Expected Move by Option's Implied Volatility Symbols: CLFD-EARN This script plots boxes to reflect weekly, monthly and yearly expected moves based on "At The Money" put and call option's implied volatility.
Symbols in range: This script will display Expected Move data for Symbols within the range of CLFD - EARN in alphabetical order.
Weekly Updates: Each weekend, the script is updated with fresh expected move data, a job that takes place every Saturday following the close of the markets on Friday.
In the provided script, several boxes are created and plotted on a price chart to represent the expected price moves for various timeframes.
These boxes serve as visual indicators to help traders and analysts understand the expected price volatility.
Definition of Expected Move: Expected Move refers to the anticipated range within which the price of an underlying asset is expected to move over a specific time frame, based on the current implied volatility of its options. Calculation: Expected Move is typically calculated by taking the current stock price and applying a multiple of the implied volatility. The most commonly used multiple is the one-standard-deviation move, which encompasses approximately 68% of potential price outcomes.
Example: Suppose a stock is trading at $100, and the implied volatility of its options is 20%. The one-standard-deviation expected move would be $100 * 0.20 = $20.
This suggests that there is a 68% probability that the stock's price will stay within a range of $80 to $120 over the specified time frame. Usage: Traders and investors use the expected move as a guideline for setting trading strategies and managing risk. It helps them gauge the potential price swings and make informed decisions about buying or selling options. There is a 68% chance that the underlying asset stock or ETF price will be within the boxed area at option expiry. The data on this script is updating weekly at the close of Friday, calculating the implied volatility for the week/month/year based on the "at the money" put and call options with the relevant expiry.
In summary, implied volatility reflects market expectations about future price volatility, especially in the context of options. Expected Move is a practical application of implied volatility, helping traders estimate the likely price range for an asset over a given period. Both concepts play a vital role in assessing risk and devising trading strategies in the options and stock markets.
Volatility
ATR SpikeALWAYS TRADE THE DIRECTION OF THE TREND
This indicator is useful for 5-minute Bank Nifty intraday trading.
It compares the Open-Close value for a 5-minute bar with the current ATR value.
When a bar has higher than the ATR value then it means that the current bar has a higher Open-Close than the ATR.
This means that after a period of dull action, some action has taken place.
And more action will follow in the direction of the immediate trend.
It signals the start of momentum which I look for as a intraday trader.
Feel free to experiment and change values as it suits you.
I use it on Bank Nifty only on 5 minute timeframe with 14 period ATR.
Expected Move by Option's Implied Volatility Symbols: A - AZZ
This script plots boxes to reflect weekly, monthly and yearly expected moves based on "At The Money" put and call option's implied volatility.
Symbols in range: This script will display Expected Move data for Symbols within the range of A - AZZ in alphabetical order.
Weekly Updates: Each weekend, the script is updated with fresh expected move data, a job that takes place every Saturday following the close of the markets on Friday.
In the provided script, several boxes are created and plotted on a price chart to represent the expected price moves for various timeframes.
These boxes serve as visual indicators to help traders and analysts understand the expected price volatility.
Definition of Expected Move: Expected Move refers to the anticipated range within which the price of an underlying asset is expected to move over a specific time frame, based on the current implied volatility of its options. Calculation: Expected Move is typically calculated by taking the current stock price and applying a multiple of the implied volatility. The most commonly used multiple is the one-standard-deviation move, which encompasses approximately 68% of potential price outcomes.
Example: Suppose a stock is trading at $100, and the implied volatility of its options is 20%. The one-standard-deviation expected move would be $100 * 0.20 = $20.
This suggests that there is a 68% probability that the stock's price will stay within a range of $80 to $120 over the specified time frame. Usage: Traders and investors use the expected move as a guideline for setting trading strategies and managing risk. It helps them gauge the potential price swings and make informed decisions about buying or selling options. There is a 68% chance that the underlying asset stock or ETF price will be within the boxed area at option expiry. The data on this script is updating weekly at the close of Friday, calculating the implied volatility for the week/month/year based on the "at the money" put and call options with the relevant expiry.
In summary, implied volatility reflects market expectations about future price volatility, especially in the context of options. Expected Move is a practical application of implied volatility, helping traders estimate the likely price range for an asset over a given period. Both concepts play a vital role in assessing risk and devising trading strategies in the options and stock markets.
MA Slope [EMA Magic]█ Overview:
The MA Slope calculates the slope based on a given moving average.
The Moving Average Slope indicator allows you to identify the direction and the strength of a trend.
It calculates the rate of change in percentage based on the user-defined moving average.
█ Calculation: This indicator calculates the slope based on the changes of moving average and normalizes it with Average True Range(ATR).
The default value of ATR is 7.I recommend not changing it unless you know exactly what are you doing.
█ Input Settings:
The settings are divided into three sections:
The first section is for time frame adjustments. Modify it separately from the chart, Allows you to use moving averages from different time frames.
In the second section, you can configure the base calculation,including Moving Average and Average True Range(ATR) settings.
In the third section, you can detect breakout and sudden change signals, which are highlighted in the background of the indicator.
Note that When you change the breakout limit value, it also affects the band limit indicator on your chart.
To avoid signal confusion, use only one at a time.
Here is the example the breakout signals:
█ Usage:
When the slope is increasing, it indicates an uptrend.
When the slope is decreasing, it indicates a downtrend.
When the slope is moving around zero and choppy, it indicates no specific trend or price is in a range zone.
Uptrend and Range Zone example:
Downtrend example:
Slope peaks on extreme levels can signal a potential trend reversal point.
Breakout of the upper or lower bands can be translated into a trading signal.Indicating that price will probably continue to move in the direction of the breakout.
Favor long setups when the slope is increasing or it is positive and favor short setups when the slope is decreasing or it is negative.
Fits with any moving average you use, e.g., EMA, WMA, MA Ribbon, and more.
█ Alert
Alerts are available for both signal conditions.
█ Recap
Take the time to study price movements alongside this indicator for a deeper understanding.Whether you're a novice or experienced trader, this indicator can come helpful
Z-Score - AsymmetrikZ-Score-Asymmetrik User Manual
Introduction
The Z-Score Indicator is a powerful tool used in technical analysis to measure how far a data point is from the mean value of a dataset, measured in terms of standard deviations. This indicator helps traders identify potential overbought or oversold conditions in the market.
This user manual provides a comprehensive guide on how to use the Z-Score Indicator in TradingView.
0. Quickstart
- Set the thresholds based on your asset (number of standard deviations that you consider being extreme for this asset / timeframe).
- Red background indicates a possible overbought situation, green background an oversold one.
- The color and direction of the Z-Score Line acts as a confirmation of the trend reversal.
1. Indicator Overview
The Z-Score Indicator, also known as the Z-Score Oscillator, is designed to display the Z-Score of a selected financial instrument on your TradingView chart. The Z-Score measures how many standard deviations an asset's price is from its mean (average) price over a specified period.
The indicator consists of the following components:
- Z-Score Line: This line represents the Z-Score value and is displayed on the indicator panel.
- Background Color: The background color of the indicator panel changes based on user-defined thresholds.
2. Inputs
The indicator provides several customizable inputs to tailor it to your specific trading preferences:
- Number of Periods: This input allows you to define the number of periods over which the Z-Score will be calculated. A longer period will provide a smoother Z-Score line but may be less responsive to recent price changes.
- Z-Score Low Threshold: Sets the lower threshold value for the Z-Score. When the Z-Score crosses below this threshold, the background color of the indicator panel changes accordingly.
- Z-Score High Threshold: Sets the upper threshold value for the Z-Score. When the Z-Score crosses above this threshold, the background color of the indicator panel changes accordingly.
3. How to Use the Indicator
Here are the steps to use the Z-Score Indicator:
- Adjust Parameters: Modify the indicator's inputs as needed. You can change the number of periods for the Z-Score calculation and set your desired low and high thresholds.
- Interpret the Indicator: Observe the Z-Score line on the indicator panel. It fluctuates above and below zero. Pay attention to the background color changes when the Z-Score crosses your specified thresholds.
4. Interpreting the Indicator
- Z-Score Line: The Z-Score line represents the current Z-Score value. When it is above zero, it suggests that the asset's price is above the mean, indicating potential overvaluation. When below zero, it suggests undervaluation.
- Background Color: The background color of the indicator panel changes based on the Z-Score's position relative to the specified thresholds. Green indicates the Z-Score is below the low threshold (potential undervaluation), while red indicates it is above the high threshold (potential overvaluation).
- Z-Score Line Color: The color of the Z-Score line shows that the Z-Score is trending up compared to its moving average. This can be used as a validation of the background color.
5. Customization Options
You can customize the Z-Score Indicator in the following ways:
- Adjust Inputs: Modify the number of periods and the Z-Score thresholds.
- Change Line and Background Colors: You can customize the colors of the Z-Score line and background by editing the indicator's script.
6. Troubleshooting
If you encounter any issues while using the Z-Score Indicator, make sure to check the following:
- Ensure that the indicator is applied correctly to your chart.
- Verify that the indicator's inputs match your intended settings.
- Contact me for more support if needed
7. Conclusion
The Z-Score Indicator is a valuable tool for traders and investors to identify potential overbought and oversold conditions in the market. By understanding how the Z-Score works and customizing it to your preferences, you can integrate it into your trading strategy to make informed decisions.
Remember that trading involves risk, and it's essential to combine technical indicators like the Z-Score with other analysis methods and risk management strategies for successful trading.
Momentum Madness (AKA: Moms Mad)The "Momentum Madness" indicator is a customizable technical analysis tool designed for TradingView. It aims to help traders assess price momentum and make informed trading decisions. Below is a description of how this indicator works:
Indicator Title and Settings:
The indicator is titled "Momentum Madness" with a short title "Moms Mad."
Users can customize various settings to tailor the indicator to their preferences.
Input Parameters:
Traders can set the lengths (periods) for four different momentum calculations (len1, len2, len3, len4).
They can specify a lookback period for trend direction determination.
Users can choose from three smoothing types (RMA, SMA, EMA) and set the smoothing length (smoothLength).
The indicator offers options to adjust momentum calculations based on volume (useVolumeWeight), RSI (useRSIAdjustment), and MACD (useMACDAdjustment).
If the trend filter is enabled (useTrendFilter), the indicator considers whether the price is above the 200-period SMA.
Traders can incorporate Bollinger Bands adjustments (useBBAdjustment) and set the Bollinger Bands length (bbLength).
A volatility adjustment can be applied (useVolatilityAdjustment), using the Average True Range (ATR) with a specified length (atrLength).
Smoothing Function:
The indicator offers three smoothing options: RMA, SMA, and EMA, allowing users to select their preferred method for smoothing price data.
Momentum Calculations:
The indicator calculates four different momentum values (mom1, mom2, mom3, mom4) by subtracting the current price from historical prices based on the specified lengths.
Enhancement Features:
Users can enhance momentum calculations through volume weighting, RSI adjustment, MACD adjustment, trend filtering, Bollinger Bands adjustment, and volatility adjustment, depending on their preferences.
Trend Direction Detection:
The indicator identifies the trend direction based on the comparison of the current momentum (mom4Smooth) with a momentum value from a specified lookback period. It determines whether the trend is bullish (green), bearish (red), or neutral (no change).
Plots:
The indicator visualizes the four smoothed momentum values (mom1Smooth, mom2Smooth, mom3Smooth, mom4Smooth) as separate plots on the chart, each with its own customizable color.
A zero line is displayed for reference (yellow).
The average momentum (averageMomentumSmooth) is plotted and can be customized with its own color.
The "Momentum 4" plot dynamically changes color based on trend direction (green for bullish, red for bearish).
Fill:
The indicator fills the area between the "Momentum 4" plot and the zero line with a customizable color to highlight bullish or bearish momentum.
Look for crossover events by studying the chart and understanding what they all mean. Happy trading :)
SML SuiteIntroducing the "SML Suite" Indicator
The "SML Suite" is a powerful and easy-to-use trading indicator designed to help traders make informed decisions in the world of financial markets. Whether you're a seasoned trader or a novice, this indicator is your trusty sidekick for evaluating market trends.
Key Features:
Three Moving Averages: The indicator employs three different moving averages, each with a distinct length, allowing you to adapt to various market conditions.
Customizable Parameters: You can easily customize the moving average lengths and source data to tailor the indicator to your specific trading strategy.
Standard Deviation Multiplier: Adjust the standard deviation multiplier to fine-tune the indicator's sensitivity to market fluctuations.
Binary Results: The indicator provides clear binary signals (1 or -1) based on whether the current price is above or below certain bands. This simplifies your decision-making process.
SML Calculation: The SML (Short, Medium, Long) calculation is a smart combination of the binary results, offering you an overall sentiment about the market.
Color-Coded Visualization: Visualize market sentiment with color-coded bars, making it easy to spot trends at a glance.
Interactive Table: A table is displayed on your chart, giving you a quick overview of the binary results and the overall SML sentiment.
With the "SML Suite" indicator, you don't need to be a coding expert to harness the power of technical analysis. Stay ahead of the game and enhance your trading strategy with this user-friendly tool. Make your trading decisions with confidence and clarity, backed by the insights provided by the "SML Suite" indicator.
Volatility Trend (Zeiierman)█ Overview
The Volatility Trend (Zeiierman) is an indicator designed to help traders identify and analyze market trends based on price volatility. By calculating a dynamic trend line and volatility-adjusted bands, the indicator provides visual cues to understand the current market direction, potential reversal points and volatility.
█ How It Works
The indicator uses a weighted moving average of historical prices to create a responsive trend line that is adjusted for volatility using standard deviation. The indicator sets upper and lower bands at intervals of two standard deviations, acting as markers for potential overbought or oversold conditions. Additionally, by comparing current and previous trend line values, the indicator identifies the trend direction, providing crucial insights for traders.
█ How to Use
Trend Identification
Use the trend line to identify the overall market direction. An upward-sloping line indicates an uptrend, while a downward-sloping line indicates a downtrend.
Volatility Assessment
Use the distance between the upper and lower bands to gauge market volatility. Wider bands indicate higher volatility, while narrower bands indicate lower volatility.
Overbought/Oversold
If the price reaches or exceeds the upper or lower bands, it may be in an overbought or oversold condition, respectively.
█ Settings
Trend Control: Adjusts the sensitivity and smoothness of the trend line. Lower values make the trend more responsive, while higher values make it smoother.
Trend Dynamic: Controls how quickly the trend adjusts to price changes. Higher values result in a slower adjustment.
Volatility: Consists of two parts - the scaling factor for volatility and the sensitivity for volatility adjustment. Adjusting these settings alters the distance between the trend lines and the price, as well as how sensitive the bands are to changes in volatility.
Squeeze Control: Influences the degree to which market squeeze is considered in the calculation, with higher values increasing sensitivity.
Enable Scalping Trend: A toggle that, when activated, makes the indicator focus on short-term trends, which is particularly useful for scalping strategies.
█ Related scripts with the same calculation philosophy
TrendCylinder
TrendSphere
Predictive Trend and Structure
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Disclaimer
The information contained in my Scripts/Indicators/Ideas/Algos/Systems does not constitute financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any securities of any type. I will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on such information.
All investments involve risk, and the past performance of a security, industry, sector, market, financial product, trading strategy, backtest, or individual's trading does not guarantee future results or returns. Investors are fully responsible for any investment decisions they make. Such decisions should be based solely on an evaluation of their financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, and liquidity needs.
My Scripts/Indicators/Ideas/Algos/Systems are only for educational purposes!
HTF - Candles with polylines"HTF - Candles with polylines" draws the previous Higher TimeFrame candles with the new feature polylines .
🔶 USAGE
This publication makes it possible to see Higher Time Frame (HTF) candles on current chart, so you can see the bigger picture without switching to a HTF
The current HTF is represented with a dashed-line box, covering the recent HTF open & close
🔹 Examples :
• current timeframe 1 minute, HTF: 4 hour
• current timeframe 15 minutes, HTF: 1 Day
• current timeframe 1 hour, HTF: 1 Week
Enabling " curved " gives a nice visual effect:
"Pine - Apple" 😀
🔶 DETAILS
The candle is made by starting a polyline at the bottom left. It then goes around, connecting the open-high-low-close values while making sure the width/height of the candle correspondends with the current timeframe candles. Arriving at the top left side, the polyline is connected back with the initial start point by setting the "closed" argument of polyline.new to "true".
-> closed (series bool) If true, the drawing will also connect the first point to the last point from the `points` array, resulting in a closed polyline.
🔶 SETTINGS
• HTF + "curved"
• colours
BB phasesThis indicator is designed to visually represent different market phases based on Bollinger Bands (BB) and provide insights into potential bullish and bearish signals. Let's break down what the indicator does:
The indicator smoothly transitions from the "squeeze" phase to "bullish" or "bearish" phases based on specific price conditions. Here's a more detailed explanation of how this transition occurs:
Squeeze Phase: The "squeeze" phase is identified when the closing price is within the range between the upper Bollinger Band (upper BB) and the lower Bollinger Band (lower BB).
Transition to Bullish Phase: The transition from "squeeze" to "bullish" phase occurs when the price closes above the upper BB. The bullish phase will last while the price hasn't closed below the middle BB.
Transition to Bearish Phase: Conversely, the transition from "squeeze" to "bearish" phase occurs when the price closes below the lower BB. The bearish phase will last while the price hasn't closed above the middle BB.
Another feature of the indicator is to display bearish/bullish triangles when the price reintegrate the bollinger bands after it previously breaked it. For example if the price closes below the lower BB and then the next candle in above the lower BB, a bullish triangle will be displayed.
TrendCryptoThe _trendcrypto script is a trading strategy that uses a variety of indicators to identify potential trading opportunities, including the Parabolic SAR, ADX, and RSI.
The script first calculates the RMA, SMA, and trend direction. The RMA is a moving average that is weighted more heavily towards recent prices. The SMA is a simple moving average that gives equal weight to all prices in the period. The trend direction is calculated by comparing the current price to the price a certain number of periods ago.
The script then uses the RMA, SMA, and trend direction to identify potential trading opportunities. If the current price is above the RMA and the trend direction is up, the script will generate a buy signal. If the current price is below the RMA and the trend direction is down, the script will generate a sell signal.
The script also calculates the Parabolic SAR, which is a technical indicator that helps traders identify potential trend reversals. The Parabolic SAR is calculated using a formula that takes into account the high and low prices of a security over a specified period of time.
The script also calculates the ADX, which is a trend strength indicator. The ADX is calculated using a formula that takes into account the difference between the high and low prices of a security, as well as the difference between the closing price and the previous close.
The script also calculates the RSI, which is a momentum indicator that measures the magnitude of recent price changes to evaluate overbought or oversold conditions in the price of a stock or other asset. The RSI is calculated over a specified period of time, and the default value in the code is 14.
The script also allows users to specify a stop loss and take profit level for each trade. The default stop loss level is 4% and the default take profit level is 7%.
Heikin Ashi Smoothed Buy Sell with Filters Backtest What is the Heikin Ashi Smoothed Buy Sell with Filters Backtest ?
It is the backtesting version of the Heikin Ashi Smoothed Buy Sell with Filters indicator.
This Pine Script code defines a complex indicator used to determine buy-sell signals on financial charts. The indicator operates based on the smoothed version of Heikin Ashi and is fortified with various filters.
1. Parameters and Settings:
At the start of the code, there are a series of input parameters for the user to customize the indicator. These parameters include:
Trend Filter: Checks whether it is above or below the long-term moving average.
Momentum Filter: Uses the RSI (Relative Strength Index) indicator to check if the market is overbought or oversold.
Volatility Filter: Evaluates the market's volatility level using the ATR (Average True Range) indicator.
Volume Filters: Uses various volume-related parameters to measure the strength of the trade signal.
Trade Settings: Specifies percentage values for target and stop-loss levels to be used in trading.
Moving Average Settings: Allows you to select which moving average to use and its duration.
2. Heikin Ashi Smoothed Calculations:
Heikin Ashi is a charting method used to more clearly represent price movements. The smoothed Heikin Ashi ensures smoother price movements.
3. Moving Average Calculations:
The indicator contains a function to calculate different types of moving averages. These moving averages are used to determine the market trend.
4. Filters:
This indicator includes a series of filters to enhance the quality of the signal. Filters help reduce false signals and produce more robust trading signals.
5. Buy-Sell Signals:
All these filters and calculations are brought together to determine potential buy and sell signals. Signals are triggered when all the specified conditions are met.
6. Chart Visualizations:
This indicator uses various plotting functions to visualize signals and trend information on the chart. This allows the user to easily see signals and the trend on the chart.
7. Trade Settings:
When buy and sell signals are triggered, this section checks if it has reached the specified targets and stop-loss levels.
8. Alerts:
This indicator also sends alerts to the user when specific conditions are met. This ensures that the user doesn't miss potential trading opportunities.
In conclusion, this Pine Script indicator produces buy-sell signals by analyzing market movements and applying various filters. Based on the smoothed version of Heikin Ashi, this indicator is useful for trend followers and is fortified with various filters, thus enhancing the quality of trading signals.
Heikin Ashi Smoothed Buy Sell with Filters Backtest Nedir?
Heikin Ashi Smoothed Buy Sell with Filters indikatörünün backtest yapan versiyonudur
Bu Pine Script kodu, finansal grafiklerde al-sat sinyallerini belirlemek için kullanılan karmaşık bir göstergeyi tanımlar. Gösterge, Heikin Ashi'nin yumuşatılmış sürümünü temel alarak çalışır ve çeşitli filtrelerle güçlendirilmiştir.
1. Parametreler ve Ayarlar:
Kodun başlangıcında, kullanıcının göstergeyi kişiselleştirmesi için bir dizi giriş parametresi bulunmaktadır. Bu parametreler şunları içerir:
Trend Filtresi: Uzun vadeli hareketli ortalamanın üstünde veya altında olup olmadığını kontrol eder.
Momentum Filtresi: RSI (Göreceli Güç Endeksi) göstergesini kullanarak piyasanın aşırı alım veya aşırı satım durumunu kontrol eder.
Oynaklık Filtresi: ATR (Ortalama Gerçek Aralık) göstergesi ile piyasanın oynaklık seviyesini değerlendirir.
Hacim Filtreleri: Ticaret sinyalinin gücünü ölçmek için hacimle ilgili çeşitli parametreleri kullanır.
Ticaret Ayarları: Ticarette kullanılacak hedef ve stop-loss seviyeleri için yüzdelik değerleri belirtir.
Hareketli Ortalama Ayarları: Hangi hareketli ortalamayı kullanacağınızı ve bu ortalamanın süresini seçmenizi sağlar.
2. Heikin Ashi Yumuşatılmış Hesaplamaları:
Heikin Ashi, fiyat hareketlerini daha net bir şekilde göstermek için kullanılan bir grafikleme yöntemidir. Yumuşatılmış Heikin Ashi, fiyat hareketlerinin daha pürüzsüz olmasını sağlar.
3. Hareketli Ortalama Hesaplamaları:
Gösterge, farklı türde hareketli ortalamaları hesaplamak için bir fonksiyon içerir. Bu hareketli ortalamalar, piyasa trendini belirlemek için kullanılır.
4. Filtreler:
Bu gösterge, sinyal kalitesini artırmak için bir dizi filtre içerir. Filtreler, yanlış sinyalleri azaltmaya yardımcı olur ve daha sağlam ticaret sinyalleri üretir.
5. Al-Sat Sinyalleri:
Tüm bu filtreler ve hesaplamalar, potansiyel al ve sat sinyallerini belirlemek için bir araya getirilir. Sinyaller, belirlenen koşulların tümü karşılandığında tetiklenir.
6. Grafik Görselleştirmeleri:
Bu gösterge, sinyalleri ve trend bilgisini grafik üzerinde görselleştirmek için çeşitli çizim fonksiyonları kullanır. Bu, kullanıcının grafik üzerinde kolayca sinyalleri ve trendi görmesini sağlar.
7. Ticaret Ayarları:
Alış ve satış sinyalleri tetiklendiğinde, bu bölüm belirlenen hedeflere ve stop-loss seviyelerine ulaşıp ulaşmadığını kontrol eder.
8. Uyarılar:
Bu gösterge ayrıca, belirli koşullar karşılandığında kullanıcıya uyarı gönderir. Bu, kullanıcının potansiyel ticaret fırsatlarını kaçırmamasını sağlar.
Sonuç olarak, bu Pine Script göstergesi, piyasa hareketlerini analiz ederek ve çeşitli filtreleri uygulayarak al-sat sinyalleri üretir. Heikin Ashi'nin yumuşatılmış sürümüne dayanan bu gösterge, trend takipçileri için kullanışlıdır ve çeşitli filtrelerle güçlendirilmiştir, böylece ticaret sinyallerinin kalitesi artar.
Expected Move BandsExpected Moves
The Expected Move of a security shows the amount that a stock is expected to rise or fall from its current market price based on its level of volatility or implied volatility. The expected move of a stock is usually measured with standard deviations.
An Expected Move Range of 1 SD shows that price will be near the 1 SD range 68% of the time given enough samples.
Expected Move Bands
This indicator gets the Expected Move for 1-4 Standard Deviation Ranges using Historical Volatility. Then it displays it on price as bands.
The Expected Move indicator also allows you to see MTF Expected Moves if you want to.
This indicator calculates the expected price movements by analyzing the historical volatility of an asset. Volatility is the measure of fluctuation.
This script uses log returns for the historical volatility calculation which can be modelled as a normal distribution most of the time meaning it is symmetrical and stationary unlike other scripts that use bands to find "reversals". They are fundamentally incorrect.
What these ranges tell you is basically the odds of the price movement being between these levels.
If you take enough samples, 95.5% of the them will be near the 2nd Standard Deviation. And so on. (The 3rd Standard deviation is 99.7%)
For higher timeframes you might need a smaller sample size.
Features
MTF Option
Parameter customization
Candle Pivot and Stop LossThe script plot upside and down side stop loss using pivot point and trure range.
The True Range, representing market volatility, is determined by finding the maximum value among the differences between the previous high-low, high-close, and low-close. The Downside Stop Loss is calculated by adding the True Range to the Pivot Point, while the Upside Stop Loss is calculated by subtracting the True Range from the Pivot Point.
These levels are plotted on the chart in blue (Pivot Point), red (Downside Stop Loss), and green (Upside Stop Loss), providing traders with essential reference points for their trading strategies.
The provided Pine Script calculates key trading levels for the current candle, including the Pivot Point, Downside Stop Loss, and Upside Stop Loss. The Pivot Point is computed as the average of the previous candle's high, low, and close prices.
Drawdown Dynamics IndicatorDescription :
The Drawdown Dynamics Indicator is a straightforward tool that offers insights into three critical aspects of an asset’s financial performance: Total Max Drawdown, Rolling Period Max Drawdown, and Current Max Drawdown. Inside of the indicator, you can select to view either the rolling period max drawdown or the all-time max drawdown. This is represented by the gray line. The blue line represents the asset's current drawdown.
Rolling Period Max Drawdown is more about a snapshot view, highlighting the maximum loss from a peak to a trough for an adjustable rolling time frame. This is a feature not available with other indicators that exist on TradingView.
Total Max Drawdown gives a broad view, showcasing the all-time deepest decline in an asset’s value.
Current Max Drawdown offers a live update, focusing on the asset's present phase and how it's performing in real-time.
Practical Uses :
The utility of this indicator becomes evident when you start exploring the risks and performance metrics of assets. A notable use of this indicator is in comparing the drawdowns of a trading strategy against the inherent drawdowns of an asset. It helps in painting a clearer picture of risk and performance of both the asset and the strategy.
Risk Understanding : By comparing the strategy drawdown to the asset drawdown, traders get to understand if the risk they’re taking aligns with the asset’s natural risk behavior.
Evaluating Strategy’s Strength : If a strategy can weather the storms of the asset's natural drawdown phases and come out relatively unscathed, it can speak to its strength.
Performance Comparison : It also acts as a benchmark tool. Traders can pit different strategies against each other, using the asset’s drawdown as a baseline, to see which one manages risks better.
Disclaimer : This is not financial advice. Open-source scripts I publish in the community are largely meant to spark ideas that can be used as building blocks for part of a more robust trade management strategy. If you would like to implement a version of any script, I would recommend making significant additions/modifications to the strategy & risk management functions. If you don’t know how to program in Pine, then hire a Pine-coder. We can help!
Open, Open +/- EMA ATR Lines with LabelsThis indicator provides traders with a clear visualization of the opening price and its potential movement range for a specific timeframe, based on the Exponential Moving Average (EMA) of the Average True Range (ATR).
Features:
Opening Price Line: A green line representing the opening price for the chosen timeframe.
EMA ATR Lines:
An upper blue line, calculated as the opening price plus the EMA of the ATR.
A lower blue line, calculated as the opening price minus the EMA of the ATR.
Labels: Each line comes with a label on its right side, displaying the price level and, for the EMA ATR lines, the distance in pips from the opening price.
Custom Timeframes: Users can select their desired timeframe for calculations, making this tool versatile for different trading strategies.
Usage:
The EMA-smoothed ATR provides a measure of volatility. By plotting this value above and below the opening price, traders get a sense of potential price movement for the selected timeframe. This can be particularly useful for setting stop losses, take profit levels, or identifying breakout points.
For instance, if the price breaks above the upper EMA ATR line, it might indicate a potential upward move, especially if other market conditions align.
Customization:
Timeframe: Choose from various timeframes like 1-minute, 5-minutes, daily, weekly, and more.
ATR Length: Adjust the length of the ATR for more or less sensitivity.
This indicator is designed to offer traders a quick way to gauge potential price movement for their chosen timeframe. By combining the principles of the opening price and volatility measured by the EMA-smoothed ATR, it provides a straightforward yet powerful tool for various trading scenarios.
Trend Gaussian Channels [DeltaAlgo]This Script Introduces The Use Of The Gaussian Channel Concepts
This indicator consists of three lines: a central line that represents the moving average, and an upper and lower band that represent the volatility of the price movements.
The Gaussian channels is a concept consists of an upper & lower bands along with the basis; the mid band. The use of the Gaussian bands are simple, as described below.👇
Use Case:
There are many ways the Gaussian channel indicator can be used!
1. Look for the price to touch or cross the upper/lower bands of the Gaussian Channel Indicator. This indicates that the price has reached an high level of volatility. a reversal or correction may be imminent.
2. Wait for confirmation of the potential reversal or correction. This can be in the form of a bearish or bullish candlestick pattern, or a signal from another technical indicator.
a. For this reason I have implemented some signals that indicate trend shifts & candle colors to clearly display the switching between a bullish sentiment or bearish.
3. Enter a trade in the direction of the reversal or correction. For example, if the price touches the upper band and a bearish candlestick pattern occurs or if you get a bearish signal, enter a short trade. If the price touches the lower band and indicates bullish candlestick pattern or bullish signal, enter a long trade.
Sometimes this band can act as a support & resistance, THIS is not always the case as it is not meant to be used as support & resistance.
Spot-Vol CorrelationSpot-Vol Correlation Script Guide
Purpose:
This TradingView script measures the correlation between percentage changes in the spot price (e.g., for SPY, an ETF that tracks the S&P 500 index) and the changes in volatility (e.g., as indicated by the VIX, the Volatility Index). Its primary objective is to discern whether the relationship between spot price and volatility behaves as expected ("normal" condition) or diverges from the expected pattern ("abnormal" condition).
Normal vs. Abnormal Correlation:
Normal Correlation: Historically, the VIX (or volatility) and the spot price of major indices like the S&P 500 have an inverse relationship. When the spot price of the index goes up, the VIX tends to go down, indicating lower volatility. Conversely, when the index drops, the VIX generally rises, signaling increased volatility.
Abnormal Correlation: There are instances when this inverse relationship doesn't hold, and both the spot price and the VIX move in the same direction. This is considered an "abnormal" condition and might indicate unusual market dynamics, potential uncertainty, or impending shifts in market sentiment.
Using the Script:
Inputs:
First Symbol: This is set by default to VIX, representing volatility. However, users can input any other volatility metric they prefer.
Second Symbol: This is set to SPY by default, representing the spot price of the S&P 500 index. Like the first symbol, users can substitute SPY with any other asset or index of their choice.
Length of Calculation Period: Users can define the lookback period for the correlation calculation. By default, it's set to 10 periods (e.g., days for a daily chart).
Upper & Lower Bounds of Normal Zone: These parameters define the range of correlation values that are considered "normal" or expected. By default, this is set between -0.60 and -1.00.
Visuals:
Correlation Line: The main line plot shows the correlation coefficient between the two input symbols. When this line is within the "normal zone", it indicates that the spot price and volatility are inversely correlated. If it's outside this zone, the correlation is considered "abnormal".
Green Color: Indicates a period when the spot price and VIX are behaving as traditionally expected (i.e., one rises while the other falls).
Red Color: Denotes a period when the spot price and VIX are both moving in the same direction, which is an abnormal condition.
Shaded Area (Normal Zone): The area between the user-defined upper and lower bounds is shaded in green, highlighting the range of "normal" correlation values.
Interpretation:
Monitor the color and position of the correlation line relative to the shaded area:
If the line is green and within the shaded area, the market dynamics are as traditionally expected.
If the line is red or outside the shaded area, users should exercise caution as this indicates a divergence from typical behavior, which can precede significant market moves or heightened uncertainty.
Advanced Market Opening Gap DetectorThe Advanced Market Opening Gap Detector (AMOGD) is a Pine Script indicator designed to help you identify market gaps at the opening of a new trading day. Gaps are areas on a chart where the price of a security moves sharply up or down with little or no trading in between. They are significant as they may indicate a change in market sentiment. This indicator highlights the size and direction of the opening gap, allowing you to potentially adjust your strategies accordingly.
By setting a minimum gap size, you can filter out smaller, less significant gaps, focusing only on larger gaps which may have more substantial implications. You can define the minimum gap size in points or pips, providing flexibility based on your trading preferences and the asset being traded.
How-to Use:
Apply the AMOGD indicator to your TradingView chart.
Configure the minimum gap size and unit (points or pips) based on your preference using the settings panel.
At the opening of each new trading day, the indicator will check for a gap between the previous close and the opening price.
If a valid gap is detected (i.e., the gap size meets or exceeds the minimum gap size specified), the indicator will:
Draw lines to indicate the opening price and previous close.
Display a label indicating the size of the gap.
Highlight the gap on the chart for better visibility.
Importance:
Market gaps can be pivotal points indicating a possible new trend or a continuation of the current trend. Being able to identify and analyze these gaps is crucial for making informed trading decisions. The AMOGD indicator automates the process of identifying and visualizing opening market gaps, saving traders time and allowing for quick assessment of market conditions at the start of each trading day. By setting a minimum gap size, traders can also filter out less significant price movements, allowing them to focus on potentially trend-changing gaps. This tool can be a valuable addition to a trader's toolkit, aiding in the analysis and interpretation of market behavior at the open, which is often a very volatile and crucial period in the trading day.
DISCLAIMER! RISK WARNING!
PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS. TRADERS SHOULD NOT BASE THEIR DECISION ON INVESTING IN ANY TRADING PROGRAM SOLELY ON THE PAST PERFORMANCE PRESENTED, ADDITIONALLY, IN MAKING AN INVESTMENT DECISION, TRADERS MUST ALSO RELY ON THEIR OWN EXAMINATION OF THE PERSON OR ENTITY MAKING THE TRADING DECISIONS.
Price Change IndicatorEnglish:
This indicator calculates the percentage change in price from the opening to the high and from the opening to the low for the current candle. It allows users to set a threshold percentage for both price increases and decreases. If the price change exceeds the specified threshold, the indicator generates signals and marks them on the chart. A green triangle indicates a price increase exceeding the set threshold, and a red triangle indicates a price decrease exceeding the set threshold.
Inputs:
% UP: Percentage threshold for a price increase.
% DOWN: Percentage threshold for a price decrease.
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Russian:
Этот индикатор рассчитывает процентное изменение цены от открытия до максимума и от открытия до минимума для текущей свечи. Он позволяет установить пороговый процент как для увеличения, так и для уменьшения цены. Если изменение цены превышает установленный порог, индикатор генерирует сигналы и отмечает их на графике. Зеленый треугольник указывает на увеличение цены сверх установленного порога, а красный треугольник - на уменьшение цены сверх установленного порога.
Настройки:
% ВВЕРХ: Пороговый процент для увеличения цены.
% ВНИЗ: Пороговый процент для уменьшения цены.
Heikin Ashi Smoothed Buy Sell with FiltersWhat is the Heikin Ashi Smoothed Buy-Sell Indicator?
This Pine Script code defines a complex indicator used to determine buy-sell signals on financial charts. The indicator operates based on the smoothed version of Heikin Ashi and is fortified with various filters.
1. Parameters and Settings:
At the start of the code, there are a series of input parameters for the user to customize the indicator. These parameters include:
Trend Filter: Checks whether it is above or below the long-term moving average.
Momentum Filter: Uses the RSI (Relative Strength Index) indicator to check if the market is overbought or oversold.
Volatility Filter: Evaluates the market's volatility level using the ATR (Average True Range) indicator.
Volume Filters: Uses various volume-related parameters to measure the strength of the trade signal.
Trade Settings: Specifies percentage values for target and stop-loss levels to be used in trading.
Moving Average Settings: Allows you to select which moving average to use and its duration.
2. Heikin Ashi Smoothed Calculations:
Heikin Ashi is a charting method used to more clearly represent price movements. The smoothed Heikin Ashi ensures smoother price movements.
3. Moving Average Calculations:
The indicator contains a function to calculate different types of moving averages. These moving averages are used to determine the market trend.
4. Filters:
This indicator includes a series of filters to enhance the quality of the signal. Filters help reduce false signals and produce more robust trading signals.
5. Buy-Sell Signals:
All these filters and calculations are brought together to determine potential buy and sell signals. Signals are triggered when all the specified conditions are met.
6. Chart Visualizations:
This indicator uses various plotting functions to visualize signals and trend information on the chart. This allows the user to easily see signals and the trend on the chart.
7. Trade Settings:
When buy and sell signals are triggered, this section checks if it has reached the specified targets and stop-loss levels.
8. Alerts:
This indicator also sends alerts to the user when specific conditions are met. This ensures that the user doesn't miss potential trading opportunities.
In conclusion, this Pine Script indicator produces buy-sell signals by analyzing market movements and applying various filters. Based on the smoothed version of Heikin Ashi, this indicator is useful for trend followers and is fortified with various filters, thus enhancing the quality of trading signals.
Heikin Ashi Yumuşatılmış Al-Sat Göstergesi Nedir?
Bu Pine Script kodu, finansal grafiklerde al-sat sinyallerini belirlemek için kullanılan karmaşık bir göstergeyi tanımlar. Gösterge, Heikin Ashi'nin yumuşatılmış sürümünü temel alarak çalışır ve çeşitli filtrelerle güçlendirilmiştir.
1. Parametreler ve Ayarlar:
Kodun başlangıcında, kullanıcının göstergeyi kişiselleştirmesi için bir dizi giriş parametresi bulunmaktadır. Bu parametreler şunları içerir:
Trend Filtresi: Uzun vadeli hareketli ortalamanın üstünde veya altında olup olmadığını kontrol eder.
Momentum Filtresi: RSI (Göreceli Güç Endeksi) göstergesini kullanarak piyasanın aşırı alım veya aşırı satım durumunu kontrol eder.
Oynaklık Filtresi: ATR (Ortalama Gerçek Aralık) göstergesi ile piyasanın oynaklık seviyesini değerlendirir.
Hacim Filtreleri: Ticaret sinyalinin gücünü ölçmek için hacimle ilgili çeşitli parametreleri kullanır.
Ticaret Ayarları: Ticarette kullanılacak hedef ve stop-loss seviyeleri için yüzdelik değerleri belirtir.
Hareketli Ortalama Ayarları: Hangi hareketli ortalamayı kullanacağınızı ve bu ortalamanın süresini seçmenizi sağlar.
2. Heikin Ashi Yumuşatılmış Hesaplamaları:
Heikin Ashi, fiyat hareketlerini daha net bir şekilde göstermek için kullanılan bir grafikleme yöntemidir. Yumuşatılmış Heikin Ashi, fiyat hareketlerinin daha pürüzsüz olmasını sağlar.
3. Hareketli Ortalama Hesaplamaları:
Gösterge, farklı türde hareketli ortalamaları hesaplamak için bir fonksiyon içerir. Bu hareketli ortalamalar, piyasa trendini belirlemek için kullanılır.
4. Filtreler:
Bu gösterge, sinyal kalitesini artırmak için bir dizi filtre içerir. Filtreler, yanlış sinyalleri azaltmaya yardımcı olur ve daha sağlam ticaret sinyalleri üretir.
5. Al-Sat Sinyalleri:
Tüm bu filtreler ve hesaplamalar, potansiyel al ve sat sinyallerini belirlemek için bir araya getirilir. Sinyaller, belirlenen koşulların tümü karşılandığında tetiklenir.
6. Grafik Görselleştirmeleri:
Bu gösterge, sinyalleri ve trend bilgisini grafik üzerinde görselleştirmek için çeşitli çizim fonksiyonları kullanır. Bu, kullanıcının grafik üzerinde kolayca sinyalleri ve trendi görmesini sağlar.
7. Ticaret Ayarları:
Alış ve satış sinyalleri tetiklendiğinde, bu bölüm belirlenen hedeflere ve stop-loss seviyelerine ulaşıp ulaşmadığını kontrol eder.
8. Uyarılar:
Bu gösterge ayrıca, belirli koşullar karşılandığında kullanıcıya uyarı gönderir. Bu, kullanıcının potansiyel ticaret fırsatlarını kaçırmamasını sağlar.
Sonuç olarak, bu Pine Script göstergesi, piyasa hareketlerini analiz ederek ve çeşitli filtreleri uygulayarak al-sat sinyalleri üretir. Heikin Ashi'nin yumuşatılmış sürümüne dayanan bu gösterge, trend takipçileri için kullanışlıdır ve çeşitli filtrelerle güçlendirilmiştir, böylece ticaret sinyallerinin kalitesi artar.
[Spinn] Average True RangeThe "Average True Range" indicator is a popular tool that measures price volatility. In this modified indicator, I present two methods of calculating ATR: the outdated classical one based on RMA (EMA, SMA, WMA), and the modernized one using the Super Smoother filter.
Why has exponential smoothing become outdated?
Exponential smoothing (EMA) has drawbacks, especially when it comes to identifying cyclical components in the data (and RMA is a variant of EMA). EMA creates phase shifts and distortions, making it less predictable and accurate in tracking real price movements. Modern filters, such as Super Smoother, offer a higher degree of adaptability and precision while ensuring significantly less lag, better smoothness, and superior cycle detection.
Why use more contemporary filters like Super Smoother?
The Super Smoother filter combines exponential smoothing and trigonometric functions for more accurate and smooth tracking of price movements. This filter enhances cycle tracking and reduces the lag often found when using EMA. As a result, signals based on Super Smoother are often more precise and representative of real price movements.
Drawbacks of other smoothing filters commonly used with ATR:
SMA. The lag is (N-1)/2, where N = period. This is terrible.
WMA. According to John F. Ehlers, "It appears that the WMA was invented by a trader who did not have a firm grasp of filter theory in hopes of reducing lag". It has been proven that WMA has worse suppression than the equivalent SMA, and WMA has more delay in the passband than the equivalent EMA. In short, WMA has drawbacks but no advantages compared to other popular moving averages.
It is also a good idea to use the median to average the results.
Test, experiment, use!
Wick Percentage IndicatorIndicator for upper and lower wicks. One plot for upper wick, one for lower.
Percentage of wick is based on the opening price of the candle.
