MACRO BTC HEALTH 1WThis indicator is used as MACRO tool to view the outlook of BTC on the 1W time frame to illustrate (BLX chart works best)
BTC's price action and where it's at, it helps provide an indication of the crypto market's current health as BTC health is an overall indicator in the crypto market as a whole.
This indicator uses historic data to fit between 4 bands fitted to MA, top(red) when BTC is overheated, 2 bands in middle(yellow) when BTC in fair value, and bottom band(blue) when BTC is oversold
I combined MA that fit BTC 1W chart precisely to show when BTC looks overheated vs over sold using historic data.
When BTC is in the top bands historically overheated.
When BTC is in the middle it is fighting at fair value with the 2 yellow lines in the middle, bullish when above yellow lines, as they act as support, and in downtrend when price is below yellow lines and can act as resistance.
Historically the 200W MA is where BTC finds support at an oversold level at the bottom blue line.
When two yellow lines in middle cross downwards historically results in a downtrend to the bottom oversold line (blue). and when two yellow lines cross up and BTC holds them as support bullish trend continues until it is overheated passed the red band.
This indicator is not meant for day trading but is meant to illustrate a MACRO view of BTC current situation from a zoomed-out view, and to help illustrate to investors where things are at so they leave emotions out of the market and can make decisions based on BTC current levels using Historic data. Pro tip use bottom line(blue, oversold) as an opportunity to buy in and top line red(overheated) to scale out of positions, LONG TERM CRYPTO IS BULLISH BUT GREAT TO GET AN OUTLOOK OF THE CURRENT STATE OF BTC, WHILE ALSO USING MACRO ECONOMIC SENTIMENT IRL, FUNDAMENTAL ECONOMIC DECISIONS, ECONOMIC CONDITIONS/ENVIRONMENT, ECONOMIC HEALTH ,FED DECISIONS, INTEREST RATE ENVIRONMENT AND OF COURSE LOOKING AT CRYPTO ADOPTION.
Hope this indicator helps leave emotions out of the market by providing a good guide of BTC sentiment, and its current health to make decisions accordingly. NFA but good to envision the MACRO BTC HEALTH at the 1W timeframe.
Cycles
100W sma/200W smaThis is an Indicator specifically made for BTC/USD ( Index)
Zoom out on Daily and Weekly candles as much and you can SEE a trend . A very very important trend and you shall remember this indicator with Years to come . This is a VERY long term type indicator and can help you with long term hodling investor mindset analysis .
Periodic CycleAllows visualizing a periodic cycle based on startdate, cycle period and part of cycle to be highlighed.
Long Term: Cumulative Moving AverageWho to use?
This indicator is for Long Term Investors or for Position trading and not for Day traders.
What time-frame to use?
• Daily, Weekly or Monthly
What is Blue line?
• Blue line is Cumulative Moving Average. It is cumulative sum of closing price.
• It is a trend reversal level.
• It is a strong support level.
• If price is below Blue line better not to take any Long position until it crosses above it.
What are Red lines?
• Red lines are Multiplier levels.
• These are target levels to exit the position.
• It can be breakout or pull back levels.
• The level combination numbers can be fully odd or even numbers.
• For example in certain stocks the working levels will be 1x, 3x, 5x etc., in others it will be even numbers like 2x, 4x, 6x etc.
• In some cases the levels need to be tweaked with custom decimals like 1.1x, 2.1x, 3.1x, 4.1x etc. to align the support & resistance levels.
How to use?
Entry
• Enter when the Price reach closer to the Blue line.
• Enter Long when the Price takes a pullback or breakout at the Red lines.
Exit
• Exit position when the Price reach closer to the Red lines in Long positions.
Indicator Menu
• Works only in higher time-frames like D, W & M.
• Will not work in Lower time-frames less than "D" or the Launch Date shows wrong in Lower time-frames.
Multipliers:
(Read above What are Red lines?)
Launch Date:
• Launch Date: Starting date of stock when it appeared in the exchange. Works only in D, W & M timeframes.
• Years: Total number of years from the Launch Date. Accurate date will be shown in Daily timeframe.
• Candles Count: Total number of candles from the Launch Date in the current timeframe.
Labels:
• First number is last traded price.
• Second number in () is percentage change from last traded price to that level.
Accumulation/Distribution Bands & Signals (BTC, 1D, BITSTAMP) This is an accumulation/distribution indicator for BTC/USD (D) based on variations of 1400D and 120D moving averages and logarithmic regression. Yellow plot signals Long Term Accumulation, which is based on 1400D (200W) ALMA, orange plot signals Mid Term Accumulation and is based on 120D ALMA, and finally the red plot signals Long Term Distribution that's based on log regression. It should be noted that for red plot to work BTC 1D BITSTAMP graph must be used, because the function of the logarithmic regression was modified according to the x axis of the BITSTAMP data.
Signal bands have different coefficients; long term accumulation (yellow) and and the log regression (red) plots have the highest coefficients and mid term accumulation (orange) has the lowest coefficients. Coefficients are 6x, 3x and 1.5x for the red (sell) and yellow (buy) plots and 1x, 2x and 3x for the orange (buy) plot. Selling coefficient for the yellow and the orange plots are respectively 2x and 1x. Buy and sell signals are summed up accordingly and plotted at the top of the highest band.
Acknowledgement: Credits for the logarithmic regression function are due @memotyka9009 and Benjamin Cowen
Vertical lines period 9,26,51 Ichimokuallows you to view the old prices on periods 9, 26 and 51 on the Ichimoku indicator. Periods and color can be changed. Can be used on all products. it saves you from having to count the old candles
Simple FX Market Hours█ OVERVIEW
A simple market session indicator that show you what market is in session according to the timezone you configured. It will draw a table with 4 cells matching 4 market Sydney, Tokyo, London and New York. Whenever market is in session the matching text will change colour.
█ WHAT MAKE THIS DIFFERENT
All other indicator on the market are either bar colouring, background colouring, or some sort of box drawing on the chart which is very messy and cluttered your chart. This indicator is as simple as it gets. The label are positions by default at the top right corner (you can change this in the config). It doesn’t draw anything on your chart so you can get right into your price action without anything blocking you.
Also, these type of indicator on the market are not auto converting the market session time to your your configured timezone, you will have to manually entered in the market session hours in your local time. This indicator does! Or perhaps I didn’t look hard enough. Either way I think there aren’t any indicator that are this simple.
█ HOW IT WORKS
I’m using table function (available to pinescript version 4 and above) to position the market labels and change colour of them according to if the market is in session or not.
For timezone, I have predefined all the market hours in all of the timezone from GMT-12 to GMT+12. When you select your timezone it will convert it to the symbol’s exchange timezone. Feel free to update the timezone if I had it incorrectly.
This script doesn’t take into account the DST because DST doesn’t starts or ends on a fixed date.
I also put in a check for symbol type using: syminfo.type == "forex”. So that it will only display if you are on forex pairs. You don’t need to hide it while you are looking at crypto or other assets. For convenience purposes.
█ NOTES
If you like the script be sure to press the like button it will help shows other people that this is useful. Thank you very much!
BTC Gravity OscillatorThis indicator is a deviation of a Center of Gravity Oscillator corrected for the diminishing returns of Bitcoin.
I've set up this indicator for it to be used on the weekly timeframe. The indicator oscillates between 0 and 10, where 0 indicates oversold conditions and 10 indicates overbought conditions.
The indicator plots in any BTCUSD spot, futures , BLX index and BTCEUR .
It paints in all time frames, but Weekly time frame is the correct one to interpret the 'official' read of it.
Hourly Range SeparatorHourly Range Separator is a useful tool to display a hourly vertical line separator in less than 1H timeframes like as 1M, 5M, 15M and etc.
You can change Lines color, style and width from Indicator settings.
Notice : We used vline() function for building this Indicator.
Good trading to all ...
INVEST BTC RSI (from @tradinglord)RSI VERSION - no alerts
The script highlight point of interest for investors using EMA , RSI and a bit of criticism.
The script is built to be used on a weekly timeframe
When RSI is bellow 35 it can be interesting to invest in BTC , on the opposite when it is above 80 can be where to take a bit of profits.
Also using EMA to flow with the power of the trend or change your bias depending on conditions.
Feel free to use the included alerts to be informed when RSI is telling you something.
The idea is quite simple, and you will not gain x100 your investment, but with these kind of investments and some patience you could make your way out.
Obviously not financial advice, understand what you are doing.
"Sometimes it's better to be rational monkey than a greedy baboon" - Tradinglord 2022
INVEST BTC (from @tradinglord)The script highlight point of interest for investors using EMA, RSI and a bit of criticism.
The script is built to be used on a weekly timeframe
When RSI is bellow 35 it can be interesting to invest in BTC, on the opposite when it is above 80 can be where to take a bit of profits.
Also using EMA to flow with the power of the trend or change your bias depending on conditions.
Feel free to use the included alerts to be informed when RSI is telling you something.
The idea is quite simple, and you will not gain x100 your investment, but with these kind of investments and some patience you could make your way out.
Obviously not financial advice, understand what you are doing.
"Sometimes it's better to be rational monkey than a greedy baboon" - Tradinglord 2022
AltSessionHello World
It’s no secret that trading sessions play a massive role in market movement and liquidity. We can clearly see in the image about how important identifying international trading hours are for a trader.
The Asian session starts around 1am GMT and often has a bearish bias through this session lasting for a few hours, after which Frankfurt and London traders start to come online and can often reverse the Asian sentiment.
The London session is the best session to trade traditionally starting around 7am GMT before the American traders come online and reverse market once again.
We have designed this indicator to help identify different trading hours easily with a background shade on the chart and also high/lows of the training session, as these levels can often be revisited.
We hope you find this indicator useful and please feel free to drop a comment if you have any updates you wish to be made or any future indicator script ideas, thank you.
Modified Mannarino Market Risk Indicator & Bubbles
Modified Mannarino Market Risk Indicator
MMRI = DXY * 10Y Yield
MMMRI = MMRI * (Debt/GDP)
Color Indicators
Green ~ Low Risk
Yellow - Mod Risk
Red - High Risk
Purple - Extreme Risk
Bubbles Formula (MMMRI_DK)
DXY*(10Y + FED Rate)* (Shiller P/E Ratio) * (Warren Buffet Indicator)*(Debt/GDP) /1.61
Similar to the Shiller P/E Ratio - you need to look back to see where the bubbles were. The difference between the Dot Com bubble and subsequent ones is that we now have QE which is why I included the FED Rate + 10Y.
Color Indicators
Green ~ Low Risk
Yellow - Mod Risk
Red - High Risk
Purple - Extreme Risk
Future Bubbles Formula (MMMRI_DK_Fut)
DXY*(10Y + Future FED Rate)* (Shiller P/E Ratio) * (Warren Buffet Indicator)*(Debt/GDP) /1.61
Assumes that the 10Y is fixed but what is important is that you will get an idea on when the system may pop.
Lankou Shad helperdisplay values of the current price x2 and x4 and /2, /4
it permit to compare the security values to its past and see if x2 is nearly probable are totally out of reach, he same for /2 of price.
It can be used for Sell Half At Double strategy: SHAD.
NY Session in REDNY is Red from UK time 1200 to 1800.
The rest is white, helps distinguish me NY with non NY since I like trading NY session
Bar CountBar Count Indicator for TradingView. It will label bars with numbers underneath which is awesome when sharing analysis or waiting for bars 7 (50% chance), 12 (70% chance), and 18 (90% chance) looking for higher probability for the High or Low of the day to have formed.
BTC Risk Metric - Estimates the risk of BTC price versus the USD
- To be used on the daily timeframe
- Works best on a BTC pair that has a lot of bars, e.g. The Bitcoin All Time History Index
- 0 is the lowest risk, 1 is the highest risk
- Historically, buying when the risk was low and selling when the risk was high would have yielded good ROI
- The risk bands are 0.1 in width and are highlighted on the plot
Typical Strategy:
- weighted DCA into the market when risk <0.5, do nothing between 0.5-0.6 and weighted DCA out of the market when risk >0.6
- x = buy amount per DCA interval
- y = 1/10th total BTC held by the user
- if 0 ≤ Risk < 0.1 then buy 5x
- if 0.1 ≤ Risk < 0.2 then buy 4x
- if 0.2 ≤ Risk < 0.3 then buy 3x
- if 0.3 ≤ Risk < 0.4 then buy 2x
- if 0.4 ≤ Risk < 0.5 then buy x
- if 0.5 ≤ Risk < 0.6 then do nothing
- if 0.6 ≤ Risk < 0.7 then sell y
- if 0.7 ≤ Risk < 0.8 then sell 2y
- if 0.8 ≤ Risk < 0.9 then sell 3y
- if 0.9 ≤ Risk ≤ 1.0 then sell 4y
Ehlers Cycle Period [CC]The Cycle Period was created by John Ehlers and this is yet another version that shows how to calculate the current cycle period which is the approximate amount of days between a current peak or valley and the next peak or valley. I would not recommend this for trading since it is more for informational use only but I would try experimenting with this output to be used with another indicator as an input length. I have included strong buy and sell signals in addition to normal ones so strong signals are darker in color and normal signals are lighter in color.
Let me know if there are any other scripts you would like to see me publish!
Pi Cycle Bitcoin High/LowThe theory that a Pi Cycle Top might exist in the Bitcoin price action isn't new, but recently I found someone who had done the math on developing a Pi Cycle Low indicator, also using the crosses of moving averages.
The Pi Cycle Top uses the 2x350 Daily MA and the 111 Daily MA
The Pi Cycle Bottom uses the 0.745x471 Daily MA and the 150 Daily EMA
Note: a Signal of "top" doesn't necessarily mean "THE top" of a Bull Run - in 2013 there were two Top Signals, but in 2017 there was just one. There has been one in 2021, but on-chain analysis and macro TA is pointing to there possibly being another one in 2021 or early 2022. Regardless, combining the two indicators (Top and Bottom) means the MAs that converge first will likely give good indication of which will cross first in the next few years.
There is as much of a chance of two "bottom" indications occurring in a single bear market, as nearly happened in the Liquidity Crisis in March 2020.
Ehlers Cycle Amplitude [CC]The Cycle Amplitude was created by John Ehlers (Trend Modes and Cycle Modes) and this indicator wasn't meant to give buy and sell signals by itself but I'm publishing this open source script in case someone comes up with a cool way to use this indicator for buy and sell signals. This indicator essentially tells you the distance between the peaks from the Cycle BandPass Filter and I will be including the last script tomorrow most likely. I'm reusing the same exact buy and sell signals from the cycle bandpass filter so if you have any questions then feel free to refer to the link I posted.
Let me know if there are any other scripts you would like to see me publish!