this pressure and begin another "trading range" until demand exceeds supply 3- Price will get to this area and find minimum to no pressure and will continue on its trajectory These concepts are not difficult to see with practice. The most difficult part of any trading strategy is waiting for what you want to see. When you hear traders talk about looking left on the chart, this is what is going on. It could sometimes take months to years for price to return to these price areas, indeed. It can also tale a few hours. It depends on wether or not you are trying to day trade or invest longterm. Regardless of strategy, in order to minimise risk, it is paramount that you become aware of these previous "HIGH PRESSURE" zones. You never want to short into a previous demand zone, nor do you ever want to go long into a previous supply zone. Volume helps to facilitate you and I spotting this "residual" volume iin these high pressure zones. These concepts are difficult to type/explain. I am contemplating some sort of video series, text so that I can share these concepts. These concepts however, ARE NOT MINE. They are the charts... they are for all of us to exploit. But in order for anyone to exploit these weaknesses, you need to practice. Trading view is absolutely the best platform to do this and I am certain that if traders began trading accurately using volume, trading view would start charging to use what is currently the free volume indicator. It is THE most powerful TA indicator. Again these are difficult concepts to explain and I do appreciate if you made it through this tutorial Sources of education: Richard Wyckoff Tom Williams Volume spread analysis VSA/ Master the Markets Pete Faders VSA*
Sam Seiden (supply and demand) Read the ticker dot com Wyckoff analytics PsychFX MentFX Element 15 trades (bitchute/odessy) Avoid buying into weakness/supply/resistance Avoid selling into strength/demand/support Avoid entry when price is in middle of a range (phase B)
CME_MINI:RTY1!Education
by dee718
S&P500 Index - Multi timeframe analysis with the Ichimoku CloudMulti timeframe analysis of the S&P500 Index using the Ichimoku Kinko Hyo with original 9,26,52,26 settings, i have also added Volume Profiles (VPVR) and (VPFR) onto the charts. 1 DAY CHART: The Ichimoku Cloud Conversion Line (Tenkan Sen) is indicating that the Mid-Point of the Short-term momentum is upwards at the moment. This will possibly change to sideways or even downwards on the open of the next daily candle. The Ichimoku Cloud Base Line (Kijun Sen) is indicating that the Mid-Point of the Mid-term momentum is sideways at the moment. Note that support at the Base Line (Kijun Sen) has failed on this 1 day timeframe. The Ichinoku Cloud Lagging Span (Chikou Span) is indicating that momentum at the moment…… is downwards. Note that the Lagging Span (Chikou Span) is still under the price from 26 periods ago and is i the Bearish Zone under the Kumo (Cloud). The Kumo (Cloud) is still red. Note that the Leading Span A (Senkou Span A) has started to move upwards but will swing back down if the price continues to drop. Note that the Leading Span A (Senkou Span A) is still under the Leading Span B (Senkou Span B). Be on the lookout for if/when the Leading Span B (Senkou Span B) starts to move downwards on this 1 day timeframe indicating further strength to the downside. Note that the price is still in the Bearish Zone under the Kumo (Cloud) on this 1 day timeframe. Note that on this 1 day timeframe, the Price is under all of the Ichimoku Cloud indicators so let’s have a look at the 1 week timeframe and see if we have any Ichimoku support levels. Volume Profiles: Note that the Price is still under its Volume Profile Visible Range Point of Control (VPVR POC) for this charts visible range. Not that the Price is still under its Volume Profile Fixed Range Point of Control (VPFR POC) for the fixed range of 14x daily candles i have selected. 1 WEEK CHART: The Ichimoku Cloud Conversion Line (Tenkan Sen) is indicating that the Mid-Point of the Short-term momentum is downwards at the moment. Note that the price has found some resistance from the Conversion Line (Tenkan Sen) on this 1 week timframe. The Ichimoku Cloud Base Line (Kijun Sen) is indicating that the Mid-Point of the Mid-term momentum is sideways at the moment. Note that the Conversion Line (Tenkan Sen) is still under the Base Line (Kijun Sen) indicating strength for short term downwards momentum. The Ichinoku Cloud Lagging Span (Chikou Span) is indicating that momentum at the moment…… is downwards. Note that the Lagging Span (Chikou Span) is still under the price from 26 periods ago. Note that the Lagging Span (Chikou Span) has dropped below the Leading Span A (Senkou Span A) and is now back in the Equilibrium Zone on this 1 week timeframe. The Kumo (Cloud) is still red on this 1 week timeframe. Note that the Leading Span A (Senkou Span A) has started to move downwards and is still under the Leading Span B (Senkou Span B). Note that the price is still in the Bearish Zone under the Kumo (Cloud) on this 1 week timeframe. Note that on this 1 week timeframe, the Price is under all of the Ichimoku Cloud indicators so let’s have a look at the 2 week timeframe and see if we have any Ichimoku support levels. Volume Profiles: Note that the Price is still under its Volume Profile Visible Range Point of Control (VPVR POC) for this charts visible range. Not that the Price is still under its Volume Profile Fixed Range Point of Control (VPFR POC) for the fixed range of 11x weekly candles i have selected. 2 WEEK CHART: The Ichimoku Cloud Conversion Line (Tenkan Sen) is indicating that the Mid-Point of the Short-term momentum is sideways at the moment. The Ichimoku Cloud Base Line (Kijun Sen) is indicating that the Mid-Point of the Mid-term momentum is sideways at the moment. Note that the Conversion Line (Tenkan Sen) is still under the Base Line (Kijun Sen) indicating strength for short term downwards momentum. The Ichimoku Cloud Lagging Span (Chikou Span) is indicating that momentum at the moment…… is downwards. Note that the Lagging Span (Chikou Span) is still under the price from 26 periods ago but is still in the Bullish Zone above the Kumo (Cloud). The Kumo (Cloud) is still green. Note that the Leading Span A (Senko Span A) is still above the Leading Span B (Senkou Span B). Note that the Leading Span A (Senkou Span A) is moving sideways at the moment but the Leading Span B (Senkou Span B) is moving upwards, be on the lookout for if the Leading Span A (Senkou Span A) starts to move closer towards the Leading Span B (Senkou Span B). Be on the lookout if the price drops below and closes below the Leading Span A (Senkou Span A) into the Equilibrium Zone on this 2 week timeframe. Note that the price is still in the Bullish Zone above the Kumo (Cloud) on this 2 week timeframe. Note that on this 2 week timeframe, the Price is under the Conversion Line (Tenkan Sen) and Base Line (Kijun Sen) but still has the Leading Span A (Senkou Span A) and Leading Span B (Senkou Span B) as potential support levels. Let’s have a look at the 1 month timeframe and see if we have anymore Ichimoku support levels. Volume Profiles: Note that the Price is still under its Volume Profile Visible Range Point of Control (VPVR POC) for this charts visible range. Not that the Price is still under its Volume Profile Fixed Range Point of Control (VPFR POC) for the fixed range of 6x 2 weekly candles i have selected. 1 MONTH CHART: The Ichimoku Cloud Conversion Line (Tenkan Sen) is indicating that the Mid-Point of the Short-term momentum is sideways at the moment. The Ichimoku Cloud Base Line (Kijun Sen) is indicating that the Mid-Point of the Mid-term momentum is upwards at the moment. Note that the Conversion Line (Tenkan Sen) is still above the Base Line (Kijun Sen) indicating strength for short term sideways momentum as the indicator is moving sideways at the moment. The Ichinoku Cloud Lagging Span (Chikou Span) is indicating that momentum at the moment…… is downwards. Note that the Lagging Span (Chikou Span) is still above the price from 26 periods ago and is still in the Bullish Zone. The Kumo (Cloud) is still green. Note that the Leading Span A (Senkou Span A) has started to move upwards but may swing back down if the price continues to drop on this 1 month timeframe. Note that the Leading Span A (Senko Span A) is still above the Leading Span B (Senkou Span B). Be on the lookout for if the Leading Span A (Senkou Span A) starts to move closer towards the Leading Span B (Senkou Span B). Note that the price is still in the Bullish Zone above the Kumo (Cloud) on this 1 month timeframe. Note that on this 1 month timeframe, the Price is under the Conversion Line (Tenkan Sen) but still has the Base Line (Kijun Sen) Leading Span A (Senkou Span A) and Leading Span B (Senkou Span B) as potential support levels. Volume Profiles: Note that the Price is still above its Volume Profile Visible Range Point of Control (VPVR POC) for this charts visible range. Not that the Price is still under its Volume Profile Fixed Range Point of Control (VPFR POC) for the fixed range of 6x monthly candles i have selected. Notes: Please remember that the Conversion Line (Tenkan Sen) & Base Line (Kijun Sen) are not SMAs or EMAs they are X amount high/low period midpoints in whatever timeframe you are in, so they should not be used as SMA or EMAs. Note that there are other aspects to the Ichimoku Cloud which make it a very complete system such as Price Theory, Wave Theory and Time Theory but I won’t go into those on this post. Conversion Line (Tenkan Sen) = Highest High + Highest Low calculation over 9 Periods = Blue Line. Base Line (Kijun Sen) = Highest High + Highest Low calculation over 26 Periods = Red Line. Lagging Span (Chikou Span) = Today’s price displaced back 26 Periods = Green Line. Leading Span A (Senkou Span A) = Tenkan Sen and Kijun Sen calculation value displaced ahead 26 Periods = Cloud Green Line. Leading Span B (Senkou Span B) = Highest High + Highest Low over 52 Periods Value displaced ahead 26 Periods = Cloud Red Line. Bullish Zone = Above the Cloud. Equilibrium Zone = Inside the (Kumo) Cloud can be Green or Red. Bearish Zone = Below the Cloud. This was just a post to show how you can use the Ichimoku Kinko Hyo in multiple timeframes for support, resistance & momentum, so I hope this post has been helpful with your trading and understanding of the Ichimoku Cloud. So in which direction is the S&P500 Index going to go...... i leave up to you to make your own minds up ;-).
SP:SPXEducation
by TradingThroughTheLens
How did Open Interest tell me: Stay long as BTC Dumped!?!BYBIT:BTCUSD I was in 3 long trades as Bitcoin dumped on the 26th of May 2022. I had 2 choices. Close my longs because I saw price dumping below my entry or look at what Open interest was telling me to determine if this was a fakeout. I saw price dropping as OI was dropping. This meant that longs were closing out their positions, which means that when this ended, price could reverse quickly. Longs were closing out their positions and re-entering as shorts. As soon as this selling dried up, Longs started entering and then suddenly shorts were being liquidated, pushing the price up again. This is known as a stop run. Hit long stops and then hit short stops. Be aware of this kind of fakeout as it happens again and again! Learn to trade the retest and why it is important not to short at support and inversely why it is NB not to long at resistance, UNLESS you get a retest of that level! Not financial advice, DYOR. Papertrade before using real money. If this educational snipped helped you, please consider giving it a thumbs up and follow for more like this! Trade Safely and Learn something every day! Shawn
BYBIT:BTCUSD.PEducation
by zartraderguy
Best Session to Trade - At a glance!Market Sessions Introduction Watching the market 24/7 is completely unnecessary, considering price only moves during certain periods of the day. These periods are known as "Sessions" and relate to an exchange's location on the planet. The two most popular sessions - London & New York - typically see the most volatility and gross number of trades placed. However, there are strategies designed around specific sessions, such as the "Asian Breakout", which targets the first two hours of the Tokyo session. The sessions occur every trading day (M - F) during the following UTC times: London: 0800-1600 New York: 1300-2100 Tokyo: 0000-0800 Sydney: 2200-0600 The London and NY session overlap for 3 hours - this is known as the "Golden Window" in Forex trading...but why? Advanced Forex Session Analysis I created a tool to explore the concept of the "Golden Window" and answer a few burning questions: did every asset have the same golden window? if the golden window shifted, could you detect it? does restricting trading times to the golden window improve win rate? what does the golden window even look like? This tool is available for free and open source - Advanced Forex Sessions It scores each session by Volatility (ticks moved) and Volume (number of trades placed), then displays the windows on chart. I've discovered answers to a few questions and can confidently say, NO, not every asset has the same golden window. In fact, nearly all small-cap cryptocurrencies have a golden window during the Tokyo or Sydney sessions. YES, we can detect the window shifting by scoring each session via a rolling average. MAYBE, it's hard to say if restricting trading times will work for every strategy, but I have seen minor improvements for traditional strategies that buy/sell with fixed take profits and stop losses. WHAT does the Golden Window look like? Check out the Advanced Forex Sessions indicator and see for yourself...
OANDA:US30USDEducation
by DasanC
2
Mastering The Wyckoff Method of Technical Analysis Introduction: ----------------------------------------------------------- In the time period of April in 2021 Bitcoin reached its local high of roughly US $65,000 per coin, shortly after when May came along many social channels quickly lit up with the now infamous “Wyckoff Distribution Schematic” (This was one popular video that described it here: www.youtube.com), and shortly after BTC came crashing down back to the $30,000 region playing this schematic almost perfectly. I myself was trading Bitcoin using the Wyckoff Method at this time, and I was introduced to a plethora of new traders and investors trying to understand the complicated Wyckoff method, but the fact of the matter was, many were sharing or educating others in incorrect ways to use this method. From this day I took more of an interest in educating others in the Wyckoff Method, and below I am going to pick apart, introduce and help you master some of the key concepts used in this method of analysis. Bitcoins Chart March-May 2021 Read more about the Crash in 2021: www.aljazeera.com Who is “Wyckoff”?: ----------------------------------------------------------- Richard Demille Wyckoff (November 2, 1873 – March 7, 1934) was considered one of the five “titans” of technical analysis, along with Dow, Gann, Elliott and Merrill. At age 15, he took a job as a stock runner for a New York brokerage. Afterwards, while still in his 20s, he became the head of his own firm. He also founded and, for nearly two decades wrote, and edited The Magazine of Wall Street, which, at one point, had more than 200,000 subscribers. Wyckoff was an avid student of the markets, as well as an active tape reader and trader. He observed the market activities and campaigns of the legendary stock operators of his time, including JP Morgan and Jesse Livermore. From his observations and interviews with those big-time traders, Wyckoff codified the best practices of Livermore and others into laws, principles and techniques of trading methodology, money management and mental discipline. Wyckoff's research claimed many common characteristics among the greatest winning stocks and market campaigners of the time. Wyckoff also has techniques he believed offered advantages when markets were rising or falling (bullish and bearish). Wyckoff offered a detailed analysis of the "trading range", a posited ideal price bracket for buying or selling a stock. One tool that Wyckoff provides is the concept of the Composite Operator , another is Volume based analysis . Who is the Composite Operator / The Composite Man?: ----------------------------------------------------------- “…all the fluctuations in the market and in all the various stocks should be studied as if they were the result of one man’s operations. Let us call him the Composite Man, who, in theory, sits behind the scenes and manipulates the stocks to your disadvantage if you do not understand the game as he plays it; and to your great profit if you do understand it.” (The Richard D. Wyckoff Course in Stock Market Science and Technique, section 9, p. 1-2) Based on his years of observations of the market activities of large operators, Wyckoff taught that: The Composite Man carefully plans, executes and concludes his campaigns. -The Composite Man attracts the public to buy a stock (financial asset) in which he has already accumulated a sizable line of shares by making many transactions involving a large number of shares, in effect advertising his stock by creating the appearance of a “broad market.” -One must study individual stock charts with the purpose of judging the behaviour of the stock and the motives of those large operators who dominate it. -With study and practice, one can acquire the ability to interpret the motives behind the action that a chart portrays. Wyckoff and his associates believed that if one could understand the market behaviour of the Composite Man, one could identify many trading and investment opportunities early enough to profit from them. Above excerpt from: school.stockcharts.com Many traders and investors who follow the Wyckoff Method treat the Composite man as a real entity, for Cryptocurrency holders this might be seen as a whale who controls the price. Wyckoff himself did not find it necessary to define a importance between the Composite man being an imaginary being, a creation of one's own mind or a real entity, but defined an importance towards “Thinking” like the Composite Man, by thinking like a “Large Operator” we change our Psychology. But what does this mean? In the book titled, “The Compound Effect” by Darren Hardy (Founder of Success Magazine) there is a section titled “Find Your Fight” in Chapter 3, in this section Darren describes how hate is often as strong as a motivating force as love, but why is this relevant? A person who is in love may do crazy things, but so will a person who is consumed by hate, as both are powerfully motivating forces. By creating a “Enemy” (Someone to hate) our mindset changes to a defensive manner, we are now in “Battle” with our Enemy. Here is a quote from the book, which is one of my favourites: “Contrary to social correctness, it can be good to hate. Hate disease, hate injustice, hate ignorance, hate complacency, and so on. Sometimes identifying an enemy lights your fire.Some of my greatest motivation, determination, and dogged persistence came when I had an enemy to fight. In history, the most transformation stories and political revolutions came about as a result of fighting an enemy. David had Goliath, America had the British. Luke had Darth Vader…” And as traders; we have The Composite Man… A great article on the Composite Man can be located here for further education: www.wyckoffanalytics.com Wyckoff's "Five Step Approach": ----------------------------------------------------------- The Wyckoff Method involves a five-step approach to stock selection and trade entry, which can be summarized as follows: 1. Determine the present position and probable future trend of the market. Determine what the current characteristics of the price structure and Supply & Demand are, (are we in a Uptrend, Downtrend or Sideways) by getting a general idea of the Price Structure, Sentiment & Supply and Demand we can determine if we want to be in a long or short trade, or no trade at all, and what the probable future direction of the market may be. Refer to Section “Market Phases & Cycles” below to understand this further. 2. Select stocks in harmony with the trend. In an uptrend, select stocks that are stronger than the market. By selecting assets moving with the Primary Trend, we are increasing chances of success. (For example, if the dominant asset in Crypto, Bitcoin is on a strong uptrend is it fair to assume that you are going to have more success trying to long other Cryptocurrencies which are highly “correlated” and likely to follow in that direction. Financial Assets that “decorrelate” and show stronger increases during uptrends and smaller decreases on pull backs may be showing signs of being stronger then the market as a whole (long position), for shorts we are looking for Assets that are showing weakness and stronger decreases then the market as a whole. 3. Select stocks with a “cause” that equals or exceeds your minimum objective. Every action, has a reaction, every cause, has an effect, this statement basically means that if you are going to enter the market and take a position, look for assets that have a rational and reasonable cause for you to reach your target objective. A great example is using Price Target Measurements when trading Chart Patterns, each Chart Pattern is the cause, and the Price Target is the effect. If there is a Cause, but no Effect, then it is a potential sign of weakness. Please see “Wyckoff Laws” below for more information. 4. Determine the stocks' readiness to move. Use a pre determined system to determine how close assets are to entering the Mark Up or Mark Down Phases. Find the right system to see when a asset is about to Uptrend or Downtrend. Use the 9 Buying & Selling tests, aswell as the Wyckoff Schematics explained below to understand this concept further. 5. Time your commitment with a turn in the stock market index. Financial Markets are highly correlated, this means that we want to be timing our investments and trades with the Leading Market Assets or Index’s (A Index is basically a grouping of the Top Stocks or Companies in that Industry, for example, SP500, AU200). Why do we want to time? Lets use Bitcoin as a example. Sometimes Bitcoin is almost correlated to 80-90% of the Stock Market, that means the price moves almost in sync, so by watching the price movements and analyzing the Stock Market we can also get clues on the direction of the asset we are trading. If Bitcoin is moving up, but the Stock Market is heading down, and the correlation is HIGH, we can assume that the upside move may not be likely to continue. Market Phases & Cycles: ----------------------------------------------------------- According to Wyckoff, the market can be understood and anticipated through detailed analysis of supply and demand, An idealized schematic of how he conceptualized the large interests' preparation for and execution of bull and bear markets is depicted in the figure above. The time to enter long orders is towards the end of the preparation for a price markup or bull market (accumulation of large lines of stock), while the time to initiate short positions is at the end of the preparation for price markdown. Also note the different Phases of the Market. Before we continue below, please click on the image below for my basic introduction to Market Phases & Cycles, which is an important topic to have an understanding of before continuing onto Wyckoff Schematics. This is also relevant to understand Cause & Effect mentioned below. Notice how each Cause has an Effect! To simplify the concept - Markets move in cyclical patterns, with a full cycle usually having Accumulation > Reaccumulation > Distribution >Redistribution, there can also be Micro trends within the cycle. Uptrends (HH, HL), Downtrends (LL, LH) and Sideways movements form the price structures which make up the Phases of the market, which in turn create the Cycles. Three Laws of Wyckoff ----------------------------------------------------------- Wyckoff Analysis is fundamentally based off the Three Laws of Wyckoff, which can be found and recognized across many different types of Analysis, the Laws help give insight to our analysis and choice of buying/selling. 1. Supply vs. Demand --------------------------------- Wyckoff states when demand is greater than supply, prices rise, and when supply is greater than demand, prices fall. When sellers outweigh the buyers, the market is dominated by Supply, a large supply of an asset to sell, means greater selling pressure and a higher probability of a decrease in price. A sign of Demand (Buying Pressure) is a shortage of Supply, in a Cryptocurrencies case it would mean that the demand of buyers on exchanges outweighs the supply available for purchase on exchanges. As the amount up for purchase quickly falls to a low number the greed of participants drives them to want to pay higher prices for an asset. When buyers outweigh sellers, the latter occurs with a higher probability of increase in prices. A sign of Supply (Selling Pressure) is a shortage of Demand, in a Cryptocurrencies case it would mean that the demand of buyers on exchanges under weighs the supply available, institutional investors and funds hold majority share of the SUPPLY and with no interest in buying from the retail participants we see investors (sometimes impatient or fearful) become sellers in anticipation of there being no increase in price in the short term (relative to their perspective). Using this secondary chart below, we can clearly see the "Demand (Green)" and "Supply (Red)" areas of Siacoin SC. We can see that both the Demand & Supply areas are respected and have strong reactions, and with patience we will see if the dominating factor on Siacoin right now is Supply or Demand, but considering some of the points I will go into below so far its looking like it is shifting into the favour of demand currently with a visit to the 0.5 (50%) of the Trading Range. Take note of the small abbreviations at the start of the TR (Trading Range) for now - see Wyckoff Schematics section later. Other ways to analyze Supply & Demand in Cryptocurrencies are more literal - for example you can literally go onto the Blockchain and see the wallets of coins, how many each holds, what % of the Supply is owned by Siacoin itself, the amount of wallet holders, I will not go into this type of analysis in a detailed manner as it is not my expertise. 2. Effort vs. Result --------------------------------- Wyckoff states that every effort should lead to a result in the financial markets. Here is a example of a “Effort Vs Result” in a Trading Range (Parallel Channel) using Volume & Price Analysis (Please Click the Image, for Further Educational Idea) This statement is applied to our charts by using data on Trading Volume. When we see abnormally large trading volume at key areas on the chart, we can usually expect a continued move in that direction, if the Effort produces no result though, that abnormally large trading volume can give us a sign that the participants betting on the market to move in that direction have not gathered enough momentum to do so (Marked in Light Blue), which leads to them being trapped (Marked in Dark Blue) and then a reverse in the opposite direction in price (Marked in Purple). Effort Vs Result can also be interpreted in a number of ways, lets analyse the above Siacoin SC chart using this concept: In the first image, the Trading Range is created, once at the lower range, volume decreased (this was not just a singular occurrence, with the whole Crypto market having similar low volume and "choppiness" but within this low volume area we can see there was two larger red volume bars, these two bars showed us a increase in sellers in this area, (An effort) but no Result (further Decrease on the next candles) this gives us a sign that the sellers may not be the dominant force now (A “Divergence) leading us to test the previous dominant force area above as supply. This then led us to test the upper Trading Range, where the exactly same thing happened in the opposite. In the 3rd image, we can finally see that the effort of the buyers is now leading to zero result, the trading range is starting to drag out and the volume of sellers is dropping off, in a REAL breakout the volume should continue to increase with the prices. We can see below that never happens here. As the images progress the Supply is obviously Dominant. This leads us to the current chart, where we can see that now the sellers are losing momentum and the buyers have just stepped in. (See the volume?) In the current trading range on SC (Siacoin) we can see quite a lot of abnormally large green bars at the upper range, this shows us that even though a large amount of buyers did in fact come into play here, the upper ranges dominant force was the Supply, and prices then headed towards the lower range.We are now in the process of “Testing” that lower range for Demand. So far the circled Red Bars (in the First chart, the original chart of this post) show us the sellers may be trapped locally. 3. Cause vs. Effect --------------------------------- Wyckoff states that every cause in the market leads to a proportional effect. The market has phases, such as Accumulation, Reaccumulation, Distribution and Redistribution. Each phase should have a "Effect" to match the cause, Accumulation has a Markup, aswell as Reaccumulation, And Distribution and Redistribution are followed by a Mark Down. The phase is the cause, the mark up is the effect. Click on this link for a quick infographic on the Market Phases (Consider each phase as a Cause) which then should have an Effect (Mark Up or Mark Down Phase), this creates the “Market Cycle” and all markets move in cycles: ibb.co This is similar to how a Bull Flag has a target measurement (Mark Up) and a Bear Flag has a target measurement for the downside (Mark Down). For more information on Flag Patterns click the below image, notice on the bottom right picture how the Flag has a measurement which is represented by a extended line, the previous line and the Flag is the Cause, the extended line pointing upwards is the Effect in this case: In this case, if we see a breakout to the upside of this current trading range on SC Siacoin (the Cause) we can assume the Effect will be a strong breakout above the range leading to Mark Up Phase, otherwise the Cause has no Effect, in this situation meaning the range might fail and break downwards. This is similar in a way to Effort vs Result explained earlier, For every Effort, there should be a Result, for every Cause, there should be an effect. Wyckoff Schematics ----------------------------------------------------------- A trading range (Sideways Movement, Zig Zag) shows us an equilibrium between buyers and sellers, and the Wyckoff Theory & Schematics give us clues to which probable direction the price may head out of the horizontal moving price structure. Each Trading Range can be an important Phase in the larger Market Cycle, giving us potential clues and hints within the overall trend. The Wyckoff Schematics help us identify the different between Accumulation and Distribution Trading Ranges (Or Reaccumulation or Redistribution) - In a Trading Range the price Zig Zags up and down until eventually a breakout occurs, using the Wyckoff Accumulation Schematic we can see there are some clues in the similarities of the chart and the schematic that tell us Siacoin may be ready to at least test of the upper bounds of the Trading Range. It is important to note that most Trading Ranges start with obvious characteristics, which we will delve into further below, the first characteristics of the Trading Range (TR) help us identify that we are now moving in a sideways trend: When paired with the Wyckoff 9 Buying and Selling Tests - the Wyckoff Schematics are a great tool to help measure potential entries, exits, risk and to read the price movement in general. There are four types: Accumulation , Reaccumulation , Distribution & Redistribution. And each Trading Range is Analysed in 5 key phases: By splitting our Schematics into 5 key phases, the characteristics become easier to recognize and identify.Remember this when moving forward in this section. Phase A: The trading range (TR) is created (example above) Phase B: The Supply & Demand of the TR is tested Phase C: Deviation outside TR or Final point before reversal Phase D: The new trend begins Phase E: The trend continues In phase D & E, the obvious “Change of Trend” is evident, refer to this infographic below and you can see how a trend contains Higher Highs, Higher Lows (HH, HL) or Lower Lows, Lower Highs (LL, LH); we will come back to this soon: 1. Accumulation : --------------------------------- In accumulation, the shares purchased outnumber those sold. There are roughly 9 characteristics of an Accumulation Range: 1. PS (Preliminary Support) the first Support area that was lost, creating the upper bound of the TR. 2. SC (Selling Climax) the climactic action that is bought up quickly creating the lower bound of the TR. It is a strong example of Effort vs Result usually, with abnormally large selling volume, but no further downside. 3. AR (Automatic Rally) a low volume, quick reaction visiting the other side of the TR, usually indicating short covering. 4. ST (Secondary Test) a secondary test of the initial Demand Area created by the SC. 5. Spring (Fake Out) & Test or LPS (Last point of Support). Spring is usually a great example of Effort vs Result. Spring is then confirmed by a test of Support. LPS (Last Point of Support) occurs when price revisits the recent Demand (Support) area, usually a former Resistance. The term may be used in a plural manner, with multiple LPS forming the Higher Lows that make up the basis of a market trend. 6. JAC (Jump Across the Creek) the Creek is an imaginary line created by the previous downtrend (similar to a Moving Average), we want to see the price “Jump” across the creek. 7. LPS (Last Point of Support) occurs when price revisits the recent Demand (Support) area, usually a former Resistance. The term may be used in a plural manner, with multiple LPS forming the Higher Lows that make up the basis of a market trend. 8. SOS (Sign of Strength) is an abnormally large volume signature upwards price movement which confirms the Spring or LPS. 9. BU/LPS (Back Up / Last Point of Support) occurs when price revisits the recent Demand (Support) area, usually a former Resistance. The term may be used in a plural manner.The SOS & LPS together form the Basis of a Uptrend, see this image for reference: ibb.co . The final LPS before leaving the Trading Range should start the Uptrend.The LPS can sometimes move to the 50% of the Trading Range. We should then enter the Mark Up phase as described at the start of this article. Remember; Accumulation is the Cause, Markup is the Effect. Examples & Links : Accumulation Schematic #1: school.stockcharts.com In this schematic, the Spring is located in the end of the TR, showing trapped sellers. Accumulation Schematic #2: school.stockcharts.com In this schematic, there is no Spring action, instead the price starts moving upwards from the LPS Area (Last Point of Support), the Spring (in this case, ST) is located at the middle of the TR, showing trapped buyers. Example of Accumulation #1 Analysis (Click image, press play to see the result!): Example of Accumulation #2 Analysis: 2. Reaccumulation : --------------------------------- After Accumulation, comes Reaccumulation. Where after a extended upside move, a repeated sideways movement occurs which leads to another extended upside move. ReAccumulation is known also as a Trend Continuation. The characteristics are almost identical to Accumulation, except the previous price movement leading up to the trading range is upwards : Here are the characteristics explained : 1. PS (Preliminary Supply) the first selling area creating the Trading Range. 2. BC (Buying Climax) the climactic action that is sold up quickly creating the upper bound of the TR. It is a strong example of Effort vs Result usually, with abnormally large buying volume, but no further upside. 3. Shakeout (Fake Out to the downside trapping sellers) (I have marked this as SC, to simplify the process as a Shakeout is quite similar in its characteristic. 4. AR (Automatic Rally) a low volume, quick reaction visiting the other side of the TR, usually indicating short covering. 5. ST Area (Secondary Test Area) a secondary test of the initial Demand Area created by the Shakeout. 6. Spring (Fake Out) or LPS (Last point of Support) A Spring occurs when price falls underneath the Trading Range, triggering stop losses and usually inducing investors to Panic Sell, (this is the most profitable area to buy). Spring is then confirmed by a test of Support. Spring is usually a great example of Effort vs Result. LPS (Last Point of Support) occurs when price revisits the recent Demand (Support) area, usually a former Resistance. The term may be used in a plural manner, with multiple LPS forming the Higher Lows that make up the basis of a market trend. 7. JAC (Jump Across the Creek) is when the price “Jumps” across the Trading Range, giving us a final clue before the breakout occurs. The “Creek” is an imaginary line formed from the projected path of the previous price swing highs, this can be used similar to a Moving Average. 8. SOS (Sign of Strength) is an abnormally large volume signature upwards price movement which confirms the Spring or LPS. 9. LPS (Last Point of Support) occurs when price revisits the recent Demand (Support) area, usually a former Resistance. The term may be used in a plural manner.The SOS & LPS together form the Basis of a Uptrend, see this image for reference: ibb.co . The final LPS before leaving the Trading Range should start the Uptrend.The LPS can sometimes move to the 50% of the Trading Range. We should then enter the Mark Up phase as described at the start of this article. Reaccumulation = Cause, Mark Up = Effect Examples & Links : It is important to note that Reaccumulation can appear as Accumulation, in the image below we can see that MANAUSDT looked like Accumulation Schematic #2, yet was actually Reaccumulation due to the previous uptrend. And in this example Reaccumulation looked exactly like Schematic #1 of Accumulation! Reaccumulation Schematic #1: ibb.co In this schematic, the Spring is located at the end of the TR, showing trapped sellers. Reaccumulation Schematic #2: ibb.co In this schematic, the ST (or Spring) is located at the middle of the TR, showing trapped buyers. Traditional Reaccumulation Schematics: ibb.co (Credit: Roman Bogomazov / www.wyckoffanalytics.com) Example of Traditional Reaccumulation #2 Analysis: (Press Play!): 3. Distribution : --------------------------------- Above we learnt that in accumulation, the shares purchased outnumber those sold while, in distribution, the opposite is true. The shares sold outnumber those purchased. In a Distribution Trading Range two of the key characteristics are the UTAD/UT (Upwards Thrust / Upwards Thrust & Distribution) above the Trading Range, and the SoW's Signs Of Weaknesses with strong volume at the bottom end of the range. The start of the trading range should be easily identified by a BC (Buying Climax). The extent of accumulation or distribution determines the cause that unfolds in the subsequent move out of the TR . There are roughly 9 characteristics of an Distribution Range: 1. PS (Preliminary Supply) is the first selling area creating the Trading Range. 2. BC (Buying Climax) is the climactic action that is sold up quickly creating the upper bound of the TR. It is a strong example of Effort vs Result usually, with abnormally large buying volume, but no further upside. 3. AR (Automatic Rally) is a low volume, quick reaction visiting the other side of the TR, usually indicating long covering. 4. ST (Secondary Test) a secondary test of the initial Supply Area created by the BC. 5. SOW (Sign of Weakness) are strong moves to the lower bounds of the Trading Range (or Underneath) with strong volume signature. 6. UT or UTAD (Upwards Thrust) in a UT (Upwards Thrust) a significant amount of buyers enter the market, “Buying the Breakout”, but their Effort, leads to no Result and this variation of a “Bull Trap” is the most significant characteristic of the Distribution TR. A UTAD (Upwards Thrust and Distribution) forms within the middle or end of the Trading Range; there is an obvious lack of Result vs Effort, with abnormally large buying volume signature, yet price fails to get back above this area again. It can look similar to a miniature Trading Range (Distribution). 7. UTAD or LPSY (Last Point of Supply) In Schematic #1 we have the UTAD at the end, in Schematic #2 we have it in the middle (simplified). If the /UT is found in the middle then we are looking for the LPSY to confirm the Resistance, when price revisits the initial Supply area created at the start of the Trading Range, and then successfully decreases from that area. 8. SOW (Sign of Weakness, Fall under the Ice) just like how in Accumulation we Jump Across the creek, in Distribution we do the latter and Fall Under the Ice. SOW (Sign of Weakness) are strong moves to the lower bounds of the Trading Range (or Underneath) with strong volume signature. 9. LPSY (Last Point of Supply) instead of revisiting the initial Supply area created at the start of the Trading Range, in LPSY (Last Point of Supply) revisits the recent Supply (Resistance) area, usually a former Support. The term may be used in a plural manner, with multiple LPSY forming the Lower Highs (LH’s) that make up the basis of a market trend. We should then enter the Mark Down phase as described at the start of this article. Distribution is the Cause, and Mark Down is the Effect. Examples & Links : Distribution Schematic #1: school.stockcharts.com In this schematic, the UTAD is located at the end of the TR, showing trapped buyers. Distribution Schematic #2: school.stockcharts.com In this schematic, the UTAD is located in the middle of the TR, showing trapped buyers. Example of Distribution #1 Analysis (Press Play!): Example of Distribution # 2 Analysis (Press Play!): 4. Redistribution : --------------------------------- After Distribution, Comes Redistribution. Where after a extended down move, a repeated sideways movement occurs which leads to another extended downwards move. Redistribution is also known as a Downtrend Continuation. Redistribution is said to be difficult to analyse, so my general advice is to treat Redistribution as a method to spot an additional Distribution Schematic after a Distribution Schematic and a Mark Down has already occurred previously recently on the chart (Similar to a Bear Flag Pattern after a Distribution). The characteristics are almost identical to Distribution sometimes, except the previous price movement leading up to the trading range is upwards : Here are the characteristics explained : 1. PS (Preliminary Support) the first Support area that was lost, creating the upper bound of the TR. 2. SC (Selling Climax) the climactic action that is bought up quickly creating the lower bound of the TR. It is a strong example of Effort vs Result usually, with abnormally large selling volume, but no further downside. 3. AR (Automatic Rally) is a low volume, quick reaction visiting the other side of the TR, usually indicating long covering + (UT/UA Upwards Thrust / Action) The Upwards Action or Upwards Thrust takes out the Supply above the AR area, before heading back down. 4. ST (Secondary Test) a secondary test of the initial Demand Area created by the SC. 5. UT or UTAD (Upwards Thrust, or Upwards Thrust And Distribution), in a UT (Upwards Thrust) a significant amount of buyers enter the market, “Buying the Breakout”, but their Effort, leads to no Result and this variation of a “Bull Trap” is the most significant characteristic of the Distribution TR. A UTAD is basically a UT (Upwards Thrust) with a Distribution also (miniature Bearish Trading Range) that usually forms within the middle or end of the TR. 6. LPSY + Test (Last Point of Supply) is when price revisits the initial Supply area created at the start of the Trading Range, and then successfully decreases from that area, the test confirmed by tapping the upper Supply Area before heading into the TR again. 7. SOW (Sign of Weakness) *sometimes* with a potential UTAD (Upwards Thrust and Distribution): Signs of Weakness are strong moves to the lower bounds of the Trading Range (or Underneath) with strong volume signature. 8. SOW (Sign of Weakness, Fall under the Ice) just like how in Accumulation we Jump Across the creek, in Distribution we do the latter and Fall Under the Ice. 9. LPSY (Last Point of Supply) instead of revisiting the initial Supply area created at the start of the Trading Range, in this LPSY we are visiting the Supply area created near the bottom of the Trading Range. We should then enter the Mark Down phase as described at the start of this article. Redistribution is the Cause, Mark Down is the Effect. Examples & Links : It is important to note that Redistribution can appear as Distribution just like Accumulation as Reaccumulation as mentioned earlier, here is a example on ETHUSDT: Redistribution Schematic #1: ibb.co In this schematic, the UTAD is located at the end of the TR, showing trapped buyers. Redistribution Schematic #2: ibb.co In this schematic, the UTAD is located in the middle of the TR, showing trapped buyers. Example of Redistribution #1 Analysis (Press Play!): Example of Redistribution #2 Analysis (Press Play!): 5. Failure of Schematic : --------------------------------- Wyckoff based trades can also fail. It is also important to note that Wyckoff Schematics are not a guarantee, more so a system for you to analyse the market and know potential lower risk areas to position your trades. In this example below (Click+Press Play!) we can see that the Accumulation on BATUSDT did have a strong breakout, but never entered into a correct markup phase and then "failed" when the price came back inside of the TR (Trading Range): Nine Buying/Selling Tests: ----------------------------------------------------------- Whereas the three Wyckoff laws provide a big-picture foundation for the Wyckoff method, the nine buying and selling tests are a set of narrower, specific principles to help guide trade entry. These tests help delineate when a trading range is drawing to a close and a new uptrend (markup) or downtrend (markdown) is about to begin. In the book, by Hank Pruden, named "The Three Skills of Top Trading" , as well as the following article by Jack K Hutson the Nine Buying and Selling Tests of Wyckoff are discussed and outlayed similar to the above image: These nine tests can be difficult to understand, or even apply to your charts, so I have summarised them and modernised these tests for a purely candlestick chart and simplified point of view. Alot of analysts beforehand made use of P&F (Point & Figure Charts). At the top of your Tradingview chart, you can see a small icon, if you click it you can see the different types of charts available, we are currently on Candlesticks, Point & Figure is another option that was used for some Wyckoff Analysis, but in my simplified version we are just using Candlesticks: ibb.co Here are my simplified Buying & Selling Tests explained with images 1. Buying Tests : --------------------------------- I am using the chart of ZILUSDT as a example. Wyckoff Buying Tests for Accumulation (Simplified Version) 1. Downside price target complete or close to complete of any previous Bearish Patterns (Bear Flag Pattern used for Target Measurement: www.thepatternsite.com ) 2. PS, SC, and AR/ST on chart (Remember our first chart above, with Supply & Demand? ON the left we can see creation of the trading range with the Selling Climax (SC), Automatic Rally (AR), and Support Test (ST) we also covered this in the chart below (The 2nd below is showing that on ZILUSDT): 3. Bullish Signs (volume or price increases on rallies and diminishes during reactions) 4. Diagonal Resistance Broken 5. Higher lows & 6. Higher highs 7. Asset stronger than the market (more responsive on rallies and more resistant to reactions than the market index or other dominant assets) 8. Base forming (horizontal price line) (It can resemble a Flat Base Pattern: www.thepatternsite.com) 9. Estimated upside profit potential is at least three times the loss if the initial stop-loss were hit (Risk to Reward; 3:1) We can now see we have completed all 9 Buying Tests: And for the final images, we can see that ZIL has a massive upside move, moving to the Mark Up phase from our Buying Tests Analysis: Aswell as starting to complete a larger Accumulation #1 Structure as desribed above. 2. Selling Tests : --------------------------------- I am using the chart of XTZBTC as a example. If you missed it above, dont forget to see the original 9 Selling Tests: ibb.co Wyckoff Buying Tests for Distribution (Simplified Version) 1. Upside price objective complete of any previous Bullish Patterns on higher timeframes, or close to complete (Bull Flag Pattern used for Target Measurement: www.thepatternsite.com ) 2. Bearish Signs (volume decreases on rallies and increases on reactions) 3. Preliminary supply, buying climax (PSY, BC) We also covered this in the chart below (The 2nd below is showing that on XTZBTC): 4. Asset weaker than the market (more responsive than the market on reactions and sluggish on rallies) XTZ was a perfect example of Selling Test #4, as you can see it was much weaker than Bitcoin at the time, which was leading the market. 5. Diagonal Support Broken 6. Lower Highs & 7. Lower Lows 8. Crown forming (It can resemble a ugly Double Top Pattern: www.thepatternsite.com) 9. Estimated downside profit potential is at least three times the loss if the initial stop-loss were hit (Risk to Reward; 3:1), we have now completed all 9 Selling Tests! And for the final images, we can see that XTZBTC has a massive downside move, moving to the Mark Down phase from our Selling Tests Analysis: As well as starting to complete a larger Distribution #2 Structure as described above. Refer to your schematics above if your confused. Conclusion: ----------------------------------------------------------- Not only does the Wyckoff Method teach the novice Investor/Trader the techniques, foundations and methods needed to analyse the market, it also helps create a system and mindframe towards observing and timing the market, which allows the trader to be much more rationalised and organised in their train of thought as well as much more risk averse. By using the Wyckoff based analysis on Siacoin we can clearly see this token has potential for more upside, although we do need to be cautious as a significant pullback on Bitcoin could easily “Fail” the “Spring” action of the TR (Trading Range) in the original analysis image above. What would a successful accumulation breakout look like on Siacoin? Refer to the original chart at the start of the post. I have made a small drawing, describing the characteristics we need to see for this to progress further. You can use that drawing along with the next below to get a rough idea of what a successful breakout will look like, compare with the Accumulation Schematics you studied above. What would a failure of accumulation look like on Siacoin? I will give two examples: 1. Failure of Spring 2. Failure of Phase E (Uptrend) I hope you enjoyed my explanation of the Wyckoff Method - Thank you and if you found this writeup insightful, educational and informative don't forget to hit Subscribe, Like & Comment so others can also potentially see and benefit from this post, if you wish to see these concepts in action, I recommend visiting my signature as well. Other Resources & References: ----------------------------------------------------------- Websites: Wyckoff Analytics: wyckoffanalytics.com Wyckoff SMI: wyckoffsmi.com Videos: Wyckoff Youtube: www.youtube.com Wyckoff SMI Youtube: www.youtube.com Stockcharts.com Youtube: www.youtube.com (I didnt cover volume much in this article, check out the above video for a Volume Tutorial) Articles: school.stockcharts.com school.stockcharts.com school.stockcharts.com www.wyckoffanalytics.com www.wyckoffanalytics.com Magazine of Wall Street Database: (Founded by Wyckoff) shorturl.at Books: www.amazon.com www.amazon.com References: en.wikipedia.org school.stockcharts.com
SEducation
by Worth_The_Ri5k
22
The Laws of Wyckoff: Effort Vs ResultIntroduction: --------------------------------- Richard Demille Wyckoff (November 2, 1873 – March 7, 1934) was considered one of the five “titans” of technical analysis , along with Dow, Gann , Elliott and Merrill. Wyckoff was an avid student of the markets, as well as an active tape reader and trader. He observed the market activities and campaigns of the legendary stock operators of his time, including JP Morgan and Jesse Livermore. From his observations and interviews with those big-time traders, Wyckoff codified the best practices of Livermore and others into laws, principles and techniques of trading methodology, money management and mental discipline. Laws of Wyckoff --------------------------------- Wyckoff Analysis is fundamentally based off the Three Laws of Wyckoff, which can be found and recognized across many different types of Analysis, the Laws help give insight to our analysis and choice of buying/selling. The Three Laws of Wyckoff are: Supply & Demand Effort vs. Result Cause & Effect Law #2: Effort vs. Result --------------------------------- Wyckoff states that every effort should lead to a result in the financial markets. The above example describes the concept of Effort vs Result in a Trading Range (Parallel Channel) using Volume & Price Based Analysis This statement is applied to our charts by using data found on Trading View from the Volume Indicator. When we see abnormally large trading volume at key areas on the chart, such as a defined "TR (Trading Range)" we can usually expect a continued move in that direction, this is called the Breakout of the range. But if buyers cannot gather enough momentum to continue the Breakout action, they may become trapped, and as prices fall back inside of the defined area, their Effort has produced no Result. That abnormally large trading volume can give us a potential sign that the participants betting on the market to move in that direction failed to gather enough momentum to do so (Light Blue), which leads to them being trapped (Dark Blue) and then a reverse in the opposite direction in price (Purple). This kind of Analysis is not just "fixed" to the bottom or top of a Trading Range, Effort vs Result can be interpreted a number of ways, for example in the below image we can see that the Effort in this case was not outside of the range, but a failure from the buyers to hold prices INSIDE the range: --------------------------------- Thank you and if you found this writeup insightful and informative don't forget to hit Subscribe, Like & Comment to show your appreciation. Visit my signature for further education on these concepts in action
CEducation
by Worth_The_Ri5k
1