Quantum cryptography and Post-Quantum cryptographyHello guys
today i want to explain Quantum cryptography and Post-quantum cryptography
and how they can affect blockchain security and whats the solution.
lets start with a brief explanation of cryptography:
Cryptography is the process of encrypting data, or converting plain text into scrambled text
so that only someone who has the right “key” can read it.
NOW what is quantum cryptography?
Quantum cryptography simply uses the principles of quantum mechanics
to encrypt data and transmit it in a way that cannot be hacked.
and what is Post-Quantum cryptography?
Post-quantum cryptography refers to cryptographic algorithms (usually public-key algorithms)
that are thought to be secure against an attack by a quantum computer.
These complex mathematical equations take traditional computers months or even years to break.
However, quantum computers running Shor’s algorithm will be able to break math-based systems in moments.
How Quantum Cryptography Works?
Quantum cryptography, or quantum key distribution (QKD), uses a series of photons (light particles)
to transmit data from one location to another over a fiber optic cable.
By comparing measurements of the properties of a fraction of these photons,
the two endpoints can determine what the key is and if it is safe to use.
The sender transmits photons through a filter (or polarizer) which randomly gives them one of four possible polarizations
and bit designations: Vertical (One bit), Horizontal (Zero bit), 45 degree right (One bit), or 45 degree left (Zero bit).
The photons travel to a receiver, which uses two beam splitters (horizontal/vertical and diagonal) to “read” the polarization of each photon.
The receiver does not know which beam splitter to use for each photon and has to guess which one to use.
Once the stream of photons has been sent, the receiver tells the sender which beam splitter
was used for each of the photons in the sequence they were sent, and the sender compares that information with the sequence of polarizers used to send the key.
The photons that were read using the wrong beam splitter are discarded, and the resulting sequence of bits becomes the key.
If the photon is read or copied in any way by an eavesdropper, the photon’s state will change.
The change will be detected by the endpoints. In other words, this means you cannot read the photon and forward it on or make a copy of it without being detected.
The Solution We Need Now for Tomorrow!
The need for unbreakable encryption is staring us in the face.
With the development of quantum computers looming on the horizon, the integrity of encrypted data is at risk now.
Fortunately, quantum cryptography, through QKD, offers the solution we need to safeguard our information well into the future – all based on the complex principles of quantum mechanics.
In January 2022 a team at Sussex University spin-out company Universal Quantum published research on transit attacks
which calculated that it would require a quantum computer with a 1.9 billion qubit-capacity to break Bitcoin’s encryption in the required ten-minute window
(this is the time taken for a Bitcoin to be mined). Even at 317 million qubits it would take an hour and 13 million qubits for a day.
For context, IBM’s superconducting quantum computer currently has a 127-qubit processor.
REFRENCES:
www.investmentmonitor.ai
www.quantumxc.com
www.techtarget.com
Hope you enjoy this article.
please share me your opinion about Quantum computing in comments.
can they break BITCOIN???!!!
Risk Management
Becoming A Flexible TraderTo become a flexible Trader might sounds like an easy thing to do, but to become a consistently profitable Trader in the market takes lots of internal growth.
In this video I'll be sharing some of my personal experiences and advice into becoming all-rounded 'good ' Trader.
If you like the content make sure you click the like button and share it with anyone else who needs to watch this.
Trade safe and take care.
All the content I've posted are for educational purposes, please perform your own research and only take it as a reference.
Never Try To Hide Your Mistakes By Making More MistakesOne of the common patterns amongst Traders that's really causing them to unable to achieve consistency, is the fact that they do not own up/ admit their mistakes.
We're all humans, and we're bound to make errors every day, week, or month.
There's nothing wrong with making mistakes, and certainly making mistakes don't make you look stupid. It is the way that you refuse to admit that you've made mistakes that makes you look stupid.
Imagine today you've taken trades you're not supposed to take. During your self-reflection, you clearly knew you've over-traded, but you try to comfort yourself by putting the blame onto the markets, "the market condition was bad today, etc...".
Look.. Now you've made two mistakes.
1. Over-traded
2. Not being honest to yourself that you over-traded
Lying to yourself is one of the worst lies you can ever make. Overtime, It transforms and convinces you into accepting lies because it'd probably turned into a bad habit. It prevents you from growth, advance, and achieve.
Some of you probably have experienced lying to others. Ask yourself honestly, how many lies do you have to make up afterwards JUST TO cover up the first lie?
It's the same goes to yourself, your mind. The willingness to have complete transparency within your mind will boost your personal growth.
Sometimes, if you're experiencing some horrible trading days or months, make it a habit of sharing your mistakes with someone else. Trust me, the more you're willing to own up your errors, the better you perform.
Because now that you knew your problems, then you can always find solutions around it, if not, seek for help!
Self-Reflection Is The Key To GrowthHi Traders, in the previous mindset sharing I talked about the simple equation that has helped me to progress faster
"Pain + Reflection = Process"
But you could be thinking "How do i reflect?" OR "I do reflect a lot, but I don't see myself going anywhere."
I believe it all comes down to the way you perform your self-reflection & self-reviewing process.
If you're not digging into the root of problems, you'll never get rid of it.
Let's assume today you've taken 5 trades. Now the market has closed, you're performing your daily reflection.
First thing first, is to write down a list of what you think you've done right, and what you've done wrong.
Maybe your entry was perfect, but you did not manage the trade well, whether you size in too big/ aggressively or you did not manage your exits well.
Be very real to yourself when you're doing your self-reflection, do not try to hide things or blame things just because it makes you feel good.
I've seen quite some numbers of Traders not admitting their own mistakes, trying to put the blame to the market or any external factors.
Being true to yourself is the first step to changes, if you can't even be honest to yourself, there's no way you can improve.
After you've written down the list, now question yourself:
"Is there anything that could be improved?" OR "Is there anything that I could eliminate because they're impeding your overall performance?"
Most of the times, Traders are not achieving consistency mainly because of the ONE mistake that they've been repeating, and it turned into a habit.
After you've performed your self-reflection, make sure you write down your conclusion and make sure you do not repeat the same mistakes again tomorrow.
One step at a time, repeat this process every day.
53 pip profit + Horizon wins yet again! + New Horizon tradeIf these ranges lasted forever, I wouldn't mind at all.
I took 53 pips this morning long, this was something I posted 2 times about last night and this morning, so check those out for a more in depth look at the signals that lead to that move. It's really important in this market to be in before the move happens, you miss out on a lot of money, and your exposure almost triples when you chase the market. Remember that.
Horizon took 76 pip profit today from last Friday. That's nearly 50 pips net, since the beginning of this range. It took a 60 pip loss after being up almost 80 pips on Thursday. It couldn't find a valid exit, which is annoying considering that this strategy could have produced over 140 pips in profit last week. Trust me I've played with trailing stops and static profit targets with this strategy and they just don't work nearly as well as just letting trades run and waiting for a strong exit signal. Trade number 3 was the worst loss Horizon has taken to date, I mentioned earlier that Horizon assesses stop losses on bar close and not in real time, so the strategy is exposed adversely to large break out candles like the one in the picture below. This is a risk that I'm willing to accept though because A. Horizon mitigates that risk using multiple confirmation protocols and B. the RR is 3-4 times the losses. This strategy is designed to take 30-50 pips on average, with occasional 100-200 pip trend. As things stand, Horizon's average loss is only about 20-30 pips. Plus Horizon's wining 6-7/10 at this point so it's all good! Plus I'm adding some logic this week that I'm hoping will boost performance even further. So far it's 2/3 and currently 30 pips up on it's 4th live trade. That said if I DID find a better alternative to this stop loss strategy, I would more than likely cut my max draw down in half. It's sitting at about 8-9 right now, which I would love to get down to about 5% using the same risk. Horizon's current exposure is 1.7% per trade because of the draw down rules that FTMO and other prop firms put in place. With my own capital, I could easily raise that to 2-3%, I don't really want to though (yes I do)
Horizon , like I mentioned has pyramided a short trade which has been as high as 35 pips profit, so far, so this one's looking like a winner as well.
Overall that's 150 pips taken between me and the machine in the last 4-5 days, so very happy, and I'm praying for even further success in the coming weeks. I'll link each post so you can audit my trades. I post these trades well before the moves actually happen.
Pain + Reflection = ProgressHi Traders, welcome back to another mindset sharing video.
Whenever I go through some obstacles or failures, I always go back to this simple equation by Ray Dalio,
"Pain + Reflection = Progress"
In life, the only way to not experience any failures is to avoid them, which could be very detrimental to your personal growth.
To grow, one need to experience certain levels of pain.
To transform, one need to have a high pain threshold and tolerance.
For whatever you're going through right now, just remind yourself to not give up, and things will eventually come.
EXIT STRATEGIES: Money ManagementHey traders,
Today I wanted to dive into exit strategies. A lot of you will already have a very clear understanding of what an exit strategy is and how you usually go about it. Most of you are probably automatically thinking of stop losses and take profits, which is fair enough. Today however, I wanted to dive into some more advanced techniques. I want to have a look at what you need to be thinking about prior to entering a trade, during the trade, and then finally when it's time to get out. Yes, we use stop losses. Yes, we use take profits. But I know from my experience personally, it's very rare that I actually get my full stop loss hit. I'm usually out of the position prior to those levels.
This all falls under money management, which is by far the most important aspect of your trading ability that you need to understand. We are money managers as traders. When we are risk on, we have money live in the markets. It is our job to manage it accordingly. Win or lose, the success comes down to if we are managing position and risk correctly.
Now, this blog is a little bit more directed to our day traders or people who are constantly having positions with the whole idea of set stop losses and take profits. For investors, it does differ a little bit and I'll touch on that now. When it comes to buying a stuck or an asset, it is very easy come up with a trade idea. You find the idea, you buy, simple. What makes it really difficult is actually finding the appropriate time to sell. That's what actually makes the good investors. Because equity, yes, it is still extra cash in your pocket, but you don't get that cash actually in your pocket until you have hit that sold button and realized your profits. My biggest outlay to anyone in any type of investing is have an exit plan prior to entry. Have a minimum requirement, have a maximum requirement, and what to do in those scenarios. I've seen it many many times before, especially with the recent cryptocurrency boom that people just get in expecting it to go up with no exit strategy, so they never exit because it's constantly moving up. Then, Unsurprisingly, the market pulls it back in and they lose all of their equity profit. They find themselves trying to close out of their position before it's a big loss. Always have an exit plan.
Now lets dive back into more of the day trading market. When it comes down to exits of the market. Most people use stop loss orders or take profit orders. These are orders you can set on your brokerage platform, which essentially, when that asset reaches a certain price, the server will read that and automatically pull your position at your requested price. These are the most common ways to manage risk. It's a very beginner friendly. It's very easy to find an area where to put your stop loss, put your stop loss, put your take profit, walk away and let the trade unfold. However, today, let's get a little bit more advanced.
There are a few questions you need to ask yourself prior to entering a position. Regardless of looking at the profit potential (which is the biggest pull). Start associating yourself with the risk you are taking in order to open this position.
The first question I want you to ask yourself is, how much are you willing to risk on this trade?
Risk is an important factor when investing right to determine your risk level. You need to understand what is not going to affect or hurt you, but still generate enough profits to make it worthwhile in your eyes. Finding that medium balance of what you can handle when you go and drawdowns is going to be highly beneficial to risk the right amount and not go emotionally insane every time you're in a position. Once you understand what dollar value you're willing to risk, then you just position size accordingly and have a stop loss on your chart and there you will know your maximum risk. That is what you are going to lose if all goes against you on this position.
Once you have the basic understanding of how much you're risking per position, you want to try and avoid hitting that stop loss at all costs. So while you're managing your position (this is something I like to do personally) if everything is going against you, it's usually a sign that it's going to continue that way. Yes, statistically, there's going to be sometimes it may be reverses. That's the beauty in backtesting your strategy so you have an in-depth understanding on what it is capable of. I look to start scaling out of my position, which means selling off my position size as we move towards the stop loss. As I mentioned above, it's very rare that I actually hit my Max loss stop loss statistically. Looking back at my journal, I've actually scaled more than 75% of my position out prior to hitting a full stop loss if not all of the position. This is giving me an incredible advantage when it comes down to statistics, because while I can still hit a full take profit and a full position in profits. But I am not hitting a full loss, so my risk to reward has actually rapidly increased, even though it's still very similar when I'm entering the trade.
The second question I want you to ask yourself is, where do you want to get out?
Where is your take profit? Where is your stop loss? But also look within those areas where realistically are key indications on where this price is going to move. Do you have to get through four or five support levels to reach your take profit? Should you start looking at scaling out some of the position in the profits around those levels? The more you have to go through, the harder it is going to be to actually achieve the profit. Have an exit plan. Where are the levels you want out?
And finally, and this is probably the biggest one, how long you are planning on being in the trade?
If you're trading down on the five minute chart, do you really want to hold this trade for two days? If it takes that long, do you only want to be trading during this market hours? Where do you want to cut this trade? This is really important because most people, especially the set and forget traders, they don't have a time limit on their trades. They allow it to just run over multiple sessions. But The thing is, the longer it runs, the less than analysis becomes true. Have a look at the time frame you're trading. If you're investing, look at the yearly outlook. How long do you really want to be holding this stock before it actually does something? I know we're not options traders. Some of you, maybe, but it is a good idea to have kind of a time scheme that you don't want to be holding any longer than. I personally look to start scaling out of the position, taking risk off the longer the trade takes, especially if I'm trying to trade on volatility.
These are three questions to ask yourself and a little bit of tips and tricks when it comes down to scaling an managing risk on a more advanced level. Remember, as traders and investors, we are risk managers. We are money management specialists. Our job is to not lose money. When we stop losing money, profits will come in. Focus on your risk, focus on what you can afford to lose, and then focus on your positions and try and stop yourself from ever hitting that Max stop loss that you give yourself.
I wish you all success!
-Jordon Mellor
This is why patient traders are profitable and consistent"Cut the losers only, let the winners run". One of the quotes that are pretty popular among beginning and experienced traders. Sounds pretty simple, but let's take a look at it in practice.
On the left-hand side, we have illustrated the recent trading history of a patient trader, and on the right side, that of an impatient one. Taking a close look at the recent trades of the patient trader, we can observe that he has a solid trading plan, rock-solid psychology and discipline, and a very good risk management plan. Out of 5 trades, he has only won 3 of them. But due to the fact that he risks only 1% of his trading capital per trade and sets realistically-positive Take Profit levels that vary depending on the market, he makes really appetising returns.
On the contrary, the impatient trader has everything to fail. If we take a look at the recent trade history, we can notice that this trader neither has a well-defined risk management strategy nor any discipline or patience (well, the name says it all).
There is a common misconception in the world of trading that states: "the higher your win rate is, the more profitable you will be in the markets". This statement is absurd and totally incorrect. No matter how high your win rate is, if you are not risk tolerant and you put all of your eggs in the same basket, you will be far away from reaching the doors of consistency and profitability.
To add, patience and a strong psychology are heavily linked and cannot exist without each other. Hence, once you teach your mental state the importance of the ability of sitting on your hands and waiting, your trading journey will head towards the correct direction.
Enjoy the read!
Investroy.
Types of Orders In Trading | Trading Basics 🤝💱
Hey traders,
In this post, we will discuss types of orders that we use in Forex trading.
➖ Market order.
Trading position is opened at a current price level.
Buying the asset, you will open a trading position at a current ask price.
Selling the asset, you will open a trading position at a current bid price.
Even though market order is the most preferable type of orders among newbie traders, I highly recommend not to use that, especially if you are a day trader.
❗️The main problem is that prices constantly fluctuate and there is a certain delay between order execution and position opening. For these reasons, the position will be opened from a random price level within the range where the market is currently staying, affecting a risk to reward ratio.
➖ Limit order.
Trading position will be opened only from a desired price level.
With buy limit, you will buy the asset from a certain level.
(current price remains above the order)
With buy stop order, you will buy the asset from a certain level.
(current price remains below the order)
With sell limit, you will sell the asset from a certain level.
(current price remains below the order)
With sell stop, you will sell the asset from a certain level.
(current price remains above the order)
That is the order type that I prefer. Limit order helps you to trade from a desirable level, automatically executing the order once it is reached, letting you preliminary set it.
❗️However, remember that there is one big disadvantage of that order type: there is no guarantee that the price will reach the desired price level to activate a trading position. For that reason, occasionally you will miss the trades.
Try these order types on a demo account to learn how they work in practice.
Which order type do you prefer?
❤️If you have any questions, please, ask me in the comment section.
Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
Does Trading More = More Profits?Seems like most of the Traders think that by trading more = more profits.
The answer to this can be two-dimensional.
Yes, theoretically the more you trade means you could make more money. If we simply do the math, day trader should be making more than swing trader/ long-term investor right?
But why the failure rate of short-term Trader is much higher than swing Trader & long-term value investors?
The key element here is emotions.
Let me share some examples here:
• Trader A is a swing Trader. On average he takes about maximum 5-10 positions per month
• Trader B is a day Trader. On average he takes about 5-10 positions per day
In this case, let's put performance asides, but who do you think will have less emotions involved in their decision making process? Definitely Trader A.
When you're taking less trades, means each time before you get involved in any position, you spend more time on your planning process, you are aiming for quality rather than quantity.
When you have more involvement in the market, you have a higher probability of over-trading, over-thinking, and over-reacting.
I'm not here trying to blast daytrading isn't profitable, it is in fact profitable. But most retail Traders take large numbers of unnecessary trades which elevate their risks, causing them not able to achieve profitability over the long-run.
When you lose a trade, you have a tendency of revenge trading. The more trades you lose, your irrational thoughts creates hope and ego, believing that you cannot be wrong.
The devil behind all these bad trading habits is purely illusion, the illusion of "This is going to be the best trade" OR "What if i don't take this and it turns out to be a winning trade?"
CEOs', Hedge Fund Manager, etc... They are all paid generously to make a small quantity of quality decisions, not to take large numbers of poor decisions. The same goes to trading, market will reward Traders who understand Risk Control and Trade Management.
The lesson here is to never rely on luck & hope in your trading. Instead, put more focus on your discipline and planning process. The more you are able to disregard the market noises, the better you perform.
100% win rate strategy is possible!! Technically[ ]100% win rate is not possible but 100% no loss is possible. I know what you guys are saying right now,"What the hell,isn't both of these are the same thing".Well you're not wrong. What about 100% profit and 100% no loss,is it still the same? No they are not the same.
[ ]100% profit means 100% no loss but 100% no loss is not always 100% profit. With 100% no loss you can still have 0% profit.
[ ]Suppose you have 66.66% win rate strategy means you will win 66.66 and lose 33.33 out of 100 trades. So if we can do something about those 33.33 trades we can actually achieve 100% profit and that's where no loss strategy comes in. So technically we can achieve 100% win rate Holy-Grale strategy.
[ ]Another example of the importance of no loss strategy is:
Suppose,Sam who is a new trader has a normal strategy of 66.66% win rate.In first session of 100 trades he wins 66 trades in row and next 33 trades he loses in a row. In next session of 100 trades he first loses 33 trades in a row, as of now he is back to square one. But that's not possible, that's why trading is not gambling.Even if it's not possible suppose now he has the no loss strategy he will never go back to square one.He will now have constant profits like the 5% of traders who makes profits.
[ ]I have already found my own 100% win rate/Holy-Grale/100% no loss strategy.Well not 100% but 99.99% no loss strategy because of price spread, fat finger mistake etc. The name of my strategy is SSS-Grade Strategy v888.088. I made it for 5 minutes timeframe and improved over 2 years,so yeah it can work in any higher time frame.My strategy works in range or trending market but only in crypto.I have combined 3 strategies into one strategy.
[ ]One is for support and resistance zones which act as support of my SSS-Grade Strategy just like human leg support weights.You can see how accurate these support and resistance zones in my previous ideas and below.Few days ago I posted my idea about ethereum short 1hr TF, after a few minutes someone named ****amer69 also posted a Idea about ethereum long 1hr TF.Because we both are support and resistance traders it was fun and exiting experience. If this idea gets 10000 likes and 10000 followers I will post few tips and tricks about support and resistance and his support and resistance mistake.Well joke aside I may do it in the near future.
[ ]The heart of the SSS-Grade Strategy is my confirmation strategy. It consists of 7+ plus rules. So its easy to make fat finger mistake in my phone cause I don't have a pc.
[ ]Lastly the brain of my SSS-Grade Strategy is no loss strategy.As the name applies, it takes me out of the losing trade with no loss.Sometimes with very very small profit or very very small loss.It's also work great for dynamic take profit like supertrend, atr stoploss etc
[ ]As for the proof of my SSS-Grade Strategy you will see as I write more ideas with my strategy.
[ ]So what I am trying to say is,its not technically impossible to make 100% win rate strategy. So all the traders, youtubers please make some videos or post about it and that can be great help for the trading community cause I didn't see any no loss strategy as of yet.
[ ]P.S: You will not find my SSS-Grade Strategy anywhere in the Internet.
Unraveling the bitter truth about compounding in trading"I'll start with $100 and flip it to $10k" is one of the lies we tell ourselves when we first start trading. Although compounding can do some wonders, without realistic expectations and targets, you will not reach your goal.
Illustrated on the chart, we can see a sincere and a deceitful statistical representation of a compounding system based on a year-long tracking. All numbers depicted in percentage-based returns are for example purposes. For both cases, we will have a $5000 beginning capital to work with.
Looking at the left hand-side of the screen where the realistic statistics are, we can observe that the ROE (return on investment) numbers differ from one month to another. Some months result in a small loss, some are in deep profits and so on. Just like every single trade, every single month should result in the following:
- A big win
- A small win
- A small loss
- A breakeven
On the contrary, looking at the table portrayed on the right side of the screen, we can see a blurry image of compounding. Expecting to make a fixed return of 10% every single month is nice, but unrealistic. No matter how well-backtested your trading strategy is, in the world of business and finance, nothing is 100%. Plus, there are several factors influencing our trading life: changing market conditions, negative impact of the surrounding environment on our everyday lives and so on. What we are trying to emphasise is that mentally and psychologically, it is impossible to make huge returns consistently on a monthly basis.
The bottom line: have a trading plan that fits your lifestyle the most, be disciplined, risk-tolerant, cold-blooded. And most importantly do not rush the process, as good things come to those who wait.
R-Multiple Distributions: The Mathematics of Successful TradingTrading is a game of risk and reward. One's ability to trade successfully ultimately depends on one's ability to manage reward in terms of risk. An R-multiple distribution is a mathematical representation of reward in terms of risk that we can use to objectively examine trading performance and develop more optimal risk management practices.
When entering a trade, we should always have a maximum allowable risk, usually determined by a stop-loss. Suppose we make a trade where R(isk) = $100, which hits our stop-loss, resulting in -1R. We make another trade where R = $100, but this is successful, hitting our profit target of $300. We now have two R-multiples, -1R and 3R, giving us our first, albeit simple, R-multiple distribution. We can compute separate R-multiple distributions for each trader, trading strategy, and trading system.
An R-multiple distribution gives us a wealth of information about our trading. I will discuss three of the most important calculations: Expectancy, Standard Deviation, and System Quality. I would recommend consulting the book Super Trader by Van K. Tharp for anyone interested in a much more advanced treatment of this topic.
The Fine Line Between Trading VS Gambling - Important LessonHi Traders. This is the video edition of yesterday's workshop.
I genuinely believe this is one of the very important topic that we MUST all learn - identifying the distinct differences between trading VS gambling.
Recap
Most Traders put way too much attention on indicators.
Indicators are supposed to assist us with our decision making process, but if at any point you feel like some of the indicators are burdening OR paralyzing the way you make effective decision, then its probably time for you to eliminate them,
At certain of your trading journey, you'll need to focus on subtraction, rather than addition.
Novice Traders come into the market with the mindset of "I want to learn and know as many things as possible" , all they're trying to do is to absorb like a sponge.
Experienced Traders understand that less is more.
The more you know what's not for you, the better you perform, and the better you're at avoiding distractions.
Do you really think anyone can be successful purely through knowledge and experience? and does knowing more means you're more knowledgeable?
What is the true definition of knowledge? The way i define a wise person is when they understand what's good for them and what's bad for them.
The secret of trading success lies in Principles.
The way you create a plan, rules and principles, then execute them relentlessly.
Remember: The fine line between a Gambler and a Trader, is a plan.
Gamblers gamble without a plan, while Traders gamble (anticipate the future) by having frameworks, plans, rules, and principles.
The Fine Line Between Trading VS GamblingMost Traders put way too much attention on indicators.
Indicators are supposed to assist us with our decision making process, but if at any point you feel like some of the indicators are burdening OR paralyzing the way you make effective decision, then its probably time for you to eliminate them,
At certain of your trading journey, you'll need to focus on subtraction, rather than addition.
Novice Traders come into the market with the mindset of "I want to learn and know as many things as possible" , all they're trying to do is to absorb like a sponge.
Experienced Traders understand that less is more.
The more you know what's not for you, the better you perform, and the better you're at avoiding distractions.
Do you really think anyone can be successful purely through knowledge and experience? and does knowing more means you're more knowledgeable?
What is the true definition of knowledge? The way i define a wise person is when they understand what's good for them and what's bad for them.
The secret of trading success lies in Principles.
The way you create a plan, rules and principles, then execute them relentlessly.
Remember: The fine line between a Gambler and a Trader, is a plan.
Gamblers gamble without a plan, while Traders gamble (anticipate the future) by having frameworks, plans, rules, and principles.
What is Forex and How Big It Is?💱
Forex - foreign exchange market, is a location where international currencies are bought and sold by economic participants at various exchange rates.
Forex market is the biggest market in the world, reaching on average 6 trillion dollars trading volumes daily.
Forex market is a vital element for a global economy because it provides capital exchanges between the countries.
The main market participants of forex market are central banks, commercial banks, commercial companies, hedge funds and investors.
🕰In order to grasp how big is that market, take a look what is happening on that just in 60 seconds:
📎Total transactions value reaches 3.52 billion US dollars.
📎 1.15 billion dollars of spot transactions.
📎 1.65 billion dollar of exchange swaps.
📎 Total transactions value involving USD reaches 3 billion US dollars.
📎 Total transactions value involving EURO reaches 1.1 billion US dollars.
📎 Just one single EUR/USD pair accumulates 812 million US dollars transactions value.
It is hard to imagine how such big amounts are rolling with such a frequency and how insignificant are the orders of individual traders.
❤️If you have any questions, please, ask me in the comment section.
Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
Boredom Trading Could Be a Killer To Your ProfitabilityMost of the retail Traders are mainly day trading. And one of the trickiest part about short-term trading, is the amount of screen time we're putting in VS the amount of action we're taking.
On most days, i spend about 12-15 hours everyday sitting infront of the chart. only 15 - 30 mins of them are spent on clicking the buy & sell buttons. So if you do the math
30mins/ 720mins = 4.2%
Only 4.2% of my time is spent on taking action, the rest of 95.8% are spent on waiting, planning, testing, reviewing, assessing, studying, etc...
So now ask yourself a few questions:
1. How much of a portion of your time is spent on taking action?
2. How often do you over-trade OR revenge-trade?
3. How does impulsive trades affect your consistency?
I believe the best Traders have the highest ability to sit with their hands.
The ability to look at a high volatility market environment and say "no", and yet only focus on your plan should be the end goal of us as a day trader.
There are countless of market opportunities everyday, but how many of them are meant for you?
Risk:Reward Ratio. What is it?Risk to reward ratio. What is it? What does it mean and how do we use it?
Now, if you made it to the point where you're here on TradingView, there's a good chance that you have heard about Risk to Reward ratio. Today, I want to dive into what it really means and how to actually utilize it. I see so many beginners missing out on huge profits and opportunities because of their risk reward ratio and I want to share my knowledge of this tool and how to actually use it in the future.
Firstly, let's dive into what is the risk/reward ratio? The RR ratio is a tool that can accurately predict by expected returns based off of previous results. This tool measures how much reward you are estimated to gain based off of the dollar amount you risk. For example, if you have a risk to reward ratio of 1:3, it means for every $1 you risk, you will gain a return of $3 in the event of a positive trade. Using the same example in the FX market, let's say you're risking 10 pips on EURUSD, your take profit is at 30 pips. This means you gain 30 pips in the event of a win, lose 10 pips in the event of a loss, giving you a 1:3 risk/reward ratio.
This is a very powerful tool because compared with the win rate and in correlation, you can actually predict based off of your previous results, you're expected returns on investment. Being able to predict what you're expected returns are are great way of giving you milestone targets, but also when you're looking at getting funded with prop firms, you also know what you are actually able to achieve in what time frame.
Now, it goes without saying, the higher your risk to reward ratio, the less you need to win in order to maintain profitability. The opposite, the lower your risk reward ratio, the higher win rate is required to maintain profitability.
But this is where we get into where I find beginners struggle. A lot of people will base their strategies on their risk/reward ratios, which is understandable if you're building the strategy from scratch. If you're using a prebuilt strategy or something that doesn't really correlate with risk/reward ratio. Then it makes it obsolete and just confusing. Going back to my first point, risk to reward ratio is a tool that you can use to estimate future potential returns based off of previous results. Let's say you have 100 trades worth of data. You can accurately have a look at what is your risk to reward ratio is and compare that with your win rate. From there you can make a decision whether or not that is a profitable strategy. On top of that, you can then start to look to improve either your win rate and risk to reward ratio, knowing that that is an area that needs improvement.
When it comes to improving your risk to reward ratio, one thing that always grinds my gears with traders, is when they enter a trade, they'll set their stop loss and take profits based on their risk to reward ratio not based on the actual analytics of the trade. While I understand this and with some strategies, this can work. For most, they end up setting those take profits in areas that is just realistically is going to be really hard for the price to get to. What professionals do when trying to improve the risks of reward ratio is only take those setups where a good take profit is viable around that level of risk to reward.
For example, in this chart, we are looking at buying the USDCAD over the next couple of weeks. We like this setup. We've had our entry signal and we're going to place a stop loss below that recent low, which was created early last week. We are not happy with our risk to reward ratio. We think we're leaving too much profit on the table and want to increase our overall results. So I'm only taking trades that have close to a three to one risk to reward ratio. But as you can see by this chart that dotted lines are areas of resistance which we are going to have to break in order to achieve that level of profitability. There are 5 different zones we are going to have to get through in order for my take profit to be hit, it is fair to say the odds are not in my favor.
Now a beginner Trader will still enter this trade with the same take profit and the same stop loss and just hold on. The reason they'll do that is because they want the 1:3 risk reward ratio. They don't care where the profit target is. What matters is it is 3 times worth what they're risking. On the other hand, A professional trader will actually either let this trade go and not enter it, or look for another entry point later on on smaller timeframes to where you can fit that risk to reward ratio and you're not going to hit the high levels of resistance.
To sum up what my point is, risk to reward ratio is a very powerful tool to understand what you are capable of the trader and also where you can improve. It is not a valid take profit selection strategy. Yes, it can definitely help with guidelines on where to set your take profit, but it should not be the sole reason your take profit is set at a certain price just because it is X amount whatever you are risking. Have a look at what the chart is telling you and what your analysis is telling you. Then, only take the trades which coincide with the risk to reward ratio. You want to achieve.
I hope you enjoyed this insight and I hope it was beneficial to you. I recommend highly diving into your previous trading data. Have a look at your win rate. Have a look at your risk reward ratio and understand what your profitability expectation really is and base your future decisions off of that data. Have a fantastic trading we can I look forward to seeing your comments.
- Jordon
The mathematical model of Hugh Math IndexThe mathematical model of Hugh Math Index
✅ What is Hugh Math Index?
It is a rule-based indicator designed to measure the overall growth of the crypto market by the market capitalization of passive investors
✅ Fund Manager
🔹 Mo'men Mohammad Jaradat
▪️ Institutional investor and developer of trading algorithms and investment research
▪️Has more than 7 years of experience in many financial markets
▪️ Worked on many scientific researches on financial mathematics and quantitative methods in investment decision making
▪️ He holds many professional certificates, the most important of which are EPAT, CFA, FRM
▪️ Previously worked with several research teams to develop machine learning algorithms for kaggle trading strategies
♻️ The main criteria for selecting the components of the index
🔰 Safety Standards
▪️The original must have more than 85 points by accredited security audit agencies
🔰 Liquidity Standards
▪️The asset must be listed on three central exchanges with a security rating of more than 7 points
▪️The weighted average monthly trading volume of the asset must be more than $100 million
🔰 Subtraction Criteria
▪️The asset must be publicly traded for a period of no less than 3 months
🔰 Exclusion Criteria
▪️ Stable Token
▪️Tokens (don't have their own blockchain)
▪️Coins under attack 51
▪️ Coins that have litigations with the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC)
✅ The investment methodology has been designed based on numerous academic researches by an independent working team, Mo'men Jaradat.
✅ More details will be shared to copy the investment at the time of the launch of the fund.
How to spot and avoid Stop Loss hunting: a complete guide Stop Loss hunting happens every trading day, and it's not something you would want to let fly under the radar.
We have carefully orchestrated some examples on the graph to give a clear picture of what this phenomenon really is, and listed some tips on how to avoid getting into this mouse trap.
In basic terms, Stop Loss hunting is the strategy of the price action spiking above/below key levels to enter the pool of Stop Loss orders and take the masses out of their positions before moving the price in the destined direction.
Looking at the first example, we can observe that a nice double top pattern has been formed. This is one of the clear indicators that the price might potentially drop after failing to rise above and forming a new top. Thus, a trader would most likely go short and set his Stop Loss a few pips above the freshly formed area of resistance. What happens next is obvious - a trader gets liquidated. Why? because him and tens of thousands of other market participants had set their Stop Losses at a very obvious key level - above the local zone of supply. After successfully spiking up and grabbing some liquidity, the price peacefully continues its bearish movements in the predetermined direction.
The second example is a similar one as well. "What a beautiful ranging market. Let's buy at support and sell at resistance." Only if it was that easy...
What happens next, the price spikes below the lower boundary of the sideways-moving range and grabs liquidity before moving in the upside direction.
Stop Loss hunting scenarios will always happen, and to be honest, we cannot really avoid them all. However, there are some tips that we can follow in order to evade these traps.
Firstly, you should never rush into entering positions. Eventually, the price will come to your levels and develop into some patterns (Double Top, Head&Shoulders etc.) before starting its big moves.
With that being said, no FOMO either. There will always be fish in the sea, just like there will always be opportunities in the market. Be patient, cold-blooded, and wait for your time.
Do not set a tight Stop Loss, because you will most likely get taken out immediately. Either set a wide one so you can escape hunting in case the price starts spiking up and down, or wait for cases of a fake breakout a.k.a liquidation before entering a position.
Last tip is a pretty smart one: set your entry orders at levels where masses would put obvious Stop Loss orders. Then, you will notice how many times the price goes in that direction.
Hope you enjoyed this Educational Post, dear TradingView community members! If you have any suggestions or recommendations for the next educational idea, feel free to let us know in the comment section below.
Are You Ready to Trade Full Time? 4 Essential Signs ⭐
Hey traders,
Once you mature in trading and become a consistently profitable trader, the question arises: are you ready to trade full time?
Becoming a full time trade is a very significant step and my things must be taken into consideration before you make it.
✨Becoming a full time trader implies that you quit your current job, that you give up a stable income - your salary.
In contrast to classic job, trading does not give guarantees. Please, realize that such a thing as stable income does not exist in trading.
Trading is a series of winning and losing trades, positive and negative periods. For that reasons, remember that in order to become a full time trader, your average monthly trading income must be at least twice as your monthly expenses.
✨Moreover, even if your trading income is sufficient to cover two months of your life, that is still not enough. You must have savings.
Trading for more than 8 years, I faced with quite prolonged negative periods. One time I was below zero for the entire quarter.
For that reason, supporting a family and living a decent life will require savings that will help you not to sink during the losing periods.
✨Another very important sign is your correct and objective view on your trading. Please, realize that if you bought Bitcoin one time and made a couple of thousands of dollars, it does not make you a consistently profitable trader. Please, do not confuse luck with the skill. Your trading must be proven by many years of trading.
✨You must be emotionally prepared for the living conditions that full time trading will bring you.
Being a full time trader implies that you are constantly at home,
you work from home from Monday to Friday.
You do not see your colleagues, your social life will change dramatically.
I know a lot of people who started to trade full time and then realized that they can not work from home for different reasons.
⭐So what are the necessary conditions for becoming a full time traders:
you should have savings that will cover the negative trading periods,
your average monthly trading income should be at least twice as your monthly expenses,
your trading efficiency must be proven by objective, consistent results,
and you must be psychologically prepared for working from home.
When these conditions are met, you can make a significant step and become a full-time trader.
Are you ready to become a full time trader?
❤️If you have any questions, please, ask me in the comment section.
Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
Risk Control - Think Beyond The BasicsHi Traders. Let's talk abit about Risk Control/ Risk Management today.
I believe most Traders may be thinking that Risk Management/ Risk Control is about
- Having a pre-determined risk (% Risk-per-Trade)
- Having a Stop Loss
Well, that's correct to a certain extent. But if you really think about Risk Control, do you think its really all about that 1 - 2% risk per trade?
Look, most of us got the meaning wrong. Let me share some examples:
1. You took 3 losses on GBPJPY, all 3 of them are shorts with the same trade setup. Yes, even if you are only risking 1% per trade, but aren't you now risking 3% on the same setup?
2. You took 3 positions (GBPUSD Long, AUDUSD Long, EURUSD Long). All 3 of them are positive correlated, so if one of it goes wrong, it is likely that all of them will be wrong.
3. You took 5 positions at the same time. Why do you have to expose yourself to that amount of risk?
The point I'm trying to tell you is, often we really do not have to put ourselves at that high level of risk to generate a decent return.
The way i do it, is i enjoy taking one trade OR maximum two trades at a time. So instead of having the frustration to worry about all those correlation. I make sure the positions I'm involved are almost non-correlated.
Then if any of my position goes well, I can always scale into it. In that way, I maximize my winner, minimize my loser.
If you enjoy the content, make sure you follow my profile and click the like button.
Take care and trade safe.
All the content I've posted are for educational purposes, please perform your own research and only take it as a reference.
Consistent Profitability, how long does it take?How long does it take to become consistently profitable as a trader? This is one of the most searched questions in the Internet when it comes to trading and the beauty is there's no right answer. When you do receive an answer, it's miss leading to beginners and everyone gets confused. There's a solid chance that you've looked at this before, or perhaps you just seen the title of this post and clicked on it. How long this is going to take you to master the arts of the market. There's a good chance you sat there and questioned, "what am I doing? how long are we going for? What should I be goal setting in terms of time with trading?" if you see yourself in this position or you've seen it previously, I finally have the answer you need to hear.
How long does it take you to become consistent and profitable trading?
As long as it takes.
There's so many different sources which claim so many different time limits that it takes to master Forex trading or crypto trading or industry, trade, whatever it might be your embarking on. All of them say the same around two to three years to become a consistent and experienced professional. Yet, where are they getting this data from? I know traders that master trading within six months. I also know other traders that traded for six years and couldn't get the look of it. There's no time frame to put on trading in terms of success and consistency. It isn't a university course, we don't sit down and do all the course procedures and even if we do, the bare minimum, still graduate in three years. That's not how trading works.
The question you should be asking isn't how long is this going to take me to master, but rather how many hours are you going to put into it. Day in, day out, how much work are you going to do? That is what will determine how long it takes you to become successful in this industry. There's so many people that will see 2 and a half years to become successful trader, then they trade half heartedly as if it is a hobby. They don't concentrate too much. They just trade here in there. Two and a half years pass and they'll call themselves seasoned professionals because they have been in the market for 2 1/2 years. Yet they couldn't show a single piece of consistency within their trading. Then there's other traders that put in hard work. I'm talking 8 hours a day of pure grueling backtesting, trade management, risk management, analyzing everything, and they put an exponential amount of work in and in six months they can outperform anyone else who's ever step foot in the market.
Time is not an important factor. The amount of work you are putting in is the important factor. Yes, time will tell whether or not you can be successful in this industry, but if you're measuring time based off of when you've been interested or when you've been trading a little bit and rather than the actual hard, grueling hours that you're putting into trading. Then you will never get to that level you want to get too. You have to put in the hard yards.
This industry is very advertised as easy, simple and the money making machine. There's a number of different factors in which we can blame for that, but we're not going to dive into that today. What I want to share with you is this is not easy. This is actually one of the hardest professions you could ever do, because work doesn't just stop, we don't just clock off and get paid the same amount every week. It's all dependent on the amount of time and effort you put into the market.
Do you want to be profitable and consistent in trading? Then put in the hard work. Stop Googling how long it's going to take. Stop having a look at other people's success stories. Knuckle down and put in the hard work. Then in two years, three years, six years, 10 years, whatever it's going to take. Look back and be proud. When someone asks you how long did it take you? Don't answer about six years or two years, be honest. How many hours did you have to invest? How hard was the work?