Moving Averages
My Strategy Works On All Markets and All Time FramesPrice closed above EMA 20, EMA 10, Horizontal Support Resistance, and Trend Line. A pin bar formed on the retest and the pin bar candlestick wick protruded through the support levels. The support levels are EMA 20, EMA 10, Horizontal Support Resistance, and Trend Line.
In this example, there are three higher lows moving into a diagonal resistance level and a horizontal resistance level. Price broke through those two levels and retested those levels with a pin bar. After the break and close above the horizontal and diagonal level; those levels became support.
Entry is the closing price of the pin bar. Target price is the previous swing high.
CoRA Ribbons - Two ideas how to use themSince CoRA Waves and Ribbons could help you to identify the trend better and more reliably, this indicator provides a good baseline for your strategy.
The indicator " CoRA Ribbon - Multiple Compound Ratio Weighted Moving Averages " (#revision: lv21) was used in the following screenshots. Information and details on CoRA waves can be found in the description of the indicator.
Let yourself be inspired. Let's start.
These are just two of the many possibilities. I look forward to any further suggestion or idea. Comments and additional screenshots are always welcome.
Even if CoRA Waves lag less than other moving averages, note, as with all other strategies, that one indicator alone is usually not sufficient. Usually further analyzes and the like are required. Therefore, understand the two examples for what they are: A hint that it is worth taking a look and perhaps one or the other known moving average can be exchanged very well with a CoRA Wave or a CoRA Ribbon - in order to get faster entry points.
How To Set Stop Losses And Take Profits using EMA StrategyWait for price to break and close below a level. In this example, price closed below support level and turned resistance. Next, wait for price to retest level as new resistance. The retest in this example formed a candlestick that created a wick which protruded through Horizontal Resistance Level, EMA 20 Resistance Level, and Diagonal Trend Resistance Level.
For short trade opportunity, set stop loss above EMA 20 Price Level and Rejection Candlestick High Price. Set take profit at previous swing low.
How To Enter A Pullback In A Trend
Enter when these confluence factors are present. There is a Trend, Level, and Signal.
Trend:
Up
Confluence Factors at the Support Resistance Level:
Close Price 96.31
EMA 10 Close Price 96.24
50% Fibonacci Retracement Price 96.15
Horizontal Support Price 95.99
EMA 20 Close Price 95.31
Signal:
Rejection Candlestick
McGinley Dynamic IndicatorMcGinley Dynamic Indicator:
It was invented by John R. McGinley.
It would automatically adjust itself in relation to the speed of the market.
This future can be very helpful as it is sometimes difficult to choose the right period for the MA.
It also helps to account for the gap that often exists between prices and moving average lines.
Can't be used as a single indicator and we need to combine this with other indicators or another McGinley indicator.
Price actions respect moving averages because so many traders use them in their strategies.
Because of the formula, the Dynamic Line speeds up in down markets and moves more slowly in uptrends. One wants to be quick to sell in a down market, yet ride an up-market as long as possible.
A Deep Dive Into Moving AveragesMoving averages are inherent in the world of technical analysis and are present in the core calculations of many technical indicators. In this post, we take a deep dive into 3 types of moving averages used every day by traders: the Simple Moving Average (SMA), Exponential Moving Average (EMA) and the Weighted Moving Average (WMA).
The topics covered below can have practical applications while others are solely informative.
1. Introduction
Moving averages are trend indicators commonly used to smooth the closing prices by removing or attenuating certain variations and are able to estimate underlying trends. Their usage can be recorded as early as 1829 by John Finlaison for smoothing mortality rates (1).
In technical analysis moving averages are often essential for traders and can be found in every technical analysis software. However, they are not specific to this field as they often appear in Time Series Analysis and Digital Signal Processing (DSP).
Moving averages possess a single user setting that generally determines the degree of smoothness. This setting is often referred to as the moving average "length", "period" or less commonly "window size".
2. Curiosities About The Simple Moving Average
The Simple Moving Average abbreviated to "SMA", also known as the "Arithmetic Moving Average" or "Moving/Rolling Mean/Average" is certainly the most well-known moving average due to its simplicity and numerous applications in other domains. The SMA with period length is commonly calculated as follows:
SMA = (SUM C )/length, for i = 0 to length-1
= (C + C + ... + C )/length
Here all the weights w would be equal to 1/length (which is why we often state that a SMA has uniform weights).
2.1 Relationship With The Momentum Oscillator
Changes in a simple moving average with period length are equal to a momentum oscillator of the same period divided by length , that is:
SMA - SMA = (C - C )/length
This can be explained from the calculations of the changes in a Simple Moving Average:
change(SMA ) = SMA - SMA
= (C + C + ... + C )/length - (C + C + ... + C )/length
= (C - C )/length
The closing prices with the same lag cancel each other out, leaving only C(t) and C(t-length) divided by length in the final calculation.
As such you could tell whether a moving average of period length is rising or declining by simply comparing the current closing price to the closing price length bars ago. If the current closing price is higher; then the moving average is rising, else it is declining.
This relationship allows us to efficiently compute the SMA, allowing us to obtain a computation time independent of the moving average period which is very important for real-time high-frequency applications of the SMA.
2.2 Lag Of The SMA
Lag is defined as the effect moving averages have to return past price variations instead of new ones. For most moving averages this amount of lag can be quantified as the weighted sum between the moving average weights w(i) and the time lag associated with them. Higher weights given to more recent values would return a moving average with less lag.
All the weights of a simple moving average are equal to 1/length . The lag of a Simple Moving Average is thus given by:
Lag = SUM(1/length × i), for i = 1 to length-1
= 1/length + 1/length × 2 + ... + 1/length × (length-1)
= (length-1)/2
As such, the lag (in bars) of a Simple Moving Average is equal to its period minus 1, divided by 2.
Offsetting an SMA Lag bars in the past allows us to have it centered with the price.
2.3 Cascaded SMA's
Using an SMA as input for another SMA would return a smoother output; this process is known as cascading. In the case of the Simple Moving Average, cascading many SMAs of the same period would converge toward a Gaussian function.
The Irwin–Hall Probability Density Function can describe the result of cascading multiple SMAs using an impulse as input.
3. Curiosities About The Exponential Moving Average
The Exponential Moving Average; abbreviated as "EMA", also known as an "Exponentially Weighted Moving Average" or "Exponential Average" is a recursive moving average. That is, it uses a previous output for its computation.
This moving average is slightly more reactive than the Simple Moving Average due to its lower degree of filtering.
An EMA of period length is calculated as follows:
EMA = a × C + (1-a) × EMA
or:
EMA = EMA + a × (C - EMA )
with smoothing constant a = 2/(length+1) .
3.1 Traders Prefer The EMA Over The SMA
The trading community seems to have developed a preference for the EMA over the SMA. This might be explained by the superior reactivity of the EMA over the SMA.
The EMA is also more commonly used in the creation of technical indicators, sometimes for its superior reactivity, its computational efficiency, or sometimes simply by preference.
Several studies attempted to indicate which moving average (between the EMA and SMA) provided better performances. The conclusion can vary depending on the markets and methodology used. Dzikevičius & Šaranda found superior results of the EMA over the SMA (2), while Predipbhai found better results from an EMA-based MACD over an SMA-based one (3).
3.2 The EMA Helps Avoiding Division By Zero
In scenarios where we are required to perform a division with a moving average applied to a denominator, the EMA can help to avoid division by 0 as long as the smoothing factor is lower than 1 (EMA period superior to 1)
For a < 1, the EMA has an exponentially decaying infinite impulse response. The impulse response converges towards 0 but never reaches it.
This can be useful if we want to obtain the ratio between the average upward variations and average downward variations. In the event where there is a significant number of upward variations, an SMA of the downward variations might eventually be equal to 0; the EMA prevents this.
3.3 The EMA Has The Same Lag As An SMA
We previously mentioned that the EMA is more reactive than the SMA, but quantifying the lag of an EMA from the weighted sum between the EMA weights and their associated lag gives the same results as the lag of an SMA.
The weights of an EMA can be obtained from its impulse response, which is described as:
h = a × (1-a)^n, n ∈
The lag is then calculated as follows:
Lag = SUM i × (a × (1-a)^i), for i = 0 to infinity
= (1 - a)/a
= (1 - 2/(length+1))/(2/(length+1))
= 2/(length+1)
4. Curiosities About The Weighted Moving Average
The Weighted Moving Average; abbreviated as "WMA", also known as a Linearly Weighted Moving Average (LWMA), is the most reactive moving average when compared to the SMA and EMA. The WMA uses linearly decaying weights for its calculations, giving higher weights to more recent prices.
The WMA can be calculated as follows:
WMA = (SUM (length-i) × C )/(length*(length+1)/2), for i = 0 to length-1
4.1 Relationship With The SMA
It's interesting to observe how certain moving averages are related to each other. In the case of the WMA and SMA, the change of a WMA of period length can be given by the difference between the price and an SMA offset by 1 bar, divided by (length+1)/2 .
This equality is described as follows:
change(WMA ) = (1 - SMA )/((length+1)/2)
This also shows that the changes in a WMA with a period length-1 can indicate if the price is above or below an SMA of period length .
Like with the SMA, this relationship allows the calculation of the WMA efficiently allowing us to obtain a computation time independent of the moving average period.
4.2 Relationship With The Linear Regression
It can seem extremely surprising, but it is indeed possible to compute a simple Linear Regression of the price using linear combinations between a WMA and an SMA (under certain conditions).
The first point of a simple Linear Regression with coordinates (X1,Y1) fitted through the most recent length price observations can be obtained as follows:
X1 = t - length + 1
Y1 = 4 × WMA - 3 × SMA
While the last point with coordinates (X2,Y2) is given by:
X2 = t
Y2 = 3 × WMA - 2 × SMA
The periods of the WMA and SMA are both equal to length . Drawing a line using the above coordinates would return the simple Linear Regression fitted to the most recent length price observations. The slope of the linear regression is equal to:
m = ((3 × WMA - 2 × SMA ) - (4 × SMA - 3 × WMA ))/(length-1)
= 6*(WMA - SMA )/(length-1)
References
(1) Hoem, J. M. (1984). A contribution to the statistical theory of linear graduation. Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, 3(1), 1-17.
(2) Dzikevičius, A., & Šaranda, S. (2010). EMA Versus SMA usage to forecast stock markets: the case of S&P 500 and OMX Baltic Benchmark. Business: Theory and Practice, 11(3), 248-255.
(3) Predipbhai, N. P. (2013). Comparison between exponential moving average based MACD with simple moving average based MACD of technical analysis. International Journal of Scientific Research, 2(12), 189-197.
Education Excerpt: SMA, LWMA, GMA, TMA, EMAWe decided to publish second part of the paper on moving averages. The first part detailed Simple Moving Average. In the second part we decided to present: linearly weighted moving average (LWMA), geometric moving average (GMA), triangular moving average (TMA) and exponentially smoothed moving average (EMA).
The first part can be read by clicking on chart below:
Possible uses of the moving average
• Identification of trends
• Identification of price extremes
• Identification of support and resistance levels
• Identification of signals
Identification of trend
The moving average can be used as simple tool to determine prevailing trend. Simplest way to determine current trend using moving average is to compare current value of security to current value of moving average. If value of moving average is below price of the security, then trend is considered to be upward. Contrary to that when value of moving average is above price of the security then trend is considered to be downward. Another method of determining trend is to use two same moving averages but with different length (different number of hours or days, etc.). These two moving averages would be then plotted on graph as two simple lines occasionally crossing. Trend would be considered upward when shorter moving average would be above longer moving average. Opposite to that, if shorter moving average would be below longer moving average then trend would be regarded to be down.
Illustration 1.01
Picture above depicts daily chart of XAUUSD. It is observable that price continued to rise most of the time when it was above 10-day SMA. It is also observable that when price dropped below 10-day SMA then it continued to decline further.
Identification of price extremes
Analyst can find another utilization of moving average in finding the price extremes. This is possible due to natural tendency of price to move back towards its moving average after it deviated too far from it.
Illustration 1.02
Graph above depicts General Motors on daily time frame. It is visible that when price deviated too far from its 10-day SMA then retracement followed. However, it is not a rule that price will retrace full length back to moving average once it deviated too far from it.
Identification of support and resistance levels
Another possible use of moving averages lies in using them as specific support and resistance levels. In rising markets price has tendency to correct towards moving average before continuing to rise further. Similarly, in declining markets price tends to suddenly increase towards moving average and then drop and continue lower.
Identification of signals
Generally, when moving average with lower period interval crosses above moving average with longer period interval it is considered bullish signal. On the other hand, when moving average with longer period interval crosses above moving average with lower period interval it is considered bearish signal. These crossovers can serve as specific buy and sell signals in markets that are trending.
Illustration 1.03
Picture above shows same graph of General motors as is depicted in Illustration 1.02. However, instead of one 10-day SMA this graph also includes 20-day SMA. It is easily identifiable where these two moving averages cross each other and by doing so generate specific buy and sell signals. However, we have to note that in non-trending markets this method lacks utility since moving averages tend to produce a lot of false signals.
The Linearly Weighted Moving Average (LWMA)
The Linearly Weighted Moving Average (LWMA) is very similar to the Simple Moving Average (SMA) we introduced in our previous education excerpt. But while SMA gives each time period involved in the calculation same weight LWMA differentiates between the weight linked to each time interval. Normally, 10-day SMA calculation would be conducted by summing up each value per time period and then dividing this result by total number of time intervals (which would be 10 in this particular example). In this calculation each time period (each day) would have 10% weight. However, as mentioned before, LWMA gives each time interval different weight. This unequal redistribution of weight can be achieved in two simple steps. In the first step analyst multiplies each day's value and sums up resulting values together. Then in the second step analyst divides resulting value (from the first step) by the sum of all multipliers. For example, in 10-day LWMA first day's value would be multiplied by 10. Then second day's value would be multiplied by 9; and third day's value would be multiplied by 8 (continuing up to 10 days where last day's value would be multiplied by 1). Resulting value for each time interval would be then summed up and divided by 55 (multipliers: 10+9+8+7+6+5+4+3+2+1 = 55). This simple change in formula would result in giving 10th (most recent day) day in the calculation twice the weight of 5th day and ten times the weight of the 1st day. Calculation of 10-day LWMA for 11th day would then involve weighting data from 2nd day up to 11th day while dropping the 1st day's value from data set being used in the calculation. Assigning different weight to each time interval helps to give more relevance to the most recent days as opposed to giving less importance to days before that.
Formula
LWMA = / summation of W
P = price for the period
n = period
W = the assigned weight to each period (highest weight goes first and then it linearly declines)
Illustration 1.04
Chart above depicts two different moving averages. First is 10-day SMA (blue) and second is 10-day LWMA (yellow). While these two moving averages have same length they are different in shape. This is because of unequal redistribution of weight. This allows LWMA to act in advance of SMA.
Geometric Moving Average (GMA)
The Geometric Moving Average (GMA) is another form of moving average. But rather than using price in its calculation GMA uses percentage changes between the previous time period and the current time period. This type of moving average distributes weight equally as SMA. In addition to that it suffers from lag. When SMA and GMA (with same length) are plotted on same graph they are not different in shape or dimensions. Therefore they would overlay each other.
The Triangular Moving Average (TMA)
The Triangular Moving Average (TMA) is another type of moving average that is different from previous types of moving averages in that it is double smoothed. Its calculation begins with taking SMA with predetermined number of bars. After that these results are being used to take SMA of former SMA. However, length of second SMA is only half of that used in calculation of original SMA. For example, 20-day SMA would be smoothed through calculation of 10-day SMA that would use data from 20-day SMA. The result can be then plotted on graph and it is depicted as smoothed line. TMA represents the trend better since it is double smoothed, however, at cost of sensitivity to trend changes. When TMA and SMA (with same length) are plotted on same graph they are different in shape and dimensions.
Illustration 1.05
Picture above shows daily graph of PEP. Three moving averages are depicted: SMA, LWMA, TMA. They all observe same 10-days, however, each acts differently.
The Exponentially Smoothed Moving Average (EMA)
The Exponentially Smoothed Moving Average (EMA) is type of moving average that weights importance on the most recent data. Decrease in weight from one time interval (one day) to another is exponential; and unlike SMA and LWMA exponential moving average has ability to use information outside the length of the moving average. Result from calculation of EMA can be then plotted on graph similarly like result from SMA, LWMA or any other moving average. EMA is considered to be more responsive to trend changes and it can be used when analyst is concerned with effect of lag (which is stronger in SMA and LWMA).
Formula
EMA = Pricet x k + SMAy x (1-k)
t = today
k (multiplier) = 2/(number of days in period +1)
SMA = simple moving average of closing price
y = yesterday
Illustration 1.06
Picture above depicts daily graph of Raytheon. It also depicts 10-day SMA and 20-day EMA. It is visible that many fake signals took place once market started to trade sideways.
Disclaimer: This content is purely educational.
How To Trade Support Resistance Levels with Price Action Signal Wait for a Price Action Signal to form at the following support resistance levels.
EMA 10 Level
EMA 20 Level
Fibonacci Level
Horizontal Level
Set Target at the next support resistance level. Set Stop Loss Below EMA 20 Price and Low Price of Price Action Signal Candlestick. Enter at close price of Price Action Candlestick.
Engulfing Candlestick at Support Resistance Levels
How To Trade Support Resistance Levels
Price closed above EMA 10, EMA 20, Trend Line, and Horizontal Support & Resistance Level. Enter at close price of rejection candlestick. Close price of rejection candlestick is 0.73150. Set Stop Loss below EMA 20 Close Price and Low Price. Set Target at next support resistance level.
Support and Resistance Levels are:
EMA 10
EMA 20
Horizontal Line
Diagonal Line
High Price 0.73195
Close Price 0.73150
Open Price 0.73046
EMA 20 Price 0.72939
Low Price 0.72921
Close Price 0.73150
EMA 10 Close Price 0.73045
EMA 20 Close Price 0.72939
How To Trade Pin Bar at the EMA 10, EMA 20, Trend Line, and GapThe confluence is:
1) Gap at 267.76
2) Trend Line
3) EMA 10
4) EMA 20
5) Pin Bar
Entry is at the closing price of the candlestick in the form of a Pin Bar. Pin Bar formed at EMA 10, EMA 20, Trend Line, and Gap.
We talk about Moving Averages. 🖌Origin of moving averages:
They are used to filter out market noise and clarify the direction of the trend, as they eliminate minor movements that could be hiding what the market is actually doing. The average price of a given period in the past is calculated, the result is plotted on a line chart next to the price chart. They are more suitable for detecting trends but are also useful for analyzing the evolution of the price in different periods of time.
How are they calculated?
The moving averages are the moving average and to calculate them the last periods that are parameterized for their calculation are taken. For instance; For a 10-period moving average, the last 10 price closing candles are taken and their average is taken.
Remember that a moving average is always lagging because it is the result of making a calculation on the prices of the past, they do not predict the price, they only summarize more clearly what has happened in the price. Its usefulness, therefore, helps us to detect or see trends more clearly. And in technical analysis, it is considered that when there is a trend it is more likely to continue.
The shorter the moving average calculation period, the less lag it will have, but it will include more volatility than longer period moving averages. The longer the moving average calculation average, the longer it will take to react to recent market changes.
What is the best moving average?
Surely you were waiting for me to tell you which is the best moving average because there is no better moving average than another, they are all worth it, they are all good, you just have to understand them well. Some are true that they are more used as 20, 50, 100 and 200. All the moving averages are showing you the line chart with the longest temporality (Except 1). So, a 5-period moving average is equivalent to the linear graph of multiplying that timeframe by 5. For example; If we were in 1-minute time frames it would be equivalent to the 5-minute line chart and if it were the 60 moving average it would be the 1-hour line chart.
Moving averages and temporalities.
If we take into account the moving average of 160 periods, it would be exactly equal to the moving average of 80 periods in 1 hour and of 20 periods in 4 hours.
Types of moving averages.
Since it is understood how the moving average works, we are going to talk about the 3 most used types of moving average.
a) Simple moving average (MA): All the data of the period are weighted equally, all the candles have the same importance from the first to the last candle that is periodized, of which an average is taken. It is the most typical and the easiest to calculate, but also the slowest to adapt to the most recent price changes.
b) Media móvil ponderada ( WMA ): Con este tipo de media móvil se le da diferente importancia a cada una de las velas, dando más prioridad a las primeras velas y dando menos importancia a las últimas velas a calcular, en su fórmula se asigna un coeficiente a cada uno de los valores. Esta media móvil reacciona más rápidamente a los últimos cambios de precios.
c) Exponential moving average (EMA): Its calculation is more complicated but basically, an additional value is carried to the selected period, that is; for a 10-period exponential moving average, the last 11 candles are considered. These are done to minimize the sudden effect that occurs when eliminating the first data in the series, the most recent candle or price is weighted in greater percentages, while the rest of the candles all weigh equally. Arguably the "EMA" is equivalent to a simple moving average to which an additional period is added and the recent price is weighted much more.
How to use them?
Moving averages are considered to act as dynamic support and resistance, when the price is trending they act as a trend line that sets the guideline, but they also have the quality of "Attracting" the price, as they remain an average of the price. and by the statistical principle that everything returns to its average at some point.
Another utility is that it also helps us to detect price highs, since all the data of distribution tend to group around its average, if a strong impulse moves the price away from the moving average, at some point the price will return to its average. half. and this will help us to detect extremes of the market For example; when the price is too far from its midpoint and you may be ready to make a correction. This is the beginning for which indicators like the MACD are created. If the price is far from its moving average it is very easy to detect it visually.
How to adjust your charts for dividend paymentsBond funds like the SPDR Portfolio Mortgage Backed Bond ETF (SPMB) often look like money-losers when you view their returns on a non-adjusted basis. In this case, the price is down about -0.74% over the life of the fund.
The picture looks very different when you adjust for dividends. For SPMB, the return changes to +46.09% over the life of the fund:
That's obviously a very different chart than the non-adjusted chart. Dividend adjustment can also make a large difference for high-yield dividend stocks. For instance, IBM is down over the last ten years on a non-adjusted basis, but on an adjusted basis it has gone sideways.
IBM, non-adjusted:
IBM, adjusted:
The commonly accepted adjustment methodology is that the most recent closing price will be the same on an adjusted and non-adjusted chart, but historical closing prices will be different. On an adjusted chart, the stock price on a historical date will be shown as the current closing price minus all dividends paid since then. Dividend subtractions typically are made on a percentage rather than dollar basis to prevent historical prices from showing as negative values. To actually perform the calculation is a little technical, but that's the overall idea.
To apply dividend adjustment to a TradingView chart is super easy. In the lower right-hand corner of your chart, you will see the letters "adj". Click to toggle between adjusted and non-adjusted price data. When the text is blue, you are viewing the adjusted chart. When the text is black, adjustment is turned off.
Right next to the letters "adj" is a "%" symbol. Toggling this on and off will switch the axis of the chart between dollars and percent change over the period visible on the chart. This is useful for comparing adjusted and non-adjusted returns.
One implication of using adjusted charts is that the support levels and moving averages will be in different places. For instance, on a non-adjusted basis, VALE is currently below its 200-week moving average. On an adjusted basis, it is well above the average.
VALE, non-adjusted:
Vale, adjusted:
In short, on an adjusted basis a stock may not be as cheap as it looks on a non-adjusted basis. Many quant traders and hedge funds will be using adjusted moving averages rather than non-adjusted ones.
Bullish Golden Cross (How To Trade)What Is a Golden Cross?
A golden cross occurs when a faster-moving average crosses a slower moving average. Sounds simple enough right? However, the key point is the moving averages which constitute the cross, and the direction in which they cross.
Specifically, you need the 50-period and 200-period simple moving averages. Anything other than these two periods and it is not a true golden cross.
Golden cross happens when a 50-day moving average for an asset trades higher than a 200-day moving average. In other words, prior to the the cross, the 50 moving average would have been below the 200 sma. You can use either MAs or EMAs- your choice.
What are the three stages of a golden cross?
1) As the downtrend in the stock market ends, the short-term 50-day moving average moves below the 200- day moving average.
2) In a crossover, when a stock recovers, the short-term moving average crosses over the long-term moving average. That’s where the term golden cross comes from, when the two average lines cross on a chart.
3) In the last stage, the short-term moving average continues to move upward. That’s usually a sign that the market is on a bullish trend.
"All big rallies start with a golden cross, but not all golden crosses lead to a big rally,” Golden crosses are not a definite timing signal to buy. “They tend not to be timing signals, but more for confirmation of a move that has been in place.”
Look for both 50 ema and 200 ema to be close together, confirming indicators like Demand or Supply zone, pivot points, pair, price, session & time.
Bearish Death Cross (How To Trade Them)How To Trade The Bearish Death Cross:
The death cross and golden cross are technical analysis terms for when a moving average (MA) intersects with another from either above or below.
The cross, depending on which it is, can signal the start of a new trend or the end of one. The death cross and golden cross are simple technical analysis indicators that alert traders when a price trend may be turning bearish or bullish.
The indicators use both 200-day and 50-day MAs to signal whether a death cross or golden cross has occurred. When the 50-day MA crosses above the 200-day MA from below, this is a golden cross. Meanwhile, a death cross is when the 50-day MA is above the 200-day MA and then crosses below the 200-day MA.
A golden cross indicates prices may be starting to rise in a new uptrend and, therefore, a long position may be preferred by traders. Once a death cross occurs, the price of the asset is potentially starting a new downtrend, which could mean that short selling or exiting long positions would be preferred by traders.
FYI:
1) All indicators are delayed, so when cross happens it comes late, use other confirmations to enter trades early, especially if scalp or day trade Forex.
2) MA or EMA crosses can be done on any time frames, but death or golden crosses mostly use the 50 and 200 (pure traders). Yes, they can be changed.
3) Higher time frames are better and have more momentum and trends when price action does do MA or EMA crosses.
4) Anticipation and multi time-frame evaluation will assist you in using price action MA or EMA crosses in your trading.
5) Trade under a death cross and over a golden cross. Example daily chart shows you a 65 pip stop vs 200 pip target within 14 trading days, patience?
TRADING STRATEGY USING STOCHASTICS AND 15/30 MA CROSSOVERThe simple system uses a 15 and 30 moving average crossover, and extreme stochastic oscillator levels as confirmation.
Now here are the rules of the system. This is a pretty mechanical system, so you don’t have to think much about the entries or the exits. We go long when the stochastic is oversold, and the 15 moving average crosses above the 30 moving average. We go short when the stochastic is overbought, and the 15 moving average crosses below the 30 moving average. We always trail our stocks to the next conflictive level following the 15 moving average. This means that in a long position, we will always trail our stocks to the next area of support, and in a short position we will always trail our stocks to the next area of resistance.
If price breaks the 15 moving average, we exit the trade. This means that in a long position, if price breaks with the 15 moving average to the downside, we exit the trade, and in a short position, if price breaks with the 15 moving average to the offside, we also exit the trade. There’s one thing you should know. This system can be used in any time frame. And this means that if you’d like to trade a 50-minute charge, and they trade currency fares or stocks, you can do it with this system. And if you like to hold your trades for a long period of time, or the four-hour charge or the daily charge, you can also use the system.
Moving Averages Are Foundation Of Trading (MAs or EMAs)The Moving average indicator is a Forex trading indicator. This Moving average indicators can be used with Forex all currency pairs that is also compatible with other trading strategies. Every trader should be comfortable with the basics of moving average.
The Forex market is controlled by banking system and global companies. As a result, it’s critical to understand what’s happening on at the global level.
The moving average is the average price of the previous result of candles, which claims to represent the price’s overall trend.
If the price is buying and selling just under the moving average, even so, it indicates that buyers are in control of the money supply. As a result, if the price is above the moving average, you should focus your trading strategy on buying trades. It is one of the most important Forex indicators for a trader to understand. In moreover, the simple moving average represents the typical price of the previous number of candles,
which enables traders in understanding the market frame of reference. The increasing moving average, on the other hand, focuses on the most recent trend and supports traders in trying to enter a trade.
This is part of basic Forex tools you need to know, if you want to be successful as a Forex trader.
My five EMA strategy was taken from BTMM (Beat The Market Maker) strategy- but still works today. FYI *You can you tube or google this if wanting too. They are EMA- 5,13,50,200 & 800< all have a reason and purpose to be on chart when scalping, day trading, position or swing trading.
What is a moving average? How to use it?
The Moving Average (MA) is a simple technical analysis tool that smooths price data, creating a constantly updated average price. The average value is taken for a certain period, for example, 10 days, 20 minutes, 30 weeks, or any time chosen by the trader. There are advantages to using a moving average in your trading, as well as options for which type of moving average to use. Moving average strategies are also popular and can be adapted to any time interval, which is suitable for both long-term investors and short-term traders.
The Moving Average (MA) is a widely used technical indicator that smooths out price movements by filtering out "noise" from random short-term price fluctuations.
Moving averages can be constructed in several ways and use a different number of days for the averaging interval.
The most common applications of moving averages are determining the trend direction and determining support and resistance levels.
When asset prices cross their moving averages, this can generate a trading signal for technical traders.
Although moving averages are quite useful on their own, they also form the basis for other technical indicators, such as the moving average convergence divergence ( MACD ).
Why use a moving average
The moving average helps to reduce the amount of "noise" on the price chart. Look at the direction of the moving average to get a general idea of which way the price is moving. If it is tilted up, the price as a whole is moving up (or has been recent); tilted down, and the price as a whole is moving down; moves sideways, and the price is most likely in a range.
The moving average can also act as support or resistance . In an uptrend, a 50-day, 100-day, or 200-day moving average can act as a support level , as shown in the figure. This is because the average acts as a support, so the price bounces off it. In a downtrend, the moving average can act as resistance; like a ceiling, the price reaches a level and then begins to fall again.
✅ Let me know how do YOU use the MA, and what is your favorite indicator?✅
How to catch big trend of BTCTrend base trading strategy is a very profitable strategy on Bitcoin.
So how to catch big trend of BTC ?
Just simply using Double SMA or EMA and check golden/death crosses to buy/sell.
As you can see in the figure above, daily 5 SMA works nicely with daily 50 SMA.
It's better to hold than buy and sell frequently in a strong bullish market.
Life is not just about technical analysis.
Hold and drink some coffee, get some rest.
Don't laugh at me, simple strategy but super power.
Moving Average telling you the average cost of everyone.
When the price goes above the MA it suggests that the price might continue to rise, and when it drops below the MA, the converse is true. The price might continue to fall.
Simply speaking, you earn money if price goes above your cost, you loss money if price goes below your cost.
Refenence:
medium.datadriveninvestor.com
www.investopedia.com
www.investopedia.com
www.investopedia.com
How To Trade The Ascending Triangle Trading The Ascending Triangle
Wait For The Close Above The Horizontal Level
Wait For The Retest in the form of a pin bar or rejection candlestick.
Enter At The Close Price of Pin Bar or Rejection Candlestick
Exit At The Measured Objective of Pattern. The Height of Pattern is 592.
The Breakthrough StrategyGreetings, traders! Welcome to this short, 7-step strategy lesson.
Are you new to trading? Don't worry: we're dedicated toward providing the most high-quality, easy-to-understand, and straight-to-the-point investing education to the TradingView community. This strategy lesson is beginner-friendly (we have pictures!), as we've inserted helpful links into each and every term, just in case you don't know them yet. Anyways, let's get right into the steps of this effective trading method , which we've named " The Breakthrough Strategy ":
• STEP 1, The Breakthrough:
Identify a breakout (or "breakthrough") at the most recent Support/Resistance (S&R) zone. With the horizontal line tool, if you haven't already, mark the level at which price broke: this will be your potential Entry Point (EP).
• STEP 2, The Turnaround:
Immediately following the breakout, you'll wanna see two or more consecutive candlesticks, going in the same direction of the breakout. After the streak, when you spot the first completely-formed candle, going in the opposite direction, you've found your "turnaround" point! Mark it up with a S&R line: this will be your potential Take Profit (TP) level.
• STEP 3, The Other Side:
Now, identify the most recent S&R zone, on the opposite side of the breakout zone: this will be your potential Stop Loss (SL) level.
• STEP 4, The Average:
Make sure that you have your Exponential Moving Average (EMA, 50) installed on TradingView. Is the end of it between the EP and the SL? Perfect! You're ready for the next step.
• STEP 5, The Order:
Place a Limit Order (TP, SL, and EP levels are mentioned in the previous steps). If, before price hits the Entry Point, things start to get choppy, close the pending order: it is now invalid.
• STEP 6, The Execution:
Did price hit your Entry Point? The order has been triggered —we're in! Good job, good luck, and hope for some profits.
• STEP 7, The Final Step:
"Practice makes perfect," so make sure that you backtest this method, to test it out before using it on the live market. Be sure to follow us, for future lessons which will help you significantly increase the power of this strategy!
We hoped that this helped you! We ask that you pay it forward, and share this lesson with a friend, a fellow trader, or... heck... share it with your grandmother.
“My mission is to help you see forex for what it is: it’s not ‘rocket science,’ but a simple strategy game. Get on the ‘good side’ of probability, develop the proper mindset, and you will prosper.”
— Nio Pomilia, Forex Free Press