Is Alibaba still a BUY ?Now, from being ostracised by the Central government to being in the limelight after 3 years, we are now seeing Alibaba returning to stage once again and capturing the hearts of "love and hate" retail investors.
Those who had bought it around 200 price level back then would be relieved in some way to see the share price slowly inching back to their purchase price and their paper loss amount reducing. Hope this gives them a good night sleep.
There are many school of thoughts in investing and to say that one school is better than the others would be biased and self centred. There are factors like risk tolerance, time frame of investment, capital, knowledge of market, etc.
If you are in your mid 50s, would you want to risk say 10K to invest in this stock? Yes, if you believe in its growth story and you have a higher risk appetite and if the price falls back to 80 , you are OK and would not have sleepless night. It is too simplistic to say that people in this age category should invest in dividend stocks - a broad base of market categorisation.
However, if you are in your 20s but you are a thrifty little squirrel and have not heard of the stock market, fearful even to do paper trade, then it is wiser not to put even 1k in this growth stock. At less than 2% dividend, you are better off parking your funds in the government bonds.
So, to answer a straight YES or NO without considering the background of the investors would be putting the cart before the horse. Everybody situation is different and those who have bought are somewhat biased else they would not have bought it and those who think all China stocks are uninvestable would naturally stay away even this tech giant in China.
For me, I am riding on the rally and awaiting for it to pull back to 120-125 price level before accumulating. Please DYODD
Community ideas
BTC Bitcoin - Upside Likely THIS WEEK (Thanks Retail Liquidity)Here's a challenge for you:
How many places of built-up liquidity can you spot on this chart that indicated where price is heading to...?
Post your chart below.
Admittedly this isn't the easiest environment to trade in, but still the clues are there.
Plus: DXY Dollar is weak for now, so XXXUSD seem more likely to be Bullish.
Now we stalk it and wait to see the flip to the Upside (if it happens). The invalidation point is the clear last Wick low.
There could be more opportunities later to scale in.
------------------
Are you seeing price action here the same as I am?
If not, comment below and tell me if I'm missing something...
XRP The Greatest Deception & Delusion In Crypto History!I cannot believe how many have fallen for this deception. I cant believe how many are about to get scammed and rug pulled by Ripple. The amount of hype this thing has had over the years is simply amazing, just to keep it afloat so Ripple can sell their holdings to unwary, and naive investors. The number of influencers getting paydays because of clicks and subs by pumping this thing with their wild and wacky delusional predictions should be criminal. The amount of people being led to slaughter is going to absolutely be awful. This crypto is going to destroy so many investors wallets, hopes, and dreams. I cant believe this crap. Lets break this piece of turd down so a layman and children can understand because those are the only ones who would invest in something so worthless.
I know, I know but banks, banks, banks, banks! Yeah yeah yeah Garlic Bread shook Trumps hand I know I know. Lets get real here kids!
No banks are going to hold anything that is as volatile as this crap. The new stable coin RLUSD has officially made XRP useless. Why would any bank use something that can change in price within minutes over a stable USD pegged asset. They simply will not.
Also lets clarify some things here:
SANTANDER
Santander does not use XRP to power its One Pay FX service, which is a blockchain-based international money transfer service. Instead, Santander uses Ripple's xCurrent, a blockchain software that enables real-time tracking and settlement of payments
STANDARD CHARTERED BANK
You can't currently send money through Standard Chartered Bank using XRP tokens, but you can send and receive XRP using other services. Standard Chartered Bank works with a number of cryptocurrencies, including Bitcoin, Ether, XRP, and stablecoins. Standard Chartered offers a variety of services for digital assets, including custody, trading, and banking. NOT JUST XRP
BANK OF AMERICA
You can't currently send money through Bank of America using XRP, but you can send money using Bank of America's wire transfer service. Bank of America (BoA) has been exploring Ripple's blockchain technology and XRP, and may use XRP for payments in the future.
MARKET CAP OF XRP TOKEN VERSUS OTHERS
XRP MARKET CAP $144 BILLION
MONEYGRAM $1 BILLION
WESTERN UNION $3.66 BILLION
SANTANDER BANK $93 BILLION
STANDARD CHARTERED BANK $27 BILLION
PAYPAL $77 BILLION
JP MORGAN CHASE BIGGEST BANK IN WORLD! $785 BILLION
AMERICAN EXPRESS $218 BILLION
BANK OF AMERICA $353 BILLION
CITI GROUP $160 BILLION
So you're trying to tell me that XRP market cap of $144 billion isn't already overvalued like crazy! Its worth more than Moneygram, Santander, Western Union, Standered Chartered Bank, Paypal, and Citigroup. For what reason would it be actually worth that much right now when everything is mostly just hype and speculation and being duped. Even if every bank did use it they arent holding onto it. They are simply buying it and then selling it instantly and converting it to whatever fiat the exchange called for. Simpletons believing that XRP can actually be worth $100 or $500 each is so crazy and stupid its hard to believe no one can do math. This thing will be lucky to double top and let you get out. Its going to crash in an epic fashion because its value to worth is so far off its insane.
Some more facts!
All XRP was pre-issued at launch, unlike cryptocurrencies that use mining
The XRP creators gifted the company 80% of all XRP, keeping 20 billion units for themselves
80% OF XRP WENT TO THE COMPANY FOR CRYING OUT LOUD!
WILL BANKS USE XRP WITH IT BEING SO VOLATILE?
Banks might use XRP despite its volatility because it functions as a bridge currency, allowing them to quickly and efficiently settle cross-border transactions at a lower cost by converting currencies into XRP instead of relying on traditional fiat currency exchange processes, which can be significantly slower and more expensive; essentially, the price fluctuations of XRP become less relevant when used solely as a TEMPORARY intermediary in transactions. KEY WORD TEMPORARY. BUY, SEND, SELL! NO ONE IS INVESTING IT IT ITS MERELY A SETTLEMENT CURRENCY.
The Ripple network, where XRP operates, is designed to provide readily available liquidity for cross-border transactions, meaning banks don't need to hold large reserves of various currencies! Wake up people, and now that the stable coin is running on the Ripple RLUSD, there is NO USE FOR XRP THE TOKEN. XRP was simply a token to dump on clueless investors to keep the company Ripple going.
If you think that all these institutions want to invest in XRP and theres this huge demand for institutional buyers of XRP lets take a look at Grayscale the closest thing available to big investors on the stock market.
SOME GRAYSCALE HOLDINGS
XRP $14 MILLION
ZCASH $13 MILLION
HORIZEN $14 MILLION
XLM $41 MILLION
CHAINLINK $22 MILLION
BITCOIN CASH $134 MILLION
ETHEREUM CLASSIC $240 MILLION
LITECOIN $260 MILLION
XRP is on the same level as Horizen and ZCASH, one of their lowest holdings. This is a clear sign that no big money wants anything to do with XRP the token because if they did they would be investing through the trust. XRP the token was a scam from the get go to get the insiders rich and to pay for the development of Ripple the company. If and when Ripple the company goes public do you really think your precious XRP token will be worth anything. NO IT WONT. THEY WILL HAVE THEIR OWN DAMN TICKER THAT HAS NOTHING TO DO WITH XRP.
Oh and the ETF, No f'ing way that thing will ever get approved while the SEC is still going after it. Get real! Even so even if THE SLIGHTEST CHANCE it did it'll have as much demand as the XRP Grayscale trust, NONE IT'LL BE A DAMN DUD. No big money will touch this with a 1000 foot pole. Not with the company holding still almost 60% of the supply. Its a honeypot for the creators.
None of this is meant to be financial advice just my opinion. Dont lose your shirts.
$BTC bearish outlook: $2B selling pressure incomingI am bearish on CRYPTOCAP:BTC for the following reasons:
1️⃣ The $Bybit hack resulted in a loss of $1.4B worth of $ETH. To continue trading, Bybit is currently bridging liquidity with Binance. However, this is only a temporary solution. Eventually, they will need to buy back $1.4B in ETH, and the only reserve asset large enough to cover this is Bitcoin. I expect at least SEED_TVCODER77_ETHBTCDATA:1B of BTC to be sold on the market to acquire the necessary ETH.
2️⃣ The hackers are liquidating their $1.4B in stolen ETH. Since smart contract-based assets can be traced and frozen, their best option is to swap to CRYPTOCAP:BTC , which is harder to track and cannot be frozen.
In total, Bitcoin faces a potential selling pressure of over SEED_TVCODER77_ETHBTCDATA:2B , which is enough to significantly impact its price.
📉 Given that Bitcoin is already in a consolidation phase, this pressure could push the price down to $93K or even $91K.
📊 Expect dead cat bounces, where traders can profit, but be cautious—this selling pressure is real. Bybit needs to resolve its liquidity issues quickly, and the hackers are racing to cash out ASAP.
⚠️ DYOR (Do Your Own Research).
Options Trading with TradeStation: TradingView ShowIn this video, we're diving into options trading with David Russell, Head of Global Market Strategy at TradeStation, for a live stream exploring the latest updates to the platform, especially the enhanced integration with TradeStation for options trading. This update enables TradingView users to access equity options trading for the first time with a US brokerage, making it easier to trade directly from the TradingView platform.
Learn how to read an options chain, create an options order, and combine options trading with charts, research, and more. The new integration, combined with TradingView’s suite of educational tools like the strategy builder, chain sheet, and volatility analysis, helps traders see the options market in a new way, with crystal clear visualizations and data.
This live stream will highlight how users can link their TradeStation accounts to TradingView for seamless options trading and explore the opportunities that come with these updates.
This educational session is a great chance to learn about the latest tools and strategies that can elevate your trading success.
Got questions or eager to dive deeper? Drop them in the comments below—we’re here to help!
Thanks for tuning in, and get ready as we have many more groundbreaking tools for you. Stay tuned for what's next!
Are Trump’s Tariffs More Bark Than Bite? What Markets Are SayingThe heated tariff drama is reverberating across global markets with a different impact depending on the region and the asset itself. Some markets, previously considered highly sensitive to extra tax charges, are actually doing better than the dominant stocks on Wall Street. Or maybe that’s just the calm before the storm? Let’s find out.
🌏 Are Europe's Stocks Great Again?
European stocks are leaving Wall Street equities in the dust, contrary to investor expectations ( contrarians, hat tip to you ). Since Donald Trump officially stepped into the top job in American politics (and started the whole tariff narrative) the Europe-wide Stoxx 600 index SXXP has gained roughly 6% to date. Its US counterpart, the S&P 500 SPX is up about 2.5% over the same time span.
Europe’s start-of-year spectacle is so good it prompted Bank of America analysts to dig into the archives and realize this is the old continent’s best opening since the 1980s. That is, while European countries struggle to power up their economies and the European Central Bank is dropping interest rates fast .
The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite IXIC has fallen out of favor and is languishing around with a 2.2% increase since Trump took office. Moreover, the elite club called the Magnificent Seven is barely getting by. With the exception of Meta META , which is up more than 20% this year, all the others are either underwater or head above the water.
By the looks of it, Trump is gradually rolling out his punishing tariffs but European investors don’t seem too scared. Earlier this week, the US President revealed his intentions to slap the auto industry with a hefty 25% tariff starting April 2. Drugs and chips got picked on, too, with levies in the same neighborhood.
The auto space in Europe is bound to feel the weight of that auto tariff decision. Currently, Europe’s car manufacturers are taxed with a 2.5% levy on their way to the US. In the other direction, however, the US is obligated to pay a 10% duty when it imports cars into Europe.
The proposed auto tariffs knocked Asia’s automaker stocks during the Asian session on Thursday. The Nikkei 225 index NI225 was trading almost 2% lower with the auto sector dragging the broad performance.
👀 What’s Happening Elsewhere?
Gold XAUUSD is apparently the biggest winner of the tariff threat. As long as it doesn’t get slapped with one. The yellow metal has skyrocketed to levels near $3,000 with a Thursday session high of $2,955 per ounce, breaking its record made earlier in the week . What a bonanza for gold bugs as their main asset is up 15% since mid-December with no corrections and no signs of slowdown.
The US dollar has been taking blow after blow, giving rival currencies some much-needed reprieve . The dollar index DXY , measuring the buck’s strength against six forex rivals, is down about 3% from its two-year peak in early January.
Bitcoin BTCUSD , the fire-breathing volatility dragon, has actually been pretty tamed up as Trump’s crypto working group has stayed mostly tight-lipped over the prospects of crypto-friendly legislation. Prices of the orange coin celebrated inauguration day with an all-time record but have slipped 11% since then to dive back under $100,000.
Against that backdrop, what are you loading up on? Are you stacking up some European shares and shunning their US peers? Or you’re after that OG token under $100,000? Let us know in the comment section!
Sneaky Breakouts: Recent IPOs Reddit and KlaviyoThe charts above highlight Klaviyo and Reddit. The first thing I must say is I am not long either of these companies. I am simply using them as a barometer to spark some research. What I find interesting about both of these names is the way they have marched to all-times and being somewhat new companies to the market. Both have IPO'd within the 12-24 months.
Reddit, however, is a bit more widely known and many of you have followed its breakout. So, in contrast, the chart at the top left of KVYO is very interesting because it is not widely followed or discussed. They are a company at the forefront of automated marketing messaging. Klaviyo enables businesses of all sizes to streamline their customer engagement, transforming a marketing team into a full-fledged messaging powerhouse, allowing brands to automate emails, SMS, and push notifications with data-driven precision.
But the real reason I’m sharing this chart isn’t just about what Klaviyo does—it’s about what its stock is doing alongside another recent IPO like Reddit.
Klaviyo went public on September 20, 2023, pricing its IPO at $30 per share and raising approximately $576 million, giving it a valuation around $9 billion at the time. The stock initially saw strong demand, opening at $36.75 on its first day of trading. Now, months later, it has quietly surged to new all-time highs, a move that flew under my radar.
This has me thinking: what other recent IPOs are quietly breaking out? Historically, some of the best-performing stocks in the market have been newly public companies that start to trend higher after an initial post-IPO base. Names like Shopify, CrowdStrike, and Datadog all had explosive runs after establishing themselves post-IPO. Klaviyo’s move could be an early signal that a new wave of breakouts is forming, and I’m looking for the next in line.
Beyond IPOs, I’m also watching broader shifts in the market, particularly how AI is reshaping industries. AI-driven automation is evolving beyond simple efficiency tools into full-fledged AI agents capable of transforming cost structures for companies. From marketing to customer service to software development, businesses that leverage AI in ways that improve margins could be tomorrow’s biggest winners. The question now is: which companies are positioned to capitalize on this shift?
This is my focus—hunting for epic breakouts, whether it’s fresh IPOs like Klaviyo or companies leading the next wave of AI-driven disruption.
If you know of any, add them to the comments below!
Celsius Stock is a fast grower at a good priceCELH is a high growth stock that has finally found a fair price.
It has a popular brand and is now available everywhere, including costco.
Pepsi is partnering with them.
Now that its down 75%, it on my radar as a fairly price high growth stock.
so what, what can I expect.
What Im hoping when I get a grower, is 20-40% per year.
I covered Palantir when it was under 10, and now its over 100 only 2 years later, a 10x.
Could that happen here, I have no idea.
All we can do is look for good value and reduce our risk by finding quality.
Cheers.
Solana’s massive slide: Smart money waiting for this level?Solana has taken a 43% hit from its peak, and while it might look tempting to buy, is it really the right time? In this breakdown, I compare Solana’s performance to Bitcoin’s decline and use multipliers to estimate where SOL might be headed next. With Bitcoin hovering near key support, another drop could trigger a bigger move lower for Solana—possibly down to $134 or even $120.
💡 Are you buying the dip, or do you think there’s more downside ahead? Let me know in the comments!
This content is not directed to residents of the EU or UK. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. ThinkMarkets will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information
Gold - A Bullish Close Would Be Insane!Gold ( TVC:GOLD ) has to close bullish now:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Just since the end of 2022, Gold rallied about +80% which is simply unbelievable looking at the already significant market cap of the precious metal. However this bullrun does not seem to be over and if Gold confirmes the trendline breakout, another rally of +40% will follow soon.
Levels to watch: $4.000
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
New Setup: TSSITSS, Inc., a dynamic player in the IT sector, recently turned profitable and now trades at 1.6% below its estimated fair value. With a $20 million credit facility secured for expanding AI-enabled technologies and added to major indices like NASDAQ Composite, TSS seems poised for growth.
The TradingView Show: Futures Trading and Risk ManagementJoin us for an insightful live session with Bob Iaccino, an experienced trader and market strategist working with Plus500, an integrated broker on TradingView.
In this session, we'll explore key trading products, market insights, and strategies to navigate today’s volatile markets. Whether you're just starting out in futures trading or you're a seasoned pro, this session will offer valuable insights on trading E-mini and Micro E-mini equity futures, Micro Gold, Crude Oil Futures, Micro Bitcoin, and Micro Euro FX.
Don’t miss out on the Leap Paper Trading Competition, hosted by CME Group on TradingView! This 1-month contest brings traders from across the globe together — and it's happening now. Sign up before registration closes! The competition is heating up, but who will claim their share of the impressive prize pool?
Here’s what's up for grabs:
1st place — $3,000
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51st to 250th place — 6 more months of your current plan
Bitcoin Trading Plan & Market Analysis🚀 In this breakdown, I outline my trading plan for Bitcoin (BTC), focusing on market structure, price action, and key liquidity dynamics.
🔍 Key Observations:
✅ Price Action & Liquidity Sweeps
* Bitcoin has been forming equal highs/lows, with dips below the lows targeting southside liquidity before rallying.
* On the 4-hour timeframe, this pattern has repeated multiple times—suggesting smart money accumulation at current levels.
✅ Confirmation Criteria
* My bullish thesis remains unconfirmed until we see:
* A decisive breakout of the current range.
* A successful retest and failure of that breakout level.
* If these conditions are met, I will be looking for buying opportunities.
✅ Final Confirmation
* A break of key resistance (highlighted in the video) is critical for confirming a trend reversal.
📺 Everything is explained in detail in the video—this is NOT financial advice!
To fade or not to trade? (Example: EUR/USD)There is a correction taking place in the US dollar uptrend. Do we trade against the prevailing trend, or sit on our hands and do nothing? To fade or not to trade, that is the question.
On a surface level, the current environment is a trading range - following a long downtrend.
When a strong major trend has been in place for around 3 months - sometimes sooner - sometimes later (we have observed 3 months as a good benchmark) something has to change - either there is a significant correction or the trend reverses.
The challenge lies in distinguishing between the two. Reacting too early risks fighting momentum, while reacting too late means missing an opportunity.
After years of trading, I’ve realised the goal is not to guess – but to follow a structured trading system that tilts the odds in our favor. The system doesn’t work every time of course but it gives you a way to approach the market.
Let me outline now - a system using Fractals & the 30-Week Moving Average to help you decide which way to trade the market
1. Identify the Primary Trend
Use the 30-week moving average (30 WMA) as the trend filter.
Uptrend: Price is consistently above the 30 WMA, and the slope is rising.
Downtrend: Price is consistently below the 30 WMA, and the slope is falling.
A strong trend remains in place as long as price respects the 30 WMA. A violation suggests a shift is possible.
2. Look for Fractal Confirmation of a Shift
In an uptrend, a higher low followed by a higher high confirms continuation.
In a downtrend, a lower high followed by a lower low confirms continuation.
* The key fractal to watch for a potential bottom after a downtrend – is the first higher low after a downtrend correction that made a higher high (potential bottom)
* The key fractal to watch for a potential top after an uptrend – is the first lower high after an uptrend correction that made a lower low (potential reversal)
So, how about what’s happening now?
The weekly chart shows a base has formed at 1.02 in EUR/USD.
Price closed last week right at support-turned-resistance around 1.05.
A ‘higher high’ was formed followed by a ‘higher low’ as demonstrated by the green and red fractals accordingly.
However, the price remains below the 30-week moving average.
We can see the setup better on the daily chart as a shallow downtrend line.
The pattern beneath the trendline is a messy inverse head and shoulders. As such, should the trendline break to the upside it is a bullish signal. And if the trendline holds, it signals the trend is still just consolidating before a continuation lower.
We think there’s a good chance this trendline breaks given the alignment of the weekly fractals.
So fade the downtrend or ignore the move upwards?
To answer that it helps to think about the next step. If the price does break higher, how high is it likely to go? There is resistance at 1.06 from the late November and December peaks. Then the 50% Fibonacci retracement and the 30-week moving average come in around 1.07.
The reason fading a trend has a lower probability of success vs trading with the trend is because there is so much nearby resistance (in the case of trading a bottom).
You can absolutely fade this trend but our experience tells us the price often fails at a nearby resistance level, capping the risk:reward potential on long positions- and simultaneously offering a nice opportunity for short positions.
But - as always - that’s just how the team and I are seeing things, what do you think?
Share your ideas with us - OR - send us a request!
Drop us a comment!
cheers!
Jasper
AMD: It's A Golden Buying OpportunityHello,
Advanced Micro Devices, Inc engages in the provision of semiconductor businesses. It operates through the following segments: Computing & Graphics, and Enterprise, Embedded and Semi-Custom. The Computing and Graphics segment includes desktop and notebook processors and chipsets, discrete and integrated graphics processing units, data centre and professional GPUs and development services. The Enterprise, Embedded and Semi-Custom segment includes server and embedded processors, semi-custom System-on-Chip products, development services and technology for game consoles.
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS- Checklist
Structure drawing (Trend line drawing on past price chart data)- As shown below
Patterns identification (Naming patterns on past price chart data for future wave)- As shown
Future indication (Reading indicator for future wave)- Awaiting 0 crossover on MACD
Future wave (Drawing on future price chart using future indication from indicator)- As shown below
Future reversal point (Identifying trend reversal point on price chart using structure)- Target as shown $244
AMD shares are currently trading near their 52-week lows after the top reached in March 2024. Just A day after inauguration the Trump administration announced the Stargate AI Infrastructure initiative in collaboration with OpenAI, SoftBank and Oracle. According to Aaron Rakers, a Semiconductor and IT Hardware analyst, the initiative aims to deploy an immediate $100 billion for AI data center construction, starting with an ongoing project in Abilene, Texas, with the potential to scale up to $500 billion over the next four years. While this development is expected to benefit AI infrastructure and semiconductor companies, OpenAI's press release specifically mentioned NVIDIA and ARM as key initial partners, omitting AMD. This raise concerns that AMD may have missed a crucial opportunity in the AI investment boom. While this might be seen as negative there is positive news coming in from the US government, Yesterday 11th February 2025 JD Vance said the administration of President Donald Trump "will ensure that the most powerful AI systems are built in the U.S. with American-designed and manufactured chips.” This gives hope for United States of America AI companies in the coming years.
Recently Deepseek caused ripples in the AI market as well. DeepSeek a Chinese AI startup is challenging the prevailing "bigger is better" mindset in AI model training by delivering high-performance results with fewer GPUs and lower costs. This suggests that innovation in model design and efficiency can rival brute-force training approaches. If hyperscalers begin reassessing the necessity of massive GPU clusters, it could impact long-term demand for training hardware. However, near-term spending on AI infrastructure remains strong, with companies like Meta, Microsoft, Amazon and Google continuing their multi-billion-dollar investments as per their recent Q4 earning updates. While DeepSeek has stirred significant discussion in the semiconductor space, it is yet to showcase any ground-breaking advancements beyond what OpenAI already offers. Having tested the product, we noticed that OpenAI has quickly updated its reasoning capabilities to match DeepSeek's edge over ChatGPT. One of the biggest limitations of generative AI platforms remains their outdated datasets, often capped at 2024. We expect this to disappear with time.
It's still too early to determine the full impact, but if DeepSeek’s approach gains widespread adoption, new AI market leaders could emerge, potentially shifting market dynamics. Moreover, DeepSeek's success disrupts the dominance of U.S. firms and highlights vulnerabilities in the effectiveness of export controls on high-end chips.
Despite missing out on the Stargate initiative, AMD has expanded its AI chip portfolio and achieved a significant milestone by securing a spot in Dell’s new commercial AI PC lineup. The commercial PC market, which accounts for 55% of total PC shipments, remains a crucial battleground for vendors. Dell, holding 15% of the total PC market and 23% of the commercial segment, is the third-largest commercial PC vendor, with over 85% of its unit sales tied to commercial customers.
Following AMD’s recent earnings report, the stock plunged 10% in premarket trading. While the company posted solid Q4 results, weaker-than-expected guidance on data center sales weighed on investor sentiment. Lastly, China represents a significant revenue source for AMD. However, the ongoing trade tensions between the U.S. and China pose a considerable risk to this income stream, adding another layer of uncertainty to AMD’s future outlook.
FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHTS FOR THE YEAR ENDED DECEMBER 28, 2024
Net Revenue: $25,785 million, reflecting a 14% increase from $22,680 million in 2023, driven by strong performance in the Data Center and Client segments.
Gross Profit: $12,725 million, with a gross margin of 49%, up from 46% in 2023, due to a favorable revenue mix shift towards higher-margin segments.
Operating Income: $1,900 million, a significant increase from $401 million in 2023, primarily due to higher revenue and improved gross margins.
Net Income: $1,641 million, compared to $854 million in 2023, driven by increased revenue and operating income.
Diluted EPS: $1.00, up from $0.53 in 2023, reflecting the company's improved profitability.
Revenue Segments: The Data Center segment saw a significant increase in net revenue, driven by higher sales of AMD Instinct GPUs and AMD EPYC CPUs. The Client segment also experienced growth due to increased unit shipments and higher average selling prices of AMD Ryzen processors. However, the Gaming and Embedded segments faced declines in net revenue due to lower semi-custom product revenue and normalized inventory levels, respectively.
New Product Launches: AMD launched several new products, including the 5th Gen AMD EPYC processors, AMD Ryzen AI 300 Series processors, and the Ryzen 9000 series processors. These products are designed to deliver leadership performance in gaming, productivity, and AI capabilities.
New Production Launches: The company expanded its adaptive computing portfolio with the launch of the Versal Series Gen 2 devices, including the Versal AI Edge Series Gen 2 and Versal Prime Series Gen 2 adaptive SoCs, which enhance AI-driven embedded systems.
Future Outlook: AMD plans to continue its focus on AI and enterprise markets, with expectations to complete the acquisition of ZT Systems in the first half of fiscal year 2025. The company also intends to seek a strategic partner for ZT Systems' manufacturing business.
Sales Units: The Client segment reported a 34% increase in unit shipments, reflecting strong demand for AMD mobile and desktop Ryzen processors.
Geographical Performance: International sales accounted for 66% of net revenue in 2024, indicating a strong global presence and continued significance of international markets in AMD's sales strategy.
CHALLENGES AND RISKS
Market and Competitive Risks: The company faces significant economic and strategic risks due to the dominance of Intel and Nvidia in their respective markets, which may limit AMD's ability to compete effectively. The semiconductor industry is highly cyclical, with severe downturns that have historically affected the company.
Operational Risks: The company relies on third-party manufacturers, which poses risks if these suppliers are unable to meet demand or if there are disruptions in the supply chain. Potential security vulnerabilities in products and IT outages or cyberattacks could also disrupt operations.
Legal and Regulatory Risks: Government actions that may limit product exports and evolving expectations regarding corporate responsibility could result in additional costs and reputational harm.
Management Strategies: Management is focusing on timely product introductions and maintaining product quality to provide value to customers. The company is also investing in AI capabilities to meet the growing demand for AI solutions, although the trajectory of AI adoption remains uncertain.
Market Risks: The company is exposed to unfavorable currency exchange rate fluctuations, which could adversely affect profitability and cash flows. Additionally, potential changes in tax regulations and the realization of deferred tax assets could affect financial results.
STRATEGIC INITIATIVES IN 2024
Strategic Initiatives: In 2024, AMD focused on expanding its AI capabilities and data center infrastructure. The company launched multiple leadership products, including the 5th Gen AMD EPYC processors and AMD Ryzen AI 300 Series processors, to enhance its high-performance computing portfolio. AMD also acquired Silo AI Oy to bolster its AI software capabilities and entered into an agreement to acquire ZT Systems to enhance its AI and compute infrastructure offerings.
Capital Management: AMD repaid its 2.95% Senior Notes due 2024, reducing its total debt from $2.5 billion to $1.8 billion. The company returned $862 million to shareholders through the repurchase of 5.9 million shares of common stock. As of December 28, 2024, $4.7 billion remained available for future stock repurchases. AMD maintained a revolving credit facility of $3 billion and a commercial paper program, both of which were undrawn during the year.
Future Outlook: AMD plans to close the acquisition of ZT Systems in the first half of fiscal year 2025, subject to regulatory approvals. The company intends to seek a strategic partner to acquire ZT Systems' manufacturing business. AMD expects to continue leveraging its cash, cash equivalents, and credit facilities to fund operations and strategic initiatives, including potential acquisitions and capital expenditures, over the next 12 months and beyond.
Our recommendation
When it comes to AI beneficiaries and hardware for AI applications, AMD has failed to get the highlight it deserves. This has greatly led to a lot of investors looking at Nvidia vs AMD. However, over the last few weeks, Deepseek caused ripples in the AI market due to its ability to make programs with less powered chips. DeepSeek's V3 a Chinese AI startup is challenging the prevailing "bigger is better" mindset in AI model training by delivering high-performance results with fewer GPUs and lower costs. This suggests that innovation in model design and efficiency can rival brute-force training approaches. As a result of this, we expect more focus to move to alternative companies that are involved in AI infrastructure. AMD remains well positioned to compete with its competitors all round. In November 2024, AMD showcased its ongoing high-performance computing (HPC) leadership at Supercomputing 2024 by powering the world’s fastest supercomputer.
In March 2024, AMD stock reached the all-time high at $227.30. The stock has since retraced by 53.8% to its current price of $110.48. This correction, coupled with the strong fundamentals the company has signals that AMD remains a solid hold in the long term and a great buy from the current levels. AMD continues to focus on expanding its AI capabilities and data centre infrastructure. On 11th February 2024, AMD announced the signing of a Letter of Intent (LOI) with the Commissariat à l'énergie atomique et aux énergies alternatives (CEA) of France to collaborate on the advanced technologies, component and system architectures that will shape the future of AI computing. This effort underscores the AMD commitment to fostering international collaborations that accelerate AI innovation, making AI more inclusive and sustainable, and strengthening cooperation, in particular, between the United States and European research institutions. It also opens up for opportunity for more income from the Europe market. For the full year 2024, AMD reported record revenue of $25.8 billion, gross margin of 49%, operating income of $1.9 billion, net income of $1.6 billion, and diluted earnings per share of $1.00. On a non-GAAP (*) basis, gross margin was a record 53%, operating income was $6.1 billion, net income was $5.4 billion and diluted earnings per share was $3.31.
A key risk for AMD is the trade war between the united states and China. China represents a significant revenue source for AMD and the ongoing trade tensions between the U.S. and China pose a considerable risk to this income stream, adding another layer of uncertainty to AMD’s future outlook.
Our view on Advanced Micro Devices is BUY/HOLD with a target of $244. This is a 120.48% return on the stock from the current price of 110.48.
Sources:
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To $TRUMP, or not to $TRUMP? The Art of the BreakoutCrypto Market Update: Several Breakouts in Progress Right Now
CRYPTO:TRUMPOFUSD CRYPTO:BTCUSD CRYPTO:ORNUSD CRYPTO:ALEOUSD CAPITALCOM:FILUSD CRYPTO:MOBILEUSD CRYPTO:SHPINGUSD COINBASE:TRUMPUSD
In this video, I analyze several ongoing and potential breakouts across multiple crypto assets, identifying key technical patterns, support and resistance levels, and volume trends. While meme coins aren’t typically my preference, the Trump meme coin COINBASE:TRUMPUSD has shown strong market participation, making it an interesting trade. Aleo CRYPTO:ALEOUSD has been in a prolonged downtrend but is now showing signs of a confirmed bottom with increasing volume. Helium Mobile CRYPTO:MOBILEUSD is presenting a well-structured W-reversal, which often leads to strong breakouts. Filecoin CRYPTO:FILUSD has maintained a solid structure, and historical levels suggest a significant rally is possible. Shping CRYPTO:SHPINGUSD , which I’ve tracked since November, appears to be setting up for a continuation move toward higher liquidity zones. Orion Protocol CRYPTO:ORNUSD , while a high-risk play due to liquidity constraints, has characteristics of previous explosive moves.
Key Breakout Candidates & Market Observations:
🔹 Trump Meme Coin CRYPTO:TRUMPOFUSD
Bought at $16.46 based on a strong bottom formation.
"Interdisciplinary Bottom" pattern combines elements of W-reversal, cup and handle, and double bottom formations.
Volume and momentum suggest potential upside, with a target zone in the next major liquidity area (~35%-60% potential move).
🔹 Aleo CRYPTO:ALEOUSD
One of the longest consistent downtrends on Coinbase, now showing strong signs of reversal.
Large volume spike suggests a confirmed bottom.
First resistance zone: $1-$1.20 (~150% potential move).
🔹 Helium Mobile CRYPTO:MOBILEUSD
Key breakout structure forming with bullish engulfing patterns.
Similar price wicks and reversal patterns seen on lower timeframes.
If momentum continues, a significant percentage move approaching or exceeding 100% is possible over a short period.
🔹 Filecoin CRYPTO:FILUSD
Historical liquidity zones indicate a strong potential rally.
Short-term target: $26
Longer-term potential: Historical highs around $100+, with $237 as the all-time high.
🔹 Shping CRYPTO:SHPINGUSD
Tracked since November – has been developing a highly structured reversal.
Target: 3 cents, based on prior liquidity levels (~300% potential move).
🔹 Orion Protocol CRYPTO:ORNUSD
Higher risk due to liquidity, but historically has shown explosive moves.
Short-term target: Testing previous highs.
Potential upside: $5 if volume and interest increase.
Final Thoughts:
Bitcoin’s movement continues to influence the broader market, and several altcoins are showing clear reversal signals. While trading strategies differ, recognizing volume shifts, liquidity zones, and structural patterns can present strong opportunities. As always, I encourage everyone to do their own research and approach the market with a clear risk management plan.
WTI Oil H4 | Potential bullish reversalWTI oil (USOIL) is falling towards an overlap support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 70.40 which is an overlap support.
Stop loss is at 69.20 which is a level that lies underneath a swing-low support that aligns close to the 127.2% Fibonacci extension.
Take profit is at 73.32 which is a swing-high resistance.
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Bitcoin will continue to grow and exit from triangle patternHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. By observing the chart, we can see that the price entered a downward triangle, where it at once rebounded from the resistance line and started to decline. In a short time, the price fell to the resistance level, which coincided with the seller zone, broke this level, and dropped until to support line of the triangle, breaking the support level too. Next, BTC turned around and made a strong impulse up, breaking 95000 and 100000 levels, after which it turned around and started to decline. Price later fell below the 100K level, breaking it, and continued to fall next. Later BTC rose to the 100K resistance level, but at once turned around and dropped to the support level, which coincided with the buyer zone. After this, the price rebounded from the buyer zone and reached the resistance line of the triangle, and then corrected back. Then Bitcoin started to grow, so, I think that the price can correct to the support line and then rise to the resistance line and break it, thereby exiting from the triangle pattern. Then BTC will continue to grow, therefore I set my TP at 99K points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Gold Price Up 10% Already in 2025. Is $3,000 Only the Beginning?Gold XAUUSD clocked a 27% rise in 2024 when a flurry of events aligned to position the safe-haven asset front and center for global traders. This year, the shiny stuff is already off the charts and into new horizons, nearing $3,000 per ounce.
Record after record, gold has defied all gloom-and-doom forecasters and permabears. But is that gold rush sustainable? Depends on who you ask. But the fundamentals are certainly there.
A surge in US shipments is driving the latest leg up in the price as gold traders and dealers scramble to import boatloads of it before Trump potentially slaps a tariff on the metal, which has historically been free from such tax charges.
A sweeping arbitrage trade is taking place between London and New York. The Americans are piling bullion bars on Comex, the New York commodity exchange while the Brits are seeing their gold reserves dry up, driving the cost of borrowing up by 10% or more (borrowers are usually commercial banks and gold-linked businesses).
What’s more, the waiting time to pull gold from the Bank of England has skyrocketed from mere days to between a month and two months.
The result of that arbitrage? Inventories in New York have soared roughly 100% since November’s Presidential election with stockpiles now sitting at more than $100 billion in value — that’s more than 1,000 tons. If it was easy to do it, then we could probably brush it off as pure speculation. But it’s a hassle.
Here’s how it works: The London gold is not acceptable in New York. To close a contract and stack up the glittery metal in the US, the heavy stuff that’s being transported on planes across the Atlantic needs to be in differently shaped bars.
Gold dealers need to first pass it through a refinery in Switzerland where it gets melted and reshaped into the shape Comex takes in New York. That’s how physical gold is different from pretty much any other physical asset like a stock certificate or a bond.
Apparently, the insane tariff drama that releases a new episode every day could easily drive the price of gold higher. And that’s what Wall Street thinks will happen. Goldman Sachs GS , the formidable investment banking giant that’s over 150 years old, said in a note that gold prices could top $3,000 this year. It almost happened already and we’re not even past February.
Gold hit a record high of $2,940 per ounce on Tuesday — cue the celebration among gold bugs.
Another big reason for gold to shine in 2025 is how central banks warmed up to it in 2024. Let’s roll back the tape a little bit — the World Gold Council estimates that central banks last year stacked up more than 800 tons of gold. The biggest buyer on that list is Poland with 80 tons of it. The next four — Turkey, India, Azerbaijan, China.
Digging a bit deeper, lower interest rates generally support the bullish narrative for gold, which is a non-yielding asset. Gold doesn’t generate passive income, it doesn’t pay dividends and doesn’t pay you any sort of return like a bond does.
When interest rates fall, the environment benefits gold because the opportunity cost of holding it is less and investors jump in more easily. This said, pay attention to the economic calendar for any hot data releases that may stir up gold markets.
With momentum being as strong as it is now, do you think gold has more room to the upside? Or are we now in froth land and prices could turn around? Share your thoughts on gold in the comments!
How to Avoid Whipsaw price action at market openFutures are only reliable for how the US Stock Market will open. With the modern market structure whipsaw action after the market opens can cause huge losses or disappointing profits for retail day or swing traders. You will learn how volume oscillators can warn of a whipsaw or reversal day. Void of buyers is a crucial aspect of whipsaw to down trending stocks price action. Be aware of the End of Day Professionals only Auction and study end of day 1-3 minute data. Large lot pre market open trading begins about 3-4 hours before the US market opens. This is also crucial information. IF the pros are selling million share orders or setting up a sell short several million lot order, this will shift the sentiment to the downside even when there is a strong buy entry signal.
DAX traders are not bothered about steel and aluminum tariffs It seems that MARKETSCOM:DE30 traders today don't care much about the announcement of US tariffs on steel and aluminum. In fact, the German index continues to show resilience and keeps forming new highs. But how can this last for?
XETR:DAX
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