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Moving Averages

Ichimoku Cloud Indicator MasterclassIchimoku Cloud Ichimoku Cloud is a set of technical Indicators that show support and resistance levels, momentum as well as trend direction which is done by taking into consideration multiple averages and plotting them over the chart. It is composed of 5 lines, 2 of which compose a cloud where the difference between the two lines is shaded in where the price may find support or resistance. The 5 lines include, a 9-period average (conversion line), 26-period average (baseline), an average of those 9-period and 26-period averages (Leading Span A), a 52-period average (Leading Span B) and a lagging closing price line (Lagging Span) There are different ways to interprate the Indicator: Ichimoku Cloud The cloud is the most prominent feature of the Ichimoku Cloud plots. The leading Span A moves faster than the Leading Span B as Leading Span A, the average of conversion line (9-period average), and base line (26-period average) while Leading Span B, 52-period average making the shorter moving average more sensitive and faster than longer moving averages. The price is above the cloud indicates an uptrend and it is strengthened when the Leading Span A is moving above and rising from Leading Span B, similar for downtrend. Ichimoku Crossover For the crossover strategy there will be use of Conversion Line (9-period moving average) and Base Line (26-period moving average). The crossover line takes lesser data points into consideration and reacts to the price more quickly while the baseline considers more data points tending it away from the market price thereby making the reactions slower. Therefore, for Ichimoku crossover a buy signal is generated when the conversion line moves above the base line and sell when the conversion line drops back below the base line. Price-Baseline Trend As the price moves down below the Base Line representing a short-term oversold situation within a bigger uptrend with the pull back ending when the price moved back above the Base Line to trigger Bullish signal while as the price moves above the Base Line representing a short-term overbought region within a bigger downtrend with the bounce ending when the price moved back below the Base Line trigger to a Bearish signal. Ichimoku + RSI The Oscillator indicator is RSI and the moving average is Ichimoku in which we’ll be using RSI to give signal i.e. the signal chart while Ichimoku will provide with the trend i.e. the trend chart. Buy when Leading Span A is above Leading Span B, and the value of RSI crosses up 30 and sell when Leading Span A is below Leading Span B along with the value of RSI crosses below 70. Few Limitations of Ichimoku Cloud Can make chart complex and distracting There are few points plotted in future which might go in vain May become irrelevant for long period of time as price remains way above or way below the cloud Different signals from different elements making it a bit confusing ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Your questions and comments are most welcome. If you find the post useful, please like, share and follow to make sure that you get more information once I publish it. - Mudrex
COINBASE:BTCUSDEducation
by Mudrex
13
Risk:Reward - Utilize the lower time frame charts!DISCLAIMER: Trading Forex involves risk and you may lose more money than you started with! These posts are not to be taken as trade recommendations or financial advice and I offer NO guarantee that any of these ideas will result in profit. Also, trade ideas may change, depending on ever-changing market conditions. You are trading at your own risk and past performance is NOT indicative of future results. Please, know how much you are willing to risk on EVERY trade that you take and be SMART! Simplify your trading. Always measure your risk and be okay with being wrong ; ) Wait patiently and get the price that you want. Use the market. Don't let the market use you.
Education
by Simple_Renko
4
📖 How to trade MA?Hello! MA — moving average. 📌 This indicator shows the price average value over a certain period and gives the trend direction. 🔷 For global analysis and understanding the price movement direction we have to use short, medium and long MAs mainly on long time frames. 🔷 MAs may act as an additional support and resistance level. It is worth trading taking into account MAs in the confident reversal patterns presence only, using MAs as an additional strong indicator, but not relying on it only! 🔷 Another important tool is the crosses formed by moving averages. We're talking about the golden cross and the death cross. This is an extremely strong pattern respected in classical markets, but cryptocurrency market traders rarely take it into account at all. 90% probability the cross provokes a strong subsequent trend and dynamic price movement. ⚠️ Important! The cross should closely interact with the price (be next to), but not much higher or lower on the chart! Otherwise, it may not even be considered. Examine the older time frames (from the day). Short crosses also work In the cryptocurrency trading, unlike the classics trading, for example 7MA / 30MA or 30MA / 50MA. ❗️ Remember that MA is an additional strategy factor in favour of one or another decision made. Do not trade relying on MAs only!
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Education
by I.T.Analytics
11
Analysis: Using the McGinley, Hull and Renkos together!DISCLAIMER: Trading Forex involves risk and you may lose more money than you started with! These posts are not to be taken as trade recommendations or financial advice and I offer NO guarantee that any of these ideas will result in profit. Also, trade ideas may change, depending on ever-changing market conditions. You are trading at your own risk and past performance is NOT indicative of future results. Please, know how much you are willing to risk on EVERY trade that you take and be SMART! Simplify your trading. Always measure your risk and be okay with being wrong ; ) Wait patiently and get the price that you want. Use the market. Don't let the market use you.
OANDA:SPX500USDEducation
by Simple_Renko
EURJPY - Using indicators to make a sound decision on directionDISCLAIMER: Trading Forex involves risk and you may lose more money than you started with! These posts are not to be taken as trade recommendations or financial advice and I offer NO guarantee that any of these ideas will result in profit. Also, trade ideas may change, depending on ever-changing market conditions. You are trading at your own risk and past performance is NOT indicative of future results. Please, know how much you are willing to risk on EVERY trade that you take and be SMART! Simplify your trading. Always measure your risk and be okay with being wrong ; ) Wait patiently and get the price that you want. Use the market. Don't let the market use you.
Education
by Simple_Renko
Evolution of MACDMoving Average Convergence Divergence – MACD The most popular indicator used in technical analysis, the moving average convergence divergence (MACD), created by Gerald Appel. MACD is a trend-following momentum indicator, designed to reveal changes in the strength, direction, momentum, and duration of a trend in a financial instrument’s price Historical evolution of MACD, - Gerald Appel created the MACD line, - Thomas Aspray added the histogram feature to MACD - Giorgos E. Siligardos created a leader of MACD MACD employs two Moving Averages of varying lengths (which are lagging indicators) to identify trend direction and duration. Then, MACD takes the difference in values between those two Moving Averages (MACD Line) and an EMA of those Moving Averages (Signal Line) and plots that difference between the two lines as a histogram which oscillates above and below a center Zero Line. The histogram is used as a good indication of a security's momentum. Mathematically expressed as; macd = ma(source, fast_length) – ma(source, slow_length) signal = ma(macd, signal_length) histogram = macd – signal where exponential moving average (ema) is in common use as a moving average (ma) fast_length = 12 slow_length = 26 signal_length = 9 The MACD indicator is typically good for identifying three types of basic signals; Signal Line Crossovers A Signal Line Crossover is the most common signal produced by the MACD. On the occasions where the MACD Line crosses above or below the Signal Line, that can signify a potentially strong move. The standard interpretation of such an event is a recommendation to buy if the MACD line crosses up through the Signal Line (a "bullish" crossover), or to sell if it crosses down through the Signal Line (a "bearish" crossover). These events are taken as indications that the trend in the financial instrument is about to accelerate in the direction of the crossover. Zero Line Crossovers Zero Line Crossovers occur when the MACD Line crossed the Zero Line and either becomes positive (above 0) or negative (below 0). A change from positive to negative MACD is interpreted as "bearish", and from negative to positive as "bullish". Zero crossovers provide evidence of a change in the direction of a trend but less confirmation of its momentum than a signal line crossover Divergence Divergence is another signal created by the MACD. Simply, divergence occurs when the MACD and actual price are not in agreement. A "positive divergence" or "bullish divergence" occurs when the price makes a new low but the MACD does not confirm with a new low of its own. A "negative divergence" or "bearish divergence" occurs when the price makes a new high but the MACD does not confirm with a new high of its own. A divergence with respect to price may occur on the MACD line and/or the MACD Histogram Moving Average Crossovers , another hidden signal that MACD Indicator identifies Many traders will watch for a short-term moving average to cross above a longer-term moving average and use this to signal increasing upward momentum. This bullish crossover suggests that the price has recently been rising at a faster rate than it has in the past, so it is a common technical buy sign. Conversely, a short-term moving average crossing below a longer-term average is used to illustrate that the asset's price has been moving downward at a faster rate and that it may be a good time to sell. Moving Average Crossovers in reality is Zero Line Crossovers, the value of the MACD indicator is equal to zero each time the two moving averages cross over each other. For easy interpretation by trades, Zero Line Crossovers are simply described as positive or negative MACD False signals Like any forecasting algorithm, the MACD can generate false signals. A false positive, for example, would be a bullish crossover followed by a sudden decline in a financial instrument. A false negative would be a situation where there is bearish crossover, yet the financial instrument accelerated suddenly upwards What is “MACD-X” and Why it is “More Than MACD” In its simples form, MACD-X implements variety of different calculation techniques applied to obtain MACD Line, ability to use of variety of different sources, including Volume related sources, and can be plotted along with MACD in the same window and all those features are available and presented within a single indicator, MACD-X Different calculation techniques lead to different values for MACD Line, as will further discuss below, and as a consequence the signal line and the histogram values will differentiate accordingly. Mathematical calculation of both signal line and the histogram remain the same. Main features of MACD-X ; 1- Introduces different proven techniques applied on MACD calculation, such as MACD-Histogram, MACD-Leader and MACD-Source, besides the traditional MACD (MACD-TRADITIONAL) • MACD-Traditional, by Gerald Appel It is the MACD that we know, stated as traditional just to avoid confusion with other techniques used with this study • MACD-Histogram, by Thomas Aspray The MACD-Histogram measures the distance between MACD and its signal line (the 9-day EMA of MACD). Aspray developed the MACD-Histogram to anticipate signal line crossovers in MACD. Because MACD uses moving averages and moving averages lag price, signal line crossovers can come late and affect the reward-to-risk ratio of a trade. Bullish or bearish divergences in the MACD-Histogram can alert chartists to an imminent signal line crossover in MACD The MACD-Histogram represents the difference between MACD and its 9-day EMA, the signal line. Mathematically, macdx = macd - ma(macd, signal_length) Aspray's contribution served as a way to anticipate (and therefore cut down on lag) possible MACD crossovers which are a fundamental part of the indicator. Here come a question, what if repeat the same calculations once more (macdh2 = macdh - ma(macdh, signal_length), will it be even better, this question will remain to be tested • MACD-Leader, by Giorgos E. Siligardos, PhD MACD Leader has the ability to lead MACD at critical situations. Almost all smoothing methods encounter in technical analysis are based on a relative-weighted sum of past prices, and the Leader is no exception. The concealed weights of MACD Leader are such that more relative weight is used in the more recent prices than the respective weights used by the components of MACD. In effect, the Leader expresses more changes in average price dynamics for the recent price movement than MACD, thus eventually leading MACD, especially when significant trend changes are about to take place. Siligardos creates two less-laggard moving averages indicators in its formula using the same periods as follows Indicator1 = ma(source, fast_length) + ma(source - ma(source, fast_length), fast_length) Indicator2 = ma(source, slow_length) + ma(source - ma(source, slow_length), slow_length) and then take the difference: Indicator1 - Indicator2 The result is a new MACD Leader indicator macdx = macd + ma(source - fast_ma, fast_length) - ma(source - slow_ma, slow_length) • MACD-Source, a custom experimental interpretation of mine, MACD Source, presents an application of MACD that evaluates Source/MA Ratio, relatively with less lag, as a basis for MACD Line, also can be expressed as source convergence/divergence to its moving average. Among the various techniques for removing the lag between price and moving average (MA) of the price, one in particular stands out: the addition to the moving average of a portion of the difference between the price and MA. MACD Source, is based on signal length mean of the difference between Source and average value of shot length and long length moving average of the source (Source/MA Ratio), where the source is actual value and hence no lag and relatively less lag with the average value of moving average of the source . Mathematically expressed as, macdx = ma(source - avg( ma(source, fast_length), ma(source, slow_length) ), signal_length) MACD Source provides relatively early crossovers comparing to MACD and better momentum direction indications, assuming the lengths are set to same values For further details, you are invited to check the following two studies, where the first seeds were sown of the MACD-Source idea Price Distance to its Moving Averages study, adapts the idea of “Prices high above the moving average (MA) or low below it are likely to be remedied in the future by a reverse price movement", presented in an article by Denis Alajbeg, Zoran Bubas and Dina Vasic published in International Journal of Economics, Commerce and Management First MACD like interpretation comes with the second study named as “P-MACD”, where P stands for price, P-MACD study attempts to display relationship between Price and its 20 and 200-period moving average. Calculations with P-MACD were based on price distance (convergence/divergence) to its 200-period moving average, and moving average convergence/divergence of 20-period moving average to 200-period moving average of price. Now as explained above, MACD Source is a one adapted with traditional MACD, where Source stands for Price, Volume Indicator etc, any source applicable with MACD concept 2- Allows usage of variety of different sources, including Volume related indicators The most common usage of Source for MACD calculation is close value of the financial instruments price. As an experimental approach, this study will allow source to be selected as one of the following series; • Current Close Price (close) • Average of High, Low, and Close Price (hlc3) • On Balance Volume (obv) • Accumulation Distribution (accdist) • Price Volume Trend (pvt) Where, -Current Close Price and Average of High, Low, and Close Price are price actions of the financial instrument -Accumulation Distribution is a volume based indicator designed to measure underlying supply and demand -On Balance Volume (OBV), is a momentum indicator that measures positive and negative volume flow -Price Volume Trend (PVT) is a momentum based indicator used to measure money flow 3- Can be plotted along with MACD in the same window using the same scaling Default setting of MACD-X will display MACD-Source with Current Close Price as a source and traditional MACD can be plotted eighter as a companion of MACD-X or can be selected to be plotted alone. Applying both will add ability to compare, or use as a confirmation of one other In case, traditional MACD Is plotted along with MACD-X to avoid misinterpreting, the lines plotted, the area between MACD-X Line and Signal-X Line is highlighted automatically, even if the highlight option not selected. Otherwise highlight will be applied only if that option selected 4- 4C Histogram Histogram is plotted with four colors to emphasize the momentum and direction 5- Customizable Additional to ability of selecting Calculation Method, Source, plotting along with MACD, there are few other option that allows users to customize the MACD-X indicator Lengths are configurable, default values are set as 12, 26, 9 respectively for fast, slow and smoothing length. Setting lengths to 8,21,5 respectively Is worth checking, slower length moving averages will lead to less lag and earlier reaction to price actions but yet requires a caution and back testing before applying Highlight the area between MACD-X Line and Signal-X Line, with colors emphasising the direction Label can be added to display Calculation Method, Source and Length settings, the aim of this label is to server only as a reminder to trades to be aware of settings while they are occupied with charts, analysis etc. Here comes another question, which is of more importance having the reminder or having the indicators with multi timeframe feature? Build-in Multi Time Frame features of Pine is not supported when labels and lines introduced in the script, there are other methods but brings complexity. To be studied further, this version will be with labels for time being. EPILOGUE MACD-X is an alternative variant of MACD, the insight/signals provided by MACD are also applicable to MACD-X with early and clear warnings for the changes in the trend. If MACD is essential to your analysis, then it is my guess that after using the MACD-X for a while and familiarizing yourself with its unique character and personality, you will make it an inseparable companion to other indicators in your charts. The various signals generated by MACD/MACD-X are easily interpreted and very few indicators in technical analysis have proved to be more reliable than the MACD, and this relatively simple indicator can quickly be incorporated into any short-term trading strategy
Education
by dgtrd
22
EURNZD - Greed kills...DISCLAIMER: Trading Forex involves risk and you may lose more money than you started with! These posts are not to be taken as trade recommendations or financial advice and I offer NO guarantee that any of these ideas will result in profit. Also, trade ideas may change, depending on ever-changing market conditions. You are trading at your own risk and past performance is NOT indicative of future results. Please, know how much you are willing to risk on EVERY trade that you take and be SMART! Simplify your trading. Always measure your risk and be okay with being wrong ; ) Wait patiently and get the price that you want. Use the market. Don't let the market use you.
Education
by Simple_Renko
7
A picture of divergence. Make sure it's there before jumping in!DISCLAIMER: Trading Forex involves risk and you may lose more money than you started with! These posts are not to be taken as trade recommendations or financial advice and I offer NO guarantee that any of these ideas will result in profit. Also, trade ideas may change, depending on ever-changing market conditions. You are trading at your own risk and past performance is NOT indicative of future results. Please, know how much you are willing to risk on EVERY trade that you take and be SMART! Simplify your trading. Always measure your risk and be okay with being wrong ; ) Wait patiently and get the price that you want. Use the market. Don't let the market use you.
Education
by Simple_Renko
EURUSD 19 AUGUST 2020 RSI to ID accumulation in uptrend.RSI has recently become part of my style. I spent over a year learning how to identify the actions of smart money using volume. Understanding where something is and why its doing what its doing does not require RSI or any other indicator other than volume. I highly recommend that if this is a profession you truly want to pursue, you must spend some time understand volume. Volume is what moves price. With volume, you can very precisely see wether or not buying or selling is active or not. This is arguably the most important thing to understand in the markets and about 99% of people don't, including "experts"... and its actually not that hard. Imagine volume as energy. Energy can be stored (accumulated) and/or released (distributed). If you haven't familiarised yourself with Richard Wyckoff's accumulation and distribution schematics please DDgo them (or google). If you follow me and look and my analysis (thank you very much by the way!) you are probably already familiar with the way I explain things and how I swear by VSA/Wyckoff. RSI settings are slightly adjusted to increase sensitivity. I find these setting very reliable for signalling particularly on the 15 minute and in Forex (still working out some settings with digital). I highlighted the areas of accumulation/re-accumulation. What is critical to understand is that we are only using the 1 hour to judge the condition of the trend (bearish or bullish) and not for entry. The 5 and 15 are used for entry because the smaller time frames convey greater detail. Within those two times frames you can begin more of a range analysis versus a trend analysis (will build on that concept in another chart). Once RSI is below the median line (50 level or a MA) in a positively identified up trend, you can start looking for phase "A" ( selling climax, preliminary support, automatic rally and secondary test). once these are identified the trading range has been established and you can begin looking for phases "C" and "D" for a possible no supply entry after a spring ( or on the spring if you are really good with your risk management). Again, use RSI for your trend analysis to identify these critical pullback areas and never chase.
Education
by dee718
Bricks with Wicks! - How to spot a possible fakeout...DISCLAIMER: Trading Forex involves risk and you may lose more money than you started with! These posts are not to be taken as trade recommendations or financial advice and I offer NO guarantee that any of these ideas will result in profit. Also, trade ideas may change, depending on ever-changing market conditions. You are trading at your own risk and past performance is NOT indicative of future results. Please, know how much you are willing to risk on EVERY trade that you take and be SMART! Simplify your trading. Always measure your risk and be okay with being wrong ; ) Wait patiently and get the price that you want. Use the market. Don't let the market use you.
Education
by Simple_Renko
How to anticipate where the range may form!DISCLAIMER: Trading Forex involves risk and you may lose more money than you started with! These posts are not to be taken as trade recommendations or financial advice and I offer NO guarantee that any of these ideas will result in profit. Also, trade ideas may change, depending on ever-changing market conditions. You are trading at your own risk and past performance is NOT indicative of future results. Please, know how much you are willing to risk on EVERY trade that you take and be SMART! Simplify your trading. Always measure your risk and be okay with being wrong ; ) Wait patiently and get the price that you want. Use the market. Don't let the market use you.
Education
by Simple_Renko
Looking for Hull 10/McGinley 10 Crossovers!DISCLAIMER: Trading Forex involves risk and you may lose more money than you started with! These posts are not to be taken as trade recommendations or financial advice and I offer NO guarantee that any of these ideas will result in profit. Also, trade ideas may change, depending on ever-changing market conditions. You are trading at your own risk and past performance is NOT indicative of future results. Please, know how much you are willing to risk on EVERY trade that you take and be SMART! Simplify your trading. Always measure your risk and be okay with being wrong ; ) Wait patiently and get the price that you want. Use the market. Don't let the market use you.
Education
by Simple_Renko
10
Tracking MOC vs SPY (also potential Long Signal)First off, MOC and MOC Imbalances are two things I am still in the process of learning and understanding better, so I am not claiming to be an expert on the topic. Please chime in if I have wrote anything incorrect or if you have something valuable to contribute! A Market-On-Close (or "MOC") order is an order sent to trigger near the market close. We see this pretty routinely trigger 10 minutes before the closing bell, and it often produces some fireworks with sudden, spiky moves in one direction or the other. There is often an imbalance in one direction-- Buy, or Sell-- which can sometimes seem random, but when smoothed can help show flows into the market or out. I took a little bit of time to just color the periods on SPY in the last year or so for the 4 scenarios of the 20 day moving average of MOC imbalance. They are as follows- DARK RED MOC is Below 0 and Increasing in that direction --> Sell Imbalance LIGHT RED MOC is Below 0 and Decreasing/Reversing LIGHT GREEN MOC is Above 0 and Increasing in that direction --> Buy Imbalance DARK GREEN MOC is Above 0 and Decreasing/Reversing I think you could generally say these phases of the MOC Imbalance correlate with SPY. The two phases of Light Red and Light Green (moving from a Sell Imbalance to Buy Imbalance) have generally shown to be good old fashioned bull fun. Dark green often is a profit taking phase. Dark red is usually when its too late or just the start of the descent. Here are crude measurements of the light red and light green phases, their gains and length of time- +4.39% in 44 days +7.27% in 50 days +4.22% in 30 days +4.50% in 24 days +4.55% in 45 days +25.00% in 31 days +15% in 24 days Presently, so far: +4.15% in 15 days The times I did not include, which are obviously the recent outlier, is from February to early March. If you had a good chart of the 20sma MOC in front of you like I do, you could see there were a couple times when it looked like the MOC had reached its bottom and was going to start reversing and heading towards a Buy Imbalance, only to get rejected and keep selling. The actual confirmed bottom never happened until March 20th, so you could say that was the true start of this light red colored area, but I felt it was relevant to still color those as if it was a real-time scenario. It also helps show how that crash really manifested itself, with a lot of traders/investors thinking the end of February is just a dip or buying opportunity, to manifest into a rug pull. Myself and others have been thinking this week and last that a melt-up is on its way, and the MOC turning above 0 today to a Buying Imbalance could be a great bit of data to possibly confirm this. Where do you find MOC Reports? I only started looking at them recently from Market Chameleon so unfortunately I do not have any great resources to point people towards other than Market Chameleon. I hear that its publicly disseminated information, though. Here's their -free- daily report- marketchameleon.com They also have a more aggregated report, which is what I used, but that is behind a pay wall.
AMEX:SPYEducation
by chrism665
5
Moving Averages - Effective Settings for Day TradersHello Traders, In today's lecture I'm explaining how to use Moving Averages effectively on smaller (1hour) time-frames. Moving Averages can be applied to all assets including Forex, Stocks, Crytpos, etc.. Please note that Moving Averages are a lagging indicator which means they print on screen after price action has moved. They by no means are a leading indicator. Your most leading indicator will either be price-action itself or correlating assets. If anyone has any questions about Moving Averages, feel free to leave your comments in the comment section below. Trade Safe - Trade Well ~Michael Harding
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by Michael_Harding