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IMMUTABLE X ( an economic analysis into the beast)Hello traders and investors! 👋😃 Good day, and please take a moment, relax and come on this journey with me, where we examine in depth, Immutable X and it's partners. I am limited to my posting abilities for specific graphs/images here on Tradingview, so I HIGHLY recommend that you would please take a look at the link I have provided below, which is word document that goes over everything in greater detail.👌 Everything on this idea is sort of an introduction to the information that is provided in the document.👍 1drv.ms Thank you so much for understanding.. now let's take a dive!!! 🌊🐳🏄‍♂️ 👇👇 🥰 *** NOTE **** We are in the DUES phase of the chart depicted above🆗📈👍 An Economic analysis Into Immutable X/ETH, along with 3 major Play-To-Earn games A Low Risk/High Profit forecast. Disclaimer:❗❗👋 I’d like to start by clarifying that this is strictly an educational idea. This is speculation mixed with fact, and 🛑This is never financial advice🛑.. I’m good at what I do, and not often wrong. But do your own due diligence before making any trade/ big investment.🆗💲💲 GOALS: In this Idea💭 I’m going to be explaining how Immutable X works🔎🧐, and Its relationship 🤜🤛💱👩🏻‍🤝‍🧑🏻to Ethereum . We are going to examine play to earn game titles such as:⏬ Epics, Crypto Space Commanders, and of course God’s Unchained Itself. Whilst going over previously mentioned play to earn games, we will examine opportunities for low-risk high-reward profits along the way.🚶‍♂️😃🏕⛺💲 Also, we plan to provide loads of fundamental, and technical confirmations of a huge breakout In games with very expensive NFT’s which will soon be featured together on the Immutable X marketplace. Many of the gains also have multiple tokens. Immutable X: 🆗✖🆗✖👇 Immutable X was the first1️⃣🎉 layer two scalability engine to be dropped on top of the Ethereum blockchain⛓. It utilizes ZK-Rollups to bundle hundreds of transactions into one single transaction. This single transaction Is deconstructed by smart contracts to verify each transaction individually, using a, “Zero-Knowledge Proof” method for publicly recording transactions on the Ethereum blockchain⛓. The process reduces the amount of computational power required to validate blocks✔⬜. Immutable X Explained ~Immutable is most widely known from God’s Unchained, their play-to-earn Dapp game.💲🕹🎴 ~Immutable X utilizes layer two scalability to provide gas free trades🚙👏🤞, and Instant NFT trades up to 9000 plus TPS~Transactions Per Second.🤯👍 ~The Immutable X engine facilitates 600 plus more TPS than other marketplaces on Ethereum .💪 ~Since the project uses entirely no tokens💮☪🚫, the protocol cannot be subject to 51% attack or ransom attack ⚔🗡🛡😎 ~Immutable partnered up with Starkware last year to make the Immutable X project happen.🗓📌📆 ~Prior to Starkware, Immutable had been in development for several years🕘👌 by some of the best😄. ~Currently only the recent Trial Of The Gods expansion of Gods Unchained is listed on the Immutable X Marketplace.👌😮 To quote💬 Immutable X Co-Founder Robbie Ferguson,🧔💭👇👇 “The security of this future world should not be owned by large corporations, venture capitalists, a government or one Individual. It has to be something truly decentralized, owned by the world. That’s why we’ve chosen to scale Ethereum rather than a centralized blockchain”. So let’s speculate on Vitalik Buterin, and Robbie Ferguson??? : 🆗 I truly wish I had the chance to pick the brains🤔🧠 of such brilliant, well geniuses/revolutionaries👨‍💻👨‍🔬. I often analyze their behavior, so I can determine their incentives. Trying to get into crypto geniuses' heads can be like trying to take the digest of a hash➖9️⃣🔢*️⃣▶5️⃣3️⃣↩↪, and flip It🥴. They are thinking several steps ahead, just as I aim to.. but here goes. It’s not hard to see that the two are pretty tight. I anticipate Vitalik has quite the court going. Now Robbie Ferguson Is a perfectionist, which is a big driving factor in his success. When he says something is going mainnet on a certain date, don’t get It twisted, it will mainnet not a single day early. Good business If you ask me. Yet, Ethereum was over gassed⛽, and got put off several months on another layer 2 scalability engine that was set to drop on the Ethereum Blockchain. Immutable X came out several weeks early. Right now the Immutable marketplace Is a joke😛🤪 Let me explain.⏬ During Ethereum’s last Bullish Impulsive phase🐮↗, gas fees⛽🚙 were starting to spike pretty hard😬💲👎, It was like a bad acid trip. Vitalik had Incentive to utilize Immutable X assets to help Gwei per transactions come down. Frankly, there Is no doubt In my mind the man runs a tight court. He deserves every bit of It. I dream of being able to donate a billion dollars to people struggling from the pandemic. I wonder how that affected the price of Ethereum? Well, I do know that lately and after a nice healthy correction, gas prices aren’t terrible (at the right time of day.) Conversely, the Immutable X engine Is more congested than I’ve ever seen it to date. I’m willing to bet my stack that Vitalik Buterin Is the type of man that looks out for his court. Things are changing folks, embrace the change, or embrace the suck. To be honest, that’s your prerogative, but big things are In play right now. The Immutable X marketplace release will be timed perfectly, to maximize utility. Understand, that we now sit on the borderline between the DEUS , and COSMOS phases (see chart above📈💹⏫.) Source:🔽🔽🔽 www.google.com Immutable X line up This marketplace Is going to be putting together some of the most expensive NFT’s around💥💮🎴🥈. Immutable has a very Impressive line-up of partners. In this Idea we’re going to be focusing on just three1️⃣2️⃣3️⃣ of many great titles🤴, because they are the three I know the best. By the way, In the current state of the market people are hitting my price ceiling of layered Trial of the Gods Cards🎴⚔. Instead of raising this ceiling, embracing my inner market maker, I decided to just pull them out of the market completely and Hodl. I’ll sell them for 100x if Immutable's first expansion genesis taught us anything. Robert Greene asserted In his book Mastery,’ The future belongs to those who learn more skills and combine them in creative ways.” These are some of the titles on Immutable ✖'s lineup :👇👇 Epics GG, Guild of Guardians, High Rise, Gods Unchained, CSC , Illuvium, War Riders, MCH ➕ (My crypto hero's plus) Let’s check out Crypto Space Commanders🚀🛸, is a supply shortage Imminent😮? I’m an Economist, I look at things In terms of analytical geometry and the inverse. We are talking about basic supply and demand here in regards to CSC🛸. Some of the ships in the Alpha-phase have sold for upwards 18 ETH💲👏, need I say more? The point I'm alluding to is CSC has a substantially lower player base than some of the other games going on the Immutable marketplace. The NFT’s in the game are very expensive. That being said, I’ll explain why I’m not asking myself whether these NFT’s are about to go 10x, but If they will surpass 100x. The increase in demand from people flowing into CSC from other Play-to-Earn titles(with higher player base,) will raise the prices. More players In the game means less opportunity for gains. Together, I’m forecasting a supply shortage which will further increase the price of not only CSC NFT’s, but value of their two tokens ( GFC /Galactic federation credits, and GRP/Galactic Reputation Pips.) The CSC play-to-earn model In the game🎲🎴, the players mine ore⛏🌑 from asteroids☄🌠, or earn loot from fighting npcs. Additional earnings🤞 can be acquired when you brave fringe space💫🌍🌌 to hit very valuable ore veins, at risk of being destroyed by pirates⚔💂‍♂️🏴‍☠️. Once destroyed in fringe space, you lose all the NFT’s on your ship😥(which could easily amount to a several thousand dollar loss, if you fail to pay attention to detail.) You see, the ore you mine can be refined at a price, which makes it highly valuable. Refined ore💎, is then turned into all the components necessary for crafting anything from ships🛩🛸, weapons🔪🏹💣, armor and even mining equipment. There are different tech levels of equipment with more to be discovered at a price. If you have a bunch of expensive NFT’s like myself, you can have your own refinery, in return, increasing your mining earnings . Now, you can play this game for free, but there is a 20 dollar💲2️⃣0️⃣ pack available. Purchasing the pack will literally save you days of play, as you grow at an exponential rate. Not extremely exponential, but certainly not linear, or logarithmic. Doesn’t this sound like Eve in it’s Infancy? Serves them right for atrocities the Eve leadership team committed among their players. I would suggest anyone who plays Eve, drop the game promptly💩, and get in on the ground floor of CSC🥰. Earn to play, not pay to earn💃🕺. CSC has a great referral program, however, I won’t be providing my referral link, as this is an educational idea. When you Invite people to join CSC , you will earn whenever they buy anything, even if it’s from you. Getting friends or acquaintances in with your link is an opportunity for affiliate marketers to make grandiose amounts of money🤑😄💲🆗.. They tax you to refine ore, as I previously mentioned. Having the NFT’s💮 to build a refinery🌆🌇 certainly helps. FOR MORE INFORMATION ON CSC: ⏩⏩⏩ Please consider looking at the word document above where we have much more content, statistics, imagery, and graphs. Epic.gg🎴🎴 Epics is essentially a fantasy CSGO game. You can play the partly on your phone. While the website Itself Is a much better platform for trading. This Is one of the Play-To-Earn games💲🕹 I recommend to everyone. The value you get from playing It Is very high per unit of time. There are cards dating back to late 2018 in their founders edition. They sell signed cards, and hybrid digital/physical combination sets, like Ether Legends. Epics make their money by the cut they take out of trades, plus the distribution of pack sales, that sell out In minutes. Because the game uses a mint system to classify cards, the value of any card can be substantially different, regardless of rarity. The earlier the pack mint date, the more valuable, let me provide an example! This Is what we would typically expect to see In a market where lower mints are more valuable. The price rises, with decreasing mints(depicted below.) The prices of these Epic’s cards are moving towards equilibrium. This Is not the norm. The norm Is people not understanding the value of their Mint’s, and selling very low. So I scalp their cards.🐱‍👤😎 So should you. Trading is a zero-sum game🤷‍♀️🤷‍♂️.. Don’t ever forget it, or the people that accept the fact there’s someone on the opposite side of every trade, will walk all over you. Don't let that be you!! 😄🤍 More on the whole picture: Epic’s presents an opportunity for huge gains with little risk, CSC is similar. God’s Unchained is not. Why Is this? Well it’s easiest to explain why Epic’s and CSC are safer. Epic’s would be fine If Immutable X failed, it would be picked up by another layer 2 scalability engine. CSC Is part of Lucid Sight games, who would also land on their feet🤸‍♂️🦶👌. But, It’s Important to understand correlation. God’s Unchained Is very correlational to Immutable X, which Is In turn correlational to Ethereum . I would say the correlational is large right now🤔. If Immutable-X were to fail, Gods Unchained cards would lose substantial value😨. So, I have to consider the probability of all outcomes🤨😄✏📝. This brings Into question for me, how did Starkware link up with Immutable to make Immutable X🤔💬💭? The reality is, Vitalik ButerIn is clever enough to have made that happen. I mean Gods Unchained is forever engrained in the history👴🧓🕙 of NFT’s🤷‍♂️. It will be talked about like CryptoKitties 😜🐱 in no time. GODS UNCHAINED!!! 📌🌬🎴🎲 Let’s start this Gods Unchained overview by mentioning how you can earn now by playing God’s Unchained: First off, every weekend is, “Ranked-Constructed” play, where you can earn free packs for playing🤗. (We have a graph below which describes what you earn, depending on the amount of games you win out of twenty five, as well as your starting rank. As you can see, the more games you win, the higher quantity and quality of cards are earned.🥳 Things get a lot more intense once you reach Mythic level, but you’re gonna need a fairly expensive deck to make that happen. Some of the first expansion Genesis cards that help you to reach Mythic level are crucial🔑, they sell at ridiculous prices though. Graph mentioned previously is listed in comment update (You can find the same graph on the Immutable website, along with a lot of other useful information) CSC , and Epics which could skyrocket in value any day. Immutable plans to release another expansion as well, they are currently In the process of minting all the cards from the base and genesis set, onto Immutable X. I have several confirmations they are almost done with this; Such as the Mythic draw due to happen any day now, which people who bought Trial Of The Gods cards got raffle tickets for. Over the past four days, Immutable X has been transacting very slowly compared to the norm🐢⏳⏰. Frankly, in the three games we went over, content release has been held back. CSC hasn’t had a promotion, which they usually do often. Something very big Is coming.. I’d Imagine a lot of games on Immutable X pump hard🐮🆙, making millionaires,💲 no doubt. It’s Important to note God’s Unchained has a good referral program too. Check It out! Summary Please feel free to comment📝✏💬 , questions 🙋‍♀️🙋‍♂️❓, good 👍, bad👎, happy 😄 or sad 😪 below in the comment section or contact me directly with any thoughts💭🤔, or questions and let me know what you think about this Idea. Speculate away. 😅😁I bet on Immutable almost a year ago. I hope everyone learned something about some good opportunities to buy the dip In Dapp games with high profit, low risk potential with high probability. Immutable has inspired me to work on my own Play-To-Earn Dapp game, as we have similar taste in games. Follow the upcoming releases from Immutable. I’d Imagine they had some sway In what Dapp games they picked up. I’m getting into pre-alpha no doubt. Thank you so much for considering my take on these 3 games and Immutable X, along with the immense profit potential I personally am noticing here. Thank you so much!!!☺ Jazerbay 🐶
BINANCE:ETHUSDT_PREMIUMEducation
by jazerbay
18
What you trade is just as important as how you trade!Hey Traders! WOW! What a Monday! Excellent moves in the markets today at the US open, I don't want to sound like I am bragging, but we kinda prepared ourselves very well for today by working our asses off on creating our watchlist, we knew what could be moving and we made sure that they focused on the best setups, setups that had the highest rewards and the lowest risks! Aside from a big miss on WTI, we aced EURUSD, NASDAQ, DAX and EURJPY. Preparation of a watchlist is vital for us day traders and we make sure to invest time into creating our day trading watchlists! This video explains a little better what we did to make today a BIG SUCCESS for ourselves and our members!
OANDA:WTICOUSDEducation
by PrimedGroup
2
supports and resistances and how they convert ✔First of all lets start with the brief technical explanation and after that go through the analyse DOGE ✔ 1 support( an imaginary line, level or area ) 👍one of the most simplest technical tool that use for indicating the proper point for buyers to enter or purchase one stock for using support line we need more than tow price points that an asset doesn't fall below more than those points and using line to connect them 2 resistance ( an imaginary line, level or area ) 👍unlike support line investors use it to figure out the place for exit or selling one stock and for using resistance exactly like support line we need more than tow price points and one line to connect them but we should pay attention to this point that asset doesn't ascend above those points ⏲how support and resistance line convert to each other ⏲ 👍support and resistance can easily change to each others in simple word when acceptable penetration of the price happen in one line for next price hit (be touched by the price ) this line act as an opposite function for example we have strong support area if the price stand below this line and stay away for awhile for next time when the price become close to this area it will works as a resistance for the price 3 breakout 👍usually indicates new trend when the acceptable penetration happens by the price to one support or resistance in indirect way for example we have strong support line and the price start to stands below the line and continue its movement here we have breakout you can use horizontal line at the left corner of your charts at trading view for indicating your supports and resistances. or using other tools like Rectangle or Ellipse and indicate support or resistance zone instead of simple line. 🚀🚀analyse of idea🚀🚀 here we have important daily trend line and strong support area 💣 so If the price breaks this trend line and price stay above this line we expect gain for the price and our noticeable resistance line and our next target are located on the chart. This is not financial advice, always do your own research. 🐳MAD WHALE🐋
Education
by MadWhale
23
First become a good trader then focus on the chartsFor day traders, traders who focus on technical analysis it is very important to first master the mental aspect of trading before they move to actual charting. This blog post and video will help you understand the path you need to take if you are a new or struggling trader. The biggest challenge we see in new traders is that the new traders want to learn as quickly as possible to earn, they rush into trading live and that "rush" doesn't actually allow them to actually learn how to trade, successful trading comes in two parts, the first is mental skills and the second is a complete trading system, without having both of these traders fail. I'll quote Richard Dennis, a legendary trader, to explain the importance of mindset, I always say you could publish rules in a newspaper and no one would follow them. The key is consistency and discipline. Discipline and consistency are mental skills, nothing to do with the system everything to do with the mindset. Meaning that you could have at your disposal the best trading system in the world, but if you don't follow it (with consistency and discipline) you are doomed to failure. - Since you simply won't follow the system. Most of the great traders that I know or follow, who trade based on charts like us, were great traders first, now once they became great traders (mentally) then, after they because great traders they learned how to read charts and built or learnt trading systems. Trading is the hardest easy job in the world, easy because you choose everything, from exposure, to when and where you work and all the way to how much you make or lose. You are in control and always will be, but you're only in control when you manage your mindset throughout the day with discipline and consistency. The main reason we are sharing this is because we have gotten a lot of new members in our community and followers on tradingview, and we just want to help everyone new to us to master their emotions first and then focus on the profits! Now, while I mention profits above I want to explain the correlation profits have to deeds, I firmly believe in cause and effect, and I believe it works in this way: poor or average causes = poor or average results (losses, failure, stress) Good causes = good results Great or extraordinary causes = great or extraordinary results Like I mention above, you get to choose everything you do in trading, this is the main difference between actual trading and gambling. Who are you going to be today? A gambler or a trader? - The choice is always yours! WHAT WE RECOMMEND TO NEW OR STRUGGLING TRADERS: Our first recommendation is that you fully focus on yourself, find and accept your weaknesses or limitations. Weaknesses are overtrading, no patience or discipline. Find them and create plans to remove them, if you're not challenging yourself you cannot be a good or great trader. Limitations are not having much time, not having capital, not having knowledge, all of which you can work on if you're serious about trading success. Next is the system, you must find or create a complete trading system... that is the easy part, all you need is a system that governs every aspect of your trading and we have one, not to make this promotional, but you can get our day trade for a living course here and replicate our system. Now charts are important, very important so you must learn how to read charts, that will only come from practice, lots of practice! Think about it like this, if all the great businessmen/women, sports people and everyone in between practice (read, train etc) don't you think as a trader you need to do the same? In a nutshell, first develop your mental trading skills, then you can use charts to supplement your trading skills. Just know this, without trading skills your charting knowledge will not be valuable. - You need them both!
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by PrimedGroup
8 tips to keep you sharp over the weekend!Tomorrow is Christmas eve, the general markets will be closed, of course crypto will still be rocking and rolling, but the CFD markets will be shut. In day trading it is very easy to get rusty, a few days will do the trick, so with a 3 day weekend approaching we wanted to use this time to help you stay on track so you remain "hot" for the last trading week of 2021! For those of you who will be celebrating Christmas, you will be busy Friday and Saturday, but we're sure you can find a cheeky hour on Sunday to work on yourself, since the weekend is the perfect time to grind, and do things such as reviewing your trades, seeing which assets moved the most and why (so you can take advantage of these situations in the future). Today's blog topic will be guidance on what you could work on this weekend to keep yourself hot and not get rusty! "DO OR DO NOT, THERE IS NO TRY." - YODA 1. THINK HOW CAN YOU IMPROVE YOUR PATIENCE – Having patience as a day trader will help in many ways, one of them being better entries, since entries are directly connected to our PnL it is then a vital skill to acquire, think what you could do to become a more patient trader and create a plan for the new week and apply it on your first opportunity! 2. REVIEW THE MAIN MOVERS THIS WEEK/MONTH – Every successful person, whatever industry it may-be practices a lot, the best way we trades get to practice is to review the charts and see what you could have done to profit in the new week by learning what you missed the week before 3. REVIEW YOUR RULES (PROCESS / ENTRY / EXIT / WATCHLIST) – Always helpful to read over and reevaluate your trading rules, it is a very underrate process, and because the majority of traders do not review their rules and processes they generally do not know what they are nor do they apply them! 4. VISUALIZE SUCCESS AND CHALLENGES – Visualize yourself making good/great trades. see yourself going through different scenarios and achieving the profits you seek. From seeing the perfect setup to executing the trade to exiting the trade, every aspect of trading, see it and feel it. Then also review the challenges you face as a trader, I'm sure you can think of dozens of them! 5. THINK HOW CAN YOU MAKE ONE A+ TRADE AT A TIME - Work on your entry process and criteria, know what the BEST TRADES look like, write it up! So when they show up you can execute with a larger size and maybe bank a much bigger profit than normally. 6. TALK TO EXPERIENCED TRADERS – It is very helpful to get ideas and see what these traders are doing, there is always something for you to learn, even when you become a millionaire trader, you'll still have so much to learn! 7. HOW CAN YOU IMPROVE THE RETETION OF PROFITS – If you are up on the day, set a tighter stop loss to keep your profits, that could always be a solid idea right? There are many ways to retain profits, such as lowering your size after a strong winning streak in a day... but its also your job to think about how you could do this better! 8. WORK ON YOUR PREPARATION – Preparation is Key for success! If you fail to prepare, you prepare to fail! We prepare for a solid hour before we start to trade, there is value in this... so this weekend create your "preparation process" and put it to work! Ok we are done! Thanks for reading, but before we let you go we have a small request! If you come up with any good ideas that work for you, or have them already, please share them with us we'd love to learn from you too! Merry Christmas and all the best!
Editors' picks
Education
by PrimedGroup
79
Day trading NASDAQ and making over 9,000 on itHey traders! This is a short clip of a recap of the trades we've taken on NASDAQ / Us100 today. The video explains our strategy in brief detail and goes over the reasons why we traded NASDAQ long today (and we continue to do so towards the close of the day also). We are full time day traders, we only focus on day trading and we've recently made major update on our strategy, this video explains a little more regarding the strategy
OANDA:NAS100USDEducation
by PrimedGroup
Why Traders Suffer From Analysis Paralysis In TradingAnalysis-Paralysis In Trading This is an article I’ve been avoiding. Maybe it’s cos’ I’m guilty of it. You know, A bunch of knowledge makes—jack cross the rubicon. It’s December 1, 1990. ugh… what a glorious day! I mean—I’m grateful I survived. Are you? (rhetorically—cos’ I talk to myself a lot). Anyway, I finally get to attend “School of Candles” in Pretoria. South Africa is a great country but, only because they have one of the best—Trading schools in the world. Hashtag “respectfully” . I mean—Finally! Heh… I’m here. The Oakland… miserable red-collar guy is here. Can you believe it? Considering all the blown accounts and failed trades—I finally left the country to… South Africa. Pfft… Don’t mind my excitement—at least—I’m not sitting on my a*s reading this article because I have a problem. You are! i’m pretty sure you haven’t travelled out yet and it’s cos’ you keep losing. You’re a loser! At least… someone had to tell you. Don’t worry that makes two of us. Yeah—you and uh… you! Ugh… duh… I know you are not here for my—school of candles story. You’re here cos—you are stuck! Am I right? Anyway, I’ll help I promise. But, you have to promise me that I won’t be wasting my time. Do you promise? Okay—Great. So… Analysis Paralysis In Trading (What Does That Even Mean?) Look at them… so peaceful. Quick question—Have you ever really stopped to watch kids play? The laughter, glee, ambience, passion—so peaceful; so serene! These guys literally have nothing to worry about. Don’t you miss that? When last did you laugh? No… like actually laugh. These days—we have to watch a funny illiterate online to… crack up. How miserable can one’s life be? So sad; so depressing and why’s that? I don’t know about you—but, I miss those days. Nothing to worry about. You’re probably wondering, “What’s he on about?”… I just had to remind you of what your life (hopefully you’re still breathing)… is supposed to feel like. Before… I tell you how it actually feels like. That’s why you’re here right. Shucks. Analysis paralysis—wonder who comes up with these names. In a lame man’s term, it’s basically being paralyzed (not literally) from over-thinking. over-researching and over-analyzing… Why do we do these things; why do we even do anything. Imagine the thought of—mentally paralyzing yourself… Do you love yourself at all? Of course not—Humans (you reading this now) think of the possible worst for—every situation. Imagine… You go out and a complete stranger gives you money, from nowhere; out of the blue. What’s the first thing that comes to your mind? Be honest, Don’t lie. That’s what I thought. Anyway, Being completely mind-paralyzed is bad. I mean … have you seen—how they have to literally drive paralyzed people everywhere… They become furnitures (not trying to be insensitive); they really can’t do anything… on their own. You’ll end up—A furniture trader! Analysis Paralysis In Trading (How Can You Tell?) In school (school of candles), I attended every class. Wyckoff 101, Fibonacci 203 (borrowed course), Way of the candles, Price-action 105, Order blocks and Market structures 103, Supply and Demand, Indicators not manipulators… Weird ones! I took all. Trust me —I was a diligent student. But, I had no direction. I practically learned everything and anything. I mean—I wanted to be a great trader (don’t we all). The next class (Final year) required… Mastery. I realized that—sticking to one thing was a problem. Oh! No, I can’t choose. I literally attended all classes—just to find out what was best for me—even after taking these classes… in my first year. Hello Jane, I know this is kind of awkward… But, what’s your major? Uh… Order blocks. Imagine! I couldn’t even come up with something. What the H-E-L-L do you want Jamal? You’re just going round in circles. I couldn’t choose. Wanted to take action but, how could I? No one gave me the memo. I don’t even know what making decisions feels like. “Making Decisions” suddenly sounds like the strangest word in—the dictionary. So, tell me have you been in this position. All you keep doing is learning—anything; everything. But, no actions! Two ways you can tell: Can’t seem to make a decision. Always looking for a better solution—without actions! For analysis paralysis in trading It’s not something you can cheat. As a trader, You can’t go over or under it—Dealing with it is… the only solution. You keep delaying actions—whilst over-analyzing every situation. For this trader—you keep imaging downsides… Always the negatives; never positives. Imagine taking a trade—but, you’ve already imagined—300 scenarios of your plan going badly. Pfft… heh—who does that? Uh! you. You’re literally mentally paralyzed. What other options do you have than over-thinking everything. Are You Asking The Right Questions? Ta-ta… I envy them so much. Anyway, You learn to be in the comfort zone because… Why stress your brain till it’s paralyzed. Your brain is literally “yours truly”—It would always try to keep your safe. It will protect you, which is good. But, you become safe and unsuccessful. In trading, which do you prefer? Actually making a decision irrespective of the outcome or… staying out and avoiding everything. I mean if we’re being honest—the second option looks safe and comfortable. Will you choose that though? Remember you want to be rich; you want financial freedom. Even if you go through hell—do it without hesitations. Yup—That quote is a reference to the previous sentence. Eh… your lack of decision making will only make you—miss out on a million market opportunities. So, are you asking the right questions? When you literally ask yourself the right questions… It gives room for a clearer thought process and faster decision-making. Honestly though—Let’s blame google. An increase in options; an increase in choice. The fear of making the wrong choice arises. Then you become mentally paralyzed. Most traders today are stuck. I remember meeting a guy (Joe)—In one of my trading communities—in school. This guy found it hard to make a decision. Heh… So he buys and sells at the same time. Analysis paralysis in trading can make you a fan of gambling. But, there’s a solution… You can start by answering the right questions. What are the right questions? Is it worth the risk? Will it matter in 5 minutes? What was my first choice? Can you answer these questions? Make it a habit to answer these questions before—you take a trade. Not just trading—anything at all… Train that brain of yours. Is It Worth The Risk? You know some-times the best way to eliminate choices is to—know the risk attached to each choice. Imagine having a $50 account (your only money) and trying to take a trade. You’ll probably over-think every thing because—you just can’t lose that money. I mean… Heh—that’s all you have right? So, the first question should be… “If I take this trade, is it worth the risk”. Note that… you might lose—but, the keyword here is “risk”. How much are you willing to let go of?… That should be the first thought. Try this exercise and you have to be truthful—always!… If I was given $50 and I was told to give someone $5 (out of your $50)… Would I be okay with that? If you will, then you can decide to risk 10% of that account—knowing that you won’t feel bad if you lose. Ergo, You’ve just made a decision—because you eliminated your options. I mean losing 10% of $50 is better than losing all. Now what next? you need to eliminate all trades that will make you lose more than 10%. See, No mulling— just progress. Note that… Not all trades are negatives. But, we should always consider the risk. Will It Matter In 5 Minutes? Now you know the risk you’re willing to take, the next question is—Will it matter in 5 minutes? Ever heard of the “5 by 5 rule”? Well, the 5 by 5 rule states that—if you come across an issue take a moment to think—whether or not it will matter in 5 years. If it won’t, don’t spend more than 5 minutes stressing out about it. Forget the “5 years”—My own 5 by 5 rules is… don’t waste 5 seconds pondering over it, if it won’t matter in 5 minutes. Mine works right? I mean… 5 years is a pretty long period you know. By the way, the market waits for no man. The fact of the matter is, there are some problems that do not need your full attention. Why stress over some money you’re okay losing. If after 5 seconds you’re cool with it then—go ahead! Do me a favor. Let’s practice… Um—can you remember what you just did 5 seconds ago? If you can, it matters; If you can’t, “It’s irrelevant and doesn’t matter. There, fixed right! What Was My First Choice? The human mind is like a sick computer virus. It’s basically, randomly, just processing relevant and irrelevant informations and thoughts. You tend to have all these choices, thoughts and feelings all mixed up—especially during pressure. I was listening to Roger Khoury the other day and he said, “When driving a car in a—calm state—you’re basically just following the rules of the road right? But, what happens when you’re late for a meeting—You find yourself breaking all these rules.” Similarly… same applies to the market. You don’t have time; you’re supposed to make a decision—If not, the market leaves you. Then if you’re like me that attended all classes in—Pretoria, you probably don’t have a particular strategy. Different options; different opinions. What happens? You become paralyzed! All this can be avoided if you remember your first choice. Many traders fail to understand that our gut feelings, our instincts—matter. Where do instincts come from? In as much as the brain behaves sick sometimes—It also stores useful informations… knowingly or unknowingly. These useful informations are usually processed when needed. Do you ever know something and wonder—how you know that thing? It’s cos’ you probably already came across that stuff but, you ignored it. Cos’—It didn’t matter. But, look who wasn’t ignorant “your brain” yeah, remember… “Yours truly” loves you. Those first choices… are thought of for a reason. So, make them your last resort—always! Havoc Of Analysis Paralysis In Trading Hey guys, my name is Jamal and I’m a victim of Analysis Paralysis in trading … “Hey Jamal”… Sounds familiar. Yeah, group home. My encounter with Analysis Paralysis in trading wasn’t a great one. There were consequences. Each with its own baggage. After I narrowly graduated from the School of Candles, Pretoria. I mean I’ve learnt everything—I was ready for the market. On Tuesday, May 3, 1994, I deposited $50,000 to my trading account. As a graduate of School of Candles—what was the next thing? To get into the real world of trading . A nasty encounter in the market occurred. I found a GJ (gbp/jpy) trade, the daily had a bearish head and shoulder, the—4 hour, a double bottom. On my chart, I had Bollinger bands, Moving averages, Relative strength index… Name it. Yeah —I was that confused. Didn’t know if to—buy or sell. Oh! No, a clash of interest. My indicators… some gave me buy signals; others sell signals. Oh my God! What now? What’s the direction—Now I’m exhausted, tired, I can’t think straight! The market decides to buy… Yeah, I guess I’ll go long now. The sound your phone makes when you just placed a trade. Greedy old Jamal, used 2 standards for US30 on a $50,000 account. I was more than confident. The market does it thing. What! no… no… n0—Why is there a sell taking place now? No! The Havoc That’s it… That was so easy I lost it all. Everything! “What was the point of school then?” I thought. Useless! You’re so useless Jamal. You can’t get anything right. I couldn’t make a decision… My brain said, “Pause”. I was paralyzed and I failed. Three things happened to me: My trading performance reduced Creativity was gone. Couldn’t decide on a strategy and all patterns became useless. Lost my willpower. I couldn’t make a decision—too many options. Thank you for listening! “Thanks for sharing Jamal”. How To Overcome—Final Words Don’t ask me what I went to a group home to do. Analysis paralysis in trading affects you mentally—It builds into a habit and you become the hesitant trader. Do you remember him? That guy who couldn’t make decisions, that insecure coward. Yeah—that was who I became. June 23, 1994, I was in bed. Thinking, crying, staring—”What went wrong?”, I thought. How come… I mean i’ve gone to one of the best schools, learnt everything there is to learn, and graduated with a 2:1. So, what exactly is the problem. I discover that—I was. “Jamal you are the problem”—I discovered 6 things. These 6 things I’m going to tell you are very important. I’m telling you because—I love you. You shouldn’t follow my past; you shouldn’t make my mistakes. My mom’s teaching helped. Remember when she gave me the trading elements and principles… Steps To Overcoming This Nuisance. This is the truth; this is my truth. After a month I discovered that: You need to trust you. No one else opinion matters in the business of trading. It’s your business—You should mind it. Limit the amount of research (information you consume) you do. It’s called “learn and earn” for a reason—Not “Learn and continue learning”. Talk to someone. If you think you’re stagnant, you need to pour out all those information—on someone. Teach them! Perfection isn’t the key. Progress is! Know your end goal always. Notice every thoughts and emotions. If possible, write them down. If you follow this manual, you should never have reason to be stuck or mentally paralyzed. Remember sharing is caring! Tell someone about this article. Most traders have no idea what analysis paralysis in trading is.
OANDA:NAS100USDEducation
by lazyluchi
2
Bitcoin's Market Cycle Explained Through Elliott WavesThis is an educational post on Elliott Impulse Wave structures, and how the theory can be applied to Bitcoin's chart, in order for us to identify the overall market trend. Disclaimer: This is not investment advice. This is for educational and entertainment purposes only. I am not responsible for the profits or loss generated from your investments. Trade and invest at your own risk. Basic Elliott Wave Structure - 80% of the time, an Elliott Impulse Wave would have a structure as the diagram demonstrated above. - After the first impulse wave, we have wave 2, which is a short term corrective wave, play out. - Most of the time, the second wave demonstrates a zig zag pattern, in which we can count ABC waves. - When the second wave is a zigzag, there's a high probability that the fourth wave demonstrates a complex correction, such as a double three (WXY), or a triple three (WXYXZ). - Also, when the second wave is a zig zag pattern, there's a high probability that the length of the third wave is 1.618x of the first wave's length. - In this case, there's also a high probability that the length of the fifth wave is equal to that of the first wave. - Keep in mind that these are all probabilities. There are no rules set in stone that state that waves have to move a certain way, in a certain length, but they tend to demonstrate this structure under certain conditions Bitcoin's Elliott Wave Structure - However, as you can notice from Bitcoin's Elliott Wave count chart above, Bitcoin's second wave did not demonstrate a zig zag pattern. - Instead, Bitcoin demonstrated a triple three (WXYXZ) leading to a sharp final drop caused by the Covid outbreak. - When the second wave demonstrates a triple three pattern, there's a high probability that the fourth wave demonstrates a zig zag pattern. - Also, when the second wave is a complex correction, there's a high probability that the third wave's length is 2.618x of the first wave's length. - Additionally, when the second wave is a complex correction, there's a high probability that the final wave's length is 1.618x of the first wave's length. Bitcoin Weekly Chart Elliott Wave Analysis - Taking into consideration the Elliott Wave structures explained above, we can now see that Bitcoin's trend can be explained by the second diagram. - We saw a complex correction (triple three, WXYXZ) pattern on Bitcoin's second wave. - We're currently completing wave 4, which seems to be a running flat pattern (ABC). - While this isn't exactly a zig zag pattern, it's a variation of the zig zag pattern, and part of the larger concept of simple corrections. - For a more in-depth explanation on this corrective trend for the short term, make sure to check out my previous analysis by clicking the chart below: Revealing My Secret Method: Technical Symmetry Analysis Summary I believe that there's an extremely high probability that Bitcoin's bull run isn't over. While December's price action may be rather disappointing, as we're in the process of completing the final corrective wave within a bigger impulse trend, we could expect a parabolic rally as we move towards Q1 of 2022. Using Elliott Waves isn't about accurately predicting the exact price and period of an asset's price action. While a lot of people try to correct each other on "wrong counts", unless the general rules are kept, there really isn't a strictly correct way or incorrect way of using this theory as a tool. In my opinion, Elliott Waves are best used on longer time frames, to identify the overall trend, and which point of the market cycle we are at.
COINBASE:BTCUSDEducation
by Michael_Wang_Official
16
Beating the rake - Know your trading feesLet’s talk about trading fees. This is an area that most people who trade don’t put enough thought into, but it can make a huge difference to your bottom line. This is especially the case when dealing with percentage based commissions in combination with leverage. Many people, especially those who mainly trade crypto, will be using services that charge percentage based commissions, with fees that can be as high as 0.5% ! But even if you’re trading at one of the more trader-friendly exchanges you’re likely to be paying in the region of 0.1% taker fees for spot trading and 0.04 - 0.06 % taker fees on futures. That sounds pretty cheap, right? 0.06% fee on a trade sounds almost negligible, which is why most casual traders don’t pay too much attention to it. Firstly though, you need to remember that this is the fee for both buying and selling, so for a round trip (buy and sell, assuming taker fee of 0.06% for each) you’re paying 0.12% Suddenly that starts to look a bit more significant, especially for short term intraday traders and scalpers. Let’s take a quick example. Let’s say you’re an intraday trader paying 0.06% taker fees on futures, and your typical Risk/Reward is aiming for a 1% gain and a 0.5% loss for an R of 2. The breakeven rate with an R of 2 is a 33.33% win rate, which is why many traders aim to trade this way. If they can achieve a win rate in the region of 50% they can be highly successful. But then we take your trading fees into account. That 1% average win becomes 0.88 % after your 0.12% round trip of taker fees. And your 0.5% average loss becomes 0.62 % after your round trip to fee-town. So now with an average win of 0.88% and average loss of 0.62% your R is down to 1.42! That means your breakeven win rate has changed from 33.33% to 41.33%! What if you’re aiming to catch even smaller percentage moves? If you were aiming for 0.5% average wins and 0.25% average losses for Risk/Reward of 2, but without considering fees, you might be in for a nasty surprise. Your average win would now be 0.38% and your average loss would be 0.37% after accounting for 0.12% round trip fees on all trades. The 2 R you were aiming for to require a 33.33% win rate actually becomes 1.02 R, requiring a 49.33% win rate to break even! And as a last example, let’s say you take a different approach. Perhaps you’re the type of trader aiming to take equal sized wins and losses but aiming for a 60 - 70% win rate to make your money. At 1% average win and loss (1 R), your wins become 0.88% and your losses become 1.12% after fees. Instead of a 50% break even rate you now require a 56% win rate just to break even! And if you aim for 0.5% average win and loss (1 R) your average wins become 0.38% and your losses become 0.62% after fees, requiring a 62% win rate to break even! Can you overcome those odds? The key takeaway here is that factoring trading fees into your trading plan is absolutely vital to understanding your risk/reward. The smaller the trading fees are as a percentage of your average trade, the less impactful the fees will be on your bottom line. To keep your trading fees small as a percentage of your average wins and losses, the simplest way is obviously to trade for larger average wins and losses, taking a swing trading approach with smaller position sizing. Alternatively, most exchanges/brokers will offer cheaper trading fees for “makers” using limit orders, as opposed to “takers” using market prices. This discount for maker fees will usually slash your fees by 50% - 80%. Many will also offer additional discounts for using a specific token for paying fees (e.g. BNB or KCS) or various discounts for VIP levels/tiers. Do not underestimate the value of these discounts, they can have a very substantial impact on your bottom line, especially if you are a short term intraday trader or scalper. Just a 50% saving on fees could be enough to turn a short term trader from a breakeven trader to a winning one.
BINANCE:BTCUSD.PEducation
by HayeTrading
1
Rules By Warren Buffett (Educational)Hello everybody, today, we are going to talk about Warren Buffett and his rules and advice. Who is Warren Buffett? In an abbreviation, he is an american businessman and investor with an property of over 100 billion dollars. He is an old-school, but in some way, his rules are really impressive and are working. He also wrote an preface for the best book ever written on investing, The Intelligent Investor by Benjamin Graham. 1. Reinvest Your Profits When you first make money, you may be tempted to spend it. Don’t. Instead, reinvest the profits. 2. Be Willing to Be Different Don’t base your decisions upon what everyone is saying or doing. Have your own reason to buy the stock. 3. Limit What You Borrow Buffett has never borrowed a significant amount — not to invest, not for a mortgage. In other words, if you can´t buy it twice, you can´t afford it. 4. Be Persistent A young boy who sold Coca-Cola for a nickel ended up being a majority shareholder of Coca-Cola. This transition does require persistence. Warren is an Realistic Optimist. He believed they will succeed but with planning, effort, and persistence even when times are tough. You don´t have to make deals every day, just watch markets and paper trade. 5. Know When to Quit Once, when Buffett was a teen, he went to the racetrack. He bet on a race and lost. To recoup his funds, he bet on another race. He lost again, leaving him with close to nothing. Buffett never repeated that mistake. 6. Know What Success Really Means Despite his wealth, Buffett does not measure success by dollars. In 2006, he pledged to give away almost his entire fortune to charities. 7. Stay In Your Circle Of Competence Imagine Circle with 3 layers. In the smallest layer, inside the circle, are things that you really know. In middle of circle are things that you think you know, but you don´t. And in an outer layer, the biggest one, are things that you don´t know. Warren recommends to stay in the smallest layer and just buy what you really understand. Otherwise it doesn´t mean that you have to be closed to every opportunities, but first of all, learn something about it. And this leads us into another topic: 8. Always Learn This is really important to understand, because you have to learn new things, that´s no rule, it´s an habit that you need to make. Learn about market every day, read articles, books, papertrade, watch youtube. In these days is super easy to learn something, all you need to have is good wifi connection and phone or notebook. Warren reads up to 500 pages every day. Try to beat him :) (good luck) 9. Two Legendary Rules These 2 rules are good to know, it seems really clear, but someone had to tell you: 1. Never Lose Money 2. Never Forget Rule Number One And that´s serious guys! Never lose money, that´s not your style. 10. Diversify When you are buying penny stocks, you have to buy one large-cap stock, because penny stocks are volatile and can drop to 0. It can make you big profits or big losses. With a large-cap stock, you will protect your portfolio from total crash, because large-cap stocks are not as volatile and as risky as penny stocks. You should diversify in sectors too. If in your portfolio are only oil companies and price of oil will go rapidly down, well, good luck. When you have money in oil companies, you should buy some stock from another sector, for example real estate or healthcare. Quotes By Warren Buffett „Cash was never a good investment." „I´d rather buy a wonderful business at a fair price, than a fair business with a wonderful price." „Big oppportunities in life have to be seen." „No matter how great the talent or efforts, some things just take time. You can´t produce baby in one month by getting nice women pregnant." End So, seems like we are at the end. Thanks for your effort to read it all, because my view is that it is really educational and you should know it. If you agree with me and Warren Buffett, please make sure you liked and i´ll see you again at another post. Have a nice day.
SP:SPXEducation
by TommyTK247
2
How to trade Rising Wedge patternWhat is a rising wedge? A rising wedge is a technical pattern, suggesting a reversal in the trend . This pattern shows up in charts when the price moves upward with higher highs and lower lows converging toward a single point known as the apex. There are 4 ways to trade wedges like shown on the chart (1) Your entry point when the price breaks the lower bound of the wedge, place your stop loss above the last peak, your target range is the distance between the upper and lower bound of the wedge at the start point. (2) Your entry point when the price breaks the neckline of the double top pattern inside the wedge pattern, place your stop loss above the double top, place your target as same as shape (1) (3) Your entry point when the price retest the lower bound of the wedge, place your stop loss above the last peak inside the wedge pattern, place your target as same as shape (1) (4) a false breakout may occur in the rising wedge pattern, wait the price to go inside the pattern again and your entry point should be after breaking the last trough and your stop loss should be placed above the last peak that has been formed within the wedge, your target should be placed as same as shape (1). We wish you the best of luck!
Education
by ChartDepth
The theory of averageOften while trading markets we use various indicators like SMA, EMA, MACD that are based on the thoery that market trends to follow averages everything else remaining constant. Using the same concept and applying it to vix that it would trade in its normal range we have plotted two horizontal lines on vix. This lines gave us the idea when the market moved beyond averages due to extraordinary situations. It can be seen applying the same average points to Index chart that it has acted as a turning point for the given trend . An interesting observation in the given study is that the vix after a sudden market drop has started declining giving us an indication that bears are losing steam. Same can be used to any index you wish to trade to gain meaningful insights.
NSE:BANKNIFTYEducation
by Shantanuupe
Wyckoff Price CycleHello Traders, Today I wanted to show you a little bit of information to help you understand the market cycle in a Wyckoff Price Cycle. Richard Wyckoff was a world renowned trader from over 100 years ago who gained notoriety back in the roaring 20's. You should take some time to get to know him and his teachings. Here is an understanding of his development of the price cycle. According to Wyckoff, the market can be understood and anticipated through detailed analysis of supply and demand, which can be ascertained from studying price action, volume and time. As a broker, he was in a position to observe the activities of highly successful individuals and groups who dominated specific issues; consequently, he was able to decipher, via the use of what he called vertical (bar) and figure (Point and Figure) charts, the future intentions of those large interests. An idealized schematic of how he conceptualized the large interests' preparation for and execution of bull and bear markets is depicted in the figure below. The time to enter long orders is towards the end of the preparation for a price markup or bull market (accumulation of large lines of stock), while the time to initiate short positions is at the end of the preparation for price markdown. Wyckoff's chart-based methodology rests on three fundamental “laws” that affect many aspects of analysis. These include determining the market's and individual stocks' current and potential future directional bias, selecting the best stocks to trade long or short, identifying the readiness of a stock to leave a trading range and projecting price targets in a trend from a stock’s behavior in a trading range. These laws inform the analysis of every chart and the selection of every stock to trade. 1. The law of supply and demand determines the price direction. This principle is central to Wyckoff's method of trading and investing. When demand is greater than supply, prices rise, and when supply is greater than demand, prices fall. The trader/analyst can study the balance between supply and demand by comparing price and volume bars over time. This law is deceptively simple, but learning to accurately evaluate supply and demand on bar charts, as well as understanding the implications of supply and demand patterns, takes considerable practice. 2. The law of cause and effect helps the trader and investor set price objectives by gauging the potential extent of a trend emerging from a trading range. Wyckoff's “cause” can be measured by the horizontal point count in a Point and Figure chart, while the “effect” is the distance price moves corresponding to the point count. This law's operation can be seen as the force of accumulation or distribution within a trading range, as well as how this force works itself out in a subsequent trend or movement up or down. Point and Figure chart counts are used to measure a cause and project the extent of its effect. (See “Point and Figure Count Guide” below for an illustration of this law.) 3. The law of effort versus result provides an early warning of a possible change in trend in the near future. Divergences between volume and price often signal a change in the direction of a price trend. For example, when there are several high-volume (large effort) but narrow-range price bars after a substantial rally, with the price failing to make a new high (little or no result), this suggests that big interests are unloading shares in anticipation of a change in trend. This is just a start, it is up to you to develop the rest of your knowledge. I will be posting some more later. As always, have a GREEN week. Savvy
CRYPTOCAP:XRPEducation
by Savvythe1
45
The rule you should never forget! About a week ago bitcoin suddenly started to drop and falling more and more unexpectedly While everyone was talking about 98K. Now everyone is talking about 52. Most of people are waiting to buy at 52 and lots of traders are selling bitcoin so they take profit at 52. But there's a rule you shoul never forget. When most of people thinking about an ultimate target it will be never hit. That's it! Most of people were waiting for bitcoin to hit 100K but it started to drop from 64K then they were waiting for 13K bitcoin but bitcoin started to rise up from 30K. Now people think the reversal point will be 52_53 and i did too But when i noticed everyone is thinking like me i doubted it. The logic behind this rule is a bit complicated and takes much time to explain but anyway it works well.
Education
by CryptoTitans1
14
How to Swing Trade Using the Ichimoku Cloud's Base LineIn this post, I'll be introducing a swing trade technique that I like to use often, that involves the use of the base line (blue line) from the ichimoku cloud indicator, and the 5 simple moving average (SMA), marked in green. Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. This is for educational and entertainment purposes only. I am not responsible for the profits or loss generated from your investments. Trade and invest at your own risk. Conceptual Explanation - The base line is a component of the ichimoku cloud that demonstrates price momentum. - When the candles trade above the base line, it indicates that there is price momentum to the upside, and vice versa for the downside. - The base line is combining the highest and lowest price over the last 26 period (since this is the hourly chart, 26 hours in this case), and calculating the average value. - This means, that when the price action lacks momentum, is converges above and below the base line, as demonstrated by the box in orange. - But when a breakout takes place that deviates upwards significantly, the base line is dragged up towards the new high, as opposed to the price returning back near the baseline. - In other words, the base line's upward movement indicates that there is strong momentum behind the price action. - Thus, given that the price doesn't break down below the baseline again, it's safe to assume that the price will continue to rally upwards with momentum. Application to Trading - The chart above is the hourly chart I was looking at for a swing trade opportunity on Bitcoin. - Initially, there was lack of momentum as demonstrated by the box in orange; Bitcoin failed to break significantly above the baseline, and even with small breakouts, it continued to return back to the baseline and 5 SMA. - It was also trending below a descending trend line resistance, marked by the dotted black line, indicating that a breakout through the resistance trend needed to take place. - I then saw the price breakout of not only the baseline and 5 SMA, but also the descending trend line resistance. - As price pulled back to retest the 5 SMA support, the baseline and 5 SMA also formed a golden cross, indicating an opportunity for a long position. - After entering a long position, I saw the position continue to rally upwards with strong momentum. - At a certain point, it broke down the 5 SMA, and the base line as well, and the candle closed below the base line, providing bearish confirmation. - At that point, I closed my long position, and ultimately capitalized on a 9.11% move in 2 days and 19 hours. Conclusion The base line can serve as an effective indicator when scalping or swing trading. However, you need to have a clear entry/exit strategy, as well as an understanding of price action backed by momentum. Often times, the most effective trading techniques can end up being the most simple ones. If you like this educational post, please make sure to like, and follow for more quality content! If you have any questions or comments, feel free to comment below! :)
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by Michael_Wang_Official
16
Sand and its recent pumpHey, we are going to talk about a pattern today, called falling wedge, as it happened few days ago in SAND I'm just gonna talk about it as a good example. Basically a wedge is a shape looking like triangle, it causes to make lower highs and higher lows which are closer to each other as we go along. we have 4 types of wedges listed below : 1. Falling wedge ( in uptrend or downtrend ) 2. Rising wedge ( in uptrend or downtrend ) well I'm not gonna tell you how to trade it as its explained in books or some youtube channels; what you'd normally find out there is that when you see Falling wedge in uptrend we are probably going to see another leg up ( what happened in SAND ) and rising wedge in an uptrend would probably cause trend reversal, but lets just say this is not true and market doesn't care about what we all think :D what I'd suggest is to treat all these shapes as kind of channels, You can buy low sell high and when the break happens get in and ride with it ( DO NOT FOMO ). But lets talk what is actually happening behind these formations, lets talk price action a bit; a wedge usually happens after a trend, we usually find it after a leg up or leg down, and basically that means market is probably going to play around the highs or lows it made for a while before making a second large move ( Correctional or not ), so it will start forming these shapes. normally when we see the price making lower highs in an uptrend ( or higher highs in a down trend ) we'd suspect a trend reversal, but in this case , the highs are really close and we are also making higher lows, this tells us, market is not going anywhere yet, because there is a fight going on between bulls and bears. eventually one of these sides will give up, and the support or resistance will break, That's the moment for us to get in and ride along the market. This is basically all you need to know about wedges. pretty simple but useful. check the price action on Sand as an example and let me know if there are any questions.
Education
by Algo_Analyst
5
Reversal Patterns & ContinuationHello Traders, Today I would like to talk all about the different types of reversal patterns & continuation patterns, this can be whether you are a swing trader or a day trader we all must look for signals such as these as they are solid confirmations for our trading ideas. Forex reversal patterns are on chart formations which help in forecasting high probability reversal zones. These could be in the form of a single candle, or a group of candles lined up in a specific shape. Types of Reversal Chart Patterns There are two basic types of trend reversal patterns; the bearish reversal pattern and the bullish reversal pattern. The Bullish reversal pattern forecasts that the current bearish move will be reversed into a bullish direction. The Bearish reversal pattern forecasts that the current bullish move will be reversed into a bearish direction. Double Top and Double Bottom We will start with the Double Top reversal chart pattern. The pattern consists of two tops on the price chart. These tops are either located on the same resistance level, or the second top is a bit lower. The double top pattern typically looks like the letter “M”. The Double Top has its opposite, called the Double Bottom. This pattern consists of two bottoms, which are either located on the same support level, or the second bottom is a bit higher. The double bottom pattern typically looks like the letter “W”. Head and Shoulders The Head and Shoulders pattern is a very interesting and unique reversal figure. The shape of the pattern is aptly named because it actually resembles a head with two shoulders. The pattern forms during a bullish trend and creates a top – the first shoulder. After a correction, the price action creates a higher top – the head. After another correction, the price creates a third top, which is lower than the head – the second shoulder. So we have two shoulders and a head in the middle. Of course, the Head and Shoulders reversal pattern has its inverted equivalent, which turns bearish trends into bullish. This pattern is referred to as an Inverted Head and Shoulders pattern. Overall Reversal patterns are a key part in trading and especially useful for confirmations in your trade ideas. You may not always find reversal patterns but when you do you will know the best possible entries! Thanks for taking the time to read my post! Please check out my other trade ideas! 😆😂😆😂😆😂😆😂
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COINBASE:BTCUSDEducation
by Pips-Collector
86
Why Year End Trading Is So Danger - Valuable content !!Timing is everything There are certain times in the markets that present risks and opportunities. In the market, different times have different characteristics. This is true on a day to day basis. For example, at the end of the US and before the Asian session the market becomes particularly illiquid and flash crashes can move the market hundreds of points on very little. This is a vulnerability that occurs at certain times. In a similar way, the end of the month and end of financial years have influences on different currencies too. This article will focus on year-end markets and both the risks and opportunities that lie within them. Buying gold on the last day of the year One of the best ways to end the year is to consider buying Gold at the end of December in anticipation of the strong pattern of buying Gold, which takes place with a surprising regularity, in the month of January. Over the last few years this seasonal pattern has shown particular strength. If you include the months for February and March too there has only been negative returns once, in 2013. This year presented a really good opportunity to take advantage of this pattern as there were also strong fundamental reasons to buy Gold. The concern over the US-China trade war accelerated as President Trump became more and more vocal in his combative stance. The market feared that a hostile trade war between the US and China, which constitute around 40% of the entire world's GDP, would spark a global slowdown in growth. The result was that Gold was bought as a safe haven currency into year-end as US equities plummeted. Cryptocurrencies had also declined during the year as an alternative safe haven and Gold technicals looked good with a close above the highs of $1244. It was a great year start for Gold as usual. Japanese financial year end in March ----- At the end of the Japanese financial year, which is at the end of March, many Japanese firms look to consolidate the years profits. As Japanese firms move their profits they bring them back home by buying the Japanese Yen. These Yen flows are typically seen in the last couple of weeks into March and end around three days before the end of the month. One of the best times to see these Yen flows coming into the market is around the London Fix. The London Fix starts at around 1600GMT each weekday and this is when a number of FX transactions occur out of London. The characteristic of these transactions at this fixing timing is that they are not run by speculators, but they are normal businesses who are having their money exchanged for purchases and employers etc. In this instance there can be an uptick in JPY buying as Japanese firms repatriate their profits. This JPY repatriation is not necessarily an easy phenomenon to trade, but it still serves to offer some explanation for strange JPY moves into Japanese year end and traders should be particularly aware of trading any JPY pair in the last two weeks of March around the London fix. he January effect There are strong tax and psychological reasons that mean a number of stocks show what is known as 'the January effect'. This is simply reference to a widely anticipated cyclical pattern in stock markets that occurs for a number of reasons. Sometimes, investors are simply closing their profits for the year and some investment firms are wanting to ensure they book their year-end profits and so they close their positions going into November and December. There is also a tax incentive and losing trades can be closed at year end to offset any tax implications of winning trades already booked. The impact seems to be seen most acutely in small caps. One study conducted by the firm Salomon Smith and Barney between 1972 and 2002 found that the stocks of the Russell 2000 index outperformed stocks in the 1000 index during the month of January. The interesting thing to note was that the outperformance was around 0.82%, but the stocks underperformed during the rest of the year. The usefulness of this fact has been questioned by some due to the necessary transaction costs in trying to capitalize on it. However, possessing strong fundamental reasons to purchase a stock at this time means that you potentially benefit from a year-end tail wind. Year-end USD demand starts in November At the end of the year there is demand for USD and typically speaking November is good month for broad USD strength. Over the last 5 years the Bloomberg Dollar Index (BBDXY) has increased +1.6% during November and that increases to +1.8% if you go back over the last 10 years. The conventional wisdom is that USD buying takes place in December, whereas there is greater evidence of USD buying in the month of November as opposed to December. Oil has a very strong year-end effect and it tends to have a period of depreciation at the end of the year. In the month of October Oil prices have fallen 13 times and that general pattern of weakness has often flowed through to the months of November and December. By contrast, the months of February through to April are typically strong seasonal times for Oil. Therefore, traders should be particularly alert as we approach year end for fundamental reasons to short Oil as a strong seasonal pattern may give you a tail wind. Similarly, although this article is about year-end markets, it is worth pointing out that February should be considered for potential long US Oil positions. This year, that trade has already played out well for the month of February as OPEC cut their oil production levels, Venezuelan and Iran sanctions further hit supply and US oil rigs numbers steadily fell. It proved to be an excellent example of a strong seasonal pattern reinforced by good fundamentals. So, there you have it, year-end markets offer opportunities and risks, so look out for these characteristics for the end of 2019.
Education
by GoldenEngine
13
Gold: 8 Factors You Must Know, If You Trade Gold8 Factors You Must Know If You Trade Gold Gold has been a favorite of many for centuries. It's used as an investment and holds sentimental value all over the world. Let's take a closer look into some factors that affect these changes: supply & demand dynamics between countries holding large amounts while wanting lower rates so they won't have trouble selling off inventories; economic stability decides whether there'll be. Wh at Moves the Gold Price? There are many reasons plays behind the gold price. Let's discuss some. Supply and Demand Demand and Supply are two forces that constantly affect the price of Gold. When demand for this precious metal increases, its value goes up too. When there's less interest in purchasing or holding onto it, prices will naturally decrease over time due to supply constraints. That means you can buy more at any given moment without worrying about getting stuck paying the total retail cost later. Inflation Gold has been a good hedge against inflation for many years. When prices go up in an economy, people tend to invest their money into Gold and not a currency. Because it's considered stable over time while maintaining its value even when currencies change significantly from one day or year-to-year ranking/rating changes due to economic factors. Such as high unemployment rates, which increase demand by consumers looking for safe-haven assets. Central Banks Decision Gold is typically bought in large amounts by governments and institutions who view it as an essential store for wealth preservation. But this can also mean traders take notice. Central banks worldwide have recently been buying substantial quantities because they want to diversify their reserves away from US dollars which currently make up most international finance markets valued at close to $200 trillion (€170 T). The result has already shown itself, with spot prices rising 6 percent higher than last year despite economic uncertainty following recent hikes on interest rates over America's quantitative easing program. Interest Rates Interest rates are the driving force behind Gold's price movements. When interest rates increase, people sell their assets to earn higher returns on existing investments. At the same time, at other times, they might buy back in if prices have fallen too far for them not to make up that loss with purchasing power today - this increases demand for precious metals like never before. The relationship between these two economic indicators means different things depending upon one another. For example, when there is inflation (worst-case scenario), investors seek out safe-haven currencies such as Gold, which protect wealth against devaluation or hyperinflationary policies imposed by countries worldwide seeking currency stability through international agreements like SDRs. Central Banks Reserve The government holds a large number of gold reserves. Therefore, when most of the Reserve Banks worldwide start to buy Gold more than they sell. The gold prices increase because there will be insufficient supply in the future and vice versa when central banks sell greater quantity than it buys; therefore, these transactions result in currency rates against other currencies. Currency Fluctuations Gold is traded on the international market in US dollars. When you convert your currency from USD to any other currencies during import, it becomes more expensive as the price fluctuates concerning both currencies. Let's compare prices between countries like the United States and Saudi Arabia, where one has a more robust economy than others do. There can be a hike of up to 30 – 50% extra cost for purchasing an item because these economies have been performing better over recent years, meaning they provide higher rates of return that give them power over minting new coins. In contrast, some country's revenue may only last one year before another recession strikes, making importing items not profitable anymore. A co-relation with other asset class Gold is a highly effective portfolio diversification because of its low negative correlation to major asset classes. In addition, when shares fall in companies, there's an inverse relationship shown between Gold and equities. This makes it easy for investors looking at their investments from either side to have peace of mind when they know that one goes down. Then others will likely recover - especially considering how much more stable stocks tend towards being over time than fluctuating prices do. Geopolitical Factors Gold has often been seen as a haven during times of political and geopolitical turmoil. During such periods, Gold does well compared to other asset classes due to an increase in demand from investors who won't keep their money away from unstable markets or currency values that could change at any moment.
TVC:GOLDEducation
by Gold_Trading_Expert