Engulfing (Outside Bar) & Harami (Inside Bar) PatternsFor your homework: find all engulfing, harami and pin bar setups on different Forex pairs on hourly time frames or higher.
Where did these patterns happen- Price and Time?
How could you have traded them? entry, stop loss and targets
What risk management would you use or lot size? What is a pip move worth with keeping trades 1% to 2% of your account.
These two patterns are very powerful, on all time frames- as usual higher time frames are more reliable. You would need to adjust your risk management the higher time frames you trade to generally- lower lot sizes and larger stop losses.
On example daily GBPJPY chart- these moves from both engulfing and Harami two candlestick pattern do not look like much movement, but yellow noted lines are 100 pips each.
How you set up entry, stop losses and targets is all up to you= but remember do not let emotions control you and let greed ruin profitable trades.
Risk Management
The Power Of Outside Bar Or Outside Day (Engulfing)Outside Bar/Outside Day (Engulfing): Rules (chart example is a bullish setup)
1) This bullish outside bar/outside day or engulfing candle means new buy or bullish money is coming into Forex pair
2) Price action encompassed the high and lower of previous days price action (chart: Fridays)
3) This candle happened on a Monday- mostly lowest liquidity and volume of the week
4) Next three days (Tues, Weds and Thurs) - gave you possible entries into this future bullish move
5) This Engulfing or outside bar/outside day pattern would have gave you 350 pips (profit/target) with a 100 pip stop loss or 1: 3.5 risk/reward setup.
6) This engulfing or outside bar/outside day pattern broke the price action (critical price level) of 120.000 on chart
This pattern is more reliable on hour, 4 hour or daily- but can be used on lower time frames of lower then hourly IF you see this at resistance and support, price action level of a round number, fib ret of 50% to 61.8%, etc... more confluences at one price and time would put the probability of profit on your side of trade.
Adjust risk management related to time frame you are trading on and ATR of the pair, this will keep 1% to 2% risk per trade the same.
Trading Psychology Series - Part 2 (shooting for consistency)This video is part 2 of an ongoing series on trading psychology.
Overview:
- How having an analytic methodology is the foundation for everything
- Risk management follows from having an analytic methodology
- To develop strong trading psychology, we must have an analytical method and a risk management strategy
What Is A Buy & Sell Stop Order?Both Buy and Sell Stop Orders are trade order set before current price hits those orders and gets you into a new trade.
Buy Stop Order:
An order that is executed at a specific predetermined price that is above the current price.
Sell Stop Order:
An order that is executed at a specific predetermined price that is below the current price.
NEVER chases price when making a Forex trade, let price action come to your entry by setting either a Buy or Sell stop order. Then make sure you set your stop loss and targets at that time too.
A.C.E. Strategy is:
1) Alert candle
2) Confirm candle
3) Enter candle
What Are 10 Things You See On Daily September Chart? Add YoursExamples: Do this on daily charts- understanding candlestick language will assist you in trading and risk management.
1) Supply Zone/Resistance area
2) Demand Zone/Support area
3) Trends- bearish or bullish
4) Price Action? Top to bottom how many pips?
5) Any Engulfing Candlestick patterns?
6) Any Harami Candlestick patterns?
7) Any Pinbar Candlestick patterns?
8) And Doji's (undecided) candlesticks?
9) From 1st day to last day of September- was it bearish? was it bullish? or doji (monthly candlestick?)
10) Where are critical price line levels (round numbers or psychological numbers)
11) ADD YOURS...
PLEASE ADD IN COMMENTS: What do you see on attached naked or price action only chart of AUDJPY- thanks!!!
Where and How could you have entered into a trade on this chart, with enter, stops and targets set up and make a profit?
Break & Retest Strategy (Should Be A Favorite)Break and Retest Strategy:
Bullish example on chart:
1) Quick price action move or continuation phase on chart
2) Price action protected the critical line, structure and future stop loss of 119.000, during exhaustion phase. Could use a fib ret 50%-61.8% for entry.
3) Showed a great two day Engulfing pattern on chart for entry for buy market trade at close of that candlestick. (I use harmi, engulfing and pin bar candle stick patterns to entry all trades, especially on this break and retest strategy)
4) Stop loss would have been at 119.00 (yes, that is 88 pips from entry)
5) Targets 1st target 88 pips from entry, 2nd target 176, 3rd target 264 and 4th target is 352.
Related to daily chart, adjust your risk management appropriately just like all trades you do- is at beginning of trade set stops, entry, targets.
Picking Out The Strongest 123 Forex SetupsHow To Pick Out The Strongest 123 Forex Setup: The Most Powerful Trading Setup In Forex!!!
1) The 1 needs to be at the extreme high or low of chart (on chart example a bearish 123 setup).
2) The 2 needs to be lower then 1 on chart and turn around to the 3
3) The 3, but 3 can not be higher then 1 on chart
4) From 3 to 4, you can (if aggressive entry) enter bearish trade at 50% to 61.8% area (see chart) or conservative entry at horizontal break of 2 on chart. Then enter the trade. This trade depending on your entry to trade would have been 1:1 to 1:2 risk reward setup.
5) This happened in between the high liquidity and volume areas between Tokyo end to London end, which is where most scalping or day trading should happen, when big banks and hedges are trading most of the Forex daily rollover of $6 trillion dollars. Just get a piece of pip pie, do not be greedy.
3 Bar Reversal Pattern A.C.E. StrategyChart is example of a 3 bar reversal pattern A.C.E. Strategy.
1) Alert Candle - Large red candle ( wick to wick or bottom to top of candle)
2) Confirm Candle- Smaller red candle ( doji is a very good sign and candlestick)
3) Enter Candle- Larger blue (green usual) that is larger then Alert candle
When 3rd candle of this three bar reversal pattern hits the open of 1st candle of this pattern- ENTER buy signal for bullish trade.
Place stop loss below this 3 bar reversal pattern, I place them at quarter levels: example (.xx000, xx125, xx250, xx375, xx500, xx625, xx750 & xx877), on Eur pairs and or chart example of EurCad (see chart). The setup would be 1:2 or 18 pip stop vs 39 target. Noted chart stop loss is 1.43125.
Use always right risk management and lot sizes etc... for time frame of chart used and ATR for setting stop losses and targets too.
Why Do Traders Fail?Most of the novice traders believe that trading FOREX is a gamble!
Why do traders fail?
1) They trade with the aim of getting luck to make money.
2) Their greed exceeds their need.
3) They think trading is a game of chance and luck and do not get the proper education to succeed.
4) They do not favor to invest enough time and amount for education and mentor-ship to get basic knowledge.
5) They have poor focus.
6) They are more emotional than intellectual.
7) After failing, they want to make up their loss; therefore they may further incur loss.
The biggest “MYTH vs REALITY” in tradingDear traders, happy Friday and welcome on our Educational Post for this week.
Today we will be talking about the most popular myths in the trading world and compare it to the reality. “99.99% win rate”, “50 trades winning streak”, “100% monthly return”. Do these phrases sound familiar? All of us have come across people and companies promising that they accomplish the above stated proclamations GUARANTEED. These individuals tend to deceive the beginners and sell them a fake dream. However, trading does not work like that.
If we take a look at the chart, we can see the 4H timeframe graphic of GOLD. We decided to use this graph to illustrate the idea. On the left hand side of the chart, we can see an example of the strategy that the above stated type of individuals use to deceive a huge mass of people. Fake and unrealistic risk-to-reward ratios, impractical percentage returns and other tricks appeal the newcomers and lead them to the mousetrap set by the so-called “gurus”.
On the other hand, on the right side of the screen, we can see the reality of trading.
Not every trade will be a winning one. The most important thing is to follow the principles of risk management, have patience and discipline!
We hope you enjoyed this educational post! If you have any proposals on what should our next educational post be about, please feel free to write down the topics of your interest in the comment section below.
Investroy team is wishing you all a great upcoming weekend!
What Is Capital Partitioning ? How will it help you as a trader?Hi everyone:
Let's talk about capital partitioning, which is a risk management approach for consistent traders to utilize to allow them to leverage their capital.
You may ask what exactly is capital partitioning ? well to simply put it in words, it is basically divide up your trading $ in the current trading account into 2 or more sub accounts.
So what's the point of doing that you may ask ?
Well, with leverage, a consistent trader does not require to have their entire money deposit into one trading account.
They can allocate the asset into different trading accounts to reduce risk as well as trading different markets available
Let's take a look here:
Say I have a $100,000 trading capital. I understand risk management, trading psychology, and will not over trade, over risk and revenge trade.
Hence, it's in my best interest to divide the $ in this account into a different accounts, or simply in a liquid-able account such as a savings account, stocks, bond..etc
Here are a few scenarios that you can implement into your trading accounts.
Understand that the % to allocate, what other trading accounts to deposit $ into, and how to move around the $ is totally up to you as a trader.
The most important is to make sure you are a consistent trader before you approach this type of method.
As more accounts you divide your capital into, the more % you will need to risk per account as you need to open bigger position sizes now.
Any questions, comments, or feedback welcome to let me know.
Thank you
I will share other risk management educational videos that can be helpful for you.
Risk Management: When/How to move SL to BE and to profit in a running trade ?
Risk Management: How to filter trading opportunities if multiple setups are presenting entries:
Risk Management: 3 different entries on how to enter the impulsive phrase of price action
Risk Management 101
Risk Management: How to set a Take Profit (TP) for your trades
Risk Management: How to Enter and set SL and TP for an impulse move in the market
Risk Management: How to scale in the impulsive phrase of the market condition?
Risk Management: Combine everything you learn to prevent blowing a trading account
The Importance Of Back-Testing Part 1When it comes to trading the financial markets (any market), back-testing your strategies is an absolute must. Although past performance does not guarantee future results, back-testing your strategy cannot be skipped or rushed if you wish to be a consistently profitable trader. Back-testing can be done many different ways today. There are many good software’s & trading platforms with available back-testing tools however, I personally prefer to use a spreadsheet as they are fully customizable & require you to fully understand the operation and function of the data you compile and your strategies performance. In my personal experience, I have found that traders who use software’s as opposed to manually back-testing each trade one by one, have a much more difficult time remaining consistently profitable. One of the effective benefits of manually back-testing your strategies is that you will be training your eyes to spot your specific Conditions & Criteria’s for entry along with getting a feel for the characteristics & movements of the market you are trading.
You can manually back-test your strategies by going to your chart and scrolling as far to the left as you would like. Next you will slowly scroll one candle at a time to the right, until you see your setup. Once you see your setup, you should stop and enter the details of the trade into your back-testing tool. After you have entered the details of the trade into your spreadsheet, you should continue scrolling to see the results of the trade. Enter the results of the trade and continue scrolling right until you see your next setup.
Your trading timeframe will determine how far back in time you can go for your back-testing. For example if you are using the 60 min chart as your trading timeframe, you should be able to test several years of trades whereas if you are using the 5 min chart as your trading timeframe, you may only be able to test several months of trades. I mainly trade using the 4hr and 60 min charts therefore I personally start my back-testing process by testing 1 years worth of trades. If I am happy with the results of the 1 years worth of tested trades, then I will typically restart the process of back-testing that strategy- going as far back In time as possible. I like to have 3+ years of back-tested trades before I will begin forward testing the strategy & then ultimately trading the strategy live. If you are unsure about the amount of time that you should back-test for your strategy, you can safely make this decision using the amount of trades instead- For example, I recommend back-testing AT LEAST 100 trades. I personally will not begin forward testing a strategy with any less. If the strategy proves profitable after 100 trades, I like to back-test as many as possible. There is no such thing as to much back-testing.
It is very important that we do not cheat during this process. Do your absolute best to scroll slowly as you proceed to avoid seeing the results of the trade before you have made the decision to enter. We must be honest in our approach to testing a strategy, in order to get the most accurate data & results possible. It is easy to see what happens next by accident & convince ourselves why we would or would not have taken that specific trade anyway. Be sure to follow your detailed conditions & criteria’s for entry as this will eliminate making discretional decisions. The purpose of pre-defined conditions and criteria’s for entry is to minimize the decision making process as much as possible. Please understand that cheating during this process is ultimately skewing the results of the strategy as well as cheating yourself!
Back-testing serves many purposes to a professional trader & takes up a large portion of their work week as we are always looking for ways to improve our existing strategies and/or develop new, more efficient ones. This stage is also crucial to your confidence in your strategy which ultimately leads to being disciplined and following your set guidelines for the strategy you are using. Your confidence and discipline to your strategy will come into play during periods of “Drawdown"
What Is Drawdown?
Drawdown is an extended period of time that a traders account experiences loss or no increase in account balance. In other words, drawdown is a losing streak OR a period of time that the account makes no gain or loss. No matter how good a strategy is, it will eventually experience a losing streak. It is extremely important that we measure the severity of these drawdowns otherwise known as "Max Drawdown". Drawdowns can vary from strategy to strategy however as an example, my strategy typically experiences 1-2 drawdowns per year and the average length of these drawdowns are around 30-40 days long. Back-testing can really help maintain emotional stability & psychological logic during these prolonged periods of drawdown. If you begin to feel doubt while these periods of time are occurring, you may go back to your back-testing results to reassure yourself that it is normal for the strategy to not achieve a profit OR even lose a certain amount of money over the course of however long your results show on average. After we have completed 3 years worth of back-testing or at least 100 trades, you will be able to go back and see periods of time (typically 1-2 months) that the account made no money at all or even lost money.
As an example- the strategy shown below carries an 11% Max Drawdown over the course of 3 years worth of trading, meaning that at some point during 3 years worth of trading, my account may experience a 11% loss from its current value at that time. This period of time is normal and as long as we do not exceed this Max Drawdown by more than 1 or 2%, we should continue trading our strategy without taking a further look to evaluate whether the strategy is outdated and needs adjusting or if we made trading related errors.
looking at the date in the top left (10/4/2018) & Date at bottom right (11/5/2018), we can see that the strategy produced little to no gain over the course of this 32 days. When first starting out as a trader, this can be extremely difficult to deal with. 32 days can feel like a very long time while it is occurring but DO NOT give up on your strategy if it has shown to be profitable throughout your back and forward testing period!! This is where most inexperienced traders begin making mistakes, breaking their rules or change up strategies thinking the one they are using doesn’t work when in fact, this is 100% normal for EVERY strategy. This is where discipline comes into play. If you do not remain disciplined and stick to your strategy/rules during these periods of time, your lack of discipline will lead to inconsistent results & ultimately failure. Lets look at what happened right after this drawdown was finished had you stayed discipline. (See Image Below)
In the following 47 days, the strategy managed to produce nearly a 90% gain! I am not saying these are the same results you will get, the point I am trying to make is to not jump from strategy to strategy or start making irrational decisions because of these periods of time. I have seen to many new traders destroy themselves because of drawdown or throw away an amazing strategy because they were unaware and uninformed about these periods of drawdown or because they chose not to back-test a strategy before using it to trade with live money. It is crucial that you extensively test anything you wish to use in the markets before using it. Take the time to feel those losses as if they were real and they were occurring in real time. Don't take anyone's word or back-testing results as your own, simply put the time in to this process yourself & you will find that your perspective of trading changes dramatically. You will start to treat this as a business and you will be one step closer to consistently profitable trading.
Note: Back-testing a strategy must be done for each market you plan to trade. For example, your strategy may be profitable on EUR/USD however that does not mean it is profitable on any other currency pair or in any market in general. Be sure to back-test the strategy for each market you wish to trade as strategy results may vary widely from market to market.
As a consistently profitable trader for the better half of a decade, the best advice I can give and the one thing I want you to take away from this post is- Always be sure to extensively back-test any trading strategy you plan to use in the markets. Without this step, you are essentially trading blind & will have an extremely hard time with your trading psychology & consistency. The software's out there today have a purpose when used correctly but I highly recommend using a more manual approach. It forces you to understand your strategy while training your eyes to spot your setups.
Some Data Points You May Want To Gather For Strategy Optimization-
I hope this was helpful for you, please leave a comment and let us know what your back-testing process looks like, and how you go about optimizing your trading strategies.
Bearish Evening Three Candle (Reversal Pattern)Evening Three Candle (pattern) How To Trade:
Evening Star- is a three candle pattern with the highest middle candlestick, but also the smallest body and slight shadows/wicks.
The third candle goes below the bottom half (1/2) of the body of the first candle and its opening FALLS below the opening price of the middle candle.
The evening star is a reflection of the morning star formation.
How To Trade:
1) On 4th candle open,use a sell market order to get into trade
2) Set stop loss higher then sell market order, give around top of 3rd candle (could be large, so adjust stop loss and risk management appropriately). You can find these bearish evening candles on lower time frames, but hourly, 4 hour and daily are better and more reliable, then lower time frames.
3) Set targets at least 1:1 to 1:3, stop loss and use ATR to get daily volatility range too.
How Do You Build A Position With Pyramiding?As a trader, it’s a general rule of thumb that we should always be looking to maximise potential returns (per unit of risk) with each transaction. We should always be looking to squeeze as much out of the market as we can.
There are times when this can occur by simply letting the trade run its course. However, sometimes market conditions align perfectly for savvy traders to “press the trade” or Pyramiding into the trade.
Don’t press your luck; press the trade instead!
Attempting multiple entries in the direction of a trend is one strategy savvy traders use in an attempt to maximise return (otherwise known as Pyramiding). The problem with this tactic is that while it may increase the potential reward, having a larger position in the market also opens you up to more risk. As a trader, you need to find the perfect balance of pressing the trade while not pressing your luck.
There are a few ways to achieve this:
If the market is moving at a snail’s pace, and not much movement has been made from the initial entry, any additional entry should be minor. If, however, a decent distance has been travelled, a trailing stop will secure more profit, and any additional entry can be larger. In essence, any additional position sizes are partly dependent on the distance between the initial entry position to stop loss.
Ensure you have a strong driver that pushes prices along. Simply pressing trades at random is not good risk management.
Reduce risk on entry by only adding additional positions when the stop loss on the first position can be trailed.
Pick your battles carefully when Pyramiding
You may find that as time wears on, you’re left with a large portion (>2% of total equity) in a single trade. The tactic of adding exposure will generally make for a “short” pyramid, which typically won’t grow over 2.5% of overall equity. This Pyramiding tactic ensures you’re exposed to additional upside while minimising downside to a level with which you’re comfortable.
Here are a few things to be wary of:
Keep an eye out for drivers that influence market psychology: This is when momentum and volatility will be high, allowing you to pyramid into a move more easily. For the technical traders, you may prefer to avoid day-to-day shifts by taking in a broader market view.
Diversify: as with any investment, don’t place all your eggs in one basket. Diversification is key to keeping overall risk low.
Have strict risk limits in place: With 2.5% in one pyramid, another 2.5% in another – next thing you know, your overall portfolio heat is close to 10%. That’s a high amount of risk to carry around with you. Consider minimising position sizes of certain trades to reduce overall risk.
Consistency is key with position sizes: If your initial entry is $100k and your second is $300k, you’re off to a lousy start in building your pyramid.
Final Thoughts on Pyramiding
Remember always to start small and slowly. There’s no need to rush in. Experiment with pyramiding until you’re comfortable with your approach. Always remember the two key elements to consider:
Resist the temptation to take profit early when the opportunity arises. Sometimes it’s best to sit on an existing trade.
Be wary of adding to your trade at “worse” levels. Trends will always end at a certain point, so you don’t want to be pyramiding into an extended, ongoing trend. Look for new trends to pyramid in, which will reduce your overall risk.
Education: Three Day Trailing Stop Rule (3DTSR)ICEUS:KC1!
I learned a handy tool used to manage risk under certain circumstances - the Three Day Trailing Stop Rule (3DTSR)
In this example, I actually fade the 3DTSR, but being able to execute different styles of trading strategies reflects an understanding of them, while acknowledging that no system or strategy used in markets will be perfect.
Three Day Trailing Stop Rule:
There is one initial criteria for the 3DTSR to become active -
Either
Upon Pattern Breakout - to limit initial risk/add to position at lower relative risk
OR
Upon Reaching 70% of Target from Breakout as a Trailing Stop
In an Uptrend, to exit a position using the 3DTSR
Day 1 is the High Day, defined by a new price high - at this point, we are not aware of the setup
Day 2 is the Setup Day, defined by a closing price (end of day) that is below the low of Day 1 - at this point, the trigger is active
Day 3 is the Trigger Day, as the stop is placed below the low of Day 2
The 3DTSR can also be used as an entry strategy, as shown in the chart here.
Day 1 = High Day
Day 2 = Setup Day, where price closed below the low of Day 1
Instead of placing a stop below the low of day 2, here I fade the 3DTSR by ADDING to a long coffee position, and jamming the stop to below the low of Day 2
Day 3 = The low of Day 2, or the trigger, is never penetrated, and price opens a cent higher
If using the Trigger as a stop, or below the low of Day 2, and using the Triangle shown to imply a measured target, this is a whopping 20 to 1 trade setup.
Do you have any profitable trading systems or strategies?
BTC.D : A quick note on bitcoin dominance and altsCRYPTOCAP:BTC.D
Hello everyone 😃
Before we start to discuss, I would be glad if your share your opinion on this post and hit the like button if you enjoyed it !
It is inevitable that at some points in the cycle, Bitcoin will outperform almost everything. With a few outliers of course. However, it's important that this doesn't change your game plan.
Your game plan should already be set in motion. If you track your portfolio daily, both in USD and BTC, there are always fluctuations if you are holding a mixture of BTC, Alts and USD.
It would be near impossible to maintain your portfolio's equivalent BTC value round the clock, unless of course you were all in BTC.
I personally hold BTC as my base asset during bull runs (switching to USD at local tops or as near as I can) as well as moving to ETH as my base asset when ETHBTC looks set to out perform.
However, it is inevitable that my alt coin holdings (spot) that I have accumulated will take a hit during a strong BTC run - so you may see your 'BTC worth' drop at times; However, I think of alt holdings like a coiled spring. When under pressure BTC, they bleed - and are suppressed.
If you've accumulated at support, you need not to worry about the temporary drawdown in BTC, because in general alt coins out perform BTC in the right conditions, and so when bitcoin puts in a local top, altcoins regain their dominance and begin out performing.
HOWEVER
It is important not to be 'alt heavy' at times when the BTC dominance is at support.
It is important to rotate the ratio of BTC:ALT:USD holdings to lessen the impact of alts bleeding at certain times in the market.
For example, in January of this year, it was an amazing time to load up on altcoins given that BTC dominance was at resistance. We then saw astronomical gains in alts across Feb/March when BTC.D dropped like a rock. Then, in May when BTC.D hit support, the whole market tanked but alt coins got hit the hardest. Alts will lose value when BTC is volatile, in either direction. So it's important to balance the ratio of your holdings across BTC, alts and stables at certain times in the market.
I pay attention to Bitcoin dominance more so for my spot holdings. For my trading account, every asset is simply a method of making a profit on percentage gains.
So whether I'm trading BTC, ETH or alts - it doesn't matter as much.
But for spot holdings, I generally want to cycle my ALT:BTC or ALT:USD holdings.
When BTC.D is at support, I want to hold less alts.
When BTC.D is at resistance, I want to load up on alts.
Box Breakouts On Daily, 4 hour & HourlyYes, you should try them yourself: Why?
Makes Forex trading a lot simpler to do
I add boxes on daily of:
DAILY BOXES: 100 pip boxes - vertical lines every Monday and horizontal lines every price action number ending in .000 (psychological #)
4 HOUR BOXES: 50 pip boxes- vertical lines every day after session opens and horizontal lines every .000 & .500 critical price action numbers.
1 HOUR BOXES: 25 pip boxes- vertical lines every 4 hours after session opens and horizontal lines every .000, .250, .500 & .000 price action numbers.
If you try this, you will like it. Why? because this will give entry price, stop loss price and 1st and 2nd targets.
If your win rate can hit 70% or higher on these 1:1 or 1:2 risk reward setups- then you know exactly what and what you are doing when trading Forex.
Risk management is always #1. You can have confluence with support and resistance, pivot points, RSI, BB, etc... before doing this box strategy. If you can use round numbers and quarter numbers in your trading you will be more profitable. Trading Forex is about PRICE and TIME of session going on now.
Piercing Pattern (Blended Candlesticks)Can you blend or put together many candlesticks together in your head? If you can do this your profits and win rates will improve.
Blended several four hour candlesticks together to make a Bullish piercing pattern: on AUDJPY
1) Look for a sharp down move (Bearish) - two /4 hour candlesticks
2) Look for a move up (Bullish)- three/4 hour candlesticks= with price action closing above 50% of previous RED or bearish move down.
3) Then do a buy order at that time with stop below lower bullish move and take profit or targets of 1:1 to 1:2, especially if day trading.
---Chart example if a great set up to trade: Look at highlighted boxes- what do you SEE?
---Yes, this blended candlestick idea can work on any time frames, but as usual higher time frames work better then lower time frames.
IF, you can blend candlesticks together (some you tube videos on this idea too) you will be able to take an astronaut view on trades and not get tunnel vision but see the bigger picture or marco picture and see what price action on chart is telling you and direction or momentum is taking pair too. If you understand price action in the highlighted rectangle boxes on chart- then try to do this on other charts- find harami, engulfing, pin bar, etc... setups.
Candlestick Patterns (Pin Bar) Part 3Pin Bars Are in Top 5 Reversal Candlestick Setups: Chart example Bearish Pin Bar
1) Price for Candlestick Push Up Higher, but Seller are stronger & end up pushing price action down to lower edge of candlestick
2) Wick/Shadow/Tail should be 2/3 or more of candlestick in length of real body
4) Real body should be 1/3 overall length of candlestick
5) A bearish trade of 1.26500 to 1.26300 to 1.26250 or 20 pips to 25 pips would have been easy to set up on chart example
6) Set entry at 1.26500, Set stop at 1.26700 and exit/profit at 1.26300. Yes, that is 1:1 Risk Reward- but with high win rate of 70% or more, it works
Trading Forex is like playing baseball: sometimes you strike out, most of time you hit singles and sometimes doubles, triples & on occasionally you will hit a home run.
If you scalp or day trade look for singles or doubles when trading, then you will trade for a lifetime. All about not being greedy and taking what a given pair, price, session and time will give you related to a single trade. Just take a piece of pip pie, you do not need the whole PIP PIE.
Candlestick Patterns (Harami or Inside Bar) Part 2Harami or Inside Two Candlestick Pattern:
Shows us:
Price is not willing to break beyond the previous bars range. Tug of war between buyers and sellers.
Important point:
Use these patterns in conjunction with support and resistance to trade. Risk management involves: lot size, entry, stop loss and exits.
Candlestick Patterns (Engulfing) Part 1Engulfing (Bullish or Bearish)- on any time frame, but like most things in Forex higher time frames works better and are more profitable too.
Example chart is hourly of ChfCad, which moved great on Friday.
Rules: Chart bullish engulfing ( can be used for bearish engulfing too)
1) Look for small bearish candlestick
2) Look for body of next bullish candlestick to engulf (yes, bottom of this candlestick can be same as close of 1st candle)- top closes above 1st candle.
3) Confirm time, which is New York session open (great)
4) Place buy market order on 3rd candle, after bullish engulfing
5) Place stop loss 20 to 25 pips away from entry related to using hourly time frame to do trade from
6) New 4 hour candle starts at 6 am to 10 am, PST/CA time- so I would let this trade run to at least 1:1.5 to 1:2.0 Risk Reward set up. seen on chart.
7) Always, risk management, remember: Pair, Price, Session and Time. I used only hourly, 4 hour and daily to trade from. Less noise & High profits.
So You Wanna Trade Full Time... Is it Possible? A Good Idea?I walk you through my thoughts on the dream that most traders have: doing it full-time!
I give you my personal experience and how I've tried things in the past. What I'm doing now and what works for me.
Key takeaways:
- The trifecta: access to capital, good strategy, cost-of-living. You have to solve for 2 / 3 of these!
- You can't buy peace of mind. Have other income streams to mitigate the risk from your trading not going well for periods of time.
Time & Price Strategy (Box Breakouts)Time & Price Strategy (Box Breakouts) rules:
1) If scalping and/or day trading
2) Use Forex pairs with high ATRs or over 90, now GBP and EUR pairs
3) Use hourly charts
4) Use Naked charts (only price action on them)
5) Add vertical lines every 4 hours from session open . Chart is 2pm, 6pm, 10pm, 2am, 6am & 10am. (Every 4 hours- from beginning of new session)
Chart look at smiley faces as times you should and should not trade r/t liquidity and volatility- red not trade, yellow maybe and green trade.
6) Add horizontal lines every 12.5 pips or as follows: 000, 125, 250, 375, 500, 625, 750, 875, so EIGHT lines. Example: 1.58125 as on chart.
The above will give you boxes of both 4 hour times (vertically) and 12.5 pips (horizontal).
Example hourly chart of EURAUD, on Friday gave you four possible trades to enter, place stops and exit with a profit. Three bullish and one bearish trade.
1) Trade with trend, momentum, support and resistance or breakout
2) Once price action hits or breakouts a box, then enter with stop at other end of box, three bullish trades use lower end of box for stop losses.
3) one bearish trade use upper end of box for stop loss.
KEEP TRADING SIMPLE- you do not need to complicate Forex trading. Focus on price action, trends, momentum, support and resistance & risk management. Best times to trade everyday is in-between Tokyo end to London end related to high liquidity and high volatility.