Trade Entry and Management Techniques Using Swing High PivotsIn today's video idea, we will delve into a comprehensive strategy for trade entry and management, centered around utilizing swing high pivots as crucial reference points. We will also explore the effective integration of technical tools such as Outer Bands, ribbons, and Target View Trades (TV-Trades) to enhance precision in trading decisions. By the end of this tutorial, you will gain valuable insights into determining trade viability and optimizing trade execution.
Understanding Swing High Pivots:
Swing high pivots serve as pivotal landmarks in market analysis, offering valuable insights into potential trade setups. When identifying swing high pivots, focus on significant price peaks that indicate potential trend reversals or continuation points. These points will serve as key references for evaluating trade opportunities and managing risk effectively.
Trade Entry Strategies:
Utilizing swing high pivots as reference points, assess the market conditions to determine the viability of trade entry. Look for confluence with other technical indicators such as Outer Bands and ribbons to validate trade setups. Prioritize trades that align with the prevailing market trend and exhibit strong momentum, increasing the probability of success.
Managing Trades:
Once you enter a trade, it is essential to implement effective management techniques to optimize profitability and mitigate risks. Continuously monitor price action relative to swing high pivots and technical indicators to gauge trade performance. Implement trailing stop-loss orders to protect profits and minimize potential losses as the trade progresses.
Integration of Technical Tools:
Explore the functionalities of technical tools such as Outer Bands, ribbons, and Target View Trades (TV-Trades) to refine trade entry and exit points further. Outer Bands provide larger trend information, aiding in direction, trade confirmation and risk management. Ribbons offer visual cues for trend direction and momentum, enhancing trade precision. Target View Trades (TV-Trades) provide a systematic approach to identify optimal entry and exit points, facilitating disciplined trading execution.
Conclusion:
Mastering trade entry and management techniques is essential for navigating the dynamic landscape of financial markets successfully. By incorporating swing high pivots and leveraging technical tools effectively, traders can make informed decisions, capitalize on lucrative opportunities, and achieve consistent profitability in their trading endeavors. Continuously refine your skills through practice and experimentation, adapting to evolving market conditions for sustained success.
Trendtrading
S&P rally continuesAt the start of last week, things didn’t look great for the bulls. There were several signs of weakness that could have easily led to a daily trend reversal. However, that didn’t materialize. Firstly, on Monday, buyers were able to set a daily higher low. Then, on Wednesday, they positioned the price very close to the previous two weeks' high. Finally, with the help of the FOMC, they broke through the resistance, set a new historical high, and held it into the week's closure. All these factors together confirm the strength of the bulls and position them well for rally continuation.
AMEX:SPY outlook for the next week is bullish. Pullbacks should be considered as buying opportunities. Short trades should be avoided unless you are a scalper.
Stay alert of economic data releases on Thursday (GDP) and Friday (Personal Income/Spendings and FED) that could cause some volatility.
Disclaimer
I don't give trading or investing advice, just sharing my thoughts.
Gold: Thoughts and Analysis Today's focus: Gold
Pattern – Price range
Support – 2154
Resistance – 2187
Hi, traders; thanks for tuning in for today's update. Today, we are looking at Gold daily.
What are we discussing and asking today after looking at Gold?
Could a close above resistance be the move that starts a new continuation higher?
If we see a break below support, this could be a false break and could set up a final HL.
Could buyers be out of gas as price consolidates and can't break resistance?
Good trading.
High Probability Trading Environments Part 2: Liquidity RunsIn this educational video, we'll explore the distinction between High Resistance Liquidity Runs and Low Resistance Liquidity Runs, crucial for identifying High Probability Trading Environments. Our analysis will focus on NAS100USD, providing insights into potential trading opportunities for the week ahead.
By understanding these concepts, you'll gain valuable insights into positioning yourself effectively in the market. Be sure to watch to gain a comprehensive understanding of the key confluences that contribute to successful trading strategies.
Understanding Trend Analysis, SMT and ICT Concepts
Mastering High Probability Trading Environments Part 1
Kind Regards,
The_Architect
Trend Trading Strategy for the Heiken Ashi Algo v6Knowing when the RSI and price are in a ranging phase even in the short term can be a difficult process.
You are either #Ranging #bullish or #bearish. At least in the Algo v6 you can get a clear vision of exactly whats happening.
In this video im going to give you a VERY simple strategy on:
1. How to know if the RSI and price are ranging
2. When do i break away from Ranges
3. Am I trending
4. Im trending but whats my confluence to take a long or short
5. Is my range getting bigger or smaller
Enjoy this quick vid and ask questions below.
Thanks everyone.
Trading with a trend: basics and strategyIn this video I explain how to indentify trends on the chart and how to use this knowledge to make trading decisions. At the end of the video we'll create a simple yet profitable trading strategy
Waves Light indicator:
Disclaimer
I don't give trading or investing advices, just sharing my thoughts
NDQ100 (Nasdaq) Thoughts and Analysis. Today's focus: NDQ100 (Nasdaq)
Pattern – Continuation (Bullish)
Support – 17,804
Resistance – 18,047
Hi, traders; thanks for tuning in for today's update. Today, we are looking at NDX100 on the daily chart.
Today, we are asking if the NDX100 index will contnue to move higher after putting up several key price action points. Have buyers set the tone for a new extension higher? A main point for us will be that price remains above resistance. We have also run over a few warning signs if sellers start a new push lower.
Good trading.
Trends heading into the FOMC Rate DecisionOverheated market trends showing a bull market is basically my findings. I have not held into positions, long or short, going into this last surge. I had a relatively promising month in January and decided I would just end it on that note.
Trends into today are;
Last Macro Trend Signal Spots (ES Contract)
30m - 4925 Downtrend (1/31/2024) Lower Low
1Hr - 4933 Downtrend (1/31/2024) Higher Low
2Hr - 4925 Downtrend (1/31/2024) Higher Low
3Hr - 4954 Uptrend (1/29/2024) Higher High
4Hr - 4829 Uptrend (1/19/2024) Higher High
6Hr - 4797 Uptrend (1/8/2024) Higher High
12Hr - 4848 Uptrend (1/19/2024) Higher High
Daily - 4378 Uptrend (11/3/2023) Higher High
Weekly - 4769 Uptrend (12/11/2023) Higher High
As explained, that 30m is showing the first sign of weakness for this surge to come back at all.
Additionally, I read a report with Dow Jones Newswires that most of the insider trading lately has been little to no buying and lots of selling. Basically that means that members with stocks in their own companies are taking profits and not investing further into their company. I wouldn't take this as a sign that they think their company is in trouble, but more as a sign that they feel their stocks are overvalued and it is profitable to sell now and repurchase later.
Economic Data today is going to the FED Meeting Minutes and the subsequent statement by Jerome Powell. I don't foresee, nor does the market, of any interest rate movement today.
Geopolitical tensions continue to worsen in the Middle East. The latest is a Drone strike in Jordan that killed 3 US Servicemembers. I've been very surprised that the market has not priced in any sort of issues coming from the Israel/Hamas conflict or any of the tensions and skirmish fighting in the surrounding area.
Overall, I see a huge threat to potential inflationary pressure disrupting this upward movement in the long term. Not some sort of pressure that would take us to a surge in inflation back to 9% like we were, but certainly not allowing us to reach a 2% target rate and having some minor upward movement instead of continuing the downtrend we have seen over the last year.
Overall, my sentiment is fairly neutral. While I had held a bullish sentiment with spots of bearish profit taking before, I see overall a neutral movement from here, as my estimate for our top over this year was to be 5000 and we've almost reached that already.
Trends heading into a conflict area; Other factors in reviewSo I chose to cash out my trade at 4760 for about $2250. Trends have a huge case to send us lower, especially if the 6hour keeps signaling lower. All the trends between 30m and 4hr are ALL in a lower low downtrend at the moment.
The trends are as follows;
Last Macro Trend Signal Spots (ES Contract)
30m - 4778 Downtrend (1/17/2024) Lower Low
1Hr - 4761 Downtrend (1/17/2024) Lower Low
2Hr - 4790 Downtrend (1/11/2024) Lower Low
3Hr - 4790 Downtrend (1/11/2024) Lower Low
4Hr - 4777 Downtrend (1/8/2024) Lower Low
6Hr - 4797 Uptrend (1/8/2024) Higher High
12Hr - 4762 Downtrend (1/3/2024) Higher Low
Daily - 4378 Uptrend (11/3/2023) Higher High
Weekly - 4769 Uptrend (12/11/2023) Higher High
**Note - The 1hr was signaling during the video, it did solidify since so I included the updated in this brief.
That will put the 30m to 6hr downtrends against the 12hr violated uptrend, and pending daily higher low uptrend as well once it signals. As I explain in the video, I see the potential of a conflict zone here, and given my significant profit for the month already, I will likely look elsewhere for additional trades for the moment.
Other things to look at-
Earnings;
We are in Earnings season. Mostly banks this week. They have been mixed overall. Next week is a much bigger week with Microsoft, Netflix, Tesla, and more reporting. To note, there has not been a negative earnings season overall yet recently, even during the bear market of 2022 into 2023.
Economic Data;
Fed Waller spoke about small and few rate cuts, that the market is overly optimistic in the view of how many cuts they expect, and the retail sales data today supports the FOMC ability to choose not to cut rates until they feel very confident inflation is down and will stay that way.
Geopolitical;
Tension in the Middle East continues to rise, so I'd keep having an eye on that. If oil prices surge (they haven't, in spite of attempts by OPEC to make them and general sentiment they will) that will bleed back into inflationary pressure.
My overall sentiment;
Shorter Term - Neutral
Short Term - Neutral
Medium Term - Neutral/slight bullish
Long Term - Bullish
My ZM contracts were stopped out today unfortunately, as I picked up December contracts that didn't nearly pop up like the other ZM contracts of 2024, so I am on the hunt for other potential investments for the moment. Many of those are currency exchanges such as 6J, 6A, and potentially the 6E again if it drops a bit more.
Safe trading, and remember your risk management.
Trend Trading Strategy - Trend Continuation Master the Market Rhythm: Trend Continuation Strategy with Fibonacci Precision
Ready to ride the market waves with confidence? This video unlocks the secrets of a powerful trend continuation strategy, designed to capture momentum and maximize gains.
Here's what you'll discover:
* Identifying the Trend: Learn to spot bullish (higher highs, higher lows) and bearish (lower highs, lower lows) trends like a seasoned pro.
* Support & Resistance: Leverage key price levels where the market reverses, creating exploitable entry points.
* Timeframe Harmony: Start from the bigger picture and zoom in, pinpointing the ideal entry zone on lower timeframes.
* Fibonacci: Harness the power of the 61.8% retracement to identify high-probability trade zones within the trend's ebb and flow.
Trends to finish this week and into next weekStill sitting short at 4805, at the time of recording I was slightly in the negative, but since we have pulled back down as expected and I'm in a profit zone. The trends are well explained in the video, but most important takeaway is that a new 4hr downtrend coming in below 4808 will signal a lower low, as will a 6hr downtrend coming in below 4759. These two movements would open us up, in accordance with trends, to further movement down.
Trends are as follows;
Last Macro Trend Signal Spots (ES Contract)
30m - 4817 Uptrend (1/12/2024) Higher High
1Hr - 4807 Downtrend (1/11/2024) Higher Low
2Hr - 4790 Downtrend (1/11/2024) Lower Low
3Hr - 4790 Downtrend (1/11/2024) Lower Low
4Hr - 4770 Uptrend (1/8/2024) Lower High
6Hr - 4797 Uptrend (1/8/2024) Higher High
12Hr - 4762 Downtrend (1/3/2024) Higher Low
Daily - 4378 Uptrend (11/3/2023) Higher High
Weekly - 4769 Uptrend (12/11/2023) Higher High
Economic Data;
PPI is today, I don't see it have a major weight into the market though as we had CPI, which weighs more heavily, yesterday.
Geopolitical;
US and British forces hit Houthi targets, furthering tensions in the Middle East. This is why Oil has rocketed up 4% thus far on the day. The higher oil goes, the more that price could bleed into inflation, and also the tension could cause some concern for supply-chain issues.
Side Note;
I did go Long on two ZMZ24 (Soybean Meal for December maturity) contracts yesterday at 360. I plan to hold until around 370 and evaluate further to see if they will reach the 'predicted' target of 401. I do not trade Soybean products often, it is more of a oversold historically position than a knowledge of how Soybeans work.
My sentiment going forward in the ES Futures Market is;
Shorter Term - Bearish
Short Term - Bearish
Medium Term - Bearish/Neutral
Long Term - Bullish
Safe trading, and as always, remember your risk management plan.
4750 Target met, trends in some conflict nowSo, we did hit that 4750 range, and ended up hitting it within just a few hours of my assessment that was the next area for us to head.
That opens up a few trends to take us lower, specifically the 1hr and 2hr, as seen below in the trends;
Last Macro Trend Signal Spots (ES Contract)
30m - 4722 Downtrend (1/8/2024) Lower Low
1Hr - 4757 Uptrend (1/5/2024) Lower High
2Hr - 4757 Uptrend (1/5/2024) Lower High
3Hr - 4808 Downtrend (12/29/2023) Higher Low
4Hr - 4808 Downtrend (12/29/2023) Higher Low
6Hr - 4759 Downtrend (12/20/2023) Higher Low
12Hr - 4762 Uptrend (1/3/2024) Higher Low
Daily - 4378 Uptrend (11/3/2023) Higher High
Weekly - 4769 Uptrend (12/11/2023) Higher High
So now the shorter timeframe trends are in some conflict with the longer timeframe trends, and being I capitalized well last week, I am in no rush to get between this fight.
Economic Data;
I could see the public debt today being a big issue, but the major one this week will be CPI data on Thursday, as covered in the video.
Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East continue to be a concern as well.
My sentiment is;
Shorter Term - Neutral
Short Term - Neutral
Medium Term - Neutral/Bullish
Long Term - Bullish
Safe trading, and remember your risk management.
US30: Thoughts and Analysis Pre-FOMCToday's focus: US30
Pattern – N/A
Support – 36,280
Resistance – 36,900
Hi, and thanks for checking out today's update. Today, we are looking at US30 on the daily chart.
Today's video asks if US30 will continue to track higher despite being well off its moving average. This can be a warning if you believe in mean revision. The other point we are looking at in today's report is whether we will see a stall at resistance and previous highs if the price continues to increase.
A key driver could be tomorrow's FOMC; traders will be looking to see if rates remain on hold as expected and what we will hear from the FED in the statement and projections. Ideas are that we could see an end to aggressive rate policy, and what could be coming next?
If it's dovish, we will look for stocks to rally; if it's hawkish, we will look for stocks to decline. Expectations are already in for May rate cuts to be priced in. Will we hear anything from the Fed to substantiate this?
The FOMC will be held at 6:00 am AEDT, and the FOMC press conference will be held at 6:30 am Thursday.
Good trading.
Market Trending Up, but what about longer trends?Hey everyone! Sorry for being away for a bit, while we did follow my red graph down and I had shorted into some of that, I did not feel comfortable following it back up and went over to trade several 6E contracts instead. Not sure the income difference was much, but it felt like a safer trade following long term valuation of the Euro than hoping stocks regain levels never until the pandemic.
Full disclosure, I closed out my 6E contracts towards the end of Tuesday, and am sitting in NO current position right now, so it is easy for me to talk about the market with no skin in the game.
That being said, let's dive into things. Here are the trends as we are in the middle of today;
Last Macro Trend Signal Spots (ESZ Contract)
30m - 4524 Uptrend (11/16/2023) Higher High
1Hr - 4391 Uptrend (11/10/2023) Higher High
2Hr - 4412 Uptrend (11/10/2023) Higher High
3Hr - 4412 Uptrend (11/10/2023) Higher High
4Hr - 4424 Uptrend (11/10/2023) Higher High
6Hr - 4260 Uptrend (11/1/2023) Lower High
12Hr - 4319 Uptrend (11/2/2023) Lower High
Daily - 4378 Uptrend (11/3/2023) Higher High
Weekly - 4244 Downtrend (10/16/2023) Lower Low
On a short term and medium-term basis, things are very much trending upward. Based on the short sentiment in the market, I think we won't push too much higher, and could even run back down to around 4420ish as I think lots of people went short going into Tuesday's CPI data and are going to be holding their positions to try and minimalize their losses if they didn't practice good risk management.
I go into a concern on this upward movement in the video, but ultimately I am concerned that we had our first lower low downtrend EVER on a Weekly analysis for trends. I'm not saying that it will take us lower, I am saying it has never happened before. Every downtrend signal we ever had prior has always been a higher low downtrend. As long as we stay above 4462 when the last uptrend signaled (week of June 6, 2023) we are above and looking to signal a higher high uptrend, but anything below that to me shows we could be headed into a sideways or even long term downtrend market for the first time ever. Or... like I said it has never happened so maybe it means nothing, as there is no historical data to look at.
My current outlook is;
I just plan to sit and watch for potentially the rest of this week and maybe decide Monday on a position, unless I take a short term trade for just over Friday but will likely close out before the weekend. I may even continue to look for other areas of the market to invest in.
Safe trading, and remember your risk management plan!
Possible bearish movement US30English
In my last idea published, I was waiting for a bearish reaction in the 50% fibo´s zone, but the price is going up. What do I see right now? We have a bearish structure on a daily timeframe and I hope to continue selling this index.
In adittion to that, all the retracement we saw, were "healthy" for the price and we don´t have any GAP or something like that which is good. In this retracement we´re having, I´ll be waiting for the price to go to the 79-89% fibo levels to see the reaction and waiting for a price action confirmation to start selling this index, let´s see how it goes in the next days.
Español
En mi última idea publicada, estaba esperando una reacción bajista en la zona del 50% del fibo, pero el precio siguió subiendo. ¿Qué veo ahora en el mercado? Tenemos una estructura bajista en una temporalidad diaria y espero seguir vendiendo este índice.
Adicional a eso, todos los retrocesos que vimos, fueron saludables para el precio y no tuvimos GAPs o algo parecido, lo cual es bueno. En el retroceso actual, Estaré espeando que el precio vaya hasta el 79-89% del Fibo y ver qué reacción tiene y a la espera de una confirmación de acción de precio para comenzar a vender este índice, vamos a ver cómo se mueve en los próximos días.
You Can Buy NDX 100 - Even With The Limited Growth Potential.On the last video, i explained when to buy an index fund SP:SPX .
You need to understand that index funds are connected to Bitcoin CME:BTC1! .
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This means you have a double opportunity to profit.
It means you can buy either, BItcoin, Nasdaq 100, or Gold COMEX:GC1! .
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This market bounce is the most common market indicator among professional traders.
Once you understand this indicator you will become a beast in trading.
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Trading the indexes is one of the most respected skills in trading and investing.
If I could go back in time this is the one skill I would learn first.
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Keep going
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Disclaimer:Do not buy or sell anything I recommend to you do your own research before you trade.
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Rocket boost this content to learn more.
💸😰2 Year Treasury Bond @ - 0.2% in Uptrend 📈When investors invest in short-term bonds
it means they expect inflation
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to arrive inside the current economy
this means higher food prices
and tough economic living conditions
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for the poor and middle-class
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inside this video, you will see the yield curve
and where to buy Bitcoin to save you
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from inflation
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Disclaimer:
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I am not a financial advisor, and the information
provided here is for informational purposes only.
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Stock trading and investing involve risks, and
past performance does not guarantee future results.
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It's important to conduct your own research
and consult with a qualified financial advisor
before making any investment decisions.
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Always be aware of the potential for loss, and
consider your risk tolerance and
investment goals before engaging in any trading activities.
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The content provided here does not constitute
financial advice, and I do not take
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responsibility for any financial decisions made
based on this information.
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Remember to rocket boost this content to learn more
How to identify a trend move using AnchorsIn the video I discuss the concept of Anchors in trading and how I use them in my own trading.
Anchors play a major part in identifying the prime areas to trade and also in risk management when in a trade. I will discuss my prime setups and trading areas using anchors and multi-timeframe analysis.
** If you like the content then take a look at the profile to get more daily ideas and learning material **
** Comments and likes are greatly appreciated **
EURJPY: Could buyers be forming a new swing?Today's focus: EURJPY
Pattern – Continuation
Support – 157.80
Resistance – 159.19
• EURJPY showing buyer demand from previous resistance.
• If buyers can hold, could this be a new upswing?
Hi, and thanks for checking out today’s analysis. Today, our focus is on the EURJPY as buyers continue to fight back after two sessions of losses. Friday’s session closed off lows, and that low point is in a support area we are watching to see if it creates new support. We would like to see buyers hold today’s rally, even better, close above last Friday’s open if momentum can build further through the LON and NY session.
If we see today’s buying fail or if sellers can close below last Friday’s low, that would be a warning, and we would want to see more evidence before thinking about long ideas.
Have a great day and good trading.