Five types of major support and resistance levelsWant to buy the bottom and sell the top? Want to predict major turning points in a security's price? Want to avoid buying too early or selling too late? Then you need to understand support and resistance levels!
I know a lot of people who mostly trade breakouts. That can be a very successful strategy, and I've used it myself to good effect. But if you buy a breakout after it happens, you pay a "breakout premium"-- especially if you're buying option calls or puts. You'll get a much better price on options if you buy them *before* a breakout or *before* a major change in momentum. How do you do that? Know your support and resistance levels!
Once you know how to identify the different types of support and resistance, you can look to see where several different types of support or resistance coincide . Those will be key price points at which different types of investors who rely on different types of indicators will all buy or sell at the same time.
Volume
BTCUSD 05 DEC 2020 (recent Wyckoff phase analysis) Schematic 2Accululation schematic 2. You can see the textbook phase development from a recent re-accumulation into mark-up
Starting on the left you can see the preliminary support/stopping volume/selling climax which is how trading ranges start. A support is established on high volume.
The Automatic rally (AR) is the initial establishment of resistance. It is important here to make note of the supply/sell pressure. If the sell pressure is high here, the market (automation) will read the market as if there are still sellers (supply). In order to minimize the amount of sellers in the market, the CO/SM may stay in this training range for hours, days, weeks... as long as it takes to get you to sell your bags.
You are dealing with automation. It does not need to eat or sleep and has one objective and ONEE OBJECTIVE only... to take your money.
Price will oscillate in this trading range -accumulating- .. buying low. Who sells low? Retail.
SM/CO BUYS LOW and SELLS HIGH.. there is no exception to this. This is a rule you must take on yourself, which is appropriate since that is the objective of professionals.
Phase B-the "supply/demand" phase.. is an area you want to avoid. During this phase you will notice price erradically moving up and down with no ryme or reason. This is a common area for retail to enter and then immediately find that price refuses to move. This can really push your tolerance and patience. This is where you start to wonder if you risked too much.... This is the market shaking out weak hands getting retail to sell their bags.
A lot more to it but a good rule of thumb is to avoid phase B entries at all cost.
Depending on the supply/demand situation you may or may not get a "spring". A spring is a fake out below support that hits high volume driving price back into the trading range. Schematic 2 does not a spring or terminal shake out
For a more thorough/academic explanation please refer to any or all of the free following:
Sources of education:
Richard Wyckoff
Tom Williams Volume spread analysis VSA/ Master the Markets
Pete Faders VSA*
Read the ticker dot com
Wyckoff analytics
Dee Nixon
Avoid buying into weakness/supply/resistance
Avoid selling into strength/demand/support
Avoid entry when price is in middle of a range (phase B)
How to use Session Volume HD to study price and volumeSession Volume HD was created to add a new level of detail and precision to studying price and volume for each session of trading. Session Volume HD dynamically adjusts to show you more data as you zoom in and out of the chart.
Think of Session Volume HD like a magnifying glass for studying volume and price. What price levels are attracting the most trading volume? How does that change as we zoom in or out of a specific trading session? With Session Volume HD , the more you zoom, the more detail you will see about price and volume for a specific trading day. It's a perfect tool for traders and investors who quickly zoom in and out and change their chart resolution.
In the example above, we are looking at two charts of Tesla both set to different timeframes and resolutions. Do you see the difference between the Volume Profiles shown on each chart? The chart on the left is a daily chart dating back to November. The chart on the right is a 65-minute chart zoomed in on only the last few days of trading. Both charts are using Session Volume HD to display a Volume Profile analysis, but each chart shows a different level of detail. That's because the Session Volume HD tool is dynamically adjusting as we zoom in or out. In other words, as the zoom increases, more volume profile levels are displayed.
As you begin to understand and use Session Volume HD , it's important to remember that the tool can be customized to your needs and observations. Open its settings to get started. Every trader and investor has their own methodology and these settings will help you create your own unique style of research:
Point of Control ( POC ) – The price level for the time period with the highest traded volume . This the red line shown on both charts within each Volume Profile region.
Up Volume - Determines the color for the Up Volume or points where buying occurred and price increased.
Down Volume - Determines the color for the Down Volume or points where selling occurred and price decreased.
Value Area Up - Determines the color for the Value Area Up or where buying occurred in a high volume zone, say 70% of all tradable volume .
Value Area Down - Determines the color for the Value Area Down or where selling occurred in a high volume zone, say 70% of all tradable volume .
Profile High – The highest reached price level during the specified time period.
Profile Low – The lowest reached price level during the specified time period.
Value Area (VA) – The range of price levels in which a specified percentage of all volume was traded during the time period. Typically, this percentage is set to 70% however it is up to the trader’s discretion.
Value Area High (VAH) – The highest price level within the value area.
Value Area Low ( VAL ) – The lowest price level within the value area.
We hope this tutorial helps you understand the power of Session Volume HD and other Volume Profile tools. More importantly, we hope it helps you understand all of the features, customizations, and functionality that come with them. Session Volume HD is one of the Volume Profile tools available to you and it's particularly helpful when zooming in and out of the chart, changing timeframes, and looking for additional detail as you study a specific session of trading.
Thanks for reading and please leave any feedback or comments below. If you want to see more Volume Profile tools or features - we want to hear about it! We just may build it for you.
How to Spot Blow-off Tops - ES1!Here are 3 blow-off tops and 1 failed attempt which all occurred in the last 7 months. Successful completions are marked in solid black. The failed attempt is shown in dotted black.
On all 4 attempts, the price accelerated upwards to different degrees. Each target can be roughly measured based on the price move.
Notice how the failed blow-off begins closer to a price bottom than the successful ones did.
Volume was either steadily increasing or declining during successful blow-offs, compared to the unsuccessful attempt when volume was not clearly trending.
ROC (momentum) was increasing with all 4 attempts. The blow-offs were successful when momentum was at 0 or positive at the start of each blow-off.
Disclaimer: This is my opinion. This is not advice. Trading involves risk.
Money Flow Index (MFI)MFI is a momentum indicator.
It measures the flow of money.
Money Flow Indicator incorporates volume. (Remember that RSI only consider the price)
You can change the preset values.
Oversold levels normally set to 20. ( Less than 20, there will be fewer signals and more than 20 you will get more false signals )
Overbought levels happen above 80. ( More than 80, there will be fewer signals and less than 80 you will get more false signals )
Divergences are also important which I will cover in another video.
Volume Indicators Masterclass Part 1VOLUME INDICATORS
Volume is one piece of information that is often neglected by many market players, especially beginners.
However, learning to interpret volume brings many advantages and could be of tremendous help when it comes to analyzing the markets. The usage of volume indicators has long been restricted to just the Forex Markets. Thereby in the Volume Indicator Masterclass, we will be looking in-depth for a few volume indicators.
Traders often use volume which measures the number of shares traded during a particular time period as a way to assess the significance of changes in a security’s price.
Traders rely on it as a key metric because it lets them know the liquidity level of an asset, and how easily they can get into or out of a position close to the current price, which can be a moving target.
Volume analysis is a technique used to determine the trades you will make by discovering the relationships between volume and prices. In order words, it shows how many times the security has been bought or sold over a given timeframe. The time frame can be one minute, four hours, one day, or anything.
The volume transacted in the given timeframe is represented as a bar, which can be color-coded. The color of the bar shows whether the security’s price closes up or down.
A green bar is generally used to show that the security closed higher during the trading session
A red bar is used to indicate that the security closed lower
The height of the bar shows whether there’s an increase or a decrease in the volume of the security transacted a taller bar shows a higher volume while a shorter bar shows a lower volume.
Trend Confirmation :
If the volume increase with an increase in price or with a decrease in price, it indicates a strong buying or selling pressure.
Trend Non-Confirmation :
If the volume decrease with an increase in price or with a decrease in price, it indicates a weak buying or selling pressure.
There are various Volume Indicators, out of which we will be discussing the Money Flow Index in this Masterclass.
Money Flow Index
The Money Flow Index (MFI) is an oscillator that uses both price and volume to measure buying and selling pressure.
The indicator is synonymous with “volume-weighted RSI” as it integrates volume and mirrors the relative strength index (RSI) with respect to its mathematical formulation and categorical classification as a momentum oscillator MFI.
Calculation of the Money Flow Index:
Typical Price: (High + Low + Close) / 3
Money Flow: Typical Price x Volume
Positive Money Flow: The Money Flow on days where the Typical Price is greater than the previous day’s Typical Price.
Negative Money Flow: The Money Flow on days where the Typical Price is less than the previous day’s Typical Price.
Money Flow Ratio: 14-Period Positive Money Flow / 14-Period Negative Money Flow
Money Flow Index: 100 Money Flow Ratio / (1 + Money Flow Ratio)
Signal Generation
BUY When Money Flow Index crosses up 20 i.e. from the oversold region
SELL When Money Flow Index crosses down 80 i.e. from the overbought region
There a lot of more interesting Volume Indicators that can be used, about which we'll be talking in the next Masterclass of Volume Indicator.
STAY TUNED!
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- Mudrex
GBPUSD high pressure versus low pressure (reference)Low pressure at resistance ; increased pressure at support and the resulting action. Think 2-3 moves ahead.
The strength of any uptrend is going to correlate to the amount of buying that took place during the last down move (in general). Buy low/sell high.
BTCUSDT candle wicks, volume expansion at supportBTC can be surreptitious in its volume. The good thing is that when you hav large volume spikes in BTC at your target it tends to play out.
Just a simple example of volume increasing as price nears support. Schematic to the right to help.
Large wick at the bottom of a candle with low volume means?
Large wick at the bottom of a candle with high volume means?
Accurate Candle/volume interpretation will make you a profitable trader. Its actually very easy.
EURUSD RSI to identify low pressure zones (reference)The volume creates a "peaks and valleys" effect. The valleys are areas of low pressure and the peaks are high pressure.
You can see here how price is drawn toward a path of least resistance (low volume) and the resulting price action depending on wether there is strength in the background or weakness.
reference.
GBPJPY Using RSI (water flooding a raft metaphor)Instead of the traditional verbiage "overbought" and "oversold" I like to think of these two levels as "supply" and "demand"
There are numerous examples to point out but here I have isolated only 2 of them.
Point 1 = DEMAND (oversold)
Point 2 = SUPPLY (overbought)
In general it is ideal to look for entries and exit targets on the edges (standard deviations).
You can ascertain quite a bit of information regarding the bullishness or bearishness of a trend when you wait for volume information at or past standard deviation.
Just to keep it simple focus your attention at points 1 and 2. Then look at the amount of demand pressure or supply pressure .
One way to visualize all of this is to imagine that whenever RSI breaks the supply or demand level its like a sharp object puncturing a raft.
On the supply side,
How much water (volume) is rushing into the raft? The more water that floods the raft may mean that the raft may soon sink.
On the demand side, whenever RSI punctures the demand side of the raft, how much air is rushing in? The more air that rushes into the raft, the better it will hold up in the water.
I like to wait for RSI to hit either the supply or demand side on the 1 hour and from there zoom into the 5 and or 15 minute to identify the Wyckoff phases to go with the trend.
AAPL: Cup with Handle Base to study for Future tradesThis is used in conjunction with the Stocks Over Coffee Podcast on Technical Education Cup with Handles.
Apple is the largest company in the world with a market cap of 2 trillion. This is no easy feat to accomplish but is there a way to get into a small company before it becomes a household name? There is! One just has to notice the cup and handle base and a few other things. First thing you want to make sure is the fundamentals are working. This means you want the company to be growing sales and earnings. This mean the company has a minimum of 25% sales and earnings for the last two quarters. Apple meets the earnings easily but sales can be forgiven since they are generating 100%+ increases quarter over quarter as shown below:
Quarterly Sales
Jun03: +8%
Sep03: +19%
Dec03: +36%
EPS Quarterly
Jun03: +300%
Sep03: +433%
Dec03: +350%
Once the fundamentals are researched you want to make sure that there is a technical setup that is done by institutions. First you can look into the daily $ volume. if the daily $ volume has at least 40mm in activity per day then you can go to the next step or looking for the technical setup. In this tutorial we are looking for a cup with handle setup and Apple will be used for the tutorial. In the Cup with Handle base these are the criteria below:
1. Minimum 30% Prior up trend
2. Cup Base from 7 weeks to 65 weeks
3. Cup Depth below 30%
4. Handle Base with minimum 2 weeks
5. Handle Depth below 15%
Once the check list is done then you can set your buy point. Once the buy triggers then you can confirm at the end of the day if the price is above the pivot point and if the volume is 50% above average. If both of these are great then at the end of the week on Friday you can check the weekly volume is also 50% above average volume then you are good to hold for two major sell rules. The two sell rules I use are
1. 25% Profit Target (CAGR of 115%)
2. Break Below 10 Week Moving Average (CAGR of 156%) 185% Profit
Both of them did great on an annual basis and on a price adjusted yearly basis for this Apple play. How do you decide on the sell rules? It depends on your individual rules and psychology.
Thank you for reading the write up.
Classic Double Top, Bear Flag & 5-0 Pattern lined up all-in-one.Classic Double Top, Bear Flag & 5-0 Pattern lined up all-in-one. What could it signify? Am I just transposing an image onto a market that is not really a reflection of reality? Let's see.
Short NDUSD:
Reasons:
Classic Double Top, Bear Flag & 5-0 Pattern lined up together
volume confirmed the double top
Intermarket confirmation: It appears as though the US Dollar has found support and will rally: s3.amazonaws.com
Inside Bars on the 8 hour chart. Thus, expect a volatility expansion:
MACD Divergence
Do chart patterns work? Well, they certainly gives the trader a disciplined method for attacking the markets. Chart patterns can prevent the trader from overtrading. Certainly, if a chart pattern confirms something fundamental or if one believe it confirms something from sentiment or intermarket analysis, then go for it with proper risk management.
The market does NOT care about your target.DISCLAIMER: Trading Forex involves risk and you may lose more money than you started with! These posts are not to be taken as trade recommendations or financial advice and I offer NO guarantee that any of these ideas will result in profit. Also, trade ideas may change, depending on ever-changing market conditions. You are trading at your own risk and past performance is NOT indicative of future results. Please, know how much you are willing to risk on EVERY trade that you take and be SMART!
Simplify your trading. Always measure your risk and be okay with being wrong ; ) Wait patiently and get the price that you want. Use the market. Don't let the market use you.
Risk:Reward - Utilize the lower time frame charts!DISCLAIMER: Trading Forex involves risk and you may lose more money than you started with! These posts are not to be taken as trade recommendations or financial advice and I offer NO guarantee that any of these ideas will result in profit. Also, trade ideas may change, depending on ever-changing market conditions. You are trading at your own risk and past performance is NOT indicative of future results. Please, know how much you are willing to risk on EVERY trade that you take and be SMART!
Simplify your trading. Always measure your risk and be okay with being wrong ; ) Wait patiently and get the price that you want. Use the market. Don't let the market use you.
Analysis: Using the McGinley, Hull and Renkos together!DISCLAIMER: Trading Forex involves risk and you may lose more money than you started with! These posts are not to be taken as trade recommendations or financial advice and I offer NO guarantee that any of these ideas will result in profit. Also, trade ideas may change, depending on ever-changing market conditions. You are trading at your own risk and past performance is NOT indicative of future results. Please, know how much you are willing to risk on EVERY trade that you take and be SMART!
Simplify your trading. Always measure your risk and be okay with being wrong ; ) Wait patiently and get the price that you want. Use the market. Don't let the market use you.
EURJPY - Using indicators to make a sound decision on directionDISCLAIMER: Trading Forex involves risk and you may lose more money than you started with! These posts are not to be taken as trade recommendations or financial advice and I offer NO guarantee that any of these ideas will result in profit. Also, trade ideas may change, depending on ever-changing market conditions. You are trading at your own risk and past performance is NOT indicative of future results. Please, know how much you are willing to risk on EVERY trade that you take and be SMART!
Simplify your trading. Always measure your risk and be okay with being wrong ; ) Wait patiently and get the price that you want. Use the market. Don't let the market use you.
Evolution of MACDMoving Average Convergence Divergence – MACD
The most popular indicator used in technical analysis, the moving average convergence divergence (MACD), created by Gerald Appel. MACD is a trend-following momentum indicator, designed to reveal changes in the strength, direction, momentum, and duration of a trend in a financial instrument’s price
Historical evolution of MACD,
- Gerald Appel created the MACD line,
- Thomas Aspray added the histogram feature to MACD
- Giorgos E. Siligardos created a leader of MACD
MACD employs two Moving Averages of varying lengths (which are lagging indicators) to identify trend direction and duration. Then, MACD takes the difference in values between those two Moving Averages (MACD Line) and an EMA of those Moving Averages (Signal Line) and plots that difference between the two lines as a histogram which oscillates above and below a center Zero Line. The histogram is used as a good indication of a security's momentum.
Mathematically expressed as;
macd = ma(source, fast_length) – ma(source, slow_length)
signal = ma(macd, signal_length)
histogram = macd – signal
where exponential moving average (ema) is in common use as a moving average (ma)
fast_length = 12
slow_length = 26
signal_length = 9
The MACD indicator is typically good for identifying three types of basic signals;
Signal Line Crossovers
A Signal Line Crossover is the most common signal produced by the MACD. On the occasions where the MACD Line crosses above or below the Signal Line, that can signify a potentially strong move. The standard interpretation of such an event is a recommendation to buy if the MACD line crosses up through the Signal Line (a "bullish" crossover), or to sell if it crosses down through the Signal Line (a "bearish" crossover). These events are taken as indications that the trend in the financial instrument is about to accelerate in the direction of the crossover.
Zero Line Crossovers
Zero Line Crossovers occur when the MACD Line crossed the Zero Line and either becomes positive (above 0) or negative (below 0). A change from positive to negative MACD is interpreted as "bearish", and from negative to positive as "bullish". Zero crossovers provide evidence of a change in the direction of a trend but less confirmation of its momentum than a signal line crossover
Divergence
Divergence is another signal created by the MACD. Simply, divergence occurs when the MACD and actual price are not in agreement. A "positive divergence" or "bullish divergence" occurs when the price makes a new low but the MACD does not confirm with a new low of its own. A "negative divergence" or "bearish divergence" occurs when the price makes a new high but the MACD does not confirm with a new high of its own. A divergence with respect to price may occur on the MACD line and/or the MACD Histogram
Moving Average Crossovers , another hidden signal that MACD Indicator identifies
Many traders will watch for a short-term moving average to cross above a longer-term moving average and use this to signal increasing upward momentum. This bullish crossover suggests that the price has recently been rising at a faster rate than it has in the past, so it is a common technical buy sign. Conversely, a short-term moving average crossing below a longer-term average is used to illustrate that the asset's price has been moving downward at a faster rate and that it may be a good time to sell.
Moving Average Crossovers in reality is Zero Line Crossovers, the value of the MACD indicator is equal to zero each time the two moving averages cross over each other. For easy interpretation by trades, Zero Line Crossovers are simply described as positive or negative MACD
False signals
Like any forecasting algorithm, the MACD can generate false signals. A false positive, for example, would be a bullish crossover followed by a sudden decline in a financial instrument. A false negative would be a situation where there is bearish crossover, yet the financial instrument accelerated suddenly upwards
What is “MACD-X” and Why it is “More Than MACD”
In its simples form, MACD-X implements variety of different calculation techniques applied to obtain MACD Line, ability to use of variety of different sources, including Volume related sources, and can be plotted along with MACD in the same window and all those features are available and presented within a single indicator, MACD-X
Different calculation techniques lead to different values for MACD Line, as will further discuss below, and as a consequence the signal line and the histogram values will differentiate accordingly. Mathematical calculation of both signal line and the histogram remain the same.
Main features of MACD-X ;
1- Introduces different proven techniques applied on MACD calculation, such as MACD-Histogram, MACD-Leader and MACD-Source, besides the traditional MACD (MACD-TRADITIONAL)
• MACD-Traditional, by Gerald Appel
It is the MACD that we know, stated as traditional just to avoid confusion with other techniques used with this study
• MACD-Histogram, by Thomas Aspray
The MACD-Histogram measures the distance between MACD and its signal line (the 9-day EMA of MACD). Aspray developed the MACD-Histogram to anticipate signal line crossovers in MACD. Because MACD uses moving averages and moving averages lag price, signal line crossovers can come late and affect the reward-to-risk ratio of a trade. Bullish or bearish divergences in the MACD-Histogram can alert chartists to an imminent signal line crossover in MACD
The MACD-Histogram represents the difference between MACD and its 9-day EMA, the signal line. Mathematically,
macdx = macd - ma(macd, signal_length)
Aspray's contribution served as a way to anticipate (and therefore cut down on lag) possible MACD crossovers which are a fundamental part of the indicator.
Here come a question, what if repeat the same calculations once more (macdh2 = macdh - ma(macdh, signal_length), will it be even better, this question will remain to be tested
• MACD-Leader, by Giorgos E. Siligardos, PhD
MACD Leader has the ability to lead MACD at critical situations. Almost all smoothing methods encounter in technical analysis are based on a relative-weighted sum of past prices, and the Leader is no exception. The concealed weights of MACD Leader are such that more relative weight is used in the more recent prices than the respective weights used by the components of MACD. In effect, the Leader expresses more changes in average price dynamics for the recent price movement than MACD, thus eventually leading MACD, especially when significant trend changes are about to take place.
Siligardos creates two less-laggard moving averages indicators in its formula using the same periods as follows
Indicator1 = ma(source, fast_length) + ma(source - ma(source, fast_length), fast_length)
Indicator2 = ma(source, slow_length) + ma(source - ma(source, slow_length), slow_length)
and then take the difference:
Indicator1 - Indicator2
The result is a new MACD Leader indicator
macdx = macd + ma(source - fast_ma, fast_length) - ma(source - slow_ma, slow_length)
• MACD-Source, a custom experimental interpretation of mine,
MACD Source, presents an application of MACD that evaluates Source/MA Ratio, relatively with less lag, as a basis for MACD Line, also can be expressed as source convergence/divergence to its moving average. Among the various techniques for removing the lag between price and moving average (MA) of the price, one in particular stands out: the addition to the moving average of a portion of the difference between the price and MA. MACD Source, is based on signal length mean of the difference between Source and average value of shot length and long length moving average of the source (Source/MA Ratio), where the source is actual value and hence no lag and relatively less lag with the average value of moving average of the source . Mathematically expressed as,
macdx = ma(source - avg( ma(source, fast_length), ma(source, slow_length) ), signal_length)
MACD Source provides relatively early crossovers comparing to MACD and better momentum direction indications, assuming the lengths are set to same values
For further details, you are invited to check the following two studies, where the first seeds were sown of the MACD-Source idea
Price Distance to its Moving Averages study, adapts the idea of “Prices high above the moving average (MA) or low below it are likely to be remedied in the future by a reverse price movement", presented in an article by Denis Alajbeg, Zoran Bubas and Dina Vasic published in International Journal of Economics, Commerce and Management
First MACD like interpretation comes with the second study named as “P-MACD”, where P stands for price, P-MACD study attempts to display relationship between Price and its 20 and 200-period moving average. Calculations with P-MACD were based on price distance (convergence/divergence) to its 200-period moving average, and moving average convergence/divergence of 20-period moving average to 200-period moving average of price.
Now as explained above, MACD Source is a one adapted with traditional MACD, where Source stands for Price, Volume Indicator etc, any source applicable with MACD concept
2- Allows usage of variety of different sources, including Volume related indicators
The most common usage of Source for MACD calculation is close value of the financial instruments price. As an experimental approach, this study will allow source to be selected as one of the following series;
• Current Close Price (close)
• Average of High, Low, and Close Price (hlc3)
• On Balance Volume (obv)
• Accumulation Distribution (accdist)
• Price Volume Trend (pvt)
Where,
-Current Close Price and Average of High, Low, and Close Price are price actions of the financial instrument
-Accumulation Distribution is a volume based indicator designed to measure underlying supply and demand
-On Balance Volume (OBV), is a momentum indicator that measures positive and negative volume flow
-Price Volume Trend (PVT) is a momentum based indicator used to measure money flow
3- Can be plotted along with MACD in the same window using the same scaling
Default setting of MACD-X will display MACD-Source with Current Close Price as a source and traditional MACD can be plotted eighter as a companion of MACD-X or can be selected to be plotted alone.
Applying both will add ability to compare, or use as a confirmation of one other
In case, traditional MACD Is plotted along with MACD-X to avoid misinterpreting, the lines plotted, the area between MACD-X Line and Signal-X Line is highlighted automatically, even if the highlight option not selected. Otherwise highlight will be applied only if that option selected
4- 4C Histogram
Histogram is plotted with four colors to emphasize the momentum and direction
5- Customizable
Additional to ability of selecting Calculation Method, Source, plotting along with MACD, there are few other option that allows users to customize the MACD-X indicator
Lengths are configurable, default values are set as 12, 26, 9 respectively for fast, slow and smoothing length. Setting lengths to 8,21,5 respectively Is worth checking, slower length moving averages will lead to less lag and earlier reaction to price actions but yet requires a caution and back testing before applying
Highlight the area between MACD-X Line and Signal-X Line, with colors emphasising the direction
Label can be added to display Calculation Method, Source and Length settings, the aim of this label is to server only as a reminder to trades to be aware of settings while they are occupied with charts, analysis etc.
Here comes another question, which is of more importance having the reminder or having the indicators with multi timeframe feature? Build-in Multi Time Frame features of Pine is not supported when labels and lines introduced in the script, there are other methods but brings complexity. To be studied further, this version will be with labels for time being.
EPILOGUE
MACD-X is an alternative variant of MACD, the insight/signals provided by MACD are also applicable to MACD-X with early and clear warnings for the changes in the trend.
If MACD is essential to your analysis, then it is my guess that after using the MACD-X for a while and familiarizing yourself with its unique character and personality, you will make it an inseparable companion to other indicators in your charts.
The various signals generated by MACD/MACD-X are easily interpreted and very few indicators in technical analysis have proved to be more reliable than the MACD, and this relatively simple indicator can quickly be incorporated into any short-term trading strategy
EURNZD - Greed kills...DISCLAIMER: Trading Forex involves risk and you may lose more money than you started with! These posts are not to be taken as trade recommendations or financial advice and I offer NO guarantee that any of these ideas will result in profit. Also, trade ideas may change, depending on ever-changing market conditions. You are trading at your own risk and past performance is NOT indicative of future results. Please, know how much you are willing to risk on EVERY trade that you take and be SMART!
Simplify your trading. Always measure your risk and be okay with being wrong ; ) Wait patiently and get the price that you want. Use the market. Don't let the market use you.
A picture of divergence. Make sure it's there before jumping in!DISCLAIMER: Trading Forex involves risk and you may lose more money than you started with! These posts are not to be taken as trade recommendations or financial advice and I offer NO guarantee that any of these ideas will result in profit. Also, trade ideas may change, depending on ever-changing market conditions. You are trading at your own risk and past performance is NOT indicative of future results. Please, know how much you are willing to risk on EVERY trade that you take and be SMART!
Simplify your trading. Always measure your risk and be okay with being wrong ; ) Wait patiently and get the price that you want. Use the market. Don't let the market use you.
EURUSD 19 AUGUST 2020 RSI to ID accumulation in uptrend.RSI has recently become part of my style. I spent over a year learning how to identify the actions of smart money using volume. Understanding where something is and why its doing what its doing does not require RSI or any other indicator other than volume. I highly recommend that if this is a profession you truly want to pursue, you must spend some time understand volume. Volume is what moves price. With volume, you can very precisely see wether or not buying or selling is active or not. This is arguably the most important thing to understand in the markets and about 99% of people don't, including "experts"... and its actually not that hard.
Imagine volume as energy.
Energy can be stored (accumulated) and/or released (distributed).
If you haven't familiarised yourself with Richard Wyckoff's accumulation and distribution schematics please DDgo them (or google). If you follow me and look and my analysis (thank you very much by the way!) you are probably already familiar with the way I explain things and how I swear by VSA/Wyckoff.
RSI settings are slightly adjusted to increase sensitivity. I find these setting very reliable for signalling particularly on the 15 minute and in Forex (still working out some settings with digital).
I highlighted the areas of accumulation/re-accumulation. What is critical to understand is that we are only using the 1 hour to judge the condition of the trend (bearish or bullish) and not for entry. The 5 and 15 are used for entry because the smaller time frames convey greater detail. Within those two times frames you can begin more of a range analysis versus a trend analysis (will build on that concept in another chart).
Once RSI is below the median line (50 level or a MA) in a positively identified up trend, you can start looking for phase "A" ( selling climax, preliminary support, automatic rally and secondary test). once these are identified the trading range has been established and you can begin looking for phases "C" and "D" for a possible no supply entry after a spring ( or on the spring if you are really good with your risk management).
Again, use RSI for your trend analysis to identify these critical pullback areas and never chase.
Inverse Head and Shoulder Pattern using BTCUSDThe head and shoulders chart pattern is a price reversal pattern that helps traders identify when a reversal may be underway after a trend is exhausted. It is of two types: Head & Shoulder and Inverse Head & Shoulder. This reversal could signal an end of an uptrend or downtrend. (Inverse Head & Shoulder with an end to downtrend in this case)
Inverse Head & Shoulder:
An inverse head & shoulder pattern is comprised of three main components:
-After a long bearish trend, the price falls to a trough and subsequently rises to a peak
-The price again falls to form a second trough substantially below the initial low and rises again to the same peak
-The price falls for the third time but to the level of the first trough only before rising back to the same peak again
In this chart pattern there are three trough in which a large trough (the head i.e. the second trough) has a slightly smaller trough on either side of it (right and left shoulder that are the first and third peak), with all of the trough increasing to a same level of resistance i.e. the peak until where all the troughs had risen, called as neckline in the pattern.
Once the third trough (right shoulder) moves back to neckline it is likely to breakout to a bullish uptrend indicating a trend reversal hereby, which is the basic explanation of Head and Shoulder.
Traders can use Inverse head and shoulder to buy when the breakout is observed i.e. at the neckline after the right shoulder reached there completing the Inverse Head & Shoulder formation. For confirmation traders can use the drop in volume as the Inverse Head & Shoulder is forming and a sudden increase in the volume as breakout is observed suggesting a shift from sellers before the pattern to buyers after the pattern.
There are few limitations as well to the Head & Shoulder Pattern:
-Sometimes false breakouts might be observed
-The time duration for formation of the pattern might be too long
-Trough or peak might be pretty far from the neckline resulting in large stop loss distances which might have o reviewed consistently
-The price may see pullback after the third peak or trough often confusing few traders
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- Mudrex
Bricks with Wicks! - How to spot a possible fakeout...DISCLAIMER: Trading Forex involves risk and you may lose more money than you started with! These posts are not to be taken as trade recommendations or financial advice and I offer NO guarantee that any of these ideas will result in profit. Also, trade ideas may change, depending on ever-changing market conditions. You are trading at your own risk and past performance is NOT indicative of future results. Please, know how much you are willing to risk on EVERY trade that you take and be SMART!
Simplify your trading. Always measure your risk and be okay with being wrong ; ) Wait patiently and get the price that you want. Use the market. Don't let the market use you.
EURUSD Lazy Bear color volume (reference)Inverted color scheme for the LB colored volume.
Green to red (suggesting supply)
Red to green (suggesting demand)
Blackened out the off hour/low volume areas.
Using the indicator in this way may help as a visual aid to convey the "path of least resistance" concept.
RSI can also help if confused as to where the volume is coming from (sellers or buyers).