Nvidia - Launching The Final Bullrun!Nvidia ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) can still rally another +40%:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
After rejecting the channel resistance in June, July and August of 2024 and correcting about -40%, buyers immediately stepped in and pushed Nvidia much higher. There is a quite high chance, that we will see a final blow off rally, squeezing out the last remaining bears.
Levels to watch: $200
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
Community ideas
DOGECOIN ( 0.55$ ) is uploading Hello and greetings to all the crypto enthusiasts, ✌
In several of my previous analyses, I have accurately identified and hit all of the gain targets. In this analysis, I aim to provide you with a comprehensive overview of the future price potential for Dogecoin, 📚💣
We are likely to witness a 37% rise in the coin’s price soon, though short-term bearish movements or consolidation phases could occur before the major uptrend. These patterns are often seen before a significant surge. 💡🙌
To better manage these fluctuations, I’ve highlighted key support levels using Fibonacci retracements. Recently, the coin surpassed several long-standing resistance levels, signaling an important shift. 💡📚
This is a key development, as the coin gains momentum with higher trading volumes and growing social media influence. 💡🎇
🧨 Our team's main opinion is The coin is poised for a 37% price increase, despite potential short-term fluctuations, as it gains momentum with key support levels and increasing market influence.🧨
Thank you for your attention. If you have any questions or comments, I’m here to respond to you. 🐋💡
The Browser Underdog: Opera's Surprising Surge◉ Abstract
Opera Limited (OPRA) presents a compelling investment opportunity, boasting an attractive valuation with a P/E ratio of 10.1x, significantly lower than the peer average of 66.5x. The company demonstrated strong financial performance in FY23, with 20% revenue growth reaching $396.8 million, accompanied by impressive cash flow growth of $82.8 million. Opera's debt-free status adds to its financial health. However, challenges persist, including its limited 2.4% market share in the competitive browser market, heavy dependence on browser revenue, and regulatory and technical risks. Despite these challenges, Opera's strengths and resilience, coupled with the industry's growth prospects, make it an attractive investment choice.
Read full analysis here.........
◉ Introduction
The internet browsing market is highly competitive, with approximately 5.3 billion monthly active users as of 2024. Google Chrome dominates the market with a 65.18% share, followed by Safari at 18.55%, Microsoft Edge at 5.26%, and Mozilla Firefox at 2.74%.
The market is expected to continue growing, driven by increasing internet penetration, the proliferation of smart devices, and the demand for enhanced web experiences. Additionally, the shift towards mobile browsing, with mobile devices accounting for a significant portion of internet traffic, will further fuel this growth, leading to projected expansion and innovation in the industry.
◉ Key Growth Drivers
1. Increased Internet Penetration: Global internet user numbers are steadily rising, particularly in developing regions where access to technology is improving.
2. Mobile Device Usage: The shift towards mobile browsing is significant, with browsers like Chrome and Safari leading in mobile usage due to their integration with popular operating systems (Android and iOS) respectively.
3.Technological Advancements: Continuous improvements in browser technology, including speed enhancements, security features, and user-friendly interfaces, attract more users.
4. Focus on Privacy and Security: Growing concerns about online privacy have led to increased demand for browsers that prioritize user data protection. This trend benefits browsers like Firefox and Opera, which emphasize privacy features.
5. Integration with Ecosystems: Browsers that integrate well within their respective ecosystems (e.g., Safari with Apple devices) tend to retain users more effectively due to seamless functionality across devices.
◉ Major Players
Today, our discussion will center on Opera, a niche browser vendor navigating the global internet browsing market dominated by Google Chrome and Safari.
This report presents an in-depth examination of Opera's technical and fundamental metrics.
◉ Company Overview
Opera Limited NASDAQ:OPRA is a Norway-based tech innovator, established in 1995. Listed on NASDAQ (OPRA), Opera boasts a global team of 500+ employees. Its diverse portfolio includes Opera Browser, Opera Mini, Opera GX, and Opera News. The company operates through four segments: Browser and Search, Advertising, AI-driven Content Discovery, and Fintech (Opera Pay). Opera's growth strategy focuses on emerging markets, AI enhancements, advertising expansion, and fintech development.
◉ Investment Advice
💡 Buy Opera Limited NASDAQ:OPRA
● Buy Range - 16.8 - 17.8
● Sell Target - 23.5 - 24.5
● Potential Return - 33% - 38%
● Approx Holding Period - 12-15 months
◉ Revenue Breakdown (FY23)
● Total Revenue: For the full year 2023, Opera reported total revenue of $396.83 million, up from $331.04 million in 2022, marking a 20% year-over-year growth.
● Advertising Revenue: Advertising revenue constituted approximately 59% of total revenue, amounting to around $234 million. This segment grew by 24% year-over-year, driven by the success of the Opera Ads platform and browser monetization strategies.
● Search Revenue: Search revenue accounted for about 15% of total revenue, totaling approximately $60 million, with a growth rate of 15% year-over-year. This growth is attributed to targeting users with higher monetization potential, particularly in Western markets.
● Technology Licensing and Other Revenue: This segment represents a smaller portion of the overall revenue, contributing roughly $0.1 million, reflecting the company’s ongoing efforts to monetize its technology beyond its core browser offerings .
◉ Strengths & Weaknesses
The company has experienced significant growth and innovation in recent years. However, it also faces various challenges. Here’s a detailed analysis of its strengths and weaknesses:
● Strengths:
1. Innovative Features:
➖ Opera GX Gaming Browser: Tailored for gamers with CPU and RAM limiters, plus integrations with Twitch and Discord.
➖ Built-in Ad Blocker: Improves browsing speed by blocking ads and tracking cookies.
➖ Free VPN: Enhances privacy by encrypting traffic and hiding IP addresses, allowing access to region-restricted content.
2. Diverse Revenue Streams: Revenue comes from multiple sources, including advertising (about 59%) and search (around 15%), providing financial stability.
3. Financial Growth: Consistent revenue growth, reaching $397 million in 2023, with positive projections for 2024.
4. Strategic Partnerships: Collaborations with major tech companies enhance service offerings and market reach.
● Weaknesses:
1. Limited Market Share: Holds only about 2.4% of the global web browser market, significantly trailing competitors like Google Chrome.
2. Heavy Dependence on Browsers: About 82% of revenue comes from web browsers, making the company vulnerable to shifts in user preferences and market trends.
3. Regulatory Vulnerability: Risks associated with changes in affiliate marketing regulations and data protection laws could impact revenue.
4. Technical Challenges: Users report stability issues and bugs that affect overall experience.
◉ Technical Aspects
● Weekly Chart
➖ In July 2023, the stock peaked at around the 27 level but then encountered considerable selling pressure, leading to a drop towards the 10 level.
➖ Following an extensive period of consolidation, the price has recently achieved a breakthrough and is trending upwards.
● Daily Chart
➖ The daily chart reveals the formation of an Inverted Head & Shoulders pattern.
➖ After a recent breakout, the stock price is currently consolidating just above the breakout level, with expectations of future increases.
◉ Technical Indicators
1. RSI (Daily Chart)
➖ Current RSI of this stock is 66.42, which indicates the strength of buyers.
2. ADX & DI (Daily Chart)
➖ Increasing ADX value above 20, indicated the strength of the trend, thereby uptrending ADX confirms the bullish or bearish supportive decisions. Along with the rising ADX, and the +DI is above (or crossing) -DI, indicates the long trades should be favoured.
3. MFI (Daily Chart)
➖ The current MFI is 59.04, suggesting that the stock is not in an overbought state.
4. EMA’s (Daily Chart)
➖ The stock price is currently positioned above all key EMAs, indicating robust momentum.
◉ Relative Strength
➖ The chart highlights Opera's impressive outperformance of the Nasdaq Composite index, driven by a substantial 50% annual return.
◉ Revenue and Profit Analysis
● Year-over-Year
➖ Opera Limited reported strong financial performance in fiscal year 2023, with revenue reaching $396.8 million, representing a 20% increase from $331 million in fiscal year 2022.
➖ The company's EBITDA also saw significant growth, rising 35% to $69.2 million from $51.2 million in the prior year, while the EBITDA margin expanded to 17.4% from 15.5%.
● Quarter-over-Quarter
➖ Opera Limited's quarterly performance ending September 2024 was equally impressive, with revenue climbing 12% to $123.2 million from $109.7 million in the preceding quarter and 21% from $102 million in the same quarter last year.
➖ Additionally, EBITDA increased 5% to $27.3 million, and diluted earnings per share (LTM) edged up to $1.78 from $1.75 in the previous quarter.
◉ Valuation
1. P/E Ratio
● Current P/E vs. Peer Average P/E
➖ Analyzing the P/E ratio reveals that OPRA stands at 10.1x, highlighting a substantial undervaluation when compared to the peer average of 66.5x.
● Current P/E vs. Industry Average P/E
➖ Within the US software sector, OPRA's P/E ratio of 10.1x is markedly lower than the industry average of 41.9x, signaling that it is relatively inexpensive.
2. P/B Ratio
● Current P/B vs. Peer Average P/B
➖ Examining the P/B ratio, OPRA's current figure of 1.8x falls short of the peer average of 5.5x, indicating a relative undervaluation.
● Current P/B vs. Industry Average P/B
➖ When juxtaposed with the industry average, OPRA's P/B ratio of 1.8x points to a notable undervaluation, as the industry average stands at 3.7x.3.7x.
3. PEG Ratio
➖ A PEG ratio of 0.07 implies that the stock is undervalued in relation to its anticipated earnings growth.
◉ Cash Flow Analysis
➖ In the fiscal year 2023, operational cash flow saw impressive growth, soaring to $82.8 million, a significant rise from the $56.7 million recorded in fiscal year 2022.
◉ Debt Analysis
➖ The company proudly maintains a completely debt-free status, showcasing its strong financial health.
◉ Top Shareholders
➖ Arrowstreet Capital's stake in the company stands at 1.23%, indicating a 4.9% reduction in holdings from the prior quarter.
◉ Analyst Price Target
➖ The 12-month consensus price target for Opera stands at $24.20, implying a substantial potential appreciation of 32% from current levels, presenting an attractive investment opportunity.
◉ Conclusion
Opera's attractive valuation and impressive financial performance make it a compelling investment opportunity. However, the company's financial outlook is not without challenges. Market uncertainty and unforeseen events pose risks, while its e-commerce monetization efforts remain vulnerable to market volatility and competition. Additionally, Opera operates in a highly competitive browser market, where intense rivalry could impact user engagement, retention, and revenue. Despite these challenges, the industry's significant growth prospects support a positive outlook, driven by Opera's strengths and resilience, making it an attractive investment choice.
Solana Soars Close to Record: What Could Drive Prices in 2025?Crypto markets are betting big on Solana — the Ethereum rival pressed higher even as the broader digital-asset market pulled back last week. Now Solana needs a few stars to align so it could rocket to a fresh all-time high, surpassing its 2021 record of $260. And by the common consensus, record territory could be a few sessions away while a fuller, hulking dominance could be on the cards for 2025.
Solana SOLUSD is on a roll. Early on Tuesday, Solana neared its record high of $260 set back in 2021 when crypto bros were going all in on their favorite coins (birthing some meme coins in the process.)
The Solana token, which runs on the layer-1 blockchain of the same name, shot up to $245, staging a monster recovery from $8 a piece back in January 2023 when crypto markets were reeling from the fabulous implosion of Sam Bankman-Fried’s crypto exchange FTX and its sister company, trading house Alameda Research. (SBF was an early buyer of Solana, scooping it up for as low as 20 cents.)
Now Solana is no longer associated with the fallen crypto mogul who’s serving a 25-year prison sentence. Instead, the digital coin is running free and carving out its own reputation. And fast. Almost as fast as its ability to process transactions on the blockchain.
Solana is touted as a faster and cheaper alternative to Ethereum ETHUSD , the second-largest coin with a valuation of $375 billion. That’s some $260 billion more than Solana’s own market cap of about $115 billion.
Still, Solana’s gains outshine these of Ethereum:
Solana year-to-date gains: 142%
Ethereum year-to-date gains: 40%
Bitcoin year-to-date gains: 107%
Solana’s performance hinges on three very different sets of circumstances:
Its ability to handle the technical workload as a payment processor
Its infrastructure capacity for building up various projects
Its appeal as an investment asset (or why you’re here)
On the first one — payment processor — Solana boasts lightning-fast transactions to the tune of 50,000 per second. Ethereum? That’s about 15 to 45 transactions per second. Visa? A wide range between 1,500 and 65,000 (depends who you’re asking.) And Bitcoin gets you about 2 to 7 transactions per second (but no one really cares about this.)
With breakneck speed, Solana is shaping up as a worthy opponent to traditional payment processors, flexing high volumes in a decentralized environment.
On the second one — building grounds for projects — Solana is considered the go-to place to launch meme tokens based on dogs, cats and even politicians and business people. It has been handling these pretty well, considering the massive influx of dog-themed and Elon Musk-themed tokens.
On the third one — investing and trading — Solana is staring into exciting prospects for 2025. The cryptocurrency might get its own US spot exchange-traded fund soon and traders are buzzing from excitement. A Solana-based spot ETF could be a reality as soon as 2025 (most likely after Securities and Exchange Commission boss Gary Gensler gets fired.) Only two other cryptocurrencies have been granted permission to strut down the traditional ETF pathway — eleven Bitcoin ETFs and nine Ethereum ETFs .
Now that Donald Trump has secured another four years in the White House, the crypto industry expects big things to come its way.
The President-elect has embraced digital assets and even announced his own crypto gig — a Bitcoin strategic reserve . Which was shortly after complemented by the cost-cutting DOGE department led by Elon Musk.
All in all, Washington is expected to be super friendly to crypto, especially after large industry players such as Andreessen Horowitz and Coinbase spent $135 million backing more than 50 Congress candidates, most of them winning seats.
Where do you think Solana is heading next? Do you see lots of bullish momentum going into 2025? Or maybe you’re more inclined to believe it’ll come crashing down? Let us know your thoughts in the comments below!
The TradingView Show: Post-Election Trades with TradeStationJoin us for our recurring series as we dive deep into the latest market movements, emerging trends, and key financial news with @TradeStation. This monthly show is designed to keep traders and investors up to date on the developments that truly move the markets. Don’t forget to explore our comprehensive video library on our profile—scroll back to catch past episodes, and follow our TradingView account to stay in the loop.
In this episode, we’ll provide actionable insights and educational resources for new traders, including charting tips and an introduction to market dynamics.
Here’s what we’ll be covering this time:
- A detailed analysis of NVIDIA’s earnings and what they mean for tech and semiconductor stocks
- How rising interest rates are influencing market sentiment and trading strategies
- Post-election trades: positioning for the rest of the year
- End-of-year trading opportunities: sectors and stocks to watch
- A look at the energy sector and how oil prices are affecting energy stocks
- Insights into the banking sector’s recent breakout and its potential impact
- Key ratio charts to help inform your strategy
- And much more!
Our live show airs monthly, welcoming traders of all experience levels to join the conversation, ask questions, and gain insights into what’s moving the markets. We encourage you to engage—leave comments, share your thoughts, and spread the word with fellow traders!
This show is sponsored by TradeStation. TradeStation pursues a singular vision to offer the ultimate online trading platform and services for self-directed traders and investors across the equities, equity index options, futures, and futures options markets. Equities, equities options, and commodity futures products and services are offered by TradeStation Securities Inc., member NYSE, FINRA, CME, and SIPC.
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Euro can reach seller zone and then start to decline to 1.0450Hello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. Observing the chart, we can see how the price traded inside the range, where it at once rebounded from the top part and started to decline to the resistance level, which coincided with the resistance zone. Later, EUR entered to this area, where it reached the bottom part of the range and some time traded near, after which started to grow to the top part of the range. Also, when the price rose, it made a gap and after it reached the top part of the range, the EUR turned around and made impulse down. Price exited from the range broke the 1.0805 resistance level, and continued to decline inside the wedge. In this pattern, the price first rose to the resistance area and tried to break the 1.0805 level, but failed and continued to decline to the 1.0600 current resistance level. Soon, the price broke this level too and fell to the support line of the wedge, after which a not long time ago rebounded up. Now, the price trying to exit from the wedge, so, in my mind, the Euro can reach the seller zone and then turn around and start to decline. For this case, I set my TP at 1.0450 points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Ripple XRP 11-years Super Cycle Is Coming to End!Hello, Skyrexians!
Couple of days ago BITSTAMP:XRPUSD has awaken after 4 years of consolidation. This growth can cause euphoria for XRP holders. Is it pump real or price will go down as usual? Today we will try to give answer in our global forecast.
Let's take a look at the monthly time frame. We can see that the first wave has been finished in early 2013, more than 10 years ago. After that we saw correction and legendary wave 3 which has been finished with the red dot on Bullish/Bearish Reversal Bar Indicator . Last 4 years price is moving sideways, we can interpret it as a correction in wave 4 in shape of triangle. Yesterday this triangle has been broken finishing this correction!
In our opinion XPR now is in the last wave 5 in this first global super cycle. Target for this wave is between $2.5 and $3.8. The second target is more likely because wave 5 in 90% of cases set the higher high than wave 3. We want also you to notice the bullish reversal bar and green dot on the indicator at the end of the subway C. On the monthly time frame this is the strong bullish sign which will likely lead the price to the final target.
Best regards,
Skyrexio Team
___________________________________________________________
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BUY SILVER (XAGUSD) - Price action entry strategy explainedTrader Tom, a technical analyst with over 15 years’ experience, explains his trade idea using price action and a top down approach. This is one of many trades so if you would like to see more then please follow us and hit the boost button.
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QNTUSDT Is a Bullish Breakout or Bearish Fakeout—What’s Next?Yello, Paradisers! Is #QNTUSDT gearing up for a powerful rally, or could we be on the brink of a deeper pullback? Here's what you need to know:
💎#QNT has shown signs of bullish strength by breaking above a key resistance level, which has now been retested as support. If the price continues to respect this support, it could signal a bullish continuation. The next critical step for confirmation is a break above $95.6, followed by a daily candle close above this level. If this happens, we could see QNT pushing toward its major resistance target in the next leg upward.
💎If the support fails to hold, there’s a risk of a fakeout, with QNT potentially dropping toward the $70 demand zone. This level is crucial for sustaining any bullish momentum. A rebound from here would be necessary to reclaim the support at $82, allowing the bullish scenario to remain in play.
💎Should QNT break below the $70 demand zone and close beneath it on the daily chart, it would invalidate the bullish outlook. This could lead to further downward pressure and a deeper correction in the coming sessions.
Remember, Paradisers, the market is a game of probabilities, not certainties. Always trade with clear confirmations, and never let emotions dictate your strategy. Play it smart and stay disciplined!
MyCryptoParadise
iFeel the success🌴
Double Top on Tech?Technology stocks had a strong first half but could be ending the year on a weak note. Is the sector finally losing its leadership?
Today’s chart of the SPDR Select Sector Technology Fund highlights the July 10 closing high of $237.68. XLK stalled around that same level a week ago, resulting in a potential double top on the fund.
Second, prices have slipped below October's closing high of $233.73. That stands in contrast with other big sectors like Communications, Financials and Consumer Discretionaries.
Third, relative strength in the lower study shows fading leadership in technology versus the broader market.
We end with a look at Nvidia NASDAQ:NVDA , which has been a major driver of the sector this year. Notice the sharply rising lower trendline and the higher trendline with less of an upward slope. That kind of rising wedge is a potential reversal pattern.
It could also raise the stakes headed into NVDA’s big earnings report after the closing bell next Wednesday, November 20.
Standardized Performances for the ETF mentioned above:
SPDR Select Sector Technology ETF (XLK)
1-year: +35.50%
5-years: +165.61%
10-year: +448.20%
(As of October 31, 2024)
Exchange Traded Funds ("ETFs") are subject to management fees and other expenses. Before making investment decisions, investors should carefully read information found in the prospectus or summary prospectus, if available, including investment objectives, risks, charges, and expenses. Click here to find the prospectus.
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Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options or futures); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Online trading is not suitable for all investors. View the document titled Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options at www.TradeStation.com . Before trading any asset class, customers must read the relevant risk disclosure statements on www.TradeStation.com . System access and trade placement and execution may be delayed or fail due to market volatility and volume, quote delays, system and software errors, Internet traffic, outages and other factors.
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Mercedes-Benz group AG- An opportunity to buy/Average down.Hello,
Today we will be looking at a buy opportunity from Mercedes solely using the tools available on Tradingview.
Mercedes-Benz Group AG engages in the business of manufacturing and distributing premium cars. It operates through the following segments: Mercedes-Benz Cars, Mercedes-Benz Vans, and Mercedes-Benz Mobility. The Mercedes-Benz Cars segment includes the brands Mercedes-AMG, Mercedes-Maybach, and Mercedes-EQ. All this is found in overview section www.tradingview.com
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS- Checklist
Structure drawing (Trend line drawing on past price chart data)
Patterns identification (Naming patterns on past price chart data for future wave)- The stock has corrected and is at the bottom of a flat pattern
Future indication (Reading indicator for future wave)- The indicator is confirming purchase. Zero crossover on MACD soon. (MACD) is a technical indicator to help investors identify entry points for buying or selling
Future wave (Drawing on future price chart using future indication from indicator)- Future wave as shown
Future reversal point (Identifying trend reversal point on price chart using structure)- Target price EUR 76 (A good stock to buy/average down)
Key highlights from the Mercedes-Benz Group's Q3 2024 interim report
Revenue: €34.5 billion in Q3 2024, a 7% decrease compared to Q3 2023. For the first nine months, revenue totalled €107.14 billion, down by 5%.
Net Profit: €1.7 billion in Q3, down by 54%, and €7.7 billion over nine months, a 31% reduction.
Mercedes-Benz Cars: Unit sales were down by 1% to 503,600 vehicles in Q3. Electrified vehicle sales fell by 15%, and BEV sales dropped by 31%.
Mercedes-Benz Vans: Sales declined by 13% to 91,100 units in Q3. Electrified van sales also decreased by 31%.
Mercedes-Benz Mobility: New financing and leasing contracts fell by 14% compared to Q3 2023
R&D expenditure increased by 13% to €2.9 billion in Q3, with a focus on digitalization and electrification
Company highlights can be found on the statements section or the news flow section www.tradingview.com
Next earnings report date: February 13, 2025 (Q4 report 2024) The next earnings date can be found for each company www.tradingview.com
Opportunities
Mercedes-Benz is a globally recognized and respected brand in premium and luxury automobiles, giving it some resilience against fluctuations in car sales.
The company’s strong focus on research and development, especially in electric powertrains, positions it well for growth as clean-air regulations continue to tighten worldwide.
Management’s long-term goals for return on sales indicate that there is opportunity for further growth, suggesting potential upside to valuation.
Risks to consider
The global premium car market is highly competitive, and consumers have many choices, making it easy for them to switch between brands.
The auto industry faces increasing global overcapacity, leading to pricing pressure. Given its capital-intensive nature, achieving strong economic returns over a 10-year period remains challenging.
While Mercedes has maintained good union relations with its German workforce, union influence is substantial, with employees electing half of the supervisory board members. This strong union presence can limit profit margins due to wage demands during prosperous times and work rules that reduce flexibility in manufacturing.
Our recommendation
Since November 2021, Mercedes-Benz stock has traded in a sideways range between EUR 52 and EUR 76. Despite this, the company remains a globally recognized premium and luxury brand. This positioning continues to provide resilience against high sales fluctuations, making it a standout in the competitive global luxury car market. Mercedes-Benz Cars continue to face weaker macroeconomic conditions and fierce competition, mainly in Asia. The company is actively undertaking a share buyback. In Q4 2024 the Mercedes-Benz Group opened Europe’s first battery recycling factory in Kuppenheim, southern Germany. Valuable, limited raw materials such as lithium, nickel and cobalt can be recovered and are to be used to manufacture new battery cells for Mercedes-Benz vehicles. This buyback, along with the company’s strong positioning and stock’s trading range, presents a potential buying opportunity with a target price of EUR 76 despite the weak Q3 results. Our recommendation is buy/Average down. Mercedes-Benz’s commitment to research and development, particularly in electric powertrains, positions it advantageously for growth amid tightening clean-air regulations worldwide.
Goodluck & all the best.
Is Bitcoin on the Verge of a Major Crash? Warning Signs Ahead!👀👉 Bitcoin (BTC) has recently surged to all-time highs, but is the rally about to reverse? On the 1M monthly timeframe, a key horizontal resistance level is flashing warning signals. BTC appears heavily overbought, and the trend shows clear signs of overextension.
📉 Using advanced trading concepts like Wyckoff theory and ICT methodology, this video breaks down:
- How historical price action reveals similar overextended moves that led to significant pullbacks.
- Why the Fibonacci tool suggests a potential retracement to equilibrium after a parabolic price swing.
- The lack of smart money accumulation since the last major price breakout, signaling potential vulnerabilities.
🔍 We’ll examine two key scenarios:
1. Bearish Opportunity: If price action breaks structure and takes out existing range lows, it could signal a deeper correction.
2. Bullish Opportunity: If BTC trades into a discounted zone below equilibrium, this could present a strong buy opportunity for longer-term positioning.
📊 This analysis is for educational purposes only and highlights the importance of managing risk in a market known for its volatility. Past performance is no guarantee of future results—trade wisely and always assess your risk tolerance!
👉 Don’t miss this critical breakdown. Learn how to read the charts like a pro and prepare for what’s next in Bitcoin’s journey!📊
Tesla's Next Move: Will 360 Be the Target, or Are We Going LowerGood evening, trading family.
Tesla is at an exciting crossroads, and we’re keeping a close eye on the key levels ahead. Let’s break it down:
Upside Potential:
325: First step if the market pushes upward.
338: A critical resistance—breaking this could lead to 360+.
Downside Risks:
298: A potential level for support if we pull back.
287: A deeper support level if selling continues.
At the MindBloome Exchange, we care about your success. Trade what you see, stay patient, and let the levels guide you.
Kris / Mindbloome Trading
AUD/USD Reaches New Low: Technicals Highlight Bearish TrendThe AUD/USD pair has sunk below 0.65000, hitting a low of 0.64529, reflecting a persistent bearish trend for the Australian dollar. This decline aligns with the strong US dollar index at 106.4 amidst robust post-election performance. The RBA's steady interest rate at 4.35% and lackluster employment growth in Australia indicate ongoing economic pressures that may limit the Aussie’s recovery. Meanwhile, anticipated rate cuts by the Fed could introduce USD vulnerabilities, adding complexity to the pair's future trajectory. Traders should closely monitor economic indicators and central bank policies in both regions for potential market shifts.
The TradingView Show: Strategy Session with OKX Product PartnerWelcome, TradingViewers! 🚀
Get ready for an exciting and educational live stream designed to empower traders of all levels! In this broadcast, we’ll dive deep into markets starting with a top down research process, looking at the macro picture first, then zooming in to the moves that are shaping markets right now. We'll also dive into Pine Script, the election, recent moves as the year comes to an end, and much more.
Our partner OKX has brought on one of their product partners to walk our audience through the charts. Remember: OKX is a partner and integrated broker of ours. Connect your OKX account to your TradingView account to get started by clicking the Trading Panel below the chart.
Here’s what we’ll cover:
1. Top-Down Market Research: Start with a macro view of the markets and learn how to break down the big picture to make better, more informed trading decisions.
2. Crypto Market Updates: Get the latest insights and analysis on cryptocurrencies and what’s driving the market right now.
3. Pine Script Deep Dive: Learn how to leverage Pine Script to enhance your trading strategies and build custom indicators on TradingView.
4. Trading the Election & Year-End Moves: Understand how political events and seasonal market shifts are influencing price action as we approach the end of the year.
5. Live Q&A: Have your trading questions answered in real time by industry experts, and get tailored advice to level up your trading skills.
Follow OKX on TradingView here: www.tradingview.com
Sit back, ask questions, and enjoy the show! Please note: This show is only for education and entertainment.
XAU/USD : CPI is coming, Bull or Bear ?Analyzing the #Gold chart on the 4-hour timeframe, we can see that after entering the highlighted demand zone, gold has delivered a return of over 270 pips so far and is currently trading around $2611.
It’s important to note that today we have the CPI data release, which could significantly impact gold prices. If the CPI figures come in higher than expected, we’re likely to see further declines in gold, and vice versa if the data comes in lower.
Key demand zones remain at $2586-$2593 and $2555-$2562, while important supply zones are $2610, $2619-$2626, and $2643. Additionally, the recent sharp declines in gold have created several liquidity gaps, marked in purple on the chart, which are expected to be filled in the medium term as the price recovers.
Stay cautious and keep an eye on these levels, as well as the CPI announcement, for potential trading opportunities!
The Last Analysis :
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Best Regards , Arman Shaban
AUD/USD sinks to new lows as focus shifts to Aussie jobs dataWhether you’re talking price action or momentum, AUD/USD looks terrible on the daily, taking out the intersection of the US election lows and downtrend support with ease on Wednesday.
Momentum is with the bears; RSI (14) has cut its uptrend like a hot knife through butter while MACD has crossed over from above, confirming the bearish signal. Selling rips and bearish breaks may prove more successful than buying dips in this environment.
The short setup would be to sell here or wait for a potential squeeze towards .6513 as traders anticipate another stellar labour force report – there have been plenty of those recently. That would allow for a tight stop to be placed above the level, providing appealing risk-reward for those targeting a retest of key uptrend support at .6375.
The last time the Aussie interacted with the level during the Japanese market meltdown of August, it resulted in significant bullish reversal, underlining its technical importance. As such, it looms as an obvious target.
Good luck!
DS
What if the USD rally is only just getting started?The USD rally has entered its seventh week and continues to defy its seasonal tendency to weaken in Q4. And that is simply because the macro backdrop 'Trumps' its average performance this time of the year. Today I take a step back to admire the bigger-picture view of the USD index, to show why I think this rally could still just be getting started.
MS
Verizon: Weak in a Strong MarketThe S&P 500 just had its biggest weekly rally in a year, but Verizon Communications didn’t participate. Are the bears moving in?
The first pattern on today’s chart is the trio of drops following the last three quarterly reports. Those may reflect weakening sentiment towards the telecom’s fundamentals.
Second, VZ peaked below $45.55 in late September. That was a long-term low from May 2022, which may suggest old support has become new resistance.
Next, VZ has chopped around its 2023 high of $42.58 but is now below it. That could be a sign of resistance taking hold.
Fourth, last week’s slide below the 200-day simple moving average could mark an end to its longer-term uptrend.
Finally, MACD is falling.
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Dogecoin Outpaces Bitcoin with 180% Post-Election Boom. When $1?In a much-wow fashion, Dogecoin DOGEUSD broke out of the pack with a 180% post-election rally. It did way better than Bitcoin BTCUSD . But what’s really behind the speculative gains and is there more room for growth? Like, say, can Dogecoin hit $1? It’s a possibility. Let’s dig into it.
We’ve all heard about Bitcoin BTCUSD — the orange coin that shook up the fabric of global financial markets and rewired how we think about money and investments. But a small yet mighty cryptocurrency is befriending the small yet ambitious trader.
Dogecoin DOGEUSD , the people’s digital asset and Elon Musk’s favorite coin, has posted some howling returns after Election Day vaulted Donald Trump to the top job in American politics. The Shiba Inu-themed coin has soared 180% since November 5, outperforming the big guy Bitcoin with its 30% rise for the same time span.
How did that happen? It’s mostly Elon Musk and his lofty aspirations for Dogecoin. “Supporting Doge wherever possible,” the Tesla boss said back in 2022. Conveniently placed front and center for the meme-loving crowds, this iconic meme token is easy to scoop up in boatloads, empowering retail investors with a feeling of accomplishment. Dogecoin’s price was last seen floating near 40 cents, up from 15 cents before the election result.
Bitcoin, on the other hand, is priced at just under $90,000 , powering higher in a record-setting run, and that makes it look much less affordable and less likely to appeal to retail traders. But looking at the plain price tag is misleading without factoring in the market cap, which shows you how much the token is worth.
In Dogecoin’s case, the 40 cents translate to something big. It’s no joke. Even though the sole purpose of Dogecoin was to be a joke. Back in 2013, Dogecoin was created as a satirical homage to Bitcoin. But if that coin back then had a puppy-like valuation of a couple millions, today it’s a $60 billion unleashed beast that's ready to chew up and spit out your portfolio. It holds about 2% dominance of the overall crypto market cap and it's worth more than Ford F , which churns out annual revenue of $180 billion and boasts a 121-year history.
Now digital-asset enthusiasts, especially the Dogecoiners around, are pinning their hopes on the iconic duo in the making — Donald Trump and Elon Musk. The two billionaires have apparently teamed up for the good of the crypto industry. Long story short — traders are betting on a crypto boom under President-elect Donald Trump.
And Dogecoin might get pulled into the mix. Elon Musk has already openly stated he’d be happy to get involved with politics. But not just any politics. DOGE politics. And it’s official — Trump said late Tuesday he’s tapping Elon Musk to lead a new department aptly called Department of Government Efficiency, or DOGE. The Tesla CEO will be joined by Republican presidential candidate Strive Asset Management co-founder Vivek Ramaswamy.
“I am pleased to announce that the Great Elon Musk, working in conjunction with American Patriot Vivek Ramaswamy, will lead the Department of Government Efficiency (“DOGE”),” Trump said in the announcement , posted on his social media platform Truth Social.
The duo is teaming up to “pave the way for my Administration to dismantle Government Bureaucracy, slash excess regulations, cut wasteful expenditures, and restructure Federal Agencies,” the President-elect added.
All actions of the Department of Government Efficiency will be posted online for maximum transparency,” Musk said on his X platform . “Anytime the public thinks we are cutting something important or not cutting something wasteful, just let us know! We will also have a leaderboard for the most insanely dumb spending of your tax dollars. This will be both extremely tragic and extremely entertaining 🤣🤣”
Given Musk’s unfaltering devotion to Dogecoin, it’s not unrealistic to predict a function for his beloved token in the newly-whipped-up department. In this context, a $1 price tag, according to many crypto faithful, might actually come to fruition at some point in the foreseeable future, propelling the cryptocurrency to a $130 billion market cap.
But with all that hype, it could be difficult to go beyond the chatter and think clearly. And on the flip side, it may look easy to buy a dog-themed coin and retrieve some of those gains you see on the screen. Be careful, though — chasing down that game could lead to Great Dane-gers.
Do you own any Doge? Or are you looking to buy if you’ve missed out on the red-hot beast-mode rally? Share your thoughts below and let’s spin up the discussion!
Gold soybean oil Monday Friday I posted that the goal was likely to go lower because the market Gap lower and even though the market went higher from its low it couldn't close the gap and that tells me that the markets likely to go to new lows even though it might temporarily shows some buying Behavior. that's what it did and it went even a few $1000 lower since the close of Friday and it still might go lower since there's no evidence of buyers even though the market is at a support resistance line. I think the unrealized drawdown from the high is 20,000 or so dollars and that does not make this Market bearish and if it goes lower as I suspect it will go lower.the market is Trading with significant volatility and expansion and that means the market is going to have bigger moves when it moves higher and bigger moves when it moves lower compared to markets that have very little volatility and very small range. I did not address this in the video because the video was on the laborious side.... sorry about that. it satis support resistance line, it has not closed an important Gap lower.... so it could go higher or lower but I think it's probably going to go lower. and a good portion of that analysis is that gold has been so bullish for a significant. Of time..... I think the sellers are ultimately going to push this a little bit lower and this can be very profitable for the smart money because the market is going to take out some of the late buyers who like to trade all-time highs which is a very difficult way to make money because this pattern suggests that a lot of people who were break out buyers are in trouble with their long trades because they got in to late. now if you have a lot of money and you think the markets going to find buyers and make new highs... maybe you can hold out and maintain your long position but if you got into this Market on the Breakout move higher and you're down $25,000 per contract because you were just too late.... it just think how you're going to feel if it goes down another $25,000 before it starts turning and going higher
