Enhanced Local Polynomial Regression [Yosiet]Local Polynomial Regression (LPR) is an advanced statistical method that offers a flexible approach to estimating the underlying trend in financial time series data.
The Mathematical Explanation
The core idea of LPR is to fit a polynomial of degree p at each point x using weighted least squares. The weight of each data point decreases with its distance from x, controlled by a kernel function and a bandwidth parameter.
The general form of the local polynomial estimator is:
β̂(x) = argmin Σ K((Xi - x) / h) (Yi - β0 - β1(Xi - x) - ... - βp(Xi - x)^p)^2
Where:
β̂(x) is the vector of estimated coefficients
K is the kernel function
h is the bandwidth
Xi and Yi are the predictor and response variables
p is the degree of the polynomial
Our implementation uses the Epanechnikov kernel:
K(u) = 3/4 * (1 - u^2) for |u| ≤ 1, 0 otherwise
The Implementation
This script implements LPR for the easier way to interpret its values with the following key components:
Input Parameters: Can adjust the lookback period, bandwidth, and polynomial degree.
Kernel Function: The Epanechnikov kernel is used for weighting.
LPR Function: Implements the core algorithm using matrix operations.
Signal Generation: Generates buy/sell signals based on crossovers of smoothed price and LPR results.
How to Use
Apply the indicator to your chart in TradingView.
Adjust the input parameters:
Lookback Period: Controls how many past bars are considered.
Bandwidth: Affects the smoothness of the regression line.
Polynomial Degree: Determines the complexity of the local fit.
Signal Smoothing Length: Adjusts the responsiveness of buy/sell signals.
Monitor buy/sell signals for potential trade entries.
Limitations
Sensitivity to Parameters: The choice of bandwidth and polynomial degree significantly impacts the results.
Lag: Like all trend-following indicators, LPR may lag behind rapid price movements.
Edge Effects: The indicator may be less reliable at the edges of the data (recent bars).
Recommendations
Parameter Optimization: Experiment with different lookback periods, bandwidths, and polynomial degrees to find the best fit for your trading style and timeframe.
Combine with Other Indicators: Use LPR in conjunction with momentum oscillators or volume indicators for confirmation.
Multiple Timeframes: Apply LPR on different timeframes to gain a more comprehensive view of the trend.
Avoid Overfitting: Be cautious of using high polynomial degrees, as they may lead to overfitting on historical data.
Consider Market Conditions: LPR works best in trending markets; be aware of its limitations in ranging or highly volatile conditions.
Backtest Thoroughly: Always backtest strategies based on LPR across different market conditions before live trading.
Conclusion
Local Polynomial Regression offers a sophisticated approach to trend analysis in financial markets. By providing a flexible, adaptive trend line, it can help traders identify potential entry and exit points with greater precision than traditional moving averages. However, like all technical indicators, it should be used as part of a comprehensive trading strategy that includes proper risk management and consideration of fundamental factors.
if you have an strategy or idea and need to make it real through an indicator or trading bot, you can DM or comment
Cycles
MACD with DPO Strategy by NGExplanation of the MACD with DPO Strategy:
MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence):
The MACD is a trend-following indicator that shows the relationship between two moving averages of a price.
In this script:
We calculate the MACD line by subtracting the slow moving average (typically 26-period EMA) from the fast moving average (typically 12-period EMA).
The Signal line is calculated as a 9-period EMA of the MACD line.
The Histogram is the difference between the MACD line and the Signal line, indicating the momentum of the price trend.
Buy Condition: The script generates a buy signal when the MACD histogram crosses from negative to positive (indicating a bullish momentum) and DPO is also positive.
Sell Condition: The script generates a sell signal when the MACD histogram crosses from positive to negative (indicating a bearish momentum) and DPO is also negative.
DPO (Detrended Price Oscillator):
The DPO removes long-term trends from prices, making it easier to identify shorter-term cycles or oscillations.
In this script:
We calculate the DPO by subtracting a shifted simple moving average (SMA) from the close price. The shifting period depends on half the specified period.
We also calculate the DPO SMA as a 30-period EMA of the DPO values.
DPO Color: The DPO line is colored green when the DPO is above zero (indicating upward momentum) and red when it is below zero (indicating downward momentum). The histogram is also colored based on whether the DPO is positive or negative.
Plotting and Alerts:
The script plots the MACD, Signal, and Histogram on the chart.
Additionally, it plots the DPO and its SMA with different colors depending on whether the DPO is above or below zero.
Buy Signal: A green arrow labeled "BUY" is plotted below the bar when both MACD and DPO indicate a bullish condition.
Sell Signal: A red arrow labeled "SELL" is plotted above the bar when both MACD and DPO indicate a bearish condition.
Background colors are used to highlight the chart whenever a buy or sell condition occurs.
The script also includes alerts for both buy and sell signals, allowing users to set notifications when conditions are met.
How to Use:
Identify Buy and Sell Signals:
The script generates a Buy signal when:
The MACD histogram crosses from negative to positive (bullish momentum), and
The DPO is above zero (indicating upward momentum).
The script generates a Sell signal when:
The MACD histogram crosses from positive to negative (bearish momentum), and
The DPO is below zero (indicating downward momentum).
Chart Visualization:
The MACD histogram and Signal line help visualize the momentum and potential trend reversal.
The DPO and DPO SMA help visualize the shorter-term price cycles.
The signals (Buy and Sell) will be plotted on the chart with arrows indicating entry points.
Customization:
You can adjust the MACD and DPO parameters (such as fast_length, slow_length, period_) to fit your trading style or market conditions.
The script can be used in any timeframe depending on your strategy (e.g., intraday trading or longer-term trading).
Example Scenario:
If you're looking for potential buy opportunities, wait for the script to generate a buy signal (green arrow) where the MACD histogram has shifted to positive, and DPO is also in the green (above zero). This signals that both momentum and cycle direction are aligned for a potential upward movement.
Conversely, for sell opportunities, wait for the red arrow where MACD momentum is turning negative and DPO is also negative (below zero), indicating a bearish condition.
This combination of MACD and DPO allows traders to identify stronger and more reliable entry/exit points by confirming the trend with the MACD and detecting shorter-term price cycles with the DPO.
Greer BuyZone toolGreer BuyZone Tool
Description:
The Greer BuyZone Tool is a custom Pine Script indicator designed to help identify potential long-term investment opportunities by marking BuyZones on the chart. This tool utilizes the Aroon indicator in combination with Fibonacci numbers to define periods where the asset might be a good candidate for dollar-cost averaging.
Features:
BuyZone Detection: The script identifies and marks the beginning and end of a BuyZone with vertical lines and labels.
Visual Markers: A red vertical line and label indicate the start of a BuyZone, while a green vertical line and label mark the end of a BuyZone.
Aroon Indicator Calculation: Utilizes the Aroon indicator with a Fibonacci length (233) to determine key price levels.
How to Use:
Setup: Add the Greer BuyZone Tool to your TradingView chart. It will display vertical lines and labels marking the BuyZone periods.
BuyZone Identification: Use the red lines and labels ("BZ Begins ->>") to identify the start of a BuyZone, and the green lines and labels ("<<- BZ Ends") to determine when the BuyZone ends.
Long-Term Investment: This tool is intended for long-term investing and dollar-cost averaging strategies, not for day trading.
Disclaimer:
This script is provided for informational purposes only and is not intended as financial advice. The Greer BuyZone Tool is designed to assist in identifying potential long-term investment opportunities and is not suitable for day trading. The use of this tool involves risk, and there is no guarantee of profitability. Users are advised to conduct their own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions. The creator of this script assumes no liability for any losses or damages resulting from the use of this indicator.
Author: Sean Lee Greer
Date: 9/1/2024
Realized Price Oscillator [InvestorUnknown]Overview
The Realized Price Oscillator is a fundamental analysis tool designed to assess Bitcoin's price dynamics relative to its realized price. The indicator calculates various metrics using data from the realized market capitalization and total supply. It applies normalization techniques to scale values within a specified range, helping investors identify overbought or oversold conditions over the long time horizon. The oscillator also features DCA-based signals to assist in strategic market entry and exit.
Key Features
1. Normalization and Scaling:
The indicator scales values using a limit that can be adjusted for decimal precision (Limit). It allows for both positive and negative values, providing flexibility in analysis.
Decay functionality is included to progressively reduce the extreme values over time, ensuring recent data impacts the oscillator more than older data.
f_rescale(float value, float min, float max, float limit, bool negatives) =>
((limit * (negatives ? 2 : 1)) * (value - min) / (max - min)) - (negatives ? limit : 0)
2. Realized Price Oscillator Calculation:
Realized Price Oscillator is computed using logarithmic differences between the open, high, low, and close prices and the realized price. This helps in identifying how the current market price compares with the average cost basis of the Bitcoin supply.
f_realized_price_oscillator(float realized_price) =>
rpo_o = math.log(open / realized_price)
rpo_h = math.log(high / realized_price)
rpo_l = math.log(low / realized_price)
rpo_c = math.log(close / realized_price)
3. Oscillator Normalization:
The normalized oscillator calculates the range between the maximum and minimum values over time. It adjusts the oscillator values based on these bounds, considering a decay factor. This normalized range assists in consistent signal generation.
normalized_oscillator(float x, float b) =>
float oscillator = b
var float min = na
var float max = na
if (oscillator > max or na(max)) and time >= normalization_start_date
max := oscillator
if (min > oscillator or na(min)) and time >= normalization_start_date
min := oscillator
if time >= normalization_start_date
max := max * decay
min := min * decay
normalized_oscillator = f_rescale(x, min, max, lim, neg)
4. Dollar-Cost Averaging (DCA) Signals:
DCA-based signals are generated using user-defined thresholds (DCA IN and DCA OUT). The oscillator triggers buy signals when the normalized low value falls below the DCA IN threshold and sell signals when the normalized high value exceeds the DCA OUT threshold.
5. Visual Representation:
The indicator plots candlestick representations of the normalized Realized Price Oscillator values (open, high, low, close) over time, starting from a specified date (plot_start_date).
Colors are dynamically adjusted using a gradient to represent the state of the oscillator, ranging from green (buy zone) to red (sell zone). Background and bar colors also change based on DCA conditions.
How It Works
Data Sourcing: Realized price data is sourced using Bitcoin’s realized market cap (BTC_MARKETCAPREAL) and total supply (BTC_SUPPLY).
Realized Price Oscillator Metrics: Logarithmic differences between price and realized price are computed to generate Realized Price Oscillator values for open, high, low, and close.
Normalization: The indicator rescales the oscillator values based on a defined limit, adjusting for negative values if allowed. It employs a decay factor to reduce the influence of historical extremes.
Conclusion
The Realized Price Oscillator is a sophisticated tool that combines market price analysis with realized price metrics to offer a robust framework for understanding Bitcoin's valuation. By leveraging normalization techniques and DCA thresholds, it provides actionable insights for long-term investing strategies.
Introducing the "Smart Money Trap" (SMT) IndicatorThe "Smart Money Trap" (SMT) indicator is a powerful tool designed for simultaneous analysis of multiple currency pairs and their correlations. This indicator allows you to effortlessly visualize divergences and correlations between various currency pairs on a single chart, enhancing your ability to perform in-depth technical analysis.
Key Features:
Multi-Currency Comparison:
The SMT indicator enables you to view the following currency pairs simultaneously:
EUR/USD (Euro to US Dollar)
GBP/USD (British Pound to US Dollar)
USD/JPY (US Dollar to Japanese Yen)
DXY (US Dollar Index)
Correlation and Divergence Analysis:
By overlaying these currency pairs, the SMT indicator helps you identify correlations and divergences between them, which can signal potential trading opportunities.
Customizable Timeframes:
The indicator automatically adjusts to the current chart’s timeframe, ensuring that your analysis is always in sync with the selected period.
Enhanced Decision-Making:
With the ability to visualize multiple currency pairs and their relationships, you can make more informed trading decisions and better understand market dynamics.
The SMT indicator is a valuable tool for traders looking to track and analyze currency pair interactions and identify trading signals based on their correlations and divergences.
Horizontal Lines 0.5, BY ROSHAN SINGHThis indicator identify support and resistance to trade in 1min time frame, based of fib 0.5 level, on 15 min time frame find major high and low means major swing, low will be our start level and high will be our end level input in setting, substract high and end level and now divide answer with 2 till the daily volatility of a index or stock, if saying about nifty suppose nifty daily travel minimum for 65 pts then interval will be 65 input in settings, now all horizontals lines means support and level will be plotted on chart, buy on support, sell on resistance
Landry Light with Moving AverageLandry Light with Moving Average
Overview:
This Pine Script, titled "Landry Light with Moving Average", visualizes the relationship between price action and a chosen moving average (MA) over time. It helps users easily identify periods where the price stays consistently above or below the moving average, which can be a useful indicator of bullish or bearish trends.
Key Features:
Moving Average Type Selection:
The script allows users to choose between two types of moving averages:
Exponential Moving Average (EMA)
Simple Moving Average (SMA)
This is done via a user input option, enabling traders to tailor the indicator to their preferred analysis method.
Moving Average Length:
Users can set the length of the moving average (default is 21 periods). This allows customization based on the trader's time frame, whether short-term or long-term analysis.
Dynamic Moving Average Color:
The moving average line changes color based on the relationship between the price and the MA:
Green: Price is consistently above the MA (bullish condition).
Red: Price is consistently below the MA (bearish condition).
Blue: Price is crossing or close to the MA (neutral or indecisive condition).
Cumulative Days Above/Below MA:
The script tracks and displays the number of consecutive days the price remains above or below the moving average:
Cumulative Days Above: Shown as a green histogram above the zero line.
Cumulative Days Below: Shown as a red histogram below the zero line.
This feature helps users identify sustained trends or potential reversals.
Real-time Labels:
The script generates dynamic labels that display the count of cumulative days the price has stayed above or below the moving average.
These labels are positioned near the moving average on the chart, providing an easy reference for traders.
How Users Can Benefit:
Trend Identification:
By visually representing how long the price stays above or below a key moving average, traders can identify strong bullish or bearish trends. This can inform entry and exit points.
Visualizing Market Sentiment:
The colored moving average line and histogram help traders quickly assess market sentiment. A prolonged green MA line suggests a strong uptrend, while a prolonged red line indicates a downtrend.
Adaptability:
With customizable moving average types and lengths, the indicator can be tailored to fit various trading strategies, whether for day trading, swing trading, or long-term investing.
Reversal Signals:
A shift from cumulative days above to cumulative days below (or vice versa) can serve as an early signal of a potential market reversal, allowing traders to adjust their positions accordingly.
Simplified Decision-Making:
The combination of visual cues (colors, histograms, and labels) simplifies decision-making, allowing traders to focus on trend strength rather than complex calculations.
Usage:
To use this script:
Add the Indicator to Your Chart:
Select the desired moving average type and length.
The script will plot the moving average, colored by the trend, and display cumulative days above or below it.
Interpret the Signals:
Use the histogram and labels to gauge the strength of the trend.
Monitor color changes in the moving average for potential trend reversals.
Incorporate into Your Strategy:
Combine this indicator with other tools (e.g., volume analysis, RSI) to confirm signals and refine your trading strategy.
This indicator is particularly useful for traders who follow the "Landry Light" concept, emphasizing the importance of price staying above or below a moving average to determine trend strength.
Auto Fib Retracement [Syafiq.Jr]This TradingView script is an advanced indicator titled "Auto Fib Retracement Neo ." It's designed to automatically plot Fibonacci retracement levels on a price chart, aiding in technical analysis for traders. Here's a breakdown of its functionality:
Core Functionality :
The script identifies pivot points (highs and lows) on a chart and draws Fibonacci retracement lines based on these points. The lines are dynamic, updating in real-time as the market progresses.
Customizable Inputs :
Depth: Determines the minimum number of bars considered in the pivot point calculation.
Deviation: Adjusts the sensitivity of the script in identifying new pivots.
Fibonacci Levels: Allows users to select which retracement levels (236, 382, 500, 618, 786, 886) are displayed on the chart.
Visual Settings: Customization options include the colors and styles of pivot points, trend lines, and the retracement meter.
Pivot and Line Calculation:
The script calculates the deviation between the current price and the last pivot point. If the deviation exceeds a certain threshold, it identifies a new pivot and draws a trend line between the previous pivot and the current one.
Visual Aids :
The indicator provides extensive visual aids, including pivot points marked with circles, dashed trend lines connecting pivots, and labels displaying additional information like price and delta rate.
Performance :
Optimized to handle large datasets, the script is configured to process up to 4000 bars and can manage numerous lines and labels efficiently.
Background and Appearance :
The script allows for customization of the chart background color, enhancing visibility based on user preferences.
In essence, this script is a powerful tool for traders who rely on Fibonacci retracement levels to identify potential support and resistance areas, allowing for a more automated and visually guided approach to market analysis.
Duo Multi-Time Period Charts# Duo Multi-Time Period Charts
## Description
The Duo Multi-Time Period Charts indicator is a versatile tool designed to visualize price action across two different timeframes simultaneously. It overlays color-coded boxes on your chart, representing the price range for each period in both timeframes. This allows traders to easily identify trends, support, and resistance levels across multiple time horizons.
## Key Features
- Displays two user-defined timeframes (default: Daily and Weekly)
- Customizable calculation methods: High/Low Range, True Range, or Heikin Ashi Range
- Color-coded boxes for easy trend identification (bullish/bearish)
- Optional labels showing open and/or close prices
- Fully customizable colors for boxes and labels
## How It Works
1. The indicator creates boxes for each period in both selected timeframes.
2. Box colors change based on whether the close is higher (bullish) or lower (bearish) than the open.
3. Box heights are determined by the selected calculation method:
- High/Low Range: Uses the period's high and low
- True Range: Incorporates the previous close for more volatility representation
- Heikin Ashi Range: Uses a modified candlestick calculation for smoother trends
4. Optional labels display open and/or close prices for each period.
## Use Cases
- Multi-timeframe analysis: Compare short-term and long-term trends at a glance
- Support and resistance identification: Easily spot key levels across different timeframes
- Trend confirmation: Use the color-coding to confirm trend direction and strength
- Volatility assessment: Compare box sizes to gauge relative volatility between timeframes
## Customization
Users can customize various aspects of the indicator, including:
- Timeframes for analysis
- Calculation method for price ranges
- Color schemes for bullish and bearish periods in both timeframes
- Label content and colors
- Visibility options for boxes and labels
## Recommendation
For optimal clarity, it is recommended to enable price labels for only one timeframe. Displaying labels for both timeframes simultaneously may lead to cluttered and difficult-to-read charts, especially on shorter timeframes or when the two selected periods are close in duration.
This indicator is perfect for traders who want to incorporate multi-timeframe analysis into their trading strategy without cluttering their charts with multiple indicators. By following the label recommendation, users can maintain a clean chart while still benefiting from the multi-timeframe insights provided by the indicator.
Harmonic Moving Average Confluence with Cross SignalsHarmonic Moving Average Confluence with Cross Signals
Overview:
The "Harmonic Moving Average Confluence with Cross Signals" is a custom indicator designed to analyze harmonic moving averages and identify confluence zones on a chart. It provides insights into potential trading opportunities through cross signals and confluence detection.
Features:
Harmonic Moving Averages (HMAs):
38.2% HMA
50% HMA
61.8% HMA
These HMAs are calculated based on a base period and plotted on the chart to identify key support and resistance levels.
Cross Detection:
Buy Signal: Triggered when the 38.2% HMA crosses above the 50% HMA.
Sell Signal: Triggered when the 38.2% HMA crosses below the 50% HMA.
Buy signals are marked with green triangles below the candles.
Sell signals are marked with red triangles above the candles.
Confluence Detection:
Confluence zones are identified where two or more HMAs are within a specified percentage difference from each other.
Confluence Strength: Default minimum strength is set to 3.
Threshold Percentage: Default is set to 0.0002%.
Confluence zones are marked with blue circles on the chart, with 80% opacity.
Default Settings:
Base Period: 50
Minimum Confluence Strength: 3
Confluence Threshold: 0.0002%
Confluence Circles Opacity: 80%
How to Use It:
Setup:
Add the indicator to your trading chart.
The indicator will automatically calculate and plot the harmonic moving averages and detect cross signals and confluence zones based on the default settings.
Interpreting Signals:
Buy Signal: Look for green triangles below the candles indicating a potential buying opportunity when the 38.2% HMA crosses above the 50% HMA.
Sell Signal: Look for red triangles above the candles indicating a potential selling opportunity when the 38.2% HMA crosses below the 50% HMA.
Confluence Zones: Blue circles represent areas where two or more HMAs are within the specified threshold percentage, indicating potential trading zones.
Adjusting Parameters:
Base Period: Adjust to change the period of the moving averages if needed.
Minimum Confluence Strength: Set to control how many confluence zones need to be present to display a circle.
Threshold Percentage: Set to adjust the sensitivity of confluence detection.
Usage Tips:
Use the signals in conjunction with other technical analysis tools to enhance your trading strategy.
Monitor confluence zones for possible high-interest trading opportunities.
I hope this version aligns better with your needs. If there's anything specific you'd like to adjust or add, just let me know!
Trailing Stop ProTrailing Stop Pro is a sophisticated TradingView indicator designed to enhance your trading strategy by dynamically managing trailing stops based on market volatility. This tool leverages the Average True Range (ATR) to adjust stop levels, providing traders with a robust mechanism to protect profits and minimize losses.
Key Features:
Dynamic Trailing Stops: Automatically adjusts stop levels using ATR, allowing for responsive and adaptive risk management.
Customizable Inputs: Tailor the indicator to your trading style with adjustable parameters such as ATR Length, ATR Multiplier, and Source Vector.
Visual Clarity: Distinct color settings for long and short stops, with adjustable line thickness and transparency, ensuring clear visualization on your charts.
Professional Grade: The "Pro" designation signifies advanced features suitable for both novice and experienced traders seeking reliable and efficient stop management.
How It Works:
To set up the indicator, begin by defining the Chrono Point, which specifies the exact time you want the trailing stop mechanism to activate. This allows for precise control over when your stops begin to trail. Next, set the Credit Unit as the initial entry price for your trade, serving as the baseline from which the trailing stops will adjust.
The indicator uses ATR-based adjustments to determine stop levels. Customize the sensitivity of the trailing stop by adjusting the ATR Length (default is 14) and ATR Multiplier (default is 0.5). A longer ATR length smooths out volatility, while a higher multiplier increases the distance of the stop from the price.
Select your Source Vector from "High/Low," "Close," or "Open" prices as the basis for stop calculation. This flexibility allows you to align the indicator with your preferred trading strategy. The indicator plots trailing stops directly on the chart, with color-coded lines indicating long (teal) and short (red) positions. You can adjust the line thickness and transparency for optimal visibility.
The Mission Status feature automatically detects whether the trade is long or short and adjusts the trailing stop accordingly. If the price hits the trailing stop, the trade is considered exited, and the indicator calculates the profit or loss percentage.
Benefits:
Risk Management: Protect your trades from adverse market movements while locking in profits as prices move favorably.
Automation: Reduce manual intervention with automatic stop adjustments, allowing you to focus on strategic decision-making.
User-Friendly Interface: Intuitive settings and clear visual cues make it easy to integrate into your existing trading workflow.
Conclusion:
Trailing Stop Pro is an essential tool for traders looking to enhance their risk management strategies with precision and ease. By automating the trailing stop process and providing clear visual feedback, this indicator empowers you to navigate the markets with confidence. Whether you're a seasoned trader or just starting, Trailing Stop Pro offers the functionality and flexibility needed to optimize your trading performance.
The Trailing Stop Pro indicator is a tool designed to assist traders in managing risk and optimizing their trading strategies. However, it should not be considered as financial advice or a guarantee of profitability. Trading involves significant risk, and it is possible to lose more than your initial investment. Users are encouraged to thoroughly test the indicator in a demo environment and consider their own financial situation and risk tolerance before using it in live trading. Past performance is not indicative of future results, and users should seek advice from a qualified financial advisor if needed.
Tare's Multi-Timeframe Market Heatmap
Tare's Multi-Timeframe Market Heatmap is a powerful tool designed to help traders quickly gauge market sentiment across multiple timeframes using a combination of RSI (Relative Strength Index) and MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) indicators. This indicator analyzes four customizable timeframes to determine whether the market is bullish or bearish, providing a visual heatmap to indicate the overall market direction and strength.
Key Features:
Multi-Timeframe Analysis: The indicator allows you to select up to four different timeframes (e.g., 5 minutes, 15 minutes, 30 minutes, 1 hour) to analyze the market's behavior comprehensively.
RSI and MACD Integration: By combining RSI and MACD indicators, the heatmap provides a more robust analysis, taking into account both momentum (RSI) and trend (MACD) indicators. This dual approach helps in identifying stronger and more reliable signals.
Visual Heatmap: The indicator plots a histogram that changes color and intensity based on the combined bullish or bearish strength across the selected timeframes:
Green: Indicates bullish strength, with a darker shade representing stronger bullish signals across multiple timeframes.
Red: Indicates bearish strength, with a darker shade representing stronger bearish signals across multiple timeframes.
Customizable Settings: You can customize the length settings for RSI and MACD, including the RSI period, MACD fast and slow lengths, and signal length, allowing for tailored analysis based on your trading strategy.
Signal Exposure for Other Strategies: The indicator exposes both bullish and bearish signals, which can be used as inputs for other custom strategies within TradingView. This feature allows seamless integration and enhances the versatility of your trading approach.
How to Use:
Adjust the timeframes and indicator settings in the indicator's input menu to match your trading style.
Observe the color and intensity of the histogram to understand the current market sentiment across the selected timeframes.
Utilize the exposed signals (bullish and bearish) in conjunction with other strategies or indicators for a more comprehensive trading system.
Tare's Multi-Timeframe Market Heatmap provides traders with a clear, concise, and customizable overview of market conditions, making it an essential tool for multi-timeframe analysis and decision-making.
Prometheus Volatility StopThe Prometheus Volatility Stop is an indicator designed to give you a moving risk metric along with a custom Moving Average cross. After a calculation of the annualized volatility for the specified lookback period we determine bullish or bearish from the moving averages and plot the Volatility Stop accordingly.
User Input:
A user can select from Hull Moving Average, Exponential Moving average, Simple Moving Average, the Moving Average used in RSI, and Weighted Moving Average. The default is Hull Moving Average and Exponential Moving average.
A user can also specify the lookback period. The default is 30.
A user may also turn off the plots for the Moving Averages.
The reason for this approach is to be more original from the traditional Volatility Stop.
Calculation:
The Historical Volatility is calculated by taking the standard deviation of the log returns for the specified period and then annualizing it.
hv = ta.stdev(math.log(close / close ), lkb) * math.sqrt(252/5)
Then the Volatility Stop is calculated as follows:
recent_max = ta.highest(close, lkb)
recent_min = ta.lowest(close, lkb)
hv_stop = ma_2 > ma_1 ? recent_max + hv : recent_min - hv
When the second selected moving average is greater than the first, which signals bearishness, the historical volatility gets added to the high of that period. When the moving averages signal bullish the historical volatility gets subtracted from the low of that period.
Here is an example on NASDAQ:ARM :
After the first crossover, bullish signal, price runs for some time. As we get higher and higher so does the Volatility Stop. At the highs before a bearish crossover the price hits and closes at the Volatility Stop. Providing what could be an exit from a strong run up.
Intra-day example on NASDAQ:QQQ :
We see that in the early bearish move price goes on to hit the Volatility Stop before the trend switches.
We also see that in the failed long. The price action throughout the rest of the day, while not providing in profit stop outs, do provide fine directional alerts.
All those examples have been done with the default settings. Upon changing Moving Average One to a WMA and Moving Average Two to an SMA, as well as the lookback to 75. We see this quickly can become a simple trend follower.
This is the perspective we aim to provide. We encourage traders to not follow indicators blindly. No indicator is 100% accurate. This one can give you a different perspective of price strength with volatility. We encourage any comments about desired updates or criticism!
Combined EMA, SMMA, and 60-Day Cycle Indicator V2What This Script Does:
This script is designed to help traders visualize market trends and generate trading signals based on a combination of moving averages and price action. Here's a breakdown of its components and functionality:
Moving Averages:
EMAs (Exponential Moving Averages): These are indicators that smooth out price data to help identify trends. The script uses several EMAs:
200 EMA: A long-term trend indicator.
400 EMA: An even longer-term trend indicator.
55 EMA: A medium-term trend indicator.
89 EMA: Another medium-term trend indicator.
SMMA (Smoothed Moving Average): Similar to EMAs but with different smoothing. The script calculates:
21 SMMA: Short-term smoothed average.
9 SMMA: Very short-term smoothed average.
Cycle High and Low:
60-Day Cycle: The script looks back over the past 60 days to find the highest price (cycle high) and the lowest price (cycle low). These are plotted as horizontal lines on the chart.
Color-Coded Clouds:
Clouds: The script fills the area between certain EMAs with color-coded clouds to visually indicate trend conditions:
200 EMA vs. 400 EMA Cloud: Green when the 200 EMA is above the 400 EMA (bullish trend) and red when it’s below (bearish trend).
21 SMMA vs. 9 SMMA Cloud: Orange when the 21 SMMA is above the 9 SMMA and green when it’s below.
55 EMA vs. 89 EMA Cloud: Light green when the 55 EMA is above the 89 EMA and red when it’s below.
Trading Signals:
Buy Signal: This is shown when:
The price crosses above the 60-day low and
The EMAs indicate a bullish trend (e.g., the 200 EMA is above the 400 EMA and the 55 EMA is above the 89 EMA).
Sell Signal: This is shown when:
The price crosses below the 60-day high and
The EMAs indicate a bearish trend (e.g., the 200 EMA is below the 400 EMA and the 55 EMA is below the 89 EMA).
How It Helps Traders:
Trend Visualization: The colored clouds and EMA lines help you quickly see whether the market is in a bullish or bearish phase.
Trading Signals: The script provides clear visual signals (buy and sell labels) based on specific market conditions, helping you make more informed trading decisions.
In summary, this script combines several tools to help identify market trends and provide buy and sell signals based on price action relative to a 60-day high/low and the positioning of moving averages. It’s a useful tool for traders looking to visualize trends and automate some aspects of their trading strategy.
D-Shape Breakout Signals [LuxAlgo]The D-Shape Breakout Signals indicator uses a unique and novel technique to provide support/resistance curves, a trailing stop loss line, and visual breakout signals from semi-circular shapes.
🔶 USAGE
D-shape is a new concept where the distance between two Swing points is used to create a semi-circle/arc, where the width is expressed as a user-defined percentage of the radius. The resulting arc can be used as a potential support/resistance as well as a source of breakouts.
Users can adjust this percentage (width of the D-shape) in the settings ( "D-Width" ), which will influence breakouts and the Stop-Loss line.
🔹 Breakouts of D-Shape
The arc of this D-shape is used for detecting breakout signals between the price and the curve. Only one breakout per D-shape can occur.
A breakout is highlighted with a colored dot, signifying its location, with a green dot being used when the top part of the arc is exceeded, and red when the bottom part of the arc is surpassed.
When the price reaches the right side of the arc without breaking the arc top/bottom, a blue-colored dot is highlighted, signaling a "Neutral Breakout".
🔹 Trailing Stop-Loss Line
The script includes a Trailing Stop-Loss line (TSL), which is only updated when a breakout of the D-Shape occurs. The TSL will return the midline of the D-Shape subject to a breakout.
The TSL can be used as a stop-loss or entry-level but can also act as a potential support/resistance level or trend visualization.
🔶 DETAILS
A D-shape will initially be colored green when a Swing Low is followed by a Swing High, and red when a Swing Low is followed by a Swing High.
A breakout of the upper side of the D-shape will always update the color to green or to red when the breakout occurs in the lower part. A Neutral Breakout will result in a blue-colored D-shape. The transparency is lowered in the event of a breakout.
In the event of a D-shape breakout, the shape will be removed when the total number of visible D-Shapes exceeds the user set "Minimum Patterns" setting. Any D-shape whose boundaries have not been exceeded (and therefore still active) will remain visible.
🔹 Trailing Stop-Loss Line
Only when a breakout occurs will the midline of the D-shape closest to the closing price potentially become the new Trailing Stop value.
The script will only consider middle lines below the closing price on an upward breakout or middle lines above the closing price when it concerns a downward breakout.
In an uptrend, with an already available green TSL, the potential new Stop-Loss value must be higher than the previous TSL value; while in a downtrend, the new TSL value must be lower.
The Stop-Loss line won't be updated when a "Neutral Breakout" occurs.
🔶 SETTINGS
Swing Length: Period used for the swing detection, with higher values returning longer-term Swing Levels.
🔹 D-Patterns
Minimum Patterns: Minimum amount of visible D-Shape patterns.
D-Width: Width of the D-Shape as a percentage of the distance between both Swing Points.
Included Swings: Include "Swing High" (followed by a Swing Low), "Swing Low" (followed by a Swing High), or "Both"
Style Historical Patterns: Show the "Arc", "Midline" or "Both" of historical patterns.
🔹 Style
Label Size/Colors
Connecting Swing Level: Shows a line connecting the first Swing Point.
Color Fill: colorfill of Trailing Stop-Loss
Atlantean Bitcoin Weekly Market Condition - Top/Bottom BTC Overview:
The "Atlantean Bitcoin Weekly Market Condition Detector - Top/Bottom BTC" is a specialized TradingView indicator designed to identify significant turning points in the Bitcoin market on a weekly basis. By analyzing long-term and short-term moving averages across two distinct resolutions, this indicator provides traders with valuable insights into potential market bottoms and tops, as well as the initiation of bull markets.
Key Features:
Market Bottom Detection: The script uses a combination of a simple moving average (SMA) and an exponential moving average (EMA) calculated over long and short periods to identify potential market bottoms. When these conditions are met, the script signals a "Market Bottom" label on the chart, indicating a possible buying opportunity.
Bull Market Start Indicator: When the short-term EMA crosses above the long-term SMA, it signals the beginning of a bull market. This is marked by a "Bull Market Start" label on the chart, helping traders to prepare for potential market upswings.
Market Top Detection: The script identifies potential market tops by analyzing the crossunder of long and short-term moving averages. A "Market Top" label is plotted, suggesting a potential selling point.
Customizable Moving Averages Display: Users can choose to display the moving averages used for detecting market tops and bottoms, providing additional insights into market conditions.
How It Works: The indicator operates by monitoring the interactions between the specified moving averages:
Market Bottom: Detected when the long-term SMA (adjusted by a factor of 0.745) crosses over the short-term EMA.
Bull Market Start: Detected when the short-term EMA crosses above the long-term SMA.
Market Top: Detected when the long-term SMA (adjusted by a factor of 2) crosses under the short-term SMA.
These conditions are highlighted on the chart, allowing traders to visualize significant market events and make informed decisions.
Intended Use: This indicator is best used on weekly Bitcoin charts. It’s designed to provide long-term market insights rather than short-term trading signals. Traders can use this tool to identify strategic entry and exit points during major market cycles. The optional display of moving averages can further enhance understanding of market dynamics.
Originality and Utility: Unlike many other indicators, this script not only highlights traditional market tops and bottoms but also identifies the aggressive start of bull markets, offering a comprehensive view of market conditions. The unique combination of adjusted moving averages makes this script a valuable tool for long-term Bitcoin traders.
Disclaimer: The signals provided by this indicator are based on historical data and mathematical calculations. They do not guarantee future market performance. Traders should use this tool as part of a broader trading strategy and consider other factors before making trading decisions. Not financial advice.
Happy Trading!
By Atlantean
Decline and Rise Detective [CHE]Decline and Rise Detective
TradingView Indicator (Best Timeframe: 1H or Higher)
1. Introduction
The "Decline and Rise Detective " is a TradingView indicator designed to identify the hours within a trading day that experience the largest price declines and rises. This indicator provides a visual representation of this data, offering traders valuable insights into the most frequent hours for significant price movements. It is most effective when used with a timeframe of 1 hour or greater.
2. Key Features of the Indicator
2.1. Display Options
Display Option: Users can choose between two display options:
Label: Displays the information as a text label directly on the chart.
Table: Displays the information in a table format in the top right corner of the chart.
2.2. Time Zone Settings
Time Zone: The indicator allows the user to manually set the time zone or use the exchange's time zone.
Time Zone Offset: Adjust the time zone via a UTC offset.
2.3. Day Change Detection
The indicator automatically detects the change between trading days to ensure data is correctly assigned.
3. Analysis of Price Declines and Rises
3.1. Calculation of Largest Declines and Rises
The indicator compares the high and low of each hour to determine the largest decline and rise within a trading day.
3.2. Frequency Counting
For each hour of the day, the number of times the largest declines and rises occur is counted to identify the hours with the most significant price movements.
3.3. Data Sorting
The hours are sorted by the number of occurrences of declines and rises to highlight the most frequent hours. This sorting was implemented using the MA Sorter function, inspired by Duyck's Array Sorter. Special thanks to Duyck for providing the Array Sorter on TradingView, which greatly influenced this feature
4. Interpretation and Trading Applications
4.1. Identifying High Volatility Periods
The hours identified by the indicator as having the most frequent and significant price movements are typically periods of high volatility. These periods are crucial for traders who seek to capitalize on market fluctuations.
4.2. Determining Optimal Trade Entries
Long Trades: The hours with the most significant price rises can be used to identify optimal times to enter long positions.
Short Trades: Conversely, the hours with the most significant price declines can indicate good opportunities for short trades.
4.3. Display of Top 5 Hours
The indicator shows the five hours with the most declines and rises.
Depending on the selected display option, this information is shown either as a text label or as a table in the chart.
4.4. Background Color
The background color of the chart changes at day change to clearly mark it.
5. Application of the Indicator
5.1. Trading Use
Traders can use the indicator to identify time windows with high volatility and adjust their trading strategies accordingly. This allows for more informed decisions on when to go long or short, depending on the market conditions during those hours.
5.2. Customization Options
Various input options allow the user to customize the indicator to fit personal needs and trading hours.
6. Summary
The "Decline and Rise Detective " indicator is a powerful tool for analyzing hourly price movements in the markets. By providing detailed information on the most frequent hours for significant price declines and rises, this indicator offers valuable insights into periods of high volatility. Traders can use this data to make more informed decisions on entering long or short trades. It is particularly effective when used with timeframes of 1 hour or greater.
Best regards and happy trading
Chervolino
KASPA Slope OscillatorKASPA Slope Oscillator for analyzing KASPA on the 1D (daily) chart.
The indicator is plotted in a separate pane below the price chart and uses a mathematical approach to calculate and visualize the momentum or "slope" of KASPA's price movements.
Input Parameters:
Slope Window (days):
Defines the period (66 days by default) over which the slope is calculated.
Normalization Window (days):
The window size (85 days) for normalizing the slope values between 0 and 100.
Smoothing Period:
The number of days (15 days) over which the slope values are smoothed to reduce noise.
Overbought and Oversold Levels:
Threshold levels set at 80 (overbought) and 20 (oversold), respectively.
Calculation of the Slope:
Logarithmic Price Calculation:
Converts the close price of KASPA into a logarithmic scale to account for exponential growth or decay.
Rolling Slope:
Computes the rate of change in logarithmic prices over the defined slope window.
Normalization:
The slope is normalized between 0 and 100, allowing easier identification of extreme values.
Smoothing and Visualization:
Smoothing the Slope:
A Simple Moving Average (SMA) is applied to the normalized slope for the specified smoothing period.
Plotting the Oscillator:
The smoothed slope is plotted on the oscillator chart. Horizontal lines indicate overbought (80), oversold (20), and the mid-level (50).
Background Color Indications:
Background colors (red or green) indicate when the slope crosses above the overbought or below the oversold levels, respectively, signaling potential buy or sell conditions.
Detection of Local Maxima and Minima:
The code identifies local peaks (maxima) above the overbought level and troughs (minima) below the oversold level.
Vertical background lines are highlighted in red or green at these points, signaling potential reversals.
Short Summary:
The oscillator line fluctuates between 0 and 100, representing the normalized momentum of the price.
Red background areas indicate periods when the oscillator is above the overbought level (80), suggesting a potential overbought condition or a sell signal.
Green background areas indicate periods when the oscillator is below the oversold level (20), suggesting a potential oversold condition or a buy signal.
The vertical lines on the background mark local maxima and minima where price reversals may occur.
(I also want to thank @ForgoWork for optimizing visuality and cleaning up the source code)
Muti TimeFrame 1st Minute High and a LowThis Pine Script code is designed to plot the high, close, and low prices at exactly 9:31 AM on any timeframe chart. Here's a breakdown of what the script does:
Inputs
Define the start time of the trading day (default: 9:30 AM)
Define the end time of the trading day (default: 4:00 PM)
Toggle to display daily open and close lines (default: true)
Toggle to extend lines for daily open and close (default: false)
Calculations
- Determines if the current bar is the first bar of the trading day (9:30 AM)
- Retrieves the high, close, and low prices at 9:31 AM for the current timeframe
- Plots these prices as crosses on the chart
- Draws lines for the 4 pm close and 9:30 am open, as well as lines for the high and low of the first candle
- Calculates the start and end times for a rectangle box and draws the box on the chart if the start price high and low are set
Features
- Plots the high, close, and low prices at exactly 9:31 AM on any timeframe chart
- Displays daily open and close lines
- Extends lines for daily open and close (optional)
- Draws a rectangle box around the first candle of the day (optional)
Markets
- Designed for use on various markets, including stocks, futures, forex, and crypto
This script is useful for traders who want to visualize the prices at the start of the trading day and track the market's movement throughout the day.
1% Range Bars with Sequence TableOverall Logic :
The script is designed to help traders visualize and analyze price movements on the chart, where each 1% movement is highlighted with a corresponding symbol. Additionally, the table helps track and analyze the number and length of consecutive price movements in one direction, which can be useful for identifying trends and understanding market dynamics.
This script can be particularly useful for traders looking for recurring patterns in price movements and wanting to quickly identify significant changes on the chart.
Main elements of the script :
Price Percentage Change:
The script tracks the price movement by 1% from the last significant value (the value at which the last 1% change was recorded).
If the price rises by 1% or more, a green circle is displayed above the bar.
If the price drops by 1% or more, a red circle is displayed below the bar.
Sequence Counting:
The script counts the number of consecutive 1% moves upwards (green circles) and downwards (red circles).
Separate counters are maintained for upward and downward movements, increasing each time the respective movement occurs.
If an opposite movement interrupts the sequence, the counter for the opposite direction is reset.
Sequence Table:
A table displayed on the chart shows the number of sequences of 1% movements in one direction for lengths from 1 to 15 bars.
The table is updated in real-time and shows how many times sequences of a certain length occurred on the chart, where the price moved by 1% in one direction.
Prometheus Volatility EMAThe Prometheus Volatility EMA is an indicator that calculates an Exponential Moving Average with the historical volatility as how we decide how sensitive to make the indicator to the most recent data.
A traditional EMA is calculated like this:
EMA = alpha * source + (1 - alpha) * EMA , where alpha = 2 / (length + 1)
Sourced from TradingView’s ta.ema built in function.
We see that the alpha value is used to determine how sensitive the EMA will be to the most recent prices, and it is derived from how many bars back are used in the calculation.
Prometheus is using the annualized historical volatility, for a specified period as the “alpha” value. The reason for this is that on more volatile assets, the EMA will follow price more closely to give you a better idea of when price may change direction.
Historical Volatility calculation:
hv = ta.stdev(math.log(close / close ), lkb) * math.sqrt(252/5)
EMA calculation:
float hv_EMA = na
hv_EMA := na(hv_EMA ) ? ta.sma(close, lkb) : hv * close + (1 - hv) * hv_EMA
Let's explain some charts to better understand this tool!
We see on a 1 year NASDAQ:SHY chart, the moving average is far from the price. This makes sense as NASDAQ:SHY has a range of 2.85% from the low to the high for this period in the photo above. It is not very volatile.
In this chart of BITSTAMP:BTCUSD we see that the EMA follows price very closely, way closer than it does on $SHY. This is because BITSTAMP:BTCUSD is much more volatile. BITSTAMP:BTCUSD has a range of 196% from the low to the high in this photo. Way more than $SHY.
We see it change on the same asset here looking at $QQQ. In the small period with the drop we see the EMA follow more closely as volatility picks up, then it quickly allows price to get far as volatility leaves.
This is the perspective we aim to provide. We encourage traders to not follow indicators blindly. No indicator is 100% accurate. This one can give you a different perspective of price strength with volatility. We encourage any comments about desired updates or criticism!
MTF Volume Flow IndicatorThe MTF Volume Flow Indicator (MTF VFI) is an advanced and versatile tool that enhances market analysis by tracking the flow of volume across multiple timeframes. By integrating volume flow with multi-timeframe analysis, this indicator provides traders with a comprehensive understanding of market trends, momentum, and potential reversals.
Key Features
Multi-Timeframe Volume Flow Analysis: The MTF VFI computes the Volume Flow Indicator across various timeframes, ranging from 1 minute to 1 month. This multi-timeframe analysis enables traders to observe and compare volume flow dynamics across different time horizons, offering deeper insights into market behavior.
Customizable VFI Settings: The indicator includes configurable VFI parameters such as length, coefficient, and volume cutoff, allowing users to tailor the analysis to different market conditions and trading strategies. This flexibility ensures that the indicator remains relevant across diverse market environments.
Signal Line and Delta Calculations: The script features a signal line derived from the VFI and calculates the delta values (the difference between VFI and the signal line). These delta values are essential for identifying potential buy or sell signals and are presented as histograms for easy visual interpretation.
Cumulative Delta with Dynamic Bands: The indicator introduces cumulative delta, a powerful tool that combines average and median VFI values to provide a clearer picture of market sentiment. Two standard deviation bands are plotted around the cumulative delta, offering a range within which price movements are likely to remain. These bands are smoothed using a 21-period EMA, providing a more refined view of market volatility.
Multi-Timeframe and Analysis Tables: The MTF VFI includes optional tables that display VFI, signal line, and delta values across all selected timeframes. Additionally, an analysis table presents key statistical metrics such as the highest, lowest, average, standard deviation, range, and median VFI values. These tables provide a concise summary of market conditions, aiding in strategic decision-making.
Dynamic Display Options: The indicator offers extensive customization options, allowing traders to display or hide elements such as delta histograms, delta bands, and tables. This ensures that users can focus on the most relevant information for their trading strategy.
Neutral Candle Coloring Option: Traders can enable neutral candle colors, where bearish candles are gray and bullish candles are white. This feature helps to reduce noise and maintain focus on the overall trend and volume flow analysis.
How It Works
Volume Flow Indicator Calculation: The VFI is calculated using a combination of typical price, volume, and the standard deviation of price changes. The indicator smooths the VFI based on user preferences, allowing traders to adjust the sensitivity of the analysis to better match their trading style.
Multi-Timeframe Integration: The script pulls VFI calculations from multiple timeframes, providing a holistic view of market trends. By analyzing VFI across different timeframes, traders can detect alignments or divergences in volume flow that might indicate trend strength or weakness.
Cumulative Delta and Dynamic Bands: The cumulative delta is computed by combining the average and median VFI values. Dynamic two-standard-deviation bands are plotted around this cumulative delta, providing upper and lower bounds for expected price movements. These bands are further smoothed with a 21-period EMA, enhancing their effectiveness in volatile markets.
Delta Analysis and Histogram Display: The difference between the VFI and its signal line (delta) is calculated and displayed as histograms. This visual representation helps traders quickly assess momentum and identify potential reversals or trend continuations. The cumulative delta is color-coded dynamically based on its direction, adding an extra layer of visual clarity.
Alerts
VFI Crossover Alerts: The indicator includes customizable alerts that notify traders when the VFI crosses above or below its signal line. These alerts are crucial for catching potential trend reversals or continuation signals, even when the trader is not actively monitoring the chart.
Customizable Alert Conditions: Traders can tailor alert conditions to their preferred timeframes and VFI settings, ensuring that the notifications they receive are relevant and timely for their specific trading strategies.
Application
Trend Identification and Confirmation: The MTF VFI aids in identifying and confirming trends by analyzing volume flow across multiple timeframes. This capability is particularly useful for detecting trends that may not be visible on a single timeframe.
Momentum and Divergence Analysis: By comparing VFI and delta values across timeframes, and analyzing cumulative delta with dynamic bands, traders can gain insights into market momentum and potential divergences, which are often precursors to reversals.
Strategic Decision-Making: With its comprehensive multi-timeframe analysis, cumulative delta, and statistical summaries, the MTF VFI equips traders with the information needed to make informed trading decisions, whether for short-term trades or long-term investments.
Visual Clarity and Customization: The indicator’s dynamic display options and neutral candle coloring help traders maintain a clear and focused view of the market, customizing the visualization to match their specific needs.
The MTF Volume Flow Indicator (MTF VFI) by CryptoSea is an essential tool for traders who seek to gain a deeper understanding of market trends and volume dynamics across multiple timeframes. Its advanced features and customization options make it a valuable addition to any trader’s toolkit.
Money Flow DivergenceThe Money Flow Divergence indicator is designed to help traders identify periods when there is a significant divergence between the growth of the U.S. M2 money supply and the S&P 500 index (SPX).
This divergence can provide insights into potential market turning points, making it a valuable tool for long-term investors and traders looking to capitalize on macroeconomic trends.
How It Works:
Data Sources:
S&P 500 Index (SPX) and U.S. M2 Money Supply.
Calculating Growth Rates:
SPX Growth: The script calculates the percentage growth of the S&P 500 index by comparing the current closing price with the previous period's closing price.
M2 Growth: Similarly, it calculates the percentage growth of the U.S. M2 money supply by comparing the current value with the previous period's value.
Growth Gap/Delta:
Growth Gap: The core of the indicator is the "growth gap" or "delta," which is the difference between the M2 money supply growth and the SPX growth. This gap indicates whether liquidity in the economy (represented by M2) is outpacing or lagging behind the performance of the stock market.
Interpretation:
Positive Gap (Green Bars): When the M2 growth outpaces SPX growth, the gap is positive, indicating that there is more liquidity in the system than what is being reflected in the stock market. This scenario often signals potential upward momentum in the market, making it a good time to consider buying.
Negative Gap (Red Bars): When the SPX growth outpaces M2 growth, the gap is negative, suggesting that the market may be overextended relative to the available liquidity. This can be a warning sign of potential market corrections or downturns.
Visualization:
The indicator plots the growth gap as a histogram with bars colored based on the gap value:
Green Bars: Indicate a positive gap where M2 growth is higher than SPX growth.
Red Bars: Indicate a negative gap where SPX growth is higher than M2 growth.
The bars are thickened for better visibility, and a horizontal line at zero is plotted to help users easily distinguish between positive and negative gaps.
How To Use It:
Time Frame Selection: Users can select the desired time frame (e.g., monthly, weekly) for the data. This flexibility allows traders to analyze the indicator over different periods, depending on their investment horizon.
Monthly time frames seem to work best.
Interpreting the Indicator:
Bullish Signals: Look for sustained periods of positive growth gaps (green bars), which may indicate a favorable environment for buying or holding long positions.
Bearish Signals: Be cautious during periods of negative growth gaps (red bars), which could signal overvaluation in the market or potential pullbacks.
Enjoy and let me know if you have any questions.
