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My UNH Thesis: Betting on a Healthcare Giant's Come BackThe healthcare sector has been in decline, which creates interesting opportunities. I recently talked about a few pharma plays - Eli Lilly, Novo Nordisk, and Pfizer. Here's why I'm investing in NYSE:UNH : UnitedHealth Group (UNH) has tanked ~50% in the past year, but the July 29 (VERY SOON) earnings could flip the script. As a historically dominant player, UNH is now undervalued amid sector weakness, offering massive upside if regulatory fears ease. Here's my full bull case. 👇 FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS Why the Sell-Off? A Perfect Storm of Bad News UNH crushed the market for 15 straight years (2009-2023) with positive returns, predictable EPS growth, and 134% gains over the last decade. But 2024 brought chaos: Feb: Massive cyber attack caused a one-time EPS hit (non-recurring). Ongoing: DOJ antitrust probe, criminal fraud investigation, rising Medicare costs, and Optum losses. April: Disastrous Q1 earnings miss + lowered guidance. Leadership drama: CEO death. This erased gains (down 7% over 5 years), amplified by healthcare sector outflows—the biggest since 2020. But is this overblown? Signs point to yes. The markets almost always overreact to bad news. Bullish Signals: Insiders Betting Big The tide is turning: Insider Buying Boom: $32M+ in 2024 (vs. $6.6M in 2019), including new CEO/CFO—highest in 15 years. Congress Buying: Q2 2024 saw net purchases for the first time in 5 years (vs. historical selling). DOJ Shift: Probe refocusing on pharmacy benefits (PBM) unit, dropping acquisition/monopoly scrutiny—implies no major findings. Great news! Sector Tailwinds: Healthcare is one of 3 S&P sectors below historical valuations. Super investors (usually tech-obsessed) are piling in, despite the sector's -10% YTD vs. S&P's +13%. Plus, UNH's dividend yield is at a record ~3% (vs. 1.5% avg), with 16%+ historical growth and 100%+ free cash flow conversion. Rare combo of yield + growth! Valuation: Screaming Buy? UNH trades at PE ~11.9 (vs. 10-year avg 23)—a steal. Analysts project 16.7% EPS CAGR through 2029. Conservative Scenario: 16.5% EPS growth + PE to 16.5 = $780/share by 2030 (173% total return, 18% CAGR ex-dividends). Optimistic: PE back to 23 = $1,084/share (280% return). Models confirm: DCF (8% FCF growth): ~$484/share (70% upside). DDM (7% div growth): ~$607/share (112% upside). Blended Fair Value: ~$545/share (75-90% upside from ~$300). Buy below $436 for 20% safety margin. Still, there is fear of DOJ uncertainty—investors hate unpredictability and that's why the stock is so low. Key Catalyst: July 29 Earnings This could be UNH's "most important report ever." Watch for: Regulatory/legal updates (DOJ progress). Full-year guidance revisions. Metrics like medical loss ratio and PBM performance. Positive news = potential rocket 🚀. Expectations are low (20 bearish EPS revisions vs. 0 bullish), so a beat could spark volatility... upward. Risks: Not Without Bumps Regulatory escalation (e.g., PBM issues) could tank it further. Short-term headwinds: Medicare costs, sector selling. Mitigants: DOJ de-risking, strong FCF buffer, insider confidence. Enter cautiously—size positions small. TECHNICAL ANALYSIS I also did a little technical analysis: UNH price is at a resistance level My EVaR indicator tells me we are in a low-risk area RSI says the stock is oversold I added the different price targets for better visualization THE PLAN My plan: Later today, I will allocate 1% to 1.5% of my portfolio to the stock. If it drops, I will continue to DCA. The stock is already really beaten down, and I think a company this large cannot drop much more. Quick note: I'm just sharing my journey - not financial advice! 😊
NYSE:UNHLong
by HenriqueCentieiro
11
How to navigate the Amazonian Squeeze. AMZNHello I am the Cafe Trader. This week has been a deep dive on the MAG 7 and today AMZN is up next. We are going to look at long term and short term opportunities. We are near the All Time Highs, with one final Seller to get through before making the break. Today we tested to see if those sellers are there still (and indeed they are). Today was a key reaction, I'm going to give you the keys to profit. Long Term It's important to consider how aggressive you would like to be with pricing. This list of prices should align with your conviction with Amazon. Aggressive: $226 is where the current aggressive players are sitting. They are going to look to buy again at this level, although they should be the weakest of the buyers. Fair sentiment: 203-210 is where stronger buyers are sitting. I think this price is still realistic to get to. Conservative: 161 - 171 Is a great price, buyers have shown to buy this with extreme demand. Amazon at this price is a fantastic purchase, if you are holding from here or lower, congradulations. Short term Testing the supply and rejecting tells us that sellers are still really active in this zone. We will see how tomorrow closes, if we do not close in the supply zone, there is a good chance that net week will have some bearish winds and a great chance of testing the light demand at 226. this brings us to the two trading ideas. 1 Green line I think we will test those sellers by next week. and i think its very possible that we break trend and touch the light demand line. If its a slow drag down to the light demand, Shorts will have to cover as soon as any real demand shows up (Light Demand Line). Entry 226.50 Stop 221.50 Partial TP 233, or you can hold for a test of the highs (242 would suffice) 2 Red Line If we get a Hot reaction from the supply zone, or if we close below 233.50 tomorrow, Look for a retest and short entry off the supply zone. If the reaction starts to be slow (more than 5 days of red bars) it's likely this will turn into the green scenario. Entry 233.5 Stop 237 Partial TP 226.5 Full TP 218 That's all for AMZN Follow for more! Also comment if you would like me to chart a stock you are considering. @thecafetrader
NASDAQ:AMZNLong
by thecafetrader
13
GBPUSD Traders Beware: A Major Drop Could Be ComingThe classic rule says what doesn’t go up must come down. After a failed breakout at 1.3439, GBPUSD is struggling. With longs sitting on big gains from January’s low, a drop toward 1.3361 or even lower looks likely. Watch this key level now. This content is not directed to residents of the EU or UK. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. ThinkMarkets will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.
Long
by ThinkMarkets
14
TradingView Show: Trade Ideas You Can't Miss with TradeStationJoin us for a timely TradingView live stream with David Russell, Head of Global Market Strategy at TradeStation, as we break down the latest rebound in the markets and what it could mean for traders and investors. In this session, we’ll dive into: - New sectors to watch, like homebuilders - Prior insights on companies like Coinbase and Micron - What trades are setting up, why, and educational concepts to plan for them - Upcoming economic news and more to have on your calendar - Key charts, indicators, and technical patterns to watch for signs of sustained momentum - Essential strategies for navigating market recoveries, corrections, and upcoming Federal Reserve decisions Bonus: Discover our latest broker integration update with TradeStation—now supporting equity options trading directly on TradingView. This upgrade brings advanced tools like the strategy builder, options chain sheet, and volatility analysis to your fingertips, making it easier to trade through uncertain market conditions. This session is sponsored by TradeStation, whose vision is to provide the ultimate online trading platform for self-directed traders and investors across equities, equity index options, futures, and futures options markets. Equities, equity options, and commodity futures services are offered by TradeStation Securities Inc., member NYSE, FINRA, CME, and SIPC.
NASDAQ:OPEN
by TradingView
5
Calling the Unthinkable: Why a Bitcoin Drop May Be ComingCOINBASE:BTCUSD BITSTAMP:BTCUSD OKX:BTCUSD BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P Predicting a drop in Bitcoin's price during a strong uptrend is extremely difficult and calling it takes real courage. It puts my credibility at risk, but based on everything I see, I believe BTC has reached dangerously high levels. From a psychological perspective , investor behavior is sending warning signs. There’s a rush of people buying in out of FOMO, amplified by heavy promotion on social media and mainstream claiming BTC is the safest investment out there. Many who missed earlier buying opportunities now regret betting on altcoins instead, and they see this as a last chance to profit. Even if BTC drops below their entry points, most of these “late buyers” won’t sell. They’ll convince themselves it’s just another minor correction like what happened in the previous 2 years, and that they’re in it for the long term. From a technical analysis point, the signs are just as concerning. A “ shooting star ” candle has formed on the weekly chart. This candle is often seen at market tops. The MACD histogram on the same timeframe is showing a potential divergence, suggesting weakening momentum. The Fear and Greed Index is approaching 70, indicating strong market greed. On top of that, traders are opening high-leverage long positions in anticipation of another big bullish candle. These technical and psychological signals combined paint a risky picture. If this kind of setup is confirmed , it will lead to sharp corrections.
Short
by Monstralian
43
A Sleeping Giant in the Energy Sector?While everyone’s chasing the next hot AI stock, a quiet opportunity might be taking shape in the energy sector; and it could be a big one. 🔋 As AI data centers explode in size and number, the demand on our power grid is rising fast. Nuclear is still years away, and renewables are struggling to scale in time. That leaves oil and gas as the most reliable players; and one U.S. company may be perfectly positioned to ride that wave. 📊 Technical Analysis NASDAQ:PROP PROP has been in a steady downtrend, moving within a falling wedge pattern (marked in green). Right now, it’s retesting the bottom of that wedge, typically where things get oversold. Even more interesting, PROP bounced off a major monthly demand zone last week, a signal that buyers may be stepping in. In the short term, if the blue demand zone holds, we could see a push toward the $7 mark, which lines up with the top of the wedge. But to really confirm a medium-term reversal, we’ll need a clean break above the $8.3 resistance. If that happens, the door could open to a rally toward $15, a key level from early 2024. 🛢️ Why PROP? A Hidden Play With Room to Run Prairie Operating Co. (NASDAQ: PROP) isn’t your typical small-cap oil stock. They own 65,000 acres in Colorado’s DJ Basin and use modern drilling tech to stay lean and efficient. That means they can still make money even when oil prices dip. As energy demand continues to climb, PROP could be sitting in the sweet spot , especially with the world so focused on tech stocks. But behind every AI boom is a growing energy need, and companies like PROP are the ones powering it. One well-known Wall Street firm recently gave PROP a Buy rating with a $21.75 price target; that’s a potential 281% upside from where it stands today. And that’s not even counting the potential boost from energy-friendly policies under the current administration. 📌 One to Watch in 2025 PROP might just be one of the most under-the-radar energy plays going into the new year. The biggest moves often start quietly; and this one has all the ingredients to surprise. ➡️ As always, speak with your financial advisor and do your own research before making any investment decisions. 📚 Always follow your trading plan => including entry, risk management, and trade execution. Good luck! All strategies are good, if managed properly. ~ Richard Nasr
NASDAQ:PROPLong
by TheSignalyst
46
Major Coins and Crypto Stocks Pump — Thank Landmark GENIUS BillBitcoin BITSTAMP:BTCUSD making ATHs? Old news. But Coinbase NASDAQ:COIN and Robinhood NASDAQ:HOOD hitting those record-high notes? And XRP BITSTAMP:XRPUSD dangerously close to eclipsing its own peak, while Ethereum keeps chugging along toward $4,000? Now we’re talking. In a market-friendly twist, President Trump signed the GENIUS Act into law on Friday — a sweeping legislative win for crypto. Short for Guiding and Establishing National Innovation for US Stablecoins, the GENIUS Act marks the first major federal framework for digital assets and, more importantly for traders, triggered a firestorm of price action across the space. Flanked by crypto executives, Republican lawmakers, and a few NFT bros in suits, Trump called the stablecoin-focused bill “perhaps the greatest revolution in financial technology since the birth of the internet.” Bold claim. But judging by what the market’s doing — he might actually be onto something. The bill, passed 308 to 122 in the House, lays the groundwork for US banks to issue their own stablecoins and create a regulatory moat that finally separates innovation from legal whack-a-mole. But wait, that’s not all. The House also passed the CLARITY Act and the Anti-CBDC Surveillance State Act. The first one will help determine if cryptos will be considered securities and the second one bans the Federal Reserve from issuing its own coin. 🚀 Crypto Market Cap Hits $4 Trillion As the bill cleared Congress and Trump picked up the pen, the entire crypto market cap exploded past $4 trillion for the first time in history with the orange coin holding more than 60% of the market . It wasn’t just Bitcoin BITSTAMP:BTCUSD making noise (although it did quietly retest $120,000 boasting a $2.4 trillion valuation, or more than that of Google parent Alphabet NASDAQ:GOOGL ). The real momentum was coming from the stocks and altcoins — especially those with exposure to the suddenly green-lit US regulatory scene. 📈 Coinbase: To the Moon and Beyond Let’s talk about Coinbase, ticker symbol NASDAQ:COIN , and now also, apparently, ticker symbol 🚀. Shares surged over 8% on Friday to hit a new record session high of $445, giving the US-based exchange a market cap of over $100 billion. Not bad for a company that spent most of 2022 playing dodgeball with the SEC. The GENIUS Act (and its siblings) cleared a path for institutional crypto adoption — and no one stands to gain more than Coinbase. It’s the go-to exchange for institutional custody and compliance. And now, with banks dipping their toes into stablecoin waters, guess who gets to facilitate those flows? Exactly. Coinbase has now rallied over 63% year-to-date, putting it back into market darling territory — and giving early bulls a solid reason to post their PnLs again. 📊 Robinhood: Meme Stock No More? Wait, what’s that clamor? It’s the “HOOD to $100” crowd dusting off their 2021 hats. Robinhood NASDAQ:HOOD also saw a serious lift from the legislative push — hitting an all-time session high of $113 on Friday. The shares are up 180% in 2025 alone. While most remember Robinhood for its meme stock legacy, the app has quietly built a towering crypto trading platform in the US. And now, with Congress cracking open the stablecoin lane and clearing legal fog, it’s suddenly a real contender in the digital asset arms race. Add to that Trump’s pledge to dismantle crypto-hostile policies from the previous administration (many of which affected Robinhood’s crypto operations), and it’s no wonder the stock is flying. 💰 Stablecoins: Boring Coins Are Now Big Biz You’d be forgiven for snoozing through most stablecoin headlines. After all, they don’t moonshot or do anything but sit idle. But make no mistake — this is where the real money’s watching. JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon, not known for casual crypto endorsements, said last week his bank will now be “involved in both JPMorgan deposit coin and stablecoins.” That’s a seismic shift. For years, traditional banks sat on the sidelines while Circle CRYPTOCAP:USDC and Tether CRYPTOCAP:USDT built billion-dollar stablecoin empires. Now, thanks to the GENIUS Act, the door is open for regulated banks to issue digital dollars backed by FDIC-level trust — and potentially eat into the DeFi-native players’ lunch. Boring’s about to get very profitable. 💥 XRP: Return of the Ripple? You know it’s a bull market when XRP BITSTAMP:XRPUSD shows up uninvited and still gets the VIP booth. The one-time courtroom drama token surged over 60% in the past two weeks, hitting $3.50 and inching dangerously close to its all-time high. Ripple’s comeback arc may finally be getting its payoff. With legal pressure fading and Congress setting new guardrails for digital assets, XRP’s regulatory risks just got a lot less scary. Plus, institutions looking for faster cross-border rails may find XRP’s network a bit more attractive when Washington’s no longer breathing down its neck. 🐂 Ethereum: Quietly Eyeing $4,000 Ethereum BITSTAMP:ETHUSD might not be making headlines like Bitcoin or XRP, but don't let the quiet confidence fool you. ETH has been rising steadily, gaining almost 50% in the last two weeks, and Monday morning was trading just shy of $3,800. With regulatory uncertainty waning, and the market treating Ether more like an investment than a utility token, it’s slowly reclaiming its 2025 highs. Factor in the growing number of ETH-based ETFs , tokenized real-world assets (hello, Treasury bills onchain), and the boom in stablecoins running on Ethereum rails… and you’ve got a slow-burn bull case building brick by brick. 🦅 Washington, WAGMI? So, what’s the takeaway? For the first time, Congress passed crypto legislation that didn’t come with a hidden poison pill. The GENIUS Act, along with the CLARITY Act, have made more legislative progress in a week than years of courtroom wrangling and ETF lobbying combined. Trump, with his pro-crypto stance and deep industry ties (after all, he did launch his own coin not too long ago), just turned crypto into a political weapon — and a market darling. Is 2025 shaping up to be the year Washington went full Web3? Let’s hear it from you : Drop your thoughts in the comments and let’s spin up the discussion.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by TradingView
26
Altcoins Waking Up? Here’s What the Charts Are Telling Us!Altcoin Watch: Momentum Is Building! A major shift is unfolding in the OTHERS chart, it just broke above its previous high and is on track to form a golden cross, a strong technical signal that often leads to a rally. But here's the key: a confirmed breakout needs a solid close above the 50% retracement level (from the cycle top to the latest low). That’s when things can really turn bullish. Right now, the broader altcoin market hasn’t truly taken off. We’re still early. This is the time to scan the charts. Look for altcoins that are showing similar strength and structure. 🔍 One standout? CRYPTOCAP:LINK is already flashing signs of what's to come. #Altseason2025
CRYPTOCAP:OTHERSLong
by CRYPTOMOJO_TA
24
Altseason Loading?BTC Dominance chart has once again respected the long-term descending trendline resistance, showing a sharp monthly rejection. Historically, similar rejections have marked the beginning of ALT seasons, where capital flows out of Bitcoin into altcoins, boosting their performance significantly. Chart Highlights: -Major triangle pattern since 2017 -Clear rejections from the upper trendline coincide with previous ALT seasons (2018, 2021) -Current rejection resembles those past cycles -A move down in dominance could fuel strong altcoin rallies If BTC dominance continues to decline, we could be entering another powerful altcoin season in the coming months. Cheers Hexa🧘‍♀️ CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D BINANCE:BTCUSDT
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D
by HexaTrades
24
AVAX | Full Analysis Here is the top-down analysis for AVAX as requested 🫡 Weekly Timeframe: We currently have two potential bullish structures on the weekly chart, but neither has been activated yet. The first one (light turquoise) will be activated once we break the local high at $65. Until then, there's no valid trade setup. This sequence has it target range at $106–128. The second structure (turquoise) gets activated once we break the all-time high at $148. It then targets the $242–298 range, which also represents my conservative bull run targets for $AVAX. On the weekly chart, the strategy is to HODL. I wouldn't buy at this point, and I definitely wouldn't sell—because if we see another altcoin season (which in my view is nearly guaranteed), there's no reason AVAX shouldn't reach its targets around $242. I would personally start taking profits at $106, then again at $148, and be fully out at $242. Daily chart: Here we have a potential structure that will be activated once we break the recent high at $26. From that point on, according to the rulebook, every pullback into the B–C correction level (Fib 0.5–0.667) becomes a tradable opportunity. Local Priceaction: Three days ago, we successfully broke through the bearish reversal zone (red) and reached the bullish target zone (turquoise). Now, every pullback into the B–C correction area becomes a valid long entry. If the price turns around and reaches that area again, I’ll trade each level with a stop-loss just below the next key level. -------- Thats the my full Analysis for CRYPTOCAP:AVAX , hope it was helpful if yall have anymore questions feel free to ask, and if you want me to do another analysis for any other pair just comment down below. Thanks for reading❤️
by The-white-goat
18
BTCUSDTHello Traders! 👋 What are your thoughts on BITCOIN? Bitcoin has recently posted a new all-time high and is now undergoing a healthy correction. This pullback is expected to extend toward a key support zone, which aligns with both the previous breakout level and the bottom of the ascending channel. Once the correction is completed near the channel support / previous high, we anticipate a bullish continuation. The next leg higher could take Bitcoin toward the upper boundary of the current channel. As long as price remains above the key support area, the overall structure stays bullish and this correction is likely to be a buy-the-dip opportunity within a broader uptrend. Will Bitcoin use this pullback as a launchpad for new highs? Share your view in the comments! 🤔👇 Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
Long
by HAMED_AZ
35
SUI/USDT – Symmetrical Triangle Breakout in PlaySUI has officially broken out of a multi-month symmetrical triangle on strong momentum. This structure has been building since early 2024 and now looks ready for continuation. Key Notes: Breakout confirmed above trendline resistance with strong volume. Reversal signals on the 1D and 4H timeframes aligned before the move. Pullback toward the breakout zone is possible before continuation. Upside Fibonacci-Based Targets: PT1: $5.32 (+27%) PT2: $6.53 (+47%) PT3: $7.60 (+75%) If the breakout holds and momentum continues, these levels offer a solid roadmap for potential long-term gains. Watching how price reacts around the $4.30 resistance will be key. Not Financial Advice – For educational purposes only.
COINBASE:SUIUSDLong
by Lum3n
9
‘Everything Rally’ in Full Swing. What About Tariffs & Earnings?It’s official: we’re witnessing one of those rare, confounding moments when nearly every big risk-on thing is screaming ATH! (All-Time High, for those who haven’t worn out that abbreviation on X this month). Bitcoin BITSTAMP:BTCUSD blew past $122,000 on Monday — a turbo rally that made anyone who stepped away to brew coffee rethink their life choices. Meanwhile, Nvidia NASDAQ:NVDA ? It didn’t just approach the $4 trillion milestone — it showed up, took the crown as the world’s most valuable company , and made the Nasdaq Composite NASDAQ:IXIC pop a fresh record close for dessert. And the S&P 500 SP:SPX ? The broadest slice of US equities did its part too, hitting a record high last week, despite the world’s loudest tariff chatter from Trump 2.0. So, what gives? 💎 Bitcoin: Too Fast to Chart Let’s start with the fire-breathing dragon. Bitcoin BITSTAMP:BTCUSD rocketed to $122,500 on Monday morning, bruising all those short sellers and juicing up the memes. The OG coin now has a market cap above $2.3 trillion — bigger than most economies, enough to make gold bugs break into cold sweats. (True, it did pare back some of those gains to float at $119,000 Thursday morning.) What’s fueling it? Institutional FOMO. Forget diamond hands — big money managers, ETF behemoths , and corporates are scooping up every sat they can find. When you see that, plus macro tailwinds — a weaker dollar, simmering inflation that nudges the Fed toward cuts — the rocket fuel writes itself. But we all know what traders really want to know: is $125,000 next? Short answer: if momentum holds, you bet. Long answer: mind the next Fed move and the tariff chess match. 🎯 Nvidia: From GPUs to GDPs If you thought Bitcoin’s wild run was the only headline, look again. The real flex this month came from Jensen Huang’s chip juggernaut. Nvidia NASDAQ:NVDA didn’t just break a record — it basically invented a new category for corporate mega-caps. The world’s biggest semiconductor firm hit the $4 trillion mark — the first company ever to do so. And this isn’t some overnight fad. Back in 2019, Nvidia crossed $100 billion for the first time on the back of crypto mining booms. Five years later, it’s stacked on 4,000% gains, riding the AI hype like it’s a permanent bull market. Governments, hyperscalers, cloud titans — they’re all shoving billions at Huang’s AI chips. 💻 Nasdaq: AI, Chips, Crypto — Party On The Nasdaq Composite NASDAQ:IXIC logged yet another record close , up about 7.5% on the year so far. Just three months ago, this index looked battered — trade war threats, tariff rants, sticky inflation. Who’s doing the heavy lifting? The Magnificent Seven, mostly. But it’s Nvidia’s chart that’s turned this whole index into a de facto AI ETF. Is it healthy? That depends. As long as earnings season doesn’t break the dream — and there’s no rug-pull from the Fed — traders are letting the momentum do its thing. 🏦 S&P 500: The Record Chaser What about the S&P 500 SP:SPX — the broadest barometer of America’s corporate muscle? It rose to set its own record high last week before coming down on Friday on renewed tariff jitters. The Wall Street darling looks less explosive than its tech-packed peer, the Nasdaq. But it’s still up nearly 7% year-to-date — and up 26% from the April dip when tariffs spooked everyone out of their leveraged longs. Now? It’s back in record territory, brushing aside GDP contraction and inflation that won’t quit. Why? Because the market is forward-looking. Tariffs may sting, but when the Fed hints at cuts and Trump sticks to his MAGA narrative, risk assets catch a bid. 🧨 What About Those Tariffs, Though? Speaking of tariffs, let’s not pretend they’re not looming. Trump threatened over the weekend to ramp up levies on EU goods to 30% starting August 1 if no new deal emerges. Canada got an earful too: 35% on certain Canadian exports — and Ottawa announced a $21 billion tit-for-tat. The “pause” on reciprocal tariffs ends in a few weeks. So, is this noise or real risk? For now, markets are calling the bluff. Investors have tuned out the saber-rattling, choosing to front-run the Fed’s next move instead. If tariffs spark a deeper trade war, stocks may get a reality check. Until then, the melt-up rules. 🔮 What’s Next? Eyes on Earnings Earnings season is around the corner (be sure to follow the Earnings Calendar ), and you can bet every fund manager is watching Nvidia NASDAQ:NVDA , Microsoft NASDAQ:MSFT , and the rest of the Mag 7 for cracks in the AI gold rush. If the big names keep printing double-digit revenue growth, investors should be happy. But any hint of deceleration, cautious guidance, or margin pressure could slam the brakes on this record run. Your turn : Do you see this melt-up stretching into the second half of the year? Or are we due for a rude awakening once the earnings calls roll in? Drop your take below!
NASDAQ:IXIC
by TradingView
20
GBP/USD Plunges to Make-or-Break SupportSterling is poised to mark a third consecutive weekly decline after turning from resistance at multi-year highs. The decline takes price into critical support at the yearly trendline- this is a make-or-break level for the bulls. GBP/USD is testing confluent support today at 1.3372/90- a region defined by the 2024 high-week close (HWC) and the 23.6% retracement of the yearly range. Looking for a reaction off this mark with a weekly close below the April HWC / median-line at 1.3270 ultimately needed to suggest a more significant high is in place / invalidate the yearly uptrend. Subsequent support rests with the 2023 HWC / 38.2% retracement at 1.3091-1.3143 and the 52-week moving average, currently near ~1.2980. Weekly resistance now eyed at the yearly high-week reversal close at 1.3648 with a breach / close above the 2022 high at 1.3749 still needed to mark resumption of the broader Sterling up trend. Subsequent resistance objectives eyed at the 61.8% extension of the 2022 advance at 1.4003 and the 2021 HWC at 1.4158. Bottom line: Sterling is attempting to break below the yearly uptrend and the focus is on the weekly close with respect to 1.3372/90- risk for price inflection here. From a trading standpoint, a good zone to reduce portions of short-exposure / lower protective stops- rallies should be limited to 1.3648 IF price is heading lower on this stretch with a close below 1.3270 needed to suggest a reversal is underway. -MB
by FOREXcom
14
GBPAUD to turnaround?GBPAUD - 24h expiry The primary trend remains bullish. Price action looks to be forming a bottom. We look for a temporary move lower. Preferred trade is to buy on dips. Bespoke support is located at 2.0495. We look to Buy at 2.0495 (stop at 2.0425) Our profit targets will be 2.0775 and 2.0820 Resistance: 2.0670 / 2.0750 / 2.0830 Support: 2.0490 / 2.0440 / 2.0400 Risk Disclaimer The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit. You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy. Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
Long
by OANDA
11
Spotify's Valuation Is Red-Lining (Rating Downgrade)📈 Spotify's Remarkable Comeback Spotify NYSE:SPOT has transformed itself from a money-losing audio platform into a disciplined, profit-generating tech firm. Through smarter podcast investments, layoffs, and better monetization strategies, the company recently swung from red ink to positive free cash flow and strong earnings — a major shift for long-frustrated shareholders. This operational turnaround helped fuel a massive rally: Spotify shares have surged nearly 140% since May 2024. 💵 Financials Look Strong... for Now Revenue jumped from $15 billion to $17.4 billion over the past year — a 16% increase. Spotify also improved gross margins from 25% to 31.6%, while net margins turned positive at 7%. Bottom-line earnings exploded from a $119 million loss to $1.25 billion in profit. These gains came from several smart moves: - Reduced payouts to creators (from 75% to 70%) - AI-generated content, like white noise playlists, cutting royalty costs - Ad growth in podcasts and better ad tech - Higher efficiency in infrastructure and operations Analysts now expect Spotify’s earnings to grow another 74% this year, 45% in 2026, and 30% in 2027. 💰 But Valuation Is Stretched Despite the impressive financial performance, Spotify's stock appears overheated. It now trades at: 117x trailing earnings 71x forward earnings 37x estimated 2027 earnings These multiples are far above historical norms — and could spell trouble if growth slows even slightly. The company is running out of levers to improve margins further, and rising operational costs may start to weigh on profits. Spotify also trades at its highest-ever price-to-sales ratio, indicating elevated investor expectations. If the company underdelivers, the stock could face a significant correction. ⚖️ Our Take: Time to Hold, Not Buy We still believe in Spotify's long-term story. Its subscription model, improving margins, and global scale offer compelling advantages. But after this big run-up, the stock no longer offers favorable risk-reward. We’re downgrading from "Strong Buy" to "Hold", suggesting investors with gains may want to trim positions and wait for a more attractive entry point. 📌 Bottom Line: Spotify has executed well — but the stock price now reflects near-perfect performance. A pause, or pullback, wouldn’t surprise us.
NYSE:SPOT
by PropNotes
8
Using 1 min time frame for entries on VX algo & day tradingwhat time frames do you use to confirm entries outside of a buy signal? If I am day trading, I will mainly use the 1 minute time frame to look for moving average support and resistance, and read the candle stick patterns as well from that chart. However, there are times I'll switch to a 5 minute and 10 minute time frame to take a look at levels for moving averages and see what the candle stick patterns are from there. So for example, today we had 3 of the x1 sell signals around 9:31, so we pull up the 1 min chart, we are getting confirm break of the 1st moving average support = bearish confirmation #1, follow by DHC = Bearish confirmation #2 , and the sell signal is already 3 confirmations, so we need to short ASAP.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by WallSt007
40
WTI Oil H4 | Potential bounce off a multi-swing-low supportWTI oil (USOIL) is falling towards a multi-swing-low support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher. Buy entry is at 64.84 which is a multi-swing-low support that aligns closely with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss is at 61.80 which is a level that lies underneath a multi-swing-low support. Take profit is at 70.04 which is a pullback resistance. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
TRADU:USOILLong
by Tradu
8
BITCOIN- MONSTER ORDERS IN THE BOOK -> You Know What This Means COINBASE:BTCUSD “Monster orders” are exceptionally large buy-limit orders clustered roughly 7 % beneath the current market price. Large buy-limit walls can act like a price magnet—deep liquidity attracts algos and traders hunting fills, often pulling price straight toward the level. Once the wall absorbs the selling pressure, the magnet flips: liquidity dries up, supply thins, and price can rip away from that zone with force. They create a visible demand wall in the order book, signalling that whales / institutions are ready to absorb a dip and accumulate at that level. Price will often wick into this zone to fill the wall, then rebound sharply—treat the 7 % band as potential support or entry. Such walls can act as liquidity traps : market makers may push price down to trigger retail stop-losses before snapping it back up. Confirm that the wall persists as price approaches and that spot + derivatives volume rises; if the wall disappears, it may have been spoofing. Always combine order-book context with trend, momentum and higher-time-frame support for higher-probability trades, Just like the extremely powerful indicators on the chart. 🚀 Marty Boots | 17-Year Trader — smash that 👍, hit LIKE & SUBSCRIBE, and share your views in the comments below so we can make better trades & grow together!
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by MartyBoots
98
End-of-Session Market ReviewToday was a solid trading day with some interesting moves across the markets: S&P 500: The market trended upwards from the open, gradually moving into and above the prior day’s value area, closing near the high of that range. NASDAQ 100: After some initial back-and-forth, it climbed above the prior day’s high and value area, showing strength into the close. Russell 2000: This market was quite choppy and balanced for a good part of the session, but eventually pushed up to close near the prior value area high. Gold: It stayed range-bound, moving between the CVA high and the prior day’s value area without breaking out. Crude Oil: We saw a significant drop right from the start, with prices falling about 1.5 points and ending the day lower, though still within the prior day’s range. Euro Dollar: It tested the CVA low, dipped below the prior day’s low, and then bounced back to close around that level. Yen Dollar: It started near the prior value area low, accepted below it by midday, and remained balanced in that lower range. Aussie Dollar: Initially, it held above the CVA area and tested a higher level before sharply dropping below the prior day’s low and then balancing in that lower area. In total, I took eight trades today. Two of them were in the Yen, both valid setups that didn’t work out and ended in stop-outs. I also took some long trades in the Aussie Dollar that I probably could have avoided since the market was choppy. On the positive side, I managed risk well and ended up with two winning trades that put me in the green by about $1,200. Overall, I’d rate today as an A- day. Moving forward, I’ll focus on staying out of choppy markets, paying attention to the developing value area, and possibly using Heikin Ashi bars for better clarity.
CME:6E1!
by JBradleyTrades
21